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ISSUE 2007/01

FEBRUARY 2007
bruegelpolicybrief

A BETTER
GLOBALISATION FUND
by Etienne Wasmer SUMMARY The recently adopted European Globalisation Adjustment Fund
Visiting Fellow at Bruegel, Professor of
(EGF) is an EU response to the challenge of globalisation. It is to spend
Economics at Sciences Po and OFCE, Paris
up to €500m annually supporting active labour market policies in
etienne.wasmer@ofce.sciences-po.fr

and Jakob von Weizsäcker Member States targeting workers affected by trade-induced (mass)
Research Fellow layoffs. In principle, this EU effort to help trade-displaced workers makes
jvw@bruegel.org
sense since trade policy is also decided at EU level. In practice, EGF rules
leave too much room for discretionary decisions, exposing it to political
posturing and lobbying. During its critical first few years, sound prece-
dents must be established, eligibility rules should be strengthened,
and rigorous evaluation should be built into the programme. Otherwise,
the EGF may come to be regarded as a political gimmick instead of a
useful European response to globalisation.
Situation of manufacturing workers 24 POLICY CHALLENGE
months after redundancy in EU15 Displaced workers often face unemploy-
100% ment, a lower-paying job, or a new job far
from home. Of these, the unemployed
typically receive most public support. We
75%
propose that the EGF address this by
focusing its limited funds on two simple
active labour market schemes: wage
insurance and mobility allowance. Wage
50%
insurance could offer workers whose pay
was cut after displacement a top-up for up
to two years amounting to half the diffe-
25% rence between the old and the new wage.
Re-employed with better wage Those moving for a new job would receive
Re-employed with wage loss
Not re-employed after two years
a lump-sum mobility allowance equal to
0%
two months' gross pay in the previous job
High Medium Low (four months for cross-border moves).
Prior employment in These schemes should be scientifically
manufacturing grouped by evaluated to decide on the extension of
intensity of import competition
the EGF when it expires in 2013.
Source: see Table 2
A BETTER GLOBALISATION FUND

THE political sustainability of globa- In the EU context, this raises the opposed to discretionary allocation.
02 lisation is under threat. On both
sides of the Atlantic, global econo-
question to what extent European
instruments can usefully support
In Section 4, concrete policy recom-
mendations are made on how to
bruegelpolicybrief

mic integration is seen as one core these balancing acts by Member strengthen the rules of the EGF.
factor in poor economic outcomes States. The European Globalisation
for below-average earners. Public Adjustment Fund (EGF), scheduled 1. RETRACING THE PROS
opinion in France, the US, and to be operational from early 2007, AND CONS
Germany – in this order – favours can be viewed as a litmus test in
keeping existing trade barriers, even this respect2. Endowed with €500m The displacement of workers due
if it might result in slower growth per year until 2013, it will fund to trade, technological progress,
(see Figure 1). In the same poll, active labour market policies in geographic shifts in economic
around 60 percent of respondents Member States which target wor- activity and other shocks is an
in both Europe and the US saw the kers affected by trade-induced col- age-old phenomenon. And it is also
rise of China as a threat; only one lective redundancies (see Box 1). widely accepted that national
third saw it as an opportunity. The proposed fund has some simi- governments have a leading role to
larities with the US Trade play in assisting displaced wor-
One of the underlying reasons for Adjustment Assistance (TAA), first kers with their individual efforts to
the fragility of globalisation is that introduced by the Kennedy admi- cope and to find a new job.
globalisation creates large net nistration in 1962, the expansion of Therefore, when the Barroso
gains, but some lose out and many which is being discussed in the US3. Commission proposed specifically
more feel at risk. And in many OECD to target workers displaced as a
countries, those who lose out or Section 1 provides the political result of trade-related mass redun-
who feel at risk already find them- context by summarising key argu- dancies using European funds,
selves in the bottom half of the ments leading up to the establish- this immediately raised some
income distribution. To accommo- ment of the EGF in December 2006. serious concerns.
date this distributional impact of In Section 2, the basic facts regar-
globalisation, democratic societies ding displaced and trade-displaced A number of net contributor coun-
have to perform a delicate balan- workers in particular are presented. tries including Germany and
cing act involving redistribution Section 3 discusses the advantage Sweden did not originally want to
between winners and losers1. of sharp-edged rules for the EGF as pay for an EU adjustment mecha-

Figure 1: Public opinion in France, US, Germany favours existing trade barriers
70%
66
60%
56
50% 52
48
48 45 46 45
40% 43 43 44
42

35
30% 33

20%
1
e.g. Frieden (2007).
2
Direct EU support to 10%
individual trade displa-
ced workers had
already been proposed 0%
in Sapir et al. (2003). France US Germany UK Italy Poland Slovakia
3
Kletzer and Rosen Trade barriers should be kept because they protect your country’s Trade barriers should be removed as this will ensure faster economic
(2005); Brainard et al. businesses even if it might result in slower economic growth. growth even if it results in some risks for your country’s businesses.
(2005).
Source: German Marshall Fund (2006)
A BETTER GLOBALISATION FUND

BOX 1
THE BASIC RULES GUIDING THE EGF
Size of Fund: The expenditure of the EGF may not exceed a maximum annual amount of €500 million (current pri-
03

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ces) from 2007 to 2013.
Coverage: Support can be provided where changes in world trade patterns result in:
(a) at least 1 000 redundancies over a period of 4 months in an enterprise in a Member State, including workers
made redundant in its suppliers or downstream producers, or
(b) at least 1 000 redundancies, over a period of 9 months, particularly in small or medium-sized enterprises, in a
sector in one region or two contiguous regions.
In small labour markets or in exceptional circumstances, duly substantiated by the Member State(s) concerned, an
application for a contribution from the EGF may be considered admissible even if the conditions laid down in subpa-
ragraphs (a) and (b) are not entirely met, when redundancies have a serious impact on employment and the local
economy.
Eligible Measures: Active labour market measures designed to reintegrate redundant workers into the labour market
are eligible for support, including: job-search assistance, occupational guidance, (re-)training, certification of acqui-
red experience, outplacement assistance, entrepreneurship self-employment promotion, job-search allowances,
mobility allowances or allowances for lifelong learning and training activities, and measures to stimulate the return
to work of disadvantaged or older workers. Preparation, management, publicity, and control actives for the implemen-
tation of such programmes are also eligible. However, passive social protection measures are explicitly excluded
from funding.
Legal Basis: Regulation (EC) No 1927/2006 of 20 December 2006.

nism, especially as they felt that it would be neither possible nor the EU often in charge of efficiency-
they already had sufficiently necessarily desirable to distin- enhancing but unpopular moves
developed national programmes to guish between the relatively few towards greater liberalisation and
deal with adjustment issues. A workers displaced by trade and the globalisation, and Member States
related concern was that Member many displaced by other shocks4. in charge of protecting their citi-
States slow to implement painful So why was it that, in spite of zens from the adverse effects –
structural reforms might profit these serious issues, needed to be adjus-
unduly from the proposal, as their the EGF (see Box 1) ted in the enlighte-
restructuring backlog could be was adopted by the ‘The good cop/bad cop ned self-interest of
expected to draw disproportionate European Parliament division of labour Member States. The
benefits from EGF. and the Council of EGF might have
Ministers? between Member been a welcome
Some critics argued that the pro- States and the opportunity to do
posal was primarily an expensive In addition to the
and self-serving public relations complex quid pro quo
European Commission just that.
exercise of the Commission, considerations that had perhaps been From an economic
without any compelling economic are an integral part of pushed too far.’ perspective, the
rationale. Other critics felt that, almost any political focus of the EGF on
even as a public relations strategy, decision-making pro- workers displaced
the EGF might backfire since its cess, one political and one econo- by trade could be justified by the
establishment would be an implicit mic argument in favour of the EGF fact that trade policy has in effect
acknowledgement of the adverse seem particularly noteworthy. been delegated to the European 4
The archive of the
consequences of globalisation. Politically, a number of Member level, while Member States retain news service Euractiv
States must have felt that the ‘good control rights to block decisions. (www.euractiv.com)
provides a good over-
There were fears that the EGF cop/bad cop’ division of labour bet- Consider the hypothetical example view of the various
might be a slippery slope towards ween them and the European of full trade liberalisation in texti- points of view in this
an expensive and bureaucratic Commission had been pushed too les which would have greatly discussion, especially
European welfare state run by the far, and that this may have contri- asymmetric effects between, say, around the Hampton
Court Summit in
European Commission. Others felt buted to the stalling of the EU Sweden, with hardly any textile October 2005, which
that the EGF would be too small to Constitution. According to that industry, and Portugal with a subs- prepared the decision
be effective, in particular because view, the division of labour – with tantial one. Sweden would be a key to establish the EGF.
A BETTER GLOBALISATION FUND

beneficiary while the case would Table 1


04 be somewhat less clear cut for
Portugal, owing to the expected Very rough estimate of trade-related mass lay-offs
bruegelpolicybrief

large number of displaced workers. Category of annual job losses Estimated number of job
Through the EGF, part of the cost of losses in the EU
helping displaced textile workers
Permanent job losses (rough estimate) 5.7 M
in Portugal would be borne by
Sweden, thereby making full trade of which very roughly 10% trade related 570,000
liberalisation a more likely pros- of which very roughly 10% mass layoffs 57,000
pect. And although Sweden would
be a net contributor to the EGF in Source: Bruegel estimates
that example, it might well be a net
beneficiary of the arrangement as 2. DISPLACEMENT Various studies and databases in
a whole. While, theoretically, such HITS HARD both Europe and the US indicate
an unblocking of trade could be that trade-related layoffs repre-
achieved through a web of bilateral The term ‘displaced workers’ typi- sent approximately 10 percent of
transfer arrangements, in practice cally refers to those workers all layoffs6. Furthermore, we
such transfers hardly ever take whose working life has been observe that mass layoffs repre-
place and potential gains from seriously disrupted by a redun- sent about 10 percent of all
opening up may fail to materialise. dancy. Statistically, the number of layoffs, according to the European
workers displaced every year can Restructuring Monitor Database.
Thus, in principle, an economic be proxied by the number of per- On this basis, we arrive at a
case could be made for EU involve- manent layoffs, namely the num- somewhat heroic estimate of
ment in assisting trade-displaced ber of workers who do not find a 57,000 trade-related mass layoffs
workers. But does this justify the new job within the same calendar per year (see Table 1). This provi-
EGF in practice? In this brief, we year in which they lose their job. des a very rough order of magni-
argue for a streamlined and, we Extrapolating from EU15, we esti- tude of how many eligible cases
believe, better EGF that could mate that there are around 5.7 might be expected for the EGF.
considerably strengthen the case million permanent layoffs in EU27 With an annual spending limit of
for it. per year5. €500m, and using this estimate,

Table 2
The cost of job displacements in the EU and the US
Manufacturing
Manufacturing Manufacturing
Non- Medium
Manufacturing High import Low import
Manufacturing import
competition competition
competition

EU15 except Sweden 1994-2001

Share re-employed after two years 57% 57% 52% 59% 60%

Re-employed: mean change in earnings 0% 7% 0% -4% 3%

Share with no earning loss 46% 50% 44% 46% 47%

Share with losses greater than 30% 7% 8% 5% 7% 7%

US, 1979-99
5
See Wasmer and von
Weizsäcker (2007) for Share re-employed at survey date (+/- 24 mths*) 65% 69% 63% 65% 67%
the technical underpin-
nings of this brief.
Re-employed: mean change in wage -12% -4% -13% -13% -9%
6
This proportion may
vary significantly Share with no earning loss or earning more 35% 41% 36% 34% 38%
depending on the defi-
nition used for trade- Share with losses greater than 30% 35% 29% 25% 25% 26%
related redundancies.
Source: Bruegel estimates based on Kletzer (2001) and OECD (2005).
(*) The re-employment rates are not directly comparable: the US data is based on retrospective questions, while EU data is based on a panel and thus follows more
accurately a cohort of displaced workers.
A BETTER GLOBALISATION FUND

The ability of workers ability to


Figure 2: Distribution of job tenures in France and the UK cope with structural change also
depends on initial education, with 05

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60% longer and less specialised educa-
tion reducing the cost of adjust-
ment. Again, both the average
50%
number of years of education and
Share of the workforce in percent

the degree of specialisation of


40% education vary significantly. In
EU15, the average number of
30%
years of education is 11.6, which
is about one year less than in the
France
US (12.7) or Canada (12.9)8. Italy,
20%
UK
Portugal, France, Spain and Greece
have the shortest average number
10% of years of education, between 10
and 11 years. The share of workers
with vocational education is high
0%
0-2 3-5 6-8 9-11 12-14 15+ in some countries (eg two thirds of
Tenure in years (truncated at 15) the labour force in Poland) and
moderate in others (34 percent in
Source: European Household Panel Database (European Commission) Estonia)9.

the EGF might therefore be able to higher in the US. In short, specialised labour has a
spend up to €9,000 per worker. lot to lose from displacement,
Those workers who would have to either from long unemployment
But how does this relate to the size accept a significant wage cut to spells after displacement or wage
of the typical economic loss that a find a new job are more likely to losses. This also has political eco-
displaced worker is expected to remain unemployed in Europe nomy implications.
suffer? Statistically, this loss can where welfare benefits are more
be captured in two dimensions: generous. But beyond these regio- 3. THE CASE FOR CLEARER
the duration of unemployment (or nal differences, there is also consi- RULES
the re-employment rate after a derable individual heterogeneity.
year), and the earnings gap com- Being older, having a lower level of First, note that there is hardly any
pared to the previous job. The education, longer tenure in the job difference in the fate of workers
unemployment effect (especially and lower-level vocational skills displaced by trade and workers
in the EU) and the wage effect makes it more difficult to cope displaced by other factors (see
(especially in the US) can be with displacement. Table 2). So why provide additional
serious. Evidence shows7 higher support for trade-displaced wor-
non-employment rates after 12 As regards tenure, workers with kers and not, say, to those displa-
months in continental Europe (45 more seniority are usually well pro- ced by technological shocks?
percent in France, 40 percent in tected and thus face a lower risk of
Germany) than in the US (24 per- being displaced but, when they are, Support for displaced workers
cent) or the UK (12 percent). The they can be expected to suffer might simply be more effective at
re-employment rate after a year significantly larger wage losses. freeing up trade than at removing
thus differs by up to 33 percentage Average tenure differs widely obstacles to the adoption of new
points. The same source also indi- across countries, as well as its dis- technologies. It is striking how, in
cates substantial wage losses for tribution over the cross-section of political decisions about trade libe-
US and UK workers and no clear the employed (see Figure 2). In the ralisation, the topic of displaced
pattern in continental Europe. UK, there is an over-representation workers features prominently. By
of tenures below three years and a contrast, in political decisions
Other findings (see Table 2) small density of tenures above 15 about adoption of new technology, 7
Kuhn (2002).
confirm that large income losses years, while the opposite applies in other considerations dominate:
among those who take on a new France. This suggests that the health, environmental and ethical 8
Source: OECD (2004).
job are much more prevalent in the social cost of displacement might concerns. Modern Luddites figh-
US than in EU15, while the re- be higher in a country like France ting new technology for reasons of 9
Lamo et al. (2006).
employment rate seems to be than in a country like the UK. job security hardly exist. Therefore,
A BETTER GLOBALISATION FUND

case, or how much. Therefore, it


06 Figure 3: Stylised correlation of lobbying clout and trade exposure would seem advisable to amend
the EGF rules, so as to provide
bruegelpolicybrief

High reliable necessary and sufficient


criteria for the allocation of funds.

4. LESS IS MORE
Trade Displaced workers are often faced
Lobbying with the unhappy choice between
Clout unemployment, or taking a new job
that pays substantially less, or
accepting a new job far away from
home. But in the EU, those who
become unemployed traditionally
receive much more public support
Low than those who take a substantial
Low High
wage cut or those who agree to
uproot themselves and move10.
Trade Exposure
With the present stipulation of the
EGF that funds must be spent on
income support for those suffering Therefore, allocation of funds on active labour market policy,
from trade shocks might simply the basis of competitive lobbying Member States are implicitly ack-
offer more ‘bang for the buck’ in (indicated by the red arrows) and nowledging that national policies
political economy terms. by objective criteria of trade expo- often suffer from this imbalance.
sure (indicated by blue arrows)
If indeed a focus on trade-displa- while not yielding the same result, However, rather than attempting to
10
ced workers is justified in this way, nevertheless produce a somewhat spread best practice on how to
Replacement rates the question remains how funds similar one. However, there is a address the imbalance, the pre-
have been on average should ideally be allocated among clear advantage in allocating sent delimitation of the EGF to
around 25-30 percent the group of trade- funds based on “active labour market policy” is
in the US and the UK, displaced workers. objective criteria: it vague. For example, under current
and around 60 percent From a social insu- reduces wasteful EGF rules, unemployment benefits
in many continental rance perspective, ‘There is a clear rent-seeking activity are not covered, but in most coun-
European countries those trade displa- advantage in alloca- by affected regions tries unemployment assistance
such as France, Spain ced workers hit the and sectors. On comes with an active job-search
or Denmark (Nickell et hardest should ting funds based on balance, we would requirement. Thus, there might be
al. 2005). Mobility receive the most objective criteria: it therefore favour allo- a temptation to label it as an active
rates are three times support. But from a cation based on labour market policy. Other items
higher in the US than in trade liberalisation reduces wasteful rent- objective criteria of such as entrepreneurial assis-
Europe (eg Wasmer et perspective, funds seeking activity.’ trade exposure. tance and training schemes are
al. 2007). should be allocated difficult to monitor at EU level. In
11
in line with protectio- Unfortunately, the particular, the track record of trai-
See the excellent nist lobbying current rules of the ning as an active job-market
survey by Bassanini et strength in order to achieve freer EGF leave a lot of room for discre- policy is mixed11.
al. (2007) who findlit- trade. Fortunately, these criteria tionary decision-making and the-
tle evidence of private are not necessarily incompatible. refore competitive lobbying. The In view of these difficulties, we
returns to training on Other things being equal, those rules spell out neither necessary recommend to sharpen considera-
less skilled wokers, and workers who have most to lose nor sufficient conditions for gran- bly the profile of the EGF, focusing
the contrasting macro from trade liberalisation will have ting support. Decisions on whether its scarce resources on a limited
view in Bassanini and the greatest incentive to organise funds will be granted, and how number of particularly suitable
Duval (2006), empha- a protectionist lobby. However, the much, will be made on a case-by- active labour market policies. They
sizing the negative correlation is not perfect (see case basis. A rather large range of should be effective and support
correlations between Figure 3 for an illustration), since applications from Member States displaced workers in line with their
public training there are other factors determining has some chance of approval. But individual exposure. They should
expenditures and lobbying clout, such as geographic it is not clear in advance whether be transparent, simple and relati-
unemployment rates. concentration. funds will be granted in any given vely easy to monitor and evaluate.
A BETTER GLOBALISATION FUND

The downside of a more focused tually very simple programme like have been considered, but this
approach such as this is also clear:
the choice of Member States on
this, a number of complex techni- would be much more bureaucratic
cal questions would need to be without being much more precise. 07

bruegelpolicybrief
how EGF funds are to be spent in addressed, taking the specificities The reason is that the monetary
their country would be reduced. of EU27 into account. For example, costs of moving are often dwarfed
However, in view of the likely a workable and abuse-proof defini- by emotional and social costs,
advantages, this might well be tion of the old and new net salary such as the lost support from
acceptable, especially if Member and rules for the portability of the social networks and the difficul-
States could be assured of a rigo- wage insurance across EU mem- ties of dependants to re-adjust.
rous scientific evaluation of the ber states would have to be
EGF’s performance. agreed. A sound relationship would Budgetary considerations
need to be organised between the
Specifically, we propose to support proposed wage insurance and This raises the question whether
just two active labour market poli- similar schemes that already exist €500m could actually pay for the
cies: wage insurance and mobility in some member sta- proposed measures.
allowance. The wage insurance tes13. Despite these On the generous
would help those displaced wor- difficult details, we ‘Immobility is partly assumption that
kers who accepted a pay cut in are optimistic that wage insurance
order to find a new job by paying not least the concep- subsidised by unem- would lead to an
them a wage top-up. And a mobility tual simplicity of the ployment insurance increase of the acti-
allowance would partially compen- scheme would vity rate among eligi-
sate workers for the private dis- assure high visibility and other parts of the ble displaced wor-
comfort and expense of moving to and reasonable take- welfare state.’ kers from 57 percent
find a new job. Both schemes up rates. to 75 percent, we
directly signal the public interest estimate that
in workers accepting a new job, Mobility allowance around 150,000 displaced wor-
rather than remaining unem- kers could fall within the scope of
ployed, by providing a positive Since immobility is partly subsidi- the scheme with the available
financial incentive. sed by unemployment insurance funds, with a 50 percent wage
and other parts of the welfare insurance. Eligibility could thus
Wage insurance state, a subsidy for intra-EU mobi- probably be broadened by a factor
lity might be desirable to redress three, compared to the current
Wage insurance would be provided this distortion. In fact, without an definition of mass displaced wor-
to every eligible dis- additional subsidy kers. Alternatively, benefits could
placed worker who for mobility, the pro- be made more generous, for exam-
was forced to accept ‘We propose to support posed wage subsidy ple by offering wage insurance up
a pay-cut in order to might even make to two thirds of the difference bet-
find a new job. We just two active labour this immobility dis- ween the previous and the new
propose that the market policies: wage tortion worse by wage, effectively limiting its scope
wage insurance pro- insurance and mobility inciting people to to about 120,000 displaced wor-
gramme would pay a take on a lower paid kers a year.
top-up of between allowance.’ (but subsidised) job
half and two thirds of in their home region Scientific evaluation
the pay difference instead of taking on
between the net salary of the old a higher-paid (but unsubsidised) Finally, a systematic ex-post eva- 12
See Michalopoulos et
and the new job, for up to two job in a different region or country. luation of the use of the EGF al. (2002).
years. This proposal is similar to should be undertaken after the
the Alternative Trade Adjustment Therefore, we propose to introduce first two years. For it to be scienti- 13
eg France: “Allocation
Assistance, one component of the a mobility allowance amounting to fic, individual data should be col- temporaires dégressi-
US TAA. Indeed, a number of pro- two months’ previous gross pay lected on workers receiving the ves“ for firms with at
grammes providing sizeable wage for job-related moves of more than subsidies, and on those not recei- least 50 employees and
complements, such as the Self- 50km. For cross-border moves, ving it but with individual charac- for which 10 employees
Sufficiency Program in Canada two extra months would be added teristics that are sufficiently close or more or laid off;
(SSP), have been shown to be to the allowance to encourage to those of aided groups. This was Germany:
effective labour market policies12. intra-EU mobility. Alternatively, a done for the Canadian Self- “Entgeltsicherung für
ältere Arbeitnehmer” for
reimbursement of some fraction of Sufficiency Program and careful
older workers.
Of course, even with a concep- the actual costs of moving might evaluation on the basis of data col-
A BETTER GLOBALISATION FUND

lected has led to a relative consen- Outlook debate on the reform of the much
08 sus on its pros and cons.
In the coming years, the simple
larger European Social Fund with
an annual funding of approxima-
bruegelpolicybrief

In the same way, systematic data col- picture of who are likely winners tely €10 billion (about 20 times as
lection should be made mandatory and who are likely losers of globali- large as the EGF). And if the EGF
for the programmes supported by the sation may become ever-more does not prove effective, one
EGF and those data be made available fragmented due to increasing should not hesitate to give the
to the research community. The “trade in tasks”14. Such a develop- money back to the EU budget or to
debate generated by the resulting ment might also further compli- Member States.
independent academic studies would cate the delineation of trade-rela-
ensure tight control over the pro- ted and non-trade-related displa- The authors gratefully
gramme. In particular, such an eva- cements of workers. If the EGF acknowledge the valuable
luation would create a reassuringly were to prove effective, it may the- research assistance of
solid basis for Member States to refore be conceivable to scale it up Alexandre Janiak.
decide on the future of the EGF when further to meet this challenge, not
its funding expires in 2013. least in view of the inevitable

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Andrea Bassanini and Romain Duval, “Employment Patterns in OECD Countries: Reassessing the Role of Policies and Institutions,” OECD
Economics Department Working Paper No. 486, 2006.
Lael Brainard, Robert Litan, and Nicolas Warren, “Insuring America's Workers in a New Era of Offshoring,” Brookings Policy Brief No. 143, July
2005.
Jeffrey Frieden, “Will Global Capitalism Fall Again?” Bruegel Essay and Lecture Series, Brussels, January 2007.
German Marshall Fund, “Perspectives on Trade and Poverty Reduction. A Survey of Public Opinion,” Key Findings Report, December 2006.
Gene Grossman and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, “Trading Tasks: A Simple Theory of Offshoring,” Mimeo, 2006.
Lori Kletzler and Howard Rosen, “Easing the Adjustment Burden on US workers,” Ch. 10, in C.F. Bergsten, ed., The United States and the World
Economy: Foreign Economic Policy for the Next Decade, Institute for International Economics, pp. 313-342, January 2005.
Lori Kletzer, “Job Loss from Imports: Measuring the Costs,” Institute for International Economics, September 2001.
Peter Kuhn (Editor), “Losing work, moving on : international perspectives on worker displacement,” Kalamazoo: Upjohn Institute for
Employment Research, 2002.
Ana Lamo, Julian Messina and Etienne Wasmer, “Are Specific Skills an Obstacle to Labor Market Adjustment? Theory and an Application to the
EU Enlargement,” European Central Bank, working paper 585 and CEPR discussion paper 5503, 2006.
Charles Michalopoulos, Doug Tattrie, Cynthia Miller, Philip K. Robins, Pamela Morris, David Gyarmati, Cindy Redcross, Kelly Foley, Reuben Ford,
“Making Work Pay,” Final Report on the Self-Sufficiency Project for Long-Term Welfare Recipients, 2002.
OECD Education at a Glance, 2004.
OECD Employment Outlook 2005, chapter 1.
André Sapir, Philippe Aghion, Giuseppe Bertola, Martin Hellwig, Jean Pisani-Ferry, Dariusz Rosati, José Viñals, Helen Wallace, Marco Buti, Mario
Nava and Peter Smith, “An Agenda for a Growing Europe: Making the EU System Deliver,” Brussels, 2003.
Etienne Wasmer, Peter Fredriksson, Ana Lamo, Julián Messina and Giovanni Peri, “The Macroeconomics of Education,” Oxford University Press,
eds. Giorgio Brunello, Pietro Garibaldi and Etienne Wasmer, 2007.
Etienne Wasmer and Jakob von Weizsäcker, “Making Sense of the European Globalization Fund,” Bruegel Working Paper, February 2007.

Bruegel is a European think tank devoted to international economics, which started operations in Brussels in 2005.
It is supported by European governments and international corporations. Bruegel’s aim is to contribute to the quality
of economic policymaking in Europe through open, fact-based and policy-relevant research, analysis and discussion.

The Bruegel Policy Brief series is published under the editorial responsibility of Jean Pisani-Ferry, Director.
Opinions expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) alone.
14
See Grossman and
Rossi-Hansberg Visit www.bruegel.org for information on Bruegel's activities and publications.
(2006). Bruegel - Rue de la Charité 33, B-1210 Brussels - phone (+32) 2 227 4210 info@bruegel.org

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