Sie sind auf Seite 1von 77

CHAPTER-1

1.1 INTRODUCTION

Stock Market In India:


Indian stock market started functioning from 1875. The name of the first share
trading association in India was Native Share and Stock Broker’s Association which later
came to be known as Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). This association kicked of with
318 members. Indian share market mainly consists of two stock exchanges:
1. Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE)
2. National Stock Exchange (NSE)

Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE):


Bombay Stock exchange limited is the oldest stock exchange in Asia with a rich
heritage. Popularly known as “BSE”, it was established as “The Native Share & Stock
Broker’s Association” in 1875. It is the first stock exchange in the country to obtain
permanent recognition in 1956 from the government of India under the Securities
Contracts Act, 1956. The Exchanges pivotal and pre-eminent role in the development of
the Indian capital market is widely recognized and its index, SENSEX, is tracked
worldwide. Earlier an association of persons (AOP), the exchange is now a demutualised
and corporatized entity incorporated under the provisions of the companies Act, 1956,
pursuant to the BSE (Corporatization and demutualization) Scheme, 2005 notified by the
Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI).
Bombay Stock Exchange Limited received its Certificate of Incorporation on 8th
August, 2005 and Certificate of Commencement of business on 12th August, 2005. the
‘Due Date’ for taking over the business and operations of the BSE, by the exchange was
fixed forn19th, August, 2005, under the Scheme. The Exchange has succeeded the
business and operations of BSE on going concern basis and its recognition as an
Exchange has been continued by SEBI.
With demutualization, the trading rights and ownership rights have been de-linked
effectively addressing concerns regarding perceived and real conflicts of interest. The

Page 1 of 77
Exchange is professionally managed under the overall direction of the Board of
Directors. The Board comprises eminent professionals, representatives of Trading
Members and the Managing Directors of the Exchange.
The Board is inclusive and is designed to benefit from the participation of market
intermediaries. In terns of organization structure, the Board formulates larger policy
issues and exercises over-all control. The committee constituted by the board is broad-
based. The day-to-day operations of the exchange are managed by the Managing Director
& CEO and a Management team of professionals.
The exchange has a nation-wide reach with a presence in 417 cities and towns of
India. The systems and processes of the Exchange are designed to safeguard market
integrity and enhance transparency in operations.

About the national stock exchange of India:

Capital market reforms in India and the launch of the Securities and Exchange
Board of India (SEBI) accelerated the incorporation of the second Indian stock exchange
called the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in 1992. After a few years of operations, the
NSE has become the largest stock exchange in India.

Three segments of the NSE trading platform were established one after another. The
Wholesale Debt Market (WDM) commenced operations in June 1994 and the Capital
Market (CM) segment was opened at the end of 1994. Finally, the Futures and Options
segment began operating in 2000. Today the NSE takes the 14th position in the top 40
futures exchanges in the world.

In 1996, the National Stock Exchange of India launched S&P CNX Nifty and CNX
Junior Indices that make up 100 most liquid stocks in India. CNX Nifty is a diversified
index of 50 stocks from 25 different economy sectors. The Indices are owned and
managed by India Index Services and Products Ltd (IISL) that has a consulting and
licensing agreement with Standard & Poor's.

In 1998, the National Stock Exchange of India launched its web-site and was the
first exchange in India that started trading stock on the Internet in 2000. The NSE has

Page 2 of 77
also proved its leadership in the Indian financial market by gaining many awards such as
'Best IT Usage Award' by Computer Society in India (in 1996 and 1997) and CHIP Web
Award by CHIP magazine (1999).

1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

The need for the study is to analyze portfolio management service in various share
price movements of various companies belonging to various sectors of National Stock
Market, which is also funneled down to the NIFTY stocks.

There is always an expectation of the stock holders to get an optimum return for
the risk being beard by the investors in investing in such stocks. The returns are expected
in the form of appreciation of the share values and in the form of dividends declared by
the companies.
There is a need to analyze whether the equity and other instruments issued by the
companies is playing a major role in the price movements of the stocks. The portfolio
management service is having an impact in prices changes of the s tocks market.

1.3 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

Primary objectives
 To construct a portfolio on selected scrips in S&P CNX Nifty.

Secondary objectives
 To observe the rate of fluctuations of selected scrip’s.
 To determine the share price movement of the selected scrip’s.
 To find out the risk and return of the sample scrip’s.
 To find out suitable portfolio from scrip’s in Nifty.

Page 3 of 77
1.4 SCOPE OF THE STUDY

The purpose of the study is to find out whether the company share prices
movements depends on the company’s profit and their dividend issues. The research
reveals a general study related to the investment patterns of investors relate to the price
changes. The researches reveal the results regarding the investment details of investors in
various companies during that period. Data are collected from the web sites helped to
find out the impact and causes of price changes.

1.5 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY


• Though there are many industries listed in the National Stocks
Exchange only 5 sectors and 20 companies have been selected for the
analysis due to lack of time.
• An in-depth analysis on the cause of changes in industry’s performance
is not being made.
• The analysis results can be used for predicting the future results to
some extent.

1.6 CHAPTERIZATION OF THE STUDY

The first chapter is about Introduction which contains Introduction, Statement of


the problem, Objectives of the study, Scope of the study, and Limitations of the study and
Cauterization of the study.

The second chapter is about

Page 4 of 77
CHAPTER2

Company Profile

India Infoline Limited is listed on both the leading stock exchanges in India, viz. the
Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and is also a
member of both the exchanges. It is engaged in the businesses of Equities broking,
Wealth Advisory Services and Portfolio Management Services. It offers broking services
in the Cash and Derivatives segments of the NSE as well as the Cash segment of the
BSE. It is registered with NSDL as well as CDSL as a depository participant, providing a
one-stop solution for clients trading in the equities market. It has recently launched its
Investment banking and Institutional Broking business.

A SEBI authorized Portfolio Manager; it offers Portfolio Management Services to


clients. These services are offered to clients as different schemes, which are based on
differing investment strategies made to reflect the varied risk-return preferences of
clients.

Page 5 of 77
India infoline media and research services limited:

The content services represent a strong support that drives the broking,
commodities, mutual fund and portfolio management services businesses. Revenue
generation is through the sale of content to financial and media houses, Indian as well as
global.
It undertakes equities research which is acknowledged by none other than Forbes as
'Best of the Web' and '…a must read for investors in Asia'. India Infoline's research is
available not just over the internet but also on international wire services like Bloomberg
(Code: IILL), Thomson First Call and Internet Securities where India Infoline is amongst
the most read Indian brokers.

India Infoline Commodities Limited:

India Infoline Commodities Pvt Limited is engaged in the business of commodities


broking. Our experience in securities broking empowered us with the requisite skills and
technologies to allow us offer commodities broking as a contra-cyclical alternative to
equities broking. We enjoy memberships with the MCX and NCDEX, two leading Indian
commodities exchanges, and recently acquired membership of DGCX. We have a multi-
channel delivery model, making it among the select few to offer online as well as offline
trading facilities.

India Infoline Marketing & Services:

India Infoline Marketing and Services Limited is the holding company of India
Infoline Insurance Services Limited and India Infoline Insurance Brokers Limited.

(a) India Infoline Insurance Services Limited is a registered Corporate Agent


with the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA). It is

Page 6 of 77
the largest Corporate Agent for ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Co
Limited, which is India's largest private Life Insurance Company. India
Infoline was the first corporate agent to get licensed by IRDA in early
2001.
(b) India Infoline Insurance Brokers Limited is a newly formed subsidiary
which will carry out the business of Insurance broking. We have applied
to IRDA for the insurance broking licence and the clearance for the same
is awaited. Post the grant of license, we propose to also commence the
general insurance distribution business.

India Infoline Investment Services Limited:

Consolidated shareholdings of all the subsidiary companies engaged in loans and


financing activities under one subsidiary. Recently, Orient Global, a Singapore-based
investment institution invested USD 76.7 million for a 22.5% stake in India Infoline
Investment Services. This will help focused expansion and capital raising in the said
subsidiaries for various lending businesses like loans against securities, SME financing,
distribution of retail loan products, consumer finance business and housing finance
business. India Infoline Investment Services Private Limited consists of the following
step-down subsidiaries.

(a) India Infoline Distribution Company Limited (distribution of retail loan


products)
(b) Moneyline Credit Limited (consumer finance)
(c) India Infoline Housing Finance Limited (housing finance)

Page 7 of 77
Equities:

India Infoline provided the prospect of researched investing to its clients, which was
hitherto restricted only to the institutions. Research for the retail investor did not exist
prior to India Infoline. India Infoline leveraged technology to bring the convenience of
trading to the investor’s location of preference (residence or office) through computerized
access. India Infoline made it possible for clients to view transaction costs and ledger
updates in real time.

Commodities

India Infolines extension into commodities trading reconciles its strategic intent to
emerge as a one stop solutions financial intermediary. Its experience in securities broking
has empowered it with requisite skills and technologies. Increased offering: The
Companies commodities business provides a contra-cyclical alternative to equities
broking. The Company was among the first to offer the facility of commodities trading in
Indias young commodities market (the MCX commenced operations only in 2003).
Average monthly turnover on the commodity exchanges increased from Rs 0.34 bn to Rs
20.02 bn. The commodities market has several products with different and non-correlated
cycles. On the whole, the business is fairly insulated against cyclical gyrations in the
business.

Insurance

An entry into this segment helped complete the client's product basket;
concurrently, it graduated the Company into a one stop retail financial solutions provider.
To ensure maximum reach to customers across India, we have employed a multi pronged
approach and reach out to customers via our Network, Direct and Affiliate channels.
Following the opening of the sector in 1999-2000, a number of private sector insurance
service providers commenced operations aggressively and helped grow the market.

Page 8 of 77
The Company’s entry into the insurance sector derricked the Company from a
predominant dependence on broking and equity-linked revenues. The annuity based
income generated from insurance intermediation result in solid core revenues across the
tenure of the policy.

Invest Online In Mutual Funds & Ipo

India Infoline has made investing in Mutual funds and primary market so effortless.
All you have to do is register with us and that’s all. No paperwork no queues and No
registration charges.
If you are 5p customer use your existing login ID and Ledger (fund transfer)
password. Indiainfoline offers you a host of mutual fund and IPO choices under one roof;
backed by in-depth information and research to help you invest effortlessly.

Invest In Mf

Indiainfoline offers you a host of mutual fund choices under one roof, backed by in-
depth research and advice from research house and tools configured as investor friendly.
Investing in Mutual Funds has never been easier.
APPLY IN IPOs
You could also invest in Initial Public Offers (IPOs) online without going through
the hassles of filling ANY application form/ paperwork.

Loans

They say you mustn't trust a man till you know his house. Everyone likes hearing
people say Wow, what a beautiful house you have! From cave dwelling, we have evolved
and now a house provides far more than just shelter...it also becomes a source of pride. A
Housing Loan is used as finance to help you buy or modify that perfect home.

Page 9 of 77
The different Housing Loan products can be classified as:

 Home Loans & Home Extension Loans


 NRI Loans
 Land Loans
 Home Equity Loans

Portfolio Management:

You get recessions. You have stock market declines. If you don't understand that's
going to happen, then you're not ready; you won't do well in the markets. No need to
worry. We at India Infoline would take care of all issues related to managing your hard
earned money.
Our Portfolio Management Service is a product wherein an equity investment
portfolio is created to suit the investment objectives of a client. We at India Infoline
invest your resources into stocks from different sectors, depending on your risk-return
profile. This service is particularly advisable for investors who cannot afford to give time
or don't have that expertise for day-to-day management of their equity portfolio.
It is all about your money, being managed by the experts, while you continue with
your routine life. Isn't it simple and totally hassle free.
What's more, you can keep track of your dividends / bonus / rights issues with
paperless tracking. So you always know how fast your investment is growing. It basically
means assigning the right job to the right person.

Salient Features of India Infoline PMS:

• Expert team of Research Analysts


• Stock Picking done by the Investment Committee
• Dedicated Relationship Manager
• Technology and Service driven Back-Office

Page 10 of 77
CHAPTER3

Research Methodology:
Research methodology is a way to find out the solution to the problem. The
research is carries out using scientific methods which is elaborated in next part.

3.1 Research design


A research design is the arrangement of condition for collection and analysis of data
in a manner, which may result in an economy in procedure. It stands for advance
planning for collection of the relevant data and the techniques to be used in analysis,
keeping in view the objectives of the research and availability of time. The research used
here for the study is exploratory research. Exploratory research is quite informal, it relays
on the secondary data. The results are usually used for making decision themselves.

3.2 Sampling Size


Among Nifty-50, 20 companies’ past 2 years (2008-2010) financial performance
are taken based on 5 different sectors.

3.3 Data source


 Secondary data

3.4 Statistical Tools & measures:

 Beta
 Systematic & Unsystematic risk
 Standard deviation
 Sharpe’s optimal portfolio model
 Cut-off Rate

Page 11 of 77
CHAPTER4

4.1 Analysis Of Data

4.1.1 Beta Calculation


Stock Beta is a great gauge to understand market risk in a particular investment.
And it is important to calculate, assess and analyze the beta of any mid to long term hold.
Beta is a calculation of stocks volatility in relation to its index. It can
be used as a measure of risk. If the beta is greater than 1 it is more volatile
than the index. If beta is less than 1 it is less volatile than the index.
Using beta, you can calculate the expected return of your portfolio using Sharpe’s index
model theory. However beta is based upon historical data. That may have nothing to
do with future price movements of the stock or the market. Beta also doesn't
tell us if the stock's movements were more volatile during bear markets or bull
markets. It doesn't distinguish between large upswing or downside movements.
So while beta provides information about the past risk of a security, it tells
us very little about the attractiveness or the value of the investment.

Beta (β) =

 N = No of Months
 ∑X = Change in percentage of Nifty
 ∑Y = Change in percentage of Companies
 ∑X2 = Square of Change in percentage of Nifty

Page 12 of 77
SUMMARY OF VALUES OF BETA AND THE RELATIONSHIP TO MARKET
MOVEMENTS:

The stock moves contrary to the market in an inverse


relationship. As the market increases, the value of this
β <0 stock is expected to decrease. While this relationship
theoretically exists; few stocks possess a negative beta.
One example of an investment with negative beta is gold.

β =0 The stock’s returns are unrelated to market moves.

The stock is expected to move more slowly than the


market. If the market rises, this stock should also rise but
0< β <1 not as drastically as the market; likewise if the market
falls, this stock is expected to be less volatile than the
market.
The stock should move in a manner very similar to
β =1 the market as a whole.

The stock has proven over time to be more volatile


than the market. As the market rises, this stock should
β >1
rise at a higher rate. Likewise, a more severe loss is
anticipated in the event the market falls.

Page 13 of 77
TABLE 1: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND TATA STEEL

Percentage
Square of Change Square of
Change Change in Change in on Nifty
change in Tatasteel in change in
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage percentage and
percentage 6 Tatasteel percentage
3 8=7/6*100 Tatasteel
5 7 9
4=3/2*100 10=4*8
4839.18
MAR-APR08 (99.849) (2.0633) 4.257 718.493 117.296 16.325 266.518 (33.684)
6
4739.33
MAY-JUN08 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 835.790 (202.558) (24.235) 587.364 244.783
7
4260.65
JUL-AUG08 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 633.231 (234.076) (36.965) 1366.439 468.547
7
3720.60
SEP-OCT08 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 399.155 (205.515) (51.487) 2650.977 1180.380
6
2867.63
NOV-DEC08 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 193.639 (2.452) (1.266) 1.603 1.342
8
2837.23
JAN-FEB09 221.212 7.796 60.789 191.187 19.657 10.281 105.714 80.164
5
3058.44
MAR-APR09 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 210.844 165.739 78.607 6179.156 2955.990
7
4208.55
MAY-JUN09 243.365 5.782 33.438 376.584 52.093 13.833 191.358 79.992
7
4451.92
JUL-AUG09 474.786 10.664 113.736 428.678 75.677 17.653 311.655 188.272
2
4926.70
SEP-OCT09 101.715 2.064 4.262 504.356 47.164 9.351 87.448 19.306
8
5028.42
NOV-DEC09 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 551.520 43.103 7.815 61.080 (5.375)
3
4993.83
JAN-FEB10 594.624
8

Total 14.401 2420.426 39.913 11809.318 5179.72

Beta calculation,

BETA =

= 2.135046

Page 14 of 77
Interpretation

From the above table 4.1, we got the beta value of Tatasteel compare with NIFTY
value as 2.135046. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile
than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can
be made.

TABLE 2: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND SBIN

Square of Square of Percentage


Change Change in Change Change in
change in change in on Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage SBIN 6 in SBIN percentage
percentage percentage and SBIN
3 7 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
4839.18 1714.71
MAR-APR08 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 (253.017) (14.755) 217.728 30.445
6 6
4739.33 1461.69
MAY-JUN08 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 (103.807) (7.101) 50.435 71.729
7 9
4260.65 1357.89
JUL-AUG08 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 82.541 6.078 36.949 (77.048)
7 2
3720.60 1440.43
SEP-OCT08 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 (244.864) (16.999) 288.977 389.718
6 3
2867.63 1195.56
NOV-DEC08 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 (57.014) (4.768) 22.741 5.055
8 9
2837.23 1138.55
JAN-FEB09 221.212 7.796 60.789 (40.241) (3.534) 12.491 (27.556)
5 5
3058.44 1098.31
MAR-APR09 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 545.042 49.625 2462.673 1866.129
7 4
4208.55 1643.35
MAY-JUN09 243.365 5.782 33.438 74.891 4.557 20.768 26.352
7 6
4451.92 1718.24
JUL-AUG09 474.786 10.664 113.736 399.312 23.239 540.074 247.843
2 7
4926.70 2117.55
SEP-OCT09 101.715 2.064 4.262 143.85 6.793 46.147 14.024
8 9
5028.42 2261.40
NOV-DEC09 (34.585) (0.687) 0.4730 (210.501) (9.308) 86.646 6.402
3 9
4993.83 2050.90
JAN-FEB10
8 8

Total 14.401 2420.426 33.825 3785.634 2553.097

BETA =

Page 15 of 77
=

= 1.044655

Interpretation

From the above table 4.2, we got the beta value of SBIN compare with NIFTY value
as 1.044655. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile than the
market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can be made.

TABLE 3: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND ICICI BANK

Percentage
Square of Change in
Change Change in ICICI Change in Square of On Nifty
change in ICICI
Nifty2 in Nifty percentage BANK percentage change in And
percentag BANK
Date1 3 6 8=7/6*100 percentage 9 Icicibank
e5 7
4=3/2*100 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 845.321 (35.689) (4.221) 17.825 8.711
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 809.631 (163.255) (20.164) 406.591 203.660
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 646.376 (121.674) (18.824) 354.345 238.600
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 524.702 (124.928) (23.809) 566.883 545.840
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 399.774 6.861 1.716 2.945 (1.819)
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 406.635 (42.380) (10.422) 108.622 (81.259)
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 364.255 316.476 86.882 7548.654 3267.181
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 680.731 50.781 7.459 55.648 43.137
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 731.512 126.812 17.335 300.525 184.880
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 858.325 11.440 1.332 1.776 2.751
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 869.765 (29.640) (3.407) 11.613 2.343
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 840.125

Total 14.401 2420.426 33.878 9375.431 4414.028

BETA =

Page 16 of 77
=

= 1.819506

Interpretation

From the above table 4.3, we got the beta value of ICICIBANK compare with NIFTY
value as 1.819506. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile
than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can
be made.

TABLE 4: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND HDFC BANK

Percentage
Square of Square of
Change Change in Change in Change in On Nifty
change in HDFC change in
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage Hdfc Bankl percentage And
percentage BANK 6 percentage
3 7 8=7/6*100 Hdfcbank
5 9
4=3/2*100 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 1367.342 (74.586) (5.454) 29.755 11.255
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 1292.756 (167.073) (12.923) 167.024 130.532
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 1125.683 51.328 4.559 20.791 (57.795)
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 1177.011 (212.264) (18.034) 325.233 413.443
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 964.746 (35.555) (3.685) 13.582 3.907
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 929.191 35.571 3.828 14.655 29.847
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 964.762 421.385 43.677 1907.740 1642.472
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.7826 33.438 1386.148 52.161 3.763 14.160 21.760
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 1438.309 156.7 10.894 118.695 116.189
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 1595.009 133.531 8.371 70.087 17.284
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 1728.54 (66.118) (3.825) 14.631 2.630
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 1662.422

Total 14.401 2420.426 31.172 2696.355 2331.527

BETA =

Page 17 of 77
=

= 0.953841

Interpretation

From the above table 4.4, we got the beta value of HDFCBANK compare with
NIFTY value as 0.953841. From beta value one can identify that the investment is less
volatile than the market, because beta value is less than one.

TABLE 5: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND RELIANCE CAPITAL

Percentage
Square of Square of
Change Change in Change in Change in On Nifty
change in RELCAPI change in
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage Relcapital percentage And
percentage TAL 6 percentage
3 7 8=7/6*100 Relcapital
5 9
4=3/2*100 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 1325.996 (120.698) (9.102) 82.854 18.781
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 1205.298 11.662 0.967 0.936 (9.772)
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 1216.96 (209.706) (17.231) 296.940 218.420
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 1007.254 (476.501) (47.306) 2237.949 1084.536
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 530.752 (109.344) (20.601) 424.436 21.842
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 421.407 (18.745) (4.448) 19.787 (34.682)
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 402.662 441.886 109.741 12043.145 4126.752
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.7826 33.438 844.548 2.896 0.342 0.1176 1.983
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 847.445 48.017 5.666 32.104 60.427
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 895.462 (59.761) (6.673) 44.539 (13.778)
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 835.701 (21.649) (2.590) 6.711 1.781
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 814.051

Total 14.401 2420.426 8.762 15189.523 5476.292

BETA =

Page 18 of 77
=

= 2.275518

Interpretation

From the above table 4.5, we got the beta value of RELCAPITAL compare with
NIFTY value as 2.275518. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more
volatile than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high
investment can be made.

TABLE 6: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND IDFC

Square of Square of percentage


Change Change in Change Change in
change in change in on nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage IDFC 6 in IDFC percentage
percentage percentage and IDFC
3 7 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
4839.18 159.413
MAR-APR08 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 (15.071) (9.454) 89.387 19.507
6
4739.33 144.341
MAY-JUN08 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 (44.807) (31.042) 963.662 313.537
7
4260.65 99.533
JUL-AUG08 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 (28.620) (28.754) 826.814 364.470
7
3720.60 70.913
SEP-OCT08 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 (8.989) (12.676) 160.685 290.607
6
2867.63 61.924
NOV-DEC08 (30.403) (1.060) 1.1240 (4.162) (6.722) 45.190 7.127
8
2837.23 57.761
JAN-FEB09 221.212 7.796 60.789 1.956 3.386 11.467 26.402
5
3058.44 59.717
MAR-APR09 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 60.858 101.910 10385.851 3832.299
7
4208.55 120.576
MAY-JUN09 243.365 5.782 33.438 13.238 10.979 120.548 63.490
7
4451.92 133.814
JUL-AUG09 474.786 10.664 113.736 14.015 10.473 109.695 111.698
2
4926.70 147.83
SEP-OCT09 101.715 2.064 4.262 14.798 10.010 100.203 20.666
8
5028.42 162.628
NOV-DEC09 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 (9.258) (5.693) 32.412 3.915
3
4993.83 153.369
JAN-FEB10
8

Total 14.401 2420.426 42.417 12845.919 5053.723

Page 19 of 77
BETA =

= 2.081216

Interpretation

From the above table 4.6, we got the beta value of IDFC compare with NIFTY value
as 2.081216. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile than the
market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can be made.

TABLE 7: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND INFOSYSTCH

Square of Change Square of Percentage


Change Change in change in in Change in change in on Nifty
Date Nifty in Nifty percentage percentage INFOSYS Infosys percentage percentage and Infosys
1 2 3 4=3/2*100 5 TCH 6 7 8=7/6*100 9 10=4*8
4839.18
MAR-APR08 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 1498.262 353.973 23.625 558.167 (48.747)
6
4739.33
MAY-JUN08 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 1852.235 (190.119) (10.264) 105.355 103.671
7
4260.65
JUL-AUG08 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 1662.116 (195.649) (11.771) 138.558 149.202
7
3720.60
SEP-OCT08 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 1466.467 (273.018) (18.617) 346.607 426.813
6
2867.63
NOV-DEC08 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 1193.449 42.436 3.555 12.643 (3.769)
8
2837.23
JAN-FEB09 221.212 7.796 60.789 1235.885 102.027 8.255 68.151 64.365
5
3058.44
MAR-APR09 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 1337.912 321.075 23.998 575.914 902.437
7
4208.55
MAY-JUN09 243.365 5.782 33.438 1658.987 303.606 18.301 334.915 105.825
7
4451.92
JUL-AUG09 474.786 10.664 113.736 1962.593 289.14 14.732 217.048 157.118
2

Page 20 of 77
4926.70
SEP-OCT09 101.715 2.064 4.262 2251.733 163.008 7.239 52.406 14.945
8
5028.42
NOV-DEC09 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 2414.741 125.342 5.191 26.943 (3.570)
3
4993.83
JAN-FEB10 2540.083
8

Total 14.401 2420.426 64.245 2436.711 1868.292

BETA =

= 0.740425

Interpretation

From the above table 4.7, we got the beta value of INFOSYSTCH compare with
NIFTY value as 0.740425. From beta value one can identify that the investment is less
volatile than the market, because beta value is less than one.

TABLE 8: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND TCS

Page 21 of 77
Square of Square of Percentage
Change Change in Change in Change in
change in TCS change in on Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage TCS percentage
percentage 6 percentage and TCS
3 7 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 872.468 59.358 6.803 46.287 (14.037)
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 931.826 (107.035) (11.486) 131.943 116.017
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 824.791 (162.391) (19.688) 387.646 249.561
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 662.4 (152.047) (22.954) 526.886 526.232
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 510.352 (9.194) (1.801) 3.246 1.910
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 501.157 37.331 7.449 55.488 58.078
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 538.489 64.815 12.036 144.878 452.627
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 603.304 (123.327) (20.441) 417.874 (118.208)
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 479.977 111.304 23.189 537.7496 247.309
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 591.281 98.637 16.681 278.286 34.441
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 689.918 61.199 8.871 78.686 (6.101)
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 751.117

Total 14.401 2420.426 (1.342) 2608.975 1547.829

BETA =

= 0.645238

Interpretation

From the above table 4.8, we got the beta value of TCS compare with NIFTY value
as 0.645238. From beta value one can identify that the investment is less volatile than the
market, because beta value is less than one.

TABLE 9: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND WIPRO

Page 22 of 77
Square of Square of Percentage
Change Change in Change in Change in
change in WIPRO change in On Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage Wipro percentage
percentag 6 percentage And Wipro
3 7 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 e5 9 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 421.982 68.057 16.127 260.111 (33.277)
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 490.040 (70.484) (14.383) 206.881 145.274
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 419.555 (76.281) (18.181) 330.565 230.455
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 343.274 (101.535) (29.578) 874.895 678.105
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 241.738 (14.882) (6.156) 37.899 6.526
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 226.856 27.476 12.111 146.691 94.431
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 254.332 129.996 51.112 2612.509 1922.061
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 384.328 83.375 21.693 470.625 125.447
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 467.704 107.614 23.009 529.415 245.385
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 575.318 68.358 11.881 141.176 24.531
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 643.676 36.079 5.605 31.418 (3.855)
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 679.756

Total 14.401 2420.426 73.243 5642.193 3435.087

BETA =

= 1.390466

Interpretation

From the above table 4.9, we got the beta value of WIPRO compare with NIFTY
value as 1.044655. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile
than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can
be made.

TABLE 10: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND HCL

Page 23 of 77
Square of Square of Percentage
Change Change in Change in
change in HCLTE Change in change in on Nifty and
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage percentage
percentage CH 6 HCLTech 7 percentage HCLTech
3 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 260.463 29.533 11.338 128.565 (23.395)
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 289.996 (65.631) (22.631) 512.195 228.583
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 224.365 (23.896) (10.651) 113.441 135.003
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 200.468 (65.745) (32.795) 1075.565 751.860
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 134.723 (21.489) (15.951) 254.437 16.911
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 113.233 (2.469) (2.181) 4.757 (17.005)
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 110.763 62.427 56.360 3176.519 2119.406
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 173.190 64.927 37.489 1405.438 216.785
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 238.118 79.293 33.299 1108.882 355.134
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 317.411 21.649 6.821 46.522 14.081
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 339.061 20.345 6.001 36.006 (4.127)
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 359.406

Total 14.401 2420.426 67.098 7862.331 3793.238

BETA =

= 1.542903

Interpretation

From the above table 4.10, we got the beta value of HCL compare with NIFTY value
as 1.542903. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile than the
market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can be made.

TABLE11: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND L&T

Page 24 of 77
Square of Square of Percentage
Change Change in Change in
change in Change in change in on Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage L&T 6 percentage
percentage L&T 7 percentage and L&T
3 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 2900.214 (148.847) (5.132) 26.340 10.589
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 2751.367 (179.13) (6.510) 42.387 65.757
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 2572.237 (809.633) (31.475) 990.728 398.965
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 1762.604 (977.382) (55.451) 3074.817 1271.243
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 785.221 (96.646) (12.308) 151.490 13.049
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 688.575 24.832 3.606 13.005 28.117
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 713.408 624.116 87.483 7653.424 3289.775
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 1337.525 145.343 10.866 118.082 62.837
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 1482.868 144.826 9.766 95.386 104.158
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 1627.694 8.551 0.525 0.275 1.084
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 1636.245 (104.644) (6.395) 40.901 4.398
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 1531.601

Total 14.401 2420.426 (5.025) 12206.84 5249.978

BETA =

= 2.18874

Interpretation

From the above table 4.11, we got the beta value of L&T compare with NIFTY value
as 2.18874. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile than the
market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can be made.

TABLE 12: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND DLF

Page 25 of 77
Square of Square of Percentage
Change Change in Change in Change in
change in change in on Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage DLF 6 DLF percentage
percentage percentage and DLF
3 7 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 653.135 (94.498) (14.468) 209.337 29.853
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.013 558.636 (77.311) (13.839) 191.524 139.778
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 481.325 (119.725) (24.874) 618.722 315.287
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 361.6 (113.089) (31.274) 978.113 716.990
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 248.510 (67.142) (27.017) 729.969 28.644
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 181.367 9.480 5.227 27.324 40.756
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 190.848 140.437 73.585 5414.841 2767.141
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 331.285 31.413 9.482 89.912 54.832
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 362.698 61.308 16.903 285.726 180.271
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 424.007 (52.911) (12.478) 155.721 (25.763)
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 371.096 (34.548) (9.309) 86.675 6.403
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 336.547

Total 14.401 2420.426 (28.065) 8787.869 4254.195

BETA =

= 1.78672

Interpretation

From the above table 4.12, we got the beta value of DLF compare with NIFTY value
as 1.78672. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile than the
market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can be made.

TABLE 13: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND UNITECH

Page 26 of 77
Percentage
Square of Change Square of
Change Change in Change in On Nifty
change in UNITECH in change in
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage percentage And
percentage 6 Unitech percentage
3 8=7/6*100 Unitech
5 7 9
4=3/2*100 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 280.707 (46.327) (16.503) 272.374 34.052
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 234.380 (69.495) (29.651) 879.167 299.477
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 164.884 (55.399) (33.598) 1128.885 425.875
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.9250 525.579 109.485 (71.039) (64.884) 4210.021 1487.514
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 38.446 (6.484) (16.866) 284.486 17.882
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 31.961 3.941 12.330 152.052 96.141
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 35.902 38.669 107.707 11600.917 4050.275
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 74.572 10.513 14.098 198.772 81.527
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 85.086 18.519 21.766 473.761 232.129
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 103.606 (19.642) (18.959) 359.449 (39.142)
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 83.963 (6.559) (7.812) 61.033 5.373
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 77.403

Total 14.401 2420.426 (32.373) 19620.922 6691.107

BETA =

= 2.803783

Interpretation

From the above table 4.13, we got the beta value of UNITECH compare with NIFTY
value as 2.803783. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile
than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can
be made.

TABLE 14: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND JINDAL STEL

Page 27 of 77
Percentage
Square of Square of
Change Change in JINDAL Change in Change in On Nifty
change in change in
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage STEL Jindalstel percentage And
percentage percentage
3 6 7 8=7/6*100 Jindalstel
5 9
4=3/2*100 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 2038.058 137.616 6.752 45.593 (13.932)
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 2175.674 (266.743) (12.260) 150.313 123.830
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 1908.931 (704.103) (36.884) 1360.479 467.524
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 1204.828 (392.247) (32.556) 1059.911 746.369
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 812.5808 144.792 17.818 317.510 (18.891)
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 957.3731 305.335 31.893 1017.169 248.662
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 1262.709 869.414 68.853 4740.746 2589.177
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 2132.123 720.737 33.803 1142.691 195.474
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 2852.86 (1603.847) (56.218) 3160.566 (599.560)
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 1249.013 (546.571) (43.760) 1914.961 (90.345)
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 702.441 (48.156) (6.855) 46.999 4.715
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 654.284

Total 14.401 2420.426 (29.415) 14956.944 3653.023

BETA =

= 1.537131

Interpretation

From the above table 4.14, we got the beta value of JINDAL STEEL compare with
NIFTY value as 1.537131. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more
volatile than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high
investment can be made.

TABLE 15: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND STER

Page 28 of 77
Square of Square of Percentage
Change Change in Change in
change in Change in change in On Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage STER 6 percentage
percentage Sterlite 7 percentage And Sterlite
3 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 773.061 61.041 7.895 62.346 (16.292)
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 834.102 (209.111) (25.070) 628.5111 253.211
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 624.991 (223.439) (35.751) 1278.118 453.151
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 401.552 (148.857) (37.071) 1374.222 849.860
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 252.694 12.674 5.015 25.156 (5.317)
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 265.369 76.502 28.828 831.091 224.769
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 341.871 240.178 70.253 4935.621 2641.857
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 582.05 47.353 8.135 66.188 47.045
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 629.403 139.476 22.160 491.071 236.332
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 768.88 72.274 9.400 88.360 19.406
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 841.154 (36.088) (4.290) 18.406 2.951
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 805.066

Total 14.401 2420.426 49.508 9799.095 4706.977

BETA =

= 1.932968

Interpretation

From the above table 4.15, we got the beta value of STER compare with NIFTY
value as 1.932968. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile
than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can
be made.

TABLE 16: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND SAIL

Page 29 of 77
Square of Square of Percentage
Change Change in Change Change in
change in change in on Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage SAIL 6 in SAIL percentage
percentage percentage and SAIL
3 7 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
4839.18
MAR-APR08 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 188.381 (24.519) (13.015) 169.411 26.856
6
4739.33
MAY-JUN08 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 163.862 (23.823) (14.538) 211.380 146.845
7
4260.65
JUL-AUG08 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 140.038 (18.156) (12.965) 168.104 164.341
7
3720.60
SEP-OCT08 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 121.881 (47.091) (38.637) 1492.851 885.782
6
2867.63
NOV-DEC08 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 74.7897 6.115 8.176 66.859 (8.669)
8
2837.23
JAN-FEB09 221.212 7.796 60.789 80.905 15.417 19.056 363.157 148.580
5
3058.44
MAR-APR09 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 96.322 55.350 57.463 3302.087 2160.890
7
4208.55
MAY-JUN09 243.365 5.782 33.438 151.673 12.601 8.308 69.024 48.042
7
4451.92
JUL-AUG09 474.786 10.664 113.736 164.275 8.838 5.380 28.949 57.381
2
4926.70
SEP-OCT09 101.715 2.064 4.262 173.113 26.778 15.468 239.288 31.936
8
5028.42
NOV-DEC09 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 199.892 21.902 10.956 120.055 (7.536)
3
4993.83
JAN-FEB10 221.794
8

Total 14.401 2420.426 45.654 6231.17 3654.452

BETA =

= 1.496804

Interpretation

From the above table 4.16, we got the beta value of SAIL compare with NIFTY value
as 1.496804. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile than the
market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can be made.

Page 30 of 77
Square of Square of Percentage
Change Change in Change in
change in Change in change in on Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage M&M 6 percentage
percentage M&M 7 percentage and M&M
3 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 651.435 (43.323) (6.650) 44.228 13.722
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 608.112 (69.620) (11.448) 131.070 115.632
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 538.491 (48.667) (9.037) 81.681 114.556
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 489.824 (185.741) (37.919) 1437.921 869.333
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 304.083 (7.474) (2.457) 6.041 2.605
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 296.609 100.305 33.817 1143.626 263.666
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 396.914 260.683 65.677 4313.537 2469.762
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 657.598 131.623 20.015 400.633 115.744
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 789.222 93.569 11.855 140.563 126.440
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 882.792 147.966 16.7611 280.937 34.604
1030.75
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 32.854 3.187 10.159 (2.192)
9
1063.61
JAN-FEB10 4993.838
3

Total 14.401 2420.426 83.801 7990.401 4123.877

TABLE 17: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND M&M

BETA =

= 1.671474

Interpretation

From the above table 4.17, we got the beta value of M&M compare with NIFTY
value as 1.671474. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more volatile
than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high investment can
be made.

Page 31 of 77
TABLE 18: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND TATAMOTOR

Percentage
Square of
Change Change in Square of TATA Change in Change in On Nifty
change in
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage change in MOTOR Tatamotor percentage And
percentage
3 percentage 5 6 7 8=7/6*100 Tatamotor
9
4=3/2*100 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 643.157 (62.996) (9.794) 95.941 20.210
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 580.161 (162.907) (28.079) 788.469 283.609
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 417.253 (88.021) (21.095) 445.021 267.392
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 329.231 (174.798) (53.092) 2818.847 1217.180
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 154.433 (7.475) (4.841) 23.432 5.132
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 146.957 47.573 32.372 1047.957 252.397
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 194.531 131.250 67.470 4552.212 2537.171
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 325.781 57.695 17.710 313.644 102.410
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 383.477 182.259 47.527 2258.908 506.873
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 565.736 109.374 19.333 373.771 39.914
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 675.111 61.258 9.073 82.333 (6.241)
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 736.369

Total 14.401 2420.426 76.584 12800.539 5226.049

BETA =

2.134346

Interpretation

From the above table 4.18, we got the beta value of TATAMOTOR compare with
NIFTY value as 2.134346. From beta value one can identify that the investment is more
volatile than the market, because beta value is more than one. Based on this, high
investment can be made.

Page 32 of 77
TABLE 19: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND HERO HONDA

Percentage
Square of Change Square of
Change Change in HERO Change in On Nifty
change in in Hero change in
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage HONDA percentage And
percentage Honda percentage
3 6 8=7/6*100 Herohonda
5 7 9
4=3/2*100 10=4*8
MAR-APR08 4839.186 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 740.175 40.087 5.415 29.332 (11.174)
MAY-JUN08 4739.337 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 780.262 -26.372 (3.379) 11.424 34.138
JUL-AUG08 4260.657 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 753.889 73.339 9.728 94.637 (123.307)
SEP-OCT08 3720.606 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 827.229 -59.084 (7.142) 51.014 163.744
NOV-DEC08 2867.638 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 768.144 97.747 12.725 161.928 (13.491)
JAN-FEB09 2837.235 221.212 7.796 60.789 865.892 168.091 19.412 376.846 151.354
MAR-APR09 3058.447 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 1033.984 322.321 31.172 971.738 1172.231
MAY-JUN09 4208.557 243.365 5.782 33.438 1356.305 156.07 11.506 132.411 66.540
JUL-AUG09 4451.922 474.786 10.664 113.736 1512.375 111.41 7.366 54.266 78.562
SEP-OCT09 4926.708 101.715 2.064 4.262 1623.785 31.594 1.945 3.785 4.017
NOV-DEC09 5028.423 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 1655.379 -6.47 (0.391) 0.152 0.268
JAN-FEB10 4993.838 1648.909

Total 14.401 2420.426 88.361 1887.538 1522.883

BETA =

= 0.58595

Interpretation

From the above table 4.19, we got the beta value of HERO HONDA compare with
NIFTY value as 0.58595. From beta value one can identify that the investment is less
volatile than the market, because beta value is less than one.

Page 33 of 77
TABLE 20: COMPARE WITH NIFTY AND MARUTI

Square of Square of Percentage


Change Change in Change in Change in
change in MARUTI change in On Nifty
Date1 Nifty2 in Nifty percentage Maruti percentage
percentage 6 percentage And Maruti
3 7 8=7/6*100
4=3/2*100 5 9 10=4*8
4839.18
MAR-APR08 (99.849) (2.063) 4.257 803.161 (50.184) (6.248) 39.042 12.892
6
4739.33
MAY-JUN08 (478.68) (10.100) 102.012 752.975 (144.386) (19.175) 367.696 193.674
7
4260.65
JUL-AUG08 (540.051) (12.675) 160.663 608.589 59.719 9.812 96.288 (124.378)
7
3720.60
SEP-OCT08 (852.968) (22.925) 525.579 668.308 (138.898) (20.783) 431.955 476.473
6
2867.63
NOV-DEC08 (30.403) (1.060) 1.124 529.410 58.971 11.138 124.075 (11.809)
8
2837.23
JAN-FEB09 221.212 7.796 60.789 588.381 169.138 28.746 826.353 224.128
5
3058.44
MAR-APR09 1150.11 37.604 1414.089 757.518 233.461 30.819 949.820 1158.935
7
4208.55
MAY-JUN09 243.365 5.782 33.438 990.979 288.254 29.087 846.099 168.203
7
4451.92
JUL-AUG09 474.786 10.664 113.736 1279.234 258.407 20.200 408.045 215.429
2
4926.70
SEP-OCT09 101.715 2.064 4.262 1537.641 10.96 0.712 0.508 1.471
8
5028.42
NOV-DEC09 (34.585) (0.687) 0.473 1548.601 (144.498) (9.331) 87.065 6.417
3
4993.83
JAN-FEB10 1404.103
8

Total 14.401 2420.426 74.980 4176.951 2321.437

BETA =

= 0.925758

Interpretation

Page 34 of 77
From the above table 4.20, we got the beta value of MARUTI compare with NIFTY
value as 0.925758. From beta value one can identify that the investment is less volatile
than the market, because beta value is less than one.

Beta
Beta is sensitivity of security to the market movement of variance companies of
founded.
Beta
Company (β)
Herohonda 0.586
Tcs 0.645 If Beta < 1 than If Beta > 1 than
Infosys 0.74 Less volatile for the More
Maruti 0.926
volatile for the
Hdfc 0.954
Market movement Market movement

Beta
X (β)
Sbin 1.045
Wipro 1.39
Sail 1.496
Jindalsteel 1.537
Hcl 1.543
M&M 1.671
Dlf 1.787
Icici 1.82
Ster 1.932
Idfc 2.081
Tatamotor 2.134
Tatasteel 2.135
L&T 2.189
Relcapital 2.276
Unitech 2.804

Page 35 of 77
Chart-1
If Beta < 1 than, Less volatile for the Market movement

Chart-2
If Beta > 1 than, More volatile for the Market movement

Page 36 of 77
Beta (β) Sbin
Wipro
1.045 Sail
1.39 Jindalsteel
2.804
1.496 Hcl
2.276
1.537 M&M
Dlf
2.189 1.543 Icici

1.671 Ster
2.135 Idfc
1.787 Tatamotor
2.134
1.82 Tatasteel
2.081 1.932 L&T
Relcapital
Unitech

4.1.2 Measures of Systematic & Unsystematic Risk

Any rational investor, before investing his or her investable wealth in the stock,
analysis the risk associated with the particular stock. The actual return he receives from a
stock may vary from his expected in terms of return. The down side risk may be caused
by several factors, either common to all stocks or specific to a particular stock. Investor
in general would like to analyze the risk factor and a thorough knowledge of the risk
helps him to plan his portfolio in such a manner so as minimize the risk associated with
the investment.

Therefore, we can see there is some degree of risk involved in financial assets in the
sense that there is always a chance that the expected return from the asset will not
materialize. It is important to find out more about the “risks” involved in financial assets
in greater details. These risks, by their nature, can be divided into two main categories;
namely, systematic risk and unsystematic risk.

Page 37 of 77
Systematic Risk

Systematic risks affect almost all assets in the economy at least to some degree
while unsystematic risks usually affect a small number of assets. When we discuss the
principle of diversification at the bottom part of this article, you can see that highly
diversified portfolios will tend to have almost no unsystematic risk. Systematic Risks are
general market conditions that affect large number of assets (or companies), each to a
greater or lesser extent and are sometimes called market risks. Uncertainties about
general economic conditions such as GNP, interest rates, exchange rates, inflation or
unemployment levels are some of the examples of systematic risks.

Let us assume that there is an unanticipated increase in inflation which would affect
cost of supplies, wages, and the value of the raw materials and affect the prices of the
finished products leading to a fall in the real purchasing power of the individuals. Forces
such as these, which all companies are susceptible, are the essence of systematic risks.
You might wonder whether it is possible to avoid systematic risk. The answer is no
because these types of risks affect the whole economy and which would adversely affect
the values of the financial assets irrespective of the different types of assets in the
portfolio.

Systematic Risk = βi2 × σi2

 βi2 = beta

 σi2 = variance of index

Page 38 of 77
Unsystematic Risk

Unsystematic Risks is the risk that a borrower or an issuer of securities (such as


bonds) will default on the obligations to repay the principal and/or interest payments.
This type of risk affects a single asset or a small group of assets and they are unique to
individual companies or assets. The various types of unsystematic risks can be
subdivided into several categories depending on the root causes. Business Risk is where
the revenues of the company are insufficient to cover the fixed cost of the operations.

 Business Risk is where the revenues of the company are insufficient to cover the
fixed cost of the operations.

 Financial Risk occurs when the revenues are insufficient to cover fixed charges
such as interest rate payments on debt. High- geared companies (companies that
are more reliance on borrowed funds than equity) are more exposed to this type
of risk.
 Management Risk is where the managers of the company are unable to manage
the business at a profit may be due to inexperience or incompetence’s or where
there is evidence of organized fraud by the management.

Finally, there is Collateral Risk, which refers to the inadequacy of the claims
(security) that a lender may have on a borrower. In the case of a company going into
liquidation, an ordinary shareholder faces a much higher Collateral Risk than a secured
creditor. We can see from the above points that unsystematic risk does not depend on
economic activities and therefore it can be reduced and essentially eliminated by applying
a diversification strategy. This means, if you have a number of assets in your portfolio,
and as long as the unsystematic risk associated with these assets are not correlated (not

Page 39 of 77
moving in the same direction), the positive and negative events should largely cancel out
each other.

 Unsystematic Risk = Total variance of security return −


Systematic Risk

Systematic Risk vs. Unsystematic Risk

Systematic Risk

Systematic risk is the general ebb and flow of the market as a whole - or the
tendency for all stocks to increase or decrease in value at the same time with a certain
degree of positive correlation. For example, ‘Black Monday’ on October 19th, 1987 was
a Systematic event in that almost all stocks fell in value on that single day. Macro-
economic events and stimuli can be expected to have broad systematic effects on capital
markets - positive or negative - on an on-going basis such as interest rate levels, political
events, war, etc. It is important to note that systematic risk cannot be diversified away. In
other words, you could have a portfolio that is diversified with 1000 different stocks from
a given market and there will always be a base level of return variance (shown as the
asymptote in the figure below).

Page 40 of 77
Non-Systematic Risk

Non-Systematic risk is the element of price risk than can be largely eliminated
through sufficient diversification within a particular asset class. The best way to describe
it is to build an analogy. Let us assume you owned one stock - if that company went

Bankrupt you will have lost 100% of your portfolio. If you owned one hundred stocks,
and one company went bankrupt you would have lost 1% of your portfolio. Conversely,
what if that one company doubled in value? You either doubled your money or only
gained 1% if you held 1 stock or 100, respectively. Non-Systematic risk is the individual
business risk associated with the underlying stock - if this company goes bankrupt - this
is a non-systematic risk event and generally has very little to do with the general ebb and
flow of the overall markets.

Page 41 of 77
It is generally debated as to how many securities one needs to hold to eliminate
non-systematic risk. Research has shown that between thirty and forty securities are
enough to eliminate non-systematic risk.

A rational investor would be expected to take measures to eliminate non-systematic


risk from one’s portfolio by increasing the number of holdings within each distinct asset
class a task that is easily accomplished through asset class indexing products which may
routinely hold hundreds of asset class constituent.

Page 42 of 77
CALCULATION OF SYSTEMATIC &UNSYSTEMATIC RISK

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF TATASTEEL

Square
Nifty Variance Variance Square of
of
Date percentage from Tatasteel from variance
variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 16.325 12.997 168.922
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 -24.235 (27.563) 759.719
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 -36.965 (40.293) 1623.526
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 -51.487 (54.815) 3004.684
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 -1.266 (4.594) 21.105
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 10.281 6.953 48.344
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 78.607 75.279 5666.928
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 13.833 10.505 110.355
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 17.653 14.325 205.206
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 9.351 6.023 36.277
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 7.815 4.487 20.133
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 39.913 11665.198
AVG 1.309 3.628
S.D 218.316 1060.473

Beta = 2.135046

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (2.135046)2×218.316
= 995.176
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 1060.473-995.176
= 65.296
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 995.176+65.296
= 1060.473

Page 43 of 77
TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF SBIN

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from SBIN from
variance variance
average average

(14.755
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.263) 4.257 ) (17.574) 308.845
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.300) 102.010 (7.101) (9.920) 98.406
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.875) 160.656 6.078 3.259 10.621
(16.999
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.125) 525.556 ) (19.818) 392.753
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.260) 1.124 (4.768) (7.587) 57.563
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.596 60.778 (3.534) (6.353) 40.361
1414.06
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.404 1 49.625 46.806 2190.802
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.582 33.432 4.557 1.738 3.021
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.464 113.721 23.239 20.420 416.976
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.864 4.260 6.793 3.974 15.793
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.887) 0.472 (9.308) (12.127) 147.064
JAN-FEB10

2420.32
TOTAL 14.401 5 33.825 368.483
AVG 1.309 3.075
S.D 218.316 334.680

Beta = 1.045

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (1.045)2×218.316
= 238.249
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 334.745-238.249
= 96.431
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 96.431+96.431

Page 44 of 77
= 334.680

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF ICICI

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from icici from
variance variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 (4.221) (7.301) 53.305
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 (20.164) (23.244) 540.284
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 (18.824) (21.904) 479.785
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 (23.809) (26.889) 723.018
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 1.716 (1.364) 1.860
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 (10.422) (13.502) 182.304
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 86.882 83.802 7022.775
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 7.459 4.379 19.176
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 17.335 14.255 203.205
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 1.332 (1.748) 3.056
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (3.407) (6.487) 42.081
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 33.878 9270.849
AVG 1.309 3.080
S.D 218.316 842.804

Beta = 1.820

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (1.820)2×218.316
= 722.7574
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 842.804-722.7574
= 120.047
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 120.047+120.047
= 842.804

Page 45 of 77
TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF HDFC

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from Hdfc from
variance variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 -5.454 (8.288) 68.691
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 -12.923 (15.757) 248.283
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 4.559 1.725 2.976
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 -18.034 (20.868) 435.473
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 -3.685 (6.519) 42.497
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 3.828 0.994 0.988
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 43.677 40.843 1668.151
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 3.763 0.929 0.863
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 10.894 8.060 64.964
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 8.371 5.537 30.658
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 -3.825 (6.659) 44.342
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 31.172 2607.886
AVG 1.309 2.834
S.D 218.316 237.081

Beta = 0.954

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (0.954)2×218.316
= 198.6267
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 237.081-198.6267
= 38.454
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 198.6267+38.454
= 237.136

Page 46 of 77
TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF RELCAPITAL

Square
Nifty Variance Variance Square of
of
Date percentage from Relcapital from variance
variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 (9.102) (9.899) 97.990
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 0.967 0.170 0.029
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 (17.231) (18.028) 325.009
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 (47.306) (48.103) 2313.899
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 (20.601) (21.398) 457.874
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 (4.448) (5.245) 27.510
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 109.741 108.944 11868.795
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 0.342 (0.455) 0.207
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 5.666 4.869 23.707
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 (6.673) (7.470) 55.801
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (2.590) (3.387) 11.472
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 8.762 15182.293
AVG 1.309 0.797
S.D 218.316 1380.208

Beta = 2.276

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (2.276)2×218.316
= 1130.436
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 1380.208 -1130.435
= 249.772
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 1130.436+249.772
= 1380.208

Page 47 of 77
TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF IDFC

Square
Nifty Variance Variance Square of
of
Date percentage from IDFC from variance
variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 (9.454) (13.310) 177.156
(31.042
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (34.898) 1217.870
(28.754
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 ) (32.610) 1063.412
(12.676
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (16.532) 273.307
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 (6.722) (10.578) 111.894
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 3.386 (0.470) 0.221
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 101.910 98.054 9614.587
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 10.979 7.123 50.737
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 10.473 6.617 43.785
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 10.010 6.154 37.872
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (5.693) (9.549) 91.183
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 42.417 12682.024
AVG 1.309 3.856
S.D 218.316 1152.911

Beta = 2.081

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (2.081)2×218.316
= 945.627
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 1152.911-945.626
= 207.284
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk

Page 48 of 77
= 945.626+207.286
= 1152.911

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF INFOSYS

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from Infosys from
variance variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 23.625 17.785 316.306
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 (10.264) (16.104) 259.339
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 (11.771) (17.611) 310.147
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 (18.617) (24.457) 598.145
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 3.555 (2.285) 5.221
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 8.255 2.415 5.832
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 23.998 18.158 329.713
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 18.301 12.461 155.277
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 14.732 8.892 79.068
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 7.239 1.399 1.957
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 5.191 (0.649) 0.421
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 64.245 2061.426
AVG 1.309 5.840
S.D 218.316 187.402

Beta = 0.740

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (0.740)2×218.316
= 119.687
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 187.402-119.687
= 67.715
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 119.687+67.715
= 187.402
Page 49 of 77
TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF TCS

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from Tcs from
variance variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 6.803 6.925 47.956
(11.486
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (11.364) 129.140
(19.688
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 ) (19.566) 382.828
(22.954
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (22.832) 521.300
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 (1.801) (1.679) 2.819
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 7.449 7.571 57.320
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 12.036 12.158 147.817
(20.441
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 ) (20.319) 412.862
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 23.189 23.311 543.403
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 16.681 16.803 282.341
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 8.871 8.993 80.874
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 (1.342) 2608.660
AVG 1.309 (0.122)
S.D 218.316 237.151

Beta = 0.645

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (0.645)2×218.316
= 90.892
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 237.151-90.892

Page 50 of 77
= 146.259
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 90.892+146.259
= 237.151

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF WIPRO

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from wipro from
variance variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 16.127 9.469 89.662
(14.383
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (21.041) 442.724
(18.181
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 ) (24.839) 616.976
(29.578
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (36.236) 1313.048
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 (6.156) (12.814) 164.199
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 12.111 5.453 29.735
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 51.112 44.454 1976.158
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 21.693 15.035 226.051
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 23.009 16.351 267.355
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 11.881 5.223 27.280
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 5.605 (1.053) 1.109
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 73.243 5154.296
AVG 1.309 6.658
S.D 218.316 468.572

Beta = 1.390

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (1.390)2×218.316

Page 51 of 77
= 422.091
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 468.572- 422.091
= 46.481
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 422.091+46.481
= 468.572

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF HCLTECH

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from Hcltech from
variance variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 11.338 5.238 27.437
(22.631
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (28.731) 825.470
(10.651
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 ) (16.751) 280.596
(32.795
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (38.895) 1512.821
(15.951
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 ) (22.051) 486.247
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 (2.181) (8.281) 68.575
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 56.360 50.260 2526.068
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 37.489 31.389 985.269
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 33.299 27.199 739.786
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 6.821 0.721 0.520
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 6.001 (0.099) 0.010
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 67.098 7452.798
AVG 1.309 6.100
S.D 218.316 677.527

Beta = 1.543

Page 52 of 77
Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index
= (1.543)2×218.316
= 519.712
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 677.527-519.712
= 157.815
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 519.712+157.815
= 677.527

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF L&T

Square
Nifty Variance Variance Square of
of
Date percentage from L&T from variance
variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 (5.132) (5.589) 31.237
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 (6.510) (6.967) 48.539
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 (31.475) (31.932) 1019.653
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 (55.451) (55.908) 3125.704
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 (12.308) (12.765) 162.945
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 3.606 3.149 9.916
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 87.483 87.026 7573.525
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 10.866 10.409 108.347
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 9.766 9.309 86.657
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 0.525 0.068 0.005
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (6.395) (6.852) 46.950
JAN-FEB10

2401.47 (5.025
TOTAL 14.401 3 ) 12213.478
(0.457
AVG 1.309 )
S.D 218.316 1110.316

Page 53 of 77
Beta = 2.189

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (2.189)2× 218.316
= 1045.861
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 1110.316-1045.861
= 64.455
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 1045.861+64.455
= 1110.316

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF DLF

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from DLF from
variance variance
average average
(14.468
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 ) (11.917) 142.015
(13.839
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (11.288) 127.419
(24.874
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 ) (22.323) 498.316
(31.274
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (28.723) 825.011
(27.017
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 ) (24.466) 598.585
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 5.227 7.778 60.497
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 73.585 76.136 5796.690
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 9.482 12.033 144.793
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 16.903 19.454 378.458
(12.478
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 ) (9.927) 98.545
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (9.309) (6.758) 45.671
JAN-FEB10

Page 54 of 77
2401.47 (28.065
TOTAL 14.401 3 ) 8716.001
AVG 1.309 (2.551)
S.D 218.316 792.364

Beta = 1.787

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (1.787)2× 218.316
= 696.9451
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 792.364-696.945
= 95.419
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 696.9451+95.419
= 792.364

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF UNITECH

Square
Nifty Variance Variance Square of
of
Date percentage from Unitech from variance
variance
average average
(16.503
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 ) (13.560) 183.874
(29.651
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (26.708) 713.317
(33.598
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 ) (30.655) 939.729
(64.884
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (61.941) 3836.687
(16.866
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 ) (13.923) 193.850
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 12.330 15.273 233.265
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 107.707 110.650 12243.423
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 14.098 17.041 290.396

Page 55 of 77
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 21.766 24.709 610.535
(18.959
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 ) (16.016) 256.512
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (7.812) (4.869) 23.707
JAN-FEB10

2401.47 (32.373
TOTAL 14.401 3 ) 19525.294
AVG 1.309 (2.943)
S.D 218.316 1775.027

Beta = 2.804

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (2.804)2× 218.316
= 1716.226
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 1775.027-1716.226
= 58.801
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 1716.226+58.801
= 1775.027

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF JINDALSTEEL

Square
Nifty Variance Variance Square of
of
Date percentage from Jindalsteel from variance
variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 6.752 9.426 88.849
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 (12.260) (9.586) 91.891
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 (36.884) (34.210) 1170.324
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 (32.556) (29.882) 892.934
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 17.818 20.492 419.922
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 31.893 34.567 1194.877
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 68.853 71.527 5116.112

Page 56 of 77
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 33.803 36.477 1330.572
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 (56.218) (53.544) 2866.960
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 (43.760) (41.086) 1688.059
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (6.855) (4.181) 17.481
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 (29.415) 14877.982
AVG 1.309 (2.674)
S.D 218.316 1352.544

Beta = 1.537

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (1.537)2× 218.316
= 515.8309
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 1352.544-515.8309
= 836.713
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 515.8309+836.713
= 1352.544

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF STER

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from Ster from
variance variance
average average
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 7.895 3.394 11.519
(25.070
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (29.571) 874.444
(35.751
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 ) (40.252) 1620.224
(37.071
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (41.572) 1728.231
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 5.015 0.514 0.264

Page 57 of 77
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 28.828 24.327 591.803
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 70.253 65.752 4323.326
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 8.135 3.634 13.206
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 22.160 17.659 311.840
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 9.400 4.899 24.000
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (4.290) (8.791) 77.282
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 49.508 9576.139
AVG 1.309 4.501
S.D 218.316 870.558

Beta = 1.932

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (1.932)2× 218.316
= 814.8915
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 870.558-814.8915
= 55.667
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 814.8915+55.667
= 870.558

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF SAIL

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from Sail from
variance variance
average average
(13.015
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 ) (17.165) 294.637
(14.538
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (18.688) 349.241
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 (12.965 (17.115) 292.923

Page 58 of 77
)
(38.637
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (42.787) 1830.727
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 8.176 4.026 16.209
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 19.056 14.906 222.189
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 57.463 53.313 2842.276
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 8.308 4.158 17.289
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 5.380 1.230 1.513
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 15.468 11.318 128.097
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 10.956 6.806 46.322
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 45.654 6041.423
AVG 1.309 4.150
S.D 218.316 549.220

Beta = 1.496

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (1.496)2× 218.316
= 488.594
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 549.220-488.594
= 60.626
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 488.594+60.626
= 549.220

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF M&M

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of of
Date percentage from M&M from
variance variance
average average

MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 (6.650) (14.268) 203.576

Page 59 of 77
(11.448
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 ) (19.066) 363.512
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 (9.037) (16.655) 277.389
(37.919
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 ) (45.537) 2073.618
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 (2.457) (10.075) 101.506
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 33.817 26.199 686.388
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 65.677 58.059 3370.847
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 20.015 12.397 153.686
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 11.855 4.237 17.952
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 16.761 9.143 83.596
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 3.187 (4.431) 19.634
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 83.801 7351.704
AVG 1.309 7.618
S.D 218.316 668.337

Beta = 1.671

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (1.671)2× 218.316
= 609.936
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 668.337-609.936
= 58.400
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 609.936+58.400
= 668.337

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF TATAMOTOR

Square
Nifty Variance Variance Square of
of
Date percentage from Tatamotor from variance
variance
average average

Page 60 of 77
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 (9.794) (16.756) 280.764
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 (28.079) (35.041) 1227.872
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 (21.095) (28.057) 787.195
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 (53.092) (60.054) 3606.483
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 (4.841) (11.803) 139.311
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 32.372 25.410 645.668
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 67.470 60.508 3661.218
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 17.710 10.748 115.520
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 47.527 40.565 1645.519
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 19.333 12.371 153.042
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 9.073 2.111 4.456
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 76.584 12267.047
AVG 1.309 6.962
S.D 218.316 1115.186

Beta = 2.134

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (2.134)2× 218.316
= 994.5239
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 1115.186-994.5239
= 120.662
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 994.5239+120.662
= 1115.186

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF HERO HONDA

Square Square
Nifty Variance Variance
of Hero of
Date percentage from from
variance Honda variance
average average

Page 61 of 77
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 5.415 (2.617) 6.849
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 (3.379) (11.411) 130.211
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 9.728 1.696 2.876
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 (7.142) (15.174) 230.250
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 12.725 4.693 22.024
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 19.412 11.380 129.504
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 31.172 23.140 535.460
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 11.506 3.474 12.069
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 7.366 (0.666) 0.444
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 1.945 (6.087) 37.052
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (0.391) (8.423) 70.947
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 88.357 1177.685
AVG 1.309 8.032
S.D 218.316 107.062

Beta = 0.586

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (0.586)2× 218.316
= 74.956
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 107.062-74.956

= 32.106
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 74.956+32.106
= 107.062

TABLE 21: SYSTEMATIC & UNSYSTEMATIC RISK OF MARUTHI

Date Nifty Variance Square Maruti Variance Square


percentage from of from of
average variance average variance

Page 62 of 77
MAR-APR08 (2.063) (3.372) 11.370 (6.248) (13.064) 170.668
MAY-JUN08 (10.100) (11.409) 130.165 (19.175) (25.991) 675.532
JUL-AUG08 (12.675) (13.984) 195.552 9.812 2.996 8.976
SEP-OCT08 (22.925) (24.234) 587.287 (20.783) (27.599) 761.705
NOV-DEC08 (1.060) (2.369) 5.612 11.138 4.322 18.680
JAN-FEB09 7.796 6.487 42.081 28.746 21.930 480.925
1317.32
MAR-APR09 37.604 36.295 7 30.819 24.003 576.144
MAY-JUN09 5.782 4.473 20.008 29.087 22.271 495.997
JUL-AUG09 10.664 9.355 87.516 20.200 13.384 179.131
SEP-OCT09 2.064 0.755 0.570 0.712 (6.104) 37.259
NOV-DEC09 (0.687) (1.996) 3.984 (9.331) (16.147) 260.726
JAN-FEB10

2401.47
TOTAL 14.401 3 74.980 3665.743
AVG 1.309 6.816
S.D 218.316 333.249

Beta = 0.926

Systematic risk = β2×variance of market index


= (0.926)2× 218.316
= 187.1029
Unsystematic risk = (Total variance of security return)-(systematic risk)
= 333.249-187.1029
= 146.146
Total risk = Systematic risk + Unsystematic risk
= 187.1029+146.146
= 333.249

Systematic & Unsystematic Risk

Page 63 of 77
Company Systematic Unsystematic
Risk risk
(σei2)
Hero Honda 74.956 32.106
Hdfc 198.627 38.454
Wipro 422.091 46.481
Ster 814.892 55.667
M&M 609.936 58.400
Unitech 1716.226 58.801
Sail 488.594 60.626
L&T 1045.861 64.455
Tatasteel 995.176 65.296
Infosys 116.687 67.715
Dlf 696.945 95.419
Sbin 238.249 96.431
Icici 722.757 120.047
Tatamotor 994.524 120.662
Maruti 187.103 146.146
Tcs 90.892 146.259
Hcl 519.712 157.815
Idfc 945.627 207.284
Relcapital 1130.436 249.772
Jindalstee 515.831 836.713

Chart3

Page 64 of 77
4.1.3 Constructing an optimal portfolio - Methodology and analysis

Page 65 of 77
Nifty 50 scrips have been taken as the market index and monthly index figures for
the Period of Mar 1, 2008 to February 28, 2010 have been obtained from
www.nseindia.com. Risk free return has been taken to be the treasure bill rate at 4.5%
p.a. Monthly returns of 20 stocks from Mar 1, 2008 to February 28, 2010 have been taken
from www.nseindia.com. Only those stocks with returns greater than the risk free rate of
return and with positive beta have been selected. The expected return, variance,
correlation with the market, unsystematic risk, the intercept and the beta for all the 20
stocks have been calculated below:

Unsystemati Excess return


Mean return Excess return Beta to beta
c risk
Company (Ri) (Ri-Rf) (β)
(σei2)
Hero Honda 8.032 3.532 0.586 32.106 6.028
Maruti 6.816 2.316 0.926 146.146 2.501
M&M 7.618 3.118 1.671 58.400 1.866
Infosys 5.840 1.340 0.740 67.715 1.811
Wipro 6.658 2.158 1.390 46.481 1.553
Tatamotor 6.962 2.462 2.134 120.662 1.154
Hcl 6.100 1.600 1.543 157.815 1.037
Ster 4.501 0.001 1.932 55.667 0.000
Sail 4.150 (0.350) 1.496 60.626 (0.234)
Idfc 3.856 (0.644) 2.081 207.284 (0.309)
Tatasteel 3.628 (0.872) 2.135 65.296 (0.408)
Icici 3.080 (1.420) 1.820 120.047 (0.780)
Sbin 3.075 (1.425) 1.045 96.431 (1.364)
Relcapital 0.797 (3.703) 2.276 249.772 (1.627)
Hdfc 2.834 (1.666) 0.954 38.454 (1.747)
L&T (0.457) (4.957) 2.189 64.455 (2.264)
Unitech (2.943) (7.443) 2.804 58.801 (2.654)
Dlf (2.551) (7.051) 1.787 95.419 (3.946)
Jindalstee (2.674) (7.174) 1.537 836.713 (4.668)
Tcs (0.122) (4.622) 0.645 146.259 (7.166)

From the above table it can be seen that a few stocks gave negative returns. This
could be due to a host of reasons including bear hammering in a sluggish secondary
market. As the criteria for selection mentioned above ignores stocks with negative
returns, stocks with negative returns have been ignored. The Sharpe model will

Page 66 of 77
automatically exclude such stocks as its ranking is based on excess returns (returns
greater than risk free rate of return). As can be seen from the above table, nine of the
twenty stocks have expected returns higher than the risk free rate of return. For
determining which of these stocks will be included in the optimal portfolio it is necessary
to rank the stocks from highest to lowest based on excess return to beta ratio. (Table 1)
The next step is to determine the stocks for which the excess return to beta ratio is higher
than a particular unique cutoff point C*. The value of the cutoff rate C* is given by:

Ci =

σei2 = unsystematic risk

σm2 = variance in the market index

Ri = expected return on stock i

RF = return on risk less asset

βI = expected change in the rate of return on stock i associated


with a 1% change in the market return.

Table1

Ranking of stocks based on Excess Return to Beta (Ri-Rf)/β


Risk Free Return Rf = treasury bill = 4.5% p.a.
Page 67 of 77
Unsystematic Excess return
Mean return Excess return Beta to beta
risk
Company (Ri) (Ri-Rf) (β)
(σei2)
Hero Honda 8.032 3.532 0.586 32.106 6.028
Maruti 6.816 2.316 0.926 146.146 2.501
M&M 7.618 3.118 1.671 58.400 1.866
Infosys 5.840 1.340 0.740 67.715 1.811
Wipro 6.658 2.158 1.390 46.481 1.553
Tatamotor 6.962 2.462 2.134 120.662 1.154
Hcl 6.100 1.600 1.543 157.815 1.037
Ster 4.501 0.001 1.932 55.667 0.000

Table2
Calculations for determining cut off rate

Company Ci

Hero Honda 0.064 0.064 0.011 0.011 0.582


Maruti 0.015 0.079 0.006 0.017 0.679
M&M 0.089 0.168 0.048 0.064 1.024
Infosys 0.015 0.183 0.008 0.072 1.061
Wipro 0.065 0.248 0.042 0.114 1.157
Tatamotor 0.044 0.292 0.038 0.152 1.156
Hcl 0.016 0.308 0.015 0.167 1.150
Ster 0.000 0.308 0.067 0.234 0.919

From above the table - 2 it can be seen that the first eight securities have C values
exceeding the corresponding (Ri – Rf)/β value. The cutoff rate C* is C5 or 1.157 and
only the top eight securities make it to the optimal portfolio.

Page 68 of 77
Chart4
Cut-off rate

Ci

1.4
1.2
1
Cut-off value

0.8
Ci
0.6
0.4
0.2
0

er
i

o
&M

Hc
s
ut

or
a

ipr
sy

St
nd

ar

ot
M

fo

W
M

m
Ho

In

ta
ro

Ta
He

Co m p a nie s

Construction of the optimal portfolio

Once the composition of the optimal portfolio is known, the next step is to calculate
the percentage to be invested in each security which is given by:

Page 69 of 77
Xi =

Zi =

The second expression determines the relative investment in each security, and the
first expression simply scales the weights on each security so that they sum to 1. The
residual variance σei2 plays an important role in determining how much to invest in each
security.

Table3

Optimal Portfolio
Zi = βi/σei2[(Ri-Rf)/β-
Company Ci
c*]

Hero
6.028 0.582 0.089 64.896
Honda
Maruti 2.501 0.679 0.009 6.218
M&M 1.866 1.024 0.020 14.810
Infosys 1.811 1.061 0.007 5.220
Wipro 1.553 1.157 0.012 8.641

Total 0.137 100

Table 4

Expected return on Portfolio


Invested
Expected in %
Company ret(E) (W) EW
Hero 8.032 0.649 5.212

Page 70 of 77
Honda
Maruti 6.816 0.062 0.424
M&M 7.618 0.148 1.128
Infosys 5.840 0.052 0.305
Wipro 6.658 0.086 0.575

Expected
return on
portfolio 7.645

The expected return on the portfolio is the sum of the expected returns of the
individual stocks which works out to7.645 The portfolio return is higher than the
expected returns of the individual stocks in the portfolio with the exception of Hero
Honda.

Chart5

Page 71 of 77
CHAPTER5

Page 72 of 77
5.1 FINDING OF THE STUDY
 Beta
Beta is sensitivity of security to the market movement of variance
companies of founded.

If Beta < 1 than If Beta > 1 than


Less volatile for the market movement More volatile for the Market movement

Beta
Company (β)
Sbin 1.045
Beta Wipro 1.39
Company (β) Sail 1.496
Herohonda 0.586 Jindalsteel 1.537
Tcs 0.645 Hcl 1.543
Infosys 0.74 M&M 1.671
Maruti 0.926 Dlf 1.787
Hdfc 0.954 Icici 1.82
Ster 1.932
Idfc 2.081
Tatamotor 2.134
Tatasteel 2.135
L&T 2.189
Relcapital 2.276
Unitech 2.804

Systematic & Unsystematic Risk

Page 73 of 77
Company Systematic Unsystematic
Risk risk
(σei2)
Hero Honda 74.956 32.106
Hdfc 198.627 38.454
Wipro 422.091 46.481
Ster 814.892 55.667
M&M 609.936 58.400
Unitech 1716.226 58.801
Sail 488.594 60.626
L&T 1045.861 64.455
Tatasteel 995.176 65.296
Infosys 116.687 67.715
Dlf 696.945 95.419
Sbin 238.249 96.431
Icici 722.757 120.047
Tatamotor 994.524 120.662
Maruti 187.103 146.146
Tcs 90.892 146.259
Hcl 519.712 157.815
Idfc 945.627 207.284
Relcapital 1130.436 249.772
Jindalstee 515.831 836.713

Optimal Portfolio

Page 74 of 77
From above the table - 2 it can be seen that the first eight securities have C values
exceeding the corresponding (Ri – Rf)/β value. The cutoff rate C* is C5 or 1.157 and
only the top eight securities make it to the optimal portfolio.

Optimal Portfolio
Zi = βi/σei2[(Ri-Rf)/β-
Company Ci
c*]

Hero Honda 6.028 0.582 0.089 64.896


Maruti 2.501 0.679 0.009 6.218
M&M 1.866 1.024 0.020 14.810
Infosys 1.811 1.061 0.007 5.220
Wipro 1.553 1.157 0.012 8.641

Total 0.137 100

The optimum portfolio can be broken down into two parts viz the stocks that it
comprises and the percentage of funds that go to acquire such stocks. The composition of
the optimum portfolio would be:

 64.896% of funds invested in Hero Honda stock

 5.220% of funds invested in Infosys stock

 6.218% of funds invested in Maruti stock

 8.641% of funds invested in Wipro stock

 14.810% of funds invested in M&M stock

Suggestions:

Page 75 of 77
When beta value of a company stays more than one, it is the better option to
invest high level in Indian stock market.

When beta value of a company stays less than one, it is the low option to invest in
Indian stock market.

When systematic risk and unsystematic risk value minimum value companies to
invest the better in Indian stock market.

The cut-off rate value minimum risk and maximum return of company is best
invests in Indian stock market.

Investment of the company where there is minimum risk maximum return of our
share value. For example, from the study we can invest in companies i.e., out of 100
percentage to distributed for investments in following companies.

 64.896% of funds invested in Hero Honda stock

 5.220% of funds invested in Infosys stock

 6.218% of funds invested in Maruti stock

 8.641% of funds invested in Wipro stock

 14.810% of funds invested in M&M stock

Page 76 of 77
Conclusion:

Stock market more contemporary, but the use of scientific tool will rationalize to
the investment approach. But past performance would not be certain for the future
investment as it is only an indicative.

To conclude out of the different company variables taken for the study, that no
single variable has significantly influenced the company of the selected industries.

Therefore study reveals that different variables assumed significant in different


years depending upon in the stock market conditions.

Finally the investors should kindly watch the situation like market price,
economy, company progress, etc… and according to that they should take decisions
whether to buy or sell securities. Hence investing in shares especially the secondary
market becomes a very rich experience.

Page 77 of 77

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen