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GF EC-058B East Tower, PSE Center, Exchange Road, Ortigas Center, Pasig City, PHILIPPINES 1605 (632)687-5071 (trunk)
MARKET NOTES_Week 20_TD95_May 17, 2011_Tuesday
source: www.pse.com.ph
EARNINGS:
The share price action apparently reflects the “poor” operating results for the
first quarter results. Volume today grew almost 8.5x the prior day's total,
although price was left unchanged. It is trading below all Exponential Moving
Averages (EMAs) magnifying the weakness. All other followed technical
indications are not encouraging, pointed as they are downwards. SELL ON
STRENGTH
Today's volume spike, which nevertheless left the share price unchanged at
php3.30, may present some momentum driven trades over the short term.
Volume movement draws a bias for accumulation although the rest of the
indicators considered show a neutral, sideways movement on a very narrow
range. STO(14,3,3) however, raises the possibility of a downside as it breaks
under the trigger line. Such a slump however may be limited given the present
level of the said indicator at slightly above the bullish 50-mark. As mentioned,
there is not enough range being presented by the stock and quick term trades
may be limited. Immediate resistance at php3.50, coinciding with the 50pd
EMA. MOMENTUM (TRADING) BUY
AGI's price movement has, on the whole or year-to-date, drawn a very slight,
almost indiscernible negative bias. Again, this is limited to the price
movement, without regard, yet, to the underlying, and more important,
suggestions of the indicators. The observed bias of the price is supported by
(or maybe results from) the almost flat direction of the Accumulation-
Distribution Line, positing that investors have taken a more conservative
stance on the issue, despite the promising forward fundamental prospects,
itsDISCLAIMER: THE MATERIAL CONTAINED IN THIS PUBLICATION IS FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. IT IS NOT TO BE REPRODUCED OR COPIED OR MADE
AVAILABLE TO OTHERS. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES IS IT TO BE CONSIDERED AS AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY. WHILE THE
INFORMATION HEREIN IS FROM SOURCES WE BELIEVE RELIABLE, WE DO NOT REPRESENT THAT IT IS ACCURATE OR CO MPLETE AND IT SHOULD NOT BE RELIED UPON
AS SUCH. IN ADDITION, WE SHALL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR AMENDING, CORRECTING OR UPDATING ANY INFORMATION OR OPINIONS CONTAINED HEREIN. SOME OF
THE VIEWS EXPRESSED IN THIS REPORT ARE NOT NECESSARILY OPINIONS OF ACCORD CAPITAL EQUITIES CORPORATION ON THE CREDIT-WORTHINESS OR
INVESTMENT PROFILE OF THE COMPANY OR THE INDUSTRIES MENTIONED.
DAILY Report Page 1 of 2
ACCORD CAPITAL EQUITIES CORPORATION
GF EC-058B East Tower, PSE Center, Exchange Road, Ortigas Center, Pasig City, PHILIPPINES 1605 (632)687-5071 (trunk)
MARKET NOTES_Week 20_TD95_May 17, 2011_Tuesday
source: www.pse.com.ph
driven by its foray into the gaming and tourism businesses. On a positive note, both the MACD (12,29,6) and STO(14,3,3) lend additional validity to the gradual build-
up of momentum as shown by the rising RSI(14) line. The issue presents more of a buy on the back of improving fundamentals even as the technical signals
suggests a bit of patience in terms of pricing one's entry. At today's closing price of php11.56, immediate support is at the php11.00-php11.30 range with an initial
resistance at php11.75 to php12.00 mark, leaving investors little margins for a quick pop. LONG-TERM BUY.
All technical indicators point to a BUY on the issue even as it has already risen
by an aggregate of php1.00 or 43.5% since resting at a bottom of php2.30 in
late February to today's close at php3.30. It has recently passed the final
recovery line at php3.15, opening up the possibility of a full restoration of the
php3.60-3.68 range. Support currently at the php3.15-3.20 range. BUY.
CORPORATE DEVELOPMENTS:
Last month, RLC completed its 1-for-2 Stock Rights Offering for 1,364,610,228
common shares which was priced at php10.00 a piece. The listing date for the
SRO shares, originally scheduled for May 18, Wednesday, was moved to
Friday, May 20. (reference: PSE Memorandum No. 2011-0201)
Further, last May 11, 2011, the Board of Directors of the Company declared a
php0.36 per share cash dividends to shareholders as of record date May 31,
2011 (ex-date May 26) and payable on June 27, 2011.
RLC share price has gradually risen in the last six (6) sessions off an intra-day low of php12.10 last May 9 to close at an interim intraday peak of php12.98 today. It
has generally traded within the php12.00-php12.50 on the low side and php13.40-php14.00 on the high side for much of the last four months. Price momentum is
building up, with the 10pdEMA seemingly poised to break above the 50pdEMA, with an initial price target of between php13.75 and php14.00. (+5.9% to +7.86%
gross margin.) Volume turnover has been basically steady averaging over half million shares in the last three days with share price rising php0.06 or 0.47%. On a
positive note, the volume bias is practically neutral, drawing an accumulation phase. The underlying technical measures posits possible flat or upward bias moving
forward. RSI(14) has crossed over the 50-line, while both MACD(12,26,9) and STO(14,3,3) show a build-up of bullish momentum. BUY.
itsDISCLAIMER: THE MATERIAL CONTAINED IN THIS PUBLICATION IS FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. IT IS NOT TO BE REPRODUCED OR COPIED OR MADE
AVAILABLE TO OTHERS. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES IS IT TO BE CONSIDERED AS AN OFFER TO SELL OR A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY SECURITY. WHILE THE
INFORMATION HEREIN IS FROM SOURCES WE BELIEVE RELIABLE, WE DO NOT REPRESENT THAT IT IS ACCURATE OR CO MPLETE AND IT SHOULD NOT BE RELIED UPON
AS SUCH. IN ADDITION, WE SHALL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR AMENDING, CORRECTING OR UPDATING ANY INFORMATION OR OPINIONS CONTAINED HEREIN. SOME OF
THE VIEWS EXPRESSED IN THIS REPORT ARE NOT NECESSARILY OPINIONS OF ACCORD CAPITAL EQUITIES CORPORATION ON THE CREDIT-WORTHINESS OR
INVESTMENT PROFILE OF THE COMPANY OR THE INDUSTRIES MENTIONED.
DAILY Report Page 2 of 2