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One of the oldest stock markets in Asia, the Indian Stock Markets
have a 200 years old history.
18th East India Company was the dominant institution and by end of
the century, busuness in its loan securities gained full
Century
momentum.
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broader.
1860-61 The American Civil War broke out which caused a stoppage of
cotton supply from United States of America; marking the
beginning of the "Share Mania" in India.
1865 A disastrous slump began at the end of the American Civil War
(as an example, Bank of Bombay Share which had touched Rs.
2850 could only be sold at Rs. 87).
1875 "The Native Share and Stock Brokers' Association" (also known
as "The Bombay Stock Exchange") was established in Bombay.
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Exchange" was transacted with 100 brokers.
1936 Merger of the Lahoe Stock Exchange with the Punjab Stock
Exchange.
1947 "Delhi Stock and Share Brokers' Association Limited" and "The
Delhi Stocks and Shares Exchange Limited" were established
and later on merged into "The Delhi Stock Exchange
Association Limited"
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At present, there are twenty one recognized stock exchanges in
India which does not include the Over The Counter Exchange of India
Limited (OTCEI) and the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSEIL).
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others.
NSE provides exposure to investors in two types of markets, namely:
Trading at NSE
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Playing a key role in promoting and sustaining development in the
vital field of medicines, Indian Pharma Industry boasts of quality producers
and many units approved by regulatory authorities in USA and UK.
International companies associated with this sector have stimulated,
assisted and spearheaded this dynamic development in the past 53 years
and helped to put India on the pharmaceutical map of the world.
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market has the further potential to reach US$ 70 billion by 2020
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1.2 COMPANY PROFILE
ANGEL PRESENCE :
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MANAGEMENT TEAM :
NAME DESIGNATION AND DEPARTMENT
MILESTONES :
• Awarded with 'Broking House with Largest Distribution Network' and
'Best Retail Broking House' at Dun & Bred street Equity Broking
Awards 2009
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ANGEL’S LOGO :
Angel Business
Clients Associates
Angel
Clients
ANGEL’S VISION :
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“ To provide best values for money to investors through innovative
products, trading, investment strategies, state-of-the-art technology and
personalized service”.
3. DP Services
5. Insurance
6. IPO Advisory
7. Mutual Fund
Online- Trading
Specially designed for the net savvy traders and investors who
prefer operating from their home or office through the internet. The
investor can access state of the art Technology with three different e-
broking products and voila trading on BSE, NSE, F & O, MCX and
NCDEX.
ANGEL DIET
• Application based product for Traders.
• Application based ideal for traders.
• Multiple exchanges on single screen
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• Online fund transfer facility
• User friendly & simple navigation
• BSC, NSC, F&O, MCX & NCDEX
ANGEL ANYWHERE
• Application based product for Traders with Charts.
• Application-based platform for day traders
• Intra-day/historical charts with various indicators
• Online fund transfer facility
• BSC, NSC, Cash & Derivatives
ANGELTRADE
• Browser based product for Active Investors.
• Browser based for investor
• No installation required
• Advantage of mobility
• Trading as simple as internet surfing
• BSC, NSC, F&O, MCX & NCDEX
ANGEL INVESTOR
• User-friendly browser for investors
• Easy online trading platform
• Works in proxy and firewall system set up
• Integrated Back office: Access account information - anytime,
anywhere
• Streaming quotes
• Refresh static rates when required
• Multiple exchanges on single screen
• Online fund transfer facility
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To derive optimum returns from equity as an asset class requires
professional guidance and advice. Professional assistance will always be
beneficial in wealth creation. Investment decisions without expert advice
would be like treating ailment without the help of a doctor.
• Timely Entry & Exit: Their advisors will regularly monitor customers'
investments and guide customers to book timely profits. They will also
guide them in adopting switching techniques from one stock to another
during various market conditions.
Commodities
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exchange, commodities can now be traded in futures markets. When they are traded on an
exchange, Commodities must also meet specified minimum standards known as basic grade.
Types of Commodities
Benefits at Angel
Angel Broking Ltd. is a DP services provider though CDSL. We offer depository services to
create a seamless transaction platform to execute trades through Angel group of companies
and settle these transactions through Angel Depository services.
• Wide branch coverage
• Personalized/attentive services of trained a dedicated staff
• Centralized billing & accounting
• Acceptance & execution of instruction on fax
• Daily statement of transaction & holdings statement on e-mail
• No charges for extra transaction statement & holdings statement
Successful investing in Capital Markets demands ever more time and expertise. Investment
Management is an art and a science in itself. Portfolio Management Services (PMS) is one such
service that is fast gaining eminence as an investment avenue of choice for High Net worth
Investors (HNI). PMS is a sophisticated investment vehicle that offers a range of specialized
investment strategies to capitalize on opportunities in the market. The Portfolio Management
Service combined with competent fund management, dedicated research and technology,
ensures a rewarding experience for its clients.
Angel PMS brings with it years of experience, expertise, research and the backing of India's
leading stock broking house. At Angel, experienced portfolio management is the difference. It
will advise you on a suitable product based on factors such as your investment horizon, return
expectations and risk tolerance.
Stock Analysis :
Angel's stock research has performed very well over the past few years and the
Angel Model Portfolio has consistently outperformed the benchmark indices. The
fundamentals of select scrip are thoroughly analyzed and an actionable advice is
provided along with investment rationale for each scrip.
Flash News :
Key developments and significant news announcements that are likely to have an
impact on markets / scrip are flashed live on trading terminals. Flash news keeps the
market participants updated on an online basis and helps them to reshuffle on their
holdings.
Nifty Tracker :
Nifty Futures is the most traded instrument with highest volumes in F & O and
excellent liquidity. The team tracks the Nifty Future and generates calls based on
unique trading system which is a result of their focused research over the past few
years. The objective is to generate positive returns for traders who are looking for a
high risk / high reward product.
Online Chart:
An online forum to help clients, specifically day traders in judging the directions of
the market and stocks which are in the limelight.
Intraday Calls :
For day traders, Angel provides intra-day calls with entry, exit and stop loss levels
during market hours. These calls are flashed on their terminals. Their analysts
continuously track the calls and provide recommendations according to the market
movements.
Position Calls :
Angel's "Position Trading Calls" are based on thorough analysis of the price
movement in select scrip's. These calls are for a 10-15 day time span with stop loss and
target levels. These calls are flashed on their terminals during market hours.
Derivative Strategies :
Their analysts take view on the Nifty and select stocks based on the derivatives
data and technical tools. Suitable "Derivative Strategies" are devised, which are flashed
on their terminals and published in their reports.
Futures Calls :
A customized product for HNIs to help them trade with leveraged position; wherein
clients are advised on the stocks with entry, exit and stop loss level for short term
benefits. Over and above this, financial status of the calls is monitored at all times.
1.3 THEORITICAL BACKGROUND
EQUITES – AN OVERVIEW:
EQUITY INVESTMENT:
Equity investment generally refers to the buying and holding of shares of stock
on a stock market by individuals and funds in anticipation of income from dividends and
capital gain as the value of the stock rises. It also sometimes refers to the acquisition of
equity (ownership) participation in a private (unlisted) company or a startup (a company being
created or newly created). When the investment is in infant companies, it is referred to as
venture capital investing and is generally understood to be higher risk than investment in
listed going-concern situations.
The market expects the earnings to rise rapidly in the future. For example a
gold mining company which has just begun to mine may not have made money yet but next
quarter it will most likely find the gold and make a lot of money. The same applies to
pharmaceutical companies often a large amount of their revenue comes from the best few
patented products, so when a promising new product is approved, investors may buy up the
stock.
The company was previously making a lot of money, but in the last year or
quarter it had a special one time expense (called a “charge”) which lowered the earnings
significantly. Stock holders understanding (possibly incorrectly) that this was a one time
issue, will still buy stock at the same price as before, and only sell at the least that same
price.
Hype for the stock has caused people to buy the stock for a higher price
than they normally would. This is called bubble. One of the most important uses of the P/E
metric is to decide whether a stock is undergoing a bubble or anti-bubble by the comparing its
P/E to similar companies. Historically, bubbles have been followed by crashes. As such
prudent investors try to stay out of them
The P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of a stock (also called its "earnings
multiple", or simply "multiple", "P/E", or "PE") is a measure of the price paid for a share
relative to the income or profit earned by the firm per share. A higher P/E ratio means that
investors are paying more for each unit of income. It is a valuation ratio included in other
financial ratios. The reciprocal of the P/E ratio is known as the earnings yield.
The price per share (numerator) is the market price of a single share of
the
stock. The earnings per share (denominator) is the net income of the company for the most
recent 12 month period, divided by number of shares outstanding. The EPS used can also be
the "diluted EPS" or the "comprehensive EPS".
For example, if stock A is trading at $24 and the Earnings Per Share for
the most recent 12 month period is $3, then the P/E ratio is 24/3=8. Stock A said to have a P/E
of 8 (or a multiple of 8). Put another way, the purchaser is paying $8 for every one dollar of
earnings.
By relating price and earnings per share for a company, one can analyze
the market's valuation of a company's shares relative to the wealth the company is actually
creating.
One reason to calculate P/Es is for investors to compare the
value
stocks. If one stock has a P/E twice that of another stock, all things being equal, it is a less
attractive investment. Companies are rarely equal, however, and comparisons
between industries, countries, and time periods may be misleading.
The company has some sort of business advantage which seems to ensure
thait
will continue make money for a long time with very little risk. Thus investors are willing to buy
the stock even at a higher price for the piece of mind that they all not loose their money.
1.4 PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION
The need for the study is to analyze the impact of equity share price
movements of Pharmaceutical industry of National Stock Exchange, which is
also funneled down to the NIFTY stocks.
To find out the risk level associated with the selected pharmaceutical
companies.
For the last 1year the global melt down in the equity market most of
the equity shares has been corrupted more than half of the 50 percentage of
the year value.
This will also be helpful for the investors to know about the current
situation of the equity market and the importance of the pharmaceutical
companies.
1.9 CHAPTERIZATION
Chapter I
This chapter presents the introduction about the general scenario of
the stock exchange, company profile, theoretical background, problem
identification, needs, objectives and scope of the study.
Chapter II
This chapter deals with the details of literature reviewed for the study
which contains the articles and journals related to the equity share price
moving trend and the Indian pharmaceutical industry.
Chapter III
This chapter gives the details of the research methodology adopted for
the study which contain s research type, research design, sample size,
Limitations and tools used for analyzing the date.
Chapter IV
This chapter reveals in detail about the data analysis and
interpretation using technical tools such as Relative Strength Index and Beta
and statistical tools like Correlation.
Chapter V
This chapter gives the detailed conclusion about the thesis, summary
of findings, suggestions and recommendations.
When the Indian economy shifted from a process patent regime to a product
patent regime in 2005, there was a thought as to whether Indian pharma
companies would be able to weather the change in the regime. However,
they have indeed succeeded in this transition and have grown in size. The
world pharma majors' confidence in Indian manufacturers has increased and
the growth of the domestic pharmaceutical industry has outperformed the
growth of the global pharmaceutical industry. The purpose of this paper is to
explore the change in market perception about Indian pharma companies in
the background of their fundamental performance and their growth
prospects. We focus on the PE multiples of Indian pharma companies and
their determinants. The study is relevant in today's market context where
there are signs of a global slowdown and which has affected stock markets
across the world, including the Indian stock market.
The paper consists of three major parts. In the first part we present an
overview of the pharmaceutical industry as a whole – its major players,
current trends and challenges. The second part focuses on a more detailed
analysis of major pharmaceutical companies. These major companies are
divided into two major groups: a) companies with headquarters in the U.S.,
b) foreign pharmaceutical companies with headquarters outside of the U.S.
Pharmaceutical companies are compared with other companies in the same
group; and major trends within each group are analyzed. Part 3 sums up our
findings.
The paper attempts to estimate the beta coefficient for the key
pharmaceutical companies of Bangladesh. Such an analysis provides an
understanding of the volatility of the stocks of those companies in relation to
the movement of the overall market. In our analysis, among 23 companies,
stocks of 16 companies are found to possess significant relationship with the
market movement. Most of the companies appear to move in relation to the
market as a whole with some of the companies exhibiting slightly aggressive
movement. In addition, the estimation result establishes existence of
seasonality in case of most of the companies and with seasonality the stocks
tend to show higher degree of volatility in relation to overall market.
Asian equity markets have been hot for some time and they show no
dramatic signs of cooling. The economies of the region have moved towards
greater economic and financial integration while opening their capital
markets to foreigners. Attracted by strong economies, credible reforms and
further intentions of liberalization, global investors have made significant
investments. However, the stability promised by a financially strong Japan is
diminishing, and the region as a whole faces a variety of political and
financial challenges.
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The procedure using, which researchers go about their work of
describing, explaining and predicting phenomena, is called Methodology.
Methods compromise the procedures used for generating, collecting and
evaluating data. Methods are the ways of obtaining information useful for
assessing explanations.
Primary Data
Primary data are collected afresh and for the first time. It is the data
originated by the researcher specifically to address the research problem.
Secondary Data
Secondary data are collected from the past records & books and
various journals, magazines etc.
In this study, secondary data were collected through the
www.nseindia.com website and the websites of pharmaceutical
companies like CIPLA, RANBAXY, DR REDDY, GLAXOSMITHKLINE and
SUNPHARMA. In addition to this data’s were collected through various
magazines and journals.
SAMPLING TECHNIQUES
The samples are chosen from the NSE India website, which actively traded
companies in the past six months. For this study, the researchers have
taken top 5 Pharmaceutical companies for the period of 1.10.2010 to
31.3.2011.
3.3 POPULATION:
All the companies of pharmaceutical industry in the equity market
listed in National Stock Exchange constitute population as far as my study is
concern.
3.4 SAMPLE SIZE:
Out of listed companies in NSE, the following five pharmaceutical
companies were selected as a sample size based on highly traded volume in
Angel broking, Puducherry.
1. CIPLA
2. RANBAXY
3. Dr. REDDY
4. GLAXOSMITHKLINE
5. SUN PHARMA
3.5 LIMITATIONS:
• Statistical Tools :
Correlation
CORRELATION:
Correlation analysis helps to determine the strength of the linear
relationship between the two variables X and Y, in other words, as to how
strongly are these two variables correlated. Karl Pearson, in 1896,
developed an Index or Coefficient of this association in cases where the
relationship is a linear one, i.e. where the trend of the relationship can be
described by a straight line.
The Pearson’s coefficient of correlation is designated by r. The
coefficient of correlation r can be designed as a measure of strength of the
linear relationship between the two variables X and Y. The sign of the
coefficient can be positive or negative. It is positive when the slope of the
line is positive and it is negative when the slope of the line is negative.
n( ∑XY ) −( ∑X ) ( ∑Y )
r =
n ∑X 2 −( ∑X ) 2 n ∑Y 2 −( ∑Y ) 2
BETA
The degree to which different portfolios are affected by these
systematic risks as compared to the effect on the market as a whole, is
different and is measured by Beta. To put it differently, the systematic risks
of various securities differ due to their relationships with the market. The
Beta factor describes the movement in a stock's or a portfolio's returns in
relation to that of the market returns. For all practical purposes, the market
returns are measured by the returns on the index (Nifty, Mid-cap etc.), since
the index is a good reflector of the market.
Computation of BETA:
BETA = (N * ∑XY) – (∑X * ∑Y) / (N * (∑X2) – (∑ X)2)
STOCK RETURN (Y) = (Closing –Opening)/ (Opening) *100
MARKET RETURN (X) = (Closing –Opening)/ (Opening) *100
Computation of RSI :
CORRELATION CALCULATION:
N∑XY-∑X∑Y
r= ___________________________
√(N∑X2 -∑X2 ) √(N∑Y2 -∑Y2 )
126(154.79)-(- 21.99)(-24.72)
= _____________________________
√(126)(167.74)-483.94√ (126)(372.19)-611.46
19499.69-543.98
= ______________________
√(21135.8-483.94) √(46896.9-611.469)
r= 0.612
INFERENCE:
From the above it was inferred that the CIPLA Pharma company is
positively correlated with NIFTY Index.
4.2 ANALYSING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE RANBAXY with
NIFTY index ( Using Correlation) :
INDEX PRICE MARKE STOCK PRICE STOCK
T RETUR
RETURN N
Date Open Close X X2 Open Close Y y2 XY
Price Price Price Price
1-Oct-10 6030.3 6143. 1.87552 3.5176 556.35 568.3 2.14792 4.6135 4.0285
4 9 07 8 97 01
4-Oct-10 6144.7 6159. 0.24004 0.0576 570.25 597.6 4.79614 23.002 1.1512
45 4 21 2 98 86
5-Oct-10 6159.4 6145. -0.22161 0.0491 601.25 595.65 - 0.8674 0.2064
5 8 11 0.93139 93 07
6-Oct-10 6150.9 6186. 0.57714 0.3330 599 587.25 -1.9616 3.8478 -
5 45 7 98 85 1.1321
3
7-Oct-10 6186.8 6120. -1.07567 1.1570 591.35 577.4 - 5.5649 2.5375
5 3 63 2.35901 24 12
8-Oct-10 6121.4 6103. -0.29323 0.0859 580.2 586.15 1.02550 1.0516 -
45 86 8 68 0.3007
1
11-Oct- 6105.9 6135. 0.48968 0.2397 590.5 599.65 1.54953 2.4010 0.7587
10 5 85 6 93 4 57 86
12-Oct- 6135.9 6090. -0.7342 0.5390 602 597 - 0.6898 0.6097
10 5 9 46 0.83056 38 99
13-Oct- 6091.4 6233. 2.33852 5.4686 597.15 607.45 1.72486 2.9751 4.0336
10 5 9 4 93 41 25
14-Oct- 6234.3 6177. -0.91349 0.8344 612.4 596.4 - 6.8260 2.3866
10 35 73 2.61267 52 62
15-Oct- 6175.9 6062. -1.83374 3.3626 598.6 582.7 -2.6562 7.0553 4.8707
10 65 05 87 78
18-Oct- 6112.7 6075. -0.60202 0.3624 585 580.3 - 0.6454 0.4836
10 5 95 29 0.80342 82 74
19-Oct- 6114.4 6027. -1.42531 2.0315 585 576.6 -1.4359 2.0618 2.0466
10 5 3 15 01 02
20-Oct- 6002.9 5982. -0.34733 0.1206 574 587.1 2.28223 5.2085 -
10 5 1 38 74 0.7926
9
21-Oct- 6008.9 6101. 1.54104 2.3748 589.8 596.05 1.05968 1.1229 1.6330
10 5 7 27 1 24 19
22-Oct- 6113.4 6066. -0.77453 0.5998 597.2 605.45 1.38144 1.9083 -
10 05 94 7 95 1.0699
7
25-Oct- 6101.2 6105. 0.07457 0.0055 610 612.2 0.36065 0.1300 0.0268
10 5 8 5 61 6 73 96
26-Oct- 6116.3 6082 -0.5608 0.3144 615 600.3 - 5.7132 1.3404
10 93 2.39024 66 41
27-Oct- 6075.4 6012. -1.03367 1.0684 600 592 - 1.7777 1.3782
10 5 65 7 1.33333 78 24
28-Oct- 6039.9 5987. -0.86507 0.7483 592.9 580.45 - 4.4093 1.8165
10 5 7 52 2.09985 62 23
29-Oct- 6021.1 6017. -0.0573 0.0032 580 579.75 -0.0431 0.0018 0.0024
CORRELATION CALCULATION:
INDEX PRICE MARKE STOCK PRICE STOCK
T RETUR
RETURN N
Date Open Close
N∑XY-∑X∑Y X X2 Open Close Y Y2 XY
Price Price
r=
1-0ct- ___________________________
6030. 6143. 1.87552 3.5176 1447. 1484. 2.52771 6.3893 4.7407
10 3 4 9 07 95 55 2 26 95
√(N∑X2 -∑X2 ) √(N∑Y2 -∑Y2 )
4-Oct-10 6144. 6159. 0.24004 0.0576 1488 1497. 0.64516 0.4162 0.1548
7 45 4 21 6 1 33 67
5-Oct-10 6159. 6145. -0.22161 0.0491 1498 1502. 0.30373 0.0922 -
126(177.55)-(-
45 8 21.99)(-61.04) 11 55 8 57 0.0673
= _____________________________ 1
6-Oct-10 6150. 6186. 0.57714 0.3330 1505. 1522. 1.16603 1.3596 0.6729
√(126)(167.74)-483.94√
95 45 (126)(525.72)-3726.67
7 98 1 65 5 39 73
7-Oct-10 6186. 6120. -1.07567 1.1570 1526 1553 1.76933 3.1305 -
85 3 63 2 34 1.9032
22372.09-1342.949 1
8-Oct-10 6121. 6103. -0.29323 0.0859 1562. 1560. - 0.0266 0.0478
= ______________________
4 45 86 95 4 0.16315 19 42
9-Oct-10√(21135.8-483.94)
6105. 6135. 0.48968 0.2397
√(66241.7-3726.6) 1575 1567. - 0.2032 -
95 85 6 93 9 0.45079 15 0.2207
5
11-Oct- 6135. 6090. -0.7342 0.5390 1566 1570. 0.27777 0.0771 -
10r= 0.5695 9 46 35 8 6 0.2039
4
12-Oct- 6091. 6233. 2.33852 5.4686 1572 1587. 0.96056 0.9226 2.2462
10 45 9 4 93 1 75 92
13-Oct- 6234. 6177. -0.91349 0.8344 1587. 1574. -0.7687 0.5908 0.7022
INFERENCE:
10 3 35 73 1 9 96 01
14-Oct- 6175. 6062. -1.83374 3.3626 1598 1585. - 0.6366 1.4630
10 9 65 05 25 0.79787 91
From the above
15-Oct- 6112. it was inferred
6075. that the
-0.60202 RANBAXY
0.3624 company
1585. 1614. is 1.86405
positively3.4747
correlated with
-1.1222
NIFTY Index.10 75 95 29 25 8 9 17
18-Oct- 6114. 6027. -1.42531 2.0315 1620 1628. 0.53086 0.2818 -
10 4.3 45 ANALYSING 3 THE RELATIONSHIP
15 BETWEEN6 THE Dr.
4 REDDY 17 with
0.7566NIFTY
5
index 19-Oct-( Using Correlation)
6002. :
5982. -0.34733 0.1206 1628. 1584. - 7.3324 0.9405
10 95 1 38 6 5 2.70785 37 14
20-Oct- 6008. 6101. 1.54104 2.3748 1603. 1615. 0.75129 0.5644 1.1577
10 9 5 7 27 9 95 4 42 79
21-Oct- 6113. 6066. -0.77453 0.5998 1627 1609. -1.0756 1.1569 0.8330
10 4 05 94 5 14 82
22-Oct- 6101. 6105. 0.07457 0.0055 1630. 1638. 0.52144 0.2719 0.0388
10 25 8 5 61 1 6 86
25-Oct- 6116. 6082 -0.5608 0.3144 1647. 1651. 0.23669 0.0560 -
10 3 93 7 6 4 24 0.1327
4
26-Oct- 6075. 6012. -1.03367 1.0684 1648 1651. 0.20024 0.0400 -
10 45 65 7 3 3 97 0.2069
8
27-Oct- 6039. 5987. -0.86507 0.7483 1650 1645. - 0.0617 0.2149
10 95 7 52 9 0.24848 45 58
28-Oct- 6021. 6017. -0.0573 0.0032 1651 1659. 0.52089 0.2713 -
10 15 7 83 6 6 33 0.0298
5
10 3 55 8 75 9 7 92 64
1-Nov-10 6127. 6119 -0.13953 0.0194 1671 1673. 0.17654 0.0311 -
55 7 95 1 67 0.0246
3
2-Nov-10 6150. 6160. 0.16096 0.0259 1684 1695. 0.67696 0.4582 0.1089
6 5 08 4 74 63
3-Nov-10 6209. 6281. 1.16271 1.3519 1705 1734. 1.70967 2.9229 1.9878
6 8 6 08 15 7 97 69
4-Nov-10 6321. 6312. -0.14869 0.0221 1740 1753. 0.78160 0.6109 -
85 45 09 6 9 13 0.1162
CORRELATION CALCULATION:
2
5-Nov-10 6335. 6273. -0.97944 0.9593 1757 1760. 0.17359 0.0301 -
25 2 04 05 1 34 0.1700
N∑XY-∑X∑Y 2
8-Nov-10
r= 6281 6301. 0.32717 0.1070
___________________________ 1756. 1757. 0.05979 0.0035 0.0195
55 7 45 1 15 2 75 62
9-Nov-10 √(N∑X
6303. ∑X ) √(N∑Y ∑Y 0.1903
)
2- 2 2- 2
6275. -0.43629 1760. 1744 - 0.8784 0.4089
2 7 46 5 0.93723 07 02
10-Nov- 6286. 6194. -1.46508 2.1464 1739 1736. - 0.0241 0.2274
10 35 25 21.99)(-1.78) 57
126(76.4081)-(- 3 0.15526 06 71
11-Nov- 6182. 6071. -1.78979 3.2033 1721 1742. 1.27542 1.6266 -
=10 _____________________________
3 65 37 95 1 99 2.2827
√(126)(167.74)-483.94√ (126)(239.81)-3.17 3
12-Nov- 6079. 6121. 0.68586 0.4704 1748 1762. 0.82379 0.6786 0.5650
10 9 6 7 13 4 9 44 16
15-Nov- 6143. 5988. -2.51894 6.3450 1763 1751. - 0.4108 1.6145
10 9627.47-39.225
45 7 74 7 0.64095 21 24
16-Nov-
= 6075. 5998. -1.26976 1.6122
______________________ 1780 1767. - 0.4659 0.8667
10 95 8 91 85 0.68258 21 18
18-Nov- √(21135.8-483.94)
6011. √(30216.52-3.17)
5890. -2.01288 4.0516 1776 1770. - 0.0959 0.6233
10 3 3 69 5 0.30968 05 57
19-Nov- 5920. 6010 1.50483 2.2645 1770 1762. - 0.1700 -
r=10 0.389 9 4 7 0.41243 98 0.6206
4
22-Nov- 5971. 5934. -0.61626 0.3797 1756. 1760. 0.23347 0.0545 -
10 55 75 71 1 2 2 09 0.1438
8
INFERENCE:
23-Nov- 5946. 5865. -1.36292 1.8575 1761. 1781. 1.1413 1.3025 -1.5555
10 8 75 45 15 25 65
24-Nov- 5883. 5799. -1.43101 2.0477 1788. 1770. -1.026 1.0526 1.4682
10 the above
From 95 it was75
inferred that 94 REDDY5company
the Dr. 15 is positively correlated
75 17
with
25-Nov- 5828. 5751. -1.31422 1.7271 1771 1787. 0.91191 0.8315 -
NIFTY Index.
10 55 95 76 15 4 87 1.1984
6
26-Nov- 5789. 5830 0.69171 0.4784 1805. 1796. - 0.2088 -
10 95 6 71 1 85 0.45704 84 0.3161
4
29-Nov- 5811. 5862. 0.87927 0.7731 1798 1786. - 0.3949 -0.5526
10 6 7 6 26 7 0.62848 82
30-Nov- 5871 5960. 1.53125 2.3447 1788 1775. - 0.4770 -
10 9 5 43 65 0.69072 88 1.0576
6
1-Dec-10 6023. 6011. -0.18844 0.0355 1785 1787. 0.15126 0.0228 -0.0285
05 7 11 7 1 8
2-Dec-10 6013. 5992. -0.34174 0.1167 1796 1827. 1.77895 3.1646 -
35 8 86 95 3 75 0.6079
4
3-Dec-10 6033. 5992. -0.68615 0.4708 1835 1819. - 0.7227 0.5833
65 25 04 4 0.85014 32 23
6-Dec-10 5995. 5976. -0.30859 0.0952 1826 1830. 0.22453 0.0504 -
05 55 27 1 5 16 0.0692
7-Dec-10 5954. 5903. -0.85147 0.7250 1840 1842. 0.12771 0.0163 -
4 7 03 35 7 12 0.1087
5
8-Dec-10 5924. 5766. -2.66278 7.0904 1853 1812. - 4.7770 5.8199
25 5 2 5 2.18564 44 01
9-Dec-10 5761 5857. 1.67245 2.7970 1813 1808. - 0.0657 -
4.4INDEX PRICE
ANALYSING35 THEMARK 3 98 STOCK
RELATIONSHIP PRICE
BETWEEN35 STOCK
0.25648 82 0.4289
THE GLAXOSMITHKLINE with
ET RETUR 5
NIFTY10-Dec-
index ( 5882.
Using Correlation)
5907. RETUR :
0.42497 0.1806 1801 1822. N
1.17157 1.3725 0.4978
10 65 65 N 9 07 1 1 79 93
DATE 5928.
13-Dec- Open 5944.
Close 0.25975
X X2
0.0674 Open
1822 Close
1828. Y
0.36772 Y2
0.1352 XY 0.0955
10 7 1 3 72 Price Price7 8 24 19
1-Oct-10 5931.
14-Dec- 6030. 5892.
6143. -0.65502
1.8755 3.5176
0.4290 2220
1825 2251.
1791. 1.3986 - 1.9562
3.4504 2.6232
1.2167
10 15 3 34 29 07
46 051 49
1.85753 1833 0615
4-Oct-10 5910.
15-Dec- 6144. 5948.
6159. 0.64630
0.2400 0.0576
0.4177 2270
1802 2301.
1788. 1.4008 - 1.9624
0.5365 0.3362 -
10 55 7 45
75 442 21
06 88 81
0.73252 6885 0.4734
73
5-Oct-10 6159. 6145. - 0.0491 2270 2285. 0.6674 0.4454 -0.1479 3
16-Dec- 5926.45 5947.8 0.34082
0.2216 11
0.1161 1778 15
1704. 01 - 17.228
24 -
10 85 05 12 6 2 4.15073 57 1.4146
6-Oct-10 6150. 6186. 0.5771 0.3330 2285. 2290. 0.2363 0.0558 0.1363 6
20-Dec- 5960.95 6000.
45 0.67529
47 98
0.4560 1
1710 5
1686. 14 - 1.8566
44 88 -
7-Oct-10
10 6186.
4 6120.
65 - 1.1570
17 2298 2275.7 - 0.997305 1.0742
1.36257 0.9201
85 3 1.0756 63 05 0.9986 91 64 3
21-Dec- 6019 7
5984. -0.57485 0.3304 1633. 1676. 9
2.62553 6.8934 -
8-Oct-10
10 6121. 6103.
4 - 0.0859
48 2276
95 2293.
85 0.7644 9 0.584457 1.5092 -
4 45 0.2932 86 4 99 59 0.2241 8
22-Dec- 6005. 5980 -0.43124 3 0.1859 1680. 1683. 0.17856 0.0318 8 -
11-Oct-
10 6105.
9 6135. 0.4896 0.23977 2316. 05 2286.
05 - 6 1.705386 0.0770 -
10 95 85 86 93 4 15 1.3059 9 0.6394 1
23-Dec- 5940. 6011. 1.20112 1.4427 1685 1683. 1 - 0.0046 8 -
12-Oct-
10 6135.
25 6090.
6 - 0.5390
8 08 2310 2288.
85 - 0.838258 0.6722
0.06825 0.0819
10 95 9 0.7342 46 85 0.9155 95 28
24-Dec- 6013. 5998. -0.25277 0.0638 1676 1694. 8
1.08293 1.1727 -
13-Oct-
10 6091.
3 6233.
1 2.3385 5.4686 94 2280 2295.
15 0.6600 6 0.435749 1.5436
0.2737
10 45 9 24 93 05 88 16 31 4
14-Oct- 6005.
27-Dec- 6234. 5996
6177. -0.15569 - 0.8344
0.0242 2320
1686 2305.
1689. - 0.4124
0.22242 0.0494 0.5866 -
10 10 35 3 35 0.9134 73
41 1
75 0.6422 7471 0.0346
84
9 4 3
15-Oct- 6005.
28-Dec- 6175. 6060.
6062. 0.91921 - 3.3626
0.8449 2310
1681 2300.
1693. - 0.1603
0.74955 0.5618 0.7342
0.6889
10 10 15 9 65 1.83371
35 05
49 756 0.4004 4 4731 998
29-Dec- 6062. 6101. 4
0.65156 0.4245 1690 1685 3 - 0.0875 -
18-Oct-
10 6112.
35 6075.
85 - 0.3624
3 34 2264. 2351. 3.8332
0.29586 14.69332 0.1927 -
10 75 95 0.6020 29 4 2 45 77 2.3076 7
30-Dec- 6105. 6134. 0.481562 0.2319 1685 1662. - 1.7280 9 -
19-Oct-
10 6114.
1 6027.
5 - 2.0315
5 04 2369 2353
85 - 0.456116 0.9626
1.31454 0.6330
10 45 3 1.4253 15 0.6753 52 42 4
31-Dec- 6177. 6157. -0.32133 1 0.1032 1671 1670. 9 - 0.0008 0.0096
20-Oct-
10 6002.
45 5982.
6 - 0.1206
53 2365 2361.5 - 0.027195 0.057215
0.02992
10 6172.
3-Jan-11 95 6146.1 -0.42769
0.3473 38
0.1829 1672 1
1696. 0.1649
1.45035 2.103594 76
-0.6203
75 35 3 15 25 9 41
21-Oct- 6141.
4-Jan-11 6008. 6079.
6101. -1.00222
1.5410 2.3748
1.0044 2370
1696 2352.
1715. - 0.5328
1.13502 1.2882 -1.1249 -
10 35 9 85 47 275 7
25 0.7299 4 3879 1.1375
6 5
22-Oct- 6107
5-Jan-11 6113. 6066.
6048. -
-0.96201 0.5998
0.9254 2352
1722 2348
1716. - - 0.0289
0.1076 0.1317
0.3156
10 4 05
25 0.7745 94
65 35 0.1700
0.32811 2354 2242
6-Jan-11 6030. 5904. 3
-2.09421 4.3857 1714 1672. 7 - 5.8200 5.0522
25-Oct- 6101.
9 6105.
6 0.0745 0.0055
36 2358 2352.
65 - 0.057486
2.41249 -
63
10 5901.
7-Jan-11 25 5762.8 75
-2.34609 61
5.5041 1670 35
1654. 0.2396 - 0.8782
13 0.0178
2.1985
3 85 53 35 1
0.93713 05 784
26-Oct- 5767.
10-Jan- 6116. 6082
5754. -
-0.24012 0.3144
0.0576 2350
1665 2308.
1670. - 3.0736
0.35435 0.1255 0.9831 -
10
11 95 3 1 0.5608 93
58 89 1.7531 4 867 0.0850
84
27-Oct- 5800.
11-Jan- 6075. 5863.
6012. 1.08964 - 1.0684
1.1873 2308
1675. 2261.
1669. - - 3.9896
0.1157 2.0646 -
10
11 45
05 2565 1.03366 7
28 1 94 1.9974
0.34028 0889 0.370749
7 8
28-Oct- 5850.
12-Jan- 6039. 5751.
5987. -1.68953 - 0.7483
2.8545 2260.
1670. 2258.
1642. - - 0.0082
2.7809 0.0784
2.8174
10
11 95
75 97 0.8650 52
01 95
05 92 0.0906
1.66761 2139 36 8
13-Jan- 5752. 5654. 7
-1.6959 2.8760 1644 7
1651. 0.45316 0.2053 -
29-Oct-
11 6021.
1 6017.
55 - 0.003285 2258. 2222.
45 - 3 2.603757 0.0924
0.7685
10 15 7 0.0573 83 9 45 1.6136 61 57 2
14-Jan- 5648. 5654. 0.10533 0.0110 1651 1640. 2 - 0.3892 -
CORRELATION CALCULATION:
1-Nov-
11 6092.
8 6117.
75 0.41442 0.1717 95 2212 2199.7 0.62386
- 0.342707 0.0657 -
10 3 55 58 75 05 0.5854 44 0.2426 1
17-Jan- 5682. 5724. 0.73030 0.5333 1655 1671. 1.006044 1.0121 0.7347 4
2-Nov-
11 N∑XY-∑X∑Y
6127.
55 6119
05 6- 0.019447 2239 2240.
65 0.0826 2 0.0068 21 -
19
10
18-Jan- 5737.
r= 55 0.1395
5691. -0.80699 0.6512
___________________________ 7 1680. 85
1657. 26 27 0.0115
-1.3302 1.7694 1.0734
11 35 05 3 37 2 85 29 361
3-Nov-√(N∑X
19-Jan- 6150.
5656
2-
∑X 2
5711.) √(N∑Y
6160. 2-
0.1609
0.98302∑Y2 0.0259
)
0.9663 2244.
1635. 2220.
1666. 1.88015- 1.2107
3.5349 1.8482 -
10
11 6 65 6
7 08
42 85 1
25 1.1003 9 0698 0.1771 47
20-Jan- 5692. 5696. 0.07817 0.0061 1674 1651. 2
-1.3172 1.7350 1 -
4-Nov- 6209. 6281.
11 126(19.75031)-(-
05 5 1.1627 9 1.3519
21.99)(-5.24) 12 2210. 2224.
95 0.6560 0.430427 0.7628 0.1029
10 6 8 16 08 1 6 79 4 33 8
=21-Jan-
5-Nov-_____________________________
6321.
5717. 6312.
5743. - 0.0221
0.4574 0.2092 2230.
1647 2276.
1636. 2.0626 4.2546
- 0.4379 -0.3067 -
10
11 85
1 2545 0.1486 09
15 1 11 0.66181
88 8192 0.3027
√(126)(167.74)-483.94√ (126)(325.62)-27.53
9 1
8-Nov- 5763.
24-Jan- 6335. 5687.
6273. -1.31695 - 0.9593
1.7343 2300
1647 2293.
1578. - - 0.0798
17.121 0.2767
5.4493
10
11 25
3 42 0.9794 04
67 5 0.2826
85 4.13783 6861 9826
2488.53-115.431 4 1
25-Jan- 5725. 5604. -2.11343 4.4665 1581 1555. - 2.6940 3.4689
= 9-Nov-
11 6281
3 6301.3
______________________0.3271 0.107071 2295 2302.
05 0.3093
1.64137 0.095783 0.101207
10 5614
27-Jan- 5512. 55 -1.81421
77 3.291345 1547. 1
1563. 68
1.03732 09
1.0760 18 -
10-Nov-
11√(21135.8-483.94)
6303. 6275.
15 √(41029.1-27.533)
- 0.190374 2303
25 2255.3 - 4 4.2093 0.8951
42 1.8819
10 2 7 0.4362 46 75 2.0516 57 16 3
28-Jan- 5452. 5505. 0.97844 9 0.9573 1591 1624. 2.089887 4.3676 2.0448
11-Nov-
r= 6286.
11 0.0815 55 6194.9 1- 2.146447 2304 2254.
25 - 1 4.615701 3.147625
10
31-Jan- 5537.35 5417. 25 -2.16893
1.4650 4.704257 1632 5 2.1484 - 1.9261
1609. 84 31
3.0101
11 3 2 8 45 35 1.387874 77 84
12-Nov- 5469.
1-Feb-11 6182. 5432
6071. -0.68653 - 3.2033
0.4713 2252
1620 2228.
1613. - - 1.1075
0.1659 1.8835
0.2796
10 55 3 65 1.7897 37
21 34 1.0524
0.40741 4181 6897
INFERENCE:
2-Feb-11 5430. 5526. 9
1.77333 3.1447 1609. 1600. - 0.2923 -
15-Nov- 6079.
45 6121.
75 0.68584 0.4704 12 2220
05 2233.
35 0.5878
0.54069 0.345548 0.40310.9588
10 9 6 67 13 05 38 53 78 3
16-Nov- 6143. 5988. - 6.3450 2221 2270. 2.2219 4.9371
From the above it was inferred that the GLAXOSMITHKLINE company is positively correlated
3-Feb-11 5519. 5395. -2.24913 5.0586 1607 1580. - 2.6378 -
3.6529
10 45
9 75 7 2.5189 74
08 35 72
9 1.62414 645 5.5970 2
with NIFTY Index.5430.
4-Feb-11 5396 -0.6289 4 0.3955 1581. 1565. -1.0307 1.0623 0.6482 2
18-Nov- 6075.
15 5998. - 1.61221 2290
45 2277.
15 - 0.312442 0.709703
10
4.5
95
ANALYSING
8 1.2697
THE RELATIONSHIP
91
BETWEEN
2 0.5589
THE SUN 27
PHARMA 35
with
7-Feb-11 5432. 5312. -2.20531 4.8633 1584 1534. - 9.7262 6.8776
NIFTY index ( Using 35 Correlation)
55 :6 79 5
6 3.11869 08 62
19-Nov-
8-Feb-11 5293. 6011. 5890. -
5253. -0.74626 0.55694.0516 2290
1526 2227.
1518. - - 7.4012
0.2447 5.4760
0.3692
10 05 3 553 2.0128 69
06 7 2.7205
45 0.49476 5185 7719
9-Feb-11 5246. 5225. -0.3868 0.149 1509 1491. 2 - 1.3836 0.4540
22-Nov- 5920.
05 60108 1.5048 2.2645 2235 2261.
25 1.2013
1.17628 1.443224 1.807848
10
10-Feb- 5219. 9 5310 39
1.73095 2.9962 4 1485 85
1497. 42
0.82491 23
0.6804 26
1.4278
23-Nov-
11 5971.
65 5934. 9- 0.379719 2270 2240.
25 - 6 1.700386 0.803595
10
11-Feb- 5340.55 5456 75 0.6162
2.16750 4.6980 71 1499 4 1.3039
1541. 2.81187 7.9066 24 75
6.0947
11 25 6
2 63 15 6 5 39 42
24-Nov- 5467.
14-Feb- 5946. 5481
5865. 0.24233 - 1.8575
0.0587 2255
1544 2208.
1538. - - 4.2521
0.1223 2.8104 -
1110 75 8 75 1.3629 45
24 56 2.0620
0.34974 9119 0.084751
2 8 5
25-Nov- 5467.
15-Feb- 5883. 5481.
5799. 0.25788 - 2.0477
0.0665 2209.
1520. 2098.
1511. - - 25.443
0.3741 7.2182 -
1110 95
6 75
7 1.43103 94
04 55 052 5.0441
0.61164 2205 0.157705
1 3 3
26-Nov-
16-Feb- 5828.
5501. 5751.
5546. - 1.7271
0.81338 0.6615 2115
1516 2107. - 0.1342
1525. 0.64973 0.4221 0.5284 0.4815
1110 55
7 4595 1.31425 76
95 25
85 0.3664 6 7157 786
29-Nov-
11 5789.
55 5830
95 0.6917 0.4784
55 2110 2118.
35 0.3862 6 0.149134 0.2671 1.4367
10 95 16 71 15 56 94 79 8
30-Nov-
18-Feb- 5811. 5518.
5456. 5862. 0.8792
1.13623 0.7731
1.2910 2123.
1537. 2130.
1537. 0.3130 0.0980
- 0.0002 0.2752 -
1110 66 67 769 26
38 955 6
25 96
0.01626 2964 0.018498
1-Dec- 5871 5960. 1.5312 2.3447 2125 2170. 2.1294 4.5343 3.2606 8
21-Feb-10 5504. 5469.9 55
-0.63949 43
0.4089 1531. 25
1550. 12
1.25693 94
1.5798 73
-0.8038
2-Dec-
11 6023.
INDEX
4 6011.
PRICE
2 MARK- 0.0355
45 2199.5
STOCK 2163.
PRICE
75 STOCK - 8 2.678192 0.3083
22-Feb-10 5452.05 5437.7 0.1884
ET
-0.27694 11
0.0766 8
1546 8 1.6365
RETUR
1578. 2.07309 4.2977 73 89 -
11 45 35 RETUR 4 96 05 N 1 2 1 0.5741
3-Dec- 6013. 5992. N - 0.1167 2150 2131. - 0.7605 0.2980 2
DATE10
23-Feb- Open
5408.35 5262.
Close8 0.3417
X
-2.70025 X286
7.2913 Open
1568 25 0.8720
Close
1500. Y Y246
- 18.751 XY29
11.693
11 75 7 4 73 Price Price1 4.330369 99 07
6-Dec-
1-Oct-10
24-Feb- 6033.
5321. 5992.
6030. 5303.
6143. 1.8755
-0.32888 - 0.4708
3.5176
0.1081 2131
2023
1520 2131.
2030. 0.0164
1527. 0.3633 0.0002
0.48684 0.1320 0.2370 0.6814 - -
11 10 65
05 3 254
55 0.6861
29 04
07
64 35
354 24
22 2 7
03 0.0112
15 0.1601 2
4-Oct-10 6144. 6159. 0.24005 0.0576 2064 2064. 0.0314 0.0009 0.0075 71
7-Dec-
25-Feb- 5995.
5330. 7 5976.
5333.45 44
0.05816 - 0.0952
21
0.0033 2111
1534 2150.
65 1.8900
1546 92 3.5724
0.78226 92
0.6119 -
6
0.0454
11 10
5-Oct-10 05
6159.
15 55
6145.
25 0.3085- 27
0.0491
83 2084. 9
2061 99 76
- 9 1.2602 0.5832
44 0.2487 97
28-Feb- 538245 5522. 8 0.2216
2.606839 11
6.7956 1540.4 1582. 1.1226
2.73683 7.4902 87 6
86
7.1344
8-Dec-
11 5954. 5903.3 -
1
8 0.7250
02 21751 2146.
25 3- 5 1.747267 1.125585
1-Mar-1110
6-Oct-10 6150.
5478. 4 5536.7
6186. 0.8514
0.5771
1.05413 03
0.3330
1.1111 2078.
1575. 25 1.3218
2042.
1579. 0.26982 - 2.9670 59
0.0728 08-
0.2844
4595 245 7
47 98
91 351 55 4
35 1.7225 4 7605 0.9941 3
9-Dec-
3-Mar-11 5924. 5538.
5586. 5766. -0.84941 - 7.0904
0.7215 2141.
1586 2130.
1571. 2- - 0.2710
0.7903 1.3862 5
0.7551
10
7-Oct-10 25
6186.
2 755
6120. 2.6627- 2
1.1570
05 7
2040 559 0.5206
2038. 0.88903 - 0.0043 3973 0.07118454
4-Mar-11 5490.85 5463. 3 1.0756
-0.489988 63
0.2400 1561 65 0.0661
1614. 1
3.43369 79
11.790 84 -
10-Dec- 5761
05 5857.
15 1.67247 2.7970
78 2184. 2135.6 -8 6 4.939827 1.6824 -
10
8-Oct-10 6121. 35
6103. 53- 98
0.0859 4
2039 85 2.2225
2064. 1.2457 1.5517 54 3.7171 -3
7-Mar-11 5466. 4 5520.45 0.2932
1.00071 86
1.0014 1617 1602.4 8 - 0.7985
09 9 0.3652 6 -
13-Dec- 5882.
1 5907.
8 0.42493 0.1806
27 2110. 2156.
55 2.1798
0.89363 4.751975 0.9264 8
0.8942
10
11-Oct- 65
6105. 65
6135. 79
0.4896 07
0.2397 2
2076 2
2070 88 - 0.0835 12 06 -7
14-Dec-
10
8-Mar-11 5928.
5542. 5944.
95 5531 85 0.2597
86
-0.20569 0.0674
93
0.0423 2158
1605 2196.
1619. 1.7794
0.90031 3.1663
0.2890 31 0.4622
0.8105 0.1415 -
10 4 7 1 53 72
07 4
45 252 2 5561 0.1851123
15-Dec-
12-Oct- 5931.
6135. 5892.
6090. -- 0.4290
0.5390 2180
2099. 2193 0.5963- 0.3556
2090. 0.2133 0.3391 -8
10 10
9-Mar-11 5516.95 5494.39
15 0.6550
0.7342
-0.39339 46
46
0.1547 8
1609 1590. 3
1 0.4619 - 1.3435 1
97 0.3906
62
0.4559
1 4 2 59 35 1.15911 5 24 185
16-Dec-
13-Oct-
10-Mar- 5910.
5456. 5948.
6091. 5445.
6233. 0.6463
2.3385
-0.19611 0.4177
5.4686
0.0384 2190.
2100
1580 2195.
2104. 0.2283
1586. 0.2357 0.0521
0.41455 0.0555 0.1475
0.1718 0.5512
-0.0813
1110 10 55
1545 759
45 02
24 06
93
59 05 05
95
55 05
14 7 23
6157 54
23
20-Dec-
14-Oct-
11-Mar- 5926.
5436. 5947.
6234. 5531.
6177. 0.3408
1.74744- 0.1161
0.8344
3.0535 2190
2120
1590 2201.
2103. 0.5410
1597. 0.46540 0.2927
- 0.6354 0.1844
0.2166 0.7282
0.8132
1110 10 85
5 3 05
535 228
0.9134 6
73
74 851 96 9
4 0.7971 858
05 171
78
21-Dec-
14-Mar- 5960.
5420 6000.
5449. 0.6752
0.54704 9 0.4560
0.2992 2180
1579. 2200.
1540. 0.9288 0.8628 0.6272
7 - 6.2983 -1.3729
1110
15-Oct- 6175.4 65
6062.
65 98- 17
3.3626
61 2092.
9 25
2039. 99- 6.4386
25 2.50965 5456 4.653076
22-Dec-
15-Mar-10 6019
5475. 9 5984.
5511.65 1.8337
0.64281 - 0.3304
05
0.4132 2166
65
1560. 2201.
55 1.6343
2.5374 2.6710
65
1570. 0.61821 0.3821 0.3973 -0.9395 3
1110 95 154 0.574841 48
06 95 46 495 3 9788 94
18-Oct-
16-Mar- 6112. 5446.
5455. 6075. -0.160395- 0.3624
0.0257 2099
1545 2049.
1526. -1.1877 - 5.6516
1.4106 1.4311
0.1904
23-Dec-
11 10 6005.
475 5980
6595 0.6020 - 0.1859
29
25 2165. 2205.
651 1.8590
2.3773 3.4561 6237 97-
97
10
17-Mar- 5475. 9 5373. 0.4312
-1.8565 2 7
3.4466 05
1532 3
1493. 792 76 0.8017
- 6.2336 4.6351
19-Oct-
11 6114.
35 6027.
7 4- 2.0315
01 2067 2047.
75 2.49674 - 0.8583 92 1.3205 197
24-Dec-
18-Mar-10 5940.
5408. 6011.3
45 5364. 1.2011
1.4253
-0.8135 1.4427
15
0.6617 2200
1509 2212. 0.55
85 0.9264
1510. 0.3025
0.07289 0.0053 35 0.6606
-0.0593
1110 25
75 756 281 08
77 11 66 14 2
27-Dec-
20-Oct-
21-Mar- 6013.
6002.
5390. 5998.
5982.
5413. 0.42664 -- 0.0638
0.1206
0.1820 2225
2032
1516 2226.
2037. 0.0853
0.2805 0.0072
0.0786
1533. 1.15435 1.3325 0.4925 --
1110 10 3
8595 8511 0.2527
0.3473 9 94
38
29 97
5 93
12 4 92
87 0.0215
32 0.0974 04
22-Mar- 5411. 5480. 1.2723173 1.6187 1530 1556. 1.75490 3.0796 2.2327 93
28-Dec-
21-Oct-
11 6005.
6008.
4 5996
6101.
25 1.5410 -
4 0.0242
2.3748
83 2205
2031. 2238.
85 1.5306
2120. 4.4006 2 2.3427
19.366 81 6.7816 -
86
10 10
23-Mar- 5501.359 5522. 5 0.1556
47
0.37442 41
27
0.1401 5
1561 75
1542.9 12
89 74
06
- 1.4659 0.2383
71 -
22-Oct-
11 6113.
8 6066.
4 93- 0.5998
93 2125 2139.1 0.6964
1.21076 0.4850 45 0.4533 1-
29-Dec-
10 6005.4 6060.05 0.9192
0.7745 0.8449
94 2231 2281.8 2.2545
71 5.0831 71 2.0724
0.5394
10 15 35 113 49 3 94 96 484
30-Dec-
25-Oct- 6062.
6101. 6101.
6105. 0.6515
0.0745 0.4245
0.0055 2270
2154 2324.
2137. 2.4185- 5.84910.5691 1.5758-
10 10 35
25 858 63
75 34
61 9
75 02
0.7544 53
35 0.0562 05
31-Dec- 6105. 6134. 0.4815 0.2319 2251. 2337. 3.81041 14.519 1.83496
10
26-Oct- 6116.1 60825 65- 04
0.3144 7
2146. 5
2128. 54- 0.7425 56 0.48328
3-Jan-11
10 6177.3 6157. 0.5608 - 0.1032
93 2344.
95 2342.
45 0.8616 - 0.0058 05 0.0246 31
27-Oct- 6075. 6012. 3- 1.0684 2132 2099. 8- 2.3813 1.5951
4-Jan-11
10 6172.
45 6146.
65 1.0336 - 0.18297 2335. 2347. 1 1.5431 0.2934
0.5417 18 07-
75 35 0.42767 15 15 8 215 62 0.2316
28-Oct- 6039. 5987. 9- 0.7483 2113 2118 0.2366 0.0559 -0.2047 9
5-Jan-11
10 6141.
95 6079.7 0.8650 - 1.0044 52 2360 2381. 0.92163 0.8493 94 -
35 8 1.00227 5 75 1 65 0.9236
29-Oct- 6021. 6017. 2- 0.0032 2130 2110. - 0.8772 0.0536 6
6-Jan-11
10 6107
15 6048.7 0.0573 - 0.9254 83 2389. 2400.
05 0.4309
0.9366 0.1857 56 66-
25 0.9620 65 9 2 82 44 0.4146
1-Nov-10 6092. 6117. 0.4144 1 0.1717 2169. 2190. 0.9771 0.9548 0.4050 1
CORRELATION
7-Jan-11 6030.
3 CALCULATION:
5904.
55 58 - 4.3857
75 2357. 5 2376. 7 0.8315
84 0.6914
88 01-
2-Nov-10 6127. 9 61196 2.0942 - 0.019436 15
2172 75 13
2190. 0.8494 0.7215 13 1.7413 -
55 0.1395 1 7 45 48 61 0.1185 7
N∑XY-∑X∑Y
10-Jan- 5901. 5762. - 5.5041
3 2353 2390. 1.5767 2.4860 -
3
11
3-Nov-10 6150. 3 85 2.3460
6160. 0.1609 0.0259 53 2192 1 11 16
2249. 2.6140 6.8332 0.4207 3.6991
r= ___________________________
96 1
6 5 08 3 51 63 57
11-Jan-√(N∑X
4-Nov-10 5767.
6209. ∑X5754.
2 - 6281.
2 1.1627
) √(N∑Y 2 -
∑Y- 0.0576
2 1.3519
) 2400
2274 2383.
2241. -- 0.4669
2.0113 0.1640-
11 95
6 18 0.2401
16 58
08 6 0.6833
75 1.4182 44
08 1.6489 82
2 31 7
12-Jan- 5800.
5-Nov-10 6321. 5863.
6312. 1.0896- 1.1873
0.0221 2370.
2295 2391.
2276. 0.9134- 0.8344
0.6393 0.9953
0.1188
126(169.5118)-(- 21.99)(-52.52)
11 05
85 25
45 0.148646 28
09 05 7
65 83
0.7995 51
03 73
88
= 13-Jan-_____________________________
5850. 5751. - 2.8545
9 2410 2343. - 7.6483 4.6724
6
11
8-Nov-10 75
6335. 6273.9 1.6895- 0.9593 01 2305 35 2.7655- 0.1901
2294. 23 89
0.4270
√(126)(167.74)-483.94√
25 2 0.9794 3(126)(477.962)-2759.22
04 95 0.4360 6 04 45
14-Jan- 5752. 5654. - 2.8760
4 2320. 2331. 0.47191 0.2226 -0.8003
11
9-Nov-10 1
6281 55 1.6959
6301. 0.3271 0.1070 85 23024 35
2321. 01
0.8536 91
0.7286 0.2792
21358.48-(-1155.5)
17-Jan- 5648. 5654.
55 0.1053
77 0.0110
45 2315 2314.
65 06- 4.66E-
42 -
8
11 8 75
10-Nov- ______________________
6303. 6275. 32 - 0.190395 2323 95
2322. 0.0021 06 0.0002
- 0.0015 0.0169
= 6 3
10 2 7 0.4362 46 1 0.0387 01 03
18-Jan- 5682. 5724. 0.7303 0.5333
√(21135.8-483.94) √(57464.08-2759.22)
9 2341 2313. -
4 1.3599 -
11-Nov-11 55
6286. 05
6194. 06 - 2.146447 2324. 7 1.1661
2328 0.1613 0.0260 49 0.8516 -
10 35 25 1.4650 57 25 7
42 31 0.2363 6
r=19-Jan- 0.65
5737. 5691. - 0.6512
8 2300. 2301. 0.0826 0.0068 -
8
12-Nov-11 35
6182. 05 0.8069- 3.2033
6071. 37 05
2350 95
2321. 07- 1.4604 24 0.0666
2.1629
INFERENCE:10 3 65 1.7897 9 37 6 1.2085 98 6
77
20-Jan- 5656 5711. 0.98309 0.9663 2244 2257. 0.58371 0.3407 0.5738
15-Nov-11 6079. 6121.6 0.685827 42
0.4704 2290 1
2306. 79
0.7139 98
0.5097 7
0.4896
21-Jan-
10 5692.
9 5696. 6 0.0781
67 0.0061
13 2266. 2280.
35 0.6420
74 0.4122
59
From the above it was inferred that the SUN PHARMA company is positively correlated with 0.0501
91
16-Nov-11 05
6143. 5988.5 79- 6.3450 12 05
2323 6
2303. 86- 0.6760 75 98
2.0711
NIFTY Index.
24-Jan-
10 5717.
45 5743. 0.4574
7 2.5189 0.2092
74 2258 2241. 9 0.8222 - 0.5404
34 07-
11 1 25 4 15 4 0.73511 66 0.3362
18-Nov- 6075. 5998. - 1.6122 2348 2289 6- 6.3140 3.1906 6
25-Jan-
10 5763.
95 5687. 8 1.2697 - 1.7343
91 2256. 2269. 0.5961
2.5127 0.3553
47 -0.7851
24
11 4.63Calculation of 6BETA of
4 1.3169 67 CIPLA15for the6months 488from 1.10.2010
93 to
31.3.2011
19-Nov- 6011. 5890. 5- 4.0516 2301. 2214. - 14.049 7.5446
27-Jan-
10 5725.
3 5604.3 2.0128 - 4.4665 69 22701 2234. 85 3.7482 - 2.4113 06 3.2818 76
11 3 3 2.11348 71 75 1.55281 85 63
BETA5920.
22-Nov- CALCULATION : 3
6010 1.5048 2.2645 2235 2230. 6- 0.0344 -
28-Jan-
10 5614
9 5512. 39 - 3.29134 2239. 2278.
85 1.7414
0.1856 3.0325 78 0.2794 -
11 15 1.8142
BETA = (N 74 * ∑XY) –55 55 / (N * (∑X
(∑X * ∑Y) 218 2) – (∑48
X)2) 3.15932
23-Nov- 5971. 5934. 1- 0.3797 2227. 2276. 2.1726 4.7203 -1.3389 1
31-Jan-
10 5452.
55 5505. 0.9784
75 0.6162 0.9573
71 2280 7 2284. 1 0.2039
44 0.0415
84 0.1995
11 55 9 416 47 65 47 95 51
1-Feb-11
24-Nov- 5537.
5946. 5417.
5865. -- 4.7042
1.8575 2310
2283 2265
2273. -- 3.7949
0.1786 4.2251
0.5760
10 3
8 75 126(154.7595)-(-
2 2.1689
1.3629 45 21.99)(-24.72)
45 35 1.9480
0.4226 06
66 83
91
32 59
2-Feb-11
25-Nov- 5469.
5883. 5432
5799. -- 0.4713
2.0477 2252.455 2257.454 0.2331- 0.0543 0.0483 0.3145 -
10 55
95 75 0.6865
1.4310 21
94 1 35 16
0.2197 43
03 0.1600 08
31 8 4
3-Feb-11
26-Nov- 5430.
5828. 5526.
5751. 1.7733 3.1447
- 1.7271 2255
458.9 2242.
446.2 - 0.3222
- 7.5987 3.6227 -
10 45
55 75
95 1.314234 12
76 25 0.5676
2.7565 01
99 1.00657
4-Feb-11
29-Nov- 5519.
5789. 5395.
5830 -
0.6917 5.0586
0.4784 2178
453.9 2230.
449.8 2.4035- 5.7772
0.8357 --
10 9
95 75 2.2491
16 08
71 5 35 81
0.9142 03
57 5.4059
0.6323
3 86
7-Feb-11
30-Nov- 5430.
5811. 5396
5862. -
0.8792 0.3955
0.7731 2231
449.5 2233.
447.5 0.1120- 0.0125
0.1881 --
10 15
6 7 0.6289
76 1
26 55 57
0.4338 57
96 0.0704
0.3814
2 74
8-Feb-11
1-Dec-10 5432.
5871 5312.
= - 4.8633 2227
450 2241.
5960. _____________________________
1.5312 2.3447 448.6 0.6623
-0.3 0.4386
0.09 --
35 559 2.2053
55 79
43 755 26 76 1.4606
0.4593
(126)(167.74) - (483.9)
1 38
9-Feb-11
2-Dec-10 5293.
6023. 5253.
6011. -- 0.5569
0.0355 2244.
454.8 2197.452.9 -- 4.3836
0.1745 1.5624
0.0787
05 = 557 0.7462
0.917 06 8 8 2.0937 96 69
05 0.1884 11 0.4177 28 25
64 37
10-Feb-
3-Dec-10 5246.
6013. 5225.
5992. -0.386- 0.11670.149 2196
453 2210.
444.9 0.6625- 0.4389
3.1972 0.6110 -
11 05
35 88 0.3417 86 55 68
1.7880 97
28 0.2557 58
4 8 5
11-Feb- 5219.
6-Dec-10 6033. 5310
5992. 1.7309 2.9962
- 0.4708 2161.
454 2213. 2.4408
455.9 0.4295 0.18445.9576 4.2249 -
11 65
65 25 0.686159 19
04 15 95 3
15 52
83 0.2947 77
14-Feb- 5340. 5456 2.16755 4.6980 2274 2201. - 10.277 -
1
11
7-Dec-10 25
5995. 5976. 02- 0.0952 63 459.9 1 3.2058
463.3 0.7501 0.5627 18 6.9485-
INFERENCE: 05 55 0.3085 27 5 63 45 0.2314 9
15-Feb- 5467. 5481 0.24239 0.0587 2265. 2222. - 3.6692 -
9
11
8-Dec-10 75
5954. 5903. 3- 0.7250 24 460.0 7 3 1.9155- 0.1286
458.4 28 0.4641
0.3053
2 9
From the above calculation it was inferred that the BETA value of CIPLA is 0. 917, it86
4 7 0.8514 03 5 0.3586 35 is less
16-Feb- 5467. 5481. 0.25787 0.0665 2221. 2218. - 0.0142
6 -
than 1 so it shows
11
9-Dec-10 5924.6 that the
5766.7 share 83price is04
- 7.0904 near to461
risk. 449.1
15 These
5 kinds
0.1193 of- shares
34can
6.6633 be chosen
0.0307
6.8735
25 5 2.6627 2 2.58131 42 7
65
by17-Feb-
the risk accepting
5501. 5546. investors to8get0.6615
0.8133 better return
2202. by2230.
accepting the
1.3055 4 risk for the1.0618
1.7043 study
11
10-Dec-
period. 57617 45 1.6724
5857. 85 95
2.7970 452.5 2 95
449 13- 0.598263 84-
18-Feb-
10 5557. 5458.
35 53- 3.147698 2240. 2221. 0.7734 - 0.6746 1.4572
72 1.2936
11 55 95 1.7741 55 1 7 0.82138 85 831
13-Dec- 5882. 5907. 0.4249 6 0.1806 453.5 451.5 9- 0.2042 -
21-Feb-
10 5456.65 5518. 65 1.136279 1.2910 07 22225 2233. 0.51080.4519 0.2609 95 0.5803
0.1920
11 6 6 39 38 35 019 18 929
22-Feb-
14-Dec- 5504.
5928. 5469.
5944. 0.2597 - 0.4089
0.0674 2222.
455.8 2235.452.4 0.6210- 0.3856
0.5401 --
11
10 4
7 21 0.6394
53 45
72 1 95 0.734934 83
83 0.3971
0.1909
9 7 41
23-Feb-
15-Dec- 5452.
5931. 5437.
5892. - 0.0766
- 0.4290 2220
455 2221.
446.4 0.0743 0.0055
- 3.5310 1.2308 -
11
10 45
15 353 0.2769
0.6550 96
46 655 1.879124 24
95 0.0205 55
42 2 8
24-Feb-
16-Dec- 5408.
5910. 5262.
5948. 0.6463 - 7.2913
0.4177 2206
450 2218. 450 0.58470 0.34190 -
0
11
10
4.7 Calculation 75
of55
BETA of 7 2.7002
75 RANBAXY
02 73
for 06 9 69
the months from 1.10.2010 to 31.3.201155 1.5790
20-Dec- 5926. 5947. 0.3408 5 0.1161 453.4 443.2 - 5.0115 2-
25-Feb-
10 5321.85 5303. 05 22- 0.10816 2200 2221.5 0.9704
2.2386 0.9417 15 0.7629 -
11 BETA CALCULATION
05 55 0.3288
: 64 35 554 82 0.3191 8
21-Dec- 5960. 6000. 0.6752 8 0.4560 440 428.1 - 7.2532 7-
28-Feb-
10 5330. 4 5333. 65 0.0581 9 =0.0033 2222 2208. - 0.3664 2 -0.0352
BETA (N *17∑XY) – (∑X * ∑Y)5/ (N2.6931
* (∑X2) – (∑ 28
X) ) 1.8186
11 15 25 6 83 55 0.60538 01 8
22-Dec- 6019 5984. - 0.3304 435.5 431.2 1- 0.9749 0.5675
1-Mar-11
10 5382 5522.4 2.6068
0.5748 6.7956 48 2205 2198. 0.9873 - 0.0993 01 86-
3 385 02 05 0.31517 46 0.8216
23-Dec- 6005. 5980 126(177.5563)-(-
- 0.1859 434.5 452.9 4.2462
21.99)(-61.04) 9 18.030 6-
3-Mar-11
10 5478. 9 5536. 1.0541
0.4312 1.11117 2198. 21785 - 0.8320
6 72 1.8311 -
45 = 2 _____________________________
34 91 05 0.9121 58 0.96157
24-Dec- 5940. 6011. 1.2011 1.4427 443 473.3 6.8397 7 46.781 8.2153 5
4-Mar-11 5586.
(126)(167.74)-483.9) - (483.9)
10 25 5538.6 28- 0.7215 08 2178 2166. 29- 0.2763 89 0.4465 89
27-Dec- 6013.2 =5998.75 0.8494
1.018 - 05
0.0638 474 55
478.3 0.5257
0.9177 73
0.8422 47 -
10 3 1 0.25271 94 5 1
22 13 0.2319
7-Mar-11 5490. 5463. - 0.2400
7 2166. 2149. - 0.6120 0.38338
28-Dec- 05
6005. 15 0.4899- 0.0242
5996 78 55
475.5 6 0.7823
483.2 1.6298 2.6564 71 34-
10 35 0.15568 41 5 5
63 54 0.2537
8-Mar-11 5466. 5520. 1.00079 1.0014 2224 2162. - 7.7466 -
6
1 8 13 27 1 2.7832 11 2.7852
9-Mar-11 5542. 5531 - 0.0423 2169. 2182. 0.59217 0.3506 -
8
30-Dec- 4
6062. 6101. 0.2056
0.6515 0.4245 07 9
485 75
482.4 93- 0.2764 93 0.1218-
10 35 85 9
63 34 5 0.5257 37 0.3425 1
10-Mar- 5516. 5494. - 0.1547 2178 2187. 0.44767 0.2003 -
7
11
31-Dec- 1
6105. 4
6134. 0.3933
0.4815 0.2319 59 484.8 75 58 98
484.9 0.0309 0.0009 0.0149 0.1761
10 1 5 9
65 04 5 41 57 1
11-Mar-
3-Jan-11 5456.
6177. 5445.
6157. -- 0.0384
0.1032 2190
495 2171.
487.3 -- 0.6793
2.4197 0.1616
0.4998
11 15
45 4560.1961
0.3213 59
53 95 0.8242
1.5555 07
53 33
47
13 6
14-Mar-
4-Jan-11 5436.
6172. 5531.
6146. 1.7474- 3.0535
0.1829 2160.487 2122.
489.9 0.5954 - 3.0778
0.3545 -3.0657-
11 5
75 5 0.4276
35 48 74
15 3 4 1.7543 83 7
99 0.2546
9 9 8
15-Mar- 5420
5-Jan-11 6141. 5449.
6079. 0.5470 0.2992
- 1.0044 2118
491.5 2085.
488.0 - 2.3690
- 0.4927 0.7034 -
11 35 658 1.002248 61
5 4 1.5391
5 0.7019 991 0.842093
INFERENCE: 2 93 1
From the above calculation it was inferred that the BETA value of RANBAXY is 1. 018,-- it is
16-Mar-
6-Jan-11 5475.
6107 5511.
6048. 0.6428 - 0.4132
0.9254 2098
490 2045.
500 2.0408- 6.3217
4.1649
11 95 15
25 0.962011 06
65 25 2.5143 16 01
31 1.6162
1.9632
more than 1 so it shows that the share
1 price is more volatile. These kinds of shares can
29 be
17-Mar-
7-Jan-11 5455.
6030. 5446.
5904. -- 0.0257
4.3857 2080
502.5 2099.
493.3by0.9278 - 0.8609
3.3156 -
chosen by the risk accepting investors to get better return accepting the risk3.8133
for the
11 49 656 0.1603
2.0942 25
36 35 1.820985 7 0.1488
61 46
study period. 91 2
18-Mar- 5475.
10-Jan-11 5901. 5373.
5762. - 3.4466
- 5.5041 2100.
494.4 2039.
477 - 8.2310
- 12.386 8.25685.3262
11 353 7 1.8565
85 2.3460 01
53 05 8 2.8689
3.5194 423 67
82
9 82
21-Mar-
11-Jan-11 5408.
5767. 5364.
5754. -- 0.6617
0.0576 1971
473.0 2043.
475.8 3.6783
0.5813 13.530
0.3379 --
11 75
95 75 0.8135
1 0.2401 77
58 5 5 36
34 15 2.9923
49 0.1395
2 19
22-Mar-
12-Jan-11 5390.
5800. 5413.
5863. 0.4266
1.0896 0.1820
1.1873 2031.
477.3 2039.
485.2 0.4234
1.6656 0.1792
2.7742 0.1806
1.8149
11 85
05 85
25 49
46 29
28 15 755 05
19 72
87 45
35
23-Mar- 5411.
13-Jan-11 5850. 5480.
5751. 1.2723 1.6187
- 2.8545 2025.
481 2024. -
483.1 0.4365 0.1906 0.0002 --
11 4
75 259 1.689514 83
01 1 75 0.01729 99
11 0.0219
0.7376
3 8 93
24-Mar- 5501.
14-Jan-11 5752. 5522.
5654. 0.3744 0.1401
- 2.8760 2020
485.4 2096.
474.8 3.7722 14.230
- 4.7688 3.70341.4124
11 81 4 1.6959
55 23 93
85 2 77
2.1837 08
34 27
54
25-Mar- 4.8 Calculation of BETA
5588. 5654. 1.1738 1.3778 of Dr. REDDY
2081. for
2097. 0.78807 0.6210 0.9250 to
the months from 1.10.2010
31.3.2011 11
17-Jan-11 65
5648. 25 0.1053
5654. 08 24
0.0110 05
475 45
465.4 64- 4.0846 44 35-
8 75 32 95 2.0210 54 0.2128
5 8
BETA5682.
18-Jan-11 CALCULATION :
5724. 0.7303 0.5333 466 484.3 3.9377 15.506 2.8757
55 05 06 47 5 68 02 76
19-Jan-11 5737. 5691. BETA = (N * ∑XY) – (∑X * ∑Y) / (N * (∑X ) – (∑ X) )
- 0.6512 485.3 484.4 - 2
0.0306 2
0.1413
35 05 0.8069 37 5 0.1751 77 44
9 5
20-Jan-11 5656 5711. 0.9830 0.9663 484 488.4 0.9090 0.8264 0.8936
6 27 42 91 46 61
21-Jan-11 5692. 126(76.40)-(-
5696. 0.0781 0.0061 21.99)(-1.78)
483.5 485.3 0.3826 0.1464 0.0299
05 5 79 12 5 27 03 13
= _____________________________
24-Jan-11 5717. 5743. 0.4574 0.2092 489 484.7 - 0.7553 -
1 25 15
(126)(167.74)-483.9) - (483.9) 5 0.8691 71 0.3975
2 4
25-Jan-11 5763. =5687. 0.46 - 1.7343 487.5 473.7 - 8.0132 3.7279
3 4 1.3169 67 2.8307 54 92
5 7
27-Jan-11 5725. 5604. - 4.4665 479.9 461.4 - 14.857 8.1463
3 3 2.1134 71 5 5 3.8545 7 46
3 7
28-Jan-11 5614 5512. - 3.2913 462 448.8 - 8.1632 5.1834
15 1.8142 74 2.8571 65 7
1 4
31-Jan-11 5452. 5505. 0.9784 0.9573 428.0 440.8 2.9903 8.9419 2.9258
55 9 41 47 5 5 05 23 38
3 2 2.1689 45 2.8270 06 87
3 1
2-Feb-11 5469. 5432 - 0.4713 431.7 436.6 1.1233 1.2618 -0.7712
55 0.6865 21 5 35 82
3
3-Feb-11 5430. 5526. 1.7733 3.1447 433.0 437.3 0.9814 0.9631 1.7403
45 75 34 12 5 11 67 69
4-Feb-11 5519. 5395. - 5.0586 432 416.5 - 12.790 8.0437
9 75 2.2491 08 5 3.5763 56 81
3 9
7-Feb-11 5430. 5396 - 0.3955 416 410.1 - 2.0114 0.8919
15 0.6289 1 1.4182 88 44
7
INFERENCE:
8-Feb-11 5432. 5312. - 4.8633 418 396.9 - 25.360 11.105
35 55 2.2053 79 5 5.0358 14 67
1 9
From 5293.
9-Feb-11 the above
5253.calculation- it 0.5569
was inferred that the
395 410BETA value 14.420
3.7974 of Dr. REDDY is 0.46 ,
-2.8339
it is less than 1 so it 05 55 the
shows that 0.7462
share price06is less volatile. The risk
68free investors
77 will prefer
6
to invest10-Feb-
in this security
5246. for5225.
the study period.
-0.386 0.149 404.1 417.1 3.2293 10.429 -
11 05 8 5 99 02 1.2465
6
11-Feb- 5219. 5310 1.7309 2.9962 413.2 418.2 1.2099 1.4639 2.0943
11 65 59 19 5 5 21 1 24
14-Feb- 5340. 5456 2.1675 4.6980 417.5 425.8 1.9880 3.9522 4.3090
11 25 02 63 24 39 45
4.9 Calculation
15-Feb- of BETA
5467. of GLAXO for
5481 0.2423 0.0587the months from
424.1 1.10.2010
423.8 to 31.3.2011
- 0.0034 -
11 75 3 24 5 0.0589 75 0.0142
5 8
16-Feb-
BETA5467. 5481. 0.2578
CALCULATION : 0.0665 420.2 417.3 - 0.4927 -
11 6 7 83 04 5 0.7019 52 0.1810
BETA = (N * ∑XY) – (∑X * ∑Y) / (N * (∑X 6 2) – (∑ X)2) 2
17-Feb- 5501. 5546. 0.8133 0.6615 419 424.4 1.3007 1.6918 1.0579
11 7 45 85 95 5 16 62 83
18-Feb- 5557. 5458. - 3.1476 423.3 426.1 0.6614 0.4375 -
11 55 95 1.7741 55 69 42 1.1735
126(19.75031)-(-
6 21.99)(-5.24) 5
21-Feb- 5456. 5518. 1.1362 1.2910 422.1 430.4 1.9663 3.8665 2.2342
11 6 = 6 _____________________________
39 38 59 66 53
22-Feb- 5504. 5469. - 0.4089 429.6 416.4
(126)(167.74)-483.9) - (483.9) - 9.3696 1.9574
11 4 2 0.6394 45 5 3.0609 41 66
= 0.1149 9
23-Feb- 5452. 5437. - 0.0766 421.5 416.2 - 1.5810 0.3482
11 45 35 0.2769 96 1.2574 9 28
4 1
24-Feb- 5408. 5262. - 7.2913 416 406.8 - 4.8378 5.9392
11 75 7 2.7002 73 5 2.1995 85 61
5 2
25-Feb- 5321. 5303. - 0.1081 412.8 417.5 1.1384 1.2960 -
11 05 55 0.3288 64 5 5 28 18 0.3744
8 1
28-Feb- 5330. 5333. 0.0581 0.0033 419.8 423.5 0.8813 0.7768 0.0512
INFERENCE: 11 15 25 6 83 72 17 6
1-Mar-11 5382 5522. 2.6068 6.7956 426.3 446.2 4.6680 21.790 12.168
3 38 02 74 92 91
3-Mar-11 5478. 5536. 1.0541 1.1111 440 430.4 - 4.7603 -
45 2 3 91 2.1818 31 2.2999
2 2
4-Mar-11 5586. 5538. - 0.7215 434 432.3 - 0.1445 0.3229
2 75 0.8494 05 5 0.3801 4 34
1 8
05 15 0.4899 78 3.0937 44 64
8 4
8-Mar-11 5466. 5520. 1.0007 1.0014 420 424 0.9523 0.9070 0.9530
1 8 13 27 81 29 6
9-Mar-11 5542. 5531 - 0.0423 423.5 415.5 - 3.5675 0.3885
4 0.2056 07 5 5 1.8888 54 01
From the above it was inferred
9 that the BETA value of GLAXO is 0.114 , it is less than
10-Mar-
1 so it shows 5516.
that the 5494.
share price is less- volatile.
0.1547 The 417 417.3
risk free 0.0719
investors 0.0051 to-0.0283
will prefer invest in this
11 1 4 0.3933 59 42 76
security since it is low risk. 9
11-Mar- 5456. 5445. - 0.0384 416.8 420.5 0.8997 0.8094 -
11 15 45 0.1961 59 5 12 82 0.1764
1 4
14-Mar- 5436. 5531. 1.7474 3.0535 417 425.5 2.0503 4.2039 3.5828
11 5 5 48 74 5 6 75 97
15-Mar- 5420 5449. 0.5470 0.2992 416.5 427.6 2.6647 7.1008 1.4577
11 65 48 61 5 5 46 72 44
16-Mar- 5475. 5511. 0.6428 0.4132 426.0 440.1 3.2977 10.875 2.1198
11 95 15
4.10 Calculation 11
of BETA 06
of SUNPHARMA 5 35
for the months 06 1.10.2010
from 2
17-Mar-
to 31.3.2011 5455. 5446. - 0.0257 434.1 435.3 0.2764 0.0764 -
11 4 65 0.1603 25 34 16 0.0443
9 4
18-Mar- 5475. 5373. - 3.4466 438.9 434.7 - 0.9157 1.7765
BETA CALCULATION :
11 35 7 1.8565 01 0.9569 3 57
42
BETA- =0.6617
(N * ∑XY)435.2
– (∑X *444.5
∑Y) / (N2.1252
* (∑X ) 4.5165
– (∑ X)2)
21-Mar- 5408. 5364. -
11 75 75 0.8135 77 5 15 4 1.7288
6
22-Mar- 5390. 5413. 0.4266 0.1820 443.5 450.6 1.6009 2.5628 0.6830
11 85 85 126(169.5118)-(-
49 29 21.99)(52.52) 02 87 23
23-Mar- 5411. 5480. 1.2723 1.6187 453 456.2 0.7174 0.5147 0.9128
11 4 = 25 _____________________________
14 83 5 39 19 08
24-Mar- 5501. 5522. 0.3744 0.1401 455.5 455.1 - 0.0077 -
11 8 4 (126)(167.74)-483.9)
23 93 - (483.9) 0.0878 12 0.0328
= 1.09 2 8
25-Mar- 5588. 5654. 1.1738 1.3778 469.7 458 - 6.2048 -2.9239
11 65 25 08 24 2.4909 4
5
28-Mar- 5645. 5687. 0.7439 0.5535 455.1 442.7 - 7.4222 -2.0269
11 25 25 88 19 5 5 2.7243 28
8
INFERENCE:
From the above calculation it was inferred that the BETA value of SUNPHARMA is 1.
09, it is more than 1 so it shows that the share price is more volatile. These kinds of shares can
be chosen by the risk accepting investors to get better return by accepting the risk for the study
period
4.11 TABLE SHOWING THE RELATIVE STRENGTH INDICATOR OF CIPLA
(Month Wise)
Sl. No. MONTH RSI
1 October 2010 66.7
2 November 2010 33.4
3 December 2010 33.4
4 January 2011 23.1
5 February 2011 23.0
6 March 2011 58.4
SOURCE : Secondary data
INFERENCE:
From the above chart it was inferred that the RSI value is reached to 23 so, it is decided to
purchase the scrip’s. If it is reached to above 30 and below 80 means it is decided to hold the
securities or apply stop loss procedure. Suppose if it is reached above 80 means it is decided to
sell.
4.12 TABLE SHOWING THE RELATIVE STRENGTH INDICATOR OF RANBAXY (Month Wise)
Sl. No. MONTH RSI
1 October 2010 53.1
2 November 2010 37.5
3 December 2010 57.9
4 January 2011 44.5
5 February 2011 23.1
6 March 2011 52.3
SOURCE : Secondary data
INFERENCE:
From the above chart it is inferred that the RSI value is reached to 23.1. So it is
decided to purchase the security and here all the other RSI value is above 30 and below 80 so, it
is better to hold the securities. If it reach above 80 in near future it is recommended to sell the
security. .
4.13 TABLE SHOWING THE RELATIVE STRENGTH INDICATOR OF Dr.REDDY(Month Wise)
Sl. No. MONTH RSI
1 October 2010 94.8
2 November 2010 71.6
3 December 2010 33.4
4 January 2011 37.5
5 February 2011 37.5
6 March 2011 54.7
SOURCE : Secondary data
INFERENCE:
From the above chart it is was inferred that the RSI value is reached to 94.8, So it is
decided to sell the scrip’s. The low risk investors can also sell the security since it reached 71.6.
There is no purchase process will be recommended as all the RSI values are above 30 for this
company for the study period.
INFERENCE:
From the above chart it is inferred that the RSI value is reached to 78.3, So it is
decided to sell the security and the low risk investors will sell the security when it reached into
71.8.
INFERENCE:
From the above chart it is inferred that the RSI value is reached to 28.6, So it is
decided to purchase the security. Since, it reached to 94.3 it is decided to sell the security. The
riskless investors can sell their securities when it comes to 68.7.
The price moving trend of CIPLA is highly fluctuating and it reaches maximum point of 66.7.
The risk free investors can sell their securities during this fluctuating time. Similar
fluctuating trend reaches the minimum point in the month of February (23.0).Hence, It is
said to be a best time to buy the securities since, the RSI Value is below 30. CIPLA is highly
positive correlated with NIFTY index movement and also the BETA value of CIPLA is 0.91 , it
is less than 1 so it shows that the share price is near to risk. These kinds of shares can be
chosen by the risk accepting investors to get better return by accepting the risk for the
study period.
The price moving trend of RANBAXY is highly fluctuating and it reaches maximum point
(57.9). It will be the period of holding the securities. Similar fluctuating trend reaches the
minimum point (23.1). Hence, It is decided as the best time to buy the securities. RANBAXY
is highly positive correlated with NIFTY index movement and also the BETA value of
RANBAXY is 1.018 , it is more than 1 so it shows that the share price is more volatile in
nature for the study period.
The price moving trend of Dr. REDDY is highly fluctuating and it reaches maximum point
(94.8).It was the best time to sell the securities. Similar fluctuating trend reaches the
minimum point (33.4). Hence, It is the best time to hold the securities. Dr. REDDY is
moderately positively correlated with NIFTY index movement and also the BETA value of Dr.
REDDY is 0.46, it is less than 1 so it shows that the share price is low risky in nature.
The price moving trend of GLAXOSMITHKLINE is highly fluctuating and it reaches maximum
point (78.3).It was the best time to hold the securities. Similar fluctuating trend reaches the
minimum point(5.7).Hence, It was the best time to buy the securities. GLAXOSMITHKLINE is
lowly positive correlated with NIFTY index movement and also the BETA value of
GLAXOSMITHKLINE is 0.11, it is less than 1 so it shows that the share price is low risky in
nature.
The price moving trend of SUNPHARMA is highly fluctuating and it reaches maximum point
(94.3).It was the best time to sell the securities. Similar fluctuating trend reaches the
minimum point in the month of January (28.6).Hence, It was the best time to buy the
securities.. SUNPHARMA is highly positive correlated with NIFTY index movement and also
the BETA value of SUNPHARMA is 1.09, it is more than 1 so it shows that the share price is
more risky in nature.
5.2 SUGGESTIONS
5.3 CONCLUSION
From this study, it has been observed that the risk level of RANBAXY and
SUNPHARMA are higher when compared with other selected companies. CIPLA, RANBAXY and
SUNPHARMA’S companies share price’s are moving in line with NIFTY Index. In addition the study
shows that share price of CIPLA, RANBAXY, GLAXOSMITHKLINE and SUNPHARMA are in upward
trend.
The investors should keenly watch the situations like market price, economy, production
and supply, returns, and the risk involved in a securities before taking decision on a particular
Company. This study will help the investors to know about the equity share prices movement and
current situation of pharmaceutical companies.
In addition, they can able to know the importance of pharmaceutical companies since, it is
projected to show double digit growth in near future owing to rise in Indian Pharmaceutical
outsourcing and increase in investment in R & D. Thereby the investors can gain better return.
BIBILIOGRAPHY
REFERENCES
3. Gupta.S.P., “Statistical Methods”, Sultan Chand & Co, 2nd Edition, 1998.
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