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Change amidst uncertainty: how banks are adapting to the emerging
regulatory landscape
Capco is pleased to present this The second, related observation is that some bank
report, which explores how capital leaders may not fully understand the exposure created by
markets firms are dealing with inadequate governance of trading operations within the
the dramatic changes that are new environment. Laws in the United States and the UK
underway in the financial services now impose stronger fiduciary and oversight requirements
industry. Based on research on a firm’s board members and executives, requirements
conducted by the Economist that extend to maintaining robust compliance around all
Intelligence Unit in March 2011, trading operations and banking.
the report provides insight into seven critical questions
regarding banks’ readiness for regulatory reform, which Whether or not their front-office moves are part of
were the subject of a recent Capco white paper.* broader corporate strategy, firms can become exposed
to significant fiduciary and reputation risks by executing
Among the many insights the survey provides, two are new business strategies without adequate controls,
especially noteworthy, and potentially reasons for caution. communications strategies and change management
in place. On the up-side, reorganizing quickly and
First, it is clear that the traders are driving change. purposefully, and creating compliance programs that
Trading operations are taking the lead in implementing meet the test of global regulators, can position banks
business models and processes to operate in the newly to increase market share and margin, both in existing
regulated environment. In some cases, they are quickly and emerging markets.
executing on geographic strategies, in jurisdictions
where regulations may be more favorable. In doing so, We hope the findings of this report help you chart a
trading operations appear to be outpacing their back- course to new opportunities, leveraging solid governance.
office and compliance functions by a wide margin. In Please let me know if you would like to discuss the
fact, more than half of the trading operations surveyed results or have any questions.
could be conducting business in an environment
without the necessary obligations support – capabilities
that simply may not exist in the local back office yet, or
that regulators may not have even fully defined.
Sean Culbert
Partner and Co-lead of Finance, Risk and Compliance
sean.culbert@capco.com
3
About this report
Change amidst uncertainty: how banks are adapting
to the emerging regulatory landscape is a Capco
report, written by the Economist Intelligence Unit.
It examines how, in light of continuing regulatory
uncertainty, financial institutions are reshaping their
capital markets businesses to operate effectively in the
new environment, and focuses particularly on the likely
effect of regulation on overall structure as well as front,
middle and back office operations.
4
Executive summary Key findings from the research include:
As the scale and intensity of the financial crisis became Banks see more opportunities than threats in
clear, industry participants knew that a tough regulatory the new regulatory environment. Almost a third of
response would follow. Those expectations have now respondents believe that new regulations will provide
been met. While the final rules remain uncertain in many opportunities to take market share as other banks
areas, a raft of regulatory change is in process. retrench or rethink their business models. Almost
two-thirds see regulatory change as an opportunity
The regulations create new capital requirements, address to transform their business at a systems and process
liquidity and counterparty risk, and push trading of more level. Some see this as a way to gain competitive
products onto exchange and into central clearing. They edge. However, they are unsure whether the greater
put in place new consumer protections and seek to transparency required by regulation will have a
reduce systemic risk in order to avoid the need for future positive or negative impact on competitiveness.
government intervention. The cumulative effect is forcing
the financial industry to fundamentally reassess business While preparations are well underway, the impact
models and operating practices. of regulations on bank structures is unclear.
More than half of respondents say they are at
This assessment is driving significant change in financial implementation stage. The US is further behind than
institutions. Banks are already exiting some businesses the UK, however, as the industry waits for many
and are likely to shrink or exit others as new capital elements of the Dodd-Frank Act to be translated into
rules make them less profitable. The location of new or regulations. Almost three-quarters have identified
expanding businesses will be rethought as firms assess where changes to systems need to be made in order
the relative impact of each jurisdiction’s regulatory to handle the new, higher levels of data required. A
constraints. New systems and processes are being put in similar number say they have a strategy in place to
place to meet demanding data capture, data management communicate the impact of regulatory changes to
and stress testing requirements. Communications with clients and counterparties.
clients and counterparties are being revamped, and new
reporting lines put in place. Connectivity will have to be However, the industry remains uncertain about
developed and new processes established to connect to how to adapt business entities and operations to
a swathe of new entities that will spring up in the clearing new regulations. More than half of respondents are
and settlement space. keen to retain existing organizational structures and
operating models. However, in 13 out of the 17 areas
In this changing environment, the Economist Intelligence of operation covered by the survey, the majority of
Unit conducted research, on behalf of Capco, to find respondents do not know if their firms will relocate or
out where banks are in terms of preparation for new outsource business functions, or create a shared utility.
regulations and what impact these are having on
operations. This research is based on a survey of senior Boards and senior management believe they have
executives at 60 banks, half based in the US and half in a good understanding of regulatory impact. The
the UK, working in operations, risk, trading or regulation. crisis has been a wake-up call for board members
The survey results have been supplemented with in- and senior management. With regulators and policy-
depth interviews with industry participants and experts. makers taking an increasingly tough line, boards and
Because of the sensitivity around this topic, interviewees executive management will be more accountable
preferred to speak off-the-record. for a firm’s decisions. According to the majority of
respondents, they have risen to this challenge and have
a good understanding of the implications increased
data transparency will have at their own businesses
as well as across the industry. Once changes to data
infrastructure are adopted, respondents are confident
that management will be able to prove they have better
control over information, as required by regulators.
5
Introduction
In its 10-K regulatory filing to the Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) for the fiscal year ending
in March 2011, Goldman Sachs revealed the impact
that US regulations have already had on the bank’s
operations. “In light of the Dodd-Frank Act, during
2010, we liquidated substantially all of the positions that
had been held within Principal Strategies in our former
Equities operating segment, as this was a proprietary
trading business. In addition, during the first quarter of
2011, we commenced the liquidation of the positions
that had been held by the global macro proprietary
trading desk in our former Fixed Income, Currency and
Commodities operating segment.”
6
Assessment, understanding and
implementation
The sales and trading functions of financial services Figure 1. At what stage is your company in preparing
firms seem to have moved quickly to determine which for changes required by regulatory reform?
97%
“We introduced transfer pricing for liquidity risk to all 100% U.S.
U.K.
our branches in June 2009,” he says. “Each branch 90%
has to match-fund itself. The reason we have been able 80%
80%
to move so quickly is because we operate a devolved
68%
model, where each branch is responsible for setting 70%
the appropriate prices for its own market. For this kind 60%
of decentralized pricing model to work, it’s critical for 50%
50%
branches to be charged the correct internal cost for
liquidity, so we already had the processes in place to 40%
enable us to implement this regulation.” 27%
30%
23%
20%
10%
0%
IFRS Basel III FACTA
7
Trading is running out in front
Figure 3. At what stage is your company in preparing On reflection, it is unsurprising that the trading space
for changes required by regulatory reform? is the most advanced in terms of preparation; they
are already positioning for the higher capital charges
100% Operations for various products contained in Basel III and for the
Risk
90%
Trading
proprietary trading ban in the Volker Rule.
Regulation
80%
73% “If you look at the changes to the trading book
70% 67%
treatments, they are so substantial that people have
60%
60% had to think through urgently what is the shape of the
business going forward, because the current business
50% 46% 46%
won’t be profitable,” says the head of prudential
40% advisory at a consulting firm. “And those trading
30% 27% book requirements hit much earlier [than some other
19% 20% 20% changes], so in the trading area it has become critical
20% 14% to move quickly. The treatment of counterparty risks
8% in trading books and of bank-to-bank exposures has
10%
0% gone up three to four times in total, and the treatment
0%
We have identified We have assessed We have begun of securitization books has gone up enormously, so
the regulatory how regulatory implementing
changes relevant changes will impact changes to our
people have already taken action, moving things out of
to our business our business business based trading books and into banking books.”
on our impact
assessments
8
A financial services partner at a consulting firm agrees
that the amount of new regulation is clearly an issue. “The
message from our research is that the sheer volume of
change is proving very challenging for firms. And it gets
more difficult as you move down from global statements Figure 4. Do you agree or disagree with the
following statements? We are looking at the new
of principal into regional rule-making, and then further regulatory environment as an opportunity to gain
down into national interpretation. We don’t see many market share.
institutions that have an overarching view of the impact
100%
on their firm. They may well be doing things on a local U.S.
U.K.
or regional level – but they do not have a consolidated 90%
50%
40% 36%
32%
30%
30% 26%
Threat or opportunity? 20%
23%
20% 17%
If banks see the challenges posed by regulation, they 10%
10% 7%
also see the opportunity. This is particularly true in
0%
the UK, where almost a third (32%) of respondents 0%
1 2 3 4 5
strongly agree that the new regulatory environment is Strongly agree Strongly disagree
an opportunity to gain market share. Bankers in the
US, however, are less optimistic, with only 20% clearly
positive about the potential for opportunity. (See Figure 4.)
Figure 5. Do you agree or disagree with the
Figure 4. Q3a, Do you agree or disagree with the
following statements? We are looking at the new
following statements? We are looking at the new regulatory
At first sight, this looks to be accounted for by the regulatory environment as an opportunity to gain
environment as an opportunity to gain market share
market share.
banning of proprietary trading and constraints on
principal investment – two of the most profitable areas
100% Operations
of investment banking in recent years – that have been Risk
90%
imposed on US banks by way of the Volker rule. But Trading
Regulation
looking into the survey results by function reveals that 80%
82% of traders agreed with the potential to gain market
70%
share, and none of them disagreed. It is the operations 64%
and risk functions which see more danger than promise 60%
9
There is also a worry that the changes in Basel III are
so big, if any provision unwittingly creates an unlevel
playing field it could proffer huge advantages to certain
players. Unequal treatment in just a single area of Basel
III could have far-reaching effects.
70%
40%
39% Part of the optimism surrounding the chance to
29%
win market share or gain some form of competitive
30% 26% 27%
23% advantage is tied to the potential of new regulations to
20%
20% 17% have a transformative effect on the business. This has
13%
clearly been picked up by survey respondents, with
10% 7%
0%
more than half (57%) agreeing with this proposal and
0%
the UK, again, markedly more optimistic than the US.
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly agree Strongly disagree (See Figure 6.)
10
operations in a way that benefits the group, rather than
how it suits the individual business. If we can break
down silos, there are clearly opportunities to generate
competitive advantage from that.
11
Banks are uncertain about the effect of these
transparency requirements on their competitiveness,
although some have expressed concern that sensitive
data about capital, liquidity and exposures could easily
leak out into the marketplace. Although some of the
regulations specifically aim to increase transparency
in the trading arena, the trading function is the least
concerned about the impact. (See Figure 7.)
12
For some banks, data projects are about creating
value as well as compliance. “We identified information
architecture as the lynchpin in meeting new regulations
early on, so we are quite a long way down the road in
terms of where we need to be in order to change our Figure 8. In what areas do you need additional or
information systems,” says the head of IT at a large more detailed information from counterparties,
due to recent regulatory reform?
US bank. “Because we also identified that this is an
area where we could create value for the business, we
100%
prioritized this over some other IT projects.”
90%
calculating the newly introduced net stable funding ratio 30% 26%
and the liquidity coverage ratio, and have the capability to 18%
20%
stress test our calculations and report to our board and to
10%
regulators. Because the Basel Senior Supervisors Group
favors a standardized centralized risk data set – the so- 0%
called single source of truth – on the IT side, this means
iss ition
ica lient
g
da al
uc te
ca al
l
ns
era
s
sin
ta
e
n
allo pit
str ra
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ue
tur
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banks will have to integrate data sources and adopt new
et
llat
rpo
en
Ca
sac
mp
Co
Lic
Co
un
data modeling techniques.”
n
Co
Tra
mm
co
Figure 8. Q5, overall
Figure 9. In what areasyou
In what areas do doneed
youadditional or more detailed
need additional or
moreinformation
detailedfrom counterparties,
information fromdue to recent regulatory reform?
counterparties,
due to recent regulatory reform?
100%
100% Operations
Risk
90% Trading
Regulation
80%
70% 64%
62% 62%
60% 60%
60% 54% 55%
48%
46%
50% 43% 42% 42% 42%
40%
36% 36%
40% 33% 33% 33%
30%
20% 21% 20%
17% 18%
20%
10%
9%
10%
0%
0%
tio t
iss ion
ral
da al
g
ica lien
s
ca al
uc e
ta
ns
n
e
sin
ue
n
str orat
allo apit
e
tur
tio
etit
tio
llat
C
en
sac
mp
rp
C
Co
Lic
Co
un
n
Co
Tra
mm
co
70% 70%
60%
60% 60%
52%
50% 50% 46% 46%
38% 38%
40% 36% 40%
33%
30% 30% 25% 25%
20% 20%
20% 16% 20%
10%
8% 8% 9%
10% 10% 5%
2% 4%
0% 0%
0% 0% 0%
0% 0%
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5
Strongly agree Strongly disagree Strongly agree Strongly disagree
70% 70%
60%
60% 60%
54%
50% 50%
44%
38% 40%
40% 40% 36% 36%
33%
28%
30% 30% 25%
19%
20% 16% 20% 18%
10% 13% 10%
10% 9%
10%
2% 4% 4%
0%
0% 0% 0% 0%
0% 0%
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5
Strongly agree Strongly disagree Strongly agree Strongly disagree
50% 45%
As a result of the change, Barclays folded a credit-card
39%
operation into a new US entity that is a direct subsidiary 40%
of the British parent company. The credit-card bank is 27%
30%
30%
regulated by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 20%
and needs no additional injection of capital. Before the 20%
13%
10% 10%
move, Barclays Capital, the group’s investment bank, 10%
3% 3%
was held within Barclays Group US Inc., which was
0%
subject to federal capital requirements. It will now be 1 2 3 4 5
subject to SEC regulation instead. Strongly agree Strongly disagree
100%
90%
80%
68% 66%
70% 66% 65%
63%
61% 61% 60% 58% 58%
60% 53%
50% 50% 48% 47%
50% 43%
39%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
g
t
les
ce
tio /
rch
s
en
ry
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ing
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Sa
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vat
rke
eta
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km
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Pri
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rpo
pri
en
Fin
Ris
Pro
Cli
Co
17
Conclusion
As financial institutions operating in the US and UK
continue to ask themselves questions such as these,
attempting to determine how best to reshape their
businesses in light of new regulatory requirements, they
also await clarification from regulators on both sides of
the pond. The interim report of the Independent Banking
Commission in the UK was released mid-April, but the
final report is not out until September. However, the
recommendations of the Commission, such as ring-
fencing retail operations and improving capital buffers,
are just that – recommendations, which must be accepted
by the government and implemented before banks have
absolute clarity on the detail of new regulation. In the
US, the SEC and other regulators are working towards
a July deadline for implementation of Dodd-Frank but
already there is talk of a delay of up to 18 months for
some parts of the Act. These delays may give gives
banks more opportunity to work with regulators to find
solutions that make the financial system safer while
maintaining competitiveness – or they may just drag out
the uncertainty.
18
Appendix
Figure 1. At what stage is your company in preparing for changes required by regulatory reform?
Figure 2. Figure
Have A-1.
youAt
orwhat stageplan
do you is your
tocompany in implementation
align the preparing for changes
of required by regulatory
your country’s main reform?
regulatory
reform with that of any of the following regulations? Select all that apply.
IFRS 59%
FACTA 25%
Figure Q2. Have you or do you plan to align the implementation of your country’s main regulatory reform
19
with that of any of the following regulations? Select all that apply
Figure 3. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Please rate on a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strongly agree and 5 is strongly disagree.
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly agree Strongly disagree
Figure Q3. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Please rate on a scale of 1 to 5
where 1 is strongly agree and 5 is strongly disagree.
20
Figure 4. In what areas do you need additional or more detailed information from
clients, due to recent regulatory reform? Select all that apply.
Household/individual 23%
balance sheet
Figure Q4. In what areas do you need additional or more detailed information from clients, due to
recent regulatory reform? Select all that apply.
21
Figure 5. In what areas do you need additional or more detailed information from
counterparties, due to recent regulatory reform? Select all that apply.
Collateral 53%
Licensing 26%
Figure Q5. In what areas do you need additional or more detailed information from clients, due to
recent regulatory reform? Select all that apply.
22
Figure 6. Due to regulatory change, which business functions do you anticipate
having to relocate or outsource, partly or completely? Select all that apply.
Figure Q7. What impact will relocation and/or outsourcing decisions have on attracting and
retaining talent? Select all that apply.
24
Figure 8. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Please rate on a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strongly agree and 5 is strongly disagree.
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly agree Strongly disagree
Figure Q8. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Please rate on a scale of 1 to 5
where 1 is strongly agree and 5 is strongly disagree.
25
Figure 9. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Please rate on a scale of 1 to 5 where 1 is strongly agree and 5 is strongly disagree.
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly agree Strongly disagree
Figure Q9. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Please rate on a scale of 1 to 5
where 1 is strongly agree and 5 is strongly disagree.
26
About Capco
Capco, a global business and technology consultancy dedicated solely to the financial services
industry. We work in this sector only. We recognize and understand the opportunities and the
challenges our clients face. We apply focus, insight and determination to consulting, technology
and transformation. We overcome complexity. We remove obstacles. We help our clients realize
their potential for increasing success. The value we create, the insights we contribute and
the skills of our people mean we are more than consultants. We are a true participant
in the industry. Together with our clients we are forming the future of finance. We serve
our clients from offices in leading financial centers across North America and Europe.
Worldwide offices
Amsterdam • Antwerp • Bangalore • Chicago • Frankfurt • Geneva • Johannesburg
London • New York • Paris • San Francisco • Toronto • Washington DC • Zürich
To learn more, contact us at +1 877 328 6868 or visit our website at capco.com.