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Economic Considerations for Deep Sea Mining

SPC-EU EDF10 Deep Sea Minerals Project Nadi, Fiji June 2011

Linwood Pendleton Director Ocean and Coastal Policy Duke University

Why an Economic Analysis?


Make sure you account for (most) possible costs and benefits? market, non-market social, environmental Set proper expectations Determine proper levels of investment Not maximize investment Choose best investment How to reinvest What to tax, when Understand future outcomes Plan

Technology

Consumers Processing

Agriculture

Ship/Port
(crew, maintenance, support)

Mining Fiscal Policy Royalties, taxes

Equipment Manufacturer

Money versus Value


MONEY: Gross revenues VALUE (Added and Lost) - Profits (rent) - Price Effects * for metal buyers * for locals wages materials and scarce resources - Environmental and Social Effects

Follow the Money: Benefits, Costs, Transfers


subsidies (tax holiday) taxes jobs (benefit, cost) multipliers leakage schools, health centers, etc. mitigation (compensation) costs enforcement administration and bureaucracy

ID O V

NOAA OAR

Competing and Complementary Uses


Mining Processing Tourism Fishing Research

Non-Market Considerations

Existence Value?
Charismatic habitat or species? Scarce? Scale?

NOAA OAR

Other Non-Use, Future Use, and Option Values

Medicinal Values Biotechnology (hemoglobin) Biodiversity Value Cultural Values

Other Environmental Effects


Impacts on Ecosystem Services Cumulative Effects -sound - light Carbon Effects ? Compared to ...? Time to recovery

www.marineecosystemservices.org

Where are the environmental impacts?


Technology Consumers Processing Ship/Port
(maintenance, crew, support)

Agriculture

Mining

Equipment Manufacturer

Time
Prices Technology and costs Jobs Environmental costs - Recovery or irreversible Wellbeing

Its Complicated
Economic assessment has many dimensions - jobs, taxes, profit - value How much wealth do you need? How will mining affect future values, development, societal goals, happiness Time (sustainability of benefits, not activity) Don't be so sure ... - think ahead - act - think again Think regionally (analysis)

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