Market Insights

Headlines

20 June 2011

EU inches closer to deal on Greece but no details released yet Risk currencies open the week lower as European fears linger Aussie sees strong gains on Friday, but gaps lower on weekly open Commodities weaken as growth fears remain Asian equity markets start new week in the black with financials leading This weeks highlights include BoE minutes on Wed, Fed meeting Thurs morning, and US jobs on Thurs

AUD/USD
Resistance 1.0640 Support 1.0480 Market Sentiment

Rangebound

Theres been no real change on the Aussie, with the local currency pushing back up to resistance on Friday and it now looks ready to head back to the lower end of the range. The Aussie has gapped lower this morning and that can often be a clue that the initial momentum will be to the downside.

XAU/USD
Resistance 1540 Support 1520 Market Sentiment

Rangebound

As we have noted over recent days, gold is trading in a clear consolidation pattern with an upward sloping channel currently defining trade on the precious metal. There is clear resistance at 1540 and traders will be looking to sell this move back to the lower end of the channel at 1520.

EUR/USD
Resistance 1.4320/40 Support 1.4100 Market Sentiment

Bearish The Euro pushed higher on Friday helped by the perception that the EU was close to agreeing to bailout terms for Greece, but over the weekend it appears agreement is still some time off. For now, the path of least resistance appears lower, and traders will be looking to sell moves back to the downtrend line.

GBP/USD
Resistance 1.6200 Support 1.6060 Market Sentiment

Bearish The GBPUSD is still stuck underneath resistance at 1.6200 and this will define trade in the near term. Traders will be looking to sell any rally back to 1.6200 with the expectation of a move back to 1.6060.

USD/JPY
Resistance 80.50 Support 80.00 Market Sentiment

Bullish USD/JPY has found support at 80.00 and the market now expects to see a move back to resistance up at 80.50. A move back to 80.50 is also likely to be seen as sellable so traders will be most likely looking to play the range in the near term.

SILVER
Resistance 36.00 Support 35.00 Market Sentiment

Bearish (until a break above 36.00) Silver continues to find strong overhead resistance at 36.00 and traders will be looking to sell any rallies back to this level. That said, the rising support at the lower end of this triangle pattern suggests we will see a break to the upside and any move above 36.00 should see the bulls re-emerge.

USD/CHF
Resistance 85.50 Support 84.50 Market Sentiment

Bearish The Swiss Franc is still finding resistance up at 85.50, but the most recent price action suggests that there is a possibility of a break higher in the week ahead. For now, however, traders will be looking to sell any move back to 85.50, but a break of that level turns the picture bullish.

GBP/JPY
Resistance 130.00 Support 129.30 Market Sentiment

Bearish The GBP/JPY continues to trade lower and it appears that the pair is now trading below previous support at 130.00. Traders will be waiting for a move back to 130.00 to take new short or looking for a break below 129.30.

AUD/JPY
Resistance 86.30 Support 84.50 Market Sentiment

Bearish

Theres no real change on the AUD/JPY either, with the pair continuing to trade within its descending triangle formation. Traders will be looking sell a move to 86.30 or waiting for that break below 84.50, but that might still be some time coming.

OIL
Resistance 94.00 Support 92.00 Market Sentiment

Bearish Oil is trading in a clear step-down pattern with key levels now seen at 96, 94 and 92. For now support is seen at 92.00, but with the bears in control of this market, any break below 92.00 is likely to generate further selling.

Economic Calendar
F/Cast
EUR: German PPI m/m EUR: Currents Account EUR: ECOFIN Meetings 0.2% -4.8B

Last
1.0% -4.7B GBP: MPC Posen Speaks CAD: BOC Gov Carney Speaks

F/Cast

Last

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