THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS

OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT POLICY

Required Report - public distribution

Date: GAIN Report Number:

7/13/2010

Pakistan Oilseeds and Products Annual 2010

Approved By: Joe M. Carroll Prepared By: Mohammad Shafiq Ur Rehman Report Highlights:
Pakistans vegetable oil imports are forecast at a record 2.45 million metric tons (MMT) in Marketing Year (MY) 2010/11, 10 percent higher than the 2009/10 imports estimated at 2.23 MMT. Nearly 80 percent of domestic consumption of vegetable oil is met through imports, 83 percent of which comprised of palm oil. Pakistans MY 2010/11 imports of soybean meal are projected at a record 360,000 tons, to be largely sourced from India. Production of oilseeds in 2010/11 is forecast at 5.1 MMT, up slightly from the estimated 4.9 MMT harvested in 2009/10. Imports of oilseeds are forecast at a record 1.38 MMT (72 percent rape seed and 28 percent sunflower seed).

Executive Summary:
Pakistan is a net importer of oilseeds and edible oils. Domestic production of edible oils is only sufficient to meet 20 percent of total demand. In keeping with population growth, a larger proportion of Pakistans consumption of vegetable oil is being met by imports as domestic production of oilseeds has been relatively flat. Domestic oilseed production includes cotton, sunflower seed, and rapeseed. The introduction of canola, olive, and oil palm cultivation has met with limited success. MY 2010/11 oilseed production is forecast at 5.1 MMT, 4 percent higher than last years estimate of 4.9 MMT. Cottonseed regularly accounts for about 90 percent of Pakistans total oilseeds production. Imports of oilseeds are forecast at 1.4 MMT (72 percent of which are rapeseed/ canola), roughly the same as the previous years level of imports. Total supply of oilseed available for crushing in MY 2010/11 is forecasted at 5.63 MMT, or 3.5 percent higher than the previous year. MY 2009/10 domestic meal production is forecast at 3 MMT, up 16 percent from last years level mainly due to anticipated increase in cotton production. MY 2010/11 imports of soybean meal are forecast at a record 360,000 tons, 26 percent higher compared with last years estimate. Virtually all of Pakistans soy meal imports are sourced from India. MY 2010/11 oil production is forecast at 1.4 million tons, 12 percent more than the previous year. Vegetable oil imports are forecast at a record 2.45 MMT, an increase of 12 percent relative to MY2009/10. Palm oil accounts for 83 percent of the total imports.

Commodities: Oilseed, Cottonseed Oilseed, Rapeseed Oilseed, Sunflowerseed Oilseed, Soybean Production:
Total domestic oilseed production during MY 2010/11 (Oct-Sep) is forecast at 5.1 MMT, up 4 percent over the 2009/10 production estimate due to an anticipated increase in cottonseed production. Production of cottonseed is forecast at 4.6 MMT, 7 percent higher than last years production estimate. Sunflower seed production is forecast at 350,000 tons, down 13 percent from last year and rapeseed production is forecast at 180,000 tons, 4 percent lower than the previous year. Total oilseed production in 2009/10 was revised downward and is estimated at 4.9 MMT. Farmers have shifted area away from sunflower and rapeseed in response to attractive prices for competing crops such as wheat, sugarcane and rice. Cottonseed: Cottonseed is the major oilseed crop grown in Pakistan, accounting for about 90 percent of domestic oilseed production. It is produced primarily for fiber, with oil and meal production being of secondary importance. Seed cotton contains both lint and cottonseed. Lint is the basic input for the domestic textile industry and a major contributor to Pakistans exports.

MY 2010/11 cottonseed production is forecast at 4.6 million tons, up 7 percent over the previous years output, mainly due to higher cotton prices. Rapeseed: Domestic rapeseed/canola production has gradually decreased since 2008 and accounts for about 6 percent of total oilseed production in Pakistan. Efforts to replace rapeseed with higher-yielding canola varieties have not met with much success due to competition from the wheat crop and problems associated with availability of quality seeds and other agronomic practices. MY 2010/11 rapeseed production is forecast at 180,000 tons down 4 percent from last years estimated crop of 187,000 tons. Sunflower seed: Sunflower production in Pakistan has fluctuated over the years mainly due to the government policy of supporting competing crops like wheat, rice, sugarcane. Total area planted to sunflower has gradually decreased since 2007/08 and Pakistani farmers have reduced their planted acreage due to its uncompetitiveness relative to other competing crops (cotton, rice, sugarcane). Handling and marketing issues have also adversely affected sunflower production. MY 2010/11 sunflower seed production is forecast at 350,000 tons, down 13 percent from last years estimate of 400,000 tons.

Consumption:
In 2005, the Government of Pakistan (GOP) liberalized the import of oilseeds, since then the crushing industry has improved its efficiency by overhauling older machinery and installing high-tech solvent extraction equipment. Total oilseed crush in 2010/11 is likely to be higher than in 2009/10 because of anticipated higher production and record imports. Almost 85 to 90 percent of total oilseed production is crushed for oil with the balance quantity used for food, feed, and seed purposes.

Trade:
Imports of oilseeds are forecast at 1.4 MMT in MY 2010/11, up 4 percent over last years estimate. Increased demand for edible oil from the burgeoning population and for oilseed meal the growing livestock and poultry sectors have led to an increasing dependence on imported oilseeds to bridge the gap between supply and demand. The MY 2010/11 oilseed import forecast includes 1.0 million tons of rapeseed/canola (mainly from Canada and Australia), and 380,000 tons of sunflower (mainly from Australia). Since June 2005, the GOP has exempted oilseeds from customs duty and sales tax. Vegetable oils are assessed a fixed customs duty along with a 15 percent sales tax and 2 percent withholding tax. MY 2009/10 oilseed imports were estimated at 1.3 million metric tons. Rapeseed/canola seed are typically sourced from Canada and Australia.

Policy:
There is no support price mechanism for oilseeds and the GOP does not procure oilseeds. The GOP treats oilseeds as a low priority sector as compared to other crops like wheat, rice, cotton and sugarcane. The lack of availability of quality seed, poor coordination among research organizations, lack of suitable machinery for planting, harvesting and threshing operations, improper dissemination of site-specific production technologies and lack of research-based crop management are some of the major constraints being faced by the oilseed sector. Zero import duty for oilseed has facilitated in the development of a viable domestic crushing industry. Given the poor quality of local oilseeds and logistical hurdles of transporting oilseeds to crushing facilities, the domestic crushing industry has focused more on importing quality oilseeds rather than providing incentives to local growers to increase area planted in oilseeds.

Marketing: Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics:

Total Oilseeds Pakistan
USDA Official

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

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2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Jun 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Jun 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Area Planted (Cotton) Area Harvested (Cotton) Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Crush Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD

3222 3622 136 4912 786 0 15 5834 0 0 5040 0 727 5767 67 5834 0 0 0 0 0

3722 3522 29 4992 1250 0 0 6271 0 0 5566 2 675 6243 28 6271 0 0 0 0

3152 3472 29 4553 810 0 0 5392 0 0 4700 2 662 5364 28 5392 0 0 0 0 0

3262 3722 67 5217 1010 2 15 6294 0 0 5690 0 841 6171 123 6294 0 0 0 0

3662 3662 28 5106 1100 0 0 6234 0 0 5428 2 769 6199 35 6234 0 0 0 0

3212 3512 28 4889 1335 0 0 6252 0 0 5440 2 770 6212 40 6252 0 0 0 0 0

3462 3922 123 5517 1060 0 0 6700 0 0 5730 0 848 6578 122 6700 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

3302 3552 40 5132 1380 0 0 6552 0 0 5630 2 880 6512 40 6552 0 0 0 0 0

Oilseed, Cottonseed Pakistan

USDA Official

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Jun 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Jun 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Area Planted (Cotton) Area Harvested (Cotton) Seed to Lint Ratio Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Crush Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports

2,950 2,900 0 0 4,000 0 0 0 4,000 0 0 3,400 0 600 4,000 0 4,000 0 0 0

3000 2800 67 0 4080 0 0 0 4080 0 0 3550 0 530 4080 0 4080 0 0 0

2,900 2,900 67 0 3,920 0 0 0 3,920 0 0 3,400 0 520 3,920 0 3,920 0 0 0

3,000 3,000 0 0 4,300 0 0 0 4,300 0 0 3,600 0 700 4,300 0 4,300 0 0 0

2960 2960 67 0 4284 0 0 0 4284 0 0 3650 0 634 4284 0 4284 0 0 0

2,980 2,980 67 0 4,300 0 0 0 4,300 0 0 3,700 0 600 4,300 0 4,300 0 0 0

3,200 3,200 0 0 4,600 0 0 0 4,600 0 0 3,900 0 700 4,600 0 4,600 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

3,100 3,100 67 0 4,600 0 0 0 4,600 0 0 3,900 0 700 4,600 0 4,600 0 0 0

CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD Oilseed, Rapeseed Pakistan

0 0 2008/2009

0 0

0 0

0 0

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Area Planted Area Harvested Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Crush Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD Oilseed, Sunflowerseed Pakistan

270 270 93 225 596 0 15 914 0 0 806 0 95 901 13 914 350 0 0 0 0

270 270 13 225 900 0 0 1138 0 0 1035 0 90 1125 13 1138 0 0 0 0 0

250 250 13 207 650 0 0 870 0 0 760 0 97 857 13 870 0 0 0 0 0

260 270 13 230 830 0 15 1073 0 0 900 0 95 995 78 1073 800 0 0 0 0

260 260 13 220 800 0 0 1033 0 0 933 0 85 1018 15 1033 0 0 0 0 0

230 230 13 187 980 0 0 1,180 0 0 1,040 0 120 1,160 20 1,180 0 0 0 0 0

260 270 78 230 800 0 15 1108 0 0 956 0 96 1052 56 1108 800 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

200 200 20 180 1,000 0 0 1,200 0 0 1,050 0 130 1,180 20 1,200 0 0 0 0 0

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Area Planted Area Harvested Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Crush Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD Oilseed, Soybean Pakistan

0 450 43 685 190 0 0 918 0 0 834 0 30 864 54 918 10 0 0 0 0

450 450 16 685 350 0 0 1051 0 0 981 0 55 1036 15 1051 0 0 0 0 0

0 320 16 424 160 0 0 600 0 0 540 0 45 585 15 600 0 0 0 0 0

0 450 54 685 170 0 0 909 0 0 820 0 44 864 45 999 10 0 0 0 0

400 400 15 600 300 0 0 915 0 0 845 0 50 895 20 915 0 0 0 0 0

0 300 15 400 355 0 0 770 0 0 700 0 50 750 20 770 0 0 0 0 0

0 450 45 685 250 0 0 980 0 0 864 0 50 914 66 980 10 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 250 20 350 380 0 0 750 0 0 680 0 50 730 20 750 0 0 0 0 0

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Jun 2009

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Jun 2010

USDA Official

Old Post

New Post

USDA Official

Old Post

New Post

USDA Official

Old Post

New Post

Area Planted Area Harvested Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Crush Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD

2 2 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0

2 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

2 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

2 2 0 2 10 2 0 12 0 0 10 0 2 12 0 12 10 2 0 0 0

2 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

2 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

2 2 0 2 10 2 0 12 0 0 10 0 2 12 0 12 10 2 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2 2 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

Commodities: Meal, Cottonseed Meal, Rapeseed Meal, Sunflowerseed Meal, Soybean Production:
Oilseed meal production in MY 2010/11 is forecast at 3.0 MMT, up 16 percent over MY 2009/10. Oil meal production in MY 2009/10 was revised upward slightly to 2.6 MMT due to higher than anticipated oilseed imports. The domestic crushing industry traditionally produces an oilseed meal ration comprised of 70 percent cottonseed, 21 percent rapeseed/canola and 9 percent sunflower seed.

Consumption:
MY 2010/11 meal requirements are forecast to increase to a record 3.3 MMT due to the anticipated expansion of the poultry, dairy and livestock sectors. The forecast is also based on the assumption that there would be no major outbreak of avian influenza in the poultry sector. Traditional feed rations (cottonseed meal, rapeseed meal and sunflower seed meal) are inadequate and contain minimal protein. Feed millers are using increasing quantities of soybean meal to improve the meal quality. The growing demand for higher quality protein meal by livestock and poultry producers has increased the use of soybean meal from the traditional 5-7 percent to 10-15 percent.

Trade:

Virtually all of Pakistans meal imports are comprised of soybean meal imported from India. Imports in MY2010/11 are forecast at a record 360,000 tons, up 26 percent over last years estimate. Prospects for imports of U.S. soybean meal remains limited due to higher freight charges relative to India.

Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics:

Total Meals Pakistan 2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008
USDA Official Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Jun 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Jun 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD Meal, Cottonseed Pakistan

5040 65 2386 273 0 0 2724 3 0 0 0 2656 2656 65 2724 0 0 0 0 0

5556 115 2649 300 0 0 3064 15 0 0 0 2927 2927 122 3064 0 0 0 0 0

4700 65 2242 273 0 0 2580 10 0 0 0 2500 2500 70 2580 0 0 0 0 0

5330 65 2536 285 0 0 2886 2 0 0 0 2793 2793 91 2886 0 0 0 0 0

5428 122 2580 350 0 0 3052 15 0 0 0 2925 2925 112 3052 0 0 0 0 0

5440 70 2611 285 0 0 2966 15 0 0 0 2879 2879 72 2966 0 0 0 0 0

5730 91 2726 285 0 0 3102 2 0 0 0 3009 3009 91 3102 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

5630 72 3024 360 0 0 3446 20 0 0 0 3336 3336 90 3446 0 0 0 0 0

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Jun 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Jun 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Extr. Rate, 999.9999 Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. SME TS=TD

3,400 0. 65 1,565 0 0 0 1,630 0 0 0 0 1,565 1,565 65 1,630 0 0 0 0 1,268 0

3550 0.46 115 1633 0 0 0 1748 0 0 0 0 1626 1626 122 1748 0 0 0 0 0 0

3,400 0.4603 65 1,565 0 0 0 1,630 0 0 0 0 1,560 1,560 70 1,630 0 0 0 0 1,264 0

3,600 0. 65 1,657 0 0 0 1,722 0 0 0 0 1,631 1,631 91 1,722 0 0 0 0 1,322 0

3650 0.46 122 1680 0 0 0 1802 0 0 0 0 1690 1690 112 1802 0 0 0 0 0 0

3,700 0.46 70 1,702 0 0 0 1,772 0 0 0 0 1,700 1,700 72 1,772 0 0 0 0 1,378 0

3,900 0. 91 1,795 0 0 0 1,886 0 0 0 0 1,795 1,795 91 1,886 0 0 0 0 1,454 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

3900 0.4604 72 2,118 0 0 0 2,190 0 0 0 0 2,100 2,100 90 2,190 0 0 0 0 1,702 0

Meal, Rapeseed Pakistan

USDA Official

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Extr. Rate, 999.9999 Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. SME TS=TD

806 1. 0 475 0 0 0 475 3 0 0 0 472 472 0 475 0 0 2 0 336 0

1035 0.59 0 609 0 0 0 609 15 0 0 0 594 594 0 609 0 0 0 0 0 0

760 0.5921 0 450 0 0 0 450 10 0 0 0 440 440 0 450 0 0 0 0 313 0

900 1. 0 530 0 0 0 530 2 0 0 0 528 528 0 530 0 0 2 0 376

933 0.59 0 550 0 0 0 550 15 0 0 0 535 535 0 550 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,040 0.5913 0 615 0 0 0 615 15 0 0 0 600 600 0 615 0 0 0 0 427 0

956 1. 0 563 0 0 0 563 2 0 0 0 561 561 0 563 0 0 2 0 399

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,050 0.5905 0 620 0 0 0 620 20 0 0 600 600 0 620 0 0 0 0 427 0

Meal, Sunflowerseed Pakistan

USDA Official

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Extr. Rate, 999.9999 Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. SME TS=TD

834 0. 0 346 0 0 0 346 0 0 0 0 346 346 0 346 0 0 0 0 327 0

981 0 0 407 0 0 0 407 0 0 0 0 407 407 0 407 0 0 0 0 0 0

540 0.4204 0 227 0 0 0 227 0 0 0 0 227 227 0 227 0 0 0 0 214 0

820 0. 0 341 0 0 0 341 0 0 0 0 341 341 0 341 0 0 0 0 322

845 0 0 350 0 0 0 350 0 0 0 0 350 350 0 350 0 0 0 0 0 0

700 0.42 0 294 0 0 0 294 00 0 0 0 294 294 0 294 0 0 0 0 278 0

864 0. 0 360 0 0 0 360 0 0 0 0 360 360 0 360 0 0 0 0 340 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

680 0.4206 0 286 0 0 0 286 0 0 0 0 286 286 0 286 0 0 0 0 270 0

Meal, Soybean Pakistan

USDA Official

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Extr. Rate, 999.9999 Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. SME TS=TD

0 0. 0 0 273 0 0 273 0 0 0 0 273 273 0 273 205 0 0 0 273 0

0 0 0 0 300 0 0 300 0 0 0 0 300 300 0 300 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0. 0 0 273 0 0 273 0 0 0 0 273 273 0 273 0 0 0 0 273 0

10 1. 0 8 285 0 0 293 0 0 0 0 293 293 0 293 285 0 0 0 293 0S

0 0 0 0 350 0 0 350 0 0 0 0 350 350 0 350 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0. 0 0 285 0 0 285 0 0 0 0 285 285 0 285 0 0 0 0 285 0

10 1. 0 8 285 0 0 293 0 0 0 0 293 293 0 293 285 0 0 0 293

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0. 0 0 360 0 0 360 0 0 0 0 360 360 0 360 0 0 0 0 360 0

Commodities: Oil, Cottonseed Oil, Rapeseed Oil, Sunflowerseed Oil, Soybean Oil, Palm Production:
Total edible oil production in MY 2010/11 is forecast at 1.4 MMT, up 12 percent over the MY 2009/10 due to an anticipated increased availability of oilseeds and larger crush. Domestic oil production is sufficient to meet only about 20 percent of demand with the balance met through imports. A growing population and only a limited ability to expand domestic production means that larger imports will be needed in order to meet Pakistans increasing demand for edible oils. MY 2009/10 edible oil production is estimated at 1.27 MMT, which includes 576,000 tons of cottonseed oil, 416,000 tons of rapeseed oil and 280,000 tons of sunflower seed oil.

Consumption:
MY 2010/11 oil consumption is forecast at 3.9 MMT up about 12 percent over last years estimate due to increasing population. The share of imported oil in total consumption is anticipated close to 80 percent. Palm oil continues to be the largest consumed edible oil. For health reasons consumers are gradually shifting from hydrogenated oils towards soft oils. However, price remains the determining factor in most consumers purchasing decisions.

Trade:
Pakistan is one of the worlds largest importers of vegetable oil. In MY 2010/11, palm oil imports are forecast at a record 2.4 MMT, up 9 percent from last years estimate of 2.2 MMT. Refined palm oil accounts for about 83 percent of Pakistans total edible oil imports. The United States exports only limited quantities of soybean oil to Pakistan in the form of food aid.

Production, Supply and Demand Data Statistics:

Total Oils Pakistan
USDA Official

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Jun 2009

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2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Jun 2010

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Crush Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD Oil, Cottonseed Pakistan

5040 205 1179 1993 0 0 3377 54 0 130 3032 64 3226 97 3377 0 0 0 0 0

5556 157 1158 2081 20 0 3396 0 0 107 3096 36 3239 157 3396 0 0 0 0 0

4700 205 1065 1994 0 0 3264 55 0 130 2924 63 3117 92 3264 0 0 0 0 0

5330 94 1244 0 0 0 3576 70 0 116 3237 58 3576 100 3576 0 0 0 0 0

5428 157 1073 2351 50 0 3581 0 0 107 3290 36 3433 148 3581 0 0 0 0 0

5440 92 1272 2235 0 0 3599 60 0 116 3267 58 3441 98 3599 0 0 0 0 0

5730 100 1373 2335 0 0 3763 50 0 128 3424 63 3615 98 3763 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

5630 98 1428 2450 0 0 3976 50 0 132 3658 68 3858 68 3976 0 0 0 0 0

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Jun 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Jun 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Extr. Rate, 999.9999 Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons.

3,400 0. 30 528 0 0 0 558 0 0 27 502 5 534

3550 0 60 356 0 0 0 416 0 0 27 324 5 356

3,400 0.16 30 544 0 0 0 574 0 0 27 518 5 550

3,600 0. 24 560 0 0 0 584 0 0 28 526 0 554

3650 0 60 366 0 0 0 426 0 0 27 334 5 366

3,600 0.16 24 576 0 0 0 600 0 0 28 537 5 570

3,900 0. 30 605 0 0 0 635 0 0 28 577 0 605

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

3900 0.16 30 736 0 0 0 766 0 0 28 733 5 766

Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD Oil, Rapeseed Pakistan

24 558 0 0 0 0 0

60 416 0 0 0 0 0 2008/2009

24 574 0 0 0 0 0

30 584 0 0 0 0 0

60 426 0 0 0 0 0 2009/2010

30 600 0 0 0 0 0

30 635 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2010/2011

0 766 0 0 0 0 0

Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Extr. Rate, 999.9999 Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD Oil, Sunflowerseed Pakistan

806 0. 10 320 0 0 0 330 0 0 10 314 1 325 5 330 0 0 0 0 0

1035 0.3981 30 412 1 0 0 443 0 0 10 402 1 413 30 443 0 0 0 0 0

760 0.4013 10 305 0 0 0 315 0 0 10 299 1 310 5 315 0 0 0 0 0

900 0. 5 357 0 0 0 362 0 0 10 346 1 357 5 362 0 0 0 0 0

933 0.397 30 371 1 0 0 402 0 0 10 371 1 382 20 402 0 0 0 0 0

1,040 0.4 5 416 0 0 0 421 0 0 10 405 1 416 5 421 0 0 0 0 0

956 0. 5 380 0 0 0 385 0 0 10 369 1 380 5 385 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1,050 0.4 5 420 0 0 0 425 0 0 10 409 1 420 5 425 0 0 0 0 0

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Extr. Rate, 999.9999 Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S.

834 0. 9 331 0 0 0 340 0 0 0 325 0 325 15 340 0 0 0 0

981 0.397 15 390 0 0 0 405 0 0 0 390 0 390 15 405 0 0 0 0

540 0.4 9 216 0 0 0 225 0 0 0 215 0 215 10 225 0 0 0 0

820 0. 15 325 0 0 0 340 0 0 0 328 0 328 12 340 0 0 0 0

845 0.398 15 336 0 0 0 351 0 0 0 335 0 335 16 351 0 0 0 0

700 0.4 10 280 0 0 0 290 0 0 0 280 0 280 10 290 0 0 0 0

864 0. 12 343 0 0 0 355 0 0 0 345 0 345 10 355 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

680 0.4 10 272 0 0 0 282 0 0 0 272 0 272 10 282 0 0 0 0

TS=TD Oil, Soybean Pakistan

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Crush Extr. Rate, 999.9999 Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD

0 0. 6 0 44 0 0 50 0 0 3 42 2 47 3 50 44 0 0 0 0

0 0 2 0 20 20 0 22 0 0 0 20 0 20 2 22 0 0 0 0 0

0 0. 6 0 44 0 0 50 0 0 3 42 2 47 3 50 44 0 0 0 0

10 0. 3 2 35 0 0 40 0 0 3 32 2 37 3 40 35 0 0 0 0

0 0 3 0 50 50 0 53 0 0 0 50 0 50 3 53 0 0 0 0 0

0 0. 3 0 35 0 0 38 0 0 3 30 2 35 3 38 35 0 0 0 0

10 0. 3 0 35 0 0 38 0 0 0 33 2 35 3 38 35 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0. 3 0 50 0 0 53 0 0 4 44 2 50 3 53 0 0 0 0 0

Oil, Palm Pakistan

2008/2009 Market Year Begin: Oct 2008

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2009/2010 Market Year Begin: Oct 2009

USDA Official Old Post New Post

2010/2011 Market Year Begin: Oct 2010

USDA Official Old Post New Post

Area Planted Area Harvested Trees Beginning Stocks Production MY Imports MY Imp. from U.S. MY Imp. from EU Total Supply MY Exports MY Exp. to EU Industrial Dom. Cons. Food Use Dom. Cons. Feed Waste Dom. Cons. Total Dom. Cons. Ending Stocks Total Distribution CY Imports CY Imp. from U.S. CY Exports CY Exp. to U.S. TS=TD

0 0 0 150 0 1,949 0 0 2,099 54 0 90 1,849 56 1,995 50 2,099 2,051 0 50 0 0

0 0 0 50 0 2060 0 0 2110 0 0 70 1960 30 2060 50 2110 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 150 0 1,950 0 2,100 55 0 90 1,850 55 1,995 50 2,100 0 0 50 0 0

0 0 0 50 0 2,200 0 0 2,250 70 0 75 2,005 50 2,130 50 2,250 2,250 0 50 0

0 0 0 50 0 2300 0 0 2350 0 0 70 2200 30 2300 50 2350 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 50 0 2,200 0 0 2,250 60 0 75 2,015 50 2,140 50 2,250 2,250 0 50 0

0 0 0 50 0 2,300 0 0 2,350 50 0 90 2,100 60 2,250 50 2,350 2,300 0 50 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 50 0 2400 0 0 2450 50 0 90 2200 60 2350 50 2450 2450 50 0