Tools and Methods 2011

Deep diving into the future of work
John Moravec, PhD

University of Minnesota
moravec@umn.edu
cehd.umn.edu/olpd
educationfutures.com
July 2011
[agenda]
Society 3.0, education and HRD
Deep diving into the future
Debrieng and next steps
Leapf rog I nsti tutes
An Introduction to Society 3.0:
Global recession edition
John Moravec, PhD
Department of Organizational Leadership, Policy, and Development
June 2011
Food for thought
A shift in paradigm.
Society 1.0
The 1.0 Paradigm
Interpreted data
Hierarchical
Siloed jobs and roles
Chaos and ambiguity avoided at all
costs
career [kuh-reer]
noun
1.
an occupation or profession, esp. one
requiring special training, followed as
ones lifework.
Society 2.0
Knowledge Age
Interpreted information
Personally-constructed meanings
Socially-constructed meanings
Chaos and ambiguity are managed
career [kuh-reer]
noun
2.
a persons progress or general course of
action through life or through a phase of
life, as in some profession or undertaking.
Citizen Journalists
Citizen Scientists
140
The Pirates Dilemma
Blending in the Groundswell
How do schools make the most from a
cut-and-paste society?
Society 3.0
The future is already here
it is just unevenly distributed.
William Gibson
Past Future
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Innovation and Design Age
Contextually applied knowledge
Horizontalized diusion of
knowledge
Heterarchical relationships
Chaos and ambiguity are
embraced and attended to
career [kuh-reer]
noun
3.
To be (re)dened.
Three drivers of Society 3.0
1.Accelerating change
2.Continuing globalization
3.Innovation society fueled by
knowmads
Accelerating change
Accelerating
Change
The future is becoming impossible to predict
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Time
Technological Singularity
Accelerating change impacts the half-life of useful knowledge.
The amount of information available is
doubling at an exponential rate
The half-life of knowledge is
decreasing exponentially
Earth
Jupiter
Callisto
Ganymede
Europa
Sources of innovation in Society 3.0:
Everything is
Boundless
Crowd
sourcing
Pre-1.0 Nomads
Workers 3.0: Knowmads
Knowmads
Paradigm
Domain 1.0 2.0 3.0
Fundamental relationships Simple Complex
Complex creative
(teleological)
Conceptualization of order Hierarchic Heterarchic
Intentional, self-
organizing
Relationships of parts Mechanical Holographic Synergetic
Worldview Deterministic Indeterminate Design
Causality Linear Mutual Anticausal
Change process Assembly Morphogenic Creative destruction
Reality Objective Perspectival Contextual
Place Local Globalizing Globalized
From Information to Innovation.
1.0
Information
So
what?
2.0
Knowledge
So
what?
3.0
Innovation
What can
you
imagine?
What can
you create?
How can
you
contribute?
So?
Society 3.0 drives Education 3.0
Education 1.0 Education 2.0 Education 3.0
Meaning is Dictated Socially constructed
Socially constructed and
contextually reinvented
Technology is
Confiscated at the
classroom door (digital
refugees)
Cautiously adopted
(digital immigrants)
Everywhere (ambient,
digital universe)
Teaching is done Teacher to student
Teacher to student and
student to student
(progressivism)
Teacher to student,
student to student,
student to teacher,
people-technology-people
(co-constructivism)
Schools are locatedIn a building (brick)
In a building or online
(brick and click)
Everywhere (thoroughly
infused into society:
cafes, bowling alleys,
bars, workplaces, etc.)
Parents view schools
as
Daycare Daycare
A place for them to learn,
too
Teachers are Licensed professionals Licensed professionals Everybody, everywhere
Hardware and
software in schools
Are purchased at great
cost and ignored
Are open source and
available at lower cost
Are available at low cost
and are used purposively
Industry views
graduates as
Assembly line workers
As ill-prepared assembly
line workers in a
knowledge economy
As co-workers or
entrepreneurs
Meet the Knowmads!
1.0 SCHOOLS
CANNOT
TEACH 3.0 KIDS
...and, 1.0 organizations cannot figure
out what to do with 3.0 workers.
LEARNING
ORGANIZATIONS
NEED TO USE NEW
TECHNOLOGIES
PURPOSIVELY
It looks like youre trying to give a
presentation. Would you like me to...
Teach you how to mail merge.
Insert a video of Steve Balmer.
Crash your computer now.

DONT USE NEW
TECHNOLOGIES
TO TEACH THE
SAME OLD STUFF.
In the knowmadic, experience-driven
economy, awesomeness is the new
currency.
Challenges in Knowmad Society
Awesome fatigue : RT
@edwardharran So much rich input
prevents me (sometimes) from
producing my own output
We are not focusing on the broader
use of ICT
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Silicon
Time
Meat
We all co-invent the future.
Were all
white belts.
We can design the future.
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To move from legacy millstones:
Leapfrogging just ahead of change
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Are we thinking about the future?
Leapfrog learning outcomes:
The New, New Basics for Careers 3.0
Think systemically
Think simulationally
Thrive in the midst of
changes, challenges and
unknowns
Create and manipulate
alternative pasts, presents, and
futures
Develop and respond to
goals and challenges
Understand and eectively
utilize existing information
Construct and utilize
personal knowledge
Construct and apply new
knowledge related to contexts,
processes, and cultures
Eectively utilize current
and emerging ICTs
Acquire and assess knowledge and
understandings of global trends
Write and speak in a
unique voice
Take personal responsibility for
actions and performance quality
Use head, heart and hands
Innovate, baby, innovate!
[short break]
[think, pair, share]
1.What is the relationship between
individuals and the collective? (and,
what are the implications/
consequences?)
2.How might this impact our human
capital development thinking?
Lets dive deep...!
My take.
Tools and methods
for exploring human
capital futures
Futures thinking...
...got us places.
Its getting hard(er).
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Do it yourself.
Bottom-up.
Edupunk and edupop.
Mindware.
I C I
Implications
for business
leaders.
Anticipatory
thought leadership
as a soft skill.
Manifestations of anticipatory
thought leadership.
Implications for knowmads.
Implications for human
capital developers.
How do we get the collective to
think about the future?
Now for some tools
and methods...
Normative forecasting.
Environmental scanning.
Scanning made easy...
Twitter
Digg
Future Scanner
...
(MPCBM&EVDBUJPO8FCTJUF
IUUQXXXHMPCBMFEVDBUJPOFEOBFEVBV
'VUVSFT8IFFM
StoryTech.
StoryTech: a Personalized
Guidebook to the 21st Century
Innovate Your Future Through Self-Stories
Create Stories as Change Buffers
Evolve Strategic
Organizational Scenarios

by
Arthur M. Harkins
George H. Kubik
1uly 15. 2006
Version 2.1
- 41 - Copyright 2006 (No unauthorized reproduction)
Chapter 3
Practicing StoryTech
In Groups
Doing StoryTech Within Your Group
StoryTech oIIers you. acting as a StoryTech Iacilitator. a process Ior redesigning and
renewing your group`s or group`s approach to their Iutures. Using the StoryTech
method will also enable you to use your
imagination to create detailed. positive stories
about your own preIerred. personalized Iutures.
StoryTech Helps Create Strategic Groups.
StoryTech instigates individuals to respond
publicly with their stories.
Sharing individual stories creates a strategic
community.
The story telling audience becomes part of
the StoryTech performance.
You can request participants to write StoryTech exercises as two people: the
'real selI. and a 'virtual selI who acts as a 'scout into an group or group Iuture.
ComIortable connections between 'real and the 'virtual selves are very important
to the outcome oI StoryTech exercises.
Aualence-parllclpanls cre-
ale parallel slcrles ana ll ln
mlsslng slcr\ parls wllh per-
scnal ccnlevl (evperlences).
Resulls:
- Perscnal cwnershlp
- Relenllcn cl ccnlrcl
- Iser-lrlenal\ ccabular\
('nalural`language)
Step 1: Set-up
1.State the future time and location (can
be near-term, mid-, or far-term).
2.Briey describe the market context.
3.Briey describe the performance of the
organization.
4.Briey state the job title and/or role of
the StoryTech writer.
Step 2: Writing/oral reporting
Ask the writer to amplify how her/his work is important
to the organization in terms of growth, problem-solving,
innovation, future-proong, etc. (choose ONE OR
TWO).
Ask why the writer is condent about the future
performance of the organization and her/his role in
creating it.
Lets give it a go!
The end? Next steps?
Thank you!

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Deep diving into the future of work

John Moravec, PhD

Teach you how to mail merge.

Insert a video of Steve Balmer.

Crash your computer now.

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