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Authorising Officer: Commissioner Of The Bermuda Police Service Author: Analysis Unit Date: 18-Jul-2011 File Location: G:Intelligence Briefings\Intelligence Analysts\2011\Statistics\ Q2 2011\ Q2 2011 BPS Statistics v1 Security Classification: This document is marked as UNCLASSIFIED. Further dissemination is allowed internally and externally of the BPS, without further authorisation. STATISTICS UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
INDEX
1. INTRODUCTION 2. ALL CRIME 3. CRIMES AGAINST THE PERSON 4. FIREARM INCIDENTS 5. CRIMES AGAINST THE COMMUNITY 6. CRIMES AGAINST PROPERTY 7. TRAFFIC COLLISIONS 8. DRUG ENFORCEMENT ACTIVITY 9. TRAFFIC ENFORCEMENT ACTIVITY 10. INCIDENTS - CALLS FOR SERVICE 11. ARRESTS - ALL OFFENCES 12. STOP AND SEARCHES Page 2 Page 4 Page 5 Page 6 Page 8 Page 9 Page 10 Page 11 Page 13 Page 14 Page 15 Page 18
Appendix A - Crime Statistics In Bermuda (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011) Appendix B - Enforcement Activity In Bermuda (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011) Appendix C Traffic Collision Statistics In Bermuda (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011) Appendix D - Chart Of All Crime In Bermuda By Quarter (Q1 2000 - Q2 2011)
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UNCLASSIFIED
1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 SECURITY CLASSIFICATION This document is marked as UNCLASSIFIED as there are no sensitive details contained in it and it is expressly written to be circulated both internally and externally. 1.2 DATA INTEGRITY The statistics, tables and graphs contained in this document are based on substantiated cases, which are active investigations of an incident that has definitely happened. This is as opposed to using incident data, which is an initial recording of a crime that has yet to be substantiated. While every effort is made to ensure that the information contained in this report is accurate, the BPS makes no warranty, representation or guarantee as to the content, sequence, accuracy, timeliness or completeness of any data or information provided. The reader of the following pages should not rely on the data provided for comparison purposes over time, or for any reason. The BPS shall assume no liability for any errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in the information provided. The BPS will not be responsible for the use of, or the results obtained from the use of this document. The BPS assumes no liability for any decisions made or actions taken or not taken by the user in reliance of this document. Any use of the document for commercial purposes is prohibited. 1.3 EXPLANATION OF GRAPHS The graphs used in this report include standard deviation, which has been used as a means of objectively measuring how much the crime rate has varied over time and is useful in identifying extreme highs and lows of crime. Standard deviation has been used so that where the crime rate is above the red line (2 standard deviation above the mean average), it is considered exceptionally high. Where the crime rate is below the blue line (2 standard deviation below the mean average), it is considered exceptionally low. In both cases it can be referred to as statistically significant (high or low) and is an indication of whether the quarterly statistics are exceptionally high or exceptionally low. 1.4 AIM The aim of this report is to produce accurate, timely, objective information that: Enables informed decisions to be made on the types of crime that threaten the safety of the community. Is used to proactively manage risks to the island and ensure effective policing, redeploying and directing resources at a strategic and tactical level, as required. Facilitates effective and open communication with our stakeholders, developing the means to inform them of the plans, efforts and progress being made by the BPS. Provides meaningful information as one of the means of reassuring communities in Bermuda.
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UNCLASSIFIED 1.5 Executive Summary There were 1,139 offences in Q2 2011, an increase of +14.9% when compared to Q1 2011. While All Crime has increased, it is the 6th lowest quarterly figure since 2000. There were 2 murders and 2 injuries by firearms in Q2 2011. Crimes Against The Person, Crimes Against Property and Crimes Against The Community have all increased when Q2 2011 is compared to Q1 2011. A summary of the 3 key crime headings and 20 crime categories for Q2 2011 in comparison to the previous quarter (Q1 2011), the same quarter last year (Q2 2010) and the 5 year trend is shown below in figure 1: Figure 1: Summary Of All Crime (Q2 2011) CRIME CATEGORY CRIMES AGAINST THE PERSON Murder Manslaughter Serious Assaults Other Assaults Sexual Assault Robbery Offences Against Children Indecency CRIMES AGAINST PROPERTY Burglary (Residential) Burglary (Non Residential) Burglary (Tourist Accommodation) Criminal Damage Motor Vehicle Theft Theft of Property Fraud and Deception CRIMES AGAINST THE COMMUNITY Firearm Offences Other Weapon Offences Disorder Offences Anti-Social Behaviour Animal Offences GRAND TOTAL (ALL CRIME) LEGEND: Q2 2011 vs. Q1 2011 Q2 2011 vs. Q2 2010 5 year Trend
Increasing
Decreasing
Remains level
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2. ALL CRIME
2.1 SUMMARY The total for all crime in Q2 2011 increased by +148 offences or +14.9% compared to Q1 2011. In comparison to the same period last year (Q2 2010), Q2 2011 has increased by +72 offences or by +6.7%. The total for Q2 2011 was 1,139 as can be seen in Figure 2: Figure 2: All Crime (Last 5 Quarter comparison Q2 2010 - Q2 2011)
2010 Q2 ALL CRIME 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 Percentage Absolute Change Change
1067
1258
1065
991
1139
14.9%
148
2.2 TRENDS Q2 2011 has increased by +14.9% compared to Q1 2011. However, the long term trend of all crime in Bermuda is decreasing with the most recent period of Q2 2011 the 6th lowest quarterly crime figure since Q1 20001. Explained another way, 40 of the last 46 quarters were higher than Q2 2011. This can be seen in Figure 3, which shows crime for the last 18 quarters, with Q1 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 3: All Crime By Quarters (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
1600
1400
1200
No. Of Offences
1000
800
ALL CRIME
600
2 Standard Deviation (Above Mean Avge) 2 Standard Deviation (Below Mean Avge)
400
200
2010
2011
See Appendix D for a chart showing All Crime In Bermuda By Quarter (Q1 2000 Q2 2011).
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UNCLASSIFIED
217
195
181
178
196
10.1%
18
3.2. TRENDS The long term trend of Crimes Against The Person is slightly decreasing. With 196 offences in Q2 2011, it is the fourth consecutive quarter under 200 offences. In Q2 2011 the notable crimes categories within the Crimes Against A Person category were murder, with 3 offences, the same as in Q1 2011 and robberies which decreased from 21 in Q1 2011 to 18 in Q2 2011. A summary of Crimes Against The Person for the last 18 quarters can be seen in Figure 5, with Q2 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 5: Crimes Against the Person By Quarters (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
250
200
NO. OF OFFENCES
150
100
50
2010
2011
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UNCLASSIFIED
4. FIREARM INCIDENTS
Firearm Offences are included within Crimes Against The Community (Section 5); however firearm incidents2 may not necessarily be recorded as offences, as often there is no suspect or even a victim. 4.1 SUMMARY In Q2 2011 there were 28 firearm incidents of which 13 were confirmed firearm incidents and 15 were unconfirmed firearm incidents. This is a decrease of -7 firearm incidents compared to Q1 2011, with -1 confirmed firearm incidents and -6 unconfirmed firearm incidents. The decrease in unconfirmed firearm incidents in Q2 2011 is mainly due to a decrease in the category of Claims Of Firearms Seen, where 4 incidents were recorded in Q2 2011 as opposed to 14 in Q1 2011. There was a substantial increase in quarter on quarter firearm incidents between 2007 and 2010, with Q2 2011 continuing to show signs of a decrease. This can be seen in Figure 6 below, which shows firearm incidents between 2007 and 2011: Figure 6: Firearm Incidents In Bermuda (2007 - 2011)
FIREARM INCIDENTS IN BERMUDA BY QUARTER (2006 - 2011)
60
Claims Of Gunshots Heard Claims Of Firearms Seen Recovery Of A Firearm Including Imitation and Ammunition Person Shot Or Forensic Evidence Confirms Shooting
50
40
30
20
10
To enable accurate recording, analysis and reporting of firearm incidents, the BPS classifies firearm incidents into 4 categories which are split into either confirmed or unconfirmed categories. A confirmed incident is where forensic evidence proves the incident occurred e.g. a firearm has been seized, shell casings or bullets are recovered, or a person has a gunshot wound. Person Shot or Forensic Evidence Confirms Shooting and Recovery of A Firearm Including Imitation and Ammunition are classified as Confirmed, while Claims of Firearms Seen and Claims Of Gunshots Heard are classified as Unconfirmed.
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UNCLASSIFIED 4.2 FIREARM TRENDS The 13 confirmed firearm incidents in Q2 2011 included the recovery of 3 firearms. In Q2 2011 there were 2 fatalities and 2 injuries. This brings the total number of persons shot since the dramatic increase of firearm incidents in May 2009 to 62, of which 16 have been fatal shootings. Figure 7 (below) shows firearm fatalities and injuries from Q1 2007 to Q2 2011: Figure 7: Firearm Injuries and Fatalities In Bermuda (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
10
INJURIES FATALITIES
FATALITIES AND INJURIES PER QUARTER
2010
2011
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UNCLASSIFIED
233
231
189
188
227
20.7%
39
5.2 TRENDS After four consecutive quarterly decreases, Q2 2011 is the first increase since Q4 2009. Anti-Social Behaviour3 is the main category in Crimes Against The Community and has increased from 118 to 156. Firearm offenses have decreased from 25 to 8 offenses which is the lowest since Q2 2009. A summary of Crimes Against The Community for the last 18 quarters can be seen in Figure 9, with Q2 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 9: Crimes Against The Community By Quarters (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
250
200
NO. OF OFFENCES
150
100
CRIMES AGAINST THE COMMUNITY 2 Standard Deviation (Above Mean Average)
50
2 Standard Deviation (Below Mean Average) Last 4 Quarter Average (Mean) Previous 4 Quarter Average (Mean)
2010
2011
Offences where a person is acting in a manner that causes or is likely to cause alarm or distress to one or more persons not of the same household. Offences include littering, loitering, aggressive begging, noisy and offensive behaviour, soliciting, threatening words, trespass and street drinking. Graffiti is included in the Criminal Damage crime category.
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617
832
695
625
716
14.6%
91
6.2 TRENDS While Q2 2011 represents a +14.6% increase compared to Q1 2011, it is the 5th lowest quarterly figure since Q1 2000 and reinforces the long term trend of property crime decreasing. The increase in Q2 2011 is due to increases in Burglary (Residential), which has increased from 152 to 215, and Motor Vehicle Theft which has increased from 136 to 161. A summary of Crimes Against Property for the last 18 quarters can be seen in Figure 11, with Q2 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 11: Crimes Against Property By Quarters (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
1200
1000
NO. OF OFFENCES
800
600
400
200
0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2007
2008
2009
QUARTER PERIODS
2010
2011
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UNCLASSIFIED
7. TRAFFIC COLLISIONS
7.1 SUMMARY Traffic Collisions include fatal, serious injury, slight injury and damage only collisions. Traffic Collisions4 in Q2 2011 increased by +130 or +30.2% compared to Q1 2011. In comparison to the same period last year (Q2 2010), Q2 2011 has decreased by -66 or -10.54%. The total for Q2 2011 was 560 as can be seen below in Figure 12: Figure 12: Traffic Collisions (Last 5 Quarter comparison Q2 2010 - Q2 2011)
2010 Q2 TRAFFIC COLLISIONS 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 Percentage Change Absolute Change
626
575
548
430
560
30.2%
130
7.2 TRENDS Traffic Collisions have increased by +30.2% since the last quarter, however Q1 2011 was the lowest level since available statistics in Q3 2005. The long term trend of traffic collisions is decreasing with the last four quarter rolling period averaging 528 compared to the previous four quarter rolling period which averaged 589. There has been 2 fatal collisions in Q2 2011 compared to 1 in Q1 2011. A summary of Traffic Collisions for the last 18 quarters can be seen in Figure 13, with Q2 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 13: Traffic Collisions (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
800
700
600
NO. OF COLLISIONS
500
400
300
TRAFFIC COLLISIONS
200
2 Standard Deviation (Above Mean Average) 2 Standard Deviation (Below Mean Average) Last 4 Quarter Average (Mean) Previous 4 Quarter Average (Mean)
100
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2 2010
Q3
Q4
Q1 2011
Q2
Traffic Collisions include fatal, serious injury, slight injury and damage only collisions.
UNCLASSIFIED
10
UNCLASSIFIED
Drug Enforcement Activity refers to policing activity against drugs seized at the border, or activity that has led to arrests or seizures in Bermuda. 8.1 SUMMARY Drug Enforcement Activity in Q1 2011 increased by +20 or +8.4% compared to Q1 2011. In comparison to the same period last year (Q2 2010), Q2 2011 has decreased by -26 offences or -9.1%. The total for Q2 2011 was 259 as can be seen in Figure 14: Figure 14: Drug Enforcement Activity (Last 5 Quarter comparison Q2 2010 - Q2 2011)
2010 Q2 DRUG ENFORCEMENT ACTIVITY 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 Percentage Change Absolute Change
285
245
234
239
259
8.4%
20
8.2 TRENDS Drug Enforcement Activity has increased in the last quarter and is part of a long term increase. Q2 2011 represents the 6th quarter in a row where more than 200 drug offences have been recorded emphasizing that the last 6 quarters have shown a continued improvement in BPS activity in relation to progressing its drugs strategy. A summary of Drug Enforcement Activity for the last 18 quarters can be seen in Figure 15, with Q2 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 15: Drug Enforcement Activity By Quarters (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
DRUG ENFORCEMENT ACTIVITY (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
300
250
200
NO. OF OFFENCES
150
100
50
UNCLASSIFIED
11
UNCLASSIFIED 8.3 Drug Seizures The Bermuda Police Service continues to work with its partners both locally and overseas to disrupt the trafficking of controlled drugs. These partners include HM Customs Bermuda, U.S. Customs and the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration. Despite these partnerships, controlled drugs are still entering Bermuda which is evidenced in the number of street level drug seizures. This can be seen in Figure 16, which shows Drug Seizures By Location: Figure 16: Drug Seizures In Bermuda By Location (Q2 2011) Location
PORT STREET OVERSEAS
Number Of Seizures
43 215 1
As can be seen in Figure 16, the majority of drugs seized are at street level (215) while there were 43 seizures at ports (including LF Wade) and 1 overseas seizures which involved overseas law enforcement agencies. An estimated total of 17.4 Kg of controlled drugs with an estimated street value of $1,042,170 has been seized in Q2 2011 with Cannabis Plant Material the most common drug with 16 Kg seized at a value of $0.8 million. Heroin is the next highest, with 0.4 Kg seized with a value of $0.1 million. Only 67g of Cocaine of heroin was seized in Q2 2011. There was only one seizure of heroin of 397g in Q2 2011, which was an overseas seizure. This is exceptionally low for both types of drugs. The type, weight and value of the drugs seized broken down by Port, Street and Overseas seizures can be seen below in Figure 17: Figure 17: Drug Seizures by Location, Weight and Street Value (Q2 2011)
STREET
COCAINE CRACK COCAINE HEROIN CANNABIS CANNABIS RESIN CANNABIS PLANTS ECSTASY 1282 5.1 90 7.01 191.1 $1,647.35 $59,718.75 $0 $64,100 $510 N/A $0 14901.9 508.4 60
PORT
$14,100 $0 $0 $745,095 $50,840 $0 $0
OVERSEAS
VALUE ($)
0 0 397.6 106159 0 0 0 0
WEIGHT (g) VALUE ($) WEIGHT (g) VALUE ($) WEIGHT (g)
TOTAL
1485
$125,976
15470
$810,035
398
106159
17353
$1,042,170
In comparison to Q1 2011, the value of drugs seized in Q2 2011 is of far less value, with an estimated street value of $1.04 million compared to $5.91 million. This is due to the smaller number of overseas and port seizures, however it is of note that the number of street level seizures has increased.
UNCLASSIFIED
12
UNCLASSIFIED
13180
8168
11586
11739
11026
-6.1%
-713
9.2 TRENDS Records Available from Q1 2008 show that Traffic Enforcement Activity has fluctuated between a low of 6,814 in Q1 2008 to a high of 16,342 in Q4 2009. With 11,026 in Q2 2011, it is now slightly below the average for the last 3 years of available records, with 11,520. The last 4 quarter rolling average is below that of the previous 4 quarter rolling average, identifying that there has been a decrease of almost 4,000 between these two periods. A summary of Traffic Enforcement Activity for the last 14 quarters can be seen in Figure 19, with Q2 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 19: Traffic Enforcement Activity By Quarters (Q1 2008 - Q2 2011)
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13
UNCLASSIFIED
INCIDENTS
10260
10107
10439
10607
11472
8.2%
865
10.2 TRENDS Q2 2011 is the highest quarterly figure since January 2000. The last 4 quarter rolling average was 10,656 compared to only 9,684 for the previous 4 quarter rolling average. The average for 2007 was 7,316 and so the last 4 quarter rolling average of 10,656 is +46% higher than in 2007. This represents a continued increase in policing activity and calls for service. This can be seen in Figure 21, which shows incidents for the last 18 quarters, with Q2 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 21: Incidents By Quarters (Q1 2007 - Q2 2011)
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14
UNCLASSIFIED
1324
1256
1202
1277
1334
4.5%
57
11.2 TRENDS Q2 2011 is the highest quarterly figure from available records starting in Q1 2008 and is the eight successive quarter with more than 1,200 arrests. The average number of arrests per quarter in 2011 was 1,306. By comparison, 2008 averaged 814 arrests per quarter, 2009 averaged 1,139 per quarter and 2010 averaged 1,271 arrests per quarter. The figures in Q2 2011, reinforces the suggestion that the BPS is focusing its efforts on arresting more offenders through greater emphasis on proactive policing tactics and strategy. A summary of arrests for the last 14 quarters can be seen in Figure 23, with Q2 figures highlighted in boxes: Figure 23: Arrests By Quarters (Q1 2008 - Q2 2011)
1600
1400
1200
NO. OF ARRESTS
1000
800
600
ARRESTS 2 Standard Deviation (Above Mean Average) 2 Standard Deviation (Below Mean Average)
400
200
QUARTER PERIODS
UNCLASSIFIED
15
UNCLASSIFIED 11.3 GENDER Of the 1,334 persons arrested in Q2 2011, 1,133 were male and 201 were female. 11.4 AGE Analysis of persons arrested by age revealed that individuals from 26 to 35 years of age were arrested more frequently than any other age group (404), followed closely by those aged 18 to 25 (392). A breakdown of persons arrested by their age group can be seen below in Figure 24: Figure 24: Arrests By Age Group (Q2 2011)
Breakdown by age Q2 2011 Below 18 years 86 18 - 25 years 26 - 35 years 36 - 45 years 46 - 55 years 56 - 65 years 66 + years TOTAL 392 404 213 164 61 14 1334
11.5 NATIONALITY Of the 1,334 persons arrested in Q2 2011 1,224 were Bermudian and 110 were foreign nationals. This is similar to previous quarters. 11.6 ETHNICITY The majority of individuals arrested were black (1,184), with 122 individuals being white. In addition, 1 of those arrested were Asian, 5 individuals fall into the category black and white and 22 individuals fall into the category other. This is also similar to arrest figures in previous quarters. A breakdown of persons arrested by their ethnicity can be seen below in Figure 25: Figure 25: Arrests - Ethnic Origin (Q2 2011)
ETHNICITY Black 1184 White 122 Asian 1 Black & White 5 Black & Other 0 White & Other 0 Other 22 TOTAL 1334
UNCLASSIFIED
16
UNCLASSIFIED 11.7 TYPE OF ARREST Of the 1,334 persons arrested in Q2 2011, the most common category was all other offences which includes HMC, apprehension, SJA and civil warrants with 596. There were 8 arrests for murder and 17 arrests for firearm offences in Q2 2011. A breakdown of the offences persons were arrested for can be seen below in Figure 26: Figure 26: Arrests - Offence Type (Q2 2011)
Q2 2011 - Arrests Breakdown By Offence
Crimes Against The Person Murder Manslaughter Serious Assaults Other Assaults Sexual Assault Robbery Offences Against Children Indecency Crimes Against The Person (TOTAL) Crimes Against Property Burglary (residential) Burglary (non-residential) Burglary (tourist accommodation) Criminal Damage Motor Vehicle Theft Theft of Property Fraud and Deception Crimes Against Property (TOTAL) Crimes Against The Community Firearms Offences Other Weapons Offences Disorder Offences Anti-Social Behaviour Animal Offences Crimes Against The Community (TOTAL) Drug Enforcement Activity Drug Offences (Importation) Drug Offences (Local) Drug Enforcement Activity (TOTAL) Traffic Enforcement Activity Traffic Offences Impaired Driving Traffic Enforcement Activity (TOTAL) All other offences/reasons for detention 8 0 23 52 3 12 1 4
103
39 3 0 19 12 62 1
136
17 7 41 83 0
148
19 193
212
31 108
139 596
GRAND TOTAL
1334
11.8 RECIDIVISM Of the 1,334 persons arrested in Q2 2011, 105 individuals were arrested more than once and accounted for 249 of the arrests for this period. These included 6 offenders who were arrested 4 times or more.
UNCLASSIFIED
17
UNCLASSIFIED
Stop and Searches refers to the activity of Police Officers utilising their powers to stop and search a person where lawfully justified under PACE (2006), Criminal Code, Misuse of Drugs Act etc. PACE was implemented on 7 th September 2008 and since then this policing activity has been specifically recorded.
UNCLASSIFIED
18
UNCLASSIFIED
GRAND TOTAL
1206
1379
1444
1304
1185
991
1139
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
1 37 115 277
430
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED