Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Fools Gold?
(Part 1 )
It appears Kingold Jewelry Inc. is inflating its #s.
Kingold Jewelry Inc. (NASDAQ: KGJI) Recommendation: Strong Sell Target Price: $0.40-$0.50
Please Review Important Legal Information and Disclaimers on Page 2 of this Document Pete Long, Equity Analyst Sneaky Jewel ry,Capital, Email: sneaky.p.research@gmail.com Pete Inc. (NASDAQ: KGJI) Page 1 Kingold
sneaky.p.research@gmail.com
Disclaimer:
Use of Sneaky Petes Research is at your own risk. You should do your own research and due diligence before making
any investment decision with respect to securities covered herein. You should assume that as of the publication date of any report, Sneaky Petes Research (possibly along with or through our members, partners, affiliates, employees, and/or consultants) along with our clients and/or investors has a short position in the stock (and/or options of the stock) covered herein, and therefore stands t o realize significant gains in the event that the price of stock declines. Following publicat ion of any report, we intend to continue transacting in the securities covered therein, and we may be long, short, or neutral at any time hereafter regard less of our initial reco mmendation. Th is is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security, nor shall any security be offered or sold to any person, in any ju risdiction in which such offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. To the best of our ability and belief, all information contained herein is accurate and reliable, and has been obtained from public sources we believe to be accurate and reliable, and who ar e not insiders or connected persons of the stock covered herein or who may otherwise owe any fiduciary duty or duty of confidentiality to the issuer. However, such information is presented "as is," without warranty of any kind whether express or imp lied. Sneaky Petes Res earch makes no representation, exp ress or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, or comp leteness of any such information or with regard to the results to be obtained from its use. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice, and Sneaky Petes Research doe s not undertake to update or supplement this report or any of the in formation contained herein.
Executive Summary:
Company: Kingold Jewelry Inc., (NASDAQ:KGJI) Industry: Jewelry Fabrication Recommendation: Strong Sell Estimated Value: $0.40-$0.50 Report Date: July 28th Price: $1.75 Market Cap: 90M Chinese subsidiary shareholder offering shares on Beijing Equity Exchange at substantial discount Smoking gun evidence: Net Income reported on Beijing Equity Exchange is less than half of what KGJI filed with SEC Financials are domestically audited and officially filed with the Beijing Equity Exchange KGJI could now face substantial litigation risk for not actually achieving 2010 make good targets & again raising capital from investors who may have been materially mislead Serious risk of trading suspension by SEC. Rare case of contradicting filings challenging the legitimacy of both exchanges Chairman & the Company have a troubled history in China including a suspicious founding and a denied domestic listing attempt Domestic SAT tax filings align with domestic shareholders lower net income
Page 2
The posting ran from May 1to June 15th at http://www.cbex.com.cn/G3/2011010285.shtml and was taken down after June 15th . A full copy of the webpage can be found in the appendix of this report. As well, here is a Chinese news report from mid-May, clearly stating that Kingolds subsidiary has posted its shares for sale on the Beijing Equity Exchange: http://stock.hexun.com/2011-05-22/129846318.html
(Clarification of Translation: This minority shareholder is listed in SEC filings as Beijing Shouchuang Investment Co. Ltd, ). According to Beijing Shouchuangs website
Kingold Jewel ry, Inc. (NASDAQ: KGJI)
Page 3
(http://capitalvc.com/company_en.html) they use the English name Beijing Capital Investment Co., Ltd. They are held by the Beijing Capital Group, () a state owned company with 68 billion in assets under management. This posting is listed by the Beijing Capital Group, which is whom will be referred to from hereon. Beijing Capital Group website can be found here: http://www.bjcapital.com/) And here are chinese articles from 2008 citing Beijing Shouchuangs investment in KGJIs mainland operating subsidiary here & here.
So I Dug Deeper:
1st Red flag: The shares are being offered at a much lowe r price than the NASDAQ shares. The selling price was much less than what the stock of the parent company was trading for on the NASDAQ. On May 18th , Beijing Capital listed their 5M shares, representing 4.1667% of the operating company, for sale for 29.45M RMB. At a USD:RMB exchange of 1:6.53 that works out to 4.5M USD, or roughly $0.90 USD per share. Compared to the recent average price of around $1.80, this begs the question, Why? Why does the domestic partner want to get out? Why sell at a reduced price when the company is claiming that its growing yearly? 2nd Red flag: The reported Revenues and Profits are much lower than what KGJI has filed with the SEC : The annual revenue and income figures for KGJI reported by this minority shareholder are much less than what KGJI reported to the SEC. For instance, in KGJIs SEC- filed 10-K, they reported 523M USD in Net sales, but the numbers posted by Beijing Capital have KGJIs 2010 revenue at 389M USD. For 2010 Net income, the SEC 10K lists 19M USD, but Beijing Equity Exchange lists a net income of 9M USD for KGJIs operating subsidiary. Different fiscal accounting periods cannot explain the massive difference in net income Reported by Beijing Capital Millions of RMB 2,539.8 78.8 58.7 353.3 319.2 Millions of USD 389.5 12.0 9.0 54.2 48.9 KGJI filed with SEC Millions of USD 523 31 19 84.3 73.8 % Overstatement of SEC Discrepancy 34% 158% 111% 56% 51%
Page 4
Page 5
Discrepancy 111%
10.7
The net income figure for 2010 posted by Beijing Capital is below KGJIs make- good target promised to private placement investors, and yet the SEC filed # is above the target. (Make-Good target for 2010 was 70% of 100M RMB, or roughly 10.7M USD, see pg. 12 of 10-K)
M arket Sentiment
Resulting P/E
Current 4.26
(M aintained)
Rationale
Dismissive of new information presented. Still believe company can overcome tarnished reputation. Price seems to reflect new relevant info & new perceived risks. The sky is falling.
19
(Mainland Subsidiaries Reported)
Disregards all new info in this report KGJI may be deceptive, but this should blow over Confidence Compromised & Concern of Litigation Fear of Stock Halting and/or Delisting
9
(Mainland Subsidiaries Reported)
4.26
(Halved)
9
(Mainland Subsidiaries Reported)
2.13
(Destroyed)
<1.0
I dont doubt that Kingold does have an underlying functioning business operating in China. What I doubt is the validity of their reported numbers. On May 2nd the Chairman of Kingold wrote an open letter to shareholders trumpeting improved transparency asking anyone whom had interest in seeing Kingolds domestic filings to access them through the CFO Bin Liu. While the letters intent was comforting, in actuality the local Wuhan
Page 6
govt had put in place unusual measures to block standard 3rd party access to KGJIs SAIC filings. Whether or not KGJI is responsible for these roadblocks, having Bin Liu present the tax filings seems a little like the fox guarding the hen house. As youll see in the next report, it seems the call for increased transparency was a bluff as there was and is reason to restrict access to domestic filings.
Conclusion
KGJI was able to complete a $23 million financing in January of 2011 based on what appears to be, incorrect financial statements filed with the SEC. (Comment: The financing was done at such a seemingly low valuation that an independent director resigned in protest.) It would also appear that the make good targets outlined in the December 2009 financing were not achieved. It would now seem that significant litigation risk exists as prior investors did not receive what they were legally due, and that the investors who participated in the $23 million financing in January of this year, were materially mislead about the financial performance of the company. While the company should be able to withstand these legal headaches it will be interesting to see how sternly the SEC handles this given the recent negative media attention to RTOs. Most importantly, if KGJI is ever going to restore confidence with investors, KGJI must go to great lengths to explain Beijing Capitals actions this past May. As I said earlier, Ive been sitting on this for a fair chunk of time now, and I have not seen any mention of it on the western internet. This posting by Beijing Capital went up on the Beijing Equity Exchange on May 18th and hit the Chinese news feeds a few days later. I suggest you check out KGJIs trading volume for the following week, because it seems that some of the larger holders may have got wind around May 24 as indicated by a few days of abnormally large volume and selling pressure. In conclusion, I strongly suggest you get someone you trust who reads Chinese to go over this posting on your behalf so that you may judge for yourself. I have included the posting in its entirety in the appendix. (Note: the #s on the Chinese site are in 10,000s of RMB). I will be releasing the second half of this report in the near future which will include more supporting evidence. The fund manager Im employed by is short the stock. Im sorry to be the bearer of bad news. Pete
Page 7
Appendix
For your convenience: Kingolds 10-K filing can be accessed here:
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1089531/000114420411018554/v216529_10k.htm
Web Links
Beijing Shouchuang Investment Co. Ltd, / Beijing Capital Investment Co. Ltd. Beijing Capital Group
http://capitalvc.com/
4.17% owner of equity interest in Wuhan Kingold as listed on Beijing Equity Exchange (technically the holding company of the fund listed in KGJIs 10-K) Domestic Auditing firm
Kingold Jewelry Incs mainland subsidiary. The subject of the VIE Contracts. Exchange where this 4.17% stake in the subsidiary is listed for sale Kingold Founder Kingold GM
Wuhan Kingod Co., Ltd. China Beijing Equity Exchange Zhihong Jia Bin Zhao
Wuhan Jinhuang Zhubao Gufen Youxian Gongsi Beijing Chanquan Jiaoyisuo Jia Zhihong Zhao Bin
Listing: http://4692400.71ab.com/ 2 nd : Listing http://www.71ab.com/view_4692400.htm l Chinese Site: http://kingold.com.cn/ (Western Site for KGJI: http://www.kingoldjewelry.com/s/History .asp) Official: http://www.cbex.com.cn 2 nd link
Page 8
Page 9
The Beijing Capital Offering Its 4.1667% Holding on the China Beijing Equity Exchange
The Original Beijing Capital Posting was here (http://www.cbex.com.cn/G3/2011010285.shtml) and was taken down after its June 15th expiry. Here is a link to picture of the full webpage: http://i.imgur.com/Ps8AV.png And below it is pasted in sections.
Page 10
Page 11
Page 12