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1.

3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies


CHAPTER 1.3 This chapter analyzes the four largest economies in
Africa (South Africa, Algeria, Nigeria, and Egypt—called
the SANE). It explores the structure, performance, and
Competitiveness and competitiveness of the SANE economies.The chapter
also examines the major investment constraints facing
Investment Climate in firms in these countries and discusses the policy impli-
cations of the findings. In addition, this chapter makes
SANE Economies some comparisons of competitiveness and investment
climate in the SANE economies and the BRIC
LOUIS A. KASEKENDE
economies (Brazil, Russia, India, and China).
TEMITOPE W. OSHIKOYA
PETER O. ONDIEGE
BERNARD Z. DASAH The SANE economies in context
at the African Development Bank
Africa is a vast continent with 53 countries. However,
the SANE group of four countries represents almost a
fifth and a third of the continent’s land mass and popu-
lation, respectively, and accounts for slightly more than
half of Africa’s total GDP in both nominal and purchasing
power parity terms.The remaining 49 countries, with
two-thirds of the region’s population, have 45 percent of
Africa’s GDP. Remarkably, the SANE group also shares
half or more of Africa’s exports, total trade, foreign
direct investment, and foreign reserves (Tables 1 and 2
and Figure 1).
The relative economic size and importance of the
SANE is even more pronounced at the subregional
levels. South Africa accounts for four-fifths of the total 49
output in Southern Africa.Within its immediate subre-
gion, Nigeria is one of 15 countries in West Africa that
make up the Economic Community of West African
States (ECOWAS) but it accounts for half of its popula-
tion and more than two-thirds of the subregional
output. Algeria and Egypt also account for more than
half of the total output in North Africa.
As a group, SANE compares relatively well with
global emerging economies that make up BRIC.The
average per capita income in 2005 was higher in the
SANE economies (US$1,841) than in the BRIC
economies (US$1,669). Although the population of the
SANE is about 26 percent of India’s population, the
nominal GDP of the SANE represents 70 percent of
India’s GDP.The SANE’s population and GDP are 22
percent and 24 percent of China’s population and nomi-
nal GDP, respectively. In 2005 SANE attracted US$16.2
billion worth of foreign direct investment (FDI), which
was two and half times the FDI to India (Table 2). FDI
to the SANE as a group were also higher than FDI to
Brazil or Russia.

The authors would like to acknowledge the service provided by Sana


Harrabi and Lobna Bousrih, research assistants at the AfDB. The chap-
ter reflects the views of the authors, and not necessarily of the AfDB.
Bernard Z. Dasah is a consultant at the AfDB.
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

Table 1: The relative importance of SANE economies


2006 or most recent year (unless otherwise specified)
SANE ECONOMIES REST OF AFRICA
Landlocked Coastal Total
Indicators South Africa Algeria Nigeria Egypt SANE countries countries Africa

1. Area (thousand km2) 1,221 2,382 924 1,001 5,528 10,324 14,455 30,307
2. Population (millions) 48 33 134 75 291 284 349 924
Share of Africa (percent) 5 4 15 8 32 31 38 100
3. Nominal GDP (US$ billions) 262 128 120 104 613 95 385 1,093
Share of Africa (percent) 24 12 11 10 56 9 35 100
4. GDP (US$ billions PPP) 605 256 186 327 1,373 326 905 2,605
Share of Africa (percent) 23 10 7 13 53 13 35 100
5. Annual GDP growth rate 1997–2006 (percent) 3 4 4 5 4 3 5 4
6. Investment ratio (gross capital formation, percent of GDP) 19 31 20 18 21 21 20 21
7. Gross national savings (percent of GDP) 13 56 36 20 28 17 26 23
8. Foreign reserves (US$ billions) 23 82 49 23 176 15 122 314
Share of Africa (percent) 7 26 16 7 56 5 39 100
9. Trade balance (US$ billions) 4 40 33 –11 57 2 17 72
10. Current account balance (US$ billions) 14 31 19 2 38 3 24 35
11. Share of African exports (percent) 16 16 16 5 52 6 42 100
12. Share of African imports (percent) 23 8 10 10 50 9 41 100
13. Export growth 1997–2006 (percent) 4 5 3 10 4 5 6 5
14. Import growth 1997–2006 (percent) 7 12 6 7 6 5 7 9
15. FDI (US$ millions) 6,379 1,081 3,403 5,376 16,239 3,459 10,971 30,669
Share of Africa (percent) 21 4 11 18 53 11 36 100

Source: Oshikoya, 2007.

50

Table 2: Economic indicators for the SANE and BRIC The indicators that have often been found to be
economies (2005) positively correlated with FDI in Africa are economic
openness, especially to international trade; the quality of
Nominal GDP per
Population GDP (US$ capita FDI (US$ institutions and physical infrastructure in the host econ-
Economies (millions) billions) (US$) millions)
SANE ECONOMIES
omy; and economic growth and macroeconomic stabili-
South Africa 48 240 5,100 6,379 ty. Although the SANE economies have a competitive
Algeria 33 102 3,086 1,081 advantage over the other African countries in these
Nigeria 134 99 678 3,403
indicators, natural resources—especially hydrocarbon
Egypt 75 93 1,315 5,376
and minerals—have influenced the flow of FDI into
SANE total 290 534 10,178 16,239
their economies. In the case of South Africa, an added
SANE average per capita income 1,841
motivation for FDI is the size of its local economy (it is
BRIC ECONOMIES
the largest in Africa), which is seen by many investors to
Brazil 184 792 4,315 15,066
Russia 143 763 5,348 14,600 be pivotal for regional production and trade.The creation
India 1,094 775 714 6,598 of a functioning free trade area is likely to provide the
China 1,308 2,225 1,703 72,406 economies of scale needed for profitable production, and
BRIC total 2,729 4,555 12,080 108,270 thus should encourage more direct investment in the
BRIC average per capita income 1,669 region. Another key location-specific determinant of
FDI in South Africa is its superior infrastructure, both
Source: FDI data are from UNCTAD Database, http://stats.unctad.org/FDI. The
rest of the data are from IMF World Outlook Database, September 2006. physical and financial.
Africa’s competitiveness could be enhanced by the
productivity of the SANE economies, which in turn is
determined by the productivity of their firms. More
than two-thirds of the largest 1,000 African companies
are in the SANE economies.Thirty of the largest 50
African banks are in the SANE economies. A few of
these companies are beginning to tap into the much
larger African markets.Therefore SANE economies have
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
Figure 1: The 10 largest recipients of FDI from DAC donors, as percent of net total to Africa (1998–2005)

South Africa 34.1

Egypt 17.0

Nigeria 10.3

Morocco 6.2

Algeria 5.9

Mauritius 5.6

Equatorial Guinea 5.0

Angola 2.5

Gabon 2.4

Tunisia 2.2

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Source: AfDB, Statistics Department.


Note: Total FDI to Africa from DAC donors was US58.7 billion for 1998–2005.

51
the potential to serve as essential “growth poles” for Through this peninsula, Egypt forms the only land
other African countries. bridge that connects Africa to Asia. Nigeria is well posi-
The concept of growth poles suggests that econom- tioned in the hub of West Africa and borders Central
ic development is not uniform over an entire region, Africa. South Africa too is expediently situated in the
but instead takes place around a specific pole such as a southernmost part of the continent, where it plays an
key industry or country. Both directly and indirectly, important and effective role in both the Maputo
industries or countries that are linked then develop Corridor1 and the Southern African Power Pool.2
around this pole. SANE has four distinct comparative Algeria stands at the entrance to northwestern Africa.
advantages that could facilitate these countries tapping The SANE economies could take advantage of their
into an integrated global economy and becoming immediate regional surroundings to enhance their com-
potential regional growth poles for Africa: geography, petitiveness and broaden their influence in Africa.
resource endowments, market size, and an active private The SANE economies are all coastal states.This fact
sector. First, they are resource-rich countries, with natu- could generate positive externalities by providing access
ral resource rents accruing from relatively diversified to external markets, allowing landlocked neighboring
natural endowments in both agriculture and mining. countries to reduce the cost of exporting. Although the
Recent and projected commodity booms have enabled SANE economies together account for about 20 per-
the SANE economies collectively to amass foreign cent of Africa’s land area, their access to the sea could
reserves of US$175 billion. Algeria and Nigeria have act as a natural advantage that could foster openness to
reserves of US$130 billion, equivalent to half of their both intra-African trade and global trade. SANE’s coastal
GDP and about the same as those of the remaining 49 structure could lend itself to the future development of
countries; on a per capita basis this is equal to China’s. industrial concentration and an agglomeration of cities
Algeria and Nigeria have also learned some lessons similar to that in the eastern seaboard of the United
about managing commodity booms and busts as macro- States and the southeastern seaboard of China.
economic volatility has dampened. The third possible factor in favor of SANE is market
The second potential factor in favor of SANE is size, which could provide opportunities for firms to reap
physical geography.The SANE economies are strategi- increasing returns of scale and network effects. Per capita
cally located on the continent. Egypt is a country in income is three times higher in the SANE economies
northeastern Africa and southwestern Asia. Most of it than in the rest of Africa, and the growing middle class
lies in Africa, but its easternmost part, the Sinai in these countries could provide a market size on which
Peninsula, is traditionally regarded as part of Asia. to capitalize. Africa’s population is roughly divided
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

equally among the SANE economies, the 16 landlocked GDP—South Africa is the largest economy on the
countries, and the remaining 33 spatially dispersed continent.The country leads the continent in industrial
smaller coastal countries. output (40 percent of total output) and mineral produc-
Although SANE has one-third of Africa’s total tion (45 percent), and it generates over 50 percent of
population, their combined economies, in terms of US$ Africa’s electricity. Manufacturing—which includes steel
GDP, are six times those of the landlocked countries and products, chemicals, electronics, automobiles, textiles,
one-and-a-half times those of the smaller coastal coun- paper, and food processing—plays a more important role
tries. Apart from three of the SANE economies, only in the South African economy than it does in the
the Democratic Republic of Congo and Ethiopia have economies of any of the three other SANE countries.
population of more than 40 million in Africa. Large Figure 2 shows that the manufacturing sector is the
population size could contribute to the labor force of second leading contributor to GDP, after financial and
these countries, as well as grant them the advantage of business services, accounting for nearly a fifth of GDP
big internal and regional markets.Twenty-seven African in 2005. Other important sectors contributing to GDP
countries have populations under 10 million, with half are government services; wholesale and retail trade,
of these having populations below 2 million. hotels, and restaurants; and transportation, storage, and
Finally, the private sector in the SANE economies communications.
is relatively well established and diversified compared Economic performance in South Africa has
with that of the rest of Africa. Private-sector businesses improved in the past four years, with an average real
are diversified across sectors, which include agriculture, GDP growth rate of 4.5 percent between 2003 and
industry, financial services, trade, and commerce.These 2006, up from 3.25 percent during 1999–2002 (Figure
sectors could facilitate the ability of the SANE economies 3). The South African economy experienced GDP
to shape the development of their respective subregional growth rate of 5.1 percent in 2005 and 5 percent in
networks of economies for attracting capital flows, facili- 2006, its highest since the end of apartheid.The
tating regional infrastructure, and developing skills in the improved performance reflects the impacts of a favorable
workforce that Africa needs to compete in the global international environment and the implementation,
economy. In spite of these potential advantages, several since mid-1990s, of the Growth and Employment and
52 investment climate constraints continue to undermine Redistribution (GEAR) strategy. Although growth in
the competitiveness and productivity of private businesses the post-apartheid era has been higher than it was
in the SANE, rendering them unsuccessful in moving before apartheid ended, it has been slow compared with
up the value chains. growth in other SANE economies, and it has not been
substantial enough to reduce the high level of unem-
ployment. South Africa also remains a dual economy,
Structure, performance, and competitiveness of SANE with large sections of the population in the informal
economies sector living in poverty and co-existing with the more
As noted in Chapter 1.1, the World Economic Forum sophisticated formal economy.
provides a measure and ranking of national competitive- In the GCI described in Chapter 1.1, South Africa
ness with the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI).The ranked 46th overall, higher than the three other SANE
GCI measures both the macroeconomic and microeco- economies.The competitiveness and sophistication of its
nomic drivers of productivity including institutions, formal economy is reflected in high rankings for prop-
policies, and structural factors across a large number of erty rights, corporate ethics, goods markets, financial
countries.The GCI also takes into account the various market efficiency, business sophistication, and innovation.
factors affecting productivity and competitiveness in However, the country does face a number of obstacles
countries at different stages of development.Thus, the to competitiveness as a result of the dual structure of its
GCI separates countries into three specific stages: economy.The social sector, especially health and primary
factor-driven, efficiency-driven, and innovation-driven. education, scored low on the competitiveness index
This section discusses the structure and performance because of high rates of communicable diseases and low
of the SANE economies and their competitiveness in life expectancy. Lack of security remains an obstacle to
the global economy.The section reviews the drivers of doing business in South Africa.The high level of unem-
recent economic performance and examines the sustain- ployment, combined with poor social services in the
ability of improved economic growth by looking at the informal sector, has fuelled the business costs of crime
structure of these economies and their stages of devel- and violence.The country’s labor market, although more
opment, which in turn has an impact on their efficient than those of the other SANE economies,
productivity and competitiveness. remains inflexible and constrained by the short supply
of skilled labor.
South Africa
With a nominal gross domestic product (GDP)
of US$261.7 billion—a quarter of the total African
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
Figure 2: Sector contribution to the GDP of SANE economies (2005)

Agriculture
Agriculture Mining
Mining Industry
Industry Construction
Construction Services
Services

100

24.3
33.8
80
1.5 47.5
2.9
66.4
7.5
60
Percent

5.1
38.8 4.1

40 20
2.4 45.3

20 20.9 15.5
32.5

7.3 8.3 14.1


0 2.7
South Africa Algeria* Nigeria* Egypt

Source: Reserve Bank of South Africa; Algerian Ministry of Finance; Central Bank of Nigeria, December 2005; Central Bank of Egypt; AfDB Statistics Department.
Note: Industry excludes petroleum. * Mining (petroleum).

53

Figure 3: SANE’s average real GDP growth rates (1999–2002 and 2003–06)

10 ■ 1999–2002 ■ 2003–06

6
Percent

0
South Africa Algeria Nigeria Egypt Brazil Russia India China

Source: Economic Indicator: AfDB Statistics Department; World Bank Africa Live Database, IMF World Economic Outlook September 2006.
Note: For the BRIC economies, the average of real GDP growth is calculated for the period 2003–05.
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

Algeria reforms and the privatization of government enterprises.


Algeria’s economy is heavily dependent on oil, with The increase in oil prices has also helped to boost foreign
petroleum accounting for 45.3 percent of GDP in 2005 reserves to US$48 billion in 2006 as well as the overall
(as shown in Figure 2).The services sector contributed performance of the economy, with GDP growth averag-
33.8 percent toward GDP and agriculture accounted for ing 7.3 percent between 2003 and 2006 compared with
8.3 percent. After almost a decade of economic stagnation only 2.8 percent during 1999–2002 (Figure 3).This rate
—partly the result of internal conflicts and political of economic growth has enabled Nigeria to reach a
instability—in the past four years Algeria has begun to debt deal with the Paris Club, which reduced the debt-
experience significant economic growth. During to-GDP ratio from 66.1 percent in 2000 to 4 percent in
2003–06 annual average real GDP growth rate of 2006, leading to the payment of the total debt in
5.6 percent has been recorded because oil and gas February 2007.
production and revenue were boosted by the surge in Nigeria has made considerable progress with respect
international prices of these commodities. Prudent to improving macroeconomic reforms, financial markets
macroeconomic management of oil windfalls has efficiency, and business innovation.The country also
increased foreign reserves sixfold to over US$82 billion scores well on labor market flexibility in hiring and firing
in 2006 compared with US$12 billion at the end of practices and employment of women. However, overall
2000. At the same time external debt, which represented Nigeria is the lowest-ranked country among the SANE
two-thirds of exports in 1990, declined to 15 percent of economies, at 102nd in the GCI, reflecting the poor
exports in 2006.The government has also succeeded in quality of its institutions, infrastructure, basic health, and
curbing inflation to very low levels. education.The ranking shows the paradox of poverty
Algeria’s strong macroeconomic environment is amidst plenty; growth with inequality. A large part of the
ranked 2nd in the GCI even though the country ranked population remains without good access to basic health
76th overall.There is also an encouraging trend with care and education, infrastructure remains dilapidated,
regard to improvements in public institutions, especially and security concerns remain a major issue—all of
perceptions of government efficiency, and evenhanded- which affect long-term competitiveness and sustainable
ness of the government in its dealings with the public. growth.
54 However, Algeria remains a factor-driven economy, with
considerable lag in productivity drivers including market Egypt
efficiency, access to financial markets, technological The Egyptian economy is largely dominated by the
readiness, and innovation. Sustained improvements in services sector. However, industry, and the petroleum
productivity and economic growth are also affected by and mining sector accounted for 30.4 percent of GDP
the high business costs of security and terrorism con- in 2005 (Figure 2). Crude oil production was about
cerns and by high rates of unemployment. 600,000 barrels a day in 2005 and the country currently
has about 2.5 billion barrels reserves.The other major
Nigeria sectors of the economy are trade, finance, and insurance;
Nigeria’s economy reflects a dichotomy between the oil government services; and agriculture.
and non-oil producing sectors.With estimated oil Egypt experienced rising real GDP growth rates
reserves of 35 billion barrels, Nigeria is the largest oil from 2002 to 2006. GDP grew at 3.1 percent in 2003
producer in Africa and the world’s sixth largest oil and 4.1 percent in 2004, rising to 4.9 percent and 6.8
exporter.The country also has an estimated 180 trillion percent in 2005 and 2006, respectively. An economic
cubic feet of gas, and the gas and oil reserves are expected liberalization program instituted in 2004 generated
to last 110 years and 40 years, respectively. As depicted unprecedented foreign investment in 2005, which is a
in Figure 2, agriculture accounts for the largest share of good sign for long-term growth prospects. However,
non-oil GDP, serving as a major source of employment fertile land for agriculture under current technology is
and occupying a pivotal role in poverty alleviation limited. Arable land constitutes only 2.85 percent of its
efforts.With 70 percent of Nigeria’s poor living in rural total land of 1,001,400 km2, making the economy
areas, agriculture accounts for some 60 percent of the heavily resource dependent.
total labor force. However, the services sector, including Egypt is the second ranked country among the
the financial subsector and information and telecommu- SANE economies after South Africa, at 65th place in
nications, is one of the rapidly growing sectors of the the GCI.The country’s competitive strengths revolve
economy. In the past five years Nigeria has had one of around markets efficiency; low taxation; access to a rela-
the fastest growing mobile telecommunications sectors tively large number of local suppliers; and the flexibility
in the world, and now has 20 million subscriber bases of its labor markets, pay, and productivity. In spite of
(13 percent of the population), up from less than these positive factors, Egypt’s macroeconomic environ-
500,000 in 2001. ment has worsened with high government deficits, public
The growing importance and dynamism of the debt, and inflation. Other efficiency-enhancing factors
services sector has been encouraged by recent economic
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
Table 3: GCI ranks in the nine pillars of competitiveness in the SANE and BRIC economies

SANE ECONOMIES BRIC ECONOMIES


South Africa Algeria Nigeria Egypt Brazil Russia India China

Global Competitiveness Index rank 46 76 102 65 67 61 42 55

Basic requirements 57 44 113 64 88 68 63 47


Institutions 31 65 93 50 85 119 33 96
Infrastructure 50 80 108 56 72 62 63 60
Macroeconomy 48 2 57 111 117 35 91 8
Health and primary education 106 46 119 51 48 78 96 56
Efficiency enhancers 45 92 90 75 58 59 41 72
Higher education 57 86 103 77 61 43 49 79
Market efficiency 34 97 71 66 59 60 20 55
Technological readiness 44 93 90 80 53 72 56 78
Innovation and sophistication factors 29 92 69 65 38 72 26 57
Business sophistication 32 106 75 57 38 79 25 65
Innovation 29 77 52 83 38 59 26 46

Source: World Economic Forum, 2006.

—including higher education, training, and technological and Russia within the BRIC economies are also at this
readiness—also remain weak. stage of development. As competitiveness at this stage is
largely driven by efficient production practices, South
SANE economies in aggregate Africa must strive to improve its labor and financial
In summary, the structure and performance of the SANE markets, its education and training programs that prepare
economies shows that all four have experienced strong the workforce for more streamlined production (higher
economic growth within the last four years. However, education and training), and its access to and use of the
55
with the exception of Brazil, economic growth rates latest technologies (technological readiness). None of the
were much higher in BRIC than in the SANE SANE economies has yet entered the third, innovation-
economies. It also shows that oil is vital to the driven stage, where countries compete through
economies of three SANE countries: Algeria, Nigeria, innovation, producing new and differentiated products,
and Egypt.The contribution of the oil sector to South using the most sophisticated techniques of production.
Africa’s economy is relatively low because of the domi-
nance of the financial and manufacturing sectors in
gross national output. Unlike Algeria, Nigeria, and Major investment constraints in the SANE economies
Egypt, the structure of the South African economy is This section analyzes investment constraints in the
relatively diverse, enabling several sectors to contribute SANE in four broad categories: macroeconomic policy
substantially to GDP. framework (inflation, exchange rates, interest rates, and
In terms of competitiveness, South Africa ranked taxation); microeconomic framework (regulation,
the highest among the SANE economies at 46th; fol- enforcement, and corruption); enabling infrastructure
lowed by Egypt, Algeria, and Nigeria at 65th, 76th, and (access to finance and physical infrastructure), and
102rd, respectively (Table 3). Although the rankings of human capital (labor markets, skills shortages, crime,
Algeria and Nigeria are lower than those of the BRIC and HIV/AIDs).
economies, the rankings of South Africa and Egypt are The key investment constraints discussed here are
comparable. Nigeria, Algeria, and Egypt remain factor- analyzed from the perspective of objective constraints
driven economies, although Algeria is beginning to and perception constraints.The objective constraints are
make the transition to the efficiency-driven stage. At measures of business regulations that cover 10 activities
their present stage of development—comparable to that usually reported in the annual World Bank Doing
of China and India—the economies of the SANE coun- Business reports.The cost, procedures, and time required
tries depend significantly on natural resources and low to complete each activity are quantified.The perception
labor cost to compete in the global economy. But they constraints are based on investment climate assessments
also require strong institutions, adequate infrastructure, a (ICA) obtained directly from representative sample of
stable macroeconomic environment, and sufficiently firms.These constraints relate to factor markets, product
high human development indicators to raise productivity. markets, infrastructure services, and firm performance.
Among the SANE economies, South Africa— Table 4 contains firms’ reported (perceived) major
especially its formal economy—has transitioned into the constraints to business in the four SANE economies
second, efficiency-driven stage of development. Brazil based on investment climate assessments (ICA) obtained
directly from 603 firms in South African, 217 in
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

Table 4: Major perception constraints to doing business in the SANE economies, as percent of responding firms

SANE ECONOMIES
South Africa Algeria Nigeria Egypt
Major obstacles (603 firms) (550 firms) (217 firms) (977 firms)

Human capital obstacles


Skilled labor shortage 88 11 0 5
Labor regulations 72 15 0 5
Microeconomic obstacles
Corruption 28 31 0 35
Crime and theft 37 0 0 0
Unfair competition from imports and illegal business 36 57 0 42
Enabling infrastructural obstacles
Power failure 0 0 94 8
Poor infrastructure other than power 0 0 59 0
Lack of working capital 0.2 39 58 20
Obtaining land or building 30 29 0 5
Macroeconomic framework problems
Macroeconomic uncertainty (inflation, exchange rate) 5 9 4 58
Tax regulations and/or high tax rates 40 24 25 47
High interest rates 21 32 42 22

Source: Data from the World Bank Productivity and Investment Climate of Private Sector Enterprise Survey.
Note: 0 indicates that a very small percentage of the firms reported on the obstacle.

Nigeria, 977 in Egypt, and 550 firms in Algeria.The transparency in monetary policy, and closing the signifi-
table indicates the percentage of firms citing a particular cant gap between the official and parallel exchange
obstacle as either major or very severe hindrance to rates.These policies led to a unified foreign exchange
56
doing business in the country. For example, 88 percent rate regime by the end of 2004 and a sharp decline in
of the 603 firms surveyed in South Africa identified the rate of inflation to 4.9 percent in 2006.
skilled labor shortage as either a major or very severe There is a degree of macroeconomic uncertainty in
obstacle to business.Therefore, the totals in the various Nigeria too, but there it strongly correlates with uncer-
cells may exceed 100 percent. tainty and lack of confidence in future economic policy
directions as the country is preparing for transition to
Macroeconomic framework another civilian administration in 2007. However, only
The macroeconomic framework encompasses policy 4 percent of the managers surveyed viewed the macro-
uncertainties on a macroeconomic scale as well as taxa- economic environment as too unstable to plan for the
tion and interest rate issues. All play a vital role in the future with confidence.The uncertainty rather surrounds
economic development of the SANE economies. the swings in oil prices, as the overbearing nature of oil
in the Nigerian economy overexposes the economy to
Macroeconomic policy uncertainties negative oil price shocks. In Algeria and South Africa
Among the SANE economies the burden of macroeco- as well, under 10 percent of the managers reported
nomic policy uncertainties is most serious in Egypt (see macroeconomic uncertainty to be a serious constraint
Table 4). Fifty-eight percent of respondents in that to business environment.
country identified macroeconomic uncertainty, especially
inflation and exchange rate, as the greatest obstacle to Taxation
the business environment. Egypt’s poor macroeconomic The tax burden in all the SANE economies is competi-
situation is partly explained by an erratic growth in tive with global levels. Nevertheless, 47 percent and 40
money supply and consistent budget deficits—for percent of the firms in Egypt and South Africa, respec-
example, the budget deficit rose from around 6 percent tively, cited either tax regulations or high tax rates as a
of GDP in 2001 to 9.3 percent in 2005. distressing business concern.The comparable figures for
In addition, the Egyptian pound depreciated against Nigeria and Algeria are 25 percent and 24 percent,
the US dollar from 3.86 Egyptian pounds in 2001 to 6.22 respectively.
Egyptian pounds in 2005, a decline of 61 percent (even South Africa has five sets of personal income tax
with the depreciation of the US dollar worldwide).These rates;3 the lowest is 18 percent and the highest is 40
developments accelerated the rate of inflation from 2.4 percent. Annual incomes of between 40,001 and
percent to 9.7 percent within the period. In 2004 Egypt 100,000 rand attract 18 percent, while income earners
initiated policies to promote access to foreign currencies, of 400,001 rand and above pay 40 percent on their
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
earnings. Non-gold mining corporations and long-term comparable figures are lower: two out of ten firms find
insurance companies pay 29 percent on their taxable interest rates to be obstacles to growth.
incomes, and nonresident companies trading with a Although high interest rates in the SANE
branch or agency in South Africa are taxed at the rate of economies are of concern to all firms, they are more of
34 percent. A different tax rate is applied to gold mining a constraint to small and medium-sized enterprises
companies. (SMEs), especially in Nigeria. Most of these enterprises
Across the board reduction in tax rates was imple- have been regarded in Nigeria as highly unattractive
mented in Egypt in 2005. Previously, corporations prospects for banks, as they want to minimize their risk
attracted a tax rate of 32 percent for industry, 40.55 profile. Even the intervention of a Bankers’ Committee
percent for the Suez Canal and the oil industry, and 40 in setting up the Small and Medium Industries Equity
percent for other businesses.4 Personal income tax was Investment Scheme (SMIEIS) in June 2001, requiring all
set at 16 percent for annual incomes of less than 16,000 banks to set aside 10 percent of their profit before tax
Egyptian pounds and 36 percent for higher incomes. A (PBT) for equity investment in small and medium-scale
new income and corporate tax law, implemented in industries, has not adequately addressed the problem.
2005, reduced corporate tax reduced by 12 percent to Though this is a laudable idea for SMEs financing, an
20 percent. However, the tax rate for strategic sectors enterprise must have a maximum asset base of 200 mil-
such as the Suez Canal and the oil industry still remains lion naira excluding land and working capital and a staff
at its pre-2005 level of 40.55 percent. of not less than 10 or more than 300 to qualify for the
Currently the tax wedge for a single person with scheme.These restrictions and the requirement for the
average earnings accounts for 41 percent of total labor enterprise to operate in certain specific activities tend to
costs in Algeria,5 which is comparable to those of the disqualify many SMEs from taking part in the scheme.
transition economies of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania at To summarize, the macroeconomic framework
40 percent, 42 percent, and 43 percent, respectively. On problems of doing business in the SANE economies
the other hand, Nigeria’s marginal effective tax rate of comprise macroeconomic policy uncertainties, bureau-
27.1 percent is relatively competitive internationally. cratic tax systems, and high interest rates.Taxation and
Although the tax rates of the SANE may be globally macroeconomic policy uncertainties are of particular
competitive, the burden of tax administration is highly concern to business managers in Egypt. Interest rates are 57
bureaucratic, cumbersome, and time consuming. a key issue for Nigerian businesses. High interest rates
Nigerian business managers spent 1,120 hours in 2005 and bureaucratic tax systems in all the SANE economies
attending to tax matters.6 Egyptian and Algerian man- raise the cost of doing business, which affects the ability
agers spent about half that amount of time, while their of the country to effectively compete internationally.
South African counterparts spent 350 hours in the same
pursuit during the same period.This cumbersome Microeconomic framework
process constrains the ability to do business in the SANE On the microeconomic front, issues of regulatory and
economies, thereby reducing their competitiveness. administrative structure, unfair competition, and corrup-
Tax revenues, as a percent of GDP, have remained tion each have an impact on the SANE economies’
fairly stable in all the SANE economies from 1998 to ability to compete.
2004.7 From a base of 22.9 percent of GDP, South
Africa’s tax revenue rose to only 23.6 percent in Regulatory and administrative structure
2002/2003 and declined to 22.9 percent in 2003/2004 Table 5 presents the major objective constraints to doing
before increasing to 24.3 percent in 2004/2005. business in the SANE and BRIC economies as identified
Increased company profitability, improved enforcement in the World Bank’s 2007 Doing Business in Africa report.
and compliance, and a considerable increase in company The table shows that it is easier to start a business in the
register accounted for the rise in tax revenue. Egypt’s tax SANE economies than in BRIC economies. On aver-
revenue fluctuated from 13.2 percent of GDP to 12.8 age, entrepreneurs in the SANE economies go through
percent during the period 1998–2004.The tax revenues 10.5 steps to launch a business; launching a business in
of Nigeria and Algeria, though much higher because of the BRIC requires 12 procedures. On the individual
oil taxes, were also relatively stable at an average of 34.2 country level, it takes fewer steps to start a business in
percent and 35.7 percent of GDP, respectively. South Africa, Nigeria, and Egypt than it does in Brazil,
China, and India. Similarly, the average number of days
High interest rates (286) taken to license a business in the SANE
High interest rates also constitute one of the most fre- economies is far less than the 407 days required in the
quent concerns of firms in all the four SANE economies. BRIC.While it takes 531 days to register a business in
Four out of ten firms in Nigeria and one-third of firms Russia, it takes 465 days to do so in Nigeria, the country
surveyed in Algeria identified high interest rates as a with the most obstacles to licensing businesses in the
major obstacle to business growth and development SANE group. However, the SANE’s average number of
(Table 4). In Egypt and South Africa, however, the days for registering property is almost three times the
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

Table 5: Major obstacles to doing business in the SANE and BRIC economies (2006)

2006 or most recent year


SANE ECONOMIES BRIC ECONOMIES
South SANE BRIC
Major obstacles Africa Algeria Nigeria Egypt average Brazil Russia India China average

Starting a business: Procedures 9 14 9 10 10.5 17 7 11 13 12


Dealing with licenses: Time (days) 174 244 465 263 286.5 460 531 270 367 407
Registering property: Time (days) 23 51 274 193 135.3 47 52 62 32 48.3
Protecting investors: Disclosure index (from 0 to 7) 6 2 6 2 4 5 7 7 10 7.3
Enforcing contracts: Cost (percent of debt) 11.5 10.3 27 18.4 16.8 15.5 13.5 35.7 26.8 22.9
Getting credit: Legal rights index (from 0 to 10) 5 3 7 1 4 2 3 5 2 3
Closing business: Recovery rate (cents on the dollar) 34.4 41.7 32.1 16.6 31.2 12.1 28.7 13 31.5 22.3
Paying taxes: Total tax rate (percent of profit) 39 76.4 31.4 59.6 51.6 71.7 54.2 81.1 77.1 71

Source: Oshikoya, 2007; AfDB Statistics; World Bank Doing Business Database, 2006.

average number for the BRIC. In any case, South ly indicates that, in spite of their glaring potentials in the
Africa’s registration period is lower than the required African environment, the individual economies of the
period in any of the BRIC, while Algeria’s period of SANE countries show a lackluster performance when
51 days is just below that of Russia’s 52 days and India’s measured against comparable economies on the global
62 days. stage.The challenges of doing business in these countries
The BRIC economies perform better than the are key priority areas for reform in order to improve
SANE economies on protecting investors. China, their competitiveness.
Russia, and India have higher rankings in this category
than any country in the SANE.This implies that, on Unfair competition
58 average, there is less transparency of business transactions Another major microeconomic impediment to competi-
—including shareholders’ inability to sue business tion in the SANE economies relates to the operations of
managers and directors for misconduct—in the SANE illegal business. Unfair competition is the greatest concern
economies, especially in Egypt and Algeria, than in the of 57 percent of the business firms in the Algerian survey
BRIC economies. Egypt and Algeria also score poorly sample (Table 4).The firms cited competition from the
on the “getting credit index.” However, on average the informal sector, the smuggling of large quantities of
SANE economies are better ranked for getting credit consumer goods into the country, and public oligopolies
than the BRIC.The index ranges from 0 to 10, with as key activities seriously affecting the growth of
higher scores indicating that collateral and bankruptcy legitimate business and their ability to compete.
laws are better designed to expand access to credit.The Public enterprises in Algeria tend to be oligopolistic,
scores of 1 and 3 for Egypt and Algeria, respectively, dealing with fewer competitors, clients, and suppliers.
suggest that business operates under poor collateral and Therefore they enjoy oligopolistic profits. For example,
bankruptcy laws in those countries.This conclusion private firms’ average revenue from sales to state and
appears to be confirmed by the results of the investment local government and state enterprises was about 26.9
climate assessment surveys shown in Table 4: 58 percent, percent. In contrast, the average revenue of public
39 percent, and 20 percent of the firms in Nigeria, enterprises was 49.7 percent, which is almost twice the
Algeria, and Egypt respectively, specified lack of working average revenue of the private firms. Although it is
capital among their major constraints. arguable that the public enterprises’ profits may accrue
The challenges of doing business are more pro- from economies of scale because of their large size,
nounced at the country level. It takes 14 procedures and nevertheless these profits, which amount to pure rents,
244 days to register a business in Algeria;8 10 procedures, confirm the unfair nature of competition in the Algerian
410 days, and 18.4 percent of the debt to enforce a debt business environment.The profits also indicate a high
contract in Egypt; and 21 procedures, 274 days and 27 degree of state involvement in the economy.
percent of the property value to register property in Smuggling large quantities of consumer goods into
Nigeria. Consequently, these countries scored poorly on a country does not promote the benefits of trading
the “ease of doing business” rankings. South Africa, with across borders such as technology transfer and knowledge
a ranking of 29 out of 175 countries on the “ease of adaptation through the importation of capital goods.
starting a business” index, places within the second Furthermore, unlike the legal export of goods and
quintile of the Global Competitiveness Index discussed services, smuggling does not enhance competition and
in Chapter 1.1, while Algeria and Egypt are in the third efficiency in production. By subjecting exporting firms
quintile, and Nigeria is in the fourth quintile.This clear- to competitive pressures, the export of goods and services
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
Table 6: Trading across borders: Rankings of the SANE and BRIC economies

INDEX
Exports Imports
Trading Documents Time to Cost to export Documents Time to Cost to export
across needed to export (US$ per needed to export (US$ per
Economy/region borders export (number) (days) container) export (number) (days) container)

South Africa 67 5 31 850 9 34 850


Algeria 83 8 20 1,014 8 25 1,049
Nigeria 137 11 25 798 13 45 1,460
Egypt 109 9 15 1,606 9 22 1,886
SANE average 8.25 22.75 1,067 9.75 31.5 1,311

Brazil 53 7 18 895 6 24 1,145


Russia 143 8 39 2,237 8 38 2,237
India 139 10 27 864 15 41 1,244
China 38 6 18 335 12 22 375
BRIC average 7.75 25.5 1,082.75 10.25 31.25 1,250

Source: World Bank, 2007a.

promotes the efficient utilization of scarce productive time and monetary terms) in the SANE are consistent
resources, which can induce a change in market structure with the view that they have very little control over the
and reduce markups as well as lead to a rise in per capita prices of their products.
GDP.9 Consequently some estimates suggest that raising Generally, there is very little intra-African trade by
the ratio of trade to GDP by 1 percentage point would the SANE economies other than South Africa. Only
increase income per capita between 0.5 and 2.0 1.54 percent of Egypt’s total exports and 1.07 percent of
percent.10 These forgone benefits mean that smuggling its total imports12 were within Africa in 2005. Similarly,
—the illegal trading across borders—is a great threat to 9 percent of Nigeria’s total exports13 in that year went 59
competitiveness and socioeconomic development. to African countries: Côte d’Ivoire received 2.9 percent;
The SANE economies rank better than India and South Africa, 2.4 percent; Ghana, 1.8 percent; Cameroon,
Russia on the legal trading across borders index, as shown 1.2 percent; and Senegal, 0.7 percent. Meanwhile, only
in Table 6. Both South Africa and Algeria are ranked the 2.6 percent of total imports each from South Africa
above 100 out of 175 countries, far above India’s and and Côte d’Ivoire were significant enough to be reported
Russia’s rankings of 139 and 143, respectively.11 On as Africa’s share of Nigeria’s imports.
average, the SANE economies also rank better than the Almost two-thirds of Algeria’s export trade is with
BRIC economies in three other categories. It takes the European Union;14 the United States and Japan take
about 23 and 26 days to export goods in the SANE and much of the remainder.While intra-African trade
the BRIC, respectively, and it costs more to export a accounted for 14.6 percent of South Africa’s export
container of goods in the BRIC (US$1,082) than in the trade in 2005,15 over two-thirds of it was within the
SANE (US$1,067). Also, the average number of docu- South African Development Community (SADC).
ments needed to import goods in the SANE is margin- Exports to West Africa amounted to 2.2 percent; to East
ally smaller than the number needed in the BRIC. Africa, 1.4 percent; and to North and Central Africa, 0.7
However, the BRIC’s average cost of US$1,250 to import percent and 0.3 percent, respectively. Imports followed a
a container and 7.75 average number of documents similar pattern. Only 2.5 percent of imports were from
required to export goods are better indicators than the West Africa; 2.3 percent were from SADC and a total of
SANE’s US$1,311 and 8.25 number of documents. 0.4 percent were from Central and East Africa.The
Two important implications can be drawn from compelling implication of this situation is that the
these indicators regarding competitiveness in the SANE SANE economies will surely have to augment their
and the BRIC economies. First, on average, the SANE intra-African trade before they can be seriously regarded
economies face higher import costs than the BRIC as potential growth poles.
ones face.The higher import costs are a direct burden
on their competitiveness.These costs can significantly Corruption as an impediment to investment
delay the time it takes for firms in the SANE economies Corruption is a pervasive microeconomic obstacle to
to receive ordered inputs, thus raising the cost of inputs business in the SANE economies. About 35 percent of
and the general price levels of outputs.The indicators the firms in Egypt identified corruption as a major
further imply that the SANE economies may be more concern, while 31 percent and 28 percent of firms in
price takers than the economies of the BRIC.The high- Algeria and South Africa, respectively, regarded it as a
er costs of imports and lower costs of export (both in severe problem (see Table 4).Though Nigerian firms did
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

not cite corruption among their major causes of distress service and public utilities can get fast results.Through
to doing business, Nigeria ranks very poorly on this avenue, 51 percent of firms got their telephone lines
Transparency International’s corruption perception repaired, 49 percent had their telephones installed, 34
index (CPI).16 percent obtained construction permits, and 36 percent
Figure 4 presents the corruption perception index were connected to the electric grid.17 Yet Algeria is the
of the four SANE and four BRIC economies for 2004, best-ranked country among the SANE in the GCI on
2005, and 2006 (see also Box 1).The 2005 rankings favoritism.With a ranking of 100 out of 128 countries,
were out of 159 countries while 163 were ranked in Nigeria has the worst ranking in the GCI for this indi-
2006. About 210 countries were ranked in 2004 but cator. It is preceded by South Africa (ranked 55th) and
because several of the rankings were tied, 145 was the then Egypt, which ranks 48th.18 These rankings suggest
worst-ranked position. By these measures, South Africa, that nepotism or government favoritism is common in
with a ranking of 46 in 2005 and 51 in 2006, is regarded these countries.Though nepotism is not illegal, it gener-
as the least corrupt country among the SANE. Egypt ates inefficiencies in the general economy, preventing
ranked second while Algeria was third. Nigeria was the the achievement of full potential growth and ultimately
worst-ranked country, placing only 7 places from the preventing effective global competition.
bottom of the global list in 2005. Its ranking, however,
improved in 2006 to 21 places above the least-ranked Enabling environment
country, Haiti. Among the BRIC economies, China, An enabling environment is another vital component of
Brazil, and India were all ranked 70 in 2006, which is at sustainable competitiveness. Access to finance, infrastruc-
par with Egypt, while Russia had a ranking of 121— ture, and industrial land are all elements of the environ-
worse than Algeria’s ranking of 84. South Africa remains ment that need to work together to enhance growth.
the least corrupt in both SANE and BRIC economies,
while Russia and Nigeria are perceived as the most Access to finance
corrupt. More than one in three (39 percent) firms in Algeria
Bribery—defined as the payment of money to get were concerned about access to capital in their country,
things done that should be done without such payments whose financial sector is heavily dominated by the state
60 —is common in Algeria. It is not unusual to pay (see Table 4).The seven public banks account for 90
US$210 to get a telephone line installed, and US$540 to percent of all bank assets.These banks are generally
obtain a construction permit.There is also a high degree bureaucratic, insensitive to customer requests, and not
of nepotism or government favoritism in all the SANE innovative.They also have very little incentive to assume
economies. Usually, personal connections in the public responsibility or manage risk. In addition, bankers in

Box 1: Fighting corruption in Nigeria and South Africa

With Nigeria’s low rankings on the CPI, it is difficult to explain The government of South Africa has also undertaken a
why firms did not cite corruption as an impediment. A plausible number of bold, important, and far-reaching anticorruption
explanation is that corruption may be so endemic that most measures. They range from the adoption of the Public Service
firms have grown to view it simply as a fact of life. However, it Anti-Corruption Strategy (PSACS) to combat and prevent cor-
must be emphasized that the government has made fighting ruption in public service through to the promulgation of a rather
corruption a priority and has taken significant steps to curtail comprehensive anticorruption-related legislative framework
the problem. An independent international firm was appointed and the development of investigating and prosecuting anticor-
in March 2005 to audit oil and gas accounts of the industry for ruption capacities, to efforts to develop partnerships with busi-
1999–2004 under the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency ness and civil society. In 2004 the Preventing and Combating
Initiative (NEITI). Corruption is also being attacked through the of Corruption Activities Act (PCCAA) was passed. This Act pro-
Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC). There have vides for the criminalization of corruption, puts a duty on certain
been several high-level arrests, and assets that have been persons to report corruption, and provides for a register of cor-
determined to have been obtained through corrupt means have rupt businesses. Also, where corruption is suspected to have
been seized. In undertaking these measures, the government occurred, the government has been swift to take action, as evi-
has also begun to tackle the perception of the acceptability of denced by the dismissal of the deputy president in 2005 over
corrupt practices. It will probably take a while before the gov- allegations of corruption. All departments are obliged according
ernment’s actions have an impact on the private sector, where to the Public Finance Management Act (PFMA) and treasury
success will most likely be gradual. regulations to conduct risk assessments and to implement fraud
prevention plans informed by such risk assessments.
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
Figure 4: Corruption perception index (CPI) rankings of SANE and BRIC economies

South Africa Algeria Nigeria Egypt Brazil Russia India China


0

50
Rank

100

150

200
■ 2004 ■ 2005 ■ 2006

t
Source: Transparency International, 2005, 2006.

61
Algeria face an underdeveloped risk and credit system, a About 20 percent of Egyptian firms cited the lack
lack of reliable market information, few trained judges of working capital as a severe obstacle to their develop-
in commercial matters, an underreporting of sales, and a ment and growth.The government of Egypt has recently
lack of certified balance sheets. All these elements have a taken steps to enhance the financial sector, a move that
direct impact on the ability to obtain bank financing. is being supported by the African Development Bank
Consequently, access to financing is highly constrained— and other development partners (see Box 2).
to the point that the value of collateral needed for a
loan is about 168.6 percent of the loan amount. Infrastructural facility
Therefore, bank credit in Algeria finances as little as 11 Figure 5 illustrates the rankings of the SANE economies
percent of working capital on average, and 16 percent of in the quality of general infrastructure as presented by
investment. About 74 percent of all business financing the Global Competitiveness Index in Chapter 1.1.The
derives from firms’ internally generated funds.This rankings were out of 128 countries, with 1 indicating
undermines Algerian firms’ competitiveness. the country with the best infrastructure and 128 indi-
In the case of Nigeria, 58 percent of the surveyed cating the country with the worst infrastructure. South
firms identified a lack of working capital as one of their Africa is ranked the best in all areas except in telephone
most severe impediments to doing business.The financial lines category, where it is surpassed by Egypt, the second
sectors of both Nigeria and South Africa have the scope overall best-ranked country. Algeria ranks third ahead of
and depth lacking in other African countries. However, Nigeria. Nigeria, Algeria, and Egypt have something to
the Nigerian financial system had not been responsive learn from South Africa, which ranks ahead of at least
to the needs of setting up a strong and committed 84 countries globally in the overall infrastructure cate-
microcredit system to cater for the funding needs of gory as well as in the railroads and quality of ports
SMEs until the recent financial sector reforms.These subcategories.
reforms increased capitalization requirements and reduced Among the SANE economies, only 8 percent of
the number of banks from 89 to 25. In spite of these the firms in Egypt regard power failure as an impediment
reforms, however, many conventional financial institutions to their operations, and most of the firms in South
are still reluctant to advance credits to most SMEs Africa and Algeria did not indicate it as a worrisome
because their profiles do not meet general risk acceptance issue. However, in Nigeria over nine in ten firms
criteria.Therefore, though banks have excess liquidity, a surveyed indicated frequent power failure as the most
large share of it is not being channeled into productive pressing issue in their operations (Box 3).
investments to enhance Nigeria’s competitiveness.
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

Box 2: The Arab Republic of Egypt: Financial Sector Reform Program (FSRP)

In 2006, the AfDB Board of Directors approved a loan of US$500 • Undertake the financial, institutional, and operational
million in favor of the Arab Republic of Egypt in support of the restructuring of state-owned banks to improve their com-
country’s Financial Sector Reform Program (FSRP). This is the mercial orientation and the scope and quality of financial
largest single loan ever approved by the Bank Group since its services.
inception. • Upgrade the regulatory and supervisory capabilities of
The FSRP is a comprehensive and far-reaching program of financial sector regulatory agencies.
reforms designed to improve the depth, efficiency, and function-
ing of the Egyptian financial sector. It addresses identified • Restructure the insurance industry and reduce the domi-
weaknesses in the banking and nonbank financial sectors, nance of the state in the sector through privatization.
including the insurance sector, the capital market, and the mort- • Deepen the capital market.
gage industry. Its main objective is to develop a market-based,
efficient, competitive, and sound financial system that could Within the context of the program, Egypt has a strong pub-
better serve Egypt’s development and growth objectives. The lic commitment to pursue economic reforms that will encourage
program seeks to enhance the efficiency of financial intermedi- private-sector development and accelerate economic growth
ation and risk management in the economy, and to build safe and employment creation.
and sound banking and nonbanking financial sectors through The program is expected to give a big impetus to econom-
comprehensive structural and financial reforms that will accel- ic development in Egypt and to contribute to the comprehen-
erate economic growth and development. siveness of the economy. The program will help build a sound
Through the FRSP, the AfDB will assist Egypt to strengthen and more efficient financial sector, improve savings mobilization
its enabling environment for financial intermediation, resource and access to finance by small and medium-sized enterprises
mobilization and risk management, and increased private-sector (SMEs)—the key drivers of investment and growth—so that
participation in providing financial services. It will support poli- they can invest and create the conditions for enhanced produc-
cy reforms to strengthen the domestic banking system, develop tivity. It will help modernize the Egyptian economy and enhance
the contractual savings system, and strengthen the regulatory its competitiveness, so that it can better integrate into the glob-
and supervisory framework for bank and nonbank financial al economy.
62 institutions in order to ensure compliance with international The program is supported by several other development
standards. In particular, the loan will support activities to: partners, including the World Bank, the European Union, and
• Increase private-sector participation and enhance USAID.
competition in the financial sector.
Source: AfDB, 2006d.

Box 3: Power shortages in Nigeria

The 2002 Regional Program for Enterprise Development (RPED)’s cost is between 5 and 6 US cents/kWh. The Authority charges
survey of Nigerian manufacturing concluded that firms consider 3.5 cents/kWh and the government subsidizes the rest.
power failure to be their most severe constraint. Managers In the case of privately provided electricity, the govern-
spend more time attending to electricity problems than to other ment subsidizes the cost of fuel, which represents 75 percent of
business problems. The power problem is more than twice as the cost of electricity. The National Electric Power Authority
large an obstacle as either of the next two problems—access (NEPA) has billions of naira in accounts receivable. Payments
to credit and general uncertainty. The survey remarked that the are often not made because of frustration with poor services
power problem applies to “all types of firms (for example, large, and frequently inaccurate billing. The inability of NEPA to meet
SME, foreign) and across all regions of the country.” The caus- the power supply of the country has made some Nigerians refer
es of the problem include government subsidies as well as inef- to NEPA as “Never Expect Power Always.”
ficient and poor services. Government subsidies tend to distort
the prices of both publicly and privately provided power. The
National Electric Power Authority’s production cost of electrici-
ty is 11 US cents/kWh. In contrast, the international average
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
Figure 5: Rankings of SANE economies in quality of infrastructure

■ Overall infrastructure
120
■ Quality of port infrastructure
■ Railroad Infrastructure
100 ■ Telephone Lines, 2005

80
Rank

60

40

20

0
South Africa Algeria Nigeria Egypt

Source: World Economic Forum.

63
Table 7 shows that nearly all firms have their own Table 7: Firms with private generators in Nigeria
generators, regardless of their location.This implies that (percent)
businesses take the problem of power failure very seri-
Location
ously by providing their own generators. Some of them
Number of employees East North South All
operate their generators even when the public supply of
20–49 99.3 91.7 94.1 93.4
electricity is available to prevent product damage that 50–99 100 100 100 100
results from the switch-over process from one power 100–199 100 100 100 100
source to another. 200–499 100 100 100 100
500–999 100 100 100 100
The cost of privately provided electricity in Nigeria 1,000 and over 66.7 100 100 94.1
is about 242 percent of that provided by the National All 95.7 98.2 97.7 97.4
Electric Power Authority (NEPA). Damage to equipment Source: World Bank, 2002b.
and machinery accounts for 3.3 percent of the total
value of the equipment. Sources indicate that Nigeria
loses about 66 billion naira annually from power failure.19
Some firms have adopted factor substitution by modify-
ing their production process in favor of less electricity- and has rendered the supply system vulnerable to short-
intensive inputs, while others have resorted to reducing ages. Such power outages occurred in the Western Cape
output to resolve the frequent power failure. Province in 2006, followed by countrywide power
Although power shortage has not been cited as a blackouts in January 2007 despite assurances from the
major obstacle in South Africa, the country faces a national power utility and the government that supplies
shortage of peak-load generating capacity as growth in were secure. Delayed efforts to increase capacity threaten
demand has continued to outstrip growth in supply. increased risks of further disruption in supply, with the
Eskom, the national power utility, significantly underes- potential of decreasing productivity and growth.
timated the growth in demand: the growth rate of GDP
has risen from an average of 2.6 percent per year in Scarcity of industrial land
1995–99 to 3.5 percent in 2000–03 and 4.5 percent in Land is an important factor in many business operations.
2004–06. Consequently, the margin of spare capacity It is a necessary element of infrastructure for the super-
over normal peak-demand levels has fallen to around 8 structures of several businesses. Besides, the right to land
percent—well below the accepted norm of 15 percent. encourages investments and facilitates trade.These rights
This has created difficulties even for regular maintenance, also enable entrepreneurs to obtain mortgages on their
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

homes or land to start businesses. Hence the lack of ownership.Traditionally, the country’s white minority
land can be a severe obstacle to social development and has owned a much larger portion of the land since 1913
economic growth. It can thwart wealth creation and (see Box 4). A poor handling of the South African land
thereby frustrate poverty reduction efforts. Scarcity of issue could have a negative impact on its competitive-
land can also be a source of internal social discord and ness and investment climate.
possible open conflicts. It may also lead to environmen- While about 75 percent of Nigeria’s land is arable,
tal degradation through factors such as overgrazing and of which about 40 percent is cultivated, high population
urban concentration.Therefore, the lack of industrial growth has put pressure on the availability of industrial
land can seriously hinder the effective global competi- land, especially in urban centers, making the lack of
tiveness of a country—by limiting investment, trade, and access to land a major contributing factor to poverty.20
economic growth, and by promoting social instability. The pressure on land is likely to persist until Nigeria is
Lack of industrial land is of particular concern to able to curb its annual urban population growth rate of
many firms in Algeria and South Africa. About half of 4.1 percent.21
the industrial land in Algeria belongs either to bankrupt
public enterprises or to speculative private owners; this Human capital: Skilled labor as a crucial element of growth
land lies idle without being put to use. As a precursor of Managers are more concerned about the lack of skilled
its development strategy, Algeria created industrial parks labor in South Africa than in Algeria, Nigeria, or Egypt.
on public lands in the 1970s and early 1980s. Since the While 88 percent of South African firms regarded
locations of many of these parks were determined more scarcity of skilled labor as a prime hurdle to business,
on political than economic grounds, some industrial only 11 percent and 5 percent of the firms in Algeria
land has been converted into public parks. Consequently and Egypt, respectively, listed it as an impediment (Table
the availability of such land became severely limited. 4).Therefore other constraints—such as power failure in
Additionally, it is often common for several public Nigeria and lack of industrial land in both Algeria and
organizations to share responsibility for owning, devel- Egypt—supersede the need for skilled labor in these
oping, managing, and rehabilitating industrial land. Due countries.
to these complexities, acquiring industrial land is time South African businesses face an abundant supply of
64 consuming and expensive. It takes 51 days to register unskilled labor but a shortage of skilled workers.The
property in Algeria (see Table 5), compared with 47 days scarcity of skilled workers—especially engineers, scientists,
in Brazil and 32 days in China. health-care workers, and artisans—is a constraining fac-
Table 4 suggests that 30 percent of South African tor to productivity, growth, and competition. Skilled
firms cited difficulties in acquiring land as a constraining workers attract high pay. Although an additional year of
factor to doing business.The major land issue is about education may attract a 5 to 7 percent increase in wages

Box 4: The problem of land in South Africa

The problem of land in South Africa started in 1913 with the pas- cation on the part of the government. By some estimates, a will-
sage of the Native Land Act (NLA), which attributed about 87 ing seller takes up to 22 months to sign a deed.
percent of the country to the white population. Therefore, only 4 Another part of the problem relates to the buyers’ or the
percent of commercial farmland and 16 percent of the total area demand side of the equation. The new owners never have the
of the country are currently owned by blacks. working capital, and often lack the necessary skills, to develop
Redistribution of land was a major campaign theme of the their new estate. So they abandon the land after a few years.
African National Congress (ANC). So, upon coming into office in Currently many people are requesting a more affirmative
1994, the ANC government enacted the Restitution of Land method of land redistribution, obliging the white owners to cede
Rights (RLR) Act. Under this Act, essentially anyone who could their property. The land redistribution process is causing ten-
claim to have lost land because of the 1913 Native Land Act sion and unhappiness on all sides. This is affecting the produc-
was entitled to restitution in court if a complaint was lodged tivity of farmers because many of them are very apprehensive
before December 31, 1998. Such land was to be bought from the that a Zimbabwean-style takeover of land could occur. If the
white owner with financial assistance to the new tenant. It was transition to black ownership is not managed through peaceful
hoped that 30 percent of the land would be redistributed means, it could easily degenerate into a major economic
through a “willing buyer, willing seller” program by 2014. upheaval and the loss of South Africa’s competitive edge in
However, the program has proved ineffective in addressing the agricultural production, or even in manufacturing as well.
problem. The selling process is protracted and marked by poor
administration, excessive bureaucracy, and a lack of communi-
Source: Adapted from AfDB, 2006b.
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
in many developing countries, one more year of educa- Table 8: Number of people needed to meet new and
tion in South Africa can lead to an 11 to 12 percent rise replacement demand in South Africa (2001–06)
in wages. Consequently there is a large wage disparity in
Mortality Annual
South African industry.The median monthly salary of a Number (percent, Retiring shortage
High-skills occupation in 2001 2001–06) (percent) (percent)
South African manager in 2002 was about US$1,850. In
Academics 37,237 5.5 8.9 3.2
contrast, the median monthly wage for an unskilled Doctors 34,370 6.2 2.2 3
worker in that year was only US$240.22 Nurses 155,516 8.3 8.3 4.6
Table 8 suggests that the scarcity of skilled labor in Computer professionals 75,841 4.9 2.8 4.1
Science technologists 4,729 4 5.3 n/a
South Africa will persist for a while because of high
Scientists 4,647 4.2 5.4 n/a
retirement and mortality rates. For example, 14.4 percent Educators 354,469 11 2.2 4.1
of academics and 16.6 percent of nurses are lost from Engineers 29,824 4.5 5.4 3.4
Engineering technologists 32,132 6.2 2.6 3.7
the workforce each year because of death or retirement.
Managers 280,298 6.1 5.6 3.2
To overcome the high cost of skilled labor and meet the
pressure to produce high-quality products in order to Source: AfDB, 2006b, p. 84.
n/a, not available.
remain competitive in the global market, firms have
resorted to capital-intensive modes of operation.This
has exacerbated the unemployment situation, which has
the potential for social destabilization. Many firms have aggressively embarked on providing
The causes of the skilled labor shortage include
on-the-job training to alleviate the shortage of skilled
inefficiencies in the educational system, which lead to
labor.This has enabled South Africa to rank 26 and 30
dropouts and repeaters; poor working conditions; low
on the “extent of staff training” and “local availability of
salaries; brain drain of skilled workers to developed
specialized research and training services,” respectively, in
countries; difficulties in obtaining work permits for for-
the Global Competitiveness Index.The corresponding
eign skilled workers because of stringent immigration
rankings for the other SANE economies are 61 and 66
policies; and the impact of HIV/AIDS. South Africa
for Nigeria, 80 and 84 for Egypt, and 103 and 100 for
ranks 124 and 125 out of 128 countries on the impact
Algeria. Also, in spite of the implications of HIV/AIDS,
of HIV/AIDS and HIV prevalence on business, respec-
the South African economy has the highest proportion 65
tively, on the Global Competitiveness Index (see Box 5).
of companies employing women as senior managers,
with 75 percent of these companies having women in

Box 5: HIV/AIDS and the scarcity of labor in South Africa

The scourge of HIV/AIDS in South Africa is not just a tragedy in affected because of the lack of master artisans to transfer their
terms of lost lives. It also undermines the country’s economic expertise to learners. However, the incidence of HIV/AIDS
development and reduces its supply of skilled labor. The overall among white South Africans who are generally more skilled is
estimated HIV prevalence rate1 in South Africa is approximately much lower than the incidence among blacks. This calls for a
10.8 percent on average, but as high as 33 percent in some prudent engagement of their skills to mitigate the impact of
younger female age groups, especially women aged 25 to 29 HIV/AIDS. Finally, because of the impact of HIV/AIDS, larger
years. The impact of HIV/AIDS is not limited only to the dimin- numbers of youths will enter the job market more rapidly than in
ishing life expectancy at birth—from 51 years in 2001 to 47.1 previous years under current labor policies. However, these
years in 2005—it also includes more people. young people will lack the requisite skills needed for private-
The normal death rate, taking into account of population sector operations. Ultimately this can stifle entrepreneurship
growth for the periods 2000 to 2010, is estimated at 3.6 percent; because the abundant supply of jobs will make self-employment,
HIV/AIDS-related deaths are estimated at 150 percent.2 It has with its high uncertainties and risks, a less-attractive venture.
therefore been estimated that three million lives would have
been lost to HIV/AIDS by 2010.3 The general implication of this
Source: AfDB, 2006b.
loss is that fewer skilled people will remain in active employ-
1 AfDB 2006a, p. 11.
ment, further worsening the current situation of scarcity of 2 AfDB 2006b, p. 78.
skilled labor. Also the low life expectancy and the eroding effect 3 Ibid.
of HIV/AIDS will mean fewer people with skills will be in active
employment. This will have an adverse impact on levels of pro-
ductivity and the international competitiveness of South Africa.
Apprentice programs and vocational training will be seriously
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies

Table 9: Top five business constraints identified by firms in the SANE economies

South Africa Algeria Nigeria Egypt

Skilled labor shortage Unfair competition from Power failure Macroeconomic uncertainty (inflation,
imports and illegal business exchange rate)

Labor regulations Lack of working capital Poor infrastructure other Unfair competition from imports
than power and illegal business

Crime and theft Corruption Lack of working capital Corruption

Unfair competition from imports High interest rates High interest rates High interest rates
and illegal business

Obtaining land or building Obtaining land or building Macroeconomic uncertainty Lack of working capital
(inflation, exchange rate)

Source: Authors’ calculations.

senior positions, compared with the global average of 59 increase the output of the educational system and pro-
percent. 23 South Africa ranks as the 8th highest economy fessional training organizations to enhance the overall
in this regard, with a high proportion of women in level of qualification of the workforce.Though steps
senior management positions globally. have already been taken in this direction, they have to
In summary, the Doing Business 2007 report’s rankings be sustained to achieve results. Labor laws also have to
of the ease of doing business index ranked South Africa, be amended to permit the employment of foreign
Algeria, Nigeria, and Egypt 29th, 116th, 108th, and skilled workers in the short to medium term, until the
165th, respectively, out of 175 countries.The compara- educational system has begun producing enough skilled
tive rankings for the BRIC were Brazil (121st), Russia labor. Implementing such laws will demand a strong
(96th), India (134th), and China (93rd).Therefore, the political will because of the prevailing 25.6 percent
66
SANE economies ranked very favorably compared with unemployment rate.24
the BRIC economies. South Africa ranked ahead of all Tax regulations are an issue requiring redress by all
the BRIC economies, and Nigeria and Algeria ranked four SANE economies.This calls for tax reforms and tax
above Brazil and India.Table 9 presents a summary of code simplifications to encourage sustainable business
the five major factors that contributed to these rankings growth and simultaneously lessen one of the major
for SANE. causes of corruption and insecurity.The reforms should
include reviews of tax rates. Most governments are hesi-
tant to lower tax rates because of possible reductions in
Policy implications and recommendations tax revenues. However, tax rate reductions could augment
The preceding analysis illustrates the investment con- tax revenues through generated investment incentives
straints that prevent SANE economies from reaching and higher levels of compliance.The reforms should also
their full potential in global competitiveness and socioe- embrace enhancing the capacity of tax administration
conomic development and inhibit their ability to act as through additional training for staff and providing new
serious growth poles for African economies. Aspects of equipment, which would help to improve revenue col-
these investment climates—which could be enhanced lection and reduce the bureaucratic burden for firms.
through reform—restrain firms from meeting their Several studies have established that better access to
objectives, leading to inefficiencies in the economies of finance is associated with greater sales growth, investment,
the SANE.This stresses the need for reforms in several and productivity for firms.25 Yet the analysis has shown
areas to make the SANE economies more competitive that the financial sectors of the SANE economies have
globally. not done well in improving access to finance.The
Reforms in the area of competition from imports restructuring of the financial sector should be a priority
and illegal business operations are needed in Algeria. of all the SANE economies. Emphasis should be placed
There is the need to create a level playing field for all on strengthening the technical infrastructure of the
firms through antitrust laws. Import duties should also financial sector and modernizing general banking opera-
be reduced to attract compliance and thereby enlarge tions.The development of an economic and financial
the general tax base. information system and credit bureaus to enhance the
The next reform area falls under labor regulation. knowledge of credit applicants and the assessment of
Labor reforms are needed to address the problem of credit should form part of the process. Banks need to
scarcity of skilled workers, particularly in South Africa. have loan officers trained in SME-lending skills. SMEs
South Africa has to place high on its agenda the need to need to be made aware of the importance of credit
1.3: Competitiveness and Investment Climate in SANE Economies
track records and financial management, and the neces- 10 See Frankel and Romer 1999.

sary support mechanisms—such as credit scoring systems 11 In this index, the lower the ranking is the better the standing of the
country.
and credit bureaus—need to be introduced to the SME
sector. Additionally there is a need for increasing the 12 See http://www.tpegypt.gov.eg/TradeSt.aspx. The primary source of
data is the Central Agency for Mobilization and Statistics of Egypt.
number of judges specialized in business and fiscal issues
13 See http://www.rba.co.uk/sorces/stats.htm at 15-Sept-06 DG Trade
and promoting the development of business courts as
Statistics.
well as enhancing creditors’ rights. Small claims courts
14 See http://www.arab.net/algeria/aa_trade.htm.
should also be established to reduce the backlog of cases.
15 http//www.thedt.gov.za/econdb/report/Region.
Corruption should be addressed at all levels in these
countries. Judicial autonomy should be improved 16 See World Economic Forum, 2006, p. 312. Also see Transparency
International (2005, 2006).
through budget allocation and greater political commit-
17 World Bank 2002a, p. 23.
ment. Furthermore, microeconomic measures—such as
limiting employment duration for selected sensitive 18 World Bank 2007a.

positions and reinforcing a corruption punishment 19 See http://nm.onlinenigeria.com/template/?a=293&z=2, “Nigeria


Loses N66bn Yearly Through Power Failure.”
system with high penalties—should be developed and
implemented. 20 IMF 2005, p. 30.

Finally, this approach of analyzing African 21 AfDB Statistics Division Database, 2005.
economies could be used in conducting similar studies. 22 See World Bank 2006c, p.32.
A study of the four small and competitive economies 23 AfDB 2006b, p. 86.
of Africa (namely, Botswana, Mauritius, Namibia, and
24 See www.southafrica.info/doing_business/economy/development/
Tunisia) to identify the sources of their success and unemployment.htm.
establish lessons learned for other African countries 25 See Chen 1997.
could be conducted. Another study could be done on
Tunisia, Morocco, Libya, Angola, and Sudan—the next
four biggest African economies after the SANE
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