Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
of paint etc.) Over a planning horizon (generally next 3 to 6 months) for a given (forecast) demand schedule AGGREGATE PRODUCTION PLANNING
Build inventories in slack periods in anticipation of higher demands later in planning horizon. Carry backorders or tolerate lost sales during peak periods. Use over time in peak periods, under time in slack periods to vary output, while holding work force and facilities constant. Vary capacity by changing size of work force through hiring and firing. Vary capacity through changes in plant and equipment (generally long term option) Subcontracting may be resolved. Each option involves cost (tangible or intangible). Aim in aggregate production planning is to choose best option.
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Expected Demand 100 180 220 150 100 200 250 300 260 250 240 210 140
Cumulative Demand 100 280 500 650 950 950 1200 1500 1760 2010 2250 2460 2600
Expected sales for one year planning horizon broken into 13 (4 week) periods. GRAPHICAL PROCEDURE
ANALYSIS OF PLAN 1
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Production 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 Inventory 100 120 100 150 250 250 200 100 40 0 0 0 0 Back Order 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 50 60 0 Capacity change +20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Over time 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Sub - contract 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ANALYSIS OF PLAN 2
Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Production 150 150 150 150 150 250 250 250 250 250 250 175 175 Inventory 50 20 0 0 0 50 50 100 0 0 0 0 0 Back Order 0 0 50 50 0 0 0 0 10 10 0 35 0 Capacity change -30 0 0 0 0 +50 0 0 0 0 0 -25 0 Over time 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40 40 0 0 Sub - contract 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0
ASSUMPTIONS
All shortages backlogged Regular Time Capacity = 200 units/period Max. Overtime = 20% of Regular Time Capacity Overtime Preferable to Subcontract Assumed Initial Inventory = 0 Initial Regular Time Prodn. Capacity = 180
LINEAR DECISION RULES Holt, Modigliani, Muth & Simon (HMMS) 1955 (Study in large paint manufacturing unit)
Other Methods To Handle Aggregate Planning Linear Programming Formulation (Hanssmann & Hess) Search Decision Rules (Taubert) Goal Programming Formulation (Multiple goals) Parametric production planning (Jones) Management coefficients model (Bowman) SUMMARY Aggregate Production Planning relevant for fluctuation demands for medium term horizons (6 months -1 year). A simple graphical procedure that generates good solutions by examining the demand pattern was presented. Various ways to meet a fluctuating demand were considered. A summary of solution procedures including the Linear Decision Rules were indicated.