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06 Electrical power supply and utilization (economics, policy, supplies, forecasts)

becoming viable. A strategy involving pilot projects, tracking of costs


06 ELECTRICAL POWER and dissemination of information is likely to result in DG meeting 10%
of India's power needs by 2012.
SUPPLY AND
06/01219 Comparison of Turkey's electrical energy
UTILIZATION consumption and production with some European countries
and optimization of future electrical power supply
investments in Turkey
Tun~, M. et al. Energy Policy, 2006, 34, (1), 50 59.
Scientific, technical Energy issues are directly related to the development of a country and
the living standards of its people. Turkey is currently in a rapid
industrialization process with a young and dynamic population of over
65 million. Due to relatively high growth rate of the population,
06/01215 Energy optimisation model for a CCHP system increasing consumer oriented attitudes and as a result of rising levels of
with available gas turbines affluence, the primary energy demand is rising rapidly at an annual rate
Kong, X. Q. et al. Applied Thermal Engineering, 2005, 25, (2 3), 377 of 6.7 percent. In this study Turkey's energy resources, installed
391. electric power capacity, electric energy production and consumption
This paper deals with the problem of optimal energy management of rates are investigated and compared with that of France, Germany and
cogeneration system for combined cooling, heating and power Switzerland. Turkey's electric energy consumption rates are predicted
production (CCHP). The energy system consists of a gas turbine, an with regression analysis for the years of 2010 and 2020 and finally
absorption chiller and a heat recovery boiler. A simple linear linear mathematical optimization model is developed to predict the
programming model is presented to determine the optimal strategies distribution of future electrical power supply investments in Turkey.
that minimize the overall cost of energy for the CCHP system. It is
shown that the optimal operation of this system is dependent upon load 06•01220 Efficiency analysis of a cogeneration and district
conditions to be satisfied. In view of energy cost, it is shown that energy system
sometimes it may not be optimal to operate the turbine. This is the case Rosen, M. A. et al. Applied Thermal Engineering, 2005, 25, (1), 147
when the electric-to-gas cost ratio is very low. 159.
This paper presents an efficiency analysis, accounting for both energy
06/01216 Failure assessment analysis of pipelines for heat and exergy considerations, of a design for a cogeneration-based district
and power generating plants according to the SINTAP energy system. A case study is considered for the city of Edmonton,
procedures Canada, by the utility Edmonton Power. The original concept using
Dzioba, I. International Journal of Pressure Vessels and Piping, 2005, central electric chillers, as well as two variations (one considering
82, (10), 787 796. single-effect and the other double-effect absorption chillers) are
The assessment of safety of pipeline elements from heat and power examined. The energy- and exergy-based results differ markedly (e.g.
generating plants is presented. First, the changes in mechanical and overall energy efficiencies are shown to vary for the three configur-
structural properties under long-term operation are analysed. Then, ations considered from 83% to 94%, and exergy efficiencies from 28%
failure assessment is performed using the SINTAP procedures. to 29%, respectively). For the overall processes, as well as individual
Hypothetical cracks are assumed along the straight segments of the subprocesses and selected combinations of subprocesses, the exergy
pipeline. The thermal stresses during cooling are accounted for. The efficiencies are generally found to be more meaningful and indicative
analysis has been performed at the first level of the SINTAP of system behaviour than the energy efficiencies.
procedures for steel at two stages of pipeline operation: (a) in the
virgin state and (b) after 156,000 h of service. 06/01221 Electric power required in the world by 2050 with
hydrogen fuel production - revised
Kruger, P. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy, 2005, 30, (15),
1515 1522.
Economics, policy, supplies, forecasts Since estimation of electric power requirement for large-scale
production of hydrogen fuel for the world vehicle fleet based on data
through 1995 in 2001, a large increase in available travel data has
become available, sufficient to revise the estimates with greater
06/01217 An empirical examination of restructured confidence. It is apparent that much more energy will be required, as
electricity prices worldwide demand for electrification and substitution of hydrogen for
Knittel, C. R. and Roberts, M. R. Energy Economics, 2005, 27, (5), 791 fossil fuel in transportation grows over the next 50 years. Published
817. forecasts for electricity demand over the next 30 years show mean
The authors present an empirical analysis of restructured electricity annual growth rates ranging from 1.7 to 3.4%/a, which when
prices. They studied the distributional and temporal properties of the extrapolated from the present consumption of 16 PWh in 2002 to the
price process in a non-parametric framework, after which they year 2050 suggests an annual electricity demand in the range of 36 82
parametrically modelled the price process using several common asset PWh. In addition to the business-as-usual growth in demand,
price specifications from the asset-pricing literature, as well as several estimation of the growth of the world automotive vehicle fleet from
less conventional models motivated by the peculiarities of electricity about 900 million vehicles in 2010, consuming about 360 billion gallons
prices. The findings reveal several characteristics unique to electricity of petrol, to about 1.5 billion vehicles in 2050, which could be operated
prices including several deterministic components of the price series at with about 260 billion kilogram of hydrogen fuel, would result in
different frequencies. An 'inverse leverage effect' is also found, where additional electricity demand of about 10 PWh annually for replace-
positive shocks to the price series result in larger increases in volatility ment of fossil fuels in transportation. With approximately 175 PW of
than negative shocks. Forecasting performance was found to improve solar power reaching earth and world fossil fuel reserves of 50 200
dramatically when features of electricity prices not commonly modelled years remaining at present consumption rates, the question arises of
in other asset prices were incorporated. The findings have implications how much of the world's future electric energy supply will be required
for how empiricists model electricity prices, as well as how theorists (if any) from nuclear fuels.
specify models of energy pricing.
06/01222 Electricity, hydrogen - competitors, partners?
06/01218 Comparison of options for distributed generation Winter, C.-J. International Journal qf Hydrogen Energy, 2005, 30, (13
in India 14), 1371 1374.
Banerjee, R. Energy Policy, 2006, 34, (1), 101 111. Electricity, hydrogen What they have in common, where they are
There is renewed interest in distributed generation (DG). This paper unique. Electricity and hydrogen have in common that they are
reviews the different technological options available for DG, their secondary energies which can be generated from any primary energy
current status and evaluates them based on the cost of generation and (raw materials). Once generated they are environmentally and
future potential in India. The non-renewable options considered are climatically clean along the entire length of their respective energy
internal combustion engines fuelled by diesel, natural gas and conversion chains. Both electricity and hydrogen are grid delivered
microturbines and fuel cells fired by natural gas. The renewable (with exceptions); they are interchangeable via electrolysis and fuel
technologies considered are wind, solar photovoltaic, biomass gasifica- cell. Both are operational worldwide, although in absolutely dissimilar
tion and bagasse cogeneration. The cost of generation is dependent on capacities. And their peculiarities? Electricity stores and transports
the load factor and the discount rate. Gas engines and Bagasse based information, hydrogen does not. Hydrogen stores and transports
cogeneration are found to be the most cost effective DG options while energy, electricity transports energy but does not store it (in large
wind and biomass gasifier fired engines are viable under certain quantities). For long (i.e. continental) transport routes, hydrogen has
conditions. PEM fuel cells and micro turbines based on natural gas advantages. The electricity sector is part of the established energy
need a few demonstrations projects and cost reductions before economy. Hydrogen, on the other hand, takes two pathways: one where

Fuel and Energy Abstracts May 2006 183

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