Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Introduction
Steve
New book: ANNALS OF GULLIBILITY Published Jan 09, Praeger Publishing Available at amazon.com ($36)
________________________________________________ Cover Illustration In the Jan 3 issue of the WALL STREET JOURNAL Why We Keep Falling for Financial Scams Headline: Intelligent people have long been ruined by frauds. Psychologist Stephen Greenspan, who specializes in gullibility, explores why investors continue to be swindled -- and how he came to lose part of his savings to Bernard Madoff Link:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123093987596650197.html
FOOLISH ACTION
NONINDUCED
INDUCED (GULLIBLE)
______________________________________________________
Gullible Act
Situation
Cognition
Personality
Robert Shillers feedback loop (people telling other people about their gains) lies at the heart of all Ponzi schemes and investment manias Social feedback loops apply to fund managers as well as investors (smaller funds taking their cues from the behavior of larger funds) Investments seem safer when they are within fund families that have good reputations (such as the Rye/ Tremont feeder fund that I invested with) Scam artists are skilled manipulators who engage in tricks such as playing hard to get, and they understand the basic trusting nature of most people Investors often lack other around who can protect them (for example, widows who formerly relied on their husbands) This factor also explains the affiliation angle (why so many victims tend to be from the same religious community, for example)
WITHIN-PERSON (INTERNAL) FACTORS . Cognitive factors contributing to investor gullibility: Investors often lack any knowledge of investments or any ability to evaluate the risks and rewards of a proposed investment Investment schemes (especially fraudulent ones) are often mysterious and difficult to understand Personality factors contributing to investor gullibility: Some people are extremely impulsive and quick to take risks Some people are too trusting of people and reluctant to check them out Obsessional personality can lead to resisting diversity Emotional factors contributing to investor gullibility: Greed (wanting far more than one needs) is a big motivator Fear of losing ground (need for assurance) ironically can make one vulnerable to loss
Diversify, diversity, diversify (dont put your entire future at the hand of one scheme or one individual) Take your time (hasty decisions are more likely to be foolish) Seek alternative sources of advice Recognize the limits of ones expertise (smart people often think they are smart about everything) Be satisfied with enough and dont try to make more just because others seem to be doing better Take responsibility for your investments and dont be too passive Recognize that while gullibility will always be with us, you dont have to be a victim
Website: www.stephen-greenspan.com
Contact: stephen.greenspan@gmail.com
CONTEXT
6 Feb: Federal Reserve Bank of New York President and CEO William C. Dudley states at CFR he expects the hedge fund universe to be reduced by 50% in the near future. We are in a period of redemptions and low trust in counterparties. Madoff, Stanford et al dont help market confidence. Earlier in the week, AIG repeatedly described in press as operating as an internal hedge fund. Operates outside of regulatory tent. Allegedly assists European banks dodge Basel capital reserve requirements. BofA investigating Merrill hidden losses and non-transparency. Meanwhile in US Congress: SEC and NY insurance regulators admonished for missing Madoff, AIG, others. Housing bubble full of perverse incentives. AAA and models for valuing firm and transaction creditworthiness in tatters.
How much money do you need?... You could get a million dollars. And you could get it in cash I know where it could be gotten I mean its not easy, but it could be done But, uh, the question is who the hell would handle it?... Let me say there should not be a lot of people going around getting money. Richard Nixon
Dont come to the table with the same worn arguments and tired ideas that helped to create this crisis. Barack Obama
Current Legal and Regulatory Requirements for Hedge Funds Presenter: Philip Thomas, Esq., Garrity Graham
A relentless SEC and Angry Investors: Uncovering and Managing Hedge Fund Legal Risk
Former SEC Chairman Christopher Cox. "Hedge funds are by no means unregulated when it comes to fraud. Those who commit fraud at the expense of investors will always be the target of a relentless SEC. http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2008/2008-115.htm
Private litigation
Bear, Stearns & Co./ Manhattan Investment Fund Ltd. Banc of America Madoff
Tools for uncovering legal and regulatory risk (but are they enough?)
Good
The DDQ Form ADV Interviews with manager Obtain customer references
Better
Background investigation of principals and PMs
Check state and federal criminal and civil cases Credit check if possible Google! Private Investigators?
Best
1. Never take the fund managers word for anything. 2. Be suspicious of managers limiting access to information. 3. Create state of the art legal documents and structures. 4. Consult specialist professionals who will be able to spot irregularities. 5. Pay attention to what the industry leaders are saying and doing about best practices.
Resources
Alternative Investment Management Association. www.aima.org
Provides industry standard due diligence questionnaire to its members (somewhat tailored to UK funds). Offers specialized DDQs (e.g. for FOHF managers, for single funds etc.)
FINRA BrokerCheck. Run report, including disciplinary history, on FINRA-registered individuals and firms.
http://brokercheck.finra.org/
Investment Adviser Public Disclosure website. Pull potential investees Form ADV Part I(if RIA).
http://www.adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD/Content/IapdMain/iapd_SiteMap.aspx
OFAC Search Tool. Determine if investor or counterparty is listed in the Office of Foreign Asset Controls Sanctions Program Listings.
http://apps.finra.org/rulesregulation/ofac/1/Default.aspx
The Presidents Working Group on Financial Markets, Asset Managers Committee Report.
www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/reports/amcreportapril152008.pdf http://www.investmentadviser.org/eweb/dynamicpage.aspx?webcode=PublicDocs_Websites
The SEC has published its enforcement manual for the first time.
www.sec.gov/divisions/enforce/enforcementmanual.pdf
A Hedge Fund Insider's View Presenters: Samuel Won and Greg Ivancich, Global Risk Management Advisors, Inc.
Webinar Presentation
Samuel K. Won Founder/Managing Director Global Risk Management Advisors, Inc. swon@grmainc.com
Gregory M. Ivancich COO/Managing Director Global Risk Management Advisors, Inc. givancich@grmainc.com
givancich@grmainc.com 212-230-1661
Who we are:
Global Risk Management Advisors, Inc (GRMA) specializes in investment management advisory to asset managers and asset owners and in product development and strategic marketing for software companies and other service providers to the financial services industry. Our mission is to provide unparalleled independent advice to our clients that leverages our extensive industry experience and allows our clients to take advantage of our many proprietary applications and processes. Our aim is to assist our clients to meet their strategic business objectives and achieve sustainable competitive advantage in their respective markets. Every aspect of our advisory services to our clients has a strong embedded proprietary risk management element that distinguishes our approach from all others.
Global Risk Management Advisors, Inc. swon@grmainc.com 212-230-1610 givancich@grmainc.com 212-230-1661
The Regulatory Future for Hedge Funds Presenter: Philippa Girling, Esq., FRM, Garrity Graham
Global political reaction to current crisis will impact hedge fund regulation
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown met with President Obama at the White House March 3rd and the two discussed reform of financial regulation Finance ministers to meet in London on March 13th. G20 to meet in April in London to discuss global regulatory framework
Germany and France have pushed for deeper regulation than the U.S. on hedge funds and private-equity firms. Britain, which chairs the G-20 this year, generally has sided with the U.S. IMF pushing for more regulation, including hedge funds EU commissioners are set to endorse a regulatory restructuring plan. The proposal includes setting up a pan-EU systemic risk regulator attached to the European Central Bank. European leaders agreed in February that hedge funds must be regulated.
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US reaction
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has promised more oversight over hedge funds
Including a registration regime
CT proposed legislation
Minimum requirement from $1 million up to $2.5 million, with institutions needing at least $5 million in assets. Greater transparency by disclosing fees and other information about management or investment strategy. Obtain a state license as well as have an independent annual financial audit performed.
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US reaction (Cont.)
Credit Default Swaps
Possible clearing house for CDS Rep. Collin Peterson's bill and NY state proposed legislation to restrict, regulate or prohibit naked CDS
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Other changes
Market pressures
Prime brokers classifying hedge funds and limiting access to services Due diligence requirements by investors impacted by recent fraud events
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What to do?
Anticipate regulatory requirements Anticipate increased due diligence requirements from investors Get involved with Managed Fund Association Put appropriate protections in place to meet regulatory requirements and build confidence of investors
Evaluate risk on a regular basis Ensure compliance risks are well managed Ensure AML and suspicious activity procedures are in place Conduct fraud risk assessments and training Review current documents for compliance and best practice Implement procedures and test them Be ready for an SEC visit Be ready for an enhanced due diligence visit
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Q&A
Thank You
Thank you for attending our session today. Send an email if you are interested in learning more about any of these topics.
Email: pg@garritygraham.com.