Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
A Legacy of Achievement
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 1
35 Years of Reporting
Roads Scholar
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48 states visited since joining ProSales in Sept. 06
Todays Agenda
What Weve Become
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 2
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 3
Minor Gains
Source: Moodys Analytics via HWMI
Current
End 2012
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 4
Source: Hanley Wood Housing 360 Survey of 3,000 Americans, September 2011
Source: Hanley Wood Housing 360 Survey of 3,000 Americans, September 2011
Annual Starts: 2005: 2,068,000 2006: 1,801,000 2007: 1,355,000 2008: 905,500 2009: 554,000 2010: 586,900
658,000
425,000
2006
2007 Single-Family
2008
2009 Multi
2010
Source: Hanley Wood Housing 360 Survey of 3,000 Americans, September 2011
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 5
1,801
1,500
1,000
905
Sales of distressed properties figured in 44.4% of all home sales in CA last month. (Nationally, its 30%) 19.5% of all September CA sales were short sales. 23.8% of all sales were REOs. --Source: California Assn. of Realtors
500
0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Spring 2010 Now 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: Builder magazine
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 6
Fannie/Freddie lending limits have been shrunk Mortgage interest deduction is under attack Government tools to jump-start economy lose favor 20% mortgage down payment could become the rule 30-year mortgage could become extinct Banks are both kingpins and pawns in the recovery
Source: FDIC
Source: Hanley Wood Housing 360 Survey of 3,000 Americans, September 2011
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 7
Reality Check
We dont view this as going to end anytime soon, so we have to survive in the market as it is. Thats how weve designed our business. Have your business plan based on the reality of the marketplace, so that youre not in some fantasy world. --Ron Mason, President, A.C. Houston Lumber, Las Vegas
Wood sculpture atop the tower of the former Masonic Lodge, Mendocino, CA
This Just In
3Q net loss improved to $11.6mln from $20.5mln in 3Q10. YTD net loss: $48.3mln (2010: -$69.8mln) Net sales rose 20% to $217.2mln. Gross margin: 20.5% in 3Q (was 19.7% in 3Q10) SG&A as share of revenue: 22.3% (was 26.4%) Cash burn for all 2011: $50mln to $55mln Goodwill accounts for 28.4% of company assets.
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 8
Shifting Focus
Kimal Lumber, Nokomis, FL, changed its name to Kimal Lumber & Hardware. It added more than 2,200 new SKUs.
Discipline
Linton Tibbetts
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 9
Why not fight for justifiable profit? Where your margins are producing only 3% net before taxes, if you add 1% to your average selling price you will increase your net profits by one-third! If you can add 6% you are getting up toward the profit goal that is adequate to sustain prosperity in your business, in this industry, and in our country.
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 10
$ 754,959 20 1 36 1
Source: Ruth Kellick-Grubbs, Effective Sales Strategies for Todays Market, ProSales white paper, September 2011
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 11
Cloud Cover
Offer broader range of products Facilitate online ordering Before- and after-hours pickup Deliver in smaller quantities Shorten lead times Make sales reps more available Improve materials ordering process
Competitive Challenges
Lowes is rolling out a website upgrade this month that will Store customers purchasing details Provide a site to get warranty info and installation guides Help customers envision how a wall color or flooring product will look. Remind them when its time to get new filters and such.
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 12
E-Mail Newsletters
49 million Americansabout one in sixlived in 2008 in a HH with at least two adult generations. In 1980, 28 million did. The number of multigenerational HHs grew by 500K in 2010 alone. Pew Research Center
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 13
Nevada
2,770,551 +35% 54% +12% 8% +58% 27% +82% 7% +116% 1% +10% 3% +61% 1% +91%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
1% +22%
2005 2013
34 years 37 years
Before 1960
33%
1960s
8%
1990s
13%
1980s 1970s
12% 20%
13%
Source: Freedonia, 2009
Growth Rates of 6% to 9%
Hanley Wood Market Intelligence Remodeling Index
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 14
Difference Makers
Fewer than 15% of all remodelers know the cost of being in business. 90% will eventually fail even if profitable. Every one of them reinvents the wheel. Remodeling consultant Shawn McCadden
Need
* Biz management * Leadership skills * Financial mgt help * Sales/mktg training * Biz planning/budgeting * Industry awareness
Au pair/in-law suites Hobby/Game Room -9% 2% 2011 2010 Mud room 2% 2% 17% 26% Outside living Home office 41% 43% 34%
54%
Silver Streak
65-69
12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2010
70-74
75-79
80-84
85+
2020
2030
2040
2050
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 15
Among homeowners aged 50+, about 60% plan to stay permanently in their current home after retirement and another 18% will stay for at least part of their retirement.
Source: Hanley Wood Housing 360 Survey, Summer 2011 Source: Hanley Wood Housing 360 Survey, Summer 2011
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 16
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 17
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 18
My LBM Suppliers
34%
12%
9%
Trade Shows
3.02 2.97
4%
Smile!
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 19
Thank You!
Craig Webb cwebb@hanleywood.com One Thomas Circle, NW Washington, DC 20005 (202) 736-3307
Hanley Wood
PROSALES presentation 20