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Trading Day: 01 March 2011, Tuesday Ref# DMU_20110301-060 System - Energy Offers, Available Supply, and Demand (Ex-ante)
Market Highlights & Results Congestion occurred at 1400H and 1500H (RTX) due to a constraint at the Subic and Makban Transformers. However, these market runs were not subjected to the Price Substitution Methodology (PSM). Congestion occurred at 1500H (RTD, RTX) due to a constraint at the Negros-Panay submarine cable. However, this market run was not subjected to the PSM. Congestion occurred at 1500H (RTD, RTX) due to a constraint at the Sta. Barbara transformer. However, this market run was not subjected to the PSM. Pricing error notices (PEN) were issued for trading intervals 0900H to 2100H (RTD) due to contingency constraint violations at the Duhat and/or Zapote Sub-stations; and for interval 1500H (RTD) due to a base case constraint violation at the Sta. Barbara transformer. Price separations were experienced between the Luzon and Visayas Grids for trading intervals 1000H to 1300H, 1700H, 1800H, 2000H to 2200H (RTD, RTX), and 1400H to 1600H (RTX) due to a binding HVDC limit. Luzon Actual Events Ex-ante system demand peaked at 6,579 MW, while market offers reached a maximum of 7,659 MW with sufficient supply and offers for all trading intervals. Angat-San Jose 115 kV Line 3 tripped at 2101H. Temperature: Min: 25C, Max: 32C Rainfall: 4.31 mm At 2 PM, a low-pressure area (LPA) was estimated 200 km. SSW of Puerto Princesa City. Visayas Actual Events Ex-ante system demand peaked at 1,286 MW, while market offers reached a maximum of 1,382 MW with sufficient supply and offers for all trading intervals. The Visayas grid was placed under Yellow Alert during the day. CEDC (Cebu Energy Development Corp.) and PEDC (Panay Energy Development Corp.) were included in the security limits settings by the System Operator (SO) with capacities ranging from 150 MW to 246 MW and 42 MW to 82 MW, respectively, for the whole trading day while undergoing testing and commissioning requirements. KSPC 2 (KEPCO SPC Power Corp.) was also included in the security limits settings by the SO with capacities ranging from 0 MW to 50 MW for trading intervals 0100H to 1500H while undergoing testing and commissioning requirements. KSPC 1 was included in the security limits settings by the SO, as well, with capacities ranging from 62 MW to 100 MW for trading intervals 1200H to 1500H to avoid overloading the Naga-Banilad 138 kV line. Diesel Power Barges PB 102 and 103 were designated as must-run units (MRU) with capacities ranging from 5 MW to 15 MW each for trading intervals 1800H to 2200H and 1000H to 2200H, respectively, due to line limitation and system voltage requirements. Temperature: Min: 26 C, Max: 31C Rainfall: 9.14 mm
AVAILABLE SUPPLY
12,000
OFFER DEMAND
10,000
8,000 MW
6,000
4,000
2,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
System - Load Weighted Average Price vs. MaxMin Nodal Price (Ex-ante)
SYSTEM LWAP
15,000
15,000
12,000
SYSTEM LWAP (PhP/MWh)
9,000
9,000
6,000
6,000
3,000
3,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Luzon - Load Weighted Average Price vs. MaxMin Nodal Price (Ex-ante)
LUZON LWAP
Visayas - Load Weighted Average Price vs. MaxMin Nodal Price (Ex-ante)
VISAYAS LWAP EST. PRICE UNCONS. PRICE ADMIN PRICE
15,000
15,000
15,000
15,000
12,000
SYSTEM LWAP (PhP/MWh)
12,000
SYSTEM LWAP (PhP/MWh) NODAL PRICE (PhP/MWh)
12,000
9,000
9,000
9,000
9,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
6,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
3,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Disclaimer/Waiver: All information in this document may still be subject to change after final verification by the Philippine Electricity Market Corporation (PEMC). This publication is meant to provide a timely overview of the actual market trading outcomes that transpired in the previous trading day in the WESM. As such, PEMC does not make any representation or warranties as to the completeness or accuracy of the information. PEMC, likewise, accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever, for any loss or costs incurred by the reader arising from, or in relation to, any conclusions or assumptions derived from the information found herein.
100
THIS MONTH
80 PERCENT OF TIME
60
40
20
0
0 and Below 0 - 2000 2000 - 4000 4000 - 6000 6000 - 8000 8000 - 10000 10000 and Above
VISAYAS TO LUZON
LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X LWAP_X
-200
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
COAL 45.0%
HYDRO 7.3%
GEO 7.5%
Disclaimer/Waiver: All information in this document may still be subject to change after final verification by the Philippine Electricity Market Corporation (PEMC). This publication is meant to provide a timely overview of the actual market trading outcomes that transpired in the previous trading day in the WESM. As such, PEMC does not make any representation or warranties as to the completeness or accuracy of the information. PEMC, likewise, accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever, for any loss or costs incurred by the reader arising from, or in relation to, any conclusions or assumptions derived from the information found herein.
1,000
COAL GEO
800
HYDRO
500 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Disclaimer/Waiver: All information in this document may still be subject to change after final verification by the Philippine Electricity Market Corporation (PEMC). This publication is meant to provide a timely overview of the actual market trading outcomes that transpired in the previous trading day in the WESM. As such, PEMC does not make any representation or warranties as to the completeness or accuracy of the information. PEMC, likewise, accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever, for any loss or costs incurred by the reader arising from, or in relation to, any conclusions or assumptions derived from the information found herein.
Ref# DMU_20110301-060
200
PIVOTAL SUPPLIERS
20
16
120
12
80
40
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
PERCENT OF TIME
100
FREQUENCY
20
100
FREQUENCY
20
80 PERCENT OF TIME
16 PERCENT OF TIME
80
16
60
12
60
12
FREQUENCY
FREQUENCY
40
40
20
20
Disclaimer/Waiver: All information in this document may still be subject to change after final verification by the Philippine Electricity Market Corporation (PEMC). This publication is meant to provide a timely overview of the actual market trading outcomes that transpired in the previous trading day in the WESM. As such, PEMC does not make any representation or warranties as to the completeness or accuracy of the information. PEMC, likewise, accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever, for any loss or costs incurred by the reader arising from, or in relation to, any conclusions or assumptions derived from the information found herein.
Ref# DMU_20110301-060
Pricing Error Notice (PEN) Summary Description: The PEN Summary Table highlights the pricing results and indicative price levels for all the trading hours for both the ex-ante and ex-post market runs. A hyphen - notation under the column PErr (Pricing Error) indicates that the market run has no pricing error and has an indicative price pertaining to its load weighted average price (LWAP_D for RTD and LWAP_X for RTX). A PSM notation under the column PErr indicates that the PSM (Price Substitution Methodology for congestion) was applied with a price corresponding to the unconstrained market clearing price at either the RTD (UNCP_D) or RTX (UNCP_X). On the other hand, a PEN notation under the column PErr indicates that a pricing error was encountered due to constraint violations or pricing errors other than due to the PSM. In which case, the indicated price will be remarked as Price Estimate (PE). If market intervention or suspension is encountered during a trading interval, an MI notation will be indicated under the column PErr and the corresponding price will be pertaining to the equivalent customer Administered Price (AP). It must be noted, however, that the pricing conditions indicated in this table are not yet final and may be subject to revisions.
Energy Offers, Available Supply, and Demand (Ex-ante) Description: This chart shows the trend of hourly energy offers, available supply, and system demand at ex-ante. Information is available separately for both the Luzon and Visayas Grids.
Load Weighted Average Price vs. MaxMin Nodal Price (Ex-ante) Description: This chart shows the hourly trend of the Load Weighted Average Price (LWAP) and the maximum and minimum nodal prices during the trading day. It may also include price estimates (which are based on the offer merit order of generators that are actually dispatched during trading hour/s with pricing error/s other than those that were subject to the Price Substitution Methodology or PSM), administered prices (which are based on the average of the ex-post energy nodal prices of the four (4) most recent same day, same hour trading intervals that have not been administered) and the unconstrained price for trading intervals that have been subjected to the PSM.
Load Weighted Average Price Distribution (Ex-ante) Description: This chart shows the distribution of the hourly System LWAP (which covers all of the resources in the Luzon and Visayas Grids) during the trading day and the current billing month. The daily and monthly percent of time is calculated based on a 24-hour time period and the total number of hours during the current billing month as of the trading day, respectively. The hourly System LWAP includes price estimates based on the offer merit order of generators that are actually dispatched during the trading hour/s with pricing error/s (other than congestion), administered prices (which are based on the average of the ex-post energy nodal prices of the four (4) most recent same day, same hour trading intervals that have not been administered) and the unconstrained price for trading intervals that have been subjected to price substitution.
System - Offer, Demand, and Price Description: This table shows the summary of market results, particularly on the system's supply-demand condition and its resulting prices at ex-ante. The maximum, minimum, and average values in this table involve results in both the Luzon and Visayas Grid and are independent of the values when these regions are considered separately.
Offer:
Shows the average, maximum, and minimum system energy offers for the current trading day, previous day, and same day last week. Shows the average, maximum, and minimum system demand for the current trading day, previous day, and same day last week. Shows the average, maximum, and minimum ex-ante system LWAP for the current trading day, previous day, and same day last week. These include price estimate/s for trading hour/s with pricing error/s (PEN), unconstrained price/s in cases where the Price Substitution Methodology or PSM is applied, and those under market intervention. In cases where only the ex-ante price have pricing errors due to CVCs and other PEN (other than congestion CVCs), the ex-post price is used. If both ex-ante and ex-post have pricing error/s as a result of the CVCs and other PEN (other than congestion CVCs), the price estimate is used. However, if either or both the RTD and RTX have PEN due to congestion,CVCs and the PSM are applied, then the unconstrained price will be reported (i.e. prices for constrained-on plants will not be reported for the purposes of this report). Full details on the PS prices are published at http://www.wesm.ph/market.results.download.
HVDC Flow Schedule Description: This chart shows the scheduled HVDC flow at ex-ante, which can either be from Visayas to Luzon, from Luzon to Visayas, or zero (no power interchange between the Luzon and Visayas Grids).
Demand:
LWAP:
Generation Mix by Resource (Ex-ante) Description: This pie chart shows the daily generation mix by resource type (in %) based on the scheduled generation during the trading day. Information is available separately for both the Luzon and Visayas Grids.
Outage by Resource (Ex-ante) Description: This chart shows the capacity on outage (in MW) by resource type during the trading day. Information is available separately for both the Luzon and Visayas Grids.
Disclaimer/Waiver: All information in this document may still be subject to change after final verification by the Philippine Electricity Market Corporation (PEMC). This publication is meant to provide a timely overview of the actual market trading outcomes that transpired in the previous trading day in the WESM. As such, PEMC does not make any representation or warranties as to the completeness or accuracy of the information. PEMC, likewise, accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever, for any loss or costs incurred by the reader arising from, or in relation to, any conclusions or assumptions derived from the information found herein.
Ref# DMU_20110301-060
Pivotal Supplier Frequency Index Description: The Pivotal Supply Index (PSI) is a binary variable (1 for pivotal and 0 for not pivotal) which measures for a generating plant in a particular period of time whether, given the market conditions of demand and generation, the demand can be supplied without that generating plant. The Pivotal Supplier Frequency Index (PSFI) measures the frequency that a generating plant is pivotal in a particular study period. The chart shows the percentage of time that a generating plant is pivotal during the trading day. The PSI is calculated based on the generating plants' offered capacity. Information is available separately for both the Luzon and Visayas Grids.
Price Setting Frequency Index (Ex-ante) Description: This chart shows the frequency (right Y-axis) and percentage of time (left Y-axis) that a generating plant became the marginal generator (price setter) during the trading day. The percent of time is calculated based on a 24-hour time period. Information is available separately for both the Luzon and Visayas Grids. The total frequency and percentage may exceed 24 and 100%, respectively, as there may be instances of more than one marginal plant during a given trading hour. A power plant with more than one registered trading node is also considered a marginal generator if at least one of its trading nodes sets the price during a given trading hour. The chart, however, excludes trading hour/s with pricing error/s and/or under market intervention/suspension.
Disclaimer/Waiver: All information in this document may still be subject to change after final verification by the Philippine Electricity Market Corporation (PEMC). This publication is meant to provide a timely overview of the actual market trading outcomes that transpired in the previous trading day in the WESM. As such, PEMC does not make any representation or warranties as to the completeness or accuracy of the information. PEMC, likewise, accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever, for any loss or costs incurred by the reader arising from, or in relation to, any conclusions or assumptions derived from the information found herein.
Ref# DMU_20110301-060
Disclaimer/Waiver: All information in this document may still be subject to change after final verification by the Philippine Electricity Market Corporation (PEMC). This publication is meant to provide a timely overview of the actual market trading outcomes that transpired in the previous trading day in the WESM. As such, PEMC does not make any representation or warranties as to the completeness or accuracy of the information. PEMC, likewise, accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever, for any loss or costs incurred by the reader arising from, or in relation to, any conclusions or assumptions derived from the information found herein.