Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Severity
A Patient-Level Meta-analysis
Jay C Fournier, MA;
2 #obert J De#ubeis, PhD;
3 $teven D Hollon, PhD;
4 $ona Dimidjian, PhD;
5 Jay D Amsterdam, MD;
6 #ichard C $helton, MD;
7 Jan Fawcett, MD
|| Author AIIiliations
Author Affiliations: Departments of Psychology (Mr Fournier and Dr DeRubeis) and
Psychiatry (Dr Amsterdam), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Departments of
Psychology (Dr Hollon) and Psychiatry (Dr Shelton), Janderbilt University, Nashville,
Tennessee, Department of Psychology, University of Colorado at Boulder (Dr
Dimidfian), and Department of Psychiatry, University of New Mexico School of
Medicine, Albuquerque (Dr Fawcett)
orresponding Author: Jay C Fournier, MA, Department oI Psychology, University oI
Pennsylvania, 3720 Walnut $t, Philadelphia, PA 04 (jcIsasupennedu)
More author inIormation
Next $ection
Abstract
ontext Antidepressant medications represent the best established treatment Ior major
depressive disorder, but there is little evidence that they have a speciIic pharmacological eIIect
relative to pill placebo Ior patients with less severe depression
Objective To estimate the relative beneIit oI medication vs placebo across a wide range oI initial
symptom severity in patients diagnosed with depression
Data Sources PubMed, PsycINFO, and the Cochrane Library databases were searched Irom
January 0 through March 200, along with reIerences Irom meta-analyses and reviews
Study Selection #andomized placebo-controlled trials oI antidepressants approved by the Food
and Drug Administration in the treatment oI major or minor depressive disorder were selected
$tudies were included iI their authors provided the requisite original data, they comprised adult
outpatients, they included a medication vs placebo comparison Ior at least 6 weeks, they did not
exclude patients on the basis oI a placebo washout period, and they used the Hamilton
Depression #ating $cale (HD#$) Data Irom 6 studies (7 patients) were included
Data Extraction Individual patient-level data were obtained Irom study authors
Results Medication vs placebo diIIerences varied substantially as a Iunction oI baseline severity
Among patients with HD#$ scores below 23, Cohen d eIIect sizes Ior the diIIerence between
medication and placebo were estimated to be less than 020 (a standard deIinition oI a small
eIIect) Estimates oI the magnitude oI the superiority oI medication over placebo increased with
increases in baseline depression severity and crossed the threshold deIined by the National
Institute Ior Clinical Excellence Ior a clinically signiIicant diIIerence at a baseline HD#$ score
oI 25
onclusions The magnitude oI beneIit oI antidepressant medication compared with placebo
increases with severity oI depression symptoms and may be minimal or nonexistent, on average,
in patients with mild or moderate symptoms For patients with very severe depression, the
beneIit oI medications over placebo is substantial
KEYWO#D$
O ANTIDEP#E$$IVE AGENT$,
O DEP#E$$ION,
O DEP#E$$IVE DI$O#DE#, MAJO#,
O D#UG THE#APY,
O IMIP#AMINE,
O META-ANALY$I$,
O PA#OXETINE,
O PHA#MACOLOGICAL P#OCE$$E$,
O PLACEBO$,
O $EVE#ITY OF ILLNE$$ INDEX
Antidepressant medication (ADM) represents the current standard oI treatment Ior major
depressive disorder (MDD)
There
has been a paucity oI systematic investigations oI the true eIIect oI ADM in patients with less
severe depression $uch data are scarce in the FDA database and in the published literature This
is partly the result oI the inclusion criteria used Ior many FDA registration trials in which cutoII
scores are imposed at baseline expressly to increase the sensitivity oI ADM/placebo
comparisons
A second limitation oI the Kirsch et al and Khan et al meta-analyses is that each included studies
that used a placebo washout period Typically, placebo washouts last Irom several days to 2
weeks, during which patients are administered a pill placebo in single-blind Iashion At the end
oI this period, patients who demonstrate an improvement oI a particular magnitude (typically
_20 on the HD#$) are excluded Irom the trial prior to randomization The goal oI this
procedure is to increase the power to detect diIIerences in eIIicacy between ADM and placebo
by removing known placebo responders at the outset Although it is not clear that placebo
washouts actually enhance the statistical power oI ADM/placebo comparisons,
,0
this design
Ieature severely limits the ability to generate accurate estimates oI the placebo response rate
Because early placebo responders are removed Irom the trial beIore they can contribute data, the
true rate oI placebo response may be underestimated in trials that use this Ieature
In the present study, we combined data Irom 6 large-scale, placebo-controlled trials that
comprised patients with a broad range oI baseline symptom severity
,2,3,4,5,6
Because most
MDD studies incorporate a minimum baseline depressive severity score as an inclusion criterion,
studies oI minor depressive disorder (which do not typically have such strict thresholds) were
included in this analysis as well The entry criteria allowed patients to enter these studies with
HD#$ scores that ranged Irom the low teens to the upper 30s
,2,3,4,5,6
Unlike the data
analyzed by Kirsch et al and Khan et al, which contained inIormation only at the level oI
treatment group and thus could support only standard meta-analytic procedures, the databases
Irom the 6 studies included in the present investigation provided data Ior a patient-level meta-
analysis, also known as a mega-analysis This approach is more appropriate and more powerIul
than a standard meta-analysis when original data are available and a Iine-grained multivariate
analysis is desired
7
Based on the Iindings oI Kirsch et al and Khan et al, we hypothesized that
ADM/placebo diIIerences would become larger as baseline severity increased
Previous $ectionNext $ection
METHODS
English-language articles Irom January 0 through March 200 were searched in the
electronic databases PubMed and PsycINFO using the Iollowing search criteria antidepres* and
randomi:* and placebo and depression and (treatment or trial) The Cochrane Library was
searched using the Iollowing terms as key words antidepres* and placebo and depression No
Iurther restrictions were imposed on either search We also examined the reIerence sections oI
meta-analyses and reviews to identiIy relevant randomized controlled trials
The criteria Ior inclusion required studies to be randomized placebo-controlled trials oI an FDA-
approved antidepressant in the treatment oI the Iull range oI patients with major or minor
depressive disorder (ie, studies that exclusively examined special populations or subtypes were
excluded as were studies that exclusively examined patients diagnosed solely with dysthymia)
The studies were restricted to adult outpatient samples; those that included children or
adolescents below the age oI years were excluded In addition, the studies had to include an
ADM/placebo comparison oI at least 6 weeks' duration and HD#$ scores at intake and at the end
oI treatment $tudies were excluded iI they excluded patients on the basis oI a placebo washout
period The Iinal inclusion criterion was that individual patient-level data had to be available Ior
analysis
Article Selection and Data Acquisition
The initial screening oI the search results was supervised ($D and JCF) and reviewed (JCF)
to ensure accuracy All selected articles were read by 2 authors (JCF and either $D or $DH)
to determine whether they met inclusion criteria (with an average k oI 02) Discrepancies were
resolved by consensus
The corresponding authors oI studies meeting the inclusion criteria were contacted to veriIy that
the study did not exclude patients on the basis oI a placebo washout period and to ascertain
whether individual patient-level data were available Authors were initially asked to respond
within 3 weeks, and additional time was provided to allow those making a positive response the
opportunity to provide the requested data Figure displays the results oI the search and data
acquisition strategies
View larger version
O In this page
O In a new window
O Download as PowerPoint $lide
igure 1. $tudy $election and Data Acquisition
#easons Ior exclusion describe the Iirst reason Ior exclusion that was encountered during the
review process $everal articles had multiple reasons Ior exclusion #CTs indicates randomized
controlled trials; FDA, U$ Food and Drug Administration; ADM, antidepressant medication;
HD#$, Hamilton Depression #ating $cale
Participants
The sample consisted oI participants Irom the ADM and pill-placebo conditions oI 5 MDD
trialsDe#ubeis et al,
2
Dimidjian et al,
3
Elkin et al,
4
Philipp et al,
5
Wichers et al
6
and
minor depression trial, Barrett et al
Number-needed-to-
treat values were estimated to be 6, , and 4 Ior the mild to moderate, severe, and very severe
subgroups, respectively
View larger version
O In this page
O In a new window
O Download as PowerPoint $lide
igure 2. Observed and Estimated Change in HD#$ $cores Following Treatment With ADM
and Placebo
Circles represent observed (raw) mean change in depressive symptoms Irom intake to the end oI
treatment at each initial Hamilton Depression #ating $cale (HD#$) score Ior both the
antidepressant medication (ADM) and placebo conditions The size (area) oI the circles is
proportional to the number oI data points that contributed to each mean #egression lines
represent estimates oI change in depression symptoms Irom intake to end oI treatment Ior ADM
and placebo conditions as a Iunction oI baseline symptom severity These regression lines were
estimated Irom a model oI the baseline severity treatment interaction, controlling Ior the
eIIects oI the study Irom which the data originated The National Institute Ior Clinical Excellence
threshold Ior clinical signiIicance (an HD#$ point diIIerence _3) was met Ior intake HD#$
scores oI 25 or greater, indicated by the blue line
The National Institute Ior Clinical Excellence (NICE) oI the National Health $ervice in England
has deIined a threshold Ior clinical signiIicance as an eIIect size oI 050 or a drug/placebo
diIIerence oI 3 points on the HD#$
20
Using least-squares means Irom the primary model
described earlier in this section, we estimated that this threshold was met Ior intake HD#$ scores
oI 25 or greater, using the more liberal oI the 2 criteria (a diIIerence in HD#$ scores oI _3
points) To examine the more conservative threshold deIined by d 050, we estimated Cohen d
eIIect sizes, again using least-squares means estimates Irom the primary model Drug/placebo
diIIerences were estimated to cross this threshold at an initial HD#$ score oI 27 (NNT 4)
When we divided the sample into subgroups using these 2 thresholds, the superiority oI
medications over placebo was associated with a medium-sized eIIect Ior patients with HD#$
scores oI 25 or greater (d 053; 5 CI, 0 to 06) and a large eIIect Ior patients with HD#$
oI 27 or greater (d 0; 5 CI, 030 to 32)
Baseline Severity and Symptom hange for Patients With MDD
To determine whether the pattern oI results reported was evident in patients diagnosed with
MDD, data Irom the Barrett et al