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Update
Result
Research Reiterate Positive View
June 17, 2008
McNally Bharat (MBEL) Q4FY08 results were mixed bag. Revenues grew
20% yoy to Rs2.1 bn, below our estimates. Operating profits doubled to
BUY Rs174 mn, in line with our estimates. Net profit grew by 539% yoy to Rs96
mn, in line with our estimates. Revenues for FY2008 grew by 9% to Rs5.5
Price Target Price bn, below our estimates. Net profit increased 61% to Rs249 mn, in line
Rs149 Rs255 with our estimates. Continued growth momentum in order inflows
resulted in order backlog doubling to Rs23.2 bn. We continue to maintain a
Sensex 15,396
positive view on MBE considering its presence in all industry verticals with varied
product and solutions offerings. Our core argument of (1) changing order book
mix in favor of steel and mineral vertical and (2) aggression in product business
Price Performance
are playing out, thus reinforcing our positive stance. At CMP of Rs149, the
(%) 1M 3M 6M 12M
stock is trading at 17.1x FY2008, 11.0x FY2009E and 7.8xFY2010E
Absolute (15) (17) (50) (19) earnings of Rs8.7, 13.5 and 19.1 per share respectively. We maintain our
Rel. to Sensex BUY rating.
(4) (16) (37) (25)
Source: Capitaline Q4FY2008 Result – Mixed Bag
Revenues grew by 20%, below our estimates- Q4FY08 revenue growth at 20%
Stock Details yoy was below our expectations. Revenues for the quarter stood at Rs2.1 bn against
Sector Material our estimates of Rs2.6 bn. We attribute below expectation growth to lower order
Handling booking and delay in receipt of orders from steel majors like SAIL & Rashtriya Ispat
Reuters MCNL.BO Nigam (RINL). However, we believe that revenue booking is likely to gain momentum in
Bloomberg MCNA@IN Q1FY09- coinciding with execution of major orders namely - RINL (Rs5.6 bn) and SAIL
Equity Capital (Rs mn) 286
(Rs2.6 bn and Rs6.2 bn).
Face Value(Rs) 10 Operating profits doubled to Rs174 mn, in line with estiamtes- Despite low
No of shares o/s (mn) 30 growth in revenues, operating profits doubled to Rs174 mn, in line with our estimates.
52 Week H/L 317/135 The growth in operating profits was mainly on account of 500 bps yoy expansion in
Market Cap (Rs bn/USD bn) operating margins to 8.4%, above our expectations. The jump in margins was primarily
4/93
due to combined effect of (1) an improvement in the performance of the low margin
Daily Avg Volume (No of sh) 45849
project division (2) rising conrtibution of high margin equipment division and (3) low
Daily Avg Turnover (US$mn) 0.2 base effect of Q4FY07 (OPM at 3.5%) consequent to completion of low margin orders
during the period. However, in light of the current order backlog composition and rising
cost pressures owing to escalating raw material prices, we believe that the current
Shareholding Pattern (%)
margins are not sustainable going forward.
Key Financials Rs mn
Pritesh Chheda YE- Net EBITDA APAT AEPS EV/ Div RoCE
pritesh.chheda@emkayshare.com
Mar Sales (Core) (%) (Rs) EBITDA Yld P/BV (%) P/E
+91 22 6612 1273
FY07 5034 296 5.9 175 5.7 15.9 4.1 0.7 14.7 25.9
Prerna Jhavar FY08P 5490 480 8.7 224 8.7 9.2 3.0 0.7 20.7 17.1
prerna.jhavar@emkayshare.com FY09E 9635 736 7.6 417 13.5 6.4 2.4 1.3 29.1 11.0
+91 22 6612 1337
FY10E 13489 1071 7.9 591 19.1 4.7 1.9 1.3 30.8 7.8
Despite below expected performance at revenue front, operating profit growth at 57% to
Rs449 mn was in line with estimates. This was due to 250 bps improvement in
operating margins to 8.2%, above our expectations. The margin expansion was
attributed to better revenue mix with higher contribution from steel & ash handling
verticals and equipment division. Net profit (before extraordinary items) increased 62%
to Rs249 mn, in line with our estimates. The company has accounted for FCCB issues
expenses worth Rs25 mn in the current year, as against a net extraordinary gain of
Rs20 mn in previous year. Earnings for the year stood at Rs8.7/Share (before extra-
ordinary) against Rs5.7/Share in previous year.
We believe that MBE is expected to continue its momentum in order inflows, in view of
the ongoing modernization / expansion programs within the steel, port and power
sectors. Further MBE is also actively looking at orders in the civil construction to
emerge as total solutions provider.
In FY2008, Sayaji reported revenues of Rs635 mn and operating profits of Rs128 mn.
Operating margins stood at a healthy 20.2%. Net profit for the year was Rs83 mn
resulting in earnings of Rs21.3 per share. The ROCE and ROE stood at 43.9% and
51.4% respectively, higher than MBE. We view that, Sayaji’s is earnings positive at the
time of acquisition.
Key Financials
Y/E,Mar (Rs. mn) Q4FY08 Q4FY07 % YoY Q3FY08 % QoQ FY2008 FY2007 Gr (%)
Net Sales 2,058 1,710 20 1,181 74 5,490 5,034 9
Expenses 1,884 1,651 14 1,080 74 5,010 4,738 6
Raw Materials 1,102 860 28 666 66 3,025 3,090 -2
% Of Sales 54% 50% - 56% - 55% 61% -
Job Outsourcing Exp 392 503 -22 169 132 955 923 3
% Of Sales 19% 29% - 14% - 17% 18% -
Employee Cost 119 68 74 91 31 349 236 47
% Of Sales 6% 4% - 8% - 6% 5% -
Other expenditure 271 220 24 155 75 681 489 39
% Of Sales 13% 13% - 13% - 12% 10% -
Ebidta 174 59 193 101 72 480 296 62
Ebidta% 8.4 3.5 - 8.6 - 8.7 5.9 -
Other Income 2 (3) -159 1 167 11 25 -58
Interest 17 30 -45 24 -32 89 94 -5
Depreciation 7 3 157 6 31 23 17 31
PBT 152 24 537 72 110 348 179 94
Tax 56 9 534 23 147 99 26 284
PAT (Before EO Item) 96 15 539 50 94 249 154 62
Net Margin% 4.7 0.9 - 4.2 - 4.5 3.1 -
E/O Item (25) 50 -150 - NA (25) 21 -217
Reported PAT 71 65 9 50 43 224 175 28
Earnings 3.3 0.6 496 1.7 94 8.7 5.7 51
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