MOA/DCM/MONTHLY FSR/11/2011

REPUBLIC OF KENYA

MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE FOOD SECURITY SITUATION AS AT 30TH NOVEMBER, 2011-DRAFT REPORT.

1.0

HIGHLIGHTS

The national food security situation continued to improve in the month of November. This was mainly attributed to the ongoing harvesting of long rains maize crop in the high rainfall areas which peaked during the short availability vegetables reduced month. The ongoing boosted supply of in of

rains and

resulting Prices

prices.

potatoes, bananas, onions, tomatoes and other vegetables remained low in most parts of the country reflecting improved supply. Prices of maize remained stable in most parts of the country with Eldoret recording the lowest prices of ksh.2600 per 90kg compared to a high recorded price of Ksh4800 per 90kg in June of 2011. Food security in the ASAL counties continued to improve as a result of the current short rains which saw a further improvement of pastures and food supply in these areas. However, the effects of the drought experienced earlier in the year continued to be felt in some parts of Eastern, North Eastern and Coast Provinces. Vulnerable households continued to require and receive relief food. This

situation is expected to improve around the month of January to March when harvests from the short rains crop is expected to start. Following the Governments removal of import duty on maize and wheat, more imports of these commodities by private sector was witnessed during the month. National maize stocks as at 30th November, 2011 stood at 16,584,626 bags up from 14,440,367 bags in October 2011 with NCPB holding 2,299,000 bags , farmers 11,453,825 bags, traders 2,227,891 bags and Millers

603,910 bags. The improvement of stocks is largely due to ongoing harvesting of long rains crop in North Rift, parts of Western Province, importation and inflows from neighboring countries. The NCPB is currently purchasing a 90kg bag of maize at Ksh.3000 under the warehouse receipt system. This is expected to assist farmers avoid exploitation as well as provide safe storage as they await suitable prices for their maize.

2.0

WEATHER REVIEW FOR NOVEMBER 2011

Most parts of the country continued to receive enhanced rainfall which had both good temporal and spatial distribution. This was in line with forecasts from the Kenya Meteorology Department which had predicted enhanced short rains. The rains had a positive impact on the short rains crops in most parts of the country. It however had adverse effects on harvesting of the long rains maize and wheat with rotting being reported in some parts of Rift Valley. Damage to crop from flooding was also reported in some parts of Western and Nyanza Provinces. Most roads in the high rainfall areas also became impassable posing a problem of transportation of produce to the markets.

2.1 Weather Forecast for December 2011 Forecast report provided by the Kenya Meteorology Department, the Outlook for Short Rains Season (October-November-December 2011) indicated that most parts of the country would experience near-normal rainfall except the Coastal strip, Southeastern lowlands and the central highlands including
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Nairobi, that are likely to experienced enhanced rains. The distribution, both in time and space, has generally been good over most areas as predicted except in Northeastern and Northwestern regions.

The specific outlook for October-November-December (OND) 2011 is as follows: i) The areas likely to receive near-normal rainfall include: the Western Counties (Kakamega, Busia, Bungoma, Vihiga etc.); Nyanza Counties (Kisumu, Siaya, Nyamira, Kisii, etc.); Much of the Counties in Rift Valley Province (Kericho, Nandi, Uasin Gishu, Trans Nzoia, Samburu, Turkana, etc); North Eastern Counties (Mandera, Wajir) and northern parts of Eastern Counties (Marsabit, Isiolo, etc). ii) The areas likely to receive near-normal rainfall with a tendency to abovenormal (enhanced rainfall) include: Parts of Rift Valley Counties (Nakuru, Narok, Kajiando, Laikipia, etc); Nairobi Counties; Central Counties (Kiambu, Nyeri, Muranga, etc); Southern parts of Eastern Counties (Makueni, Machakos, Meru, Embu, etc) and Coast Counties (Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu, Voi, Taita Taveta, etc).

Expected Rainfall Distribution Rainfall distribution in space and time within the Short Rains Season of 2011 is expected to be generally good over the Highlands East of Rift Valley, Nairobi area, the Lake Basin, Highlands West of Rift Valley, Central and Sothern Rift Valley. Over North

Western, North eastern, Southeastern Lowlands and some parts of Coastal strip (North Coast) rainfall distribution is expected to be poor.

2.2 Potential Impacts of the November Rains.

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Most parts of the country received enhanced rainfall in the month of November. This had a very positive effect on the short rains crop. Over 95% of the land which had been targeted for planting the short rains crop had been prepared and planted. The crops were at various stages of growth and exhibited good establishment in the field. With the continuing rains a good harvest is expected.

However, owing to uncertainties now common with climate change, diversification in crops production is being encouraged by the ministry; more so in the arid and semi arid areas. In this regard, the Ministry of Agriculture in partnership with other stakeholders distributed assorted drought tolerant seeds to areas which were most affected by drought. The crops are reported to be doing well in the field and a good harvest is expected. This will further improve food security in the affected areas in the coming months. Water harvesting and conservation measures should also be stepped up to take advantage of the enhanced rains.

In the North Rift and parts of Western province, harvesting of long rains crop has coincided with enhanced rains being experienced. Rotting of maize and wheat crop was reported in some parts of Rift Valley where harvesting is in progress. Farmers are advised to take adequate measures in preserving their grains to avoid post harvest losses. Construction of drying facilities could go a long way in alleviating this problem especially in high maize production areas. Farmers are also encouraged to take advantage of the warehouse receipt system to avoid postharvest losses and exploitation. The high rainfall has also affected road networks in some areas hampering transportation of produce to the markets. This has caused spoilage of farm produce in some areas. 3.0 MAIZE AND BEANS INFLOWS, NOVEMBER 2011 The maize inflows during the month amounted to 188,276 bags with 169,976 bags coming from neighboring countries while 18,300 bags were
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received from outside East Africa through private imports via Kilindini Harbor. (See Annex 1). Beans inflows reduced from 40,342 bags in October to 24,746 bags in November 2011. 4.0 MAIZE STOCKS AS AT 30TH NOVEMBER 2011 The maize stocks increased to 16,584,626 bags from 14,444,367 bags in the month of October. Current stocks held by farmers is 11,453,825 bags ,traders 2,227,891 bags, millers 603,910 bags and NCPB 2,299,000 bags (see Annex 2). The increase in stocks at various levels is mainly attributed to the ongoing harvesting in North Rift and Western region. These figures are likely to increase further in December as harvesting continues. 5. 0 MAIZE BALANCE SHEET FOR PERIOD 1ST DECEMBER 2011 to 30TH JUNE 2012 (7 MONTHS) Stocks as at 30th November 2011 in 90kg bags a) Total East Africa Imports* (cross border trade) expected between 1st December and 30th June 2012 b) Private sector estimated imports outside EAC between 1st December 2011 to June 2012 Expected harvest between December 2011 and June 2012 a) Long rains b) Short rains KR Japanese food aid support Post -harvest losses 10% (long & short rains) NATIONAL AVAILABILITY as at 30 June, 2012 ( 90kg Bags) Expected total exports to East Africa Expected exports outside the region NATIONAL CONSUMPTION at a monthly rate of 3.63 million bags for the current population of 40 million people for the next 7 months
th

16,584,626 1,250,000 500,000

9,310,740 6,500,000 0 1,581,070 32,564,296 26,110,000

Balance as at 30th June, 2012 (surplus) * Imports from EAC based on 7 months imports average.

6,454,296

From this balance sheet, if anticipated short and long rains production is achieved, imports sustained at current rates with no exports, the national stocks level as at 30th June 2012 is estimated to be a surplus of 6,454,296 bags. The short rains crop is expected to start boosting current stocks from around mid January to February. Early harvests from the 2012 long rains from South Rift in July/August, and inflows from neighboring countries and importations will enhance the stock level. 6.0 BEANS STOCKS AS AT 30TH NOVEMBER 2011 The national beans stocks stood at 1,797,244 million bags by end of November 2011. Beans stocks are currently reducing due to the continued consumption of the long rains crop. These stocks can last for about 2.5 months. Stocks are expected to rise from the month of January when harvesting of the short rains crop starts. A good beans harvest is expected in most parts of the country due to the adequate short rains being received. 7.0 PERFORMANCE OF THE DROUGHT RECOVERY RELIEF SEEDS. The 2011 long rains season was characterized by long dry spells especially in the Arid and Semi Arid areas of the country. This adversely affected livelihoods of communities leaving in these areas. To assist the vulnerable communities living in these areas recover from the drought, the government through the Ministry of Agriculture distributed 1171MT of assorted drought tolerant seeds worth Ksh.182 million. The seeds are reported to be doing well in the field as a result of the adequate short rains. Most of the legumes are at podding stage and harvesting is expected to start in the month of January. The maize is between from knee to waist high with harvesting expected to start from around mid January to February. A bumper harvest is expected, especially in Eastern Province, if the rains continue. 8.0 CONCLUSION With the current ongoing harvest of the long rains maize, the expected bumper harvest of the short rains crop and imports, the food security
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situation is expected to remain stable for the next 7 months. The prices of main food commodities such as maize, rice, millet, sorghum and potatoes are likely to decline further in next month as harvesting continues in North Rift and parts of Western Province. The price of beans is expected to rise slightly in the coming month but start reducing in the month of January when harvesting of the short rains beans crop starts. Wheat prices are expected to remain high owing to reduced production from the major production areas. Prices of vegetables are expected to remain low during the period of the shorts rains. Any subsequent dry spells in the coming months is expected to trigger an increase in price of vegetables. With a bumper harvest expected for the short rains crop, farmers are advised to take precautionary measures to avoid post harvest losses through pests and aflatoxins.Proper drying, treatment with storage chemicals and storage is encouraged. Farmers are also advised to take advantage of the warehouse receipt system for safe keeping of their maize as they await better prices.

9.0 ANNEXES Annex 1: MAIZE AND BEANS INFLOWS NOVEMBER 2011

Maize (bags) Border point Current inflows 314 14,240 9,050 800 1,400 104,100 0 39,450 622 18,300 188,276 cumulative since January 15,664 266,295 63,906 79,460 27,749 317,110 575,461 467,157 12,435 908,700 2,733,937 Beans (bags) Current inflows 420 18,700 865 3,950 328 120 54 309 0 0 24,746 Cumulative since January 11,790 313,947 28,510 167,045 3,848 65,570 328 7,615 0 138,900 737,553

Lwakhakha Busia Malaba Moyale Suam Namanga Loitoktok Taveta Lunga Lunga Kilindini Harbour TOTAL

There was a reduction of inflows for both maize and beans. Maize flows reduced from 365,570 bags reported in October to 188,276 bags in the current month while bean flows reduced to 24,746 bags as compared to 40,342 bags. A total of 18,300,000 bags of maize were imported through Kilindini Harbour. ANNEX 2: MAIZE STOCKS AS AT 30TH NOVEMBER 2011 Stocks of 90 Kg bags
Province Central Coast Eastern Nyanza N. Eastern R. Valley Western Nairobi Total FARMERS STOCKS 380,013 529,597 194,468 1,441,697 650 5,408,250 3,499,000 150 11,453,825 TRADERS STOCKS 164,256 88,235 355,958 484,477 2,800 791,945 324,220 16,000 2,227,891 MILLERS STOCKS 20,960 10,462 37,091 48,645 900 287,435 198,417 0 603,910 NCPB STOCKS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 2,299,000 TOTAL 565,229 628,294 587,517 1,974,819 4,350 6,487,630 4,021,637 16,150 16,584,626

Continued harvesting of long rains crops in parts of Rift Valley and Western and imports by the private sector boosted maize stocks to 16,584,626 bags in November 2011 as compared to 14,440,367 bags realized in October 2011. The stocks are likely to increase in the coming months as harvesting and imports continue. ANNEX 3: BEANS STOCK AS AT 30TH NOVEMBER 2011 Stocks of 90 Kg bags
Province Central Coast Eastern Nyanza N. Eastern R. Valley Western Nairobi Total FARMERS STOCKS 188,000 3,699 110,402 223,698 200 578,113 194,460 150 1,298,722 TRADERS STOCKS 129,570 26,753 99,541 63,927 600 129,543 41,320 5,000 496,254 NCPB TOTAL STOCKS N/A 317,570 N/A 30,452 N/A 209,943 N/A 287,625 N/A 800 N/A 707,656 N/A 235,780 403 5,553 2,268 1,797,244

There was further decrease in the stocks of beans held from 2.01million bags in October to about 1.8 million bags in November. This is as a result of continued consumption of the longs rains crop. Stocks are expected to start rising in January when harvesting of the short rains beans crop starts in most parts of the country. ANNEX 4: RICE STOCKS AS AT 30TH NOVEMBER 2011 (bags of 75 Kg milled rice equivalent)
Province Central Coast Eastern Nyanza N. Eastern R. Valley Western Nairobi Total FARMERS STOCKS 60,120 2,200 0 9,092 150,00 0 7,500 0 78,912 TRADERS STOCKS 98,680 3,000 250 24,685 500 2,000 4,000 1,500 134,615 NCPB STOCKS N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 20,000 31,096 TOTAL 158,800 5,200 250 33,777 500 2,000 11,500 21,500 244,623

Most rice stocks are being held by traders and millers such as National Irrigation Board and Lake Basin Development Authority. The short season crop has been planted and is expected to boost stocks when it matures.

Annex 4: 2011 CROP PRODUCTION TARGETS Table 1: Maize Production

TARGETS Province LR 2011 Rift Valley Nyanza Western Central Eastern Coast N/ Eastern Nairobi 663,705 175,453 232,975 107,725 247,674 111,083 5,450 798 1,544,863 AREA IN HA SR 2011 97,085 87,000 50,521 85,605 270,152 60,187 5,350 420 656,320 ESTIMATED PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS LR SR TOTAL 2011 15,265,215 3,145,715 3,494,625 2,349,086 3,477,821 1,555,162 14,950 3,360 29,305,934 2011 2,718,380 565,500 656,773 1,027,260 1,350,760 421,309 11,000 9,542 6,760,524 LR+SR 17,983,595 3,711,215 4,151,398 3,376,346 4,828,581 1,976,471 25,950 12,902 36,066,458 ESTIMATED ACHIEVEMENTS AREA IN HA SR TOTAL LR+SR 2011 55,849 123,140 23,605 73,000 287,427 46,225 1,500 0 610,746 589,734 318,935 227,735 178,199 502,351 176,252 3,116 490 1,996,812 PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS LR SR 2011 18,045,265 2,349,540

TOTAL
LR+SR

TOTAL LR+SR 760,790 262,453 283,496 193,330 517,826 171,270 10,800 1,218 2,201,183

LR 2011 533,885 195,795 204,130 105,199 214,924 130,027 1,616 490 1,386,066

2011

2011 18,045,265 2,349,540 5,648,525 1,399,659 515,818 743,756 800 7,840 28,711,203

5,648,525
1,399,659 515,818 743,756 800 7,840 28,711,203

Total

Planting of the short rains maize continued during the month. The good rains received during the month led to good germination and crop establishment in most parts of the country. About 610,810 Ha had been planted with the crop at various stages of growth. If the rains continue, the short rains crop is expected to produce about 6,500,000 bags. Harvesting of the longs rains crop continued in parts of Rift Valley and Western Province. A decline in long maize yields has been reported in most parts of the country. This was attributed to shortage of fertilizers and recommended and preferred seeds during the planting season, delayed onset of the long rains and high cost of farm operations.

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Table 2: Bean Production

Province
AREA IN HA LR SR 2011 109,300 109,358 37,900 54,443 157,486 1,559 140 305
470,491

TARGETS ESTIMATED PRODUCTION IN BAGS TOTAL LR+SR 351,810 273,288 163,450 113,543 314,515 4,902 280 743
1,222,531

ACHIEVEMENTS AREA IN HA LR 2011 176,835 102,598 118,525 61,928 103,810 3,010 560 370
567,636

PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS TOTAL LR+SR 236,015 173,343 276,072 113,938 233,075 4,106 560 370
1,037,479

LR 2011 1,940,080 1,178,411 1,004,400 354,600 1,068,282 20,058 140 1,752

5,567,723

SR 2011 874,400 780,397 265,300 326,658 1,043,476 9,354 140 1,220

3,300,945

TOTAL LR+SR 2,814,480 1,958,808 1,269,700 681,258 2,111,758 29,412 280 2,972
8,868,668

SR 2011 59,180 70,745 157,547 52,010 129,265 1,096 0 0

469,843

LR 2011 1,060,910 533,510 674,159 390,467 207,620 24,078 210 2,220

2,893,174

SR
2011

TOTAL LR+SR 1,060,910 533,510 674,159 390,467 207,620 24,078 210 2,220
2,893,174

Rift Valley Nyanza Western Central Eastern Coast N/ Eastern Nairobi

Total

2011 242,510 163,930 125,550 59,100 157,029 3,343 140 438

752,040

A total of 567,636 Ha was achieved for the long rains, with a production of about 2,893,174 bags. Delayed, erratic rains and inadequate certified seed affected production of 2011 long rains crop. About 469,840 Ha of the short rains crop has been planted and is doing well.

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Table 3: Wheat Production

TARGETS ESTIMATED PRODUCTION IN BAGS TOTAL LR+SR 117,897 90 14,073 25,565 157,625 LR 2011 5,450,500 1,800 172,332 72,200 5,696,832 SR 2011 309,200 700 62,020 250,320 622,240 TOTAL LR+SR 5,759,700 2,500 234,352 322,520 6,319,072 LR 2011 98,330 80 4,575 8,015 111,000 ACHIEVEMENTS AREA IN HA SR 2011 0 0 1,800 8,923 10,723 TOTAL LR+SR 98,330 80 6,375 16,938 121,723 PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS LR 2011 1,948,630 2,436 53,750 176,030 2,180,846 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR 1,948,630 2,436 97,275 441,380 2,489,721

Province LR Rift Valley Western Central Eastern Total 2011 109,107 65 9,108 11,025 129,305

AREA IN HA SR 2011 8,790 25 4,965 14,540 28,320

Out of the targeted 129,305 Ha of long rains crop, 111,000 Ha has been achieved. Erratic rains in most wheat growing zones and crop failure in many places led to prolonged long rains planting up to the month of June 2011. Failure of long rains wheat in Narok County in particular, which contributes about 40% of total production, has severely affected production of long rains crop in 2011. Hence out of the target 5.69 million bags, only 2.18 million bags have been achieved for the long rain season crop. More harvesting of late planted crop is expected to boost the overall long rains production figure. About 10,720 ha of wheat have been planted for the short rains.

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Table 4: Irish Potato Production

TARGETS Province AREA IN HA LR SR
2011 28,965 6,495 41,075 13,223 63 89,758 2011 33,780 6,505 48,600 12,528 85 101,413

ACHIEVEMENTS AREA IN HA LR
2011 36,340 5,970 44,290 10,750 50 97,400

ESTIMATED PRODUCTION IN BAGS TOTAL LR+SR

62,745 13,000 89,675 25,751 0

PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS
TOTAL LR+SR 53,454 11,940 60,230 23,270 LR 2011 430,890 94,340 1,953,730 382,020 2,000 2,862,980 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR 430,890 94,340 1,953,730 382,020 2,000 2,862,980

LR
2011 466,608 125,425 3,303,070 54,770 274 3,950,147

SR
2011 391,471 126,175 2,494,216 422,366 211 3,434,439

TOTAL
LR+SR 858,079 251,600 5,797,286 477,136 485 7,384,586

SR
2011 17,114 5,970 15,940 12,520 0 51,544

Rift Valley Western Central Eastern Nairobi Total

191,171

50 148,944

About 51,540 Ha of Irish Potatoes has been planted for the short rains season. The high rainfall being experienced in most areas may affect production through increased incidences of fungal diseases. Farmers are advised to take preventive measures through spraying with appropriate fungicides. For the long rains, out of the 101,413 hectares targeted, 97,400 Ha was achieved, representing 86%.

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Table 5: Rice Production

TARGETS ACHIEVEMENTS AREA IN HA LR 2011 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS LR 2011 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR

Province
AREA IN HA LR 2011 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR

ESTIMATED PRODUCTION IN BAGS LR 2011 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR

Rift Valley Nyanza Western Central Coast N/ Eastern Total

31 8,175 1,615 4,215 2,219 75 16,330

11 3,710 861 8,096 377 75 13,130

42 11,885 2,476 12,311 2,596 150 29,460

752 560,910 32,692 389,846 15 750 984,965

252 202,920 17,212 472,018 34,327 750 727,479

1,004 763,830 49,904 861,864 34,342 1,500 1,712,444

20 1,760 1,365 3,410 2,840 12 9,407

4 3,158 960 520 747 0 5,389

24 4,918 2,325 3,930 3,587 12 14,796

780 49,280 30,203 104,665 62,068 360 247,356

780 209,180 30,203 400,295 62,068 360 702,886

About 5,390 Ha has been planted for the short rains season against the target of 13,130Ha.This is expected to increase in the coming months with the ongoing planting. During the long rains about 9,407Ha was achieved against a target of 16,330Ha.To increase rice production, a comprehensive Rice Development Strategy has been developed and is being implemented by the government with support from development partners. Rice production has further been boosted by the support from Economic Stimulus Programme that is focusing on irrigation expansion and rehabilitation of major rice schemes. More rice production is expected in the near future.

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Table 6: 2011 Sorghum Production

Provinces AREA IN HA LR Rift Valley Nyanza Western Central Eastern Coast N/ Eastern Nairobi Total 2011 682 96,691 7,825 951 83,989 1,868 7,150 7 199,156 SR 2011 653 31,512 4,430 891 94,537 1,293 7,050 5 140,366 TOTAL LR+SR 1,335 128,203 12,255 1,842 178,526 3,161 14,200 0 339,522 TARGETS ESTIMATED PRODUCTION IN BAGS LR 2011 4,509 1,179,833 88,330 6,340 1,053,523 14 13,400 82 2,345,949 SR 2011 3,912 379,415 50,030 7,070 1,406,782 25,400 12,400 62 1,885,009 TOTAL LR+SR 8,421 1,559,248 138,360 13,410 2,460,305 25,414 25,800 0 4,230,958 LR 2011 6,245 51,021 6,680 550 54,993 4,350 159 6 124,004 AREA IN HA SR 2011 1,284 11,813 10,789 180 82,751 1,274 0 0 108,091 TOTAL LR+SR 7,529 62,834 17,469 730 137,744 5,624 159 6 232,095 ACHIEVEMENTS PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS LR 2011 69,605 408,168 62,880 3,300 65,992 32,800 200 20 642,965 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR 69,605 408,168 62,880 3,300 65,992 32,800 200 20 642,965

A total of 108,090Ha of sorghum has been planted for the short rains season. This is against the target of 140,366Ha Adoption of sorghum has generally been low in most parts of the country with maize being given preference. Increased sorghum demand for alcohol production in the private sector has however triggered interests for sorghum farming. The ministry is promoting growing of Gadam sorghum through bulking of seeds and distributing to farmers under the Traditional High Value Crops Programme. The produce is mainly sold to EABL. Attack by Quelea birds is becoming a challenge to Gadam sorghum production.

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Table 7: Finger millet production

TARGETS Province LR Rift Valley Nyanza Western Central Eastern N.Eastern Coast Total 2011 7,921 18,219 5,383 91 47,463 3,752 412 83,241 AREA IN HA SR 2011 555 14,960 0 84 45,851 4,082 279 65,811 TOTAL LR+SR 8,476 33,179 5,383 175 93,314 7,834 690 149,051 PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS LR 2011 103,812 126,371 37,350 371 698,231 42,161 10 1,008,306 SR 2011 5,12 90,080 0 365 797,974 44,498 4,115 937,032 TOTAL LR+SR 103,812 216,451 37,350 736 1,496,205 86,659 4,125 1,945,338 LR 2011 1,253 5,928 4,304 30 2,390 1,700 177 15,782 AREA IN HA SR 2011 266 9,508 4,300 20 3,520 0 34 17,648 TOTAL LR+SR 1,519 15,436 8,604 50 5,910 1,700 211 33,430 ACHIEVEMENTS PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS LR 2011 16,400 71,200 47,344 240 74,700 11,140 1,770 222,794 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR 16,400 152,550 47,344 240 74,700 11,140 1,770 304,144

As with the case of sorghum, millet production has been severely affected by poor rains in the major producing areas. Out of the national targets of 80,241 Ha during the long rains, only 37,360 Ha have been achieved with estimated production of 222,794 bags. About 12,125 Ha has been planted for the short rains and more is expected.

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Table 8: Cassava Production

TARGETS Province LR Rift Valley Nyanza Western Central Eastern Nairobi Coast Total 2011 845 12,056 10,323 508 5,220 18 17,366 46,318 AREA IN HA SR 2011 124 6,097 7,836 491 7,011 13 5,513 27,072 TOTAL LR+SR 969 18,153 18,159 999 12,231 0 22,879 73,390 PRODUCTIONS IN BAGS LR 2011 13,976 120,560 186,765 6,007 96,777 183 173,660 597,745 SR 2011 2,251 60,970 472,134 5,760 124,195 109 55,130 720,440 TOTAL LR+SR 16,227 181,530 658,899 11,767 220,972 0 228,790 1,318,185 LR 2011 460 11,105 9,709 380 3,920 12 9,180 34,766 AREA IN HA SR 2011 161 8,070 10,060 390 4,160 0 1,520 24,361 TOTAL LR+SR 621 19,175 19,769 770 8,080 12 10,700 59,127 ACHIEVEMENTS PRODUCTIONS IN TONS LR 2011 11,960 288,700 310,680 5,700 117,600 240 119,770 854,650 SR 2011 TOTAL LR+SR 11,960 288,700 310,680 5,700 117,600 240 119,770 854,650

About 46,318 Ha had been targeted for long rains crop out of which 41,655 Ha has been achieved with estimated production of 854,650 Metric tons. It is anticipated that following poor performance of most staple crops in many parts of the country due to poor distribution of long rains, production of root crops such as cassava shall increase. Towards this end, the Ministry has initiated several policy measures aimed at encouraging farmers to increase production of this crop.

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Annex 5: MARKET PRICES AND TRENDS Table 9: Maize Price Trends in Major Markets (Ksh/90kg bag)
Month Sept -10 Oct -10 Nov -10 Dec -10 Jan -11 Feb -11 Mar -11 Apr- 11 May- 11 Jun -11 Jul -11 Aug -11 Sept- 11 Oct -11 Nov -11 Nairobi 1,650 1,690 1,700 1,750 1,800 2,100 2,250 2,730 3,200 3,800 3,850 3,250 3,000 3,100 3100 Eldoret 1,600 1,000 1,000 1,200 1,900 1,350 1,700 2,500 3,000 3,500 3,750 3,200 2,800 2,600 2,600 Kisumu 1,400 1,600 1,600 2,000 2,000 2,200 2,400 3,200 3,600 4,800 3,500 3,200 3,000 3,200 3400 Mombasa 1,450 1,400 1,700 1,700 1,700 2,200 2,700 3,000 3,400 3,500 3,450 3,330 2,900 3,000 3000 Karatina 1,300 1,400 1,450 1500 1,700 1,800 2,000 2,600 3,000 4,000 4,000 3,650 3,600 3,200 3400 Kakamega 1,350 1,300 1,400 1,470 1,500 2,000 2,400 2,800 3,100 4,500 4,000 3,200 2,800 3,200 3000 Garissa 3,150 3,000 2,950 2,000 3,150 3,150 4,050 4,050 4,200 4,450 4,200 3,800 3,600 3,700 3700

The price of maize remained stable in most markets. Prices have reduced from the highest of Ksh.4800 per 90 Kg bag reported in Kisumu in June, 2011 to current price of Ksh 2600 per bag in Eldoret.Further reduction in prices is expected in the coming month as harvesting continues in the main maize growing areas. Table 9 shows the price movements of 90 kg

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bag across selected towns and cities between September 2010 and November 2011. Slight price increases were reported in Kisumu and Karatina and most parts of Eastern Province.

Table 10: Beans Price Trends in Major Markets (ksh/90kg bag)

Month Sept- 10 Oct- 10 Nov -10 Dec- 10 Jan -11 Feb- 11 Mar -11 Apr- 11 May- 11 Jun -11 Jul -11 Aug -11 Sept -11 Oct -11 Nov -11 Nairobi 5,500 5,300 5,300 4,600 5250 4,950 5,000 5,600 7,200 5,900 5,300 4,800 4,800 4,800 5,000 Eldoret 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,000 5,491 4,000 4,500 4,900 5,900 5,600 5,400 4,800 4,800 5,200 5,145 Kisumu 4,800 5,800 5,800 4,000 5,800 5,800 5,800 6,200 6,800 7,600 6,400 5,400 5,800 7,200 7,200 Mombasa 4,600 4,500 4,560 3,750 3,700 4,800 5,850 6,000 7,000 5,600 7,200 6,200 5,400 6,300 6,300 Karatina 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,800 6,800 6,500 6,000 5,000 5,200 5,500 5,500 Kakamega Garissa 4,400 4,300 4,300 4,000 4,000 5,400 6,000 6,300 7,200 6,800 6,000 5,200 5,000 6,400 5,400 5,400 5,600 5,600 5,600 7,200 7,200 7,200 7,200 8,000 7,200 7,200 7,200 6,600 6,600 6,700

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There was a slight increase in prices of beans in the month of November as compared to October. This may be attributed to reduced stocks resulting from the continued consumption of the already harvested long rains crop. Prices are expected to reduce in the month of January when harvesting of the short rains crop is expected to start.

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