Renub Research

www.renub.com 4G (LTE and WiMAX) Service Revenue/Market Analysis and its Opportunities for Industries

Publisher: Renub Research Published: October, 2011

About the Report

Renub Research report on 4G (LTE and WiMAX) Service Revenue/Market Analysis and its Opportunities for Industries covers the following key points. Comparison of 1G to 4G Network Technologies Worldwide 4G subscribers and service revenue Worldwide regions covered (North America, Europe, Asia, Latin America and MEA) present and Future 4G subscribers and service revenue with their global market share Worldwide LTE subscribers and service revenue Worldwide regions covered (North America, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin America) present and Future Forecast of LTE subscribers and service revenue with their global market share Worldwide WiMAX subscribers and service revenue Worldwide regions covered (North America, Eastern Europe & Russia, Western Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America and MEA) present and Future Forecast of WiMAX subscribers and service revenue with their global market share Worldwide investment in LTE and WiMAX technologies 4G opportunity for various sectors (Mobile IPTV market, Social Networking Services, Location Based Services, Telematics, Wireless VoIP, M2M application market etc.)

Industry Overview
High-speed 4G wireless networks are the next big opportunity in the mobile industry. 4G networks are able to provide a comprehensive quadruple IP solution where voice, data and streamed multimedia can be given to users on an "Anytime, Anywhere" basis featuring the full mobility, and at higher data rates than previous generations. 4G is used to describe two primary technologies, Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access (WiMAX) and Long Term Evolution (LTE).

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WiMAX can provide broadband wireless access (BWA) up to 30 miles (50 km) for fixed stations, and 3 - 10 miles (5 - 15 km) for mobile stations. The primary advantages of the WiMAX standard are to enable the adoption of advanced radio features in a uniform fashion and reduce costs for all the radios made by companies. However, LTE can increase downlink speed up to 100 Mbps whereas uplink peak data rates up to 50 Mbps up form 20 MHz of spectrum. Mobile operators around the world are also investing billions in the spectrum and network infrastructure to deploy 4G networks, even though most have yet to get a sufficient return on their 3G network investments. In the race to 4G, US mobile operators have been driven by competition to invest in multiple network platforms thus maintaining their legacy infrastructure while deploying new IP-based mobile broadband networks. By 2014, North America 4G subscribers share is expected to be over 45% of the worldwide 4G share. 4G technology is also opening various opportunities for different industries across the world. Such as 4G IPTV platform will support to view live HD TV, in case of Social Networking Services 4G will provide access through a collection of radio interfaces. In same order 4G will benefit a lot of industries like Location Based Services, Telematics, Wireless VoIP, M2M application market etc. Finally, worldwide 4G subscribers and its service revenue will be showing tremendous growth path. It is anticipated that worldwide 4G subscribers will cross 150 Million by the end of 2013. It is also expected that its worldwide service revenue will grow at a CAGR of 299% for the spanning period of 2009 2013.

Research Highlight
Worldwide 4G subscribers will be over 158 Million by 2013 Asia Pacific 4G service revenue will be over US$ 1 Billion in 2013 4G handsets will grow at CAGR of 91.1% during the spanning period 2010 - 2014 Worldwide LTE service revenue is expected to cross US$ 150 Billion by 2015 Telecom operators are investing more than US$ 3 Billion in LTE technology in 2011 Worldwide WiMAX subscribers will grow at a CAGR of 51.1% for the period of 2011- 2014

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Eastern Europe & Russia WiMAX Service revenue will cross US$ 2 Billion by the end of 2014

Countries Analysed
We have covered all the 5 regions (North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia and Middle East & Africa) in this report. All these regions have been analysed in this report from two criterias 1) 4G Subscriber numbers 2) 4G Market. This report also covers all the above regions 1) 4G Subscriber numbers 2) 4G Market in LTE and WiMAX.

Industries Analysed
In this report we have also analysed how 4G technologies is opening opportunity for other industries. Such as Mobile IPTV, Social Networking, Mobile Marketing, Location Based Services Telematics, Wireless VOIP, Machine-to-Machine Technologies, Data Services and Wireless Consumer Electronics.

Data Sources
This report is built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, primary and secondary research and in-house analysis by Renub Research team of industry experts. Information and data has been collected from various printable and non-printable sources like search engines, News websites, Government Websites, Trade Journals, White papers, Government Agencies, Magazines, Newspapers, Trade associations, Books, Industry Portals, Industry Associations and access to more than 100 paid databases.

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4G (LTE and WiMAX) Service Revenue/Market Analysis and its Opportunities for Industries Renub Research, 2011 Edition 1.0 All rights reserved. This publication is protected by copyright. No part of it may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior written permission of the publishers

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Table of Contents
1. 2. 3. Executive Summary Research Methodology 4G Introduction 3.1 3.2 4. Evolutionary Steps/Path Comparison of 1G to 4G Technologies

Worldwide 4G Subscribers and Subscribers Share 4.1 4.2 Worldwide 4G Subscribers Worldwide 4G Subscribers Share

5.

Worldwide 4G Service Revenue and Service Revenue Share 5.1 5.2 Worldwide 4G Service Revenue Worldwide 4G Service Revenue Share

6.

Regional Analysis - 4G Subscribers and Service Revenue 6.1 North America North America 4G Subscribers and Future Forecast North America 4G Service Revenue and Future Forecast

6.1.1 6.1.2 6.2

Latin America Latin America 4G Subscribers and Future Forecast Latin America 4G Service Revenue and Future Forecast

6.2.1 6.2.2 6.3

Europe Europe 4G Subscribers and Future Forecast Europe 4G Service Revenue and Future Forecast

6.3.1 6.3.2 6.4 Asia

6.4.1 6.4.2 6.5

Asia 4G Subscribers and Future Forecast Asia Pacific 4G Service Revenue and Future Forecast

Middle East & Africa (MEA) MEA 4G Subscribers and Service Revenue Future Forecast

6.5.1 7.

LTE Technology Analysis 7.1 Long Term Evaluation (LTE)

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7.2 8.

Factors for Implementing LTE Efficiently

Worldwide LTE Subscribers and Service Revenue 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.4 Worldwide LTE Subscribers & Future Forecast Worldwide LTE Subscribers Share & Future Forecast Worldwide LTE Service Revenue & Future Forecast Worldwide LTE Service Revenue Share & Future Forecast

9.

Regional Analysis - LTE Subscribers and Service Revenue 9.1 North America North America LTE Subscribers and Future Forecast North America LTE Service Revenue and Future Forecast

9.1.1 9.1.2 9.2

Latin America Latin America LTE Subscribers and Future Forecast Latin America LTE Service Revenue and Future Forecast

9.2.1 9.2.2 9.3

Asia Pacific Asia Pacific LTE Subscribers and Future Forecast Asia Pacific LTE Service Revenue and Future Forecast

9.3.1 9.3.2 9.4

Western Europe Western Europe LTE Subscribers and Future Forecast Western Europe LTE Service Revenue and Future Forecast

9.4.1 9.4.2 9.5

Eastern Europe Eastern Europe LTE Subscribers and Future Forecast Eastern Europe LTE Service Revenue and Future Forecast

9.5.1 9.5.2 10. 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.4 11. 11.1

Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access (WiMAX) Worldwide WiMAX Subscribers and Future Forecast Worldwide WiMAX Subscribers Share & Future Forecast Worldwide WiMAX Service Revenue and Future Forecast Worldwide WiMAX Service Revenue Share and Future Forecast Regional Analysis - WiMAX Subscribers & Service Revenue North America North America WiMAX Subscribers & Future Forecast North America WiMAX Service Revenue & Future Forecast

11.1.1 11.1.2

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11.2

Latin America Latin America WiMAX Subscribers & Future Forecast Latin America WiMAX Service Revenue & Future Forecast

11.2.1 11.2.2 11.3

Asia Pacific Asia Pacific WiMAX Subscribers & Future Forecast Asia Pacific WiMAX Service Revenue & Future Forecast

11.3.1 11.3.2 11.4

Western Europe Western Europe WiMAX Subscribers & Future Forecast Western Europe WiMAX Service Revenue & Future Forecast

11.4.1 11.4.2 11.5

Eastern Europe & Russia Eastern Europe & Russia WiMAX Subscribers & Future Forecast Eastern Europe & Russia WiMAX Service Revenue & Future Forecast

11.5.1 11.5.2 11.6

Middle East & Africa Middle East & Africa WiMAX Subscribers & Future Forecast Middle East & Africa WiMAX Service Revenue & Future Forecast

11.6.1 11.6.2 12. 12.1 12.2 13. 13.1 13.2

Worldwide 4G Investment - Technology Investment in LTE Technology and Future Forecast Investment in WiMAX and Future Forecast Worldwide Telecom Operators Deployments - LTE & WiMAX LTE Network Commitments, Trials and Plans: Global Round-Up WiMAX Network Commitments, Trials and Plans: Global Round-Up WiMAX Deployment in Mature Markets WiMAX Deployment in Emerging Markets

13.2.1 13.2.2 14. 14.1 14.2 14.3 14.4 14.5 14.6 14.7

4G Opportunities for Various Industries 4G Opportunity for Mobile IPTV Market 4G Opportunity for Social Networking Services 4G Opportunity for Mobile Applications, Mobile Marketing & Advertising 4G Opportunity for Location Based Services (LBS) 4G Opportunity for Telematics Industry 4G Opportunity for Wireless VoIP 4G Opportunity for Machine-to-Machine Application

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14.8 14.9

4G Opportunity for Data Services Market 4G Opportunity for Wireless Consumer Electronics

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List of Figures:
Figure 4-1: Worldwide 4G Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2009 2013 Figure 4-2: Worldwide 4G Subscribers Share Future Forecast (Percent), 2011 2013 Figure 5-1: Worldwide 4G Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2009 2013 Figure 5-2: Worldwide 4G Service Revenue Share Future Forecast (Percent), 2011 2013 Figure 6-1: North America 4G Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2009 2013 Figure 6-2: North America 4G Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2009 2013 Figure 6-3: Latin America 4G Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2012 2013 Figure 6-4: Latin America 4G Service Revenue Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2012 2013 Figure 6-5: Europe 4G Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2013 Figure 6-6: Europe 4G Service Revenue Future Forecast (Million US$), 2011 2013 Figure 6-7: Asia 4G Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2010 2013 Figure 6-8: Asia 4G Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Million US$), 2010 2013 Figure 8-1: Worldwide LTE Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2010 2015 Figure 8-2: Worldwide LTE Subscribers Share Future Forecast (Percent), 2011 2015 Figure 8-3: Worldwide LTE Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2010 2015 Figure 8-4 Worldwide LTE Service Revenue Share & Future Forecast (Percent), 2011 2015 Figure 9-1: North America LTE Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2015 Figure 9-2: North America LTE Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2015 Figure 9-3: Latin America LTE Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2012 2015 Figure 9-4: Latin America LTE Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2012 2015 Figure 9-5: Asia Pacific LTE Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2015 Figure 9-6 Asia Pacific LTE Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2015 Figure 9-7: Western Europe LTE Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2010 2015 Figure 9-8 Western Europe LTE Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2010 2015 Figure 9-9: Eastern Europe LTE Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2012 2015 Figure 9-10 Eastern Europe LTE Service Revenue & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2012 2015 Figure 10-1: Worldwide WiMAX Subscribers (Million), 2009 2010 Figure 10-2: Worldwide WiMAX Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2014 Figure 10-3: Worldwide WiMAX Subscribers Share (Percent), 2009 2010 Figure 10-4: Worldwide WiMAX Subscribers Share Future Forecast (Percent), 2011 2014 Figure 10-5: Worldwide WiMAX Service Revenue (Billion US$), 2009 2010 Figure 10-6: Worldwide WiMAX Service Revenue Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2014 Figure 10-7: Worldwide WiMAX Service Revenue Share (Percent), 2009 2010 Figure 10-8: Worldwide WiMAX Service Revenue Share Future Forecast (Percent), 2011 2014 Figure 11-1: North America WiMAX Subscribers (Million), 2009 2010 Figure 11-2: North America WiMAX Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2014 Renub Research Page 11 of 20

Figure 11-3: North America WiMAX Service Revenue (Billion US$), 2009 2010 Figure 11-4: North America WiMAX Service Revenue Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2014 Figure 11-5: Latin America WiMAX Subscribers (Million), 2009 2010 Figure 11-6: Latin America WiMAX Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2014 Figure 11-7: Latin America WiMAX Service Revenue (Billion US$), 2009 2010 Figure 11-8: Latin America WiMAX Service Revenue Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2014 Figure 11-9: Asia Pacific WiMAX Subscribers (Million), 2009 2010 Figure 11-10: Asia Pacific WiMAX Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2014 Figure 11-11: Asia Pacific WiMAX Service Revenue (Billion US$), 2009 2010 Figure 11-12: Asia Pacific WiMAX Service Revenue Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2014 Figure 11-13: Western Europe WiMAX Subscribers (Million), 2009 2010 Figure 11-14: Western Europe WiMAX Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2014 Figure 11-15: Western Europe WiMAX Service Revenue (Billion US$), 2009 2010 Figure 11-16: Western Europe WiMAX Service Revenue Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2014 Figure 11-17: Eastern Europe & Russia WiMAX Subscribers (Million), 2009 2010 Figure 11-18: Eastern Europe & Russia WiMAX Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2014 Figure 11-19: Eastern Europe & Russia WiMAX Service Revenue (Billion US$), 2009 2010 Figure 11-20: Eastern Europe & Russia WiMAX Service Revenue Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2014 Figure 11-21: Middle East & Africa WiMAX Subscribers (Million), 2009 2010 Figure 11-22: Middle East & Africa WiMAX Subscribers Future Forecast (Million), 2011 2014 Figure 11-23: Middle East & Africa WiMAX Service Revenue (Billion US$), 2009 2010 Figure 11-24: Middle East & Africa WiMAX Service Revenue Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2014 Figure 12-1: Worldwide WiMAX Investments Plan by Countries, 2005 2013 Figure 13-1: Worldwide Operators Deploying LTE Figure 13-2: Worldwide WiMAX and LTE Deployment: April 2010 Figure 14-1: Worldwide Mobile IPTV Figure 14-2: Worldwide IPTV Subscribers & Future Forecast (Million), 2010 2014 Figure 14-3: Worldwide IPTV Market & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2010 2014 Figure 14-4: Worldwide Social Networking Users & Future Forecast (Million), 2010 2014 Figure 14-5: Worldwide Mobile Application Market & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2010 2015 Figure 14-6: Worldwide Mobile Marketing and Advertising Market (Billion US$), 2010 2014 Figure 14-7: Worldwide Location Based Service Market (Billion US$), 2007 2010 Figure 14-8: Worldwide Forecast for Location Based Service Market (Billion US$), 2011 2015 Figure 14-9: Worldwide Telematics Users & Future Forecast (Million), 2010 2015 Figure 14-10: Worldwide VoIP Market (Billion US$), 2008 2010 Figure 14-11: Worldwide VoIP Market Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2011 2015

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Figure 14-12: Worldwide 4G M2M Cellular Module Shipments & Future Forecast (Million), 2010 2014 Figure 14-13: Worldwide Data Service Market & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2010 2014 Figure 14-14: Worldwide Wireless Consumer Electronics Market & Future Forecast (Billion US$), 2010 2014

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List of Tables:
Table 3-1: Worldwide Comparison of 1G, 2G and 3G Technologies Table 3-2: Worldwide Comparison of 3G and 4G Technologies Table 6-1: Middle East & Africa Forecast for 4G Subscribers (Million) and Service Revenue (Million, US$), 2013 Table 12-1: Worldwide Investments in LTE Technology (Million US$), 2009 2014 Table 12-2: Worldwide Investment in WiMAX by Investors (Million US$), 2006 2010 Table 13-1: Worldwide LTE Network Commitments till 26 October, 2010
th

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