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Weekly Market Outlook

14 Jan 2012

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DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK 9th Jan 2012 - 13th Jan 2012 Weekly Markets
Sensex Nifty Gold(US$/oz) Re/US$ Dow Nasdaq FX Res (US$ Bn) 16,155 4,866 1,640.0 51.43 12,422 2,711 293.541 1.81% 2.36% 1.39% -2.35% 0.50% 1.38% -1.06%

SNAPSHOT
After commencing the first week of New Year with a bang, the benchmark indices have managed to extend the optimism for second straight week as they surged two percentage points and reclaimed the psychological 4,850 (Nifty) and 16,150 (Sensex) levels. The frontline indices rose for the third week in four as encouraging domestic economic indications along with abating worries over the Euro-zone sovereign debt woes. Market participants added positions with conviction on tentative improvement in risk appetite. The week started on a dull note as investors at large remained reluctant to build on long positions ahead of official start of the third quarter earnings season with Infosys' result and also announcement of monthly industrial output data. The key equity indices went through a lot of commotion on the penultimate trading session of the week and sank close to a percent, as the shockwaves spurred by Infosys's dismal guidance for the fourth quarter, outweighed the encouraging monthly IIP and weekly Inflation numbers.
1500 1000 500 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Jan 2012) 28 27 26 25 24 23 22

Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) Upto 13.01.12


Total Jan 2012 Total 2012
S o urc e : bs e india.c o m

FIIs
2183.2 2,183

DIIs
-1729.0 -1,729

0 2-Jan *NSE 3-Jan 4-Jan 5-Jan 6-Jan 9-Jan 10-Jan 11-Jan 12-Jan 13-Jan Volatility Index %

Cash Volume (Rs bn)

F & O Volume (Rs bn)

Weekly Sector Movement

Sectors
Auto Bankex CD CG FMCG Healthcare IT Metal Oil & Gas PSU Realty
WEEK AHEAD

Close
8,466 10,300 5,606 9,297 4,072 6,128 5,482 10,756 7,822 7,083 1,582

%
3.57 5.80 4.23 8.78 0.98 2.62 -6.73 10.04 1.74 6.09 13.88
India's annual industrial growth measured by index of industrial production (IIP) with an updated base of 2004-05, has surpassed all estimates to stage a sharp rebound to 5.9% pace in November to 167.4, as compared to 158.1 in the month of November 2010. The cumulative growth for the period April-November 2011-12 stands at 3.8% over the corresponding period of the previous year. India's weekly food inflation, measured by the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), extended the declining streak for the tenth week in a row and remained in negative zone for second straight week to -2.90%.

Airlines stocks will be buzzing next week as the government will take a decision on allowing cash strapped Kingfisher. Also, the Power sector will remain in limelight as the top power producers are likely to meet PM in next week to discuss various issues relating to their business. The markets will also take cue from the monthly WPI inflation data for December to be announced on January 14. There will be lots of result announcements in the next week to keep the markets buzzing. ING Vysya Bank, South Indian Bank, Tata Elxsi, Reliance Industrial Infra, HCL Technologies and Motilal Oswal will be among the many to announce their numbers.On the global front traders will be eyeing data of Producer Price Index from US on January 18, followed by Industrial Production and Housing Market Index. Later Consumer Price Index, Housing Starts, Jobless Claims data will be announced on January 19 and finally Existing Home Sales data on January 20. Overall sentiments seem to be improving at this point of time though 5030-5050 could be the key resistance zone. HAPPY TRADING...
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report For Private circulation Only For Our Clients Only

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

Weekly Market Outlook


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SENSEX 30-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 20th Jan 2012
SUPPORT SCRIP
Bajaj Auto Ltd Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. Bharti Airtel Ltd. Cipla Ltd. Coal India Ltd. DLF Ltd. GAIL (India) Ltd. HDFC Bank Ltd. Hero MotoCorp Ltd. Hindalco Industries Ltd. Hindustan Unilever Ltd. Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. ICICI Bank Ltd. Infosys Ltd. ITC Ltd. Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. Larsen & Toubro Ltd. Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. NTPC Ltd. Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd. Reliance Industries Ltd. State Bank Of India Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. Tata Motors Ltd. Tata Power Company Ltd. Tata Steel Ltd. Wipro Ltd.

CLOSE PRICE 1st 1405 264 329 335 332 192 368 462 1773 130 391 671 777 2554 205 492 1144 683 964 163 258 723 1765 102 507 1072 206 95 397 394 13.01.12 1429.55 266.80 334.55 337.70 343.60 196.60 373.45 469.30 1790.25 133.20 392.25 682.15 789.65 2585.55 206.75 502.90 1172.60 691.95 976.40 165.95 259.75 732.05 1777.15 103.40 512.95 1086.60 208.80 96.20 415.70 401.00 1st

RESISTANCE 2nd 1511 271 344 345 357 205 394 482 1835 138 396 706 821 2650 209 523 1207 707 1021 170 263 759 1812 107 529 1118 216 99 443 411 3rd 1576 276 354 352 376 214 410 496 1875 144 399 730 850 2714 212 543 1253 724 1055 175 266 782 1842 111 543 1148 222 102 476 423
INCLINATION

3rd 1316 256 314 324 302 179 346 441 1717 122 385 636 737 2459 200 460 1069 658 917 155 253 693 1723 96 487 1029 197 91 345 374

2nd 1381 261 324 331 320 188 362 455 1756 128 389 660 765 2523 203 481 1115 674 952 160 256 715 1753 100 501 1058 203 94 378 386

1470 269 339 341 350 201 384 476 1813 136 394 694 806 2618 208 513 1190 700 999 168 261 746 1795 105 521 1102 212 98 429 406

Neutral Positive Neutral Neutral Positive Positive Neutral Positive Neutral Positive Negative Neutral Positive Negative Positive Positive Positive Positive Negative Positive Neutral Neutral Positive Positive Neutral Negative Positive Positive Positive Neutral

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

Weekly Market Outlook


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NSE MIDCAP 50-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 20th Jan 2012
SCRIP 3rd SUPPORT 2nd
77 122 296 93 24 104 30 507 276 222 375 769 209 218 13 19 32 68 89 69 190 60 37 93 616 13 27 329 41 1980 90 147 404 79 44 67 55 66 82 310 91 14 593 176 1124 23 132 51 84 104

CLOSE PRICE 1st


79 131 334 94 25 105 30 512 281 225 383 774 214 222 14 20 33 70 90 70 192 61 38 95 627 14 28 332 42 1996 92 152 409 81 45 69 56 69 83 312 92 14 597 179 1142 24 135 52 85 107

13.01.12
80.70 139.40 370.90 95.00 24.90 107.30 30.75 516.20 285.15 227.20 391.30 778.20 217.95 225.50 14.39 21.15 34.00 72.55 90.95 71.05 194.65 62.45 38.30 97.60 637.75 14.82 28.60 334.65 42.95 2011.10 95.15 156.65 412.70 82.70 45.50 71.20 58.40 71.75 83.65 315.00 94.05 14.37 601.35 182.65 1160.75 24.40 137.65 52.30 86.75 110.75

1st
83 146 390 96 25 109 31 520 289 231 397 785 222 228 15 22 35 75 92 72 197 64 39 99 656 15 29 339 44 2031 97 164 416 85 46 72 60 76 85 318 96 15 606 187 1172 25 142 53 88 113

RESISTANCE 2nd
86 153 409 97 25 110 32 525 294 235 402 791 225 231 16 23 36 77 94 73 199 65 40 101 673 16 30 343 45 2050 99 172 420 87 47 74 61 80 86 322 98 15 611 192 1184 26 146 53 90 116

Market Cap
3rd
91 168 466 99 26 114 33 533 303 241 416 802 233 238 17 24 38 81 96 76 203 67 42 105 702 17 32 350 47 2085 104 184 428 90 49 77 64 87 88 328 102 15 620 200 1214 27 153 55 93 122

(Rs Crore)
17593 6638 2486 5316 6625 3124 1966 2150 6638 2839 10847 10327 2093 3434 2272 1283 1319 3040 8955 2183 8365 4743 1023 3955 14229 3568 1802 7028 1102 16882 664 11749 7122 1509 1511 1149 2720 1959 4796 8025 5816 2726 7658 16215 31812 6384 6357 2472 2870 2523

Adani Power Ltd. 73 Allahabad Bank 107 Alstom Projects India Ltd. 240 Andhra Bank 91 Ashok Leyland Ltd. 23 Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. 100 Bajaj Hindusthan Ltd. 29 BEML Ltd. 498 Bharat Forge Ltd. 267 CESC Ltd. 216 Cummins India Ltd. 361 DiviS Laboratories Ltd. 758 Educomp Solutions Ltd. 201 Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd. 212 GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd. 12 Hindustan Construction Company Ltd. 18 Hotel Leela Venture Ltd. 30 Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd. 64 IDBI Bank Ltd 86 India Cements Ltd. 67 Indian Bank 186 Indian Hotels Company Ltd. 58 IVRCL Ltd. 35 Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 90 JSW Steel Ltd. 588 Lanco Infratech Ltd. 12 Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. 26 Mphasis Ltd. 322 NCC Ltd. 39 Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd 1945 Patel Engineering Ltd. 85 Petronet LNG Ltd. 135 Piramal Healthcare Ltd. 396 Praj Industries Ltd. 76 Punj Lloyd Ltd. 42 Rolta India Ltd. 64 Shipping Corpn. Of India Ltd. 51 Sintex Industries Ltd. 59 Syndicate Bank 79 Tata Chemicals Ltd. 304 Tata Global Beverages Ltd 87 Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. 13 Tech Mahindra Ltd. 584 Titan Industries Ltd. 167 Ultratech Cement Ltd. 1094 Unitech Ltd. 22 United Phosphorus Ltd. 125 Vijaya Bank Ltd 50 Voltas Ltd. 81 Welspun Corp Ltd. 97

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

Weekly Market Outlook


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Ex-Date
16-Jan-12 17-Jan-12 20-Jan-12 20-Jan-12 24-Jan-12 24-Jan-12 25-Jan-12 25-Jan-12 27-Jan-12 27-Jan-12 27-Jan-12 30-Jan-12 30-Jan-12 31-Jan-12 1-Feb-12 2-Feb-12 9-Feb-12 10-Feb-12 15-Feb-12

Company Name
Siemens Limited Kale Consultants Limited Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited HCL Technologies Limited Wipro Limited Triveni Turbine Limited Torrent Power Limited Persistent Systems Limited Shree Cements Limited Gandhi Special Tubes Limited Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited MRF Limited Godrej Consumer Products Limited NTPC Limited Walchandnagar Industries Limited Bajaj Hindusthan Limited BF Utilities Limited KCP Limited Page Industries Limited

NSE- Symbol
SIEMENS KALECONSUL MOTILALOFS HCLTECH WIPRO TRITURBINE TORNTPOWER PERSISTENT SHREECEM GANDHITUBE TORNTPHARM MRF GODREJCP NTPC WALCHANNAG BAJAJHIND BFUTILITIE KCP PAGEIND

Purpose
DIVIDEND - RS.6/- PER SHARE SPECIAL INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.13.50 PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.20 PER SHARE INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND DIVIDEND RS 19 PER SHARE 3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND INTERIM DIVIDEND DIVIDEND-RE.1/- PER SHARE AGM /DIVIDEND RE 0.40 PER SHARE ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING INTERIM DIVIDEND 3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

Weekly Market Outlook


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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 13th Jan 2012
Total No. of Calls
25

Profitable Calls
21

Positional/Hold
1

Exit/Stop Loss
3

Success Rate
87.50%

NAME
Varun Gupta Pashupati Nath Jha Vikram Singh

DESIGNATION
Head - Research Research Analyst Research Analyst

E-MAIL
varungupta@moneysukh.com pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com vikram_research@moneysukh.com

This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd (hereinafter referred as MSFL) is not soliciting any action based on it. This report is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any person in any form. The report is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete. MSFL or any of its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. MSFL or any of its affiliates or employees do not provide, at any time, any express or implied warranty of any kind, regarding any matter pertaining to this report, including without limitation the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement. The recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations. MSFL and/or its affiliates and/or employees may have interests/positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. MSFL reserves the right to make modifications and alterations to this statement as may be required from time to time. Nevertheless, MSFL is committed to providing independent and transparent recommendations to its clients, and would be happy to provide information in response to specific client queries.

Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd


Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com Website: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 /

NSE: INB230781431 PMS Regn No. INP000002387

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