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Harpreet Singh Bedi Sr. Lecturer, Department of Management Lovely School of Business Lovely Professional University Mobile no- 9855267392 Harpreet.bedi_lim@yahoo.com
Objectives In this article an attempt has been made (i) To examine the presence of trends and progress of M&As in Indian corporation. (ii) To analyze year-wise and industry-wise variance in number and amount of M&A deals. Hypotheses To cover the above objectives following hypotheses have been formulated: 1. There is no significant difference in number and amount of M&A deals in between years and between industries. 2. There is no significant difference between M&A progress in manufacturing and service sector
The industry-wise trends in number and amount of M&A deals between 2000 and 2007 are presented in the Table 1 and Table 2 and the industry-wise trends and progress of M&As have been analysed on this basis
Food and Beverages: India is the world's second largest producer of food next to China, and has the potential of being the biggest with the food and agricultural sector. The Indian food market is estimated at over US$ 182 billion, and accounts for about two thirds of the total Indian retail market. According to industry experts, the market for carbonated drinks in India is worth US$ 1.5 billion while the juice and juice-based drinks market accounts for US$ 0.25 billion. Growing at a rate of 25 per cent, the fruitdrinks category is one of the fastest growing in the beverages market. The Indian food processing industry plays a significant role in diversifaction of agriculture products, generates employment, enhances income of farmers and creates a surplus for export of agro-foods. The important reason of the M&A activity initiated in this industry are deregulation, restructuring disinvestment, restructuring by parent companies and presence of foreign players.
Textiles Industry: Until the economic liberalization of Indian economy, the India Textile Industry was predominantly unorganized industry. The opening up of Indian economy post 1990s led to a stupendous growth of this industry. India Textile Industry is one of the largest textile industries in the world. Today, Indian economy is largely dependent on textile manufacturing and exports. India earns around 27% of the foreign exchange from exports of textiles. Further, India Textile Industry contributes about 14% of the total industrial production of India. Furthermore, its contribution to the gross domestic product of India is around 3% only. Textile Industry involves around 35 million workers directly and it accounts for 21% of the total employment generated in the economy. However the important reasons for the M&As in these sectors are: growth of power looms and handlooms sector at the cost of mill sector which has ultimately resulted in making them sick and unviable. This has led to an increase in the closure of mills; in addition, continued and persistent use of old plant and machinery
has led to low profitability in the mill sector and thereby forcing some of mills to closedowns.
Chemicals, Drugs and Pharmaceuticals: Under this category companies operating in the industrial groups of chemicals, drugs, pharmaceutical, cosmetics petrochemicals and rubbers have been taken into account for analyzing the trend and progress. The drug & pharmaceutical industry in India meets around 70% of the country's demand for bulk drugs, drug intermediates, pharmaceutical formulations, chemicals, tablets, capsules, orals and injectibles. There are about 250 large Pharmaceuticals manufacturers and suppliers and about 8000 Small Scale Pharmaceutical & Drug Units which form the core of the pharmaceutical industry in India (including 5 Central Public Sector Units). These bulk drugs and pharmaceuticals manufacturers produce the complete range of pharmaceutical formulations i.e. medicines ready for consumption by patients and about 350 bulk drugs i.e. chemicals having therapeutic value and used for production of pharmaceutical formulations. Owing to a significant increase in Pharmaceuticals exports, India's USD 3.1 billion pharmaceutical industries are growing at the rate of 14 percent per year. It is one of the largest and most advanced among the developing countries. Even the number of pharmaceuticals exporters, manufacturers and suppliers is increasing tremendously, the factors that contributed to increase in M&A activity in these sectors are: Introduction of the process Patent Act in 1970, which required Indian companies to recognize international process patents. This has given an opportunity for the Indian companies to grow. This growth is associated with M&As and the emergence of WTO has brought about fundamental changes in the pharmaceutical industry. Trade-related aspects of intellectual property rights (TRIPS) of WTO require all Indian companies to comply with international patents. This has mainly happened in the form of M&As.
Nonmetallic Mineral Products: In this sector, cement and ceramics manufacturers are the primary players. The factors responsible for M&As are: before 1999 cement industry faced many problems like liquidity crisis, inadequate expenditure on infrastructure and costs of inputs. South-east Asian crisis brought narrowed profitability
resulting to the bigger players withstanding the pressure of lower profitability and smaller and marginal players closing down or merging with big players and trying to appear favorable for a takeover. National Quadrilateral Road Project and State Government Policies to construct the irrigation projects could be other factors responsible for this boom.
Basic Metal, Alloy and Steel: This is one of the oldest and traditional industry sectors in India. Companies operating in metals, alloy, steel and related concerns are grouped under this head. The factors contributing to M&As in this sector are: Slowdown of the economy during the year 1996-97, the capital markets, remaining depressed for the past couple of years, drying up sources of investment funds for industry, small and medium corporate finding it difficult to access institutional funds and export growth subjected to competitive pressure from imports.
Information Technology and Telecom: Companies operating in the IT, Software, telecom and convergence sector are clubbed in industry, the central government has formed an independent department of information technology. Since the removal of restrictions on foreign capital investment and industrial de-licensing, Indias Telecom industry has shown large growth The Important factors for increasing M&As in this sector are: Consistent efforts were made by the department of telecom and its constituent organizations for upgrading and expanding the telecom networks and services and the Initiation of internet and web based developments and introduction of cell phone in India;.
Automobiles and Automobile Ancillaries: Companies operating in automobile sector, locomotives, transport and spares have been included under this head. The Indian transport industry has been gradually playing a catalytic role for producing a wide variety of vehicles, passenger cars. Important factors responsible for an increase in M&As in this sector are: Globilalization is pushing global auto majors to consolidate, to upgrade technology, enlarge product range, access new markets and to cut costs.
Competitive pressure and presence of global players have resulted in a number of M&As in this sector.
Energy, Power, Gas and Oil: Companies operating in the field of energy, power, gas and oil are included in this group. Important factors responsible for an increase in M&As in this sector are, low rate of growth in power generation depressed the growth rate of industrial production and has necessitated immediate attention of big
companies like Reliance Industries and due to unavailability of power and frequent disruptions have given an impetus to M&As in this sector..
Financial Services: Companies operating in the field of finance, banking leasing and financial consultancy services are taken into account for this trends and progress analysis. Important factors responsible for an increase in M&As in this sector are: Boom in consumer spending, Liberalization of the economy, Greater liquidity of debt instruments, gradual opening up for direct investment by foreign pension/mutual funds in the Indian companies abroad.
Press of M&As In Manufacturing and service-sectors Table 1 and Table 3 respectively shows the industry-wise M&As which is divided into manufacturing and service sectors for the analysis of trends and progress in number and value of deals.
2002 90 59 180 27
2003 83 61 153 26
2004 70 61 159 24
2005 54 65 146 34
2006 74 67 124 46
2007 46 37 120 42
Metals
45
316 1103 275 229 61 151 4387 1227 676 1753 3866 8353
Machinery (Electric, Non- 274 Electric, and Electronic) Automobiles & Ancillaries 48 Miscellaneous Manufacturing Diversified Electricity & Mining Manufacturing Sector Total Financial services Computer software Telecom Other Services Service sector Total 35 19 17 842 173 & 174 131 478
Table 2
t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference Df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail Variable 1 626.7142857 19866.57143 7 13251.7381 0 12 1.209587481 0.124863998 1.782287548 0.249727996 2.178812827 Variable 2 552.2857143 6636.904762 7
Source:- Calculated on the basis of table no. 1 Number of Deals: The progress and trends are studied in number of deals of M&As by using the t-test and Anova analysis respectively. The number of deals of manufacturing sector is higher than the service sector in the first four years of the study but it becomes
reverse trend in the last three years of the study. Therefore, it can be concluded that there is no significant relationship between these two industries. Table 3: Industry-wise Trends and Progress of M&As in India (in Rs. Cr.)
INDUSTRY 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 TOTAL
Food & Beverages Textiles Chemicals Non-Metallic Mineral Products Metals Machinery (Electric, Non-Electric, and Electronic) Automobiles & Ancillaries Miscellaneous Manufacturing Diversified Electricity & Mining Manufacturing Sector Total
Computer software 1812 & Telecom Financial Services 1375 Other Services 6769
27454
34800
22556
60003
103879
108142
196270
553104
Table 4
t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances
Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail
Variable 1 Variable 2 33762.85714 45226.28571 351092263.5 1964452653 7 7 1157772458 0 12 -0.630284961 0.270162615 1.782287548 0.54032523 2.178812827
Value of Deals: The progress and trends are studied in value of deals of M&As by using the t-test and Anova analysis respectively. The value of deals of manufacturing sector is higher than the service sector in the first four years of the study but it becomes reverse trend in the last three years of the study. Therefore, it can be concluded that there is no significant relationship between these two industries.
Analysis of Variance of M&As Two-way ANOVA examines the variation between rows and columns. In this study we have calculated the variation between years and between industries by selecting number and value of M&A deals in India and result have been presented in Table 5 and 6 respectively.
df
MS F P-value F crit 12 38216.32 35.95658 1.39E-25 1.889242 6 2648.128 2.491544 0.030184 2.227404 72 1062.846 90
Number of Deals: It is concluded that the number of deals between years remained more or less similar but between industries the same is not true. Table 6: Two-way ANOVA Sector-wise Value of Deals of M&As in India (Rs. Cr.)
ANOVA Source of Variation Industries Year Error Total
df
MS F P-value F crit 12 492731006.9 4.443951 2.73E-05 1.889242 6 276745522.6 2.495974 0.029928 2.227404 72 110876779.6 90
Source:- Complied from table no 3 Value of Deals: It is concluded that the value of deals between the years and between industries is not similar, and there is a growth in the value of deals of M&As in India over the period. Reasons for decrease in M & A in India From the above analysis we observed that the number of M&A deals decreased from 1,320 to 1,077, i.e. decreased by 18.5 per cent, in manufacturing sector it has decreased from 842 to 442, i.e. decreased by 47.5 per cent. The following are the possible reasons for decrease in the number of deals of M&A in India during the last couple of years. 1. The World wide economic slowdown is one of the most important factor for decrease in the no. of M&A in India during the last couple of years. 2. The various research studies in past shows that management cannot take it for granted that synergy can be generated and profits can be increased simply by going for mergers and acquisitions. 3. Bubble in the Financial market during the period of 2004-07 results in the over valuation in the stock prices almost all of the companies. 4. Further, the number of deals that fell through in the first 10 months of 2009 is less than that in 2007, experts and analysts say the overwhelming trend is of slowing M&A (merger and acquisition) activity in the background of drying credit lines, plunging market capitalizations and global economic uncertainty.
5. The environment also makes it very difficult for the companies involved in a transaction to arrive at a bidding price, Hon added, because the volatility in stock and credit markets had skewed traditional parameters used to arrive at this figure.
Findings
From the above study it is concluded that the 1. Total amount of M&A deals increased by 615 per cent during 2001-07. 2. The amount of M&A deals of manufacturing sector increased by 272 per cent, in service sector increased tremendously by 1,218 per cent. 3. In case of financial services increased from Rs. 1375 crore to Rs. 17205 crore during 2001-07. 4. However the total number of M&A deals decreased from 1,320 to 1,077, i.e. decreased by 18.5 per cent, in manufacturing sector it has decreased from 842 to 442, i.e. decreased by 47.5 per cent, in service sector increased from 478 to 635, i.e. increased by 32.9 per cent and in financial services it was fluctuating. 5. Even with decrease in the number of deals of M&A in India during the last couple of years the position of India fares better than some developed countries in terms of M&As. The size of completed M&A deals for India had declined by 25%, according to an 9 October 2009 Thomson Reuters reportexactly in line with the global average and significantly better than a 28% decline for the US, 57% for France and 32% for the UK. References: 1. Boston Consulting Group research report, The Brave new world of M&A How to create value from Mergers and Acquisitions, July 2007, International Research Journal of Finance and Economics - Issue 22 (2008) 203. 2. Campa, Jose and Simi Kedia. 1999. Explaining the diversification discount.
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