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EOs VA Boundary Option

Vertical Alignment

Why are We Here?


Why are you here? to alleviate over crowding at CRHS Why am I here and why listen to me? I accurately and logically represent the data
Oak Brook Resident, taxpayer, with kids in LISD and RRISD (McNeil and Cedar Valley) I have 3 Masters Degrees, one of them a Master of Information Management from Washington University in STL. I am a 13+ year Business Intelligence Professional: I have over a decade of CXO level presentations and recommendations. See client list and history next slide I can objectively look at the data, not just for my neighborhood or elementary school, but as I have shown, repeatedly, The ENTIRE District.

The VA plan which vertically aligns RRISD and stabilizes capacity against growth for 9 years before the likelihood of another HS Boundary Change, and saves Million$ is supported by families in the following areas/communities:

Wells Branch Stone Oak/Mayfield Ranch Walsh Trails Great Oaks Elem (yes, Great Oaks too) Brushy Creek Elem Cedar Valley (Oak Brook, Avery, Cat Hallow, Brushy Creek, etc.) McNeil
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Educational Background
M.H.A. (Master of Health Administration) with Honors, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, May 1998.

M.I.M. (Master of Information Management), Emphasis in Database Structure and Management , Washington University School of Engineering and Applied Science, St. Louis, MO, May 1998. M.S. Human Anatomy & Physiology (equivalent) The Ohio State University College of Medicine; Medical Education Career Pathway (MEDPATH), Columbus, OH, 1993-1996.

B.S. Zoology (Minors in Human Nutrition & Psychology), The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, June 1992.

Current & Previous Clients

Duke University Medical Center

HS Boundary Moves Solved Now and Later (again)


Realigning Boundaries Back Now
Repairs unnecessary issues presented after the last boundary decision

2008 Enrollment Data, on hand, was overlooked that showed the population bulge in CR that lead to this boundary change needed WE DIDNT NEED TO BE HERE
The boundaries presented in 2009 are still solid, true, viable, statistically sound and accurate providing capacity and stability to the District for an additional 9 years! The District will again be re-established and stable for years to come and ready and able to handle growth in the obvious areas (currently & with the current proposal this is not the case) Discontinues HS Legacies that should not have been started - The longer they are allowed to continue, the harder and more painful future changes become to families and the communities (rightfully so)

Safer = No one will cross IH 35


MS Vertical Alignment is restored for ALL Schools as well as primed for High School #6 in 9+ years Is Proactive: The capacity is there to proactively prepare for growth & still remain stable/strong

Planning ahead, moving to Next HS Boundary (for HS #6) is practically seamless


All Elementary & Middle Schools that feed HS#6 are completely aligned
All District HS schools still thrive and survive and are prepped to handle growth and a boundary change for HS#6 in 9+ years, if/when needed - but in a turn key fashion No Boundary Committee 5 Needed

This is not about SES or UIL


District Plan SES RTW Plan SES*

HS CRHS
MHS RRHS SPHS WW

WB Only 32.94%
20.5% 18.3% 39.42% 11.3%

HS CRHS
MHS RRHS SPHS WW

WB Only 30.5%
18.2% 21.4% 43% 11.3%

33.08%
21.11% 18.3% 39.42% 11.32%

33%
21% 18% 40% 11.3%

* as calculated by The District

I called and spoke with Darryl Beasley in the Athletics Department of UIL who confirmed that if a student/athlete is moved schools because of a District zoning change, the student/athletes UIL Eligibility is NOT AFFECTED. This information can be found on the UILTexas website under the Constitution and Contest Rules, Subchapter M, Section 440 b(2) (page 3-4) www.uiltexas.org/policy/constitution/catergory/constitution-general www.uiltexas.org/files/constitution/uil-ccr-subchapter-m.pdf

This is Not About Capacity or 3000 Students


HS CR RR MN SP WW HS Capacity @ 3000 Actual Capacity @ 3000 2440 2932 2366 2454 2612 3000 3000 3000 3000 3000 123% 102% 127% 122% 115%

HS
CR RR MN SP WW

Capacity 125%
2440 2942 2366 2454 2612 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25

Value
3050 3678 2958 3068 3265

130%
1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3

Value
3172 3825 3076 3190 3396 Not all schools share the same capacity volume restrictions or Scary numbers 7

You cant predict the future, but you can certainly prepare for it!
Adding in WB

CRHS in VA 2012 = 2921

In 2009 The District Predicted 2455 enrollment for 2012 for CRHS! (a 460 student difference)
2008 => 2932 2012 => 2881 (District*) 2012 => 2921 (VA Plan)
* District Moves Berkman/CD Fulkes, I do not

Source: District Boundary Presentation for G2 032009

Tere McCanns (CFO, private industry) (School Boundary Committee) Vetted District Enrollment Data

12+ years of District Enrollment Data (2012-2024)


Based on actual students in RRISD in school NOW, by year, by school, by grade (K-12) Leveraging generally acceptable practices and statistical analysis More Accurate Cohort survival ratios, longer aging and averaging, and believable adjustable growth rates, etc. The data presented from BOTH plans to the BC by Mr. Flores on 1/12 was inaccurate That data was used to judge and determine support for/or against each plan That data is still not accurate today. District stated Capacity does not include portables (I do later)

Bigger image Next Slide


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VA

Capacity does not include portables (I do later)

93 acres 80 acres

47 acres

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District Plan Guarantees Boundary Alignment needed 2016

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9 years likely before next boundary change, even longer with portables, with enough students in 2020 and beyond for HS #6

Mandatory boundary changes for ALL Schools (including WW) Will have to bus kids West across 35. (East side cant shift any or take it, nor can RRHS)
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VA Boundary suggestion 1) Move Great Oaks


boundary back to and reunite ALL CV students at McNeil, include Horizon given ES, MS feeder pattern

2) WB volume to
RRHS & Stone Oak/ Mayfield Ranch back to RRHS to back fill the Great Oaks Students and prep for future

3) Vertically align all


of Grisham to Westwood
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*Enrollment based on Sept, 2011 Enrollment Report **Capacity does not include portables

Boundary move suggestion current (2012) (includes SPHS/CRHS) Campus *Enrollment **Capacity %age Portables
Cedar Ridge 2881 (4 grades) McNeil Round Rock Stony Point Westwood Total 2383 2730 2308 2602 12904 2440 2366 2942 2454 2612 12814 118% 101% 93% 94% 100% 101% 10 12 10 9 17 58

Option VA Data (2012) Campus McNeil Round Rock *Enrollment


(4 grades)

**Capacity 2440 2366 2942

%age 120% 107% 92%

Portables 10 12 10

Cedar Ridge 2921 2532 2712

Stony Point Westwood Total

2136 2602 12903

2454 2612 12814

87% 100% 101%

9 17 58
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*Enrollment based on Sept, 2011 Enrollment Report **Capacity does not include portables

48*$14000 = $672,000/year
Capacity does not include Portables (22 per)

Boundary move suggestion current (2011) (includes SPHS/CRHS) Campus McNeil Round Rock Stony Point Westwood Total Campus McNeil Round Rock *Enrollment 2383 2730 2308 2602 12904 Enrollment 2532 2712 **Capacity 2440 2366 2942 2454 2612 12814 **Capacity 2440 2366 2942 %age 118% 101% 93% 94% 100% 101% %age 120% 107% 92% Portables 10 12 10 9 17 58 Portables 10 8 0
Adjusted w/ Portables

Cedar Ridge 2881

2660 2630 3162 2652 2986 14090

108% 91% 86% 87% 87% 90%

Option VA Data (2012) with portables adjusted


Adjusted w/ Portables

Cedar Ridge 2921

2660 2542 2942 2454 2612 13210

110% 100% 92% 87% 100% 98%


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Stony Point Westwood Total

2136 2602 12903

2454 2612 12814

87% 100% 101%

0 0 18

*Enrollment based on Sept, 2011 Enrollment Report **Capacity does not include portables

48*$14000 = $672,000/year
Capacity does not include Portables (22 per)

Boundary move suggestion current (2012) (includes SPHS/CRHS) Campus McNeil Round Rock Stony Point Westwood Total Campus McNeil Round Rock *Enrollment **Capacity %age Portables Readjust Portable Allocation to satisfy capacity needs Cedar Ridge 2881 2440 118% 10 2383 2730 2308 2602 12904 Enrollment 2532 2712 2366 2942 2454 101% 93% 94% 12 10 9 17 58
Adjusted w/ Portables

2660 2630 3162 2652 2986 14090

108% 91% 86% 87% 87% 90%

2612portables saved = $560,000 100% 40


(11.7 teacher salaries @ $48,000 avg) 12814 101%

Option VA Data (2012) with portables adjusted **Capacity 2440 2366 2942 %age 120% 107% 92% Portables 10 8 0
Adjusted w/ Portables

Cedar Ridge 2921

2660 2542 2942 2454 2612 13210

110% 100% 92% 87% 100% 98%


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Stony Point Westwood Total

2136 2602 12903

2454 2612 12814

87% 100% 101%

0 0 18

VA Allows For Choice:


No current HS students have to move! NONE!

If you are already attending a particular HS and are happy there, YOU CAN STAY WHERE YOU ARE as a transfer and all students in the family will be allowed to stay in the school if the family choses to stay as a transfer (regardless of grade). In addition, because of the previous boundary change the District should continue to provide bus service for 3 years.

If you are already enrolled in HS and CHOOSE to move to the new school and live within the bussing distance guidelines - You will be bussed to the new school. ALL MIDDLE SCHOOLS STAY TOGETHER ALL Existing Middle School Students will STAY WITH THEIR MIDDLES SCHOOL CLASSMATES and be zoned to HS together as leading Educators have strongly suggested is in the Best Interest 18 of the Students.

STAY WHERE YOU ARE


No one has to move high schools. Yes, NO ONE Stay where you currently are enrolled and attending, as a transfer with bus service OR Choose, as a family, for your son/daughter to go where the boundary change puts them and stay with ALL of their middle school classmates All Middle School students stay together throughout the entire District
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100 % Vertical Alignment MS to HS with VA


Current - verified Cedar Ridge CD Fulkes Chisholm* Ridgeview McNeil Cedar Valley* Deerpark Round Rock Cedar Valley* Chisholm* Walsh* Stony Point Hernandez Hopewell Walsh* West Wood Canyon Vista Grisham District - Proposed

VA 100% Aligned
Cedar Ridge CD Fulkes Ridgeview McNeil Cedar Valley Deerpark Round Rock Chisholm Walsh Stony Point Hernandez Hopewell West Wood Canyon Vista Grisham

Cedar Ridge

CD Fulkes*
Ridgeview McNeil Cedar Valley* Deerpark Round Rock Cedar Valley* Chisholm* Walsh* Stony Point

CD Fulkes*
Hernandez Hopewell Walsh*
West Wood Canyon Vista Grisham

* Split due to last boundary change

20 * Additional Split due to proposed boundary change

Why is the District Administration proposing something that moves further away from their stated views?
Dr. Chavezs sentiments expressed at School Boundary Committee meeting -

Vertical Alignment is the best solution for the District, but is difficult to achieve.
Students who develop their relationships, especially in middle school, need to be able to move as a group to high school, because
think about it, they will be going to one middle school and then we would throw them into a big high school where they would have to reestablish those relationships where as at least at a minimum, when you are moving from middle school to high school the transition wont be as challenging (if you are together). That is my perspective as an educator. Trustee Dr. Linelle ClarkBrown, RRISD School Board Meeting, April 7, 2009

* Split due to last boundary change

* Additional Split due to proposed boundary change

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Get Our Ducks in a Row with VA


Youve made amends AND given families and individuals choice to stay or move Youve realigned vertical feeder patterns for the ENTIRE District - Middle to High School Youve reduced portables and overcrowding Youve saved $$ for educational improvements teacher salaries, other district employees or infrastructure Youve realigned with community support and natural boundaries (IH35 and 183)

Youve minimalized disturbance ACROSS THE DISTRICT and prepared yourself for 7-10 yrs. NET ZERO MOVEMENT across the District for all area HS students. Vertical Alignment for ALL Middle Schools .
Keep CD Fulkes/Berkman at CRHS for vertical alignment & to prep for future growth in Stony Point HS Area with minimal movement later Horizons now feeding Elsa England and then CV should now go to McNeil All of Grisham should feed Westwood

ALL Middle school students in the District stay together to the same High School.

Option VA 2015 Data Campus McNeil Round Rock Stony Point Westwood Total

Readjust Portable Allocation to satisfy capacity needs as they arrive Portables 10 10 0 0 0 20


Adjusted w/ Portables

*2015 Enrollment **Capacity %age 2440 2366 2942 2454 2612 12814 117% 121% 104% 99% 102% 108% 2862 3049 2424 2671 13862

Cedar Ridge 2856

2660 2586 2942 2454 2612 13254

107% 111% 104% 99% 102% 105%

38 portables saved = $532,000 (11.1 teacher salaries @ $48,000 avg)

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Option VA 2019 Data Campus McNeil Round Rock Stony Point Westwood Total

Readjust Portable Allocation to satisfy capacity needs as they arrive Portables 12 12 10 4 0 38


Adjusted w/ Portables

*2019 Enrollment **Capacity %age 2440 2366 2942 2454 2612 12814 122% 124% 118% 119% 95% 115% 2944 3468 2924 2469 14788

Cedar Ridge 2983

2704 2630 3162 2542 2612 13650

110% 112% 110% 115% 95% 108%

20 portables saved = $280,000 (5.83 teacher salaries @ $48,000 avg)

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New HS #6 Almost zero buses 1) New HS Feeder, minimal bussing

2) E of 183 from Westwood reunited to McNeil.

Overall Growth of Kids at Desks now in suspected areas, prepared for others, even unexpected
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Option VA buys the district some serious time (9-10+ years) on The East & The West Side of IH35. VA also prepares RRISD for growth (IF and) when it happens for many years to come in a proactive manner East OR West of IH35
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Vertical Alignment Restored


(again)
All Elementary Schools feed the same HS #6 Boundary. The new middle school that goes along with the HS will maintain that consistent vertically aligned feeder pattern as well, whenever that is needed.

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Vertical Alignment
Satisfies the Boundary Committees Charter to relieve the overcrowding at Cedar Ridge HS. (The ONLY Item On The Charter regarding HS Students) Satisfies the Districts and Boards desire to have minimal student movement of currently enrolled HS students. Has NET ZERO forced movement of ANY current HS Student Vertically Aligns ALL District Middle Schools to stay together to a single High School. Creates room for transfers, across the District Is a 9+ year plan setting expectations and is fiscally responsible
Money saved could be spent on improving educational programs, teachers, employees, infrastructure VA and data show that there is enough data and capacity to follow a 9 year growth plan and not need a new HS, given current and projected growth until 2020 or 2021, if even then.

Yes, I just said 9+ years. (12+ if you count the other boundaries in plans proposed in 2009 that are still holding true) Moves Portables not People
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Thank you for your service, your time, and attention.


You can reach me with any questions or follow up needs and/or further analysis
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