From: Morten Haug Emilsen Sent: MonAug 09 17:51:48201O To: Wall, Dave Subject RE: BP IncidentInvestigation lmportance: Normal

Attachments: PressureBumps.pps Da'r'e, I'm in Houstonandare happyto seerhat our rnaincorrclusions unchanged. flow pathis throughlhe shoe. are The thervellgot underbalanced20:50.In additio4 thereported at gainof39 bbl bets,een 20:50and21:08matches quite (this information$'asnot alailable last time I nas hcrc). tcll with the simulations We had a hard time explainingthe pressure bumpe affer 2l:30, and our initial assumption that rig crewtried to was closethe annular.At the same time we had a hard time explaininghorvtheycouldstrugglewith a leaking annularin nearly20 minutesbeforethey wentually closedthe VBR. This haschanged, I cm agree it makesmoresns6 and as seen fiom the grys at the rig floor. Howeter,I am not convinced the first pressure that build-up (21:30-2l;35) is caused hydrodynamic by conditionsin the *'ellbore (moreheary 14ppg mudbeingpushed the backsideof the drillpipe replacingthe 8.6 / 14 ppg mud) on pressure u'hile the second build-up (21:42- 2 l:47) is caused a partly sealingannular^ by The cuncs aretoo similar too be caused two differentmechanisms. thcy are.it is incredible In detail, the (If by l). prcssurc build-upsconlaintwo gradicnts, lattcr slightly stccpcr thc than thc first onc,bcforcthcy arc flattcning oul. Enclosed a coupleof slidesshowinghow similar they are. is This detail at the very endwill no1change main conclusions. the Aryway, I am hereto reviewthe new simulauons andupdate report nry accordingly, in that respect am lookingfor moreinformfiionto be oonvinced this is and I that the case. The changes madeto my original modelis that theymovedthe restrictionfrom the BOPto surfac. In addilion, Ok. tley reduced net payfrom 15to 13fl to hold backthe gas.Ok. The gasreached the surface little bit too earl.v the a in original work. The pressure declineseen rvhile pumpingat a steady right beforethq shutdorvnthe pumpsat rate 2l:30 cannot, the nervsimulations, reproduced for be withoutplayingwith a reslriction surfhc. at Initially this decline n'asreproduced gasreachingthe backside by ofthe DP and hence cause lighter oolumnon the backside. a Accordingto the new simulations, first gasreaches the surface 2l:47 (no GasBusteror l'ent line is modeled at that u'ill cause additionaldelayin gassurfacing).this is little bit too lateaccordingto gasalarmandwitnessstatemenls regardingnoise.AIso,the gain from the new simulations shows2Ebbl at 2 I :08,a little bit on the low side. I readthe Chapterin the reportdealingwith the CFD modelingandtried 1ogeta feelingfor the timing requiredfrom slart of thc rclcascl,othc mostlikcly mndition for ignition and cxplosion,that is gcrinsidc thc LEL - UEL cnrrclopc. Plotsu'erepresented both for 190and 240 seconds. Assume time is relatedto first gasal surface. ths My interpretation that it couldbe 3-4 minutesof florv beforethe first eralosionoccuned,mostlikely al21:49. is As youhaveseen, modeling the results verysensitive theamount localionofthe hydrocaftons the are to and in *ellbore, and smallerchanges chokingefects and well productivityrvill alfect the results. wfi. Further,rvewill prohbly not gct any closcrby modclingthc rcal incidcnt rvhcrcvariationsin inflow duc to ccmcntchanncls. pop-off skin efrets, wiper plug movements couldhaveinlluencedthe florv. My main concrnis though,that ve arenolv etc. erplaining t*o similar pressure build-upsrvith two differentmechanisms. I havea hardtime supporting and that conclusion. I heardthat you areon ]'our $'ayoverhere.andwe might hare timc for a chatbeforeI travelbackhomeon Thursday. This nasjust to give you my commnt the newinformationjust received. on Anv feedb.rck be appreciated. will

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Thanks, Bestregards, Morlen

--Original Message--From:Wall, DaveI mailto:dave.wall@bp.com] l S e n t : 6 . j u2i 0 1 0 5 : 3 1 l To: Mortcn tlaug Emilsen Subjea:RE: BP IncidentInvestigalion Morten. to I Yep I ambackin Houston. havebeencatchingup todayand havebeenbriefedon Fridayscall, you'll be pteased knorvthat the sensitilitiesrvorkisjust validatingthe goodn'ork 1'oudid. Theyaregoingto do a little moredetailed theyhavebasically but modellingofthe annulars the basicbuilding blocksaresoundand overthe weekend validatedthe work-vouhavedone. I'll work rvith this tcamto do thc detailedwork. Thanksfor all 1'ourhelp and havea fantasticholiday. Dave David Wall VPHSE&IM & EPT - HSE.Operations Engineering 077481E(X28 ----4riginal Message--From:MortenHaugEmilsenI mailto:Morten.Haug.Emilsen.'@addenerg-l.no] 06 Sent: July201013:08 To: Wall, Dave Re: Subject: BP lncidentIm'estigation Dave.goodto hearfrom 1'ou.Are you backin Houston? ttith mebut do not think the 14" Diverterrvill createany in I'm c,urrently Connes did not bring mv computer and on significantbackpressur the Ettem. and and tlale hada conference nith Kent Corser the BOPteamregiudingsomeissues a grry'fromSPTgrouphas call sensitir{ties. beenhired lo run sortre Scntfrom my iPad rwote: "Wall, Dare" <dave.wall@bp.com> On 6. juli 2010.at 17.33, > Morten, ] , *o* your on your holidaysbut I havebeenasked do a little more 1o

> u'ork on the Well Inllow modelling.We would like rc provethat by of > diverting the 14" Startroard Diverlerline thattlre release to

BP.HZN-BLYOO37551
BPD231-001949

> hydrocartons rvouldhatr beento a safblocationand theretbre the > explosionandfire would nol haveoccurred, ifthe gasdid ignite or > it wouldbe in a safelocation.The key issueto checkis, u'hatwould > lhe backpressure havebeengoinglhroughthis I 4" line. Tfue can > prolt thc pressure didn't excced equipment any failure point thenwe > canassert of the gaswould havesafelyrcnted to a safelocationall > Couldyou please meknow if you could run the modeland do a let > pressure for us from 2l:30 to 22:00fus assuming teamdosed plot the > thediverter opened thestarboard and to diverter at 2l:30 hrs. line > All otherparamcters suchaspartially closingannularsandsealing > VBRs shouldremainunchanged. > If you couldcall to discuss wouldbe great,my UK mobilenumber thal > is shown below. > Thanls > Dave > Darid Wall > VPHSE& lM > EPT - HSE,Operations Engineering & > 0774818U28

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