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EC4004 Lecture 18

Markets & The Macroeconomy

Dr Stephen Kinsella
Today
Households

Recap

Constructing the BC
SULIS Test:
Opens Friday 2pm
Closes Friday 2pm
SULIS Test:
Opens Friday 2pm
Closes Friday 2pm
Exam:
Friday 12 Dec 4pm
PE HALL/GYM
SULIS Test:
Opens Friday 2pm
Closes Friday 2pm
Exam:
Friday 12 Dec 4pm
PE HALL/GYM
Extra Lecture Wk 13
Thursday 12-1
Concert Hall
086 399 83 06
Labour: L (w)
Households
Capital: K (r)
Products
Profit=
PY-(wL+rK)
Products
Bonds
Profit=
iB
PY-(wL+rK)
Products
Bonds
Profit=
iB
PY-(wL+rK)

Labour
w/P*Ls
Products
Bonds
Profit=
iB
PY-(wL+rK)

Capital Labour
r/P - δ w/P*Ls
Constructing the Budget Constraint
Constructing the Budget Constraint

Quantities and prices determined on four


markets will determine household income.
Constructing the Budget Constraint

Quantities and prices determined on four


markets will determine household income.
Constructing the Budget Constraint

Quantities and prices determined on four


markets will determine household income.

Total sources of funds must equal the total uses


of funds.
Constructing the Budget Constraint

Quantities and prices determined on four


markets will determine household income.

Total sources of funds must equal the total uses


of funds.
Constructing the Budget Constraint

Quantities and prices determined on four


markets will determine household income.

Total sources of funds must equal the total uses


of funds.

This equality is the household budget


constraint.
Income
Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Profits

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Profits
Households earn profit—an excess of revenue over costs—
from their business activities.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Profits
Households earn profit—an excess of revenue over costs—
from their business activities.
• Y= A· F( Kd, Ld )

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Profits
Households earn profit—an excess of revenue over costs—
from their business activities.
• Y= A· F( Kd, Ld )
π = PY − (wLd+ RKd)

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Profits
Households earn profit—an excess of revenue over costs—
from their business activities.
• Y= A· F( Kd, Ld )
π = PY − (wLd+ RKd)
π = P A· F( Kd, Ld ) − ( wLd+ RKd)

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Wage income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Wage income
If households supply the quantity of labour Ls to the labour
market, they receive the nominal wage income of wLs per year.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Wage income
If households supply the quantity of labour Ls to the labour
market, they receive the nominal wage income of wLs per year.
Quantity of labour supplied is the fixed amount L, so nominal
wage income is wL.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
If households supply the quantity of capital Ks to the rental
market they receive the nominal rental income of RKs per year.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
If households supply the quantity of capital Ks to the rental
market they receive the nominal rental income of RKs per year.
Since households supply all of their available capital, K, to the
rental market, so that Ks = K, the nominal rental income is RK.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
The quantity δK of capital disappears each year.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
The quantity δK of capital disappears each year.
The euro value of this lost capital is P· δK.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
The quantity δK of capital disappears each year.
The euro value of this lost capital is P· δK.
• net nominal rental income= nominal rental income−
value of depreciation

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
The quantity δK of capital disappears each year.
The euro value of this lost capital is P· δK.
• net nominal rental income= nominal rental income−
value of depreciation
• net nominal rental income = RK − δ P K

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
The quantity δK of capital disappears each year.
The euro value of this lost capital is P· δK.
• net nominal rental income= nominal rental income−
value of depreciation
• net nominal rental income = RK − δ P K
• net nominal rental income = (R/ P)·P K − δ P K

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
The quantity δK of capital disappears each year.
The euro value of this lost capital is P· δK.
• net nominal rental income= nominal rental income−
value of depreciation
• net nominal rental income = RK − δ P K
• net nominal rental income = (R/ P)·P K − δ P K
• net nominal rental income= ( R/ P − δ) · P K

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Rental income
• rate of return on owning capital= R/ P − δ

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Interest Income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Interest Income
If a household’s nominal bond holdings are B, the flow of
nominal interest income received is iB per year.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Income
Interest Income
If a household’s nominal bond holdings are B, the flow of
nominal interest income received is iB per year.
Since B equals zero for the whole economy, we have that the
total of interest income equals zero.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
• Total income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
• Total income
–Household nominal income= nominal profit +
nominal wage income + nominal net rental income
+ nominal interest income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
• Total income
–Household nominal income= nominal profit +
nominal wage income + nominal net rental income
+ nominal interest income
–Household nominal income = π + wL + (R/P − δ) ·
PK + iB

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Consumption

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Consumption
Households consume goods in the quantity C per year at
price= P

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Consumption
Households consume goods in the quantity C per year at
price= P
–Household nominal consumption= P C

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
Households hold assets in three forms:

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
Households hold assets in three forms:
money, M;

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
Households hold assets in three forms:
money, M;
bonds, B;

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
Households hold assets in three forms:
money, M;
bonds, B;
ownership of capital, K.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
Assume households hold a fixed amount of money in
euro terms.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
Assume households hold a fixed amount of money in
euro terms.
We assume that the change over time of a household’s
nominal money holdings is zero

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
Assume households hold a fixed amount of money in
euro terms.
We assume that the change over time of a household’s
nominal money holdings is zero
∆M=0

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
In considering whether to hold assets as bonds or
capital, households would compare the rate of return on
bonds, the interest rate, I, with the rate of return on
ownership of capital, R/P − δ.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
In considering whether to hold assets as bonds or
capital, households would compare the rate of return on
bonds, the interest rate, I, with the rate of return on
ownership of capital, R/P − δ.
Rate of return on bonds= rate of return on ownership

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Assets
In considering whether to hold assets as bonds or
capital, households would compare the rate of return on
bonds, the interest rate, I, with the rate of return on
ownership of capital, R/P − δ.
Rate of return on bonds= rate of return on ownership
i = R/ P − δ

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
• Household nominal income=

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
• Household nominal income=
π + wL + i · ( B+ P K )

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint
–nominal value of assets= M+ B+ P K

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint
–nominal value of assets= M+ B+ P K
–nominal saving to be the change over time in the
nominal value of assets.

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint
–nominal value of assets= M+ B+ P K
–nominal saving to be the change over time in the
nominal value of assets.
– nominal saving= (∆nominal assets)

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint
–nominal value of assets= M+ B+ P K
–nominal saving to be the change over time in the
nominal value of assets.
– nominal saving= (∆nominal assets)
= ∆M + ∆B + P·∆K

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint
–nominal saving= nominal income− nominal
consumption

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint
–nominal saving= nominal income− nominal
consumption
– nominal saving= π + wL + i · ( B+ P K ) − P C

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint
–nominal saving= nominal income− nominal
consumption
– nominal saving= π + wL + i · ( B+ P K ) − P C
∆B + P ·∆K = π + wL + i·( B+ PK ) − P C

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint in Nominal Terms

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint in Nominal Terms
– PC + ∆B + P·∆K = π + wL + i·( B+ P K )

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint in Nominal Terms
– PC + ∆B + P·∆K = π + wL + i·( B+ P K )
nominal consumption + nominal saving = nominal income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint real terms

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint real terms
– C + ( 1/ P)·∆B+ ∆K = π/ P + ( w/P)·L + i·(B/P+K)

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Constructing the Budget Constraint
Household Budget Constraint real terms
– C + ( 1/ P)·∆B+ ∆K = π/ P + ( w/P)·L + i·(B/P+K)
consumption + real saving = real income

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Constructing the Budget Constraint

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit Maximization

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit Maximization
Real Profit

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit Maximization
Real Profit
π/P = A·F(Kd,Ld) − (w/P) · Ld − (R/P) · Kd

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit Maximization
Real Profit
π/P = A·F(Kd,Ld) − (w/P) · Ld − (R/P) · Kd
• real profit= output

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit Maximization
Real Profit
π/P = A·F(Kd,Ld) − (w/P) · Ld − (R/P) · Kd
• real profit= output
−real wage payments−real rental payments

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Labour Market

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Labour Market
Demand for labour

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Labour Market
Demand for labour
∆(π/P) = ∆[ A·F( Kd, Ld) ] − w/ P

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Labour Market
Demand for labour
∆(π/P) = ∆[ A·F( Kd, Ld) ] − w/ P
= MPL − w/P

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Labour Market
Demand for labour
∆(π/P) = ∆[ A·F( Kd, Ld) ] − w/ P
= MPL − w/P
• change in real profit= marginal product of labour− real
wage rate

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Supply of labour

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Supply of labour
We are assuming that each household supplies a fixed
quantity of labour to the labour market.

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Supply of labour
We are assuming that each household supplies a fixed
quantity of labour to the labour market.
Therefore, the aggregate or market supply of labour, Ls,
is the given amount L.

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Clearing of the labour market

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Clearing of the labour market
–w/P is determined to equate the aggregate quantity of
labour demanded, Ld, to the aggregate quantity
supplied, L.

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Clearing of the labour market
–w/P is determined to equate the aggregate quantity of
labour demanded, Ld, to the aggregate quantity
supplied, L.

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Clearing of the labour market
–w/P is determined to equate the aggregate quantity of
labour demanded, Ld, to the aggregate quantity
supplied, L.

( w/ P)* = MPL ( evaluated at L)

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Demand for capital services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Demand for capital services
∆(π/P) = ∆[ A·F(Kd, Ld) ] − R/P

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Demand for capital services
∆(π/P) = ∆[ A·F(Kd, Ld) ] − R/P
= MPK − R/P

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Demand for capital services
∆(π/P) = ∆[ A·F(Kd, Ld) ] − R/P
= MPK − R/P

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Demand for capital services
∆(π/P) = ∆[ A·F(Kd, Ld) ] − R/P
= MPK − R/P

• change in real profit=

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Demand for capital services
∆(π/P) = ∆[ A·F(Kd, Ld) ] − R/P
= MPK − R/P

• change in real profit=


marginal product of capital− real rental price

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Supply of capital services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Supply of capital services
For the economy as a whole, the aggregate quantity of capital, K,
is given from past flows of investment.

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Supply of capital services
For the economy as a whole, the aggregate quantity of capital, K,
is given from past flows of investment.
In the short run, the aggregate or market quantity of capital
services supplied, Ks, equals K.

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Clearing of the market for capital services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Clearing of the market for capital services
• R/P will be determined to clear the market—that is, so
that the aggregate quantity of capital services supplied, K,
equals the aggregate quantity demanded, Kd

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
Clearing of the market for capital services
• R/P will be determined to clear the market—that is, so
that the aggregate quantity of capital services supplied, K,
equals the aggregate quantity demanded, Kd
(R/P)* = MPK( evaluated at K)

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
The interest rate

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
The interest rate
• i = R/P − δ

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
The interest rate
• i = R/P − δ
• rate of return on bonds=

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
The interest rate
• i = R/P − δ
• rate of return on bonds=
rate of return on ownership of capital

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
The interest rate
• i = R/P − δ
• rate of return on bonds=
rate of return on ownership of capital

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
The Market for Capital Services
The interest rate
• i = R/P − δ
• rate of return on bonds=
rate of return on ownership of capital

• i = MPK ( evaluated at K) − δ

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit in Equilibrium

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit in Equilibrium
π/P = A· F(K,L) − (w/P)·L − ( R/P)· K

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit in Equilibrium
π/P = A· F(K,L) − (w/P)·L − ( R/P)· K
• w/P = MPL

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit in Equilibrium
π/P = A· F(K,L) − (w/P)·L − ( R/P)· K
• w/P = MPL
• R/P = MPK

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Clearing of the Markets for Labour and
Capital Services
Profit in Equilibrium
π/P = A· F(K,L) − (w/P)·L − ( R/P)· K
• w/P = MPL
• R/P = MPK
π/P = A· F(K, L) − MPL· L − MPK· K

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Next Time: Business
Cycles

Read Barro, Cht 8


EC4004 Lecture 18
Markets & The Macroeconomy

Dr Stephen Kinsella

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