MTH3003 FIRST SEMESTER 2011/12

TUTORIAL 2
1. A sample space S consists of five simple events with these probabilities: P(E1) = P(E2) = 0.15 P(E3) = 0.4 P(E4) = 2P(E5)

(a) Find the probabilities for simple event E4 and E5 (b) Find the probabilities for these two events: i. A = {E1, E3, E4} ii. B = {E2, E3} (c) List the simple events that are in both event A and event B. 2. Two city council members are to be selected from a total of five to form a subcommittee to study the citys traffic problems. (a) How many different subcommittees are possible? (b) If all possible council members have an equal chance of being selected, what is the probability that members Smith and Jones are both selected? 3. A television news director wishes to use three news stories on an evening show. One story will be the lead story, one will be the second story, and the last will be a closing story. If the director has a total of eight stories to choose from, how many possible ways can the program be set up? 4. An experiment consists of tossing a single die and observing the number of dots that show on the upper face. Event A, B, and C are defined as follows: A: Observe a number less than 4 B: Observe a number less than or equal to 2 C: Observe a number greater than 3 Find the probabilities associated with the events below using either the simple event approach or the rules and definitions from this section. (a) S (e) A B (b) A|B (c) B (d) A B C (f) A (g) A (h) B C C C

6. A smoker detector system uses two devices, A and B. If smoke is present, the probability that it will be detected by device A is 0.95; by device B is 0.98 and by both devices is 0.94. (a) If smoke is present, find the probability that the smoke will be detected by device A or device B or both devices. (b) Find the probability that the smoke will not be detected. 1

7. The probability that Sam parks in a no-parking zone and gets a parking ticket is 0.06, and the probability that Sam cannot find a legal parking space and has to park in the noparking zone is 0.20. On Tuesday, Sam arrives at school and has to park in a no-parking zone. Find the probability that he will get a parking ticket. 9. The probability that a patient is allergic to penicillin is 0.20. Suppose this drug is administered to three patients. (a) Find the probability that all three of them are allergic to it. (b) Find the probability that at least one of them is not allergic to it.

10. Randomly selected 2000 adults were asked whether or not they have ever shopped on the Internet. The following table gives a two-way classification of the responses obtained. Have Shopped 300 200 Have Never Shopped 900 600

Male Female

(a) If one adult is selected at random from these 2000 adults, find the probability that this adult i. has never shopped on the Internet ii. is a male iii. has shopped on the Internet given that this adult is a female iv. is a male given that this adult has never shopped on the Internet. (b) Are the events male and female mutually exclusive? What the events have shopped and male? Why or why not? (c) Are the events female and have shopped independent? Why or why not? (d) Draw a tree diagram and find the following probabilities : i. P(has never shopped on the Internet and is a male) ii. P(has shopped on the Internet and is a female) (e) Suppose that one adult is selected at random from these 2000 adults. Find the following probabilities. i. P(has never shopped on the Internet or is a male) ii. P(is a male or has shopped on the Internet) iii. P(has never shopped on the Internet or has never shopped on the internet)