Global Equity Strategy

U.S. Sector Outlooks

Equity Research / North America From Worst to First Alec Young, Global Equity Strategist

January 24, 2011

On January 3, we shifted to a cyclical U.S. sector stance premised on a likely reduction in investor risk aversion stemming from continued better than expected U.S. growth, receding European credit crunch fears thanks to aggressive ECB bank lending, the avoidance of a hard landing in China, and improving technical readings. While its still early, cyclical sectors have a led a 4.6% gain in the S&P 500 year-to-date, while 2011s high-yielding, defensive leaders are lagging. We are overweight Consumer Discretionary believing the sector can keep outperforming as low domestic economic expectations likely continue to be exceeded. In addition, we like I.T., as a challenging global growth environment drives continued enterprise level productivity improvements which we dont think are reflected in low valuations. On January 3, we added Industrials to the overweight camp, believing the sector is due for P/E expansion as the global economy and automation efficiencies continue to exceed consensus expectations. All three sectors are handily outperforming year-to-date. Lastly, we are overweight the counter-cyclical, high-yielding (3%) Consumer Staples sector as a defensive hedge in case of further macro turbulence. Staples are underperforming year-to-date as investors venture further out on the risk curve. As for our underweight calls, on January 3, Utilities joined Telecom in this group, and is the worst performing sector year-to-date, as investors increasing risk appetite leads to profit taking in crowded, counter-cyclical dividend plays. In addition, Telecom is also underperforming, down on the year. After being underweight Financials since May 17, on January 3, we upgraded the Financials sector to marketweight, believing easing European sovereign stress would allow for more competitive performance. The sector has outperformed sharply year-to-date. However, while we think we are through the worst of the U.S. equity impact of the European sovereign debt crisis, more volatility is likely, in our view, leading to our neutral stance on Financials.
S&P 500 GICS Sector Performances and Recommended Sector Weightings 1/20/12 '12e P/E to Actual Recommended Proj. 5-Yr. Sector % S&P Sector Over/Under EPS Grth. Weightings Emphasis Weight 0.9 10.8 Overweight 1% 1.5 11.0 Overweight 1% 0.9 12.1 Marketweight 0% 1.1 14.2 Marketweight 0% 1.4 11.7 Marketweight 0% 0.9 10.9 Overweight 1% 0.9 19.3 Overweight 1% 1.3 3.7 Marketweight 0% 2.6 2.8 Underweight -2% 3.0 3.6 Underweight -2% 1.1 Sector recommendations are market1.1 cap weighted, influenced by economic, 1.3 fundamental, and technical considerations. 1.5

Alec Young S&P Capital IQ Global Equity Strategist 212-438-7484 alexander_young@ sandp.com

55 Water Street New York, NY 10041

S&P 500 Sector Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Information Technology Materials Telecommunication Services Utilities S&P Composite 1500 S&P 500 S&P MidCap 400 S&P SmallCap 600 Source: S&P Capital IQ

Jan. 5.6 (0.4) 3.1 8.8 3.3 7.0 6.0 9.4 (0.4) (3.7) 4.7 4.6 5.9 5.7

% Change YTD 5.6 (0.4) 3.1 8.8 3.3 7.0 6.0 9.4 (0.4) (3.7) 4.7 4.6 5.9 5.7

2011 4.4 10.5 2.8 (18.4) 10.2 (2.9) 1.3 (11.6) 0.8 14.8 (0.3) (0.0) (3.1) (0.2)

P/E on '12e EPS 14.5 14.5 10.6 11.1 11.8 13.1 12.3 12.6 16.3 14.0 12.6 12.5 14.8 16.0

This report is for information purposes and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither S&P Capital IQ nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2012 by Standard & Poors Financial Services LLC. All rights reserved. S&P, S&P 500, and Standard & Poors are registered trademarks of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. S&P MidCap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600 are trademarks of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.

All required disclosures and analyst certification appear on the last two pages of this report.
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S&P 500 CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY Sector Recommendation: OVERWEIGHT S&P recommends overweighting the S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary sector. Year to date through January 20, the sector index, which represented 10.8% of the S&P 500 Index, was up 5.6%, compared with a 4.6% rise for the S&P 500. In 2011, this sector index rose 4.4%, versus a flat performance for the 500. There are 32 sub-industry indices in this sector, with Restaurants being the largest at 14.5% of the sector's market value.
S&P equity analysts' fundamental outlook on the Consumer Discretionary sector is positive. S&P Economics forecasts U.S. real GDP growth of 2.0% in 2012, and sees consumer spending increasing 2.3%. We anticipate that thematic drivers in 2012 will include technology advances, continued international expansion, continued market segmentation of the targeted consumer base (demographic considerations, etc.), secular changes in consumer behavior (online vs. traditional), advances in digital media technology, and further shifts to ROI-driven audience aggregation. According to Capital IQ, the sector trades at a P/E of 14.5X consensus estimated 2012 EPS, which is greater than the S&P 500's projected P/E of 12.5X. Its P/E-to-projected-five-year EPS growth rate (PEG) ratio of 0.9X is below the broader market's 1.1X. The sector's marketweighted STARS average of 3.8 (out of 5.0) is in line with the average of 3.8 for the S&P 500. The S&P GICS Consumer Discretionary Index completed a bullish base-on-base pattern early in January and is now challenging its all-time highs from 2011 up near 330. We think the sector could pause at this key chart resistance before bolting into all-time high territory. Prices have widened the gap between the 17-week and 43-week exponential averages, a bullish sign, in our view. The shorter average remains above the longer average, also a positive sign for the intermediate-term, in our opinion. Relative strength versus the S&P 500 remains in a long-term uptrend and the RS line is not far from a new bull market high. Our technical opinion on the Consumer Discretionary sector remains bullish. In summary, S&P recommends overweighting the S&P Consumer Discretionary sector as strong emerging market revenue growth and a gradually expanding U.S. economy likely fuel above-average EPS growth, in our view, enabling market outperformance.

S&P 500 CONSUMER STAPLES Recommendation: OVERWEIGHT S&P recommends overweighting the S&P 500 Consumer Staples sector. Year to date through January 20, this sector, which represented 11.0% of the S&P 500 Index, was down 0.4%, compared with a 4.6% gain for the S&P 500. In 2011, the sector index rose 10.5%, versus a flat showing for the 500. There are 12 sub-industry indices in this sector, with Soft Drinks being the largest at 21.2% of the sector's market value.
S&P equity analysts' fundamental outlook for the sector is neutral. Global sales volume gains are expected to be driven largely by higher marketing expenditures, and by increased sales in developing markets. However, efforts to at least partly offset higher commodity costs with increased prices is likely to limit overall volume gains, in our view. Also, with U.S. unemployment expected to stay relatively high in 2012, we think less expensive private label goods will remain attractive to many consumers, limiting the sales growth of branded goods companies. According to Capital IQ, from a valuation standpoint, the sector's P/E multiple of 14.5X consensus estimated EPS for 2012 represents a premium to the broader market's 12.5X. Its P/E-to-projected-five-year EPS growth rate (PEG) ratio of 1.5X is also above the broader market's 1.1X. In addition, the sector's marketweighted STARS average of 4.0 (out of 5.0) is slightly above the average of 3.8 for the S&P 500. The S&P Consumer Staples Index has broken out to all-time highs in late December, and then retested its breakout level, a bullish chart pattern, in our view. The sector is holding above both the 17-week and 43-week exponential averages, and the shorter average is widening the distance with the longer

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average, a bullish sign, in our view. However, with the defensive nature of the sector, we do not see outperformance until the overall market tops, which we do not foresee until later in the second quarter. Relative strength versus the S&P 500 has broken its uptrend that started in February, after moving sideways the past couple of months. We have lowered our technical opinion on Consumer Staples to neutral with a bearish bias, from neutral. In summary, our recommended overweighting of the S&P 500 Consumer Staples sector reflects our belief that investors will favor this high-yielding defensive sector amid ongoing economic uncertainty.

S&P 500 ENERGY Sector Recommendation: MARKETWEIGHT S&P recommends marketweighting the S&P 500 Energy sector. Year to date through January 20, the S&P Energy Index, which represented 12.1% of the S&P 500 Index, was up 3.1%, compared to a 4.6% rise for the S&P 500. In 2011, this sector index advanced 2.8%, versus a flat showing for the 500. There are seven sub-industry indices in this sector, with Integrated Oil & Gas by far the largest at 58.2% of the sector's market value.
S&P equity analysts have a positive fundamental outlook on the influential Integrated Oil & Gas subindustry, as well as most of the sector's other smaller sub-industry groups due to strong emerging market energy demand and tight global capacity. However, we believe that while oil prices will remain historically elevated, averaging $91/bbl. in 2012, energy price appreciation will slow relative to 2011's advance owing to uncertain U.S., Chinese and European growth prospects. According to Capital IQ, the sector's recent valuation of 10.6X consensus estimated 2012 EPS is below the 500's P/E of 12.5X, as oil price volatility keeps investors from assigning the sector too high a valuation, in our view. The sector's P/E-to-projected-five-year EPS growth rate (PEG) ratio of 0.9X is below the broader market's 1.1X. This sector's marketweighted S&P STARS average of 4.4 (out of 5.0) is above the S&P 500's average of 3.8. The S&P GICS Energy Index is still working on completing a very large base, and needs to break strongly above the 544 level to turn the intermediate-term trend more positive, in our view. Prices recently stalled up at an area of formidable overhead supply in the 530 to 560 region. This heavy chart resistance is from the topping formation last year. The 17-week is just starting to break above the 43week exponential average, a bullish moving average crossover system buy signal for the intermediate term, in our opinion. Relative strength versus the 500 remains in a downtrend off the early April top; however, the RS line has stabilized and appears to us to be bottoming. Our technical opinion on the Energy sector remains neutral with a bullish bias. In all, we recommend marketweighting the Energy sector based on our view that more subdued oil price appreciation offsets low valuations.

S&P 500 FINANCIALS Sector Recommendation: MARKETWEIGHT S&P recommends marketweighting the S&P 500 Financials sector. Year to date through January 20, the S&P Financials Index, which represented 14.2% of the S&P 500 Index, rose 8.8%, versus a 4.6% gain for the S&P 500 Index. In 2011, this sector index fell 18.4%, versus a flat showing for the 500. There are 20 sub-industry indices in the sector, with Other Diversified Financial Services being the largest at 17.8% of the sector's market value.
Fundamentally, S&P equity analysts have a neutral view on the sector. Overall, consumer-based businesses in the U.S. have stabilized into 2012. However, slowing reserve releases, sluggish loan growth and ongoing regulatory uncertainty remain major headwinds, as does European sovereign stress, in our view. According to Capital IQ, the sector trades at a P/E multiple of 11.1X consensus estimated 2012 earnings, below the projected 12.5X P/E of the S&P 500. Its P/E-to-projected-fiveStandard and Poors 55 Water Street New York, NY 10041

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year EPS growth rate (PEG) ratio of 1.1X is in line with the broader market's 1.1X. The sector's marketweighted S&P STARS average of 3.5 (out of 5.0) is well below the S&P 500 average of 3.8. The S&P Financials Index is breaking out from a large double-bottom reversal formation, turning the intermediate-term trend bullish, in our view. However, prices have entered a large layer of overhead supply that runs from 180 to 230, so we think a sustainable rally from here will be very difficult. Prices are above the 17-week and 43-week exponential moving averages; however, this crossover system remains on a sell signal. Relative strength versus the S&P 500 has been declining since August 2009, but appears to us to be tracing out a bottom and has been in an uptrend since late November. Our technical opinion on Financials is neutral. Reflecting recent European Central Bank actions to infuse fresh capital into European banks and the resulting decline in the near-term risk we see of a global credit crunch, we recommend marketweighting the Financials sector.

S&P 500 HEALTH CARE Sector Recommendation: MARKETWEIGHT S&P recommends marketweighting the S&P 500 Health Care sector. Year to date through January 20, the S&P Health Care Index, which represented 11.7% of the S&P 500 Index, was up 3.3%, compared to a 4.6% rise for the S&P 500. In 2011, this sector index rose 10.2%, versus a flat showing for the 500. There are 10 sub-industry indices in this sector, with Pharmaceuticals being the largest, at 51.4% of the sector's market value.
S&P equity analysts have a neutral fundamental outlook on the key Pharmaceuticals sub-industry. We think this sub-industry faces challenging prospects in 2012, given an impending "patent cliff" beginning in 2011, austerity pricing in Europe, increasing generic drug penetration, and what we consider unimpressive new drug pipelines. On a positive note, emerging market sales are expected to continue to grow briskly in 2012. Also, increasing biotech M&A, low HMO utilization rates, attractive pharmaceutical sub-industry dividends and more efficient R&D spending offset the aforementioned negatives, in our view. According to Capital IQ, the sector's P/E multiple of 11.8X consensus estimated EPS for 2012 is below the broader market's P/E multiple of 12.5X. Its P/E-toprojected-five-year EPS growth rate (PEG) ratio of 1.4X is above the market's PEG ratio of 1.1X. This sector's marketweighted S&P STARS average of 3.9 (out of 5.0) is above the S&P 500's 3.8. The S&P GICS Health Care Index is approaching 2011's highs in the 420 region. This is considered pretty good chart resistance, so we think a pause in the rally will be seen in the short term. A breakout above this chart resistance would be bullish on an absolute price basis, in our view, and open the door for a move up to the 2000 all-time highs in the 445 region sometime in the first half. The 17-week is extending its distance from the 43-week exponential, a bullish sign, in our opinion. Relative strength versus the S&P 500 remains in an uptrend off the lows since February; however, we believe it is close to breaking down. Our technical opinion on Health Care remains neutral with a bearish bias. We recommend marketweighting the sector as we think an attractive valuation already reflects widely appreciated weak pharmaceutical drug pipelines and is therefore fostering more competitive performance as investors focus on newer positive catalysts and the sector's defensive properties.

S&P 500 INDUSTRIALS Sector Recommendation: OVERWEIGHT S&P recommends overweighting the S&P 500 Industrials sector. Year to date through January 20, the S&P Industrials Index, which represented 10.9% of the S&P 500 Index, was up 7.0%, compared to a 4.6% gain for the S&P 500. In 2011, this sector index fell 2.9%, versus a flat showing for the 500. There are 18 sub-industry indices in this sector, with Aerospace & Defense being the largest at 24.1% of the sector's market value.
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S&P analysts have a positive fundamental outlook on the Industrials sector due to expected sales benefits from rising emerging market exposure and a steady U.S. recovery, although Europe's debt crisis has increased uncertainty, in our view. In addition, operating leverage is rising with revenues thanks to aggressive cost-cutting and manufacturing automation initiatives put in place by most companies during the extreme business downturn of 2008 and 2009. According to Capital IQ, from a valuation standpoint, the sector trades at 13.1X consensus estimated 2012 EPS, above the broader market's 12.5X, despite much faster anticipated 2012 consensus EPS growth of 12%. Its P/E to projected five-year EPS growth rate of 0.9X is lower than the broader market's 1.1X. The sector's marketweighted S&P STARS average of 3.7 (out of 5.0) is slightly below the 3.8 average for the S&P 500. The S&P Industrials Index has broken out from a bullish base-on-base formation, suggesting to us higher prices in the intermediate-term. There is a fairly large area of overhead supply that starts at 300 and runs up to the highs last year at 337, but we do not see a major pullback for the sector until prices get up near those highs. Prices have bullishly crossed back above both the 17-week and 43-week exponential moving averages, and the shorter average is just breaking above the longer average, an intermediate-term buy signal, in our view. Relative strength versus the S&P 500 has been rising since late September, a positive sign. Our technical opinion on Industrials is bullish. We recommend overweighting Industrials believing the sector is poised for outperformance as investors discount a gradual economic recovery in the U.S. as well as continued solid growth in Asia, and that European woes will remain relatively contained.

S&P 500 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Sector Recommendation: OVERWEIGHT S&P recommends overweighting the S&P Information Technology sector. Year to date through January 20, the S&P Information Technology Index, which represented 19.3% of the S&P 500 Index, was up 6.0%, compared to a 4.6% gain for the 500. In 2011, this sector index rose 1.3%, versus a flat showing for the 500. There are 15 sub-industry indices in this sector, with Computer Hardware being the largest at 20.6% of the sector's market value.
S&P equity analysts have a neutral fundamental outlook on the sector, given concerns related to economic growth, but note very low valuations, reflecting major global concerns, largely centered on Europe and sovereign debt and China and growth. We think strong and flexible balance sheets will be increasingly employed to generate value through internal investment, stock buybacks, dividends and M&A. Lastly, we also see the possibility for activity and momentum on comments and legislation about the repatriation of foreign earnings, which has been mentioned by some presidential candidates and members of Congress. According to Capital IQ, the sector trades at a P/E on consensus estimated 2012 EPS of 12.3X, slightly below the 12.5X for the S&P 500. Its P/E to projected five-year EPS growth rate of 0.9X is below the broader market's PEG of 1.1X. This sector's marketweighted S&P STARS average of 3.8 (out of 5.0) is in line with the 3.8 average for the S&P 500. The S&P GICS Information Technology Index has rallied up toward last year's highs of 440. We consider this region decent chart resistance, so we expect a small pullback in the near term. We believe this will be followed by a breakout to new recovery highs as the sector continues to work on a very bullish looking price base, in our view. Prices remain well above both the 17-week and 43-week exponential averages. The shorter average is starting to widen the gap with the longer average, a bullish intermediate-term sign, in our view. Relative strength versus the S&P 500 recently broke down after rising nicely from June to October; however, we have seen outperformance over the past month. Our technical opinion on Information Technology remains bullish. We believe low valuations, competitive EPS growth and a bullish technical outlook should fuel alpha. Standard and Poors 55 Water Street New York, NY 10041

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S&P 500 MATERIALS Sector Recommendation: MARKETWEIGHT S&P recommends marketweighting the S&P 500 Materials sector. Year to date through January 20, this sector, which represented 3.7% of the S&P 500 Index, was up 9.4%, compared to a 4.6% gain for the 500. In 2011, the sector index fell 11.6%, versus a flat showing for the 500. There are 12 subindustry indices in this sector, with Diversified Chemicals being the largest at 25.6% of the sector's market value.
S&P equity analysts have a neutral fundamental outlook for the sector, reflecting the view that costcutting actions taken in the downturn and growing demand from emerging markets for metals and mining products are offset by increased macroeconomic uncertainty in developed economies which, we think, is fueling slower commodity price appreciation. Despite very strong 2011 EPS growth, the Capital IQ consensus estimate indicates the sector's EPS gains will moderate in 2012 as commodity price appreciation likely slows and comparisons get more difficult. Its P/E on consensus estimated 2012 EPS of 12.6X is slightly above the 12.5X for the overall market. The sector's P/E to projected five-year EPS growth rate of 1.3X is above the market's PEG of 1.1X. This sector's S&P STARS average of 3.7 (out of 5.0) is below the broader market's average of 3.8. The S&P GICS Materials Index has completed a bullish, inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, and we see further gains in the intermediate term. However, the sector is extended, so we do see a good chance for a mild pullback in the near term. Prices have jumped back above both the 17-week exponential and 43-week exponential, and the shorter average is very close to crossing back above the longer average. This would be a bullish confirming signal for the intermediate-term, in our view. Relative strength versus the S&P 500 has finished a bullish reversal, strong confirmation to us that the trend is firmly bullish. We have raised our technical outlook on Materials to bullish, from neutral with a bullish bias. We recommend marketweighting the Materials sector based on our expectations for more muted commodity price appreciation, which we think is offset by an improving technical outlook.

S&P 500 TELECOM SERVICES Sector Recommendation: UNDERWEIGHT S&P recommends underweighting the S&P 500 Telecommunication Services sector. Year to date through January 20, this sector index, which represented 2.8% of the S&P 500 Index, was down 0.4%, compared to a 4.6% rise for the S&P 500. In 2011, this sector index rose 0.8% versus a flat showing for the 500. There are two sub-industry indices in this sector, with Integrated Telecommunication Services being the largest, at 97.2% of the sector's market value.
S&P analysts have a neutral fundamental outlook for the sector. We see revenues for most major telcos growing modestly in 2012, and we expect continued expense reductions. We look for benefits from completed M&A deals involving mid-size rural wireline carriers. Also, we believe operating and capital spending savings along with broadband growth in 2012 will help support above-average dividends. However, we expect wireline voice operations at all carriers to remain under pressure amid competition. The sector trades at a P/E on 2012 consensus estimated earnings of 16.3X, well above the 12.5X of the S&P 500, and its P/E-to-projected-five-year EPS growth rate (PEG) ratio of 2.6X is also well above the broader market's PEG ratio of 1.1X. Lastly, this sector's marketweighted STARS average of 4.1 (out of 5.0) is above the S&P 500 average of 3.8. The S&P GICS Telecom Index has broken out from a four-month consolidation, turning the intermediate-term trend to bullish, in our view. The four-month base saw prices generally stay within the 120 to 126 region. Prices are above both the 17-week and 43-week exponential moving averages and the shorter average has crossed above the longer average, a bullish crossover buy signal, in our opinion. However, relative strength versus the 500 has made little progress in recent months and is starting to break its uptrend, a bearish sign. Our technical opinion on Telecom is bearish.

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In conclusion, we recommend underweighting the Telecom sector in light of a premium valuation, coupled with our weak technical outlook.

S&P 500 UTILITIES Sector Recommendation: UNDERWEIGHT S&P recommends underweighting the S&P 500 Utilities sector. Year to date through January 20, the S&P Utilities Index, which represented 3.6% of the S&P 500 Index, fell 3.7%, versus a 4.6% gain for the S&P 500. In 2011, this sector index was up 14.8%, versus a flat showing for the 500. There are four sub-industry indices in this sector, with Electric Utilities being the largest at 54.0% of the sector's market value.
S&P has a neutral fundamental outlook for the S&P 500 Utilities sector. With only modest improvement expected in the housing and power markets for 2012 the sector's EPS outlook is below average. However, we still expect the sector's high dividend yield (recently at 4.0%) to at least be maintained, if not rise slightly, and think electric utility revenues and gas utility gross margins will increase. According to Capital IQ, after a strong showing in 2011, the sector trades at a P/E on estimated 2012 consensus earnings of 14X, above the 12.5X for the S&P 500. Its P/E-to-projected five-year EPS growth rate (PEG) ratio of 3.0X is well above the market's PEG ratio of 1.1X. This sector's S&P STARS average of 3.2 (out of 5.0) is well below the 3.8 average for the S&P 500. The S&P GICS Utilities Index remains in an uptrend, but recently hit a strong area of technical resistance. The sector has run up to the top of the bullish price channel, which could act as resistance. In addition, prices recently advanced to a region of heavy chart resistance that starts at 185 and runs all the way up to 225. The sector remains above both the 17-week and 43-week exponential moving averages, and the shorter average is still above the longer average. Relative strength versus the S&P 500 has broken one upward sloping trendline and is very close to taking out the primary bullish trendline off the lows since February. Our technical opinion on Utilities is bearish. In summary, we expect the Utilities sector to underperform the S&P 500 as high valuations and a weak EPS outlook likely combine to preclude outperformance.

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Glossary
S&P STARS - Since January 1, 1987, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has
ranked a universe of U.S. common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), and ADSs (American Depositary Shares) based on a given equitys potential for future performance. Similarly, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has used STARS methodology to rank Asian and European equities since June 30, 2002. Under proprietary STARS (STock Appreciation Ranking System), S&P equity analysts rank equities according to their individual forecast of an equitys future total return potential versus the expected total return of a relevant benchmark (e.g., a regional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350 Index or S&P 500 Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet the needs of investors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data used to assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analysts own models as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs. S&P Quality Rankings (also known as S&P Earnings & Dividend Rankings)- Growth and stability of earnings and dividends are deemed key elements in establishing S&Ps earnings and dividend rankings for common stocks, which are designed to capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. It should be noted, however, that the process also takes into consideration certain adjustments and modifications deemed desirable in establishing such rankings. The final score for each stock is measured against a scoring matrix determined by analysis of the scores of a large and representative sample of stocks. The range of scores in the array of this sample has been aligned with the following ladder of rankings: A+ Highest BLower A High C Lowest AAbove Average D In Reorganization B+ Average NR Not Ranked B Below Average S&P Issuer Credit Rating - A Standard & Poors Issuer Credit Rating is a current opinion of an obligors overall financial capacity (its creditworthiness) to pay its financial obligations. This opinion focuses on the obligors capacity and willingness to meet its financial commitments as they come due. It does not apply to any specific financial obligation, as it does not take into account the nature of and provisions of the obligation, its standing in bankruptcy or liquidation, statutory preferences, or the legality and enforceability of the obligation. In addition, it does not take into account the creditworthiness of the guarantors, insurers, or other forms of credit enhancement on the obligation. S&P Capital IQ EPS Estimates S&P Capital IQ earnings per share (EPS) estimates reflect analyst projections of future EPS from continuing operations, and generally exclude various items that are viewed as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, S&P Capital IQ EPS estimates reflect either forecasts of S&P Capital IQ equity analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS estimate, which are independently compiled by Capital IQ, a data provider to S&P Capital IQ Equity Research. Among the items typically excluded from EPS estimates are asset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or merger-related charges; legal and insurance settlements; in process research and development expenses; gains or losses on the extinguishment of debt; the cumulative effect of accounting changes; and earnings related to operations that have been classified by the company as discontinued. The inclusion of some items, such as stock option expense and recurring types of other charges, may vary, and depend on such factors as industry practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to which some types of data is disclosed by companies. S&P Core Earnings S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings is a uniform methodology for adjusting operating earnings by focusing on a company's aftertax earnings generated from its principal businesses. Included in the S&P Capital IQ definition are employee stock option grant expenses, pension costs, restructuring charges from ongoing operations, write-downs of depreciable or amortizable operating assets, purchased research and development, M&A related expenses and unrealized gains/losses from hedging activities. Excluded from the definition are pension gains, impairment of goodwill charges, gains or losses from asset sales, reversal of prior-year charges and provision from litigation or insurance settlements. S&P 12 Month Target Price The S&P Capital IQ equity analysts projection of the market price a given security will command 12 months hence, based on a combination of intrinsic, relative, and private market valuation metrics, including S&P Fair Value. S&P Capital IQ Equity Research S&P Capital IQ Equity Research U.S. includes Standard & Poors Investment Advisory Services LLC; Standard & Poors Equity Research Services Europe includes McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited trading as Standard & Poors; Standard & Poors Equity Research Services Asia includes Standard & Poors LLCs offices in Singapore, Standard & Poors Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited in Hong Kong, Standard & Poors Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and Standard & Poors Information Services (Australia) Pty Ltd.

Abbreviations Used in S&P Capital IQ Equity Research Reports CAGR- Compound Annual Growth Rate CAPEX- Capital Expenditures CY- Calendar Year DCF- Discounted Cash Flow EBIT- Earnings Before Interest and Taxes EBITDA- Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization EPS- Earnings Per Share EV- Enterprise Value FCF- Free Cash Flow FFO- Funds From Operations FY- Fiscal Year P/E- Price/Earnings PEG Ratio- P/E-to-Growth Ratio PV- Present Value R&D- Research & Development ROE- Return on Equity ROI- Return on Investment ROIC- Return on Invested Capital ROA- Return on Assets SG&A- Selling, General & Administrative Expenses WACC- Weighted Average Cost of Capital Dividends on American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and American Depository Shares (ADSs) are net of taxes (paid in the country of origin).

Required Disclosures
In contrast to the qualitative STARS recommendations covered in this report, which are determined and assigned by S&P Capital IQ equity analysts, S&Ps quantitative evaluations are derived from S&Ps proprietary Fair Value quantitative model. In particular, the Fair Value Ranking methodology is a relative ranking methodology, whereas the STARS methodology is not. Because the Fair Value model and the STARS methodology reflect different criteria, assumptions and analytical methods, quantitative evaluations may at times differ from (or even contradict) an equity analysts STARS recommendations. As a quantitative model, Fair Value relies on history and consensus estimates and does not introduce an element of subjectivity as can be the case with equity analysts in assigning STARS recommendations. S&P Global STARS Distribution In North America As of December 31, 2011, research analysts at S&P Capital IQ Equity Research North America recommended 39.1% of issuers with buy recommendations, 57.4% with hold recommendations and 3.5% with sell recommendations. In Europe As of December 31, 2011, research analysts at S&P Capital IQ Equity Research Europe recommended 31.5% of issuers with buy recommendations, 50.6% with hold recommendations and 17.9% with sell recommendations. In Asia As of December 31, 2011, research analysts at S&P Capital IQ Equity Research Asia recommended 43.8% of issuers with buy recommendations, 51.0% with hold recommendations and 5.2% with sell recommendations. Globally As of December 31, 2011, research analysts at S&P Capital IQ Equity Research globally recommended 38.3% of issuers with buy recommendations, 55.7% with hold recommendations and 6.0% with sell recommendations. 5-STARS (Strong Buy): Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark, by a wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis. 4-STARS (Buy): Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis. 3-STARS (Hold): Total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevant benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an absolute basis. 2-STARS (Sell): Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the coming 12 months, and the share price is not anticipated to show a gain. 1-STARS (Strong Sell): Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark by a wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares falling in price on an absolute basis. Relevant benchmarks: In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in Asia, the relevant benchmarks are generally the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50 Index. For All Regions: All of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal views regarding any and all of the subject securities or issuers. No part of analyst compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report.

In Asia As of December 31, 2011, Standard & Poors Quantitative Services Asia recommended 47.6% of issuers with buy recommendations, 21.9% with hold recommendations and 30.5% with sell recommendations. Globally As of December 31, 2011, Standard & Poors Quantitative Services globally recommended 48.7% of issuers with buy recommendations, 20.7% with hold recommendations and 30.6% with sell recommendations. Additional information is available upon request. Other Disclosures This report has been prepared and issued by S&P Capital IQ and/or one of its affiliates. In the United States, research reports are prepared by Standard & Poors Investment Advisory Services LLC (SPIAS). In the United States, research reports are issued by Standard & Poors (S&P); in the United Kingdom by McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited, which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and trades as Standard & Poors; in Hong Kong by Standard & Poors Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited, which is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities Futures Commission; in Singapore by Standard & Poors LLC, which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore; in Malaysia by Standard & Poors Malaysia Sdn Bhd (S&PM), which is regulated by the Securities Commission; in Australia by Standard & Poors Information Services (Australia) Pty Ltd (SPIS), which is regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission; and in Korea by SPIAS, which is also registered in Korea as a cross-border investment advisory company. The research and analytical services performed by SPIAS, McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited, S&PM, and SPIS are each conducted separately from any other analytical activity of S&P Capital IQ. S&P Capital IQ or an affiliate may license certain intellectual property or provide pricing or other services to, or otherwise have a financial interest in, certain issuers of securities, including exchange-traded investments whose investment objective is to substantially replicate the returns of a proprietary Standard & Poor's index, such as the S&P 500. In cases where S&P Capital IQ or an affiliate is paid fees that are tied to the amount of assets that are invested in the fund or the volume of trading activity in the fund, investment in the fund will generally result in S&P Capital IQ or an affiliate earning compensation in addition to the subscription fees or other compensation for services rendered by S&P Capital IQ. A reference to a particular investment or security by S&P Capital IQ and/or one of its affiliates is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold such investment or security, nor is it considered to be investment advice. Indexes are unmanaged, statistical composites and their returns do not include payment of any sales charges or fees an investor would pay to purchase the securities they represent. Such costs would lower performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. S&P Capital IQ and its affiliates provide a wide range of services to, or relating to, many organizations, including issuers of securities, investment advisers, broker-dealers, investment banks, other financial institutions and financial intermediaries, and accordingly may receive fees or other economic benefits from those organizations, including organizations whose securities or services they may recommend, rate, include in model portfolios, evaluate or otherwise address. For a list of companies mentioned in this report with whom S&P Capital IQ and/or one of its affiliates has had business relationships within the past year, please go to:
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S&P Global Quantitative Recommendations Distribution In Europe As of December 31, 2011, Standard & Poors Quantitative Services Europe recommended 50.7% of issuers with buy recommendations, 18.5% with hold recommendations and 30.8% with sell recommendations.

Disclaimers
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