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Table of contents 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. General description of the opportunities Subvention programs for Agriculture General production plan & planning assumptions A typical multiple master farm Overall Investment plan: Buildings, production facilities and mechanical park Financial projections standardized business year General investment risk and SWOT Analysis Management Team
Why Agriculture ?
Growing world population of currently 6.0 billion with annual growth rate of about 80 m leads to a total of about 8.0 billion people till 2020 (+33%)* Sustaining increase in demand for alimentary products and meat is driving demand for corn, wheat & rapeseed as well as for sun flowers and perennial vegetables. Surface for arable land is limited and under pressure from surging use for urbanisation needs. Crop volumes remain on stable level while demand is increasing because of growing population and higher qualities requested (bio & ecological products) Climate change is threatening crop yield in less competitive regions due to longer drought periods and lack of irrigation or too low rainfall levels Price development for farmland is steadily increasing e.g. prices for farmland in Germany as per ha increased from 2004 to 2008 by 25 % while in CEE Countries price index during the same period was up + 120 %*
* Source of data: OECD , Ernst & Young, Goldman Sachs March 26th, 2010 Page 3
Why Romania ?
Because its reliability and legal security as a full NATO and EU - Member State, with H.E. Dacian Ciolos, EU Commissioner for Agriculture Because a fertile organic soil and balanced climate with above average rain fall levels Because of its strategic geographical position as frontier state to fast growing markets in Middle East & Asia and efficient water ways and harbour facilities Because its high attractive incentives for investors in Agriculture and comprehensive governmental support especially from ANCA and APIA Its unlimited transferable financial funds and low taxation rates Because of qualified management and experienced work force in high volume agricultural production
March 26th, 2010 Page 4
Price Inflation
2008 : 9.1 % 2009 : 4.0 % Euro introduction : 2013 (Euro as currency anchor in place)
Source: European Commission
Areas of interest: Dolj county Good quality at very attractive prices (about 1.700 2,250.- USD/ha) farm land along the North side of Danube River Significant state owned domains create an attractive acquisition and consolidation potential Most attractive areas in the south of Craiova. There starts a fertile belt over 80 km from Balleati parallel in West East direction to the Danube. Good and relatively low priced farm land (1.400 1,700 USD/ha) between Caracal and Cobabia (lower Olt River Bassin) with irrigation from dams along the river Olt.
Areas of interest: Teleorman County and Giurgiu Good quality of land especially along the Calmatzui Valley between Turnu Magurele and Alexandria and along the Danube River to Giurgiu. Irrigation from the Danube Excellent consolidation opportunities because of low population density but competition from Interagro, Ion Niculae and Asirom The county capital Calarasi is situated 25 km in the south of the highway directly at the Danube with efficient harbor facilities for agricultural products and water way connection to Constanta.
The General Production Plan & Planning Assumptions Well Suited Farm Size The South-East of Romania, also known as the Baragan , is generally seen as the biggest, most fertile agricultural area in Romania and may be even in Europe Very rich in water supplies, with a fertile black humus topsoil called Chernozem, a lot of sun and a temperate continental climate, the absolutely flat land in this region is best suited for wheat, corn, soy beans and sunflower production, but also for leguminous plants or perennial vegetables. About 10,000 ha farmland is seen as a well suited size for a master unit and should be divided into 10 agricultural sub production units*. In principal such a master farm can be seen as a core investment with the opportunity to grow up to 5 times by consolidating other farms in the surrounding.
* an optimized size of a working unit is about 1,000 ha
March 26th, 2010 Page 13
Assumptions for a typical Master Farm of 10,000 ha (100.000 acre) Investment Overview & General Production Plan
INVESTMENTS AND COST CALCULATIONS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Farmland 10,000 ha (for Rent or Acquisition) 900,000 USD Annual lease rate Farm buildings & constructions 3,000,000 USD Gross investment Mechanical park 11,636,000 USD Gross investment Management / field force salaries p.a. 1,625,500 USD prior to bonuses Production inputs & irrigation 6.733.200 USD incl. social security Taxes 16 % on EBT
LAND ACQUISITION or LEASEHOLD 10.000 ha of best fertile class A agricultural land with irrigation system Purchase price : about ~ 1.800 USD/ha x 10,000 = 18.0 m USD (13.0 m EUR) Recommended option: long term natural lease contract at 625 kg of wheat /ha /year
(0.625 t x 10,000 ha =
6,250 t at average price of 144.- USD /t )
Field
Main Entrace
Field
Interiorroad
Fieldexit
National Road
150m
Farm facilities and constructions Construction/Renovation of buildings, water supply system, electric water pumps for irrigation system and electric power supply, farm roads, etc. Calculated gross investment of 300,000 USD for each farm unit of about 1,000 ha ( 10 x 300 = 3,000,000 USD) Minus European Union subventions at a total amount of 40 % equals to 1,200,000 USD Total net investment for necessary renovations/ modernization and farm constructions of about 1,800,000 USD
Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs. Pcs.
12 10 3 10 5 4 6 5 4 10 10 2 15 1 10 8 5 5 2 11 150
Total net funds necessary for establishing a 10.000 ha farm ~ 9,0 m USD
(Assumption: long term lease contract / private ownership per 10.000 ha about 18.0 m + 9,0 m = 27,0 m USD)
Sunnflower Field
Harvested Corn
Allocation of production* on 10,000 ha farmland: Wheat Rapeseed Corn Sunflower TOTAL* 15% 5% 50% 30% 100 % on a surface of 1,500 ha on a surface of 500 ha on a surface of 5,000 ha on a surface of 3,000 ha TOTAL SURFACE of 10,000 ha
* Long term practice for best crop results and productivity of field force. The distribution of the agricultural crops is necessary in order to assure by crop rotation, a good natural productivity of the soil.
Farm Operations Company 1 CEO Michael Mihailache 1 COO Ion Anuta 3 1 Assistant
50
Total Salary (prior to bonuses) 1,625,200 USD/year* *including taxes and social security March 26th, 2010 Page 21
Revenue from 10,000 ha farmland Annual lease rate (about 5 % of estimated land price) Costs of seeds, fertilizer & irrigation Gross profit Salaries, incl. taxes & social security Operating exp., machine works, supplies Other general expenses Operating Income Depreciation machinery & buildings EBIT-B (Earnings before interest, tax & bonus) Management Bonuses EBIT Earnings before interest & taxes 16 % Income Tax EBT and Subsidies + General agricultural subsidy 170 USD/ha
20,455 900 6,733 12,737 1,625 3,553 454 7,105 703 6,402 1.000 5,402 864 4,538 1,700
6,238
Wheat
Barley Field
March 26th, 2010 Page 23
Opportunity : Opportunity of lease-hold minimizes capital at risk Opportunity : Strong Governmental support and reasonable subventions Threat : Threat : Market Prices for production, seeds and fertilizers are floating Full investment subvention on total investment requires special structuring and shareholder design
3.
International Project Management Company KIMED Investments & Management AG Fockensteinweg No. 7 D 83707 Bad Wiessee / Germany with its affiliate Nefertari SRL, Bucharest Contact : Thomas H. Knorr, Chartered Economist & MBA Bernhard F. Knorr, Chartered Public Accountant (PwC) Phone : +49 8022 857 463 or +40 727 868 620 Fax : +49 8022 857 464 or +40 311 061 450 Mobile : +49 172 711 3666 or +43 699 170 890 10 E-mail : knorr@kimed.eu Place of jurisdiction : Lower court of Munich Company register : Munich HRB 136 338 VAT Identification UID : 215 274 007 Website : www.kimed.eu
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE AND RURAL DEVELOPMENT NATIONAL AGENCY FOR AGRICULTURAL CONSULTANCY
ANCA
al Cunoasterii
Str. Doamnei nr.17-19 Bucureti, sector 3 Tel: +40-21-312.46.20 Fax:+40-21- 312.46.43 E-mail:agentiaagricola@rdslink.ro www.consultantaagricola.ro
The National Agency for Agricultural Consultancy from Romania subordinated to the Romanian Ministry of Agriculture herewith confirms that through his specialists ANCA has elaborated a Study (Investment Case) regarding Organizational and financial previsions for agricultural production on 10.000 hectare farmland in collaboration with KIMED and its affiliate Ramses II GmbH. The figures and conclusions reported in this Study are based on the real average conditions provided by Romanias agriculture and cereal production capabilities and capacities. Provision is made that presented specifications, figures and results may alter from case to case according to the specific location, natural and climate conditions. Study Team Manager Mr. Ion ANUA, Director of Agricultural Consultancy County Office in OLT County, has a remarkable professional background as a large scale farm manager. Elaboration of this study was provided based on Accreditation Letter signed by ANCAs General Manager Mr. tefan MANTEA on February 11, 2010 with purpose to attract Foreign Direct Investments (FDI), for the Romanian Agricultural Sector. In anticipation of strengthening of the economic, cultural and scientific relations between warmly welcomed Foreign Direct Investors, I honestly hope that the activities of KIMED Group will be of value in our mutual interest. ANCA Manager of Associative Forms and Professional Training Dr. Ing. Mihail MIHALACHE