A New Day is Dawning

in Our Communities

Wasatch Choice 2040

March 27, 2012
Pamela S. Perlich

Intermountain States Populations: 1900-2010

Millions of Residents

Arizona
Colorado
Utah
Nevada
New Mexico
Idaho
Montana
Wyoming

6,392,017
5,029,196
2,763,885
2,700,551
2,059,179
1,567,582
989,415
563,626

0
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

U.S. Employment: 1998 - 2011

140

December 2007
138.0 million

Millions of Jobs

137.5

135

132.5

130

127.5

December 2009
129.6 million

September 1999
129.6 million

125
1998

2000

U.S.

2002

2004

2006

Sweden

2008Source: U.S. Bureau2010

of Labor Statistics,

Equal

4%
11%

0.2%

11%

20%

20%

0.1%
36%

15%

84%

20%

20%

18%
21%
20%

TOP
20%

2nd 3rd
20% 20%

4th BOTTOM
20% 20%

Dan Ariely and Michael Norton (2011) Building a Better America - One Wealth Quitile at a
Time, Perspectives on Psychological Science.

U.S. Foreign Born Population:

19002010
40.0

Share

40

Millions

14.7%

15%

30
12.5%

10%

20

5%

10

0%

Number of Foreign Born (Millions)

Foreign Born Share of Total Population

20%

1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Sources: Bureau of the Census (decennial Censuses and 2008 American Community Survey, BEBR Calculations.

Utah Foreign Born Population:

19002010
250

19.4%

222,638
17.6%

Share

Number
er
200

15%
13.1%

150
10%

9.5%
8%
7.1%

100

6%

5%

4.3%

3.6%
2.8%

3.5%

3.4%

0%

50

0
1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Sources: Bureau of the Census (decennial Censuses and 2009 American Community Survey, BEBR Calculations.

Number of Foreign Born (Thousands)

Foreign Born Share of Total Population

20%

Utahs Foreign Born Population: 1900 v. 2010

Africa
3%
Northern America
3%
Oceania
4%
Europe
95%

Northern America
2.5% Asia

Latin America
62%

Europe
11%

2.5%
Asia
17%

1900

2010

Minority Share of the Population:

U.S., Utah, & Salt Lake County
60%

54%
49%

48%

45%

US
36%

State of Utah

36%

24%

17%
12% 11%
10% 10% 10% 11% 11%
12%

0%

2%

2%

1900

1%

2%

2%

2%

1920

5%
1%

2%

32%

31%

1%

1%

1940

1%

2%

2%

1960

20%

8%

6%

19%
20%

10%

8%

1980

34%

37%

26%

24%

1%

41%

40%

Salt Lake

22%

25%

27%

30%

15%

9%
2000

2020

2040

Sources: Bureau of the Census, Gibson and Jung (2002), Perlich (2002), BEBR

Minority Share by Age Group: 2010

60%
US
Salt Lake City

50%

Salt Lake County

Utah

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
<5

5-9

10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84

85+

Sources: Bureau of the Census, 2010 Census.

Selected Age Group Projections

for State of Utah
1,200,0000

Less than 5 years old

1,133,594

5 through 17 years old

998,411

60+ > 5-17

60 years and older

960,0000

65 years and older

899,392

85+
720,0000

480,0000

422,550

240,0000
177,255
0
2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

Selected Age Group Projections

for State of U.S.
120,000,0000

Less than 5 years old

5 through 17 years old

60 years and older

65 years and older

85+

96,000,000
00

2009: 60+ > 5-17

72,000,000
00

53,159,113
48,000,000
00
35,107,491
00
24,000,000
19,197,434
0
2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2046

Thank you.

Pamela S. Perlich, Ph.D.

Senior Research Economist
Bureau of Economic and Business Research, University of Utah
www.bebr.utah.edu

Voice: 801.581.3358

Pam.Perlich@utah.edu

Fax:! 801.581.3354