Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
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March 2012
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
David Levine, UC Berkeley (Haas School of Business) Rachel Polimeni, UC Berkeley (Center of Evaluation for Global Action) Ian Ramage, Domrei Research and Consulting Phnom Phen, Cambodia
Disclaimer
The analysis and conclusions of this document are those of the authors. They do not necessarily reect the ofcial position of the AFD or its partner institutions. Publications Director: Dov ZERAH Legal Deposit: 1st Quarter 2012
Layout: Eric THAUVIN
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
Acknowledgements
We would like to express our gratitude to AFD, USAID, and the Coleman Fung Foundation for their generous funding. Stephanie Pamies of AFD gave us enormous guidance in the course of the evaluation and valuable feedback on the resulting Cooperation from GRET and SKY were essential in implementing this study. We thank the staff at GRET for sharing their data
and the field team at Domrei for their tireless data collection and cleaning. Jean-David Naudet, Jocelyne Delarue and
presentations, and from Ted Miguel, Paul Gertler, and other colleagues and stakeholders.
of the early phases of the evaluation. We appreciated comments at seminars at USAID BASIS, UC Berkeley, CERDI and other
papers. Rachel Gardner and Francine Anene provided excellent research assistance. Raj Arunachalam was an essential part
Abstract
High health care expenditures following a health shock can lead to long-term economic consequences. Health insurance has insurance have led many developing nations to consider insurance as a policy tool. Yet, even in developed nations, there have
lack of funds, health insurance can also increase health care utilization and improve health. These potential benefits of been few studies to measure its effectiveness.
the potential to avert economic difficulties following health shocks. If uninsured individuals forgo valuable health care due to
using a randomized controlled trial. By randomizing the insurance premium we induce random variation into the likelihood of and health outcomes. We find that SKY insurance has the greatest impact on economic outcomes, as expected from an insurance program. For example, SKY decreased total health care costs of serious health shocks by over 40%, and households with SKY had over one-third less debt and over 75% less health-related debt. SKY also changed health-seeking significant impacts on health. insurance take-up that allows us to estimate the causal effects of health insurance on economic outcomes, health utilization,
We evaluate the health and economic effects of the SKY Micro-health insurance program on households in rural Cambodia
behavior, increasing use of (covered) public facilities and decreasing use of (uncovered) unregulated care. At the same time, SKY had no detectable impact on preventative care. As expected, due to low statistical power, we did not find statistically
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CONTENTS
Introduction
1. Previous Research 2. The Setting 2.1 Health care in Cambodia 2.2 SKY health insurance
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3.1.1 Health behavior following a health shock 3.1.2 Other health-seeking behavior 3.2 Economic impacts
13 13
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3.2.1 Economic impacts following a health shock 3.2.2 Overall economic impacts on households 3.3 Health Outcomes 3.4 Trust in Providers and SKY
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4.2.2 Impact on the Insured (Treatment Effect on the Treated) 4.3.1 Household survey 4.3.2 SKY membership
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
5. Results
5.1 Tests of experimental design 5.1.1 Randomization 5.1.2 Analyzing serious health incidents 5.2 Summary statistics 5.3 First Stage
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21 21 21 22 22
5.4.1 Health-seeking behavior following a health shock 5.4.2 Other health-seeking behavior 5.5 Economic Effects of Insurance
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5.5.1 Economic effects following a health shock 5.5.2 Overall economic impacts on households 5.6 Health Outcomes 5.7 Trust in Providers and SKY
24 24 26
25 26
6. Robustness Checks
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Introduction
production (Wagstaff and Van Doorslaer, 2003; Gertler, Levine, and Moretti, 2003; Gertler and Gruber, 2002). Each year, catastrophe, meaning they are obliged to spend on health care their basic needs (World Health Organization, 2007). Poor stantial sums for care of low quality (Das, Hammer, and short-term health shock can lead to debt, asset sales, and Meessen, 2004; Annear, 2006). households often forgo high-value care, yet still often pay subapproximately 150 million people experience nancial
depends on its ability to improve economic and other outcomes while maintaining nancial sustainability, or at the least assuring donors that their money is being spent in the most efcient way possible. However, because health to meet the needs of the poor.
insurance is a relatively new product in developing countries, little is known about how best to design an insurance program Unfortunately, rigorous evidence on the impact of insurance
insurance in developing countries. One reason for the lack of insured and uninsured households because health insurance
removal of children from school creating long-term increases in poverty (Van Damme, Van Leemput, Por, Hardeman, and
evidence is that it is difcult to nd a valid group to compare with the insured. We cannot simply compare the outcomes of status is typically strongly correlated with other household better health insurance coverage (Jutting, 2004; Cameron and
and Bassett, 2006). Insurance companies do not target poor incomes, which may lead to missed premium payments, to the the credit industry in developing countries, which led to the offer insurance to this previously unserved population. insurance policy. These problems are similar to those faced by relatively high transaction costs of servicing an inexpensive
it is offered (Cutler and Reber, 1998; Ellis, 1989), but that We evaluate the health and economic effects of the SKY
micro-health insurance program on households in rural Cambodia using a randomized controlled trial. By randomizing
have followed the lead of micro-nance and have started to Health insurance may also increase access to health care
the insurance premium we induce random variation in the causal effects of health insurance on three main categories of
likelihood of insurance take-up that allows us to estimate the outcome: health care utilization, such as timely utilization of curative care and substitution to public facilities from private
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such as out-of-pocket medical spending and new debt to pay major health shocks and stunting and wasting.
for health care; and health outcomes, such as frequency of We also investigate SKY's impact on other outcomes, such SKY has the greatest impacts on economic outcomes, as
over 40%, and households with SKY had over one-third less changed health-seeking behavior, increasing use of public facilities and decreasing use of unregulated care. At the same
debt and over 75% less health-related debt. SKY also time, SKY had no detectable impact on preventative care. We these outcomes meant that, a priori, we did not expect to have sufcient statistical power to measure health impacts. short time horizon of the study and the smaller sample size for did not nd statistically signicant impacts on health, but the
expected from an insurance program. For example, SKY decreased total health care costs of serious health shocks by
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
1. Previous Research
establish causality typically nd that health insurance utilization also leads to detectable improvements in health.1
studies using randomization or natural experiments to increases health care utilization; in some cases increased
eligibility rules, comparing outcomes for individuals who are use other rigorous study designs. Across a variety of settings coverage have consistently increased health care utilization
just eligible to those who just missed the cut-off for eligibility, or in the U.S. and Canada, expansions of health insurance Vaghaiwalla, and Brook, 1986; Lurie et al., 1984; Currie
health and health care utilization to date. This experiment were randomly assigned to a free care plan while others were assigned one of several plans that required varying co-payments. The study found that those assigned to a cost-sharing plan sought less treatment than those with full studied almost 4000 people in 2000 families. Some families
Some studies nd important improvements in health (Hanratty, 1996; Currie and Gruber, 1997), others nd modest or not statistically signicant improvements (Card, Dobkin and Maestas, 2007), and others nd evidence of no strong beneResults are more mixed regarding the impact of health
preventive visits to doctors and elective care such as mental health benets from having more complete insurance (i.e., full 1992). For most health outcomes there were no general health treatment as opposed to emergency care (Keeler
of-pocket health expenditures (Jutting, 2004, in Senegal; Berman, 2001, in Egypt). In contrast, Wagstaff et al., (2009) nds that out-of-pocket spending is the same or even higher
for the insured than the uninsured in China. They explain this of health care in China, which favors increased utilization and
and for persons with elevated blood pressure. Importantly, the signicant 10% reduction in mortality risk, apparently due to among low-income households with free care (Keeler 1992). increased detection and treatment of high blood pressure
Pradhan (2005) nd that a national voluntary health insurance program in Vietnam is correlated with increased health care
1
This literature review draws on Polimeni 2006, Levine, Gardner, and Polimeni 2009.
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measures for children and with an increased (that is, healthier) Body Mass Index (BMI) for adults. to concerns that a very non-random group of people have These studies in poor nations are useful, but are all subject
utilization of health care services if demand for health is high prices, then lowering the marginal price of insurance should
not increase utilization of care. On the other hand, because the compared to other types of care, SKY may induce individuals to change the health care provider (a stated goal of SKY). Several recent studies and literature surveys have examined SKY insurance program lowers the cost of public care as
between health insurance and health spending, health care If health insurance increases utilization of effective health
care services, there is room for it to improve health in the poor common event (World Bank, 2006). Past research has shown
area of Cambodia, where forgone care is an unfortunately that the impacts of health insurance or changes in the price of the U.S. noted above, Manning 1987; and in the Indonesian populations (e.g., in the RAND health insurance experiment in health care on health are largest among the lowest income Resource Mobilization Study, Dow, Gertly, Schoeni, Strauss smaller effects of insurance for low-income households than
credit has not been found to increase utilization of health services, possibly because households insure against health risks through social networks (Townsend, 1994, and Robinson and Yeh, 2011, as referenced in Dupas, 2011). Thus, we provider type, as SKY only covers public providers.
expect that SKY will not change the percent utilizing health services following a major shock, although they may change
and Thomas, 1997), though Wagstaff and Pradhan (2005) nd for other households in Vietnam.
on health and out-of-pocket health expenditures, health well-being by preventing families from selling productive
services for some illnesses, they are often unable to cover the costs associated with major health shocks (Gertler, 2002, and Families without access to credit may decrease investments in as referenced in Dupas, 2011).
insurance can also inuence longer-term economic outcomes. Health insurance may inuence a family's long term economic Any increases in health can also lead to increases in
Fafchamps and Lund, 2003, as referenced in Dupas, 2011). (Rosenzweig and Wolpin, 1993, and Robinson and Yeh, 2011, While demand for treatment of acute illness is inelastic, productive assets and otherwise jeopardize their future
productivity and income. For example, Thomas, et al. (2004) show that improving health via iron supplements has a signicant positive effect on productivity for adults in Indonesia. Dow et al. (1997) give evidence that higher prices for health care are associated with reduced labor force The study of the impact of insurance on health utilization also participation for women and lower wages for men in Indonesia.
demand for preventative services such as bednets, water price elastic (Kremer, Leino, Miguel and Zwane, 2011; Cohen and Dupas, 2010; Kremer and Miguel, 2007; Abdul Lateef
treatment, and deworming products, has been found to be very Jameel Poverty Action Lab, 2011). A small decrease in cost produces a large increase in uptake. Thus, we may expect that SKY, by decreasing the marginal price of preventative care, may have a large impact on the utilization of this care.
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2. The Setting
data), and the 46th-lowest life expectancy (Central Intelligence Agency 2010).
the 38th highest infant mortality rate (of 224 countries with Cambodians rely on a mix of health care providers: public
nations. It ranks 188 out of 229 nations in GDP per capita, has
providers, private medical providers, private drug sellers (with Public facilities consist of local health centers, which provide
basic care for everyday illnesses, Operational District Referral Hospitals, for illnesses requiring more involved treatment, and
or other organizations.
Public facilities are subsidized by the Cambodian government However, public facilities have low utilization. According to
and loss of land. For example, one study followed 72 households with a member who had suffered dengue fever following a 2004 outbreak in Cambodia. A year later, half the families still had outstanding health-related debt, with interest
the 2005 DHS, fewer than a quarter of those who sought Private providers of varying capabilities are typically more because they are often more attentive to clients' needs, more
treatment for illness or injury went to a public health facility. popular than public ones, even when more expensive,
families had found it necessary to sell their land to pay their Meessen 2004). Annear, et al. (2006) and Kenjiro (2005) found similarly high levels of indebtedness due to medical expenses.
examining responses to different premiums and benets. Historically, take-up of insurance has ranged from 2% in
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regions where insurance has been only recently introduced to 12% in the longest-served regions. avoid nancial losses and become nancially sustainable While the SKY program targets the poor, it is also trying to
$2.75 per month for a household with eight or more members. household can stop insurance payments at any time, failing to can join SKY at any time, but coverage will not begin until the cycle results in the loss of one month of reserve. A household month's coverage plus two reserve months up front. While a Households sign up for a six-month cycle, paying for the rst
(without donor support) in the long term. Thus, the policy includes several terms that limit adverse selection. For the rst few months of joining. Also, insurance is purchased at example, SKY does not pay for the delivery of babies within
would purchase insurance for only very ill or frail members. Finally, SKY insurance does not cover long-term care of expensive drugs for HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis.) chronic diseases. (Government programs pay for the very At the time of the study SKY sold insurance at prices ranging
to encourage take-up. With their insurance, household members are entitled to free services and prescribed drugs at local public health centers and at public hospitals with a referral (SKY 2009).
insurance for the rst time are offered slightly lower premiums
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
health care utilization at public facilities, especially if purchase. We expect that most effects of health insurance arise when
households are seeking qualied health care in a timely a medical caregiver (as opposed to a pure drug seller). manner. Thus, we also measure time until they were treated at As noted above, health care in rural Cambodia is dominated
someone has a serious illness or injury. At the same time, measure both types of impacts, described below. 3.1.1 Health behavior following a health shock For health seeking behavior following a health shock, we
theory of success posits insured families will be less frequent serious or costly incidents that used a drug seller, traditional Public health care providers are the only providers that are doctors. We act as a proxy for those caregivers by looking at users of ineffective informal care and unqualied private
focus on serious health incidents, which we dene as illnesses a health shock, insurance can increase health-seeking death. On the one hand, by reducing the cost of care following or injuries that lead to seven or more days of disability or
only public facilities, SKY encourages utilization of these regulated facilities. To test this, we look at the percentage of following a major health shock.
inelastic, as has been found in much of the recent health care utilization, although insured households may shift care. away from more costly private care towards SKY-covered We also measure reduction in forgone health care and health-demand literature, we may not see much increase in
individuals visiting a public facility for the rst time for care
3.1.2 Other health seeking behavior We also analyze forgone care for households as a whole,
reduction in delayed care. One of SKY's principal goals is to due to lack of funds. In our study, a sick household member is reduce the share of families that forgo necessary health care considered to have forgone care following an illness or injury if
measure this, households are asked whether a member has ever forgone care due to lack of funds.
treatment was not sought, or was discontinued, due to cost. A concern in poor nations is that families delay treatment of
may also increase routine and preventative care. In general, public health centers even in households without a major
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in the three months prior to our household survey in While immunizations and some other forms of preventive
little exposure to the public health facilities that provide and SKY increases immunizations and modern contraception, and such as ante and postnatal care and location of birth.
public facilities more) may increase preventive care. We test if test whether SKY has any impact on birth-related outcomes
family reduce expenditures on expensive private providers. The net result is lower total out-of-pocket expenditures.
health insurer pay after a serious injury or illness, and that the Health care expenditures arise precisely when the family has
inability to carry out normal daily activities for seven or more days. examine total out-of-pocket costs for health care (including To test whether SKY reduces out-of-pocket costs, we
lost productivity and often income from one or more adult. For may decrease labor supply to provide this care. The typically must provide meals and other care for the patient, and
transportation costs) following a major shock. Because insurance is most important for larger shocks, we also
estimate whether insurance decreases the occurrence of costs exceeding 250 USD following a single incident (the top 10th household (the top 35th and 10th percentiles). percentile), or of costs exceeding 100 or 350 USD for a
high, so a loan often leads to asset sales at a later date. We insurance will lower the rate of selling assets and of taking on debt to pay for care.
hypothesize that when a serious health incident occurs, We divide economic impact measures into two categories:
economic consequences of individual health incidents, and overall economic impacts to a household.
measure how often SKY pays for care for insured households. less likely to pay for care using costly means of payment. If SKY lowers out-of-pocket expenses, households may be To test this, we examine how often health care expenses SKY increases health care or prompt utilization of quality health of SKY on the total number of days of missed activity for ill money, selling an asset, or raising money through extra work. If following a major health incident are covered by borrowing
3.2.1 Economic impacts following a health shock We use several outcomes to measure the impact of health
not focused on mean expenditures, but a substantial reduction dened again as an illness or injury leading to death or an
care, an ill individual may recover more quickly and may have individuals.
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3.2.2 Overall economic impacts on households If insurance is effective, we expect insured families to be less
children from school to help pay for care, the result is that a short-term health shock can lower long-term productivity and Hardeman, and Meessen, 2004; Annear 2006; Jacoby and
for this outcome at the incident level: we look at the percentage of major health incidents for which care is nanced with a the household level: out of all households, were insured
likely to sell land and other assets. Above, we describe our test
likely to take on new loans due to health care costs and less
loan or asset sale. We also look at these measures at past year due to health (not necessarily related to a major incident)? To increase precision we also run this analysis on disability during the year. households less likely to take out a loan or sell an asset in the
health insurance can avoid large out-of-pocket expenditures it may promote the accumulation of productive physical and human capital. Although this study was not designed to be large enough to measure such benets unless they are very
care from unqualied providers, and increased preventative care will over time improve health. Unfortunately, it takes an extremely large multi-year study to detect such effects. Although this study was not specically designed to measure such
program.
SKY members, we also test several other impacts of the SKY SKY typically selects relatively high-quality public sector
providers and then works with them to improve quality. To the increasing usage, SKY members will learn about the higher extent SKY is successful in both improving quality and
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
was denied access to insurance. Rather, by subsidizing the premium of a randomly selected group of households, we are substantially altering the existing SKY program. able to estimate the effect of insurance on households without
December 2008. The expansion took place in Takeo, Kandal, a village meeting to describe the insurance product to
prospective customers. The meetings are advertised ahead of To randomize the price of insurance, we implemented a
households were entitled to a coupon for 1-month free off the rst opaque bag. printed on colored heavy-weight paper, were placed into an At the end of the meeting, the Field Coordinator announced
price: 5 months free insurance in the rst 6-month cycle, with the option to renew for a second 6-month cycle with a coupon for 3 months free. recorded the name of one representative of each household in of those arriving late. At the start of each meeting, an Evaluation Representative
what each coupon entitled the bearer to. The Field Coordinator winning it. Next, the names from the attendance list were called off one by one, and one representative from each
attendance, and throughout the meeting, recorded the names SKY's Field Coordinator introduced SKY in the typical
family came to the front of the room to draw a coupon from the but care was taken to ensure that coupon type could not be
bag. High and low coupons were different colors, so that seen while drawing, and that high and low coupons could not recorded next to the person's name on the attendance sheet. be identied by touch. The outcome for each draw was
As the SKY Field Coordinator spoke about the product, the Evaluation Representative counted the number of households
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equal number of low-coupon households to be included in the survey sample. Low-coupon households for the survey were to equal the number of high coupon winners. roster until enough low-coupon households had been chosen chosen by picking every fourth household from the meeting Following the meeting, our staff and the village chief drew
(that is, all the high-value coupon winners plus the low-value coupon winners that would also be surveyed). SKY Insurance insurance. Agents then visited these households to offer them health discounted offer to renew by offering additional discounts after We encouraged members who received the steeply
4.2 Estimation
4.2.1 Intention to Treat The randomization of prices allows us to answer the
steeply discounted price. Due to drop-out over time, SKY membership was higher a few months after a village meeting Thus, we also included as an instrument the offered price (Monthsit): than several months later for those offered the higher price.
Ti = 1
comparing average outcomes for households that did or did not receive a coupon for a large discount for SKY insurance.
interacted with the number of months since the village meeting SKYit = i . Ti + 2 .Monthsit + 3 .Monthsit. Ti + uit (2)
4.2.2 Impact on the Insured (Treatment Effect on the Treated) We can also estimate the effect of SKY insurance on
households that purchased insurance due to the discount (the simply compare outcomes of the insured to the uninsured. If we estimate how SKY predicts outcomes Y for household i at time t with ordinary least squares: Yit = . SKYit + i (1) because SKY membership is endogenous. For example, if the estimated coefcient OLS can have very large bias To estimate the effect of insurance on the insured, we cannot
respondent recall over the 12 month period immediately prior say, outcomes that are a direct result of an individual health Monthsit is dened as the number of months between the incident in month t, t is dened as the date of the incident,
village meeting and time t, and the instrument Monthsit.Ti is Monthsit multiplied by 1 if household i received a high status in month t, SKYit, is dened as a three-month average recall of the timing of health incidents. Thus, SKYit can take on
coupon and 0 if the household received a low coupon. SKY membership rate centered in month t , to account for imperfect
people with health problems purchase insurance more often, OLS could be strongly negative (that is, SKY predicts poor Thus, we instrument for SKY membership with the
occurring t months after the village meeting, SKYit equals 1 equals 1/3 if the household was insured in only time t - 1.
the values 0, 1/3, 2/3 or 1. For example, for a health incident if household i was insured in months t - 1, t, and t + 1, but Similarly, for birth outcomes, t is dened as the month of the
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
the village meeting and time t . SKYit is again dened as a three-month average membership rate centered in month t . For all endogenous variables not related to a particular
birth, and
the time of an incident (or the other denitions, above) and regression measures the impact of SKY on households that the insured and contrast it with the control group (those For simplicity, we will often refer simply to the effect of SKY on meeting as an instrument, the Treatment on the Treated joined SKY and remained in SKY due to the large discount. including offer price interacted with months since the village
months prior to the survey, such as having visited a public facility (for any reason, whether or not related to an illness), we the survey (again, to account for imperfect recall). For
without a high-valued coupon), even though a small portion of the control group also purchased SKY. The causal effect on this price-sensitive group is the local
dene SKYit as average membership in the 4 months prior to outcomes that take time to accumulate such as health-related loans, SKYit is dened as the share of the year prior to the SKY, such as trust in SKY, SKYit = 1 for households that had
average treatment effect (LATE; Imbens and Angrist, 1994). the instrumental variables methodology does not allow the measurement of the impact of SKY coverage on households that would have bought SKY both with and without the large of SKY are larger for the rst group and smaller for the latter. discount, or on households that choose not to buy insurance
interview that the household was a SKY member. Finally, for variables that require only that the household be exposed to at some time been a SKY member. The precise dating of Using our randomized price as an instrument estimates the
even at the largely discounted price. It is plausible the benets As we also use months in SKY as an instrument, we are not these households. measuring the impact of SKY on households that join SKY but
4.3 Data
Our analyses use a longitudinal household survey and SKY Although we collected data on prenatal care, birth outcomes,
reduction in several important outcome measures. For percentage point reduction in the percentage of households percentage point increase in the number of households using utilizing public facilities in DHS 2005 data). (compared to the 10.1% mean in DHS 2005 data), or a 2.0 a public facility in the past four weeks (compared to the 5.1% spending over $1.25 on health care in the previous four weeks
power to detect a feasible and economically important example, we expected to have 80% power to detect a 2.6
anthropometric measures for children, and frequency of major illness or death, the evaluation was not designed to have example, using our sample, we calculated that we could
statistical power to detect impacts on these measures. For households reporting any illness in the previous 4 weeks detect a 3.5 percentage point decrease in the percentage of
(compared to the baseline mean of 20.2% in DHS 2005 data). an illness lasting more than 7 days, we have 80% power to detect a 2.6 percentage point decrease compared to the Using our actual survey measure of percent of individuals with
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than unregulated treatment, we did not expect to see this level on only a small portion of our sample, so it becomes even harder to detect changes in outcomes.
described above. In total, our randomized sample consists of households offered the regular price, of which we interviewed 2561 and 2548 households respectively, in the baseline 2506 households respectively. Survey response rate and
non-winner from the village meeting attendance list, as 2617 households offered the deep discount and 2618 survey, and for which we have follow-up data for 2502 and completion was almost identical between households that did the timeline and sample size of the evaluation. and did not receive the deep discount. Figure 1 summarizes Because there was a delay between the rst offer of insurance
4.3.1 Household survey Our main data source is a survey of over 5000 households.
We rely largely on the follow-up survey, which took place 13 to use some data from the rst round survey administered one meetings. year prior to the follow-up, so 1 to 8 months after the village 20 months after the initial SKY marketing meetings. We also
behavior following a major health shock, which we dene as a health incident causing a death, the inability to carry out usual causing an expense of over 100 USD. In most analyses we do household activities for seven or more days, or an incident
include baseline levels of some impact variables as controls. households a few months after joining SKY, then the delay in downwards. In that case, if insurance has already had an impact on the baseline will bias the estimated effects of insurance
4.3.2 SKY membership For each household that joins SKY, SKY records the date the
household starts coverage, and (if not still a member) the date the household dropped out of SKY.
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
5. Results
suppose that an uninsured household with the same illness households will be counted as having a serious illness by our
(for health events) or at the time of the rst round survey. Of the thirty variables tested, only three show a statistically signicant difference between high and low coupon at the 5% level subjectively graded as poor by enumerators, while only condence level. 14% of low-coupon households have wealth low-coupon households are slightly more likely to live in a wealth indicators did not show signicant differences. versus 95.3% of high- coupon households were Khmer. 10% of high- coupon households are rated as poor. Similarly,
measure while the uninsured household would not. Behavior results. that for the uninsured individual will not, causing bias in our One factor that helps to reduce this potential bias is that SKY by the insured individual will be included in our measure, while
house made of palm, another measure of lower wealth. Other Households offered a high coupon were also slightly less likely to be Khmer as opposed to another ethnicity: 94.6% and for some variables, we test whether holding rst round We keep in mind these differences when interpreting results,
pocket cost of a hospital stay is zero even for the non-insured. death rates by much over such a short time. We believe that non-SKY members, although it is unlikely SKY would affect SKY members may also be less likely to have a death than
for the patient. In addition, by the sixth day the marginal out-of-
survey values constant impacts our results. 5.1.2 Analyzing serious health incidents
number of households from the insured and uninsured groups being classied as having a serious incident by our measure.
neither of these factors will have a meaningful effect on the Consistent with our assumptions, the rates of serious
a death. If insurance affects the probability of a major incident, then for these measures we are no longer identifying the effect of insurance solely using the randomized price. For example,
the treatment group (those offered the steeply discounted statistically signicant difference). When we look at individuals price) and the control group (0.007 average for both groups, no
groups.
were also similar: 10.2% for both the treatment and control
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Treatment and Control means, are presented in each outcome table. Comparing outcomes for the treatment and control
declined steadily over time. Membership for controls does not change much over time, slightly increasing to a peak of 3.3% at 20 months. Table 2 shows the rst stage regression for incident-level data.
membership in the month of, prior to, and following the incident other specications are in Appendix Tables A.5 through A.7. All signicance. treatment on SKY membership and similarly strong statistically
month t , and that months is dened as the number of months between the village meeting and month t . First stages for the are similar to Table 2 and show similarly large effects of the
utilization following a serious health incident, which we dene health issues or a health incident resulting in a death. For the impact on forgone health care, our instrumental
be due to the higher percentage of uninsured households also examine days until the insured visited a hospital, where More important is delay until effective treatment. Thus, we
receive care within a day (Table 3). However, this result may
as 7 or more days unable to perform usual activities due to variables estimate is that those who purchased insurance due
that term is best translated as medical caregiver (as opposed healers (kru khmer). We top-coded this measure at 30 days, and coded those with no medical caregiver visit as having a delay at the top-coded value of 30 days. We also measure the medical caregiver within a day of the incident. There was no signicant difference between baseline and those insured in either of these measures. percent of individuals with incidents receiving care at a to a pure drug-seller). This term includes even traditional
discontinued treatment following a health incident compared to the control mean of 5.2%, but this difference is not statistically signicant at conventional levels (Table 3, P = 0.19). We also expectations, insured individuals with a health shock have a
examine the number of days until rst treatment. Counter to longer delay before rst treatment, and are less likely to
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
SKY insurance doubled the odds that a serious incident's rst almost half of serious incidents had their rst source of care at traditional healers make up the rest). SKY reduced private (P < 0.05) and increased public health centers by 18 signicant amounts. treatment was from a public health center. Among the control,
and women of reproductive age (for birth outcomes and detectable effect on the proportion of children whose
smaller sample size of children (for immunization measures) contraception). With that caution in mind, there is no
a private provider, 14% at drug sellers, 16% at public hospitals providers as the rst source of care by 11 percentage points
immunizations are up to date, or on the share of married women ages 16-45 using contraception or using modern contraception (Appendix Table A.2). Table 5 presents SKY impacts on birth-related outcomes. On
hospitals were not changed by economically or statistically Rates of ever using each type of provider following a health Many serious incidents receive care from multiple providers.
antenatal care in general, and there was no signicant impact hand, the insured are much more likely to report having receicompared to the control mean of around 92.6%).2 on the percent receiving postnatal check-ups. On the other ved at least one tetanus shot during pregnancy (P = 0.10, attendant, midwife, or doctor present at the birth. Insured give birth with a midwife, than were uninsured households, but levels. We do nd some difference in delivery location between Regardless of insurance, 99% of births had a trained birth
control, 18% of households used a health center following a 40% among SKY members after SKY purchase (P < 0.001).
health shock, and this increased by 22 percentage points to (compared to the control with near two-thirds of all individuals The 9 percentage point decline in ever using a private provider
women were slightly more likely to give birth under the care of
a trained birth attendant or doctor, and slightly less likely to these differences are not statistically signicant at traditional
with a shock) is marginally statistically signicant at the 7% level. (Appendix Table A.1.)
5.4.2 Other health seeking behavior At the household level, using instrumental variables, insured
number of births the difference is not statistically signicant. Pooling births at a formal facility, insured women were 31 private facility (P = 0.06, control mean is 64%). Women not percentage points more likely to give birth in either a public or
compared to the control mean of 0.9% (essentially indicating statistically signicant (Appendix Table A.2).
that the insured had no forgone care) but this impact was not Respondents also were asked, In the last three months, did
you go to see a government doctor? Inconsistent with SKY's previous 3 months (Appendix Table A.2). share of respondents who report use of a public provider in the theory of change, SKY membership does not increase the
2The
point estimate, taken literally, shows a 12 percentage point increase in reporting at least one tetanus shot; this effect would lead to over 100% of SKY members having a tetanus shot. This anomaly is due to our choice of linear probability model coupled with sampling error. That is, if by chance a few high-coupon recent mothers who did not join SKY had a tetanus shot, our instrumental variable method will expand that sampling error to get the reported point estimate.
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5.5.1 Economic effects following a health shock We analyze total out-of-pocket costs (Table 6), and then
modest. The insured are 12.3 percentage points less likely to spend more than $5 at a private provider following a health shock compared to the control of 61.9% (P < 0.05), and 7.0 cut-off amount up to $1000 sometimes made the difference percentage points less likely to spend $150 compared to the
(7 or more days unable to work) or fatal incidents at the 98th both cost of treatment and cost of transport. The control mean estimate is that households induced to purchase SKY due to cost for an incident is $103.81. The instrumental variable percentile (947 USD) to eliminate large outliers. We include
control of 9.7% (P < 0.05). For private expenses, varying the the uninsured in all but one (statistically insignicant) case. insignicant, but the insured had lower private expenses than SKY also can reduce costs by paying for public care, but this
will only be the case if they actually pay for care. Households percentage points more likely than other households to have treatment paid for by SKY insurance following a serious or fatal health shock (P < 0.001, Table 7).
we estimate that households that purchased SKY due to the deep discount paid $57.80 less in care and transport for these major incidents compared to a control mean of $132.43, which (Polimeni and Levine 2011c). is a decrease of 44% (P < 0.01). These results are driven by
Table 6). Summing over all incidents in the last twelve months,
a decrease in treatment costs rather than transport costs Importantly, much of this savings in out-of-pocket costs are
loan without interest (versus the control mean of 12.8%, signicant impact on the use of extra work to pay for health care expenses. In results not shown, while individuals with health shocks in P < 0.10), following a large health shock. SKY had no
P < 0.01), and 6.4 percentage points less likely to take out a
take out a loan with interest (versus the control mean of 19.6%,
22.4%, P < 0.05, Table 7), 13.6 percentage points less likely to
due to lower rates of very high medical expenses. We cumulated out-of-pocket costs for each serious incident.3 While 11% of incidents in control households had health care 0.01).4 Moving to the household 8.6 percentage points (P < year for a given costs of over $250, insurance decreased this percentage by household), insured households have 5.0 probability of spending over $100
level (that is, cumulating across all incidents in the past percentage points lower probability of spending over $350 percentage points lower P < 0.10). (compared to control rate of 11.5%, P = 0.19), and 10.9 following a shock (compared to the control rate of 38.2%, households paying for high-cost private visits, but the effect is SKY decreases costs in part by lowering the percentage of
insured households have an average of 1.9 fewer days lost (P = 0.82). days ill), the difference has very low statistical signicance due to illness (compared to the average control rate of 39.5
3 Results hold if we include households that did not have a death or missed 7 days, but spent over $100 USD on care. 4
24
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We chose this cut-off to correspond to the top 10th percentile of spending. We tested different cut-offs under $250 and in all cases the IV regression showed that the insured had significantly lower spending than the uninsured. Cut-offs above $500 did not produce statistically significant results.
Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
5.2.2 Overall economic impacts on households Separate from analyzing the costs of each incident, we with insurance reducing out-of-pocket
capital. (Recall this study was not designed to be large and results show that SKY members had substantially higher value
For SKY donors, the hope is that over time health insurance
long enough to be likely to measure such effects.) Our IV $540, P < 0.05, Table 8). There is no difference in other asset A wealth-index composed of the averaged z-scores of the effect is not statistically signicant ( = 0.09, P = 0.13, Table 8).7 of livestock ($96.9 higher, compared to the baseline mean of
(P < 0.05), about one-third of the mean for control households insured families have $22 lower loans from health, which is a reduction of 77% compared to the control mean of $29 (P < 0.001) .5
expenditures, households with SKY also have less debt. (Table 8). When we ask specically about loans for health,
classes: cash, gold, or non-farm businesses (not shown), or between Treated and Control groups as a whole.6
value of cash, gold, animal, durable assets, and non-farm business shows a positive impact of SKY on wealth, but the As expected, economic impacts on households with health
up only in households with a serious health incident or death: these households reduce debt by $89 compared to the control mean of $234.61 (P < 0.05, Appendix Table A.3). While SKY and non-SKY households with no serious incidents have lower insured households (results not shown). debt than households with a serious incident, among those with no serious incident, debt is not especially lower for
Households who bought insurance due to the high coupon (at 8.9%) to have such a loan (Table 8, P < 0.01).
than the previous year due to health care costs or a birth. were 7.7 percentage points less likely than control households
households have a 4.6 percentage point higher fraction of mean of 83.1% (P = 0.14). While provocative, the higher
sold land due to ill health; the IV point estimate shows that control mean of 1.1% (P = 0.051).
5The large-valued coupon was worth around $1.65 x 8 for 12 months, equal to a total of $19.80 for high-coupon households that joined for all 12 months. Insured households decreased health-related loans, compared to the control, by $22.32 (this is total health care loans, not loans in the last 12 months). Even if we assume that the coupon is equivalent to a direct income transfer of $19.80, this leaves insured households with $2.52 less in health care debt.
To create this index, we created z-scores for each of the five wealth values (gold, cash, animals, assets, business) by subtracting the overall mean of these variables and dividing by the standard deviation. The index is the average of these five z-scores. This is similar to a procedure used by Kling (2007), except that that paper normalizes so that the mean and standard deviation of the index for control households is equal to zero.
7
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households with health shocks lasting 7 or more days or a Although this study was not specically designed to
measure how SKY insurance affects objective measures of children's health (BMI and height-and-weight-for-age). Insurance had no detectable effect on either measure (Table 9).
assistance to facilities) meant SKY members would raise their views of public doctors. To households visiting a public doctor in the three months prior to the Round 2 survey, we asked
usage of public facilities (for general care in the last three is honest, and is trustworthy (averaging scores in the three We measure views on SKY with agreement that SKY will pay,
respondents their level of agreement with three statements regarding government doctors: Government doctors are government doctors and Government doctor's medical skills on a 1-5 scale. The mean was about 4 on each question, condence in the skills of public-sector doctors (Table 10). This membership did not have a detectable effect on trust in or are not as good as they should be (reverse coded), each reecting a fairly good opinion of government doctors. SKY extremely thorough and careful, You have complete trust in
questions, each measured on a 1-5 scale). Consistent compared to a mean amongst the control of 3.4 (P < 0.001, membership increases trust in SKY by 0.3 points on our scale, Table 10). When we restrict the sample to those who have experienced a serious health incident, the effect is larger
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
6. Robustness Checks
sub-groups,
For many of the outcomes above, we ran tests on several for example, sometimes including only
value of the variable at the time of the rst round survey (Table
households with major shocks or without. In some instances failed those criteria but on which more than 100USD was outcomes, testing the percentage of incidents or households these changes did not affect results, and when they did the with expenditures above $5, $50, $100, etc. In most cases difference in outcome is mentioned above. Changes in our denition of SKYit in equation 2 also did not change general
A.4). While statistical signicance decreased below the 5% level for some outcomes, the general results were the same.
administered several months after the start of insurance, these results may be somewhat biased downwards. To further analyze the data, we subdivided the sample to test
outcomes on various sub-populations. We examined effects of ill household member has a long-term disability. We also
results.
and months since SKY. These results were very similar to the main results, and are presented in Appendix B. Our randomization tests showed that high coupon
starting off with the lowest value of assets and smallest for SKY seems to have a bigger impact on females than males in
those with the highest value of assets at the baseline, and that
meaning that some differences in outcomes may have already were inuencing results, for a few variables we included the
However, in general we did not have enough statistical power categories. Results of these extensions are presented in
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
Conclusion
sellers to the public system. It appears to be successful in this by as much as we had anticipated.
improvement in quality to cause a measurable difference over our short time horizon and using our survey sample. health insurance is primarily designed to protect against economic loss. The effects of SKY were typically larger on medical expenses following a major health shock, and this While the above impacts focus on health and health care,
regard. SKY also reduces expensive private care, though not SKY aims to reduce delays prior to receiving qualied care.
uninsured often self-medicate from unqualied drug sellers. qualied providers. Our measure is limited as we cannot distinguish delays prior to SKY's hope is that higher exposure to health messages at
economic outcomes than on utilization. SKY reduced total reduction was largely due to lower rates of large expenses. SKY households also had lower accumulation of debt due to to pay for a large shock. Insured households were less likely to sell land to pay for a health issue, and had higher overall values of livestock than uninsured households. Our results suggest that most uninsured households will health problems, and were less likely to sell productive assets
public health centers will increase preventive care such as these effects. Given that some forms of preventative care are insurance did not increase this type of care.
already free (e.g., vaccines), it is perhaps not surprising that As in the general literature, it is easier to detect changes in
probably take on debt to pay for health care at some point in the rates of these events by about a third.
sell productive assets such as land. SKY health insurance cuts Importantly, the overall savings to insured households
utilization than improvements in health. The sample size and timeframe of our study meant that we did not have statistical cannot draw any conclusions from this result. On the one power to detect meaningful improvements in health. Thus, while we nd no signicant impacts of SKY on health, we hand, it is possible that SKY indeed has no impact on health: facilities may not actually improve health compared to types of care (private or drug sellers). Treatment at public treatment at public facilities is often a replacement for other
compare favorably with the cost of insurance for these month (taking into account average household size of SKY calculations show a decrease in expenditures of 57.80 USD even higher reductions using uncensored results. Thus, out-of-pocket costs (ignoring any social cost, and any added or assuming the value of SKY to a consumer equals averted over the last 12 months for insured households (Table 6), and buyers), or 19.80 USD for a year of membership. Our households. On average, households pay 1.65 USD per
treatment at other facilities, or if care is poor enough, may not centers are better than these other types of care and truly do
improve health at all. On the other hand, even if public health improve health, they may not represent a big enough
8 This back-of-the-envelope calculation assumes health care shocks are fairly independently distributed over time and ignores that dropout rates of SKY are high so that under current trends few households will be members of SKY for decades.
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form of care or no care), the value outweighs the cost of insurance for the insured. If private care or self-treatment via SKY members is an underestimate, as we are not including drug sellers is actually harmful, then our estimates of value to of benets does not include any averted interest payments due Our study examines a group of households in rural any value of averting private care. In addition, this calculation
live far from high-quality public facilities. In that case, the than our estimates. never-buying group would have fewer benets from insurance At the same time, those who decline insurance even with the
to decreased loans for health care. Conversely, if public care is harmful, our estimates of benets are an overestimate. Cambodia that are similar to the general population in age, may generalize well to the rest of rural Cambodia. At the same time, SKY partners only with health facilities that are above insurance scheme would most likely be worse in areas where Also, as noted above, using our randomized price as an average quality. The impact of a community-based health
sal insurance would affect this part of the population. We also take-up of insurance and adverse selection in the long run.
group. Thus, it is difcult to be sure how expansion to univerlook at a program that is very new in this region. As time goes
on, understanding of insurance probably rises. This may affect Using months since meeting as an additional instrument has
similar caveats. Households that remain insured for a longer impacts on the population as a whole.
period of time are those who anticipate the largest benets from SKY. In that sense, our estimates may overestimate the In companion papers (Polimeni and Levine 2011a and
instrument estimates the effect of insurance on roughly the business and public policy, as these customers are probably
discounted price. This price-sensitive group is relevant for subsidy, successful new marketing techniques, and so forth. not representative of the effects of insurance on the entire Levine 2011a) demonstrates substantially more self-selection insurance than for the larger group who bought insurance only population. For example, a companion paper (Polimeni and among the 4% of the population who paid full price for SKY te the greatest benets of insurance buy insurance even at the full price, their benets from insurance will be higher than our estimates. Conversely, those who decline insurance even with the steep discount may correctly expect low benets, perhaps at a deeply discounted price. To the extent those who anticipathe most likely to purchase insurance if there were a greater
Polimeni and Levine 2011b) we nd that SKY purchasers are SKY members tend to have had more health problems prior to purchasing SKY, particularly if they paid the full price. We also provide evidence that SKY members paying the regular price
regular price tend to use SKY facilities substantially more than those who purchased SKY with a high coupon. This gap in selection. health care usage is predicted by theories of adverse
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SKY members we analyze) have health and expected health price. communities than are those who purchase SKY at the regular
absence, so it is possible that health insurance leads to This study examines one insurer operating in a few regions
care expenditures that are much more similar to others in their In addition to limitations of our identication strategy, our
evaluate micro-insurance and other innovations in health care nancing. The low take-up of voluntary health insurance emphasizes
measures all had limitations. For example, we did not measure the quality of private care. Thus, it is hard to tell if public care. As noted, the study was too small to detect changes in SKY increased effective care, or simply replaced private with health along with several other longer-term outcomes. It bears
health care for the rural poor (Bitran, Turbat, Meessen, Van It is important to evaluate the impacts of health equity funds and other alternatives as a complement to this evaluation. health equity funds, which provide free care for the rural poor. Damme 2011). SKY itself is managing one of Cambodia's
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Observations
Offered Full Price, Mean 2533 0,14 5,03 0,70 0,13 0,15 4,61 0,25 0,16 0,07 0,02 0,22 0,55
Offered Deep Discount, Mean 2536 0,10 5,02 0,72 0,14 0,15 4,72 0,26 0,15 0,07 0,02 0,23 0,57
Highest ranked wealth by enumerator Lowest ranked wealth by enumerator Household Size Answered all literacy/numeracy questions correctly Education of health decision-maker (years) At least one member over 65 No child age 5 or under At least one household member with poor self-reported health Household has a stunted or wasted child under age 6
**
-1,13 -1,41
All vaccines fullled for members under 6, 0 if no under 6, pre-mtg Major health shock (*) and used hospital for care (0 if no shock)
Miss 7 or more days of work or death due to illness, 2 to 4 months pre-Meeting Major health shock (*) and used health center for care (0 if no shock) Major health shock (*) and use private health care (0 if no shock) Khmer household Ln1 of
0,27
0,25
0,01
0,02
Ln1 of max days ill for a major health shock (*), pre meeting (0 if no shock)
0,05
0,05
Major health shock (*) and spent 120,000 riel on care (USD30) (0 if no shock)
approximate value of animals, durables, and business (USD) Ln1 of approximate value of animals, durables, business, cash, and gold (USD) Area of farm land owned by household (hectares) Area of village land owned by household (hectares) Household has at least one toilet House made of palm Roof made of palm Roof made of tin Roof made of tile
0,953 6,47 6,68 0,81 0,26 0,05 0,51 0,14 0,04 0,37 0,03
0,04
0,946 6,49 6,74 0,86 0,26 0,13 0,03 0,38 0,03 0,04 0,52
0,04
-0,34
-0,53 -0,41
1,40
-0,66
All variables are from the baseline survey. Sample is all high-coupon households and all low-coupon households in the randomized sample. test clustered at village level. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 * Major shock includes all shocks causing 7 or more days of missed work or death. Variables measured several months after baseline. Some, especially those marked with t, may be slightly changed since initial SKY take-up. 1 Ln : logarithm
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IV : instrumental variables Table 2: First Stage Regression for Incident-Level Outcomes, Round 1 and 2 Incidents used
Avg SKY Membership Prior, Post, Following Incident 0,371*** (13,45) 0,00227 -1,68 -0,00847** (-3.03) 0,0442*** -4,36 4009 0,1502 129,8
High Coupon
High Coupon Interaction With Months Since Village Meeting Constant Observations Adjusted R2 F-Test t statistics in parentheses * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 Table 3: Health Utilization Outcomes following a major health shock Mean Intention to Treat Difference T-Statistic -0,013 (0,01) -1,839 N 4207
3,851 3,346 0.505* 2,181 4207 2,037* 2,451 3887 (0,18) (0,18) (0,23) (0,83) 0,565 0,594 -0,029 -1,785 4207 -0,143* -2,488 3887 Percent receiving treatment on rst day of illness (0,02) (0,01) (0,02) (0,06) 5,491 5,001 0,49 1,413 2749 1,628 1,19 2429 Days until hospital. Top-coded at 30 days. Never went to hospital at 30 days. (0,29) (0,23) (0,35) (1,37) 0,511 0,519 -0,008 -0,418 2749 -0,007 -0,094 2429 Percent visiting hospital on rst day of illness (0,02) (0,01) (0,02) (0,07) All health incidents are for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous Variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and post the incident. Instrument : months between incident and meeting, coupon status, and interaction between the two. Days until hospital uses only incidents in Round 2 of data collection. All other outcomes use incidents in Round 1 and Round 2. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 Days until rst treatment. Top-coded at 30 days. Never treated in 30 days.
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Treatment Was the incident rst treated at a public hospital? Was the incident rst treated at a health center? Was the incident rst treated at a public hospital or health center? Was the incident rst treated at a drug seller? 0,16 (0,01) 0,188 (0,01) 0,349 (0,01) 0,118 (0,01) 0,437 (0,01) 0,032 (0,00) 0,008 (0,00) 0,595 (0,01) 0,025 (0,00)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 0,157 (0,01) 0,141 (0,01) 0,299 (0,01) 0,143 (0,01) 0,468 (0,01) 0,026 (0,00) 0,008 (0,00) 0,646 (0,01) 0,028 (0,00) Difference 0,003 (0,01) 0,047*** (0,01) 0,050*** (0,01) -0,024* (0,01) -0,031* (0,02) 0,005 (0,01) -0,001 (0,00) -0.051*** (0,01) -0,002 (0,01) TStatistic 4,011 0,23 N
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -0,002 (0,04) 0,176*** (0,04) 0,174*** (0,05) -0,082* (0,04) -0,113* (0,05) 0,014 (0,02) 0 (0,01) -0,181*** (0,05) -0,011 (0,02) IV TStatistic -0,036 4,333 3,532 IV N
3,527
Was the incident rst treated at a private doctor? Was the incident rst treated with Kru Khmer? Was the incident rst treated at an NGO? Was the incident rst treated at a non-public place?
-0,313 -3,56
0,016 -3,56
-0,521
-0,724
All incidents for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous Variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and post the incident Instrument : months between incident and meeting, coupon status, and interaction between the two * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Antenatal Care1
Treatment 0,919 (0,02) 0,963 (0,02) 0,63 (0,04) 0,72 (0,04) 0,204 (0,03) 0,763 (0,03) 0,03 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 0,92 (0,02) 0,926 (0,02) Difference -0,001 (0,03) 0,037 (0,02) 0,05 (0,06) 0,08 (0,05) 0,026 (0,04) -0,033 (0,04) 0,01 (0,02) T-Statistic -0,041 1,509 0,87 N 337 337
Impact on the Insured IV Difference 0,03 (0,09) 0,124 (0,08) 0,21 (0,17) 0,31 (0,17) 0,091 (0,13) (0,11) (0,14) 0,02 (0,05) IV TStatistic 0,34 IV N 337 337
Birth
Received at least one tetanus injection during pregnancy Gave birth in a public facility1
1,631 1,20
Gave birth in a public or private health facility1 Assisted at birth by a trained birth attendant2 Assisted at birth by a midwife2 Postnatal Care2 Assisted at birth by a doctor2
0,639 (0,04)
0,69 (0,04)
0,59 (0,04) 0,64 (0,04) 0,178 (0,03) 0,796 (0,03) 0,02 (0,01)
(0,76) 0,41
0,638
1,48
337 436
337
436 436
-0,789 0,51
0,693
1,88
337 436
337
436 436
-0,052 (0,05)
-0,972
310
-0,193 (0,19)
-1,009
310
Sample includes post-SKY births in Round 1 and Round 2, except postnatal care which uses only births listed in Round 2 survey. Endogenous variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and after the birth Instrument: months since meeting, coupon status, and interaction of the two. 1: Includes most recent birth 3 or more months after the rst possible SKY start date. 2: Using most recent birth after the rst possible start date of SKY.
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Treatment 90,407 (4,63) 113,94 (5,33) 0,084 (0,01) 0,347 (0,02) 0,101 (0,01) 0,583 (0,01) 0,076 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 103,811 (4,59) 132,43 (5,73) 0,11 (0,01) 0,382 (0,02) 0,115 (0,01) 0,619 (0,01) 0,097 (0,01) Difference -13,.404* (5,76) -18,493* (7,24) -0,025** (0,01) -0,035 (0,02) -0,014 (0,01) -0.036* (0,02) -0,020* (0,01) T-Statistic -2,326 -2,555 -2,718 -1,747 -1,081 -2,328 -2,328 N 4207 2128 4207 2128 2128 4207 4207
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -45,789* (19,20) -57,804** (22,15) -0,086** (0,03) -0,109 (0,06) -0,05 (0,04) -0,123* (0,06) -0,070* (0,03) IV TStatistic -2,384 -2,609 -2,75 IV N 3887 2128 3887 2128 2128 3887 3887
Share of incidents with total cost greater than 250USD Share of all households spending more than 100USD total on all major health incidents Share of all households spending more than 350USD total on all major health incidents
Total USD spent on care by a household on all major health incidents in the last 12 months1
Share of incidents with total cost greater than 5USD on a private provider Share of incidents with total cost greater than 150USD on a private provider
All health incidents are for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous variable: Varies by variable, see text. Instrument : months between incident and meeting, coupon status, and interaction between the two. 1. Compressed to 98th percentile to remove outliers. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
Treatment 0,167 (0,01) 0,457 (0,01) 0,066 (0,01) 0,213 (0,01) 0,09 (0,01) 0,191 (0,01) 0,107 (0,01) 0,16 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 0,034 (0,01) 0,481 (0,01) 0,067 (0,01) 0,229 (0,01) 0,101 (0,01) 0,224 (0,01) 0,128 (0,01) 0,196 (0,01) Difference 0,133*** (0,01) -0,03 (0,02) -0,001 (0,01) -0,016 (0,01) -0,011 (0,01) -0,.032* (0,01) -0,021* (0,01) -0,035* (0,02) T-Statistic 12,329 -1,47 N
Impact on the Insured IV Difference 0,438*** (0,03) -0,077 (0,06) -0,011 (0,03) -0,044 (0,05) -0,037 (0,03) -0,092* (0,05) -0,064 (0,04) -0,136** (0,05) IV TStatistic 14,951 -1,346 -0,434 -0,902 -1,157 -1,977 -1,799 -2,615 IV N
Are savings used to pay for any of the treatments? Does family pay for any of the treatments? Is work used to pay for any of the treatments?
Are assets used to pay for any of the treatments? Are loans with interest used to pay for any of the treatments? Are loans without interest used to pay for any of the treatments?
All incidents for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous Variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and post the incident Instrument: months between incident and meeting, coupon status, and interaction between the two * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Overall Economic Impacts on Households Payment for care Amount borrowed in total Total value of all loans related to health
Treatment 173,771 (9,18) 22,066 (1,49) 0,065 (0,01) 0,081 (0,01) 0,005 (0,00) 555,285 (17,67) 0,039 (0,02) 0,839 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 194,708 (10,07) 28,943 (1,81) 0,089 (0,01) 0,093 (0,01) 0,011 (0,00) 540,488 (18,03) 0,023 (0,02) 0,831 (0,01) Difference -20,937* (8,52) -6,877*** (1,86) -0,024** (0,01) -0,012 (0,01) -0,006* (0,00) 14,797 (13,56) 0,016 (0,02) 0,008 (0,01) T-Statistic -2,458 -3,699 -2,932 -1,485 -2,29 N 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 3528
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -68,469* (28,37) -22,316*** (6,27) -0,077** (0,03) -0,035 (0,03) -0,016 (0,01) 96,945* (46,25) 0,087 (0,06) 0,046 (0,03) IV TStatistic -2,413 -3,558 -2,836 -1,314 -1,949 2,096 1,524 1,462 IV N 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 3528
More debt than last year due to health reasons or a birth Less farm or village land than the previous year Less farm or village land than the previous year due to health reasons Total value of farm animals, USD, compressed at 98th percentile Percent of children ages 6-17 enrolled in school
Average z-score for cash, gold, animal, asset, and business value
Instrument: months since meeting, coupon status, and interaction of the two. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Mean
Intention to Treat Control 0,007 (0,00) 0,102 (0,00) Difference 0,00 (0,00) 0,00 (0,00) T-Statistic 0,321 N 24865 24684 ` 2222
Impact on the Insured IV Difference 0,001 (0,00) -0,007 (0,01) IV TStatistic 0,253 IV N 24741 24560 2207
Anthropometrics
Percent of individuals sick for 7 or more days in the last year Length/height-for-age z-score BMI-for-age z-score
-0,079 -0,01
Endogenous variable: varies by variable, see text. Instrument: months since meeting, coupon status, and interaction of the two. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Weight-for-age z-score
-0,149 -0,114
2232
2221
-0,012
2217
2206
Intention to Treat Control 3,976 (0,03) 3,411 (0,03) Difference -0,054 (0,04) T-Statistic -1,325 5,396 N 1143 4929
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -0,176 (0,13) IV TStatistic -1,405 4,898 IV N 1143 4929
Trust of Public Doctors (average score over all questions)1 Trust in SKY (never heard of SKY coded as low trust)
0.147*** (0,03)
0.303*** (0,06)
Endogenous variable: varies by variable, see text. Instrument: months since meeting, coupon status, and interaction of the two. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Pilot testing to determine feasibility of randomization and necessary sample size (January February 2007; 34 Village Meetings; Distribution of 325 ve-month coupons, 748 one-month coupons)
Insurance Agent and Member Facilitator Qualitative Interviews: August 2007 (N = 26) Phase 1 Village Meetings: November 2007 May 2008 (N = 142 Villages, Distribution of 1342 ve-month coupons, 1342 one-month coupons selected at random for control group. Maps of village households and location of health facilities and workers Phase 1 Baseline Survey: July - August 2008 (Interviewed 1305 ve-month coupon households, 1296 1-month coupon households, plus 133 additional 1-month households not part of random sample (not used in impact analysis)) Phase 2 Village Meetings: September 2008 December 2008 (N = 103 Villages; Distribution of 1275 ve-month coupons, 1276 one-month coupons selected for control group) Maps of village households and location of health facilities and workers Phase 2 Baseline Survey: December 2008 (Interviewed 1256 ve-month coupon households, 1252 1-month coupon households, plus 67 additional 1-month households used in impact analysis)) Village monographs: March - April 2009 (N = 7 villages, not part of impact evaluation)
Clinic survey: August - November 2008 (N = 38) Village leader survey: October - December 2008 (N = 245)
Phase 2 Round 2 Survey: July - August 2009 (Interviewed 1281 ve-month coupon households, 1282 1-month coupon households plus 200 additional 1-month households not part of random sample (not used in impact analysis))
Phase 2 Round 2 Survey: December 2009 January 2010 (Interviewed 1221 ve-month coupon households, 1224 1 month coupon households, plus 72 additional 1-month households not part of random sample (not used in impact analysis))
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Figure 2: Proportion in SKY, by Months since Village Meeting and Coupon Type 0,50 0,45 0,40 0,35 0,30 0,25 0,20 0,15 0,10 0,05 0,00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Low Coupon Households 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 High Coupon Households
Annexe A Supplementary tables Table A.1: Health Utilization after Major Health Incident Treated at some time at Given Provider Type Mean Intention to Treat Difference 0,017 (0,02) 0.060*** (0,01) 0.062*** (0,02) -0.026* (0,01) -0,028 (0,02) -0,003 (0,01) -0,002 (0,00)
Was the incident ever treated at a public hospital? Was the incident ever treated at a public hospital or health center?
Treatment 0,286 (0,01) 0,24 (0,01) 0,475 (0,01) 0,15 (0,01) 0,624 (0,01) 0,098 (0,01) 0,017 (0,00)
Control 0,269 (0,01) 0,18 (0,01) 0,413 (0,01) 0,175 (0,01) 0,652 (0,01) 0,102 (0,01) 0,018 (0,00)
IV Difference 0,029 (0,06) 0,219*** (0,04) 0,200*** (0,06) -0,085* (0,04) -0,094 (0,05) -0,018 (0,03) 0 (0,01)
Was the incident ever treated at a health center? Was the incident ever treated at a drug seller? Was the incident ever treated with Kru Khmer? Was the incident ever treated at a private doctor?
-2,117
All incidents for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous Variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and post the incident Instrument : months between incident and meeting, coupon status, and interaction between the two * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Treatment 0,006 (0,00) 0,307 (0,01) 0,417 (0,02) 0,311 (0,01) 0,253 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Difference T-Statistic -0,003 (0,00) 0,002 (0,01) -0,004 (0,02) 0,00 (0,02) 0,001 (0,02) -1,137 0,17 N 4980 4980 2805 3292 3292
Impact on the Insured IV IV TDifference Statistic -0,009 (0,01) 0,005 (0,06) -0,078 (0,06) 0,005 (0,07) 0,01 (0,06) -1,145 0,089 IV N 4980 4980 2789 3272 3272
Control 0,009 (0,00) 0,305 (0,01) 0,42 (0,02) 0,312 (0,01) 0,253 (0,01)
At least one household member did not get care due to lack of funds in the last 12 months Household member has visited a government doctor in the last three months All shots up to date at time of survey for children age 6 or under Currently using contraception Currently using modern contraception
-0,182 -0,02
0,047
Immunized Subpopulation Age 6 and under years of age Contraceptives Subpopulation: Married Women Age 16 45 Instrument: months since meeting, coupon status, and interaction of the two. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Overal Economic Impacts on Households Payment for care Amount borrowed in total Total value of all loans related to health
Treatment 201,659 (11,18) 36,778 (2,63) 0,109 (0,01) 0,088 (0,01) 0,008 (0,00) 525,171 -20,502 -0,007 (0,03) 0,829 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 234,609 (13,10) 49,409 (3,22) 0,162 (0,01) 0,106 (0,01) 0,02 (0,00) 484,266 -20,994 -0,047 (0,02) 0,83 (0,01) Difference -32,951* (13,59) -12,631*** (3,78) -0,054*** (0,02) -0,018 (0,01) -0,012** (0,01) 40,905* -20,414 0,04 (0,03) -0,001 (0,02) T-Statistic -2,426 -3,341 -3,472 -1,427 -2,653 2,004 1,493 N 2128 2128 2128 2128 2128 2128 2128 1528
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -89,741* (41,07) -36,853** (11,70) -0,155** (0,05) IV TStatistic -2,185 -3,15 IV N 2128 2128 2128 2128 2128 2128 2128 1528
Less farm or village land than the previous year Less farm or village land than the previous year due to health reasons Total value of farm animals, USD, compressed at 98th percentile Percent of children ages 6-17 enrolled in school
Average z-score for cash, gold, animal, asset, and business value
-0,072
-0,053 (0,04) -0,032* (0,02) 190,246** (62,44) 0,158* (0,08) 0,029 (0,05)
Instrument: months since meeting, coupon status, and interaction of the two. Sample: All households with incidents. Incidents are for a death or 7 or more days disabled. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Table A.4: Instrumental Variables Regressions holding Constant Round 1 Values Impact on the Insured IV Difference 0.089** (0,028) -24,549* (11,392) -11,145 (6,923) -0,046 (,024) 62,092 (37,382) -47,679 (26,381)
Visited a health center following a health incident1 Total spent on care following a health incident1 Total spent on private care2,3
IV Intercept 0,071 (0,007) 47,418 (2,933) 25,939 (1,765) 0,073 (,006) 168,398 (10,649) 108,367 (6,941)
Spent more than 250USD total on care of health incident2 Total value of animals3 Total debt amount3
-1,81
N = 4979 for all variables All outcomes are calculated at the household level. ` Round 1 survey levels of variables held constant in all regressions. Instrument: months since meeting, coupon status, and interaction of the two. 1. Health incident includes a death or incident with 7 or more days unable to perform daily actiities. 2. Health incident includes the above or one that cost over 100USD. 3. Compressed at 98th percentile
Table A.5: First Stage Regression for Individual-Level Outcomes, Round 2 Data Used Current SKY Status High Coupon 0,227* (-2,28) 0,00505 (-1,37) -0,00212 (-0,34) -0,0234 (-0,41) 24741 0,0727 90,71 Ever in SKY 0,466*** (-4,12) 0,00789 (-1,93) -0,00105 (-0,15) -0,0363 (-0,58) 24741 0,2366 320,97 Percent Year in SKY 0,705*** (-7,35) 0,00531 (-1,65) -0.0251*** (-4,17) -0,0297 (-0,60) 24741 0,1939 232,82
Last 4 Months Sky Status 0,490*** (-4,87) 0,00491 (-1,33) -0.0164* (-2,59) -0,0211 (-0,37) 24741 0,1035 125,38
High Coupon Interaction With Months Since Village Meeting Constant Observations Adjusted R2 F-Test t statistics in parentheses * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Table A.6: First Stage Regression for Household-Level Outcomes, Round 2 Data used Current SKY Status High Coupon 0,125 (-1,5) 0,00297 (-0,92) 0,00398 (-0,77) 0,0061 (-0,12) 4980 0,0719 109,01 Ever in SKY 0,377*** (-3,47) 0,00549 (-1,49) 0,00408 (-0,6) -0,00232 (-0,04) 4980 0,2314 337,05 Percent Year in SKY 0,.579*** (-6,52) 0,00335 (-1,18) -0.0175** (-3,16) -0,00137 (-0,03) 4980 0,1887 244,86 Last 4 Months Sky Status 0,375*** (-4,32) 0,00286 (-0,88) -0,00951 (-1,77) 0,00803 (-0,16) 4980 0,1002 144,16
High Coupon Interaction With Months Since Village Meeting Constant Observations Adjusted R2 F-Test
Table A.7: First Stage Regression for Birth-Level Outcomes, Rounds 1 and 2 Data used High Coupon
Avg SKY Membership Prior, Post, Following birth 0,381*** (-6,08) -0,00129 (-0.44) -0,00919 (-1.36) 0,0709** (-2,81) 436 0,1663 23,77
Constant
Observations Adjusted R2 F-Test t statistics in parentheses * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Annex B : Instrumental variable (IV) results using coupon as instrument Table B.1: IV using Coupon as Instrument: First Stage Regression for Incident-Level Outcomes, Rounds 1 and 2 Data used High Coupon 0,301*** (18,72) 0,0627*** (7,32) 4028 0,1461 350,61
Observations Adjusted R2 F-Test t statistics in parentheses * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Constant
Table B.2: IV using Coupon as Instrument: First Stage Regression for Individual-Level Outcomes, Round 2 Data used Current SKY Status 0,193*** (15,56) 0,0570*** (8,41) 24741 0,0721 242,08 Ever in SKY 0,450*** (30,10) 0,0895*** (11,20) 24741 0,2354 905 Percent Year in SKY 0,305*** (23,89) 0,0550*** (9,18) 24741 0,1865 570 0,229*** (17,94) 0,0572*** (8,48) 24741 0,1009 322,01
Table B.3: IV using Coupon as Instrument : First Stage Regresion for Household-Level Outcomes, Round 2 Data used Current SKY Status 0,189*** (17,69) 0,0533*** (8,96) 4980 0,0709 312,92 Ever in SKY 0,442*** (31,37) 0,0849*** (11,86) 4980 0,2302 984,2 Percent Year in SKY 0,301*** (26,10) 0,0518*** (9,78) 4980 0,1848 681,31 0,224*** (20,41) 0,0535*** (9,02) 4980 0,0993 416,69
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Table B.4: using Coupon as Instrument: First Stage for Birth-Level Regressions, using Rounds 1 and 2 Data
Constant
High Coupon
Avg SKY Membership Prior, Post, Following birth 0,313*** (8,33) 0,.0615*** (3,69) 436 0,1565 69,45
t statistics in parentheses * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 Table B.5: IV using Coupon as Instrument: Health Care Utilization following Health Shock Mean Intention to Treat
Impact on the Insured IV IV TDifference Statistic -0,037 (0,02) -1,565 2,019 0,959 IV N 3889 3889 2431 3889 2431
Treatment 0,04 (0,01) 3,851 (0,18) 5,491 (0,29) 0,565 (0,02) 0,511 (0,02)
Control 0,052 (0,01) 3,346 (0,18) 5,001 (0,23) 0,594 (0,01) 0,519 (0,01)
Stopped treatment because of no money Days until rst treatment. Top-coded at 30 days. Never treated in 30 days. Percent receiving treatment on rst day of illness Percent visiting hospital on rst day of illness
-1,785 -0,418
-1,519 -0,327
All health incidents are for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous Variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and post the incident. Instrument: Coupon status. Days until hospital uses only incidents in Round 2 of data collection. All other outcomes use incidents in Round 1 and * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Table B.6: IV using Coupon as Instrument: Provider Type, First Treatment after a Major Health Incident
Was the incident rst treated at a public hospital? Was the incident rst treated at a public hospital or health center? Was the incident rst treated at a drug seller? Was the incident rst treated at a private doctor? Was the incident rst treated with Kru Khmer?
Treatment 0,16 (0,01) 0,188 (0,01) 0,349 (0,01) 0,118 (0,01) 0,437 (0,01) 0,032 (0,00) 0,008 (0,00) 0,595 (0,01) 0,025 (0,00)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 0,157 (0,01) 0,141 (0,01) 0,299 (0,01) 0,143 (0,01) 0,468 (0,01) 0,026 (0,00) 0,008 (0,00) 0,646 (0,01) 0,028 (0,00) Difference 0,003 (0,01) 0,047*** (0,01) 0,050*** (0,01) -0,024* (0,01) -0,031* (0,02) 0,005 (0,01) -0,001 (0,00) -0,051*** (0,01) -0,002 (0,01) T-Statistic 4,011 0,23 N
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -0,003 (0,04) 0,163*** (0,04) 0,160** (0,05) -0,076* (0,04) -0,102 (0,05) 0,017 (0,02) -0,001 (0,01) -0,163** (0,05) -0,009 (0,02) IV TStatistic -0,072 4,117 IV N
3,527
-1,893 0,968
-2,011
3,273
Was the incident rst treated at an NGO? Was the incident rst treated at another place?
-0,313 -3,56
-0,134 -3,194
-0,521
4207
-0,546
3889
All incidents for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous Variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and post the incident Instrument : Coupon status. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Antenatal Care1
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 0,92 (0,02) 0,926 (0,02) Difference -0,001 (0,03) 0,037 (0,02) 0,05 (0,06) 0,078 (0,05) 0,026 (0,04) -0,033 (0,04) 0,01 (0,02) T-Statistic -0,041 1,509 0,87 N 337
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -0,004 (0,10) 0,121 (0,08) 0,16 (0,18) 0,259 (0,17) 0,083 (0,13) -0,104 (0,14) 0,02 (0,05) IV TStatistic -0,041 1,476 0,88 IV N 337 337
Received at least one tetanus injection during pregnancy Birth Gave birth in a public facility1
337
Gave birth in a public or private health facility1 Assisted at birth by a trained birth attendant2 Assisted at birth by a midwife2 Assisted at birth by a doctor2 Postnatal Care2
0,639 (0,04)
0,63 (0,04) 0,72 (0,04) 0,204 (0,03) 0,763 (0,03) 0,03 (0,01)
0,69 (0,04)
0,59 (0,04) 0,642 (0,04) 0,178 (0,03) 0,796 (0,03) 0,02 (0,01)
337 436
337
1,49 0,63
436 436
-0,75 0,41
436
337
337
436 436
-0,052 (0,05)
-0,972
310
-0,191 (0,20)
-0,965
310
A birth is included in this sample if last birth is 3 months or more after 1st possible SKY coverage. Sample includes post-SKY births in Round 1 and Round 2, except post-natal care which only births listed in Round Endogenous variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and post the birth Instrument: Coupon status. 1: Includes most recent birth 3 or more months after the rst possible SKY start date. 2: Using most recent birth after the rst possible start date of SKY.
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Table B.8: IV using Coupon as Instrument: Economic Impacts following a Major Health Shock
Treatment 90,407 (4,63) 113,94 (5,33) 0,084 (0,01) 0,347 (0,02) 0,101 (0,01) 0,583 (0,01) 0,076 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 103,811 (4,59) 132,43 (5,73) 0,11 (0,01) 0,382 (0,02) 0,115 (0,01) 0,619 (0,01) 0,097 (0,01) Difference -13,404* (5,76) -18,493* (7,24) -0,025** (0,01) -0,035 (0,02) -0,014 (0,01) -0,036* (0,02) -0,020* (0,01) T-Statistic -2,326 -2,555 -2,718 -1,747 -1,081 -2,328 -2,328 N 4207 2128 4207 2128 2128 4207 4207
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -38,301* (19,14) -57,011* (22,59) -0,071* (0,03) -0,107 (0,06) -0,042 (0,04) -0,119* (0,06) -0,058* (0,03) IV TStatistic -2,001 -2,524 -2,277 -1,749 -1,077 -2,163 -2,001 IV N 3889 2128 3889 2128 2128 3889 3889
Share of incidents with total cost greater than 250USD Share of all households spending more than 100USD total on all major health incidents Share of all households spending more than 350USD total on all major health incidents
Total USD spent on care by a household on all major health incidents in the last 12 months 1
Share of incidents with total cost greater than 5USD on a private provider Share of incidents with total cost greater than 150USD on a private provider
All health incidents are for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous variable: Varies by variable, see text. Instrument: coupon status. 1. Compressed to 98th percentile to remove outliers. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Table B.9: using Coupon as Instrument: Method of Payment following a Major Health Incident
Treatment 0,167 (0,01) 0,457 (0,01) 0,066 (0,01) 0,213 (0,01) 0,09 (0,01) 0,191 (0,01) 0,107 (0,01) 0,16 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 0,034 (0,01) 0,481 (0,01) 0,067 (0,01) 0,229 (0,01) 0,101 (0,01) 0,224 (0,01) 0,128 (0,01) 0,196 (0,01) Difference 0,133*** (0,01) -0,03 (0,02) -0,001 (0,01) -0,016 (0,01) -0,011 (0,01) -0,.032* (0,01) -0,021* (0,01) -0,035* (0,02) T-Statistic 12,329 -1,47 N
Impact on the Insured IV Difference 0,435*** (0,03) -0,09 (0,06) 0,004 (0,03) -0,054 (0,05) -0,041 (0,03) -0,106* (0,05) -0,075* (0,04) -0,119* (0,05) IV TStatistic 14,843 -1,561 0,131 IV N
Are savings used to pay for any of the treatments? Does family pay for any of the treatments? Is work used to pay for any of the treatments?
-1,112 -1,211
Are assets used to pay for any of the treatments? Are loans with interest used to pay for any of the treatments? Are loans without interest used to pay for any of the treatments?
All incidents for a death or 7 or more days disabled. Endogenous Variable: Average SKY status for months prior to, during, and post the incident Instrument: Coupon status. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Overal Economic Impacts on Households Payment for care Amount borrowed in total Total value of all loans related to health Productive Assets/Human Capital
Treatment 173,771 (9,18) 22,066 (1,49) 0,065 (0,01) 0,081 (0,01) 0,005 (0,00) 555,285 (17,67) 0,039 (0,02) 0,839 (0,01)
Mean
Intention to Treat Control 194,708 (10,07) 28,943 (1,81) 0,089 (0,01) 0,093 (0,01) 0,011 (0,00) 540,488 (18,03) 0,023 (0,02) 0,831 (0,01) Difference -20,937* (8,52) -6,877*** (1,86) -0,024** (0,01) -0,012 (0,01) -0,006* (0,00) 14,797 (13,56) 0,016 (0,02) 0,008 (0,01) T-Statistic -2,458 -3,699 -2,932 -1,485 -2,29 N 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 3528
Impact on the Insured IV Difference -69,668* (28,73) -22,885*** (6,31) -0,.079** (0,03) -0,04 (0,03) -0,019* (0,01) 49,238 (44,97) 0,087 (0,06) 0,027 (0,03) IV TStatistic -2,425 -3,626 -2,888 -1,48 IV N 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 4980 3528
More debt than last year due to health reasons or a birth Less farm or village land than the previous year Total value of farm animals, USD, compressed at 98th percentile Average z-score for cash, gold, animal, asset, and business value Percent of children ages 6-17 enrolled in school
Less farm or village land than the previous year due to health reasons
Instrument: Coupon status. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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Insuring Health or Insuring Wealth ? An experimental evaluation of health insurance in rural Cambodia
Intention to Treat Difference 0,00 (0,00) 0,00 (0,00) T-Statistic 0,321 N 24865 24684 ` 2222
Impact on the Insured IV Difference 0,001 (0,00) -0,001 (0,01) IV TStatistic 0,353 IV N 24741 24560 2207
Anthropometrics
Percent of individuals sick for 7 or more days in the last year Length/height-for-age z-score BMI-for-age z-score
-0,079 -0,01
-0,114 0,223
Endogenous variable: varies by variable, see text. Instrument: Coupon status. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
Weight-for-age z-score
-0,149 -0,114
2232
2221
-0,015
-0,219
2217
2206
Table B.12 : IV using Coupon as Instrument : Trust in Providers and SKY Mean Intention to Treat Difference -0,054 (0,04)
Impact on the Insured N 1143 4929 IV Difference -0,176 (0,13) IV TStatistic -1,405 4,898 IV N 1143 4929
Trust of Public Doctors (average score over all questions)1 Trust in SKY (never heard of SKY coded as low trust)
0,147*** (0,03)
0,303*** (0,06)
Instrument: Coupon status. 1. Includes only households who visited a public provider in the three months prior to the survey. * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001
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