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Excellent fundamentals Superior fundamentals Good fundamentals Moderate fundamentals Poor fundamentals
Assessment
Strong upside (>25% from CMP) Upside (10-25% from CMP) Align (+-10% from CMP) Downside (negative 10-25% from CMP) Strong downside (<-25% from CMP)
Analyst Disclosure
Each member of the team involved in the preparation of the grading report, hereby affirms that there exists no conflict of interest that can bias the grading recommendation of the company.
Disclaimer:
This Company-commissioned Report (Report) is based on data publicly available or from sources considered reliable by CRISIL (Data). However, CRISIL does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of the Data / Report and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of Data / Report. The Data / Report are subject to change without any prior notice. Opinions expressed herein are our current opinions as on the date of this Report. Nothing in this Report constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice or any solicitation, whatsoever. The Report is not a recommendation to buy / sell or hold any securities of the Company. CRISIL especially states that it has no financial liability, whatsoever, to the subscribers / users of this Report. This Report is for the personal information only of the authorized recipient in India only. This Report should not be reproduced or redistributed or communicated directly or indirectly in any form to any other person especially outside India or published or copied in whole or in part, for any purpose.
Polaris Software Limited JBF Industries Ltd Business momentum remains intact
Going backward to move forward
Fundamental Grade Valuation Grade Industry 4/5 (Strong fundamentals) 3/5 (Good fundamentals) 5/5 (CMP has strong upside) Information technology Chemicals
CFV MATRIX
Excellent Fundamentals
Fundamental Grade
JBF Industries (JBF) is amongst the largest polyester chip manufacturers in the world with a capacity of around 1 million tonnes per annum, catering to polyester filament and bottle manufacturers. The location of its plants gives it easy access to raw material suppliers and end consumers, thereby making it cost competitive. We maintain our fundamental grade of 3/5, indicating that its fundamentals are good relative to other listed securities in India. After forward integration, JBF planning to go backward The company expanded its chip capacity in India to 550,800 tpa in FY09 from 216,000 tpa. As a de-risking strategy, the company has forward integrated into filament yarn manufacturing and is using its own chip capacity for the same. JBF is now planning to set up a purified terephthalic acid (PTA) plant of 1.12 mn tonnes per annum in Mangalore SEZ by mid 2014. PTA is one of the major raw materials for polyester chip manufacturing; by FY15, output from this plant will suffice JBFs requirement of around 1 mn tonnes of PTA and will lead to better margins. UAE subsidiary to become a significant contributor to revenues JBF RAK LLC, the 100% UAE-based subsidiary, has a 1,100 tonne per day (tpd) polymerisation plant that produces bottle-grade PET chips (900 tpd) and polyester films (200 tpd). Its share in consolidated revenues rose to 45% in FY11 from 20% in FY08 on account of capacity additions in the chips and film segments; it is expected to remain the major contributor going forward, supported by the fast-growing Middle East market. Polyester demand to grow at 8-9%, competition to remain intense We expect demand for polyester to grow at a CAGR of 8-9% from FY11 to FY16, on account of rising per capita consumption of textiles and better competitiveness of polyester filament as compared to cotton yarn. However, the polyester market will also continue to witness intense price competition. Key risk price volatility and execution of PTA plant Volatility in raw material prices, intense competition, JBFs exposure to foreign exchange risk, and project execution risks are some of the concerns facing the company. Revenues to grow at 10%; margins to decline We expect JBFs top line to grow at a CAGR of 10%, from Rs 64.7 bn in FY11 to Rs 79 bn in FY13E. EBITDA margin rose to historical highs on account of higher realisation in polyester films. Going forward, we believe film prices will decline, and we expect EBITDA margin to return to sub 12% in FY12 and FY13. Valuation: Current market price has strong upside We have used the discounted cash flow method to value JBF and arrived at a fair value of Rs 229. At this value, the implied P/E multiples are 5.5 FY12E and 4.5 FY13E earnings.
5 4 3 2 1
Poor Fundamentals
Valuation Grade
Strong Downside Strong Upside
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Jun-10 Promoter Sep-10 FII Dec-10 DII Mar-11 Others 47.5% 41.5% 41.3% 41.2% 5.7% 1.3% 13.0% 8.4% 18.5% 10.0% 17.9% 10.5% 45.5% 37.1% 30.3% 30.4%
KEY FORECAST
(Rs mn) Operating income EBITDA Adj Net income Adj EPS-Rs EPS growth (%) Dividend yield (%) RoCE(%) RoE(%) PE (x) P/BV (x) EV/EBITDA (x) FY09 43,119 5,316 2,202 35.4 67.3 4.4 22.1 21.7 3.7 0.7 3.7 FY10 49,369 4,721 1,346 21.6 (29.4) 3.0 14.3 11.5 10.8 1.2 5.7 FY11# 64,704 9,578 5,454 76.2 211.3 4.9 27.7 40.3 2.1 0.8 3.0 FY12E 71,290 7,829 2,983 41.7 (45.3) 4.9 17.2 18.7 3.9 0.7 4.0 FY13E 78,832 9,013 3,699 51.7 24.0 5.4 16.6 19.8 3.2 0.6 4.3
ANALYTICAL CONTACT
Sudhir Nair (Head) Arun Vasu Vinay Chhawchharia snair@crisil.com avasu@crisil.com vchhawchharia@crisil.com
#- based on abridged financial Source: Company, CRISIL Equities estimate CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved.
CRISIL EQUITIES | 1
Close proximity to port, resulting in lower logistic cost Abundant raw material availability Reliance Industries, Indo Rama Synthetic Limited, Alok Industries, Dhunseri Petrochem and Tea Ltd
India
UAE
17,905
18,925
CRISIL EQUITIES | 3
JBFs easy access to raw material and end consumers make it cost competitive
Source: Company, CRISIL Equities JBF is the largest manufacturer of textile (fibre) grade chips in India with a capacity of around 455,300 tpa. The company utilises a portion of fibre grade chips as raw material for its own POY production, and surplus chips are sold to small POY manufacturers. Out of the total fibre grade chips capacity, 235,320 tpa is used in-house for manufacturing partially oriented yarn (POY), fully drawn yarn (FDY) and other speciality yarn. The remaining is sold to small POY manufacturers, in and around Silvassa and Vapi, who buy chips to extrude filament (as a continuous polymerisation plant for manufacturing POY is very capital intensive). JBF also has the flexibility of switching between fibre and film grade chips manufacturing, depending upon the demand-supply of fibre and film grade chips.
Note: Numbers for JBF are adjusted for bottle grade chips JBF, IRSL numbers are for FY11 and Garden Silk is for FY10. Source: Company, CRISIL Equities estimate CRISIL Limited. All Rights Reserved. CRISIL EQUITIES | 4
Forward integration will increase internal consumption of chips, reducing dependence on the chip market
production through the continuous polymerisation method. JBFs major polyester chip clients, who accounted for 20-25% of the demand, have backward integrated, resulting in a contraction in polyester chips demand. However, in the past two years, JBF has also forward integrated to expand its POY capacity by 72,000 tpa. This forward integration thus largely de-risks it from depending on the external market. Further, JBFs flexibility to convert fibre grade chips to film grade chips, and export the same to its UAE facility for film production fortifies JBF against any risky exposure to the domestic chips market.
What is PET?
PET (polyethylene terephthalate) is a clear, strong and lightweight engineering plastic belonging to the polyester family. PET has become the worlds packaging choice for many foods and beverages because of its distinct characteristics - hygienic, lightweight, unbreakable, non-reactive, economical and freshness-retentive.
Dhunseri 33% Reliance 49%
CRISIL EQUITIES | 5
Pesticide, 7%
FMCG, 26%
Pharma, 20%
Domestic demand
MT: Metric tonnes Source: Industry, CRISIL Equities Source: Industry, CRISIL Equities
CRISIL EQUITIES | 6
259
200,000
JBF Industries
235.32
Alok Industries
200
150,000
163,200
163,200
201,200
235,320
50,000 Garden Silk Mills 162.45 0 0 200 400 600 800 1,000
235,320
20% 0%
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12P
(000' tonnes)
Capacity
JBF also has a presence in the fully-drawn yarn segment (FDY) following its acquisition of Microsynth Fabrics (India) Ltd and speciality yarn; however, this segment contributes less than 3% to revenue.
to
accelerate,
mainly
supported
by
Growth in POY demand will be mainly supported by the domestic market. CRISIL Equities expects POY demand (domestic and derived) will grow at a CAGR of 8-9% from FY11 to FY16, higher than previous five years CAGR of 5.2% (FY06 to FY11), mainly driven by:
Price competitiveness as compared to spun yarn Overall growth in domestic textile consumption
The delta between cotton yarn and polyester yarn increased from Rs 25 per kg in FY05 to Rs 60 per kg in FY10 and then to Rs 90 per kg in FY11. We expect this gap to remain in FY12 and FY13. This gap between polyester and cotton yarn prices will enhance the price competitiveness of polyester, leading to better growth of the same. CRISIL Equities expects the domestic textile (readymade garments and home textile) market to grow at a CAGR of 7-8% in the next two years (FY11 to FY13). Within the domestic market, growth will be led by rural markets. The growth in rural markets can be primarily attributed to rising rural incomes, and preference for cheaper fabric (100% non cotton fabric). This will support the demand for POY and fibre grade chips.
CRISIL EQUITIES | 7
(%)
80 75 70 65 60 55 50
1,342
1,281
1,327
1,377
1,456
800
1,560
400 200 0
1,041
600
1,073
1,162
2,029
1,350
2,058
1,435
2,058
1,564
2,225
1,689
2,572
1,824
1,200
45 40
FY-05
FY-06
FY-07
FY-08
FY-09
FY-10
FY-11
FY-12
FY-13
1,000 FY09 Capacity FY10 FY11 Production FY12 FY13 Op.rate (RHS)
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Middle East/Africa 8%
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Global Capacity
Asia 29%
Central Europe 7%
South America 8%
Source: Industry
Source: Industry
PET is one of the fastest growing polyester applications, having logged a CAGR of 6% in the past five years. This holds out bright prospects for the PET resin industry catalysed by population growth, widening applications and the replacement of container/glass bottles. The long-term prospects of the PET resin industry appear upbeat owing to product convenience and characteristics. Over the next five years, global operating rates are expected to improve from an estimated 77% in 2010 to around 82% in 2015 though intermittent periods could see some excess supply.
CRISIL EQUITIES | 9
Source: Industry
JBF has been operating at a healthy rate of above 95% for the past two years; however, this year, despite healthy demand, JBFs operating rates declined, owing to supply constraint in PTA - one of the major raw materials for manufacturing chips.
83
Polyester film is manufactured from polyethylene terephthalate chips. Film grade PET chips are used for printing and lamination, metallization, embossing, holograms, thermal lamination, etc.
23
JBF is expanding its film capacity by another 36,000 tpa in FY12. Current mix of commodity film and specialty film is 70:30; post expansion it will move towards 50:50, enabling improvement in margin. Production from this additional capacity is expected from December, 2011.
CRISIL EQUITIES | 10
Key developments
PTA plant JBF, as part of its backward integration plan, is setting up a PTA plant at Mangalore (SEZ), whose 1.12 million tonnes of PTA will be used for captive consumption. The project will entail a capex of Rs 30 bn, with debt equity mix of 70:30. The company has already finalised the land and applied for necessary environmental clearances. Production from this unit is expected to start in mid 2014. In FY10, JBF had planned that it would set up a PTA plant in Oman, with 30% equity from the Oman group and 70% from JBF. JBF has scrapped its project at Oman and shifted the location to Mangalore; with 100% JBF equity, project specification and technology partners remain the same. The PTA plant will ensure raw material supply for both the Indian and the UAE operations, and thus boost operating margins. For the Mangalore SEZ plant, JBF is planning to source paraxylene (PX) from ONGC Mangalore Petrochemicals Ltd. However, in case of any delay in supply from the ONGC plant, the company is also open to importing PX as the SEZ is very close to port. Belgium PET plant The company is planning to set up 390,000 tpa PET plant in Belgium at the British Petroleum (BP) compound. This project will require capex of around Rs 7 bn with debt-equity mix of 70:30. PTA will be procured from the adjacent BP plant. However, this project has been on the anvil for the past three years; so we have not considered this project in our projections.
CRISIL EQUITIES | 11
Forex fluctuations
In order to hedge against foreign currency fluctuations (UAE subsidiary and raw material and finished goods prices), the company has entered into derivative contracts. The company has witnessed forex losses of Rs 633.7 mn and Rs 1446.3 mn in FY10 and FY11, respectively, which it had not accounted for. These losses were around 25% of its PBT in each of these two years. JBF has recognised forex loss of around Rs 840.1 mn in FY11 on one of the derivative contracts, which expired in FY11. Hence, any wide fluctuations in forex rates will continue to adversely affect JBFs net margins. We have considered the same in our projections for FY12 and FY13. Going forward, net profit will continue to remain highly vulnerable to foreign exchange fluctuations.
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Growth (RHS)
CRISIL EQUITIES | 13
RoE (RHS)
We expect JBFs EPS to be Rs 41.7 in FY12 and Rs 51.7 in FY13, down from Rs 76.2 in FY11. Also, we expect its RoE to dip to 40% in FY11 from 19% in FY11, and stabilise at 19-21% going forward.
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JBF Industries management has an established track record and three decades of experience in the textile industry
experience. He started his career in the textile industry and has more than three decades of experience in various segments of the textile sector. Mr Arya has been instrumental in setting up the UAE subsidiary. Mr Rakesh Gothi, managing director and CEO, is responsible for the domestic operations and has been with the company since 1997. Mr. Gothi is a technocrat with 30 years of experience in the industry, having earlier worked as vice-president with J.K. Synthetics and as general manager with Nirlon.
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composition, typical board processes, disclosure standards and related-party transactions. Any qualifications by regulators or auditors also serve as useful inputs while assessing a companys corporate governance. Overall, JBFs board represents a fair mix of experienced directors who have experience in various fields of business and are well qualified. The board processes and structures broadly conform to the minimum standards. CRISIL Equities has assessed the companys disclosure levels, based on balance sheet and profit and loss account disclosures, etc, and is of the opinion that the corporate governance of the company conforms to minimum disclosure requirements. However, the website of the company has not been updated with the latest information. Board composition: JBFs board comprises eleven members, six of whom are independent directors. This is in line with the minimum stipulated requirements in the SEBI listing guidelines. Board processes: Based on the disclosures, the processes appear to be well structured, and audit committees and other committees like grievance
committee are in place. The audit committee is chaired by an independent director, Mr B. R. Gupta. Further, the position of chairman is independent from that of the managing director/CEO. The board comprises people with varied experience and professional diversity. The processes of the board meet the minimum acceptance level. The disclosure level of the company is sufficient to gauge many aspects of the business.
CRISIL EQUITIES | 16
We have used DCF (discounted cash flow) to value the consolidated cash flows of JBFs India and UAE operations. Based on our DCF approach, we have arrived at the value of Rs 229 per share. Our fair value of Rs 229 per share imply a valuation grade of 5/5 that the CMP (Rs 162 as on July 11, 2011) has strong upside from the current levels. The implied PE multiples at our fair value is 41.7 FY12E EPS and 51.7 FY13E EPS.
We have added foreign currency risk premium of 50 bps in our cost of equity, as over 40% of revenue will be contributed by the UAE subsidiary.
WACC computation
FY13-22 Cost of equity Cost of debt (post tax) WACC Terminal growth rate 18.5% 8.0% 13.0% Terminal value 18.5% 8.0% 13.3% 3.00%
Terminal growth rate Terminal WACC 1.0% 11.5% 12.5% 13.3% 14.5% 15.5% 260 200 162 111 78 2.0% 307 236 192 134 96 3.0% 364 280 229 161 118 4.0% 437 334 273 193 143 5.0% 533 402 327 231 173
CRISIL EQUITIES | 17
May-05
May-08
Mar-07
Dec-05
Mar-10
Sep-08
Dec-09
Mar-07
Mar-10
Dec-05
Dec-09
Sep-08
Aug-05
Nov-06
Aug-09
Nov-10 Nov-10
Feb-11
Feb-08
Feb-11
Jul-06
Jan-09
Apr-06
Jan-09
Jun-07
Apr-09
Jul-10
Jul-06
Jul-10
Aug-05
Nov-06
Aug-09
Nov-10
JBF
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
JBF
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
P/E movement
(Times) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
May-05 May-08 Feb-08 Mar-07 Dec-05 Sep-08 Mar-10 Dec-09 Aug-05 Nov-06 Aug-09 Feb-11 Jul-06 Jan-09 Apr-06 Apr-09 Jul-10 Jun-07 Jun-11 Oct-07
+1 std dev
-1 std dev
Premium/Discount to NIFTY
Median
Median PE
CRISIL EQUITIES | 18
Jun-11
Jun-07
Apr-09
Jun-11
Oct-07
Oct-07
Apr-06
Company Overview
JBF is one of the key players in the polyester segment
JBF is one of the key players in the polyester segment. JBF has since its inception, focused on the polyester part of the textile value chain. The company is present in polyester chips and polyester partially-oriented yarn segments, and is now increasing its presence in the processed yarn space by forward integrating in the domestic market. Also, it has ventured into related businesses - bottle-grade PET chips and polyester film through its UAE subsidiary, JBF RAK LLC. JBF forward integrated into processed yarn with the acquisition of Microsynth Fabrics (India) Ltd, a manufacturer of speciality yarns, in FY08. JBF is now planning to backward integrate by setting up a PTA plant in Mangalore. JBF entered into a joint venture with the RAK Investment Authority, UAE in September 2005 with the ownership ratio of 60:40 to set up a plant in the Ras Al Khaimah zone, UAE. In 2007-08, the ownership of the JV was transferred to its 67.4% subsidiary, JBF Global PTE, Singapore. During 2008-09, JBF Global PTE raised its stake in the company to 100%, taking full ownership of JBF RAK L.L.C. Later JBF Industries raised its stake in JBF Global PTE to 100% by buying 32.6% from CVCIGPII Client Rosehill Ltd and CVCIGPII Employee Rosehill Ltd (CVCIGPII) for a consideration of US$104 mn.
JBF, a key player in the polyester segment, has also expanded into related businesses of bottle-grade PET chips and polyester films
CRISIL EQUITIES | 19
Source: Company
CRISIL EQUITIES | 20
Annexure: Financials
Income statement (Rs mn) Operating income EBITDA EBITDA margin Depreciation EBIT Interest Operating PBT Other income Exceptional inc/(exp) PBT Tax provision Minority interest PAT (Reported) Less: Exceptionals Adjusted PAT Ratios FY09 Growth Operating income (%) EBITDA (%) Adj PAT (%) Adj EPS (%) Profitability EBITDA margin (%) Adj PAT Margin (%) RoE (%) RoC E (%) RoIC (%) Valuations Price-earnings (x) Price-book (x) EV/EBITDA (x) EV/Sales (x) Dividend payout ratio (%) Dividend yield (%) B/S ratios Inventory days Creditors days Debtor days Working capital days Gross asset turnover (x) Net asset turnover (x) Sales/operating assets (x) Current ratio (x) Debt-equity (x) Net debt/equity (x) Interest coverage Per share FY09 Adj EPS (Rs) CEPS Book value Dividend (Rs) Actual o/s shares (mn) 35.4 47.9 179.4 5.8 62.2 FY10 21.6 40.5 198.2 7.0 62.2 FY11# 76.2 94.5 206.2 8.0 71.6 FY12E 41.7 63.6 239.9 7.9 71.6 FY13E 51.7 74.5 282.8 8.8 71.6 40 60 31 16 2.6 3.2 2.5 1.5 1.1 1.0 2.7 44 64 33 24 2.2 2.6 2.4 1.6 1.11 1.0 3.1 49 73 37 27 2.4 3.0 2.9 1.6 1.3 1.1 3.5 45 63 38 34 2.2 2.8 2.7 1.8 1.27 1.1 2.4 47 63 38 37 2.2 2.9 2.4 1.8 1.47 1.4 2.6 Quarterly financials (Rs mn) Net Sales C hange (q-o-q) EBITDA C hange (q-o-q) EBITDA margin PAT Adj PAT C hange (q-o-q) Adj PAT margin Adj EPS Q4FY10 13,010 9% 1,651 59% 12.7% 761 761 171% 5.9% 12.2 Q1FY11 14,145 8.7% 1,558 -6% 11.0% 549 549 -27.9% 3.9% 7.7 Q2FY11 14,116 0% 2,261 45% 16.0% 1,020 1,020 86% 7.2% 14.2 Q3FY11 17,117 21.3% 3,033 34% 17.7% 1,856 1,856 82.0% 10.8% 25.9 Q4FY11 19,333 13% 2,732 -10% 14.1% 1,636 1,636 -11.8% 8.5% 22.8 3.7 0.7 3.7 0.5 16.9 4.4 10.8 1.2 5.7 0.5 28.7 3.0 2.1 0.8 3.0 0.4 10.5 4.9 3.9 0.7 4.0 0.4 19.0 4.9 3.2 0.6 4.3 0.5 17.0 5.4 12.3 5.1 21.7 22.1 23.3 9.6 2.7 11.5 14.3 13.3 14.8 8.4 40.3 27.7 29.6 11.0 4.2 18.7 17.2 17.4 11.4 4.7 19.8 16.6 16.3 Cash flow (Rs mn) Pre-tax profit Total tax paid Depreciation Working capital changes Net cash from operations Cash from investments C apital expenditure Investments and others Net cash from investments Cash from financing Equity raised/(repaid) Debt raised/(repaid) Dividend (incl. tax) Others (incl extraordinaries) Net cash from financing C hange in cash position C losing cash (34) 4,049 (364) 44 3,695 (2,454) 899 79 1,229 (437) (370) 502 100 999 1,181 5,204 (573) (3,637) 2,176 1,140 2,139 3,000 (567) 2,433 310 2,449 8,000 (629) 7,371 (41) 2,408 (8,255) 234 (8,021) (1,500) (949) (2,449) (5,916) 31 (5,885) (5,250) (5,250) (11,560) (11,560) FY09 2,882 (212) 779 (1,577) 1,873 FY10 2,439 (429) 1,173 (1,134) 2,048 FY11# 6,056 (509) 1,314 (2,012) 4,850 FY12E 3,729 (646) 1,571 (1,528) 3,126 FY13E 4,624 (825) 1,632 (1,283) 4,148 54.3 95.9 68.9 68.4 14.5 (11.2) (38.9) (38.9) 31.1 102.9 305.3 252.3 10.2 (18.3) (45.3) (45.3) 10.6 15.1 24.0 24.0 FY10 FY11# FY12E FY13E FY09 43,119 5,316 12.3% 779 4,536 1,702 2,834 48 (45) 2,837 456 224 2,157 (45) 2,202 FY10 49,369 4,721 9.6% 1,173 3,548 1,138 2,410 28 177 2,616 540 553.00 1,523 177 1,346 FY11# 64,704 9,578 14.8% 1,314 8,263 2,366 5,897 159 6,056 602 5,454 5,454 3,729 746 2,983 2,983 FY12E 71,290 7,829 11.0% 1,571 6,258 2,614 3,643 86 4,624 925 3,699 3,699 FY13E 78,832 9,013 11.4% 1,632 7,380 2,854 4,526 98 Balance Sheet (Rs mn) Liabilities Equity share capital Reserves Minorities Net worth C onvertible debt Other debt Total debt Deferred tax liability (net) Total liabilities Assets Net fixed assets C apital WIP Total fixed assets Investments Current assets Inventory Sundry debtors Loans and advances C ash & bank balance Marketable securities Total current assets Total current liabilities Net current assets Intangibles/Misc. expenditure Total assets 3,966 3,735 1,886 899 10,485 6,876 3,609 213 24,806 5,132 4,674 2,596 999 13,401 8,557 4,843 277 27,317 7,445 6,914 3,882 2,139 20,380 12,385 7,996 1,268 35,040 7,813 7,813 4,277 2,449 22,351 12,518 9,833 1,268 40,557 9,071 8,639 4,730 2,408 24,848 13,773 11,075 1,268 51,727 17,475 3,149 20,624 361 19,807 1,081 20,888 1,310 22,917 1,581 24,498 1,279 27,596 581 28,177 1,279 27,324 10,781 38,105 1,279 622 10,543 11,166 12,414 12,414 1,226 24,806 622 11,714 12,337 13,644 13,644 1,337 27,317 716 14,046 14,762 18,848 18,848 1,430 35,040 716 16,463 17,178 21,848 21,848 1,530 40,557 716 19,533 20,249 29,848 29,848 1,630 51,727 FY09 FY10 FY11# FY12E FY13E
CRISIL EQUITIES | 21
Focus Charts
Revenue mix
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% FY08 Polyester chips POY FY09 FY10 Bottle grade chips FY11 Polyester Film 12,751 14,349 16,029 19,623
100,000 0 FY07 Capacity FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11
4,579
11,700
600,000 500,000
17,905
18,925
11,058
11,359
17,077
300,000 200,000
259
JBF Industries
235.32
Reliance 49%
Alok Industries
200
162.45
200
400
600
800
1,000
(000' to nnes)
10.0%
CRISIL EQUITIES | 22
Analytical Contacts
Tarun Bhatia Prasad Koparkar Chetan Majithia Sudhir Nair Jiju Vidyadharan Ajay D'Souza Ajay Srinivasan Sridhar C Manoj Mohta Director, Capital Markets Head, Industry & Customised Research Head, Equities Head, Equities Head, Funds & Fixed Income Research Head, Industry Research Head, Industry Research Head, Industry Research Head, Customised Research +91 (22) 3342 3226 +91 (22) 3342 3137 +91 (22) 3342 4148 +91 (22) 3342 3526 +91 (22) 3342 8091 +91 (22) 3342 3567 +91 (22) 3342 3530 +91 (22) 3342 3546 +91 (22) 3342 3554 tbhatia@crisil.com pkoparkar@crisil.com chetanmajithia@crisil.com snair@crisil.com jvidyadharan@crisil.com adsouza@crisil.com ajsrinivasan@crisil.com sridharc@crisil.com mmohta@crisil.com
Business Development
Vinaya Dongre Ashish Sethi Head, Industry & Customised Research Head, Capital Markets +91 (22) 33428025 +91 (22) 33428023 vdongre@crisil.com asethi@crisil.com
To know more about CRISIL IER, please contact our team members:
Vinaya Dongre Head, Business Development Email : vdongre@crisil.com I Phone : 9920225174 Sagar Sawarkar Senior Manager, Business Development Email : ssawarkar@crisil.com I Phone : 9821638322 Ashish Sethi Head, Business Development Email : asethi@crisil.com I Phone : 9920807575
Regional Contacts:
Ahmedabad / Mumbai / Pune Vishal Shah - Manager, Business Development Email : vishah@crisil.com I Phone : 9820598908 Bengaluru / Chennai Anand Krishnamoorthy - Manager, Business Development Email : ankrishnamoorthy@crisil.com I Phone : 9884704111 Hyderabad Kaliprasad Ponnuru - Manager, Business Development Email : kponnuru@crisil.com I Phone : 9642004668 Kolkata / Delhi Priyanka Agarwal - Manager, Business Development Email : priyagarwal@crisil.com I Phone : 9903060685
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