May 4, 2012

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MARKET OVERVIEW

Index
DJIA NASDAQ RUSSELL 2000 S&P 500

started week
13228.39 3060.06 825.47 1403.26

Thursday Close
13206.6 3024.3 806.59 1391.57

4 day change
-21.79 -35.76 -18.88 -11.69

4 day change %
-0.16% -1.17% -2.29% -0.83%

ytd
8.09% 16.09% 8.86% 10.65%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued Stocks Overvalued Stocks Undervalued by 20% Stocks Overvalued by 20% 61.15% 38.85% 26.74% 15.54%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Aerospace Auto-Tires-Trucks Basic Materials Business Services Computer and Technology Construction Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Finance Industrial Products Medical Multi-Sector Conglomerates Oils-Energy Retail-Wholesale Transportation Utilities

Change
-1.96% -2.20% -1.86% -0.96% -1.65% -1.29% -1.29% -0.76% -0.70% -1.42% -1.03% -0.41% -1.70% -1.32% -1.11% -0.75%

MTD
-1.69% -1.41% -2.73% -1.27% -1.27% -0.83% -0.78% -0.94% -0.66% -1.51% -0.82% -0.38% -2.54% -0.71% -0.74% -1.80%

YTD
4.05% 8.42% 2.23% 7.76% 12.96% 18.33% 15.97% 6.26% 13.93% 7.91% 11.45% 10.95% -1.72% 11.82% 10.23% 0.42%

Valuation
11.45% undervalued 10.07% undervalued 8.57% undervalued 4.31% undervalued 10.77% overvalued 3.04% undervalued 2.08% overvalued 7.55% overvalued 10.53% overvalued 7.47% overvalued 13.40% overvalued 4.14% overvalued 6.24% undervalued 13.40% overvalued 5.91% overvalued 3.07% overvalued

Last 12-M Return

-9.46% -11.39% -29.03% -2.24% -12.03% -12.86% -4.22% -9.13% -2.35% -12.75% -13.58% -8.25% -24.55% 7.37% -17.21% -7.29%

P/E Ratio
15.53 16.74 21.02 27.07 40.17 38.16 27.77 24.71 23.86 24.03 44.84 16.92 28.35 23.22 16.91 26.61

Sector TalkConsumer Staples

Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Staples Sector Stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
EL ABV NWS SWM BGS

Name
ESTEE LAUDER AMBEV-PR ADR NEWS CORP INC SCHWEITZER-MAUD B&G FOODS CL-A

Mkt Price
64.15 42.17 19.99 69.83 21.75

Valuation(%)
3.1 22.22 -9.36 -16.18 -10.44

Last 12-M Retn(%)

34.66 36.78 8.23 41.1 27.57

Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker
EL ABV PPC BGS SAM

Name
ESTEE LAUDER AMBEV-PR ADR PILGRIMS PRIDE B&G FOODS CL-A BOSTON BEER INC

Mkt Price
64.15 42.17 6.87 21.75 110.65

Valuation(%)
3.1 22.22 14.08 -10.44 2

Last 12-M Retn(%)

34.66 36.78 23.34 27.57 19.96

Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker
SWM MHP SFD NWS RAI

Name
SCHWEITZER-MAUD MCGRAW-HILL COS SMITHFIELD FOOD NEWS CORP INC REYNOLDS AMER

Mkt Price
69.83 49.25 20.27 19.99 40.54

Valuation(%)
-16.18 -24.52 -26.84 -9.36 -3.65

Last 12-M Retn(%)

41.1 24.84 -11.64 8.23 14.71

Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker
AM STEI BEAM MNST HAIN

Name
AMER GREETINGS STEWART ENTRP A BEAM INC MONSTER BEVERAG HAIN CELESTIAL

Mkt Price
15.53 6.27 59.92 67.07 47.31

Valuation(%)
300 300 58.22 42.44 40.03

Last 12-M Retn(%)

-32.27 -20.43 -5.8 111.38 42.2

Free Report Download for Subscribers*

*NOTE: FREE DOWNLOAD LINK IS FIXED As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers, we are now offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our $ 25.00 Detailed Valuation Reports.
This week's free download is our report on Microsoft (MSFT). Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses and supports software products and services. It designs and sells hardware, and delivers online advertising to the customers. It has five segments: Windows & Windows Live Division (Windows Division), Server and Tools, Online Services Division (OSD), Microsoft Business Division (MBD), and Entertainment and Devices Division (EDD). Its products include operating systems for personal computers, servers, phones, and other intelligent devices; server applications for distributed computing environments; productivity applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games, and online advertising. Its cloud-based computing services include Bing and Windows Live Essentials suite. In October 2011, it acquired Skype Global S.a r.l. In November 2011, the Company acquired VideoSurf Inc. In April 2012, LeGuide.com SA acquired shopping sites in seven European countries from the Company.

Weekly Subscribers can download a FREE Detailed Valuation Report on Microsoft HERE If you have not subscribed and want to be able to receive a FREE $ 25.00 Detailed Valuation Report, you can subscribe to our Free Weekly Newsletter HERE.

What's HotSuttmeier on Mining and Gold

ValuEngine.com Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier has been posting investment articles at thestreet.com. This week's article, available HERE, discusses his views on gold and mining stocks.

Here are the VE datapoints for buy-rated gold mining stocks:

Ticker
ABX NSU VGZ JAG AUQ HMY GFI IAG KGC EGO AU GG NEM AEM GOLD

Name
BARRICK GOLD CP NEVSUN RESOURCS VISTA GOLD CORP JAGUAR MINING AURICO GOLD INC HARMONY GOLD GOLD FIELDS-ADR IAMGOLD CORP KINROSS GOLD ELDORADO GOLD ANGLOGOLD LTD GOLDCORP INC NEWMONT MINING AGNICO EAGLE RANDGOLD RSRCS

Mkt Price
37.98 3.5 2.86 2.28 8.7 9.25 12.41 11.75 8.54 13.11 32.77 36.39 45.59 38.4 81.89

Valuation( %)
-25.37 -20.6 -53.57 -70.67 -13.84 -27.96 -27.45 -38.79 -55.78 -36.46 -33.69 -31.26 -28.12 -40.47 -23.21

Last 12- Forecast Forecast M 1-Month 1-Yr Retn(%) Retn(%) Retn(%)

-21.01 -37.16 -7.14 -56.41 -12.39 -35.81 -24 -39.4 -42.18 -21.12 -31.17 -28.2 -17.26 -39.56 0.15 1.9 1.24 1.8 2.64 0.94 1.16 1.57 1.15 1.93 1.19 1.75 1.67 1.73 0.74 1.28 12.08 12.03 10.1 6.12 5.78 6.14 10.35 8.24 9.56 8.04 10.85 9.38 10.32 5.88 8.12

P/E Ratio
7.87 4.73 7.53 11.69 11.25 11.86 7.05 10.9 10.29 19.4 7.76 16.2 10.02 22.54 15.79

With the ValuTrader Model Portfolio Suttmeier combines the action prices of his Buy and Trade system with ValuEngine's valuation, forecast, and ratings data on more than 8000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stocks that trade on US exchanges. Subscribers get email alerts whenever there is a trade, and they also receive cash allocation levels that reflect his latest thinking on the state of the market.

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Suttmeier Says
--Commentary and Analysis from Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier
If you have any comments or questions, send them to Rsuttmeier@Gmail.com

Treasury Yields 10-Year--((1.924) Weekly and annual value levels are 2.186 and 2.502 with a daily pivot at 1.950, and semiannual, monthly and quarterly risky levels at 1.903, 1.734 and 1.407. The 50-day and 200day simple moving averages are 2.075 and 2.067. Traders and investors have had numerous opportunities to sell at 1.903. Commodities and Forex Comex Gold--($1636.8) Weekly, annual, weekly and monthly value levels are $1612.0, $1575.8, $1557.3 and $1525.8 with semiannual pivots at $1635.8 and $1659.4, and daily and quarterly risky levels at $1663.9, $1763.7 and $1871.9. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are $1670.8 and $1698.5. Nymex Crude--($1636.8) Weekly, annual, weekly and monthly value levels are $1612.0, $1575.8, $1557.3 and $1525.8 with semiannual pivots at $1635.8 and $1659.4, and daily and quarterly risky levels at $1663.9, $1763.7 and $1871.9. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages are $1670.8 and $1698.5. The Euro--(1.3146) Semiannual, weekly and monthly value levels are 1.2980, 1.2873 and 1.2257 with daily and weekly pivots at 1.3247 and 1.3180, and quarterly, annual and semiannual risky levels at 1.3366, 1.4239 and 1.4405. The 50-day simple moving average is 1.3204.

Major Indices Daily Dow: (13,207) Quarterly and annual value levels are 12,794 and 12,312 with my weekly pivot at 13,210, and daily, monthly and annual risky levels at 13,451, 13,354 and 14,032. The Dow set a new 2012 high at 13,338.66 on Tuesday, shy of my monthly risky level at 13,354. S&P 500 (1391.6) Annual, and quarterly value levels are 1363.2 and 1337.7 with a monthly pivot at 1397.0 and daily, weekly and annual risky levels at 1423.1, 1415.8 and 1562.9. Tuesdays high was a test of my weekly risky level at 1415.8. NASDAQ (3024) Quarterly and annual value levels are 2911 and 2698 with a monthly pivot at 3041, and daily, weekly and annual risky levels at 3100, 3120 and 3232. NASDAQ 100 (NDX) (2692) Quarterly and annual value levels are 2608 and 2603 with my monthly pivot at 2729, and daily and weekly risky levels at 2771 and 2795. Dow Transports (5284) My semiannual value level is 4407 with daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly and annual risky levels at 5361, 5336, 5385, 5420 and 5861. The all time high was set at 5627.85 on July 11, 2011. Russell 2000 (806.59) My semiannual value level is 572.90 with my monthly pivot at 813.56, and daily, quarterly, annual and weekly risky levels at 834.49, 829.34, 836.15 and 836.88. The all time high was set at 868.57 on May 2, 2011. Tuesdays high was a test of my quarterly risky level at 829.34. The SOX (406.49) My monthly value level is 397.34 with my quarterly pivot at 416.01, and daily, weekly and monthly risky levels at 420.39, 426.05 and 435.68. The 2011 high is 474.33 set on February 18, 2011.

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We provide a variety of means for accessing ValuEngine market analysis and other content. You can find us on some of the leading financial media websites as well as the more popular social media services. While our own website ValuEngine.com provides access to lots of analysis--and you can always sign up to receive email daily and weekly bulletins HERE, some users prefer to download PDF reports of content while others prefer to garner info while browsing the web. Our Chief Market Strategist Richard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer and you can find his content in a variety of places. His weekly column on Forbes provides insights into his "Buy and Trade" strategy while his daily market analysis can be followed and accessed at Scribd, Twitter, and Minyanville. Senior Editor Steve Hach re-posts PDFs and web-accessible copies of Daily and Weekly ValuEngine bulletins at Seeking Alpha and Scribd.

In most cases, you can receive notification of VE content posting by Suttmeier and Hach by following the ValuEngine feed on twitter @ValuEngine. Links for this content are provided below, you may also find these links on our website HERE Intelligent Investing with Richard Suttmeier Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Newsletters, Articles and Other Research Pieces Articles by Richard Suttmeier | Articles by Steve Hach Get short, timely messages from ValuEngine Inc Daily Bulletin PDFs, Weekly Newsletter PDFs, and PDF Research Reports