Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
1 of 29
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AT K Ecofem..................................................................................................................................2
AT K Biopower...............................................................................................................................4
AT K Biopower – Risk of nuclear war is decreasing extensions................................................9
AT DA Politics they say “DADT good”......................................................................................10
AT DA Politics they say “DADT good” – Terrorism extensions..............................................12
AT DA Politics they say “DADT bad”........................................................................................13
AT DA Japanese competitiveness...............................................................................................15
AT DA Japanese competitiveness - Japanese economy decreasing now extensions...............16
AT DA CFTA................................................................................................................................17
AT DA CFTA Pelosi extensions...................................................................................................18
AT DA CFTA Elections extensions.............................................................................................19
AT DA CFTA- Won’t Pass...........................................................................................................20
AT DA CFTA- Will Pass..............................................................................................................21
AT DA Congressional Elections- Dems Win..............................................................................22
AT DA Congressional Elections General...................................................................................23
AT DA India Deal.........................................................................................................................24
AT DA India Deal IAEA/NSG extensions..................................................................................25
AT DA India Deal - No Time extensions....................................................................................26
AT DA India Deal- Will Pass.......................................................................................................27
AT DA Spending...........................................................................................................................28
AT DA Business Confidence........................................................................................................29
SDI 2008 p. 2 of 29
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AT K Ecofem
No link - The plan establishes a permanent waste repository and allows interim dry cask
storage. They don’t have a specific link to either of those actions.
No link – links of omission should be rejected on face. There are a host of other problems in
the world that we didn’t mention that doesn’t prove that we hurt or help those issues.
Perm – do the plan and all non mutually exclusive components of their
alternative.
NO LINK: THE ENVIRONMENT AND ANY SCIENCE ARE NOT BUILT UPON PATRIARCHY, THEY
HAVE SIMPLY DEVELOPED FROM HUMAN INTELLIGENCE.
BALIUNAS ’99 (Sallie, “Extremes of Ecofeminism”,
http://oldfraser.lexi.net/publications/forum/1999/11/section_01.html)
It is difficult for a scientist to breech the basic level of disagreement between science and ecofeminism:
the material Universe does not have the ability to care whether or not humans get the laws of physics
right, or whether we even know that such rules exist. 7 The structure and evolution of Homo Sapiens,
including our capacity for thought, is the result of a dynamic, physical process responding to the
environment. Ecofeminism is wrong when it asserts that the ability to reason is antithetical to nature.
Human intelligence arose out of natural processes. During the late Pleistocene, in a struggle for survival
against the harsh conditions of the last major ice age, the cerebral cortex of the human brain increased
dramatically in size, improving the capacity for intelligence to a degree not seen previously in hominid
evolution. This means that the environment, and natural selection, produced the major development in
human intelligence from which arose the ability to do science. Intelligence is an extraordinarily useful
trait for a species in a changing environment.
Our aff is a da to the alternative – only increasing nuclear power can stop new coal power
plants. The impact to that is four extinction scenarios.
Turn – even ecofeminists believe we need to do something about global warming. This is a
net benefit to our perm.
BALIUNAS ’99 (Sallie, “Extremes of Ecofeminism”,
http://oldfraser.lexi.net/publications/forum/1999/11/section_01.html)
To be sure, environmental problems caused by humans have existed since hominids first walked upright and
began manipulating the environment with their intelligence and tool-making abilities. Ecofeminists work
from the belief that humans now have the capacity to alter destructively the earth’s environment. They
believe catastrophic global warming is one realistic scenario, requiring emergency and feminist passion.
While storytelling and mythmaking are different realizations of the intellectual capacity to do science,
they are not useful substitutes for it. In the case of increased carbon dioxide and its possible impact of
catastrophic warming, science does have some good news. First, the computer simulations of the climate
predict gradual warming over the next 100 years. Evidence has rapidly accumulated (e.g., the global lower
tropospheric temperature measurements made by satellites and balloons, or the Arctic temperature records)
that the future warming will be much slower and of smaller magnitude than predicted, because the early
effects of warming, which should be discernible, have not yet emerged. That leaves a period of several
decades in which to study cost-effective mitigation, adaptation, and alternative energy sources (e.g., fission
and fusion) without incurring any significant, future penalty in temperature rise. Here the Precautionary
Principle (by which an activity must not be allowed unless it is unequivocally proven safe for the
environment), a non-scientific principle, enters in the political and social debate. Science is used to put the
threat of global warming on the negotiating table (the hypothesis is that projected increases in carbon
dioxide will cause catastrophic global warming), then forbidden to define further the problem. ("We know
enough and must not take any risks with the earth!") The essential element of open controversy in scientific
explorations has been disallowed. Such ideas have led to the Kyoto agreement. Scientists agree that the
emission cuts it asks for, though substantial, are far too small to avert any significant amount of the projected
global warming, and that the computer simulations that project the warming fail scientific validation. It is
refreshing to hear the honesty in the comment of Canada’s environment minister on the Kyoto agreement,
"Even if the science is all phoney, there are collateral environmental benefits."8 Even if those benefits,
without science, cannot be defined.
SDI 2008 p. 4 of 29
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AT K Biopower
Identification of biopolitics doesn’t mandate rejection – individual consequences should be
evaluated.
Perm do the plan and all non-mutually exclusive parts of their alternative.
The perm is net beneficial - the evidence we just read said we need to assess individual
consequences which means you can weigh the advantage to the aff in the interim as we
transition to their alternative. Any risk of one of our massive 1ac impacts during the
transition is a reason to vote affirmative.
SDI 2008 p. 5 of 29
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Their impacts are empirically denied – biopower has been increasing but the risk of
nuclear war has substantially decreased.
Modern bureaucracy is not 'intrinsically capable of genocidal action' (Bauman 1989: 106). Centralized state coercion has
no natural move to terror. In the explanation of modern genocides it is chosen policies which play the greatest part, whether
in effecting bureaucratic secrecy, organizing forced labour, implementing a system of terror, harnessing science and technology or introducing
extermination policies, as means and as ends. As Nazi Germany and Stalin's USSR have shown, furthermore, those chosen policies
of genocidal government turned away from and not towards modernity. The choosing of policies, however, is not
independent of circumstances. An analysis of the history of each case plays an important part in explaining where and how genocidal
governments come to power and analysis of political institutions and structures also helps towards an understanding of the factors which act as
obstacles to modern genocide. But it is not just political factors which stand in the way of another Holocaust in modern society.
Modern societies have not only pluralist democratic political systems but also economic pluralism where workers
are free to change jobs and bargain wages and where independent firms, each with their own independent bureaucracies, exist in
competition with state-controlled enterprises. In modern societies this economic pluralism both promotes and is served by the open
scientific method. By ignoring competition and the capacity for people to move between organizations whether economic, political, scientific or
social, Bauman overlooks crucial but also very 'ordinary and common' attributes of truly modern societies. It is these very ordinary and
common attributes of modernity which stand in the way of modern genocides.
SDI 2008 p. 6 of 29
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For 50 years, a cruel and arbitrary line divided Europe. On one side of that line, people came together to contain the
threat of Communism moving West. On the other side, tyranny and domination forced people to exchange their
freedom for the false promise of a utopian ideal and a distorted sense of social stability. Today, the Berlin Wall, as
we know, is gone. There is no Iron Curtain. The line has been erased. In country after country, Communism has
crumbled; democracy has come alive. The threat of nuclear war no longer hovers over us.
U.S. leadership is responsible for significantly reducing the greatest threat of nuclear war.
Rosenfeld ’90 (Stephen, Washington Post, Oct. 5, twmh , p. A25)
In the official view -- the right view -- unification triumphantly caps the end of the division of Europe into Cold
War blocs, the rededication of a country and a continent on the basis of democracy, the free market and
mutual security, and the reduction of Soviet-American tensions of which the greatest was the threat of nuclear
war. That all this happened peacefully and in tandem with the Soviet Union but under American leadership -- the
leadership of the past decade and the past four decades -- is cause for pride and rejoicing.
SDI 2008 p. 10 of 29
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The United States creates a double standard by resorting to cultural relativism on sexual orientation rights. In his
article, On American Exceptionalism, Harold Hongju Koh notes that double standards are a type of exceptionalism
that is not new to American foreign policy. n127 What are the consequences of such American exceptionalism?
Scholars have asserted that American exceptionalism compromises the United States's soft powers. n128 By
reducing American credibility, [*1709] exceptionalism compromises the United States's soft power to conduct
diplomacy. There has been a trend, however, among human rights scholars and practitioners to look beyond these
soft effects to the transnational legal consequences of American exceptionalism. For example, human rights
advocates have challenged the American treatment of Guantanamo Bay detainees through litigation in American
courts, n129 British courts, n130 and the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights. n131
Hoping to make a difference in the world (and perhaps sensing the prospect of likely employment), U.S. students are
flocking to newly formed Arabic classes on high school and college campuses. Enrolling is the easy part. First, the
students learn that Arabic text reads from right to left but that numbers flow from left to right. Letters change form,
depending on where they are placed in a word. Some sounds have no English equivalent. And then the really hard
part sinks in. Classical Arabic, which is what's generally taught in U.S. classrooms, is the equivalent of Medieval
English. It's fine for literature and diplomacy but virtually useless on the streets of Cairo. And Egyptian colloquial
Arabic differs from other colloquial Arabic tongues. It's no wonder the dropout rate is so high. In the best programs,
only 25% of first-year students reach the third-year level. In a majority of college programs, students have no choice
but to stop after the first year because their university doesn't offer a second year. The persistence of such problems
four years after the 9/11 attacks is one measure both of the difficulty of the challenge and of the nation's sluggish
response to it. There are many others. In Iraq, the military lacks American translators, forcing reliance on foreigners.
At home, an inspector general reported last year that thousands of hours of intelligence tapes remain untranslated.
The military, the FBI and the CIA all have sharply increased recruiting of people who speak the languages used on
those tapes, but the supply falls far short of the need, particularly for the most-skilled linguists. At the State
Department, for instance, only 10 of 34,000 employees are rated fully fluent in Arabic. In his recent budget,
President Bush proposed an initiative to address the shortfall by jump-starting training in such critical languages as
Arabic, Farsi, Hindi and Urdu. The $114 million program would fund experiments in language instruction and
study-abroad opportunities for up to 3,000 high school students. It would pay for 300 teachers to come to the USA
and study-abroad opportunities for high-school language teachers. It also would create a corps of 1,000 experts in
critical languages to assist the federal government or teach in K-12 schools. The goal is to produce 2,000 advanced
speakers of critical languages by 2009. That's a start, if a belated one. When no one is available to translate
SDI 2008 p. 11 of 29
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intercepted terrorist communications, you have to wonder whether the war on terrorism can be won.
Recent studies have shown that many soldiers dismissed in past years under "don't ask, don't tell" tended to be in
highly trained specialties now in demand, including linguists and medical technicians.
Homosexuals in the military have long had to deal with a "don't ask, don't tell" policy. Gays and lesbians are shown
the door the second their sexual orientation is known. The military has been consistently ruthless in this regard, even
when it meant thinning the ranks of capable translators and intelligence operators for an inconsequential factor like
sexual identity.
The Miitary has discharged translators for violating DADT. This hurts the already
devastating shortage of military linguistics needed to fight the war on terror.
New York Times, January 14. 2005, (John Files, “National Briefing, Gay Linguists Dismissed from Military”,
Lexus, mm)
The military has discharged 20 service personnel who spoke or had studied Arabic for being gay since 1998,
according to new data from the Pentagon. Gay rights advocates argue that the dismissals run counter to a critical
shortage of translators and interpreters needed for the war on terrorism. Pentagon officials had previously reported
that nine Army linguists, including six trained in Arabic, had been discharged under the military's ''don't ask, don't
tell'' policy from the Defense Language Institute in Monterey, Calif. John Files (NYT)
In the past two years, the Department of Defense has discharged 37 linguists from the Defense Language Institute
for being gay. Like Glover, many studied Arabic. At a time of heightened need for intelligence specialists, 37
linguists were rendered useless because of their homosexuality.
SDI 2008 p. 13 of 29
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The trend is that McCain will go ahead of Obama soon. He is already ahead in Colorado
and is gaining in every swing state. Introducing the plan can only disrupt his momentum.
McClatchy Washington Beurau, byline Steven Thomma, 7/25/08, “Obama wins the week but McCain’s
still in the race,” http://www.mcclatchydc.com/homepage/story/45643.html MH
The Arizona Republican went to the battleground states of Ohio and Pennsylvania, dominating local
news coverage and talking about gas prices, an issue mentioned in local coffee shops much more than
Obama's trip. Polls show Obama with an edge, but the contest still very close. In surveys of
battleground states taken just before Obama's trip and during its first days, Quinnipiac University
found McCain gaining on him in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin and pulling narrowly ahead in
Colorado. "The race is tightening," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Connecticut University's
Polling Institute. "McCain's doing a little better because Obama's post-primary bounce is wearing off."
SDI 2008 p. 14 of 29
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McCain is winning Nevada by a narrow margin now and Nevada is a key battle ground
state vital to the election.
Las Vegas Review Journal, byline Molly Ball, 6/17/08, “New R-J Nevada Poll: McCain 44%, Obama
42%,” http://www.lvrj.com/news/19954494.html MH
As the presidential candidates square off for the general election, Nevadans are closely divided between
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain, according to a statewide poll. If the election
were held today, 44 percent would vote for McCain, 42 percent for Obama, while 14 percent of likely
voters remain undecided, according to the poll of 625 likely voters, conducted Monday through Wednesday
by Washington, D.C.-based Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. for the Review-Journal and
reviewjournal.com. The presidential contest is well within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 4
percentage points. It confirms the conventional wisdom that Nevada is a swing state that might throw its
electoral votes to either candidate in November. "It's a statistical tie. It's a toss-up," said pollster Brad
Coker, managing partner of Mason-Dixon. "Nevada is a battleground. It's clearly a state both candidates,
both campaigns, both parties are going to pay a lot of attention to.
Yucca mountain is a key issue for Nevada voters – they oppose it strongly
Las Vegas Review-Journal, Nov. 28, 2007, “Poll finds Nevada voters strongly oppose Yucca, Survey shows
76 percent are against nuclear waste project”, JaretLK, http://www.lvrj.com/news/11882701.html ellipses in original
RENO -- Nevada voters remain overwhelmingly opposed to federal plans to store the nation's nuclear
waste at Yucca Mountain, according to a statewide poll published Tuesday. The survey of 600 likely
Nevada voters conducted for the Reno Gazette-Journal found that 76 percent oppose the project and 57
percent say the issue will be important in making their choice for president. The survey also found that
opposition to the project crosses party lines, but Democrats think it's a more important issue in the
presidential election than Republicans. Seventy-four percent of Democrats said the issue is important
to them in the presidential race, compared with 38 percent of Republicans. The poll was conducted
Nov. 16-19 by Maryland-based Research 2000. The margin of error is 4 percent. "From a national
perspective, any campaign that wants to win the hearts and minds of Nevada voters has to be prepared
to talk about long-term radioactive storage," said GOP strategist Greg Ferraro of Reno. "These numbers
will also force the candidates to look at alternatives for the waste." Yucca Mountain has gained more
attention from presidential candidates since Nevada moved up its presidential caucuses to Jan. 19,
following Iowa on Jan. 3 and the New Hampshire primary on Jan. 8. Nevada's congressional delegation is
adamantly opposed to the project. Congress in 2002 picked the Yucca Mountain site about 100 miles
northwest of Las Vegas to entomb 77,000 tons of spent nuclear reactor fuel. Political analysts said the issue's
importance in presidential elections has been questionable. They cite President Bush's ability to carry Nevada
in 2004, despite his support of the Yucca Mountain site. "Yucca Mountain is not going to swing it for them
from one candidate to another," said Eric Herzik, a political science professor at the University of Nevada,
Reno. "Among Democrats, this is a far more salient issue. There is no nuance allowed. ... Republicans,
even those who are opposed to Yucca Mountain, are not as adamant as are the Democrats," he said.
Every Democratic presidential candidate has come out against Yucca Mountain, but Rep. Ron Paul is the
only Republican candidate to come out strongly against it. The Department of Energy is preparing a license
application to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to construct the project.
SDI 2008 p. 15 of 29
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AT DA Japanese competitiveness
Unique turn - Our economy advantage turns your DA – if the U.S. economy goes down so
will the Japanese economy which is slowing now.
Associated Press Worldstream ’08 (Feb. 12, l/n, twm)
Japanese Economy Minister Hiroko Ota said Tuesday that the nation's economy may temporarily slow
down because of the U.S. slump. "The U.S. economy is slowing down at an accelerating pace. It is
possible that Japan's economic growth will moderate temporarily because of the U.S.," Ota said at a
news conference. She said she will monitor the possible impact of a slowdown in the American economy on
Japan. Ota made the remarks when asked about the joint statement Saturday of the financial chiefs of the
Group of Seven industrialized countries that acknowledged the risk of a U.S. economic slowdown. But the
statement projected that in the long-term the U.S. economy will continue to grow. The American economy
a vital export market for Japan nearly stalled in the fourth quarter, growing at a pace of just 0.6
percent. The odds of a recession have grown considerably over the last year, and an increasing number
of analysts believe the economy may actually be shrinking now. Those concerns, plus rising oil prices,
market volatility and a global credit crunch have all caused analysts to speculate that Japan's economy
will also slow.
non-unique high oil and food prices are slowing the Japanese economy now.
International Herald Tribune July 8, 2008 p. 11 l/n twm
Japanese corporate profits are falling while consumer prices are expected to keep rising because of
high oil and food costs, Masaaki Shirakawa, the governor of the Bank of Japan, said Monday, underlining
the central bank's policy dilemma as it juggles the risks of slowing growth and rising global inflation.
In a further sign of weakness in the Japanese economy, the Bank of Japan lowered its assessment for eight of
Japan's nine regions, with many of its regional branch managers citing soft personal consumption when they
met Monday. Shirakawa told the meeting that economic growth in Japan was slowing because of rising
energy and raw material costs, with exports increasing at a slower pace and corporate profits
decreasing. High commodity prices are expected to push up Japanese wholesale and retail prices, he said,
adding that the central bank needed to closely monitor the impact of rising raw material costs on the
economy. ''Global inflationary risks are intensifying, as seen in the surge in international commodity prices,''
Shirakawa said during a speech at the quarterly meeting.
no link – the U.S. doesn’t have the tech right now we would have to buy from Japan in the
short term
Jack Spencer, Research Fellow in Nuclear Energy in the Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies at
The Heritage Foundation, June 2, 2008, Nuclear Power Needed to Minimize Lieberman-Warner's Economic Impact,
nna http://www.heritage.org/research/energyandenvironment/wm1944.cfm
The reality is that the United States has not ordered a new reactor since the mid-1970s and it does not
have the industrial infrastructure to build even one reactor today. Its industrial and intellectual base
atrophied as the nuclear industry declined over the past three decades.
turn – the plan massively increases the size of the world nuclear energy market which
means that even if U.S. manufacturing gets some of that business Japan will also get new
business.
no link – we tradeoff with jobs in the coal industry and Japan doesn’t have any sector of
that market which means we can only increase their export markets.
case turns the DA – runaway global warming will crush the global economy and Japan
along with it.
SDI 2008 p. 16 of 29
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AT DA CFTA
No vote of CFTA
a. April delay
Market Watch 7/24/08 http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/colombian-food-drink-report-
provides/story.aspx?guid=%7BAC1A0F3C-5F93-4456-A6C1-2E5D154E0397%7D&dist=hppr
On April 10 2008 the US House of Representatives voted to indefinitely delay the implementation of
the United States-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement. The move effectively delays debate on the
politically sensitive free trade deal until after the November 2008 Presidential election and avoids a
potentially damaging showdown between the two democratic presidential candidates who have both
questioned the merits of free trade. Colombia's food and drink exporters currently enjoy relatively
straightforward access to the US under the Andean Trade Preference and Drug Eradication Act (ATPDEA)
passed in 2002. However, this agreement will expire on December 31 2008 and the failure to pass the new
Trade Promotion Agreement sends a worrying signal that the US may be less open to Colombia's exports
under a new administration.
More evidence
Michael Collier, COHA Research Associate, 6/27/08 http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/WO0806/S00685.htm
In an interview with the Washington Post, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made it clear that stalling a vote on
ratification of the CTPA was designed to pressure the Bush Administration to provide further domestic
economic stimulus provisions and worker benefits. With Bush unlikely to acquiesce, the prospects for
Congress to pass the agreement rest on the outcome of the November elections, which presently do not
appear favorable for Republicans. Meanwhile, Democratic nominee Barack Obama has openly declared his
opposition to the CTPA, based on Colombia's track record with organized labor and paramilitary groups.
Still, Obama's opposition to the CTPA is partially rooted in election year posturing, and his recent vote in
favor of the U.S.-Peru free trade agreement indicates he is not opposed to free trade in principle. In the event
of a November victory, it is unlikely he would ask Congress to ratify the CTPA in its current form.
Alternatively, McCain is an outspoken proponent of the free trade deal, as he will reiterate in his forthcoming
trip to Colombia. Since he has repeatedly insisted that maintaining free trade is a key part of his agenda,
McCain would categorically pursue CTPA ratification if he wins the 2008 election.
SDI 2008 p. 21 of 29
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AT DA India Deal
No vote
a. IAEA, NSG
Joseph Crowley, foreign affairs committee, 7/25/08
http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/ndtv/story.aspx?id=NEWEN20080058649
Question: Now that the Manmohan Singh Government has won the vote of confidence, what are the
chances of the Indo-US Civilian Nuclear deal being passed by the US Congress now? Answer: I do think
there are still some issues that are lying in the way before it comes before the US Congress - the
International Atomic Energy Agency and the Nuclear Supplier Group. It has been indicated to us that
they would finish the work or come to an agreement near the end of October. That would certainly limit its
ability to come to the House (of Representatives) and the Senate before the end of this Presidential cycle. But
we do look forward to it. Whether it is IAEA or the NSG there are still some hurdles left that have to be
crossed before it comes back to the United States. Question: You have written a letter to the Prime
Minister today Answer: I have written a letter to the Prime Minister congratulating him on the vote of
confidence that he received. In the letter I indicated to him that it is my hope that the Government of India
will use this momentum and move swiftly to allow sufficient time for IAEA and NSG to clear the pact for
final approval by the Congress. It is my hope that that will happen. Question: Do you think that the
Congress has enough time left on its calendar to consider the deal when it comes to it. How long the
Congress can wait for it? Answer: Let me say this. We will be here for another week, and then take a break
for the August recess. We will come back in September and we will be here for approximately three weeks.
So in total four weeks are left on the legislative calendar before we break for the elections. All indications
right now is that there would be no Lame Duck session, but that could change between now and the end
of the year. Question: Given that the IAEA and NSG process is unlikely to be completed before September
end and that there is less likelihood of a Lame Duck session; so what happens to the deal than if the Congress
is not able to approve it before the end of this Presidential cycle. Answer: Well, if the Congress is unable to
pass it, I think, a number of things could happen. First of all other countries can move forward. We expect
that they would do that. If all works out with the IAEA and NSG then certainly several countries France and
probably Britain would move forward in terms of establishing ties with India. In such a situation, certainly
the country that initiated this would be at the disadvantage stage. In that case, we would have to take it up
again in the next Congress and go through the regular process. Question: That would be time consuming and
would have to go through the entire regular process again.
b. No lame duck
Alan Kronstadt, Specialist in Asian Affairs Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Trade Division, 7/8/08
http://in.rediff.com/news/2008/jul/08inter.htm
K Alan Kronstadt, an expert on South Asian affairs and a senior analyst at the Congressional Research Service, is acclaimed in Washington, DC for his understanding of India,
Pakistan, their conflict over Kashmir, and other issues, both defence and trade-related. As an analyst at CRS, which is a kind of in-house think-tank for the United States Congress,
his reports on Pakistan and terrorism and US-Pakistan relations are eagerly studied by Washington policymakers. He spoke to Managing Editor (National Affairs) Sheela Bhatt a day
before Congress went into recess for the July 4 break. He discussed the future of the India-US civilian nuclear agreement in its current form and the possibility of it being passed by
the United States Congress. What is your take on the Indian government's decision to go ahead with the deal? What is the next possible scenario? Obviously, the steps are quite clear.
India will have to finalise the safeguards agreement and get it cleared from the board of the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency). The NSG (Nuclear Suppliers Group) will
have to agree to alter its guidelines (to allow) international trade (of nuclear material with India). Once the resolution is ready, it will be presented in Congress for a simple up and
down vote. It is expected that there will not be any amendment process. The key here is that, according to our laws, the Congressional calendar in US requires a continuous 30-day
session once the president introduces the bill to Congress. The calendar is getting a little tough now. Congress is in recess in August. The session of the 110th Congress, which sat in
January 2007, ends this year. The session is slated to end in late September unless a lame-duck session occurs after the November election. Congressmen may or may not decide to
come back for the lame-duck session, specially this year, now that we have a presidential election going on too. This is very disruptive to the Congressional schedule. The entire 435
members of the House (of Representatives) and one-third of the members of the Senate are running for re-election. They are compelled to go back to their districts to campaign.
Congress is likely to be not in session for (the remainder of the) year unless they choose to come back for the lame-duck session. What if President Bush decides to take it up? Then,
there are ways of doing it, right? I am not aware of any steps the president can take to do away with the 30 days of continuous session that is required. It is part of the law. We have
the Atomic Energy Act, which is relevant here (It deals with the regulation of nuclear materials and facilities in the US). There is the Hyde Act, which is an enabling act that is clear
about the requirements (that come after the submission by the) president. That's why, in the last few months we saw State Department officials started referring... to Senator (Joseph)
Biden's statements. As a senior (senator), Senator Biden's words should be taken as quite credible on the issue. Biden said we need to submit (the nuclear deal) sometime in June.
When the administration started referring to Biden's statements I took it as a sign that the (Bush) administration itself was seeing the timeline the same way. Subsequent statements
from the (US) ambassador (to India David Mulford) and even from some Congressmen suggest that the clock has run out. The 30 days' session starts when the president submits the
India-US nuclear co-operation agreement to Congress. To do that, certain steps at have to be completed at the IAEA and NSG. If the necessary steps at the IAEA and NSG are
do you think the nuclear deal has a good chance to pass Congress? The way I
completed by, say, the end of July, then
see it, there are just not enough days in the Congressional calendar without (including) a lame-duck
session. As I understand a session is planned in September that only leaves whatever days are left in
September and whatever days remain in July. I don't see how they (could) get 30 continuous days out
of that.
SDI 2008 p. 25 of 29
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AT DA Spending
turn – our economy advantage turns the internal link to your impact
Spending high now, economy jacked now, deficit high now, economy resilient.
Reuters, 7/28/08 http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSWAT00985720080728
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Bush administration on Monday cut its budget deficit forecast for the
current year but expanded it to a record $482 billion for 2009 as the weakening U.S. economy slows
revenues and spending remains high. The White House said the budget shortfall for fiscal 2008, which
ends September 30, will likely come in at around $389 billion, below its $410 billion estimate released in
February, because receipts were holding up better than expected. However, due to tax rebates, overall receipts
will still be below last year The White House lowered its forecast for 2008 economic growth to 1.2
percent, measured fourth quarter over fourth quarter, from 2.7 percent previously, putting it in line with
private sector projections. But the administration said growth looked set to rebound to 2.9 percent next year
and 3.5 percent in 2010, stronger than many private economists expect The White House said its
projections portray an economy that is fundamentally resilient, with inflation controlled. "If food and
energy prices stabilize as expected, the inflation rate should decline," the White House said.
AT DA Business Confidence
Fears of US recession, Midwest Flooding, Auto Industry decline and increased food prices.
Business First 6-30 http://www.bizjournals.com/louisville/stories/2008/06/30/daily13.html
National City Corp. said Monday that its Business Confidence Index declined to an all-time low of 57.8 as
respondents expressed concerns about the ramifications of Midwest flooding and the continued
struggles of the U.S. automotive industry. National City (NYSE: NCC) contacted business managers in
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Pennsylvania, and asked them two questions:
Would you describe the current economic outlook for your specific business/industry as very poor, poor, fair,
good or very good; and Do you plan to reduce, maintain or increase the size of your work force in the coming
12 months? Business outlook and hiring plans indices are calculated by adding the percentage of total
positive responses and half of the neutral responses. The composite index is calculated by averaging the
outlook and hiring plans indices. Respondents contacted in June said they feared ripple effects of recent
Midwestern flooding, including higher food prices.