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For media release only

Public Opinion Survey for Parliament Kota Kinabalu & Penampang

Perception on the Leadership and Issues


14 - 20 March 2012

For media release only

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MERDEKA CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH 901B Diamond Complex, 43650 Bandar Baru Bangi, Selangor, MALAYSIA

Tel: 603 8210 1488/1499 Fax: 603 8210 1466 Email: info@merdeka.org Web: www.merdeka.org

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Methodology
411 voters aged 21 and above were interviewed via telephone (fixed and mobile)
The survey respondents were selected from Parliament Kota Kinabalu and Penampang only

Voters were selected through random stratified sampling method along the lines of ethnicity, gender, age and state constituency
Survey margin of error estimated at 4.83% The survey was conducted between 14th March and 20th March 2012

Note: Total percentages presented may or may not add up to 100% due to rounding up of figures

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Respondent Profile v.1


Ethnicity
Muslim Bumiputera Non_Muslim Bumiputera Chinese

Gender
Male Female None Islam

Religion
Buddhism 25 13 Christianity Taoist

12 48 55 33 52
55

24

Ethnicity Group
Chinese Kadazan/Dusun Malay Bajau Others

Age
52 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 > 60

Household income (RM)


<751 751-1,500 1,501-3,000

26 14 22

7
19 27 15 17 15

34 4 1

3,001-5,000

20
>5,001

18

Refuse/Unsure

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Respondent Profile v.2


Occupation
Govt/GLC Private

Voting Status
Every election Every other election Never voted before

Education Level
No formal education Primary school Secondary school

18
52 29 15 14

Self employed
Homemaker Retired Students/Unemployed

21

10
49 18 21

10
69

Diploma & equivalent Degree and above

Internet Access
With internet access Without internet access Urban

Setting
Rural Likas

DUN
18 13 23 27 20
Api-api

39 59

26

Luyang

74

Kapayan Moyog

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Direction of Sabah

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Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Direction of Sabah
Right Direction Wrong Direction Unsure Refuse

3%

7%

51%
39%

Q: Considering the condition of Sabah state today, how strongly would you say the things are heading in the right or wrong direction?

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Direction of Sabah
RIGHT DIRECTION (n=209) Rapid or good development/good condition of infrastructure
Peaceful condition in the country/state Improving economic conditions Quality of national leadership Government takescare of people WRONG DIRECTION (n=160) Rising cost of living No/less development Illegal immigrant issue Poverty Unfavourable economic condition Quality of national leadership Job opportunities

Top 5 reasons for Right vs Wrong direction of the Sabah along ethnicity
Total
33% 15% 12% 6% 2% Total 21% 14% 9% 9% 6% 4% 3% Muslim Bumiputera 38% 8% 15% 15% 3% Muslim Bumiputera 13% 38% 13% 13% 13% Non Muslim Bumiputera 37% 7% 21% 7% 4% Non Muslim Bumiputera 7% 21% 14% 7% 7% 2% 2%

Chinese
29% 25% 3% 1% 1% Chinese 27% 9% 7% 11% 7% 5% 3%

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Most important issues that needs solving in Sabah


Major Problems in Sabah
Illegal immigrant issue Price hike/inflation/rising cost of living Infrastructure in bad condition (road and drain) Lack of public infrastructure (bridge, community halls, street light) Poverty Job opportunities Electricity supply Inefficient administration Water supply, water pressure
Total Muslim Bumiputera Non Muslim Bumiputera Chinese

27% 8% 8% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3%

16% 2% 16% 4% 4% 8%

34% 5% 7% 8% 4% 3% 4%

25% 12% 6% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3%

6% 4%

3% 3%

Crime

3%

2%

2%

4%

Q: In your view, what is the most important problem that needs solving in Sabah today?

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Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Expectations on government
ISSUES
Price hike & inflation Illegal immigrants issue Corruption Unfavourable economic condition Welfare to the people Infrastructure development Oil loyalty State autonomy No/Less development Religious freedom

FIRST

SECOND

TOTAL

34% 28% 16% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2%

6% 21% 14% 8% 8% 4% 5% 1% 4% 2%

40% 49% 30% 12% 11% 6% 7% 2% 6% 4%

Political instability
Job opportunities

1%
1%

3%
7%

4%
8%

Q: Among the issues below, choose TWO main issues that you think need to be resolve soon in Sabah?

10

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Economic Sentiment of Sabah

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Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Evaluation on Economic Sentiment


Economic Indicator

Satisfied

Dissatisfied

81

57

54 39 38

55

40

16

Sabah State economy

Your personal income

Job opportunities

Price of consumer good & services

Q: How far are you satisfied/ dissatisfied with issues relating to the current Sabah states economy?

12

For media release only

Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Evaluation on Economic Sentiment


Sabah State economy
Satisfied 61 53 44 36 36 Dissatisfied 59 63 61 64

Your personal income


Satisfied Dissatisfied 55
48 35 35 37 45 57 61 50 46 61 51 35 40

56
42 48 47

60 40 43

53

59 49 43

52

32

37

33

38
31

KK

Penampang Likas Api-Api Luyang Kapayan Moyog

MB

NMB

Chinese

KK Penampang Likas Api-api Luyang Kapayan Moyog

MB

NMB

Chinese

Job opportunities
Satisfied 60 51 40 36 42 51 48 37 33 36 36 26
MB

Price of consumer good & services


72 Satisfied 65 45 44 32 17 16 15 25 14 16 15 28
MB

Dissatisfied 58 61 60 80

Dissatisfied 82 67 85 81 83 68 83 82

82

15
NMB

14
Chinese

KK Penampang Likas Api-api Luyang Kapayan Moyog

NMB

Chinese

KK Penampang Likas

Api-api Luyang Kapayan Moyog

Q: How far are you satisfied/ dissatisfied with issues relating to the current Sabah states economy? MB=Muslim Bumiputera; NMB=Non Muslim Bumiputera

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Election Issues

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Importance of Election Issues in Sabah


Mean score of important issues across ethnicity. 1 indicates as least important and 5 indicates most important.
Importance of Issues in Sabah Total Muslim Bumiputera Non Muslim Bumiputera Chinese

State Autonomy

3.35

3.18

3.50

3.29

Corruption

3.79

3.96

3.92

3.66

Economic Development

3.71

3.90

3.83

3.59

Racial Equality

3.59

3.64

3.77

3.48

Oil Royalty

3.54

3.57

3.69

3.44

Average

3.60

3.65

3.74

3.49

Q: Please rank the following issues in degree of importance (1 being most important, 5 being least important) MB=Muslim Bumiputera; NMB=Non Muslim Bumiputera

15

For media release only

Main issues to be debated in the election


Issues
0%
PATI issue Price hike/inflation/rising cost of living Welfare to the people Corruption in general

2%

4%

6%

8%

10% 11%

12%

6% 6% 4% 4%

Infrastructur in bad condition


Unfavourable economic condition Equality among races Change in administration and leaders Uneven salaries between government and private sectors Poor quality of education systems

4%
3% 3% 2% 2%

Q: In your view, what is the most important issue that needs to be discussed/debated in the coming election?

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Propensity for change

6%

4%

31%
17%
BN is the only party that can provide for the needs of the Sabah people

26%

14%

59%
Others parties should be given a chance to prove their abilities to lead the people of Sabah
Q: Which one is closer to your opinion BN is the only party that can provide for the needs of the Sabah people Or Others parties should be given a chance to prove their abilities to lead the people of Sabah

33%

For media release only

Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Federal opposition political parties VS Sabah State opposition political parties


11% 24%
Federal opposition Sabah opposition Unsure Refuse

38% 26%

Q: Between Federal opposition political parties like DAP/PAS/PKR and Sabah-state opposition political parties like SAPP/UBF, which do you think can better safeguard Sabahans interest?

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Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Cooperation between SAPP/UBF & Pakatan Rakyat


Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Strongly Disagree Somewhat disagree Unsure Refuse

7%

15%

23% Disagree

24%

46% Agree
31%

12% 11%
Q: How strongly do you agree or disagree that SAPP/UBF should cooperate with Pakatan Rakyat in the coming election?

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Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Royal Commission of Inquiry (RCI) on Illegal Immigrants in Sabah


Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Strongly Disagree Somewhat disagree Unsure Refuse

1% 2%4%

6%

8% Disagree
54% 34%

88% Agree

Q : How strongly do you agree or disagree to setup a Royal Commission of Inquiry (RCI) to investigate the alleged immigrants problem in Sabah?

For media release only

Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Royal Commission of Inquiry (RCI) on Illegal Immigrant in Sabah


88%
Agree (n=359)
Too many PATI in Sabah PATI bring out many crime issue To control the entry of PATI To ensure job opportunities and business opportunities for local people PATI issue(easy to get MyKad) Reduce crime issue Welfare to the people of Sabah Governement are not able to solve this issue

8%
Disagree (n=31)
23 22
RCI cannot solve the PATI issues-RCI just an act

32

16
11

8
3 3 1
PATI may generate economy of Sabah

19

Q: What is the reason for you to say so?

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Evaluation of Leadership & Government

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Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Performance of the Sabah State Government


Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Very dissatisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Unsure Refuse

6% 5%

10%

45% Dissatisfied

15%

44% Satisfied
34%

30%

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of BN state government in managing Sabah today?

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Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Performance of the Sabah Chief Minister


Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Very dissatisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Unsure Refuse

6%
11%

8%

41% Dissatisfied

15%

35%

43% Satisfied

26%

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Musa Aman as the Chief Minister of Sabah today?

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Kota Kinabalu & Penampang Public Opinion Poll N=411, 14-20 March2012

Performance of the Prime Minister


Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Very dissatisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Unsure Refuse

6% 12%

4%

20%

30% Dissatisfied
18%

60% Satisfied

40%

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of Najib Razak as Prime Minister?

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