Estimation of Travel Time From Spot Speed Data

Estimation of travel time from Spot Speed data
For the estimation of travel time from spot speed data measured at three stations within
the 3 km stretch of road, we divide the 3 km stretch of road into two parts - Link 1 and
Link 2. Link joining Station A and Station C is Link 1 and link joining Station C and
Station C is Link 2. We estimate travel time from spot speed data of station A,B and C
using three approaches described below-
Approach 1:
The model assumes that the vehicles entering station A have a constant speed which is
the spot speed measured at station A, throughout Link 1. Then we assume that vehicles
entering the station A, have a constant speed which is the spot speed measured at Station
C, throughout Link 2. Travel times are calculated for both the above cases and then take
an average which is the final estimated travel time.
D1
. (1)
So, the travel time in Link 1 with speed V A is
VA
D1
..... (2)
And the travel time in Link 1 for speed VC is
VC
The final travel time in link 1 is
1 D1 D1
( + )
2 V A VC
... (3)
Where, D1 is the distance between two consecutive stations,

VA is the spot speed measured at the starting station,
VC is the spot speed measured at the ending station.
Similarly travel time in link 2 is
D
1 D2
(
+ 2)
2 VC
VB
(4)
Where, D2 is the distance between two consecutive stations,

VC is the spot speed measured at the starting station,
VB is the spot speed measured at the ending station.
Approach 2:
In approach 2, we consider that the vehicles have a constant speed throughout the link
which is the average of the spot speed measured at stating and ending stations of that link.
D
So, travel time in a particular link is
.. (5)
1 (V + V )
A
C
2
Where, D is the distance between two consecutive stations or distance of the link,
VA is the spot speed measured at the starting station of the link,

VC is the spot speed measured at the ending station of the link.
Approach 3:
In this approach, we consider that the vehicles have a constant speed throughout the link
which is the minimum speed between the two spot speeds measured at starting and
ending station of that link.
D
.. (6)
So, travel time in a particular link is
min(V A , VC )
Comparison of observed and estimated travel time using these three

approaches:
Bus:
Table 1: Observed travel time and spot speed of bus
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Interval Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00
Observed
average travel
time
0:04:54
0:04:54
0:05:38
0:04:40
0:04:42
0:05:37
0:05:02
0:04:41
0:05:01
0:04:38
0:04:22
0:04:31
Station A
47.00
42.33
40.00
39.50
36.75
36.00
44.00
50.33
45.00
43.50
52.50
43.67
Spot speed
(km/hr)
Station C
34.00
40.67
32.00
47.00
30.33
31.75
35.50
43.00
36.50
41.00
42.00
47.80
Station B
48.00
24.00
40.33
36.00
50.00
37.40
35.00
35.50
28.33
35.50
36.60
39.50
Table 2: Comparison between estimated and observed travel time using approach 1
Estimated
travel time (hr)
Interval
Duration
Link 1
Link 2
total est TT
estimated
TT
obs TT
error
8:50:00-8:55:00
0.03802
0.03768
0.07570
0:04:32
0:04:54
0:00:22
8:55:00:9:00:00
0.03616
0.04969
0.08585
0:05:09
0:04:54
0:00:15
9:00:00-9:05:00
0.04219
0.04203
0.08422
0:05:03
0:05:38
0:00:35
9:05:00:9:10:00
0.03494
0.03679
0.07174
0:04:18
0:04:40
0:00:22
9:10:00-9:15:00
0.04513
0.03973
0.08486
0:05:05
0:04:42
0:00:23
9:15:00-9:20:00
0.04446
0.04368
0.08813
0:05:17
0:05:37
0:00:20
9:20:00-9:25:00
0.03817
0.04256
0.08073
0:04:50
0:05:02
0:00:12
9:25:00-9:30:00
0.03234
0.03857
0.07091
0:04:15
0:04:41
0:00:26
9:30:00-9:35:00
0.03721
0.04702
0.08423
0:05:03
0:05:01
0:00:02
10
9:35:00-9:40:00
0.03553
0.03942
0.07495
0:04:30
0:04:38
0:00:08
11
9:40:00-9:45:00
0.03214
0.03835
0.07049
0:04:14
0:04:22
0:00:08
12
9:45:00-9:50:00
0.03287
0.03468
0.06754
0:04:03
0:04:31
Mean
0:00:28
0:00:18
Estimated travel time (hr)
total est TT
estimated
TT
obs TT
error
0.03659
0.07362
0:04:25
0:04:54
0:00:29
0.03614
0.04639
0.08254
0:04:57
0:04:54
0:00:03
9:00:00-9:05:00
0.04167
0.04147
0.08314
0:05:00
0:05:38
0:00:38
9:05:00:9:10:00
0.03468
0.03614
0.07083
0:04:15
0:04:40
0:00:25
9:10:00-9:15:00
0.04472
0.03734
0.08206
0:04:55
0:04:42
0:00:13
9:15:00-9:20:00
0.04428
0.04338
0.08766
0:05:16
0:05:37
0:00:21
9:20:00-9:25:00
0.03774
0.04255
0.08029
0:04:49
0:05:02
0:00:13
9:25:00-9:30:00
0.03214
0.03822
0.07036
0:04:13
0:04:41
0:00:28
9:30:00-9:35:00
0.03681
0.04627
0.08308
0:04:59
0:05:01
0:00:02
10
9:35:00-9:40:00
0.03550
0.03922
0.07472
0:04:29
0:04:38
0:00:09
11
9:40:00-9:45:00
0.03175
0.03817
0.06991
0:04:11
0:04:22
0:00:11
12
9:45:00-9:50:00
0.03280
0.03436
0.06716
0:04:02
0:04:31
avg
0:00:29
0:00:18
Interval
Duration
Link 1
Link 2
8:50:00-8:55:00
0.03704
8:55:00:9:00:00
Estimated
travel time (hr)
estimated
TT
Observed
TT
0.088235
0:05:18
0:04:54
0:00:24
0.062500
0.099385
0:05:57
0:04:54
0:01:03
0.046875
0.046875
0.093750
0:05:37
0:05:38
0:00:01
9:05:00:9:10:00
0.037975
0.041667
0.079641
0:04:47
0:04:40
0:00:07
9:10:00-9:15:00
0.049451
0.049451
0.098901
0:05:55
0:04:42
0:01:13
9:15:00-9:20:00
0.047244
0.047244
0.094488
0:05:40
0:05:37
0:00:03
9:20:00-9:25:00
0.042254
0.042857
0.085111
0:05:06
0:05:02
0:00:04
9:25:00-9:30:00
0.034884
0.042254
0.077137
0:04:37
0:04:41
0:00:04
9:30:00-9:35:00
0.041096
0.052941
0.094037
0:05:38
0:05:01
0:00:37
Interval
Duration
Link 1
Link 2
total est TT
8:50:00-8:55:00
0.044118
0.044118
8:55:00:9:00:00
0.036885
9:00:00-9:05:00
error
10
9:35:00-9:40:00
0.036585
0.042254
0.078839
0:04:45
0:04:38
0:00:07
11
9:40:00-9:45:00
0.035714
0.040984
0.076698
0:04:36
0:04:22
0:00:14
12
9:45:00-9:50:00
0.034351
0.037975
0.072326
0:04:21
0:04:31
0:00:10
0:00:20
Car:
Table 5: Observed travel time and spot speed of car
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Interval Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00
Observed travel
time
Station A
Spot speed
(km/hr)
Station C
0:04:05
44.67
44.50
24.50
0:05:45
45.00
44.00
13.00
0:04:01
36.75
45.09
38.25
0:03:40
55.50
50.83
37.89
0:04:02
40.40
33.43
50.67
0:04:20
45.70
36.00
41.60
0:04:43
45.27
35.71
40.25
0:03:54
46.56
43.27
40.88
0:04:27
46.73
37.25
29.78
0:04:18
42.22
40.14
35.46
0:03:17
44.75
55.00
41.00
0:03:54
44.42
41.93
38.00
Station B
Estimated
travel time (hr)
total est TT
estimated
TT
obs TT
error
0.04747
0.08111
0:04:52
0:04:05
0:00:47
0.03371
0.07474
0.10845
0:06:31
0:05:45
0:00:46
9:00:00-9:05:00
0.03704
0.03624
0.07328
0:04:24
0:04:01
0:00:23
9:05:00:9:10:00
0.02827
0.03455
0.06282
0:03:46
0:03:40
0:00:06
9:10:00-9:15:00
0.04100
0.03724
0.07824
0:04:41
0:04:02
0:00:39
9:15:00-9:20:00
0.03724
0.03886
0.07611
0:04:34
0:04:20
0:00:14
9:20:00-9:25:00
0.03757
0.03963
0.07720
0:04:38
0:04:43
0:00:05
9:25:00-9:30:00
0.03344
0.03568
0.06912
0:04:09
0:03:54
0:00:15
9:30:00-9:35:00
0.03618
0.04532
0.08151
0:04:53
0:04:27
0:00:26
10
9:35:00-9:40:00
0.03645
0.03983
0.07628
0:04:35
0:04:18
0:00:17
11
9:40:00-9:45:00
0.03040
0.03193
0.06233
0:03:44
0:03:17
0:00:27
12
9:45:00-9:50:00
0.03477
0.03762
0.07239
0:04:20
0:03:54
mean
0:00:26
0:00:24
Interval
Duration
Link 1
8:50:00-8:55:00
0.03364
8:55:00:9:00:00
Link 2
total est TT
estimated
TT
obs TT
error
0.04348
0.07712
0:04:37
0:04:05
0:00:32
0.03371
0.05263
0.08634
0:05:11
0:05:45
0:00:34
9:00:00-9:05:00
0.03666
0.03600
0.07265
0:04:21
0:04:01
0:00:20
9:05:00:9:10:00
0.02821
0.03381
0.06203
0:03:43
0:03:40
0:00:03
9:10:00-9:15:00
0.04063
0.03567
0.07631
0:04:24
0:04:02
0:00:22
9:15:00-9:20:00
0.03672
0.03866
0.07538
0:04:31
0:04:20
0:00:11
9:20:00-9:25:00
0.03704
0.03949
0.07654
0:04:35
0:04:43
0:00:08
9:25:00-9:30:00
0.03340
0.03565
0.06905
0:04:08
0:03:54
0:00:14
9:30:00-9:35:00
0.03572
0.04476
0.08048
0:04:49
0:04:27
0:00:22
10
9:35:00-9:40:00
0.03642
0.03968
0.07610
0:04:34
0:04:18
0:00:16
11
9:40:00-9:45:00
0.03008
0.03125
0.06133
0:03:40
0:03:17
0:00:23
12
9:45:00-9:50:00
0.03474
0.03753
0.07227
0:04:20
0:03:54
avg
0:00:26
0:00:19
Interval
Duration
Link 1
Link 2
8:50:00-8:55:00
0.03364
8:55:00:9:00:00
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00
Link 1
0.033708
0.034091
0.040816
0.029508
0.044872
0.041667
0.042
0.034664
0.040268
0.037367
0.03352
0.035771
Estimated travel
time (hr)
Link 2
0.061224
0.115385
0.039216
0.039589
0.044872
0.041667
0.042000
0.036697
0.050373
0.042299
0.036585
0.039474
total est TT
0.094932
0.149476
0.080032
0.069098
0.089744
0.083333
0.084000
0.071361
0.090642
0.079666
0.070105
0.075245
estimated
TT
0:05:42
0:08:57
0:04:48
0:04:09
0:05:24
0:05:00
0:05:02
0:04:17
0:05:27
0:04:47
0:04:12
0:04:30
obs TT
0:04:05
0:05:45
0:04:01
0:03:40
0:04:02
0:04:20
0:04:43
0:03:54
0:04:27
0:04:18
0:03:17
0:03:54
error
0:01:37
0:03:12
0:00:47
0:00:29
0:01:22
0:00:40
0:00:19
0:00:23
0:01:00
0:00:29
0:00:55
0:00:36
0:00:59
Tempo:
Table 9: Observed travel time and spot speed of tempo
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Interval Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00
Observed travel
time
Station A
Spot speed
(km/hr)
Station C
0:05:10
35.60
35.86
30.20
0:05:51
35.75
41.11
15.38
0:04:42
38.93
32.63
35.83
0:04:46
42.67
41.90
37.11
0:04:40
38.13
33.68
46.67
0:05:10
35.10
35.77
38.53
0:04:55
38.08
35.00
41.67
0:04:18
37.83
39.33
34.36
0:05:11
43.24
37.08
30.17
0:04:59
39.73
35.00
30.00
0:04:28
42.78
43.00
29.22
0:04:46
42.38
38.32
38.35
Station B
Estimated
travel time (hr)
total est TT
estimated
TT
obs TT
error
0.04575
0.08773
0:05:15
0:05:10
0:00:05
0.03922
0.06702
0.10625
0:06:22
0:05:51
0:00:31
9:00:00-9:05:00
0.04225
0.04392
0.08617
0:05:10
0:04:42
0:00:28
9:05:00:9:10:00
0.03548
0.03811
0.07359
0:04:25
0:04:46
0:00:21
9:10:00-9:15:00
0.04193
0.03834
0.08027
0:04:49
0:04:40
0:00:09
9:15:00-9:20:00
0.04234
0.04043
0.08277
0:04:58
0:05:10
0:00:12
9:20:00-9:25:00
0.04112
0.03943
0.08055
0:04:50
0:04:55
0:00:05
9:25:00-9:30:00
0.03890
0.04090
0.07979
0:04:47
0:04:18
0:00:29
9:30:00-9:35:00
0.03757
0.04509
0.08266
0:04:58
0:05:11
0:00:13
10
9:35:00-9:40:00
0.04031
0.04643
0.08674
0:05:12
0:04:59
0:00:13
11
9:40:00-9:45:00
0.03497
0.04311
0.07808
0:04:41
0:04:28
0:00:13
12
9:45:00-9:50:00
0.03727
0.03913
0.07640
0:04:35
0:04:46
0:00:11
0:00:16
Interval
Duration
Link 1
8:50:00-8:55:00
0.04198
8:55:00:9:00:00
Link 2
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00

total est
estimated
Link 1
Link 2
TT
TT
0.041983 0.045415
0.087398
0:05:14
0.039031 0.053110
0.092142
0:05:32
0.041927 0.043822
0.085749
0:05:08
0.035475 0.037969
0.073444
0:04:25
0.041773 0.037336
0.079109
0:04:45
0.042331 0.040375
0.082707
0:04:58
0.041049 0.039130
0.080179
0:04:49
0.038881 0.040709
0.079590
0:04:47
0.037351 0.044610
0.081961
0:04:55
0.040146 0.046154
0.086300
0:05:10
0.034974 0.041538
0.076513
0:04:35
0.037179 0.039129
0.076308
0:04:25
obs TT
0:05:10
0:05:51
0:04:42
0:04:46
0:04:40
0:05:10
0:04:55
0:04:18
0:05:11
0:04:59
0:04:28
0:04:46
avg
error
0:00:04
0:00:19
0:00:26
0:00:21
0:00:05
0:00:12
0:00:06
0:00:29
0:00:16
0:00:11
0:00:07
0:00:21
0:00:15
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00
Link 1
0.042135
0.041958
0.045977
0.0358
0.044531
0.042735
0.042857
0.039655
0.040449
0.042857
0.035065
0.039148
Estimated travel
time (hr)
Link 2
0.049669
0.097561
0.045977
0.040419
0.044531
0.041935
0.042857
0.043655
0.049724
0.050000
0.051331
0.039148
Total est TT
0.091804
0.139519
0.091954
0.076219
0.089063
0.084671
0.085714
0.083311
0.090173
0.092857
0.086396
0.078297
Estimated
TT
0:05:31
0:08:22
0:05:31
0:04:34
0:05:20
0:05:05
0:05:08
0:05:00
0:05:25
0:05:34
0:05:11
0:04:42
Obs av
TT
0:05:10
0:05:51
0:04:42
0:04:46
0:04:40
0:05:10
0:04:55
0:04:18
0:05:11
0:04:59
0:04:28
0:04:46
error
0:00:21
0:02:31
0:00:49
0:00:12
0:00:40
0:00:05
0:00:13
0:00:42
0:00:14
0:00:35
0:00:43
0:00:04
0:00:36
Truck:
Table 13: Observed travel time and spot speed of truck
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Observed travel
time
0:04:26
0:04:15
0:05:41
0:05:30
0:04:37
0:05:00
0:05:57
0:05:08
0:05:02
Interval Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00
Station A
36.00
45.00
38.00
41.33
34.50
32.00
38.00
36.00
49.00
Spot speed
(km/hr)
Station C
36.00
41.00
32.00
37.00
35.00
38.00
36.00
41.00
41.00
Station B
38.00
37.00
25.50
32.75
44.00
35.67
23.00
24.00
44.00
Estimated
travel time (hr)
Interval
Duration
Link 1
Link 2
total est TT
estimated
TT
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
0.04167
0.04057
0.08224
0:04:56
0:04:26
0:00:30
9:05:00:9:10:00
0.03496
0.03856
0.07352
0:04:25
0:04:15
0:00:10
9:10:00-9:15:00
0.04317
0.05285
0.09602
0:05:46
0:05:41
0:00:05
9:15:00-9:20:00
0.03842
0.04317
0.08159
0:04:54
0:05:30
0:00:36
9:20:00-9:25:00
0.04317
0.03847
0.08164
0:04:54
0:04:37
0:00:17
9:25:00-9:30:00
0.04317
0.04076
0.08394
0:05:02
0:05:00
0:00:02
9:30:00-9:35:00
10
9:35:00-9:40:00
0.04057
0.05344
0.09401
0:05:38
0:05:57
0:00:19
11
9:40:00-9:45:00
0.03913
0.04954
0.08867
0:05:19
0:05:08
0:00:11
12
9:45:00-9:50:00
0.03360
0.03534
0.06894
0:04:08
0:05:02
0:00:54
0:00:20
obs TT
error
Estimated travel
time (hr)
Interval
Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
Link 1
estimated
TT
Link 2
total est TT
0:01:37
8:55:00:9:00:00
0:03:12
9:00:00-9:05:00
0.041667
0.040541
0.082207
0:04:55
0:04:26
0:00:29
9:05:00:9:10:00
0.034884
0.038462
0.073345
0:04:24
0:04:15
0:00:09
9:10:00-9:15:00
0.042857
0.052174
0.095031
0:05:42
0:05:41
0:00:01
9:15:00-9:20:00
0.038298
0.043011
0.081309
0:04:52
0:05:30
0:00:38
9:20:00-9:25:00
0.043165
0.037975
0.081140
0:04:52
0:04:37
0:00:15
9:25:00-9:30:00
0.042857
0.040724
0.083581
0:05:01
0:05:00
0:00:01
9:30:00-9:35:00
10
9:35:00-9:40:00
0.040541
0.050847
0.091388
0:05:29
0:05:57
0:00:28
11
9:40:00-9:45:00
0.038961
0.046154
0.085115
0:05:07
0:05:08
0:00:01
12
9:45:00-9:50:00
0.033333
0.035294
0.068627
0:05:07
0:05:02
avg
0:00:05
0:00:14
Obs TT
Error
Interval
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Duration
8:50:00-8:55:00
8:55:00:9:00:00
9:00:00-9:05:00
9:05:00:9:10:00
9:10:00-9:15:00
9:15:00-9:20:00
9:20:00-9:25:00
9:25:00-9:30:00
9:30:00-9:35:00
9:35:00-9:40:00
9:40:00-9:45:00
9:45:00-9:50:00
Link 1
0.041667
0.036585
0.046875
0.040541
0.043478
0.046875
0.041667
0.041667
0.036585
Estimated travel
time (hr)
Link 2
0.041667
0.040541
0.058824
0.045802
0.042857
0.042056
0.065217
0.062500
0.036585
total est TT
0.083333
0.077126
0.105699
0.086342
0.086335
0.088931
0.106884
0.104167
0.073171
estimated
TT
0:05:00
0:04:38
0:06:20
0:05:11
0:05:11
0:05:20
0:06:24
0:06:15
0:04:24
obs TT
0:04:26
0:04:15
0:05:41
0:05:30
0:04:37
0:05:00
0:05:57
0:05:08
0:05:02
Mean
Error
0:00:34
0:00:23
0:00:39
0:00:19
0:00:34
0:00:20
0:00:27
0:01:07
0:00:38
0:00:33

Estimation of Travel Time From Spot Speed Data

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Verfügbare Formate

Estimation of Travel Time From Spot Speed Data

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Copyright:

Verfügbare Formate

Estimation of travel time from Spot Speed data

The final travel time in link 1 is

Where, D1 is the distance between two consecutive stations,

Similarly travel time in link 2 is

Where, D2 is the distance between two consecutive stations,

VA is the spot speed measured at the starting station of the link,

Comparison of observed and estimated travel time using these three

Estimated travel time (hr)

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