18 May 2012 Osint Levant Tracker

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This OSINT publication contains foreign media derived entirely from open sources in and around the CENTCOM AOR.
18 May 2012 EGYPT Armed Forces Prepare Presidential Election Security: Egypt Independent The ruling military council approved a plan to secure the upcoming presidential elections, a military source said, the source said that 95 percent of the security forces securing the elections, scheduled to take plan on 23 and 24 May, would be military personnel. Egypt Shuts Down Newly-Inaugurated Shiite Mosque in Cairo: Al Arabiya The Egyptian authorities shut down a Shiite Husseiniya, a name given to the Shiite mosque, which was lately inaugurated by Lebanese Shiite cleric Ali al-Korani during his recent visit to Cairo, sources close to Al Arabiya said. Dar Al-Ifta: Islam Prohibits Handouts to Influence Voters: MENA Islam prohibits presidential candidates from securing votes through handouts of money, food, or anything else, according to a statement from Egypts official authority for issuing fatwas, or religious opinions. Domestic Trade Ministry Blames Petroleum Ministry for Fuel Crisis: Al-Masry Al-Youm Social Solidarity and Domestic Trade Minister Gouda Abdel Khaleq held a conference Thursday morning to discuss the fuel crisis, Abdel Khaleq stressed in a statement issued by his ministry the need to declare a state of emergency to monitor the markets. SCAF to Issue New Constitutional Declaration: Ahram Online The Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) is to issue a new constitutional declaration, or revive an amended version the 1971 constitution, specifying the new president's powers, before polls open Wednesday, according to a military source. Details of Egypt's 2012/13 State Budget Remain Vague: Ahram Online The particulars of next year's state budget released this week by the local media 'lack accuracy and will be modified,' finance ministry source asserts. A finance ministry source told Ahram Online, "We havent seen these figures and they cant be trusted." Israel Becomes Target in Egypts Presidential Race: The Daily Star Israel has become a punching bag for politicians vying for votes in Egypts presidential election, playing on popular antipathy in Egypt toward its neighbor, but the realities of office are likely to ensure a 33-year-old peace treaty is not jeopardized. Of course Israel is an enemy. It occupied land, it threatened our security. It is an entity that has 200 nuclear warheads, Islamist Abdel-Moneim Abol Fotouh said in a TV debate when asked about Israel, referring to a nuclear arsenal Israel is believed to possess but neither confirms nor denies having. ISRAEL / GAZA Iran Attack Decision Nears, Israeli Elite Locks Down: Maan News Agency A private door opens from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office in central Jerusalem directly into a long, modestly furnished, half-paneled room decorated with modern paintings by Israeli artists and a copy of Israel's 1948 declaration of independence. Hamas Political Bureau Leader to be Elected in Next 10 Days: Asharq Al-Awsat The elections for the Hamas Consultative Council and Shura Council have been completed, leaving only the election of the Hamas Political Bureau, as well as the Political Bureau leadership. Israeli Tanks Fires on Gaza Border, 8 Injured: AGI At least eight Palestinians were hurt in an attack by an Israeli tank in eastern Gaza near the Karni crossing.
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18 May 2012 Palestinian medical sources added that two of the injured are in serious condition. Some witnesses said that all the injured were farmers. Al-Zahar Blasts European 'Hypocrisy' on Hamas: Israel National News Hamas co-founder Mahmoud al-Zahar accused the West of hypocrisy and prejudice towards the terror movement on Thursday. JORDAN Fire Erupts During Israeli Demining Activities, Spreads to Jordanian Territory: Jordan Times A few dunums of land in the Jordan Valley were burnt late Wednesday when a fire broke out as a result of Israeli de-mining operations, the Civil Defence Department (CDD) said on Thursday. UAE Red Crescent Provides 5,000 Food Parcels for Syrians in Jordan: Petra The UAE Red Crescent Society on Thursday completed preparing 5,000 food parcels to be handed out to Syrian refugees residing in Jordan. Jordan- King Reasserts Commitment to Holding Elections this Year: MENAFN King Abdullah reiterated his commitment to seeing parliamentary elections come through before the end of this year, urging the Senate to do its utmost to accelerate the enactment of legislation pertaining to political reform, a Royal Court statement said. LEBANON Escaped Ain El-Hilweh Militants Headed to Tripoli then Syria: Naharnet The whereabouts of the six militants who had escaped the Ain el-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp remains unknown, reported al-Joumhouria newspaper on Friday. Charbel Warns of Sunni-Shia Strife: Now Lebanon Interior Minister Marwan Charbel on Thursday warned against Sunni-Shia strife in Lebanon, If the unrest in the northern city of Tripoli continues, it will be the starting point for the biggest strife in the history of Lebanon, the National News Agency also quoted Charbel as saying. Al-Manar: Seven Fatah Al-Islam Members Head to Syria: Al Manar Al-Manar television station reported on Thursday that seven members from Fatah al-Islam left the Ain al-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp and headed to Syria. Military Court Rejects Al-Mawlawis Release Request: Nahar Net The Military Tribunal rejected on Friday Islamist Shadi al-Mawlawis request to be released from detention, the request has been rejected by Military Examining Magistrate Nabil Wehbeh and Government Commissioner to the Military Court Judge Saqr Saqr. Iranian Revolutionary Guards to Hezbollah: Hands off Israel: Jerusalem Post An Iranian Revolutionary Guards commander reportedly ordered Hezbollah not to attack Israel. SYRIA Live Blog on Developments in Syria: Now Lebanon A number of anti-regime protests kicked off in numerous areas, including Hama, Qalaat al-Madiq, Kafr Zita, Daraa and across Aleppo. Syrian forces have fired on people in several locations.
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18 May 2012 Palestinian Writer Salameh Kaileh Detained, Beaten, Taunted in Syria: Al Arabiya Syrian authorities deported Palestinian writer Salameh Kaileh this week to Jordan after three weeks of detention and relentless torture and taunting over his anti-regime writings, the prominent writer told Al Arabiya late Wednesday. Security forces had stormed Kailehs house on April 23. 4 Killed by Army Shelling, Masses Protest against Assad: Israel News Four people were killed by Syrian army shelling in the city of Rastan, Al Arabiya reported, Witnesses in several cities said that mass protests against President Bashar Assad were held following Friday prayers. Syrians Urged to Rally In Support of Students: Ahram online Syrian activists call for Friday protests following the brutal repression against students who demonstrated on campus demanding the fall of President Bashar Al-Assad. UN Probes 'Arms Sales from N Korea to Syria': Al Jazeera A UN panel of experts that monitors compliance with sanctions on North Korea is investigating reports of possible weapons-related shipments by Pyongyang to Syria and Myanmar, the panel said in a confidential report. Syrian Opposition Leader Burhan Ghalioun Resigns amid Mounting Criticism: Al Arabiya The head of Syrias most-recognized opposition bloc, Burhan Ghalioun, has announced that he is stepping down as leader of the Syrian National Council (SNC) after mounting criticism of his leadership. Bodies Piling up in Syria Amid no Alternative to Annans Plan: Al Arabiya Bodies are piling up in Syria while President Bashar al-Assad sits entrenched in his palace, but the international community appears lacking no alternative to a U.N. observer mission monitoring the implementation of a nonexistent ceasefire. Exclusive: U.N. Probes Possible North Korea Arms Trade with Syria, Myanmar: Reuters A U.N. panel of experts that monitors compliance with sanctions on North Korea is investigating reports of possible weapons-related deals between Pyongyang and Syria and Myanmar, the panel said on Thursday. EDITORIALS Irans Triple Mistakes in Syria, Iraq and Bahrain: Al Sharaq Al Awsat Fearing isolation as a new geopolitical landscape takes shape in the Middle East; the Khomeinis regime is still clinging to three forlorn hopes. The Gulf Union and the Iranian Trap: Dar Al Hayat The swapping of the roles between the symbols, wings and tools of the authority in Iran in a harmonious escalation against the project of union between the Arab Gulf states, topples the theory related to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejads erring away from the higher Iranian policy determined by Guide Ali Khamenei. Iran Attack Decision Nears, Israeli Elite Locks Down: Al Arabiya A private door opens from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahus office in central Jerusalem directly into a long, modestly furnished, half-paneled room decorated with modern paintings by Israeli artists and a copy of Israels 1948 declaration of independence. It is all Political when it Comes to Sharia: Al Masry Al Youm The issue of requiring the principles of Islamic Sharia to be the main, and sometimes the sole, source of legislation in Egypt arose immediately after the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces suspended the 1971 constitution.
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18 May 2012 Syrian: Rebels Getting Outside Help: UPI The seizure of a ship off Lebanon carrying arms reportedly destined for rebels in Syria underlines how the 14month-old conflict is being increasingly militarized. Supporting Documentation:
EGYPT (Top) 18 May 2012 Egypt Independent Armed Forces Prepare Presidential Election Security
Unclassified The ruling military council approved a plan to secure the upcoming presidential elections, a military source said, the source said that 95 percent of the security forces securing the elections, scheduled to take plan on 23 and 24 May, would be military personnel. The leaders of the military units have already inspected the polling stations and the units have been given specific guidelines for dealing with unrest, the source added. He stressed that any acts of thuggery or rioting would be firmly dealt with in order to protect the voting process. "The Second Field Army will secure six governorates: Ismailia, Port Said, Daqahlia, Sharqiya, Damietta and North Sinai. The Third Field Army will secure the polling stations in the governorates of Suez and South Sinai, while the naval forces will secure polling stations in Alexandria, Beheira and Kafr al-Sheikh," the source said. Field Marshal Hussein Tantawi, head of the ruling military council, met with military Chief of Staff Sami Anan and Prime Minister Kamal al-Ganzouri on Thursday to discuss the final preparations for the presidential election. The ministers of interior, foreign affairs, planning and international cooperation and justice also attended the meeting. Foreign Minister Mohamed Kamel Amr said that as of Thursday morning, over 224,000 Egyptian expatriates cast their votes in the presidential election. He said that each foreign embassy would announce results separately as each of them represents a different district. Expatriate voting ended on Thursday.
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18 May 2012 18 May 2012 Al Arabiya Egypt Shuts Down Newly-Inaugurated Shiite Mosque in Cairo The Egyptian authorities shut down a Shiite Husseiniya, a name given to the Shiite mosque, which was lately inaugurated by Lebanese Shiite cleric Ali al-Korani during his recent visit to Cairo, sources close to Al Arabiya said. The sources said that the Egyptian authorities confiscated the publications, posters and recordings found in the mosque. The authorities decision to shut down the mosque was final, according to Al Arabiya sources. The recent inauguration of the Husseiniya has angered the influential Sunni Muslim al-Azhar institute and other Sunni clerics, who regarded it as a move to spread Shiite Islam in Egypt. Meanwhile, some Shiite figures regarded the move as a means of rapprochement between the different Islamic doctrines. Following the inauguration of the Husseiniya in Cairo, a numbers of Shiites gathered and practiced some Shiite rituals which included beating their chests and chanting poems to commemorate the death of a number of descendants of Prophet Mohammed (PBUH). Shiites are accustomed to such practices in each of Iraq, Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and Lebanon. Al-Koranis recent visit to Cairo has been slammed by al-Azhar, the Islamic Research Academy and the Ministry of Religious Endowments. The Sunni clerics criticized the religious seminars that al-Korani has attended and the lectures that he has given in the houses of some Shiites living in Cairo and other governorates. They described the Shiite clerics move as an unacceptable red line and considered it as an attempt to spread the Shiite doctrine in Egypt.
18 May 2012 MENA Dar Al-Ifta: Islam Prohibits Handouts to Influence Voters
Unclassified Islam prohibits presidential candidates from securing votes through handouts of money, food, or anything else, according to a statement from Egypts official authority for issuing fatwas, or religious opinions. Dar al-Ifta also called on all presidential candidates to be honest and fulfill the pledges they have made to the Egyptian people.
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18 May 2012 The statement said Islam demands honesty and respect for free will, and therefore forbids corruption, lying, bribery and poor ethics that exploit peoples needs. The fatwa went on to say that voting in the election is considered a form of testimony, and that God prohibits the silencing of testimony. According to the fatwa, endorsing falsehoods is also a form of concealing testimony, which is forbidden in the Quran and Sunnah. It said one of the signs indicating the approach of Judgment Day is the loss of honesty and that important matters are placed in the hands of the wrong people.
18 May 2012 Al-Masry Al-Youm Domestic Trade Ministry Blames Petroleum Ministry for Fuel Crisis Social Solidarity and Domestic Trade Minister Gouda Abdel Khaleq held a conference Thursday morning to discuss the fuel crisis. Abdel Khaleq stressed in a statement issued by his ministry the need to declare a state of emergency to monitor the markets. Domestic Trade Ministry sources blamed the Petroleum Ministry for the crisis, saying it does not provide the necessary amount of diesel and gasoline. The sources said that the Domestic Trade Ministry called on the Petroleum Ministry more than once to increase the quantities of fuel on the market after the former detected a shortage on the market. The sources said that the Petroleum Ministry could not afford to import raw materials. Mahmoud Hosny, undersecretary of the Domestic Trade Ministry in Giza said the gasoline and diesel shortage is ongoing in Giza. The governorate [Giza] is suffering from a shortage in diesel fuel by 10 percent, which confirms an improvement in the shortage rate, which was previously 15 percent, he told Al-Masry Al-Youm. He added that 6th of October City has been facing increased traffic congestion due to the fuel shortage. When Al-Masry Al-Youm visited gas stations in Cairo and Giza, taxi drivers said they have been standing in queues for two to three hours waiting for gas, accusing the Cabinet and the military junta of failing to solve the crisis.
17 May 2012 Ahram Online SCAF to Issue New Constitutional Declaration
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18 May 2012
Unclassified The Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) is to issue a new constitutional declaration, or revive an amended version the 1971 constitution, specifying the new president's powers, before polls open Wednesday, according to a military source. The move comes after the constituent assembly failed to draft a new constitution in time. SCAF members discussed the move with political party representatives at a meeting Tuesday. Farid Ismail, head of the Freedom and Justice Party's defence and national security committee, said his party opposed the move and would discuss alternatives with other political parties over the coming days. Yusri Hammad, official spokesman of Salafist Nour Party, told Al-Shorouk that "the party supports the SCAF's decision to help us emerge from the current crisis." Independent MP Wahid Abdel-Meguid said a meeting of political parties scheduled for Wednesday at the liberal Wafd Party's premises was cancelled because Wafd Party leader El-Sayed El-Badawi preferred to wait until the SCAF's new temporary constitution was officially published in the state-run Al-Gareeda Al-Rasmeya newspaper. Egypt's first presidential elections after ouster of Hosni Mubarak will take place on 23/24 June. Saad El-Katatni, speaker of People's Assembly, announced on Wednesday that all assembly activities would be temporarily suspended until 26 May, two days after Egypt's first post-Mubarak presidential polls. Attempts by Egypt's political elites to proceed in the constitutional-drafting process have been beset with troubles from the start, the first assembly being disbanded. Days after the formation of the first assembly, a mass walkout jeopardised the constitution-drafting body. Members from liberal and leftist parties, independent prominent figures and representatives of professional and trade unions as well as representatives of the Coptic Church and Egypt's main Islamic authority, Al-Azhar, all pulled out, citing disproportionate representation.
17 May 2012 Ahram Online Details of Egypt's 2012/13 State Budget Remain Vague: Official The particulars of next year's state budget released this week by the local media 'lack accuracy and will be modified,' finance ministry source asserts
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18 May 2012 Given Egypt's current state of political ambiguity and uncertainty, details of the state's 2012/2013 budget remain a mystery. According to a finance ministry source, figures recently reported by the media lack accuracy and will be subject to modification. Flagship state daily Al-Ahram reported on Thursday that Egypt's Cabinet approved on Wednesday the new state budget, before referring it to the ruling Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF). The paper went on to report that total expenditures for the coming fiscal year beginning on 1 July stood at LE533.7 billion. Total revenue, meanwhile, stand at LE393.4 billion, indicating an LE140.3-billion deficit, according to figures published by Al-Ahram. But the finance ministry source told Ahram Online, "We havent seen these figures and they cant be trusted." Nevertheless, the proposed budget has already been referred to interim prime minister Kamal El-Ganzouri, who reportedly forwarded it on to Egypt's planning and international cooperation ministry. A planning ministry source, however, told Ahram Online: "These figures will be modified and wont be made public before next week." So far, no official documents confirming these figures have been released or given to journalists. The authority of Planning Minister Faiza Abul-Naga, one of only two ministers to retain their posts from the Mubarak era, has reportedly been bolstered under the tutelage of the ruling SCAF, according to former ministers in Egypt's post-revolution government. The draft budget will most likely not be debated in parliament before the end of this month, in light of a recent decision by Parliament Speaker Saad El-Katatni to suspend parliamentary activity until 26 May, two days after Egypt's first post-Mubarak presidential polls. Egyptian law stipulates, however, that Egypt's executive authority must refer the draft budget to parliament 90 days before the start of the financial year, meaning that it should have been delivered to lawmakers for review by 1 April. Parliament is now reportedly awaiting the SCAF's approval of the proposed budget.
18 May 2012 The Daily Star Israel Becomes Target in Egypts Presidential Race By Edmund Blair
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18 May 2012
(U) An advertisement billboard shows a portrait of former Arab League General Secretary and presidential candidate Amr Mussa (L) and former prime minister and candidate Ahmed Shafiq in front of Mohammed Ali citadel in Cairo on May 16, 2012. (AFP PHOTO / KHALED DESOUKI) Israel has become a punching bag for politicians vying for votes in Egypts presidential election, playing on popular antipathy in Egypt toward its neighbor, but the realities of office are likely to ensure a 33-year-old peace treaty is not jeopardized. Officials in Israel have watched Egypts political turmoil with increasing wariness after the downfall of Hosni Mubarak, who oversaw a cold yet stable peace. An ex-air force commander in the race to be the new president boasts of bringing down Israeli aircraft in 1973, the last of Egypts four wars with Israel. One Islamist often refers to Israel as the Zionist entity and the enemy and a leftist candidate pledges to support the Palestinian resistance against the Jewish state. None of the candidates want to tear up the treaty signed in 1979 but they repeatedly warn in rallies and debates it should be reviewed. Many of them grumble at provisions in the U.S.-brokered deal they say are biased in Israels favor. Yet, beyond the bluster of the campaign trail, the next presidents in-tray will be full of more pressing issues such as reviving an economy on the ropes. He will also preside over a nation where the entrenched establishment of the army and security services who kept the peace secure remains intact.
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18 May 2012 Of course Israel is an enemy. It occupied land, it threatened our security. It is an entity that has 200 nuclear warheads, Islamist Abdel-Moneim Abol Fotouh said in a TV debate when asked about Israel, referring to a nuclear arsenal Israel is believed to possess but neither confirms nor denies having. Seeking to trip up his opponent in the novel TV face-off in a nation that has never had an open leadership contest, Abol Fotouh pressed former Arab League chief Amr Moussa on whether he too classed Israel an enemy. Moussa chose the term adversary. Moussa, who like Abol Fotouh is a front-runner in the race, was Mubaraks foreign minister in the 1990s before moving to the League. In both posts he was a vocal critic of Israel. An Israeli newspaper commentator wrote last month that Moussa had intense disdain for Israel. I intend to review the shape of relations, Moussa pledged, describing big disagreements, but he said the next president would need to lead Egypt with wisdom and not push it along with slogans toward a confrontation we may not be ready for. Former Israeli Ambassador to Egypt Itzhak Lebanon said Israels main duty was to tell the Egyptians loudly that the peace treaty is also in their interests and that they will have to do everything to keep it. He said comments made on the election trail did not always translate into action in office. It is like that in all countries, he said. Like Moussa, other candidates have also reflected a more cautious line when fielding inevitable questions about Israel. Abol Fotouh, who often refers to Israel as the Zionist entity, said Egypt should review its treaties to ensure they were in the national interest but was not looking to start any war. Ahmad Shafiq, who like Mubarak was a former air force commander before joining the ex-presidents Cabinet, told a rally when he was questioned about Israel: A strong state is not just one with artillery and tanks but has a strong economy, strong science, strong culture. But tough talk still features on the campaign trail. Leftist candidate Hamdeen Sabahy pledged in a television interview: I will support whoever resists Israel, not because of nationalism, Arabism or morality, although this is what it is, but because these are the laws of the United Nations. Safwat al-Hegazi, an independent preacher who backs the Muslim Brotherhoods candidate Mohammad Mursi, has used his campaign rallies to call for the establishment of a single Arab state with occupied Jerusalem as its capital. Mursi criticizes the Jewish state but says he would respect the treaty, which brings $1.3 billion a year of U.S. military aid. An aide to Mursi said that his candidate would not meet Israeli officials as president, though his foreign minister would. Western diplomats say popular pressure on a newly elected president could encourage more outspoken criticism of Israel. However, they say the top army and security officials who have for years kept close ties with their Israeli counterparts to coordinate across the border were likely to keep ties steady.
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18 May 2012 There are red lines and I think everyone is aware of them. Egypt needs its close relationship with the United States, it needs the financial assistance, the investment and the loans to survive, said Shadi Hamid, director of research at the Brookings Doha Center. The peace deal has been a cornerstone of Egypts foreign policy and, while it may not have the prominence Mubarak gave it, the generals who have overseen Egypts transition are unlikely to let that change. The army is expected to remain influential long after the formal handover to a new president by July 1. Nevertheless, Hamid said Egypts politicians could test how far they can go ... before arousing the wrath of the international community.
ISRAEL / GAZA (Top) 18 May 2012 Maan News Agency Iran Attack Decision Nears, Israeli Elite Locks Down
(U) Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (L) holds a joint news conference A private door opens from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office in central Jerusalem directly into a long, modestly furnished, half-paneled room decorated with modern paintings by Israeli artists and a copy of Israel's 1948 declaration of independence. It contains little more than a long wooden table, brown leather chairs and a single old-fashioned white projector screen. This inner sanctum at the end of a corridor between Netanyahu's private room and the office of his top military adviser, is where one of the decade's most momentous military decisions could soon be taken: to launch an Israeli attack on Iran's nuclear program. Time for that decision is fast running out and the mood in Jerusalem is hardening. Iran continues to enrich uranium in defiance of international pressure, saying it needs the fuel for its civilian nuclear program. The West is convinced that Tehran's real objective is to build an atomic bomb -- something which Israel will never accept because its leaders consider a nuclear armed-Iran a threat to its very existence. Adding to the international pressure, US ambassador to Israel Daniel Shapiro said this week American military plans to strike Iran were "ready" and the option was "fully available."
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18 May 2012 The central role Iran plays in Netanyahu's deliberations is reflected in the huge map of the Middle East hanging by the door of his office. Israel lies on one edge, with Iran taking pride of place in the center. Experts say that within a few months, much of Iran's nuclear program will have been moved deep underground beneath the Fordow mountain, making a successful military strike much more difficult. Lockdown As the deadline for a decision draws nearer, the public pronouncements of Israel's top officials and military have changed. After hawkish warnings about a possible strike earlier this year, their language of late has been more guarded and clues to their intentions more difficult to discern. "The top of the government has gone into lockdown," one official said. "Nobody is saying anything publicly. That in itself tells you a lot about where things stand." Last week Netanyahu pulled off a spectacular political surprise, creating a coalition of national unity and delaying elections which everyone believed were inevitable. The maneuver also led to speculation that the Israeli leader wanted a broad, strong government to lead a military campaign. The inclusion of the Iranian-born former Israeli chief of staff and veteran soldier, Gen. Shaul Mofaz, in the coalition, fueled that speculation -- even though both Mofaz and Netanyahu deny that Iran was mentioned in the coalition negotiations. "I think they have made a decision to attack," said one senior Israeli figure with close ties to the leadership. "It is going to happen. The window of opportunity is before the US presidential election in November. This way they will bounce the Americans into supporting them." Those close to Netanyahu are more cautious, saying no assumptions should be made about an attack on Iran -- an attack with such potentially devastating consequences across the volatile Middle East that President Mahmoud Abbas even went so far as to predict in an interview last week that it would be "the end of the world". Israelis particularly fear retaliation from Iran's proxy militias -- the Hezbollah guerrillas in southern Lebanon and the Hamas fighters in the Gaza Strip. Both are believed to possess large arsenals of rockets which could hit major Israeli towns and cities. Hezbollah's deputy leader Sheikh Naim Qassem told Reuters in February that an Israeli attack on Iran would set the whole Middle East ablaze "with no limit to the fires." "Gone are the days when Israel decides to strike, and the people are silent," he said. The Israeli prime minister and his key allies repeat for public consumption the mantra that economic sanctions against Iran must be given time to work and that now is not the time to speak about military options. Top officials explain the new coalition on purely domestic grounds, saying it was needed to tackle the thorny and divisive issue of pressing Orthodox Jews into military service -- in other words, that its formation has much more to do with the agenda inside Israel than abroad. Buried nuclear states
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18 May 2012 Diplomats are divided. "I think the Iran thing is a red herring," said one senior Western envoy. "This is 98 percent about domestic politics". Others are less convinced. Mofaz himself refuses to speak about military action against Iran, even in the theoretical. A military veteran with almost 40 years' operational experience, whose office in the Israeli parliament displays a poster of Israeli warplanes flying low over the Auschwitz concentration camp, he scoffs at the idea that his Iranian descent gives him special influence on an Iran attack decision. He derides the idea any serious official in the know would talk to visiting journalists about such a sensitive military subject. But behind the carefully evasive language of top officials, basic facts are clear. Time is running out. Iran's nuclear program -- regarded by Netanyahu as an existential threat to the state of Israel -- will soon be buried deep enough underground to render an Israeli attack impossible. Israel's options are narrowing. "I think they've gone into lockdown mode now," the senior Western diplomat said. "Whatever happens next, whatever they decide, we will not find out until it happens." There are indeed those who see in Israeli posturing over Iran only bluff intended to press world powers into harsher sanctions and avoid war. Some military experts openly doubt how much damage Israel could inflict. The risk of a fiasco is big. Perhaps the strongest clue as to Israel's real intentions is to be found in Netanyahu's private office, behind his desk. Officials say the Israeli premier was strongly influenced by his father, who died last month at the age of 102. Benzion Netanyahu was a distinguished scholar of Jewish history and his strong sense of the past lives on in Benjamin, who laments to visitors that "most people's sense of history goes back to breakfast time". On a shelf behind Netanyahu's desk, along with pictures of his family, is a photograph of Winston Churchill. Netanyahu admires the British wartime premier because he saw the true dangers posed by Nazi Germany to the world at a time when many other politicians argued for appeasing Hitler. To Netanyahu, the parallels with modern-day Iran are obvious. The Israeli premier is explicit about the dangers he believes are posed by militant Islam: as he puts it, its convulsive power, its cult of death and its ideological zeal. But Churchill, although eloquent on the dangers posed by the rise of Nazi Germany during the 1930s, ultimately failed to prevent Hitler's ascent to power, the world war he unleashed or the Holocaust in which six million Jews were murdered. Netanyahu, those who know him say, is determined to avoid going down in history as the man who shirked his opportunity to stop Iran going nuclear.
18 May 2012 Israel News 4 Killed by Army Shelling, Masses Protest against Assad Four people were killed by Syrian army shelling in the city of Rastan, Al Arabiya reported, Witnesses in several cities said that mass protests against President Bashar Assad were held following Friday prayers.
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18 May 2012 18 May 2012 Asharq Al-Awsat Hamas Political Bureau Leader to be Elected in Next 10 Days The elections for the Hamas Consultative Council and Shura Council have been completed, leaving only the election of the Hamas Political Bureau, as well as the Political Bureau leadership. These elections are held every 4 years, and are expected to be completed within the next 10 days. Leading Hamas figure Ahmed Yousef informed Asharq Al-Awsat that current Political Bureau chief Khalid Mishal is most likely to remain in this post, which he has occupied since 1996. Mishal succeeded Mousa Abu Marzook as Hamas chief after Abu Marzook was forced to resign after being arrested in New York in 1995. Ahmed Yousef, who is a senior adviser to Hamas Prime Minister Ismail Haniyeh, revealed that the elections ended last week, and their results will remain secret. Responding to a report published by the Israeli Haaretz newspaper that Haniyeh won a majority of the votes but that Mishal would remain as Hamas chief, although he would no longer be in charge of the military budget, leading Hamas figure Salah al-Bardawil said this is a form of Zionist delusion which does not merit discussionthis is pure fabrication whose sole aim is to entice Hamas to respond and reveal its cards to the media. We stress that the Hamas elections are secret, and we comprehensively reject any interference in this issue adding we are under occupation." Yousef informed Asharq Al-Awsat that Hamas has completed its Consultative Council and Shura Council elections, revealing that local Consultative Councils are selected, who in turn vote for the Hamas Shura Council, which ultimately elects the movements administrative leadership, the Hamas Political Bureau. Yousef refused to reveal the number of members on the Hamas Political Bureau, as well as the number of Hamas members elected to the local Consultative Council and Shura Council, stressing these are part of the Palestinian movements secrets and cannot be revealed. The senior Hamas adviser, who is known for his bold statements, also told Asharq Al-Awsat that Mishal is most likely to be re-elected as Hamas Political Bureau chief, although he is facing competition from his rival and deputy Mousa Abu Marzook. Yousef stressed that the election of the Hamas Political Bureau will take place during a Hamas Shura Council meeting that will be held soon, but refused to reveal precisely where or when this will take place. The Hamas Shura Council met in January in the Sudanese capital Khartoum. During this meeting, Mishal announced that he did not want to seek re-election as Hamas Political Bureau chief; however his request was reportedly rejected by the Hamas Shura Council who insisted he should remain in this post for another term. Sudan was subject to international pressure for hosting the Hamas Shura Council meeting and Khartoum rejected a Hamas request to hold a second Shura Council meeting on Sudanese territory. The last Hamas Shura Council meeting was held in Cairo in late March, in order to arrange the precise details of the elections. Well-informed sources expect the first session of the new Hamas Shura Council to be held either in Cairo or Doha. Mousa Abu Marzook has chosen Cairo as a base, whilst Mishal has set himself up in Doha, after Hamas left Damascus following the recent developments in Syria.
18 May 2012 AGI Israeli Tanks Fires on Gaza Border, 8 Injured
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18 May 2012 At least eight Palestinians were hurt in an attack by an Israeli tank in eastern Gaza near the Karni crossing. Palestinian medical sources added that two of the injured are in serious condition. Some witnesses said that all the injured were farmers. Initially, Israeli security forces denied the involvement of a tank in the attack, before explaining later that the tank had opened fire on 'terrorists'. Israel maintains a buffer zone to ensure security along the border with the Gaza Strip controlled by Hamas.
18 May 2012 Israel National News Al-Zahar Blasts European 'Hypocrisy' on Hamas Hamas co-founder Mahmoud al-Zahar accused the West of hypocrisy and prejudice towards the terror movement on Thursday. Let me correct you, the movement is not controlling, but we govern according to the results of the election and because the Wests policy is against the development of the Islamic policy, it is described as controlling. We must govern in Gaza and in the West Bank and Jerusalem, because that is the results of the elections," al-Zahar told Euronews reporter, Mohammed Shaikh ibrahim. The West is again being hypocritical and against the Muslim world and Islamic influences, in particular it doesnt want to accept the results of free and fair elections, which all the world saw were free and fair." However, al-Zahar declined to comment on the bloody 2007 putsch in which Hamas seized Gaza from the Fatahruled Palestinian Authority after being frustrated in the halls of power, and firmly blamed PA chairman Mahmoud Abbas for recent failures in reconciling the rival factions. First, the agreement made in Cairo over four years ago said we needed to form a national unity government, which would not include members of Hamas or Fatah, or even from other Palestinian factions. That is the first point in the Doha agreement," al-Zahar told Shaikh ibrahim. The agreement was for a neutral government to hold free and fair elections. There was pressure from the United States of America and Israel not to form a government of national unity. They want a government that accepts the Quartets conditions, which are not acceptable to Hamas because of great prejudice against the Palestinian people. In other words, the Doha agreement had shortcomings in it which means it cannot guarantee the integrity of the election, Abu Mazen, that is Mahmoud Abbas the President of the Palestinian Authority, would have no part to play in such elections. And secondly, he added, Because Abu Mazen is in charge of security cooperation with Israel and responsible for the conduct of elections. He is responsible for the arrests of members of Hamas, for the confiscation of money, and for cutting back freedoms, so how can he be objective while ensuring the election results? al-Zahar refused to discuss the schism between the Hamas leadership in Gaza, dominated by himself and Ismail Haniyeh, and its politburo-in-exile run by Khaled Mashaal over the Doha agreement. As I have already said I dont want to talk about this issue, because it has nothing to do with what happens in Gaza," al-Zahar claimed, despite reconciliation directly affecting how Gaza would be run. He also openly admitted Hamas received military aid from Iran for its ongoing terror activities.
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18 May 2012 We receive all forms of support from them and the entire Arab and Muslim world. Anyone who wants to give to us, we take. We are weak and our Israeli enemy is a nuclear power," al-Zahar said. He then proceeded to re-write history adding 1,300 years to the second exile, ignoring the continuous presence of Jews in Jerusalem during the exile, and ignoring all international agreements, including partition in order to define all of Israel as "occupied territory." I would like to ask those people in the West a series of questions, and Im sure they know the answers but do not dare to answer any of them," al-Zahar said. The first question is this. What is the origin of our land before 1948, was it a Jewish land? Did it belong to Israel? Or was it the land of the Palestinian Arab, Muslim? Thats a question to which I want them to give me an answer. The return of the Jews, after 3,000 years to establish a state because their ancestors were living there does the West accept what is called the right of return? Does it accept the right of return policy? So let us return to Spain again because we left in 1492 and called for the re-occupation of Britain, India, and Arab and Muslim nations, and called for re-occupation by France of Syria, Lebanon, Algeria..." al-Zahar also attempted to equate the existence of Israel - backed by the United Nations in 1948 - with the Nazi occupation of France, and compared Hamas to the French Resistance. If you ask the French, what they think of the occupation they will say its illegal. And what about the Nazis occupation of France, it is illegal of course and the resistance by Charles de Gaulles followers was seen as action by warriors for freedom," al-Zahar said. "But they will not talk about the Israeli occupation of Palestine in the same way, because of their hypocrisy!". .
JORDAN (Top) 18 May 2012 Jordan Times Fire Erupts During Israeli Demining Activities, Spreads to Jordanian Territory A few dunums of land in the Jordan Valley were burnt late Wednesday when a fire broke out as a result of Israeli de-mining operations, the Civil Defence Department (CDD) said on Thursday. Residents of Southern Shuneh said they heard sounds of explosions late Wednesday, which authorities said were caused by Israeli mine clearance operations in the Jordan Valley. On Tuesday and Wednesday, Israeli forces cleared anti-tank mines in an area opposite the central and northern Jordan Valley, according to the Jordan Armed Forces, which requested Israel to abide by the amount of explosives previously agreed upon during landmine clearance operations. Rakan Adwan, a resident of Southern Shuneh, which is less than three kilometers away from the King Hussein Bridge at the border with the West Bank, said he and his relatives living in the area heard the sound of explosions until Wednesday night. My children and relatives living with us in the house heard sounds of explosions late Wednesday. But the sound was not as strong as it was in February this year when the Israelis also removed mines, Adwan said.
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18 May 2012 People in the neighbourhood said they saw fire, which started within the borders of the West Bank, then reached Jordanian territory, burning several dunums, he said. A source at the CDD told The Jordan Times Thursday that firefighters rushed to the border area in Southern Shuneh. The fire burnt several dunums on the Jordanian side, but we managed to prevent it from spreading. The fire was bigger on the Israeli side, the source added. Earlier this year, Israel started clearance activities to remove mines at the border area and near the King Hussein Bridge. In February, sounds of explosions were heard in Amman and other parts of central Jordan for two days in a row, which authorities said were the result of Israeli de-mining activities in the Jordan Valley.
18 May 2012 Petra UAE Red Crescent Provides 5,000 Food Parcels for Syrians in Jordan The UAE Red Crescent Society on Thursday completed preparing 5,000 food parcels to be handed out to Syrian refugees residing in Jordan. The donations, to be presented to Syrians in coordination with the UAE embassy in Amman, will be stored in the Jordan Red Crescent warehouses before being distributed to the refugees. Each parcel contains 15 basic food items.
17 May 2012 MENAFN Jordan- King Reasserts Commitment to Holding Elections this Year
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18 May 2012
(U) His Majesty King Abdullah speaks at a meeting with senators in Amman on Wednesday (Photo by Yousef Allan His Majesty King Abdullah on Wednesday reiterated his commitment to seeing parliamentary elections come through before the end of this year, urging the Senate to do its utmost to accelerate the enactment of legislation pertaining to political reform, a Royal Court statement said. During a meeting with Senate President Taher Masri and members of the Senate permanent office and committees, the King stressed the need for "transparency and courage" in confronting outstanding challenges. "I do not have any worries dealing with all challenges," the King said, calling for coordination and cooperation among all parties involved to arrive at parliamentary elections which yield a Parliament that is credible and truly representative of the people. Citizens should feel changes in political life in Jordan this year, or else Jordan would have failed to seize the opportunity to capitalize on the Arab Spring and the political reform achieved so far, King Abdullah told the senators, noting that securing people's confidence in this drive is key to success. "We meet today to make sure that we are reading on the same page. We must work swiftly and seriously, not only on political reform, but also to confront economic challenges and improve citizens' living conditions" the King told the senators, noting that economic challenges are serious and "citizens think" how they can make ends meet and about finding jobs". During the meeting, Masri said the Upper House agrees with His Majesty that the elections should be conducted this year after finalizing the relevant legislation. He also pointed out that the Senate is working to finalize these pieces of legislation swiftly and at the same time, ensuring in-depth studies and that no rash decisions are made.
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18 May 2012 Regarding accomplishments, he said the Senate Legal Committee yesterday endorsed the Political Parties Law, adding that the Senate is now waiting to deliberate the Elections Law after it is referred by the Lower House, where it is being debated by the Legal Committee. In their remarks at the meeting, senators contributed their perspectives on how to deal with the challenges at hand. They emphasized that political reform should go hand in hand with economic and social reform, noting that the education and the judiciary files are two main targeted field of reform.
LEBANON (Top) 18 May 2012 Naharnet Escaped Ain El-Hilweh Militants Headed to Tripoli then Syria
Unclassified The whereabouts of the six militants who had escaped the Ain el-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp remains unknown, reported al-Joumhouria newspaper on Friday. It said that it is likely that they headed to the northern city of Tripoli before heading to Syria to take part in the revolt against the countrys ruling regime. Haitham al-Shaabi, Mohammed al-Aarfi, Ziad Abou al-Niaaj, Mohammed Ibrahim al-Mansour, Oussama Shehabi, Mohammed al-Doukhi, and Toufic Taha escaped Ain el-Hilweh on Tuesday. Tahas escape is yet to be verified. Five of the militants belong to the al-Qaida terrorist organization, said al-Joumhouria, while An Nahar daily reported Friday that the militants belong to Jund al-Sham and Fatah al-Islam. Al-Joumhouria added that Abou Niaaj, a prominent member of al-Qaida, received the order to leave the camp directly from the organization through the internet. He was reportedly ordered to head to Tripoli in preparation to traveling to Syria to carry out special operations. A security source confirmed the escape to As Safir newspaper on Friday, saying that the militants are in fact heading to Syria.
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18 May 2012 He revealed that they had written their wills and handed them to their families or superiors before leaving the camp. A widely informed source told the newspaper that the escape may be linked to the various reports on the infiltration of terrorist groups into Lebanon recently and which are seeking to carry out assassinations against various political leaders. Palestinian sources told the Central News Agency on Thursday that the Palestinian leaderships are vigilant over any emergency development and contacts are ongoing between the various factions and Lebanese security agencies. Meanwhile, the Lebanese army discovered overnight a booby-trapped car as it was leaving Ain el-Hilweh. A security authority told As Safire newspaper in remarks published on Friday that the driver was going to deliver the car to a side that was seeking to use it against a very sensitive target. Attempts to defuse the very complicated bomb lasted long into the night, added As Safir.
17 May 2012 Now Lebanon Charbel Warns of Sunni-Shia Strife Interior Minister Marwan Charbel on Thursday warned against Sunni-Shia strife in Lebanon, If the unrest in the northern city of Tripoli continues, it will be the starting point for the biggest strife in the history of Lebanon, the National News Agency also quoted Charbel as saying. Asked about the issue of Islamist detainees arrested without charge, Charbel said that the trials of the Islamist detainees would expedite as soon as the construction of court hall in the central prison of Roumieh is completed. He also said that the construction is expected to finish in September. Deadly clashes broke out on Saturday in Tripoli between Islamists and the army as young demonstrators, sympathizers of the revolt in Syria, tried to approach the offices of the pro-President Bashar al-Assad Syrian Social Nationalist Party. The clashes followed the arrest of Lebanese citizen Shadi al-Mawlawi by the General Security at a social services center that belongs to Finance Minister Mohammad Safadi. After his arrest, 100 young men blocked the northern and southern roads into Tripoli. The ensuing sectarian clashes left nine people dead and some 50 wounded.
17 May 2012 Al Manar Seven Fatah Al-Islam Members Head to Syria Al-Manar television station reported on Thursday that seven members from Fatah al-Islam left the Ain al-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp and headed to Syria. The Hezbollah-backed station also said that the members of the radical Islamist group wrote their wills [and handed them] to their relatives.
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18 May 2012 Damascus blames the unrest on "armed terrorist groups" and has unleashed military operations against border towns and protest hubs. Lebanons political scene is split between supporters of Syrian President Bashar al-Assads regime, led by Hezbollah, and the pro-Western March 14 camp. According to UN estimates, more than 9,000 people have been killed in violence across Syria since anti-regime protests broke out in 2011, while monitors put the number at more than 12,000, mostly civilians.
18 May 2012 Nahar Net Military Court Rejects Al-Mawlawis Release Request The Military Tribunal rejected on Friday Islamist Shadi al-Mawlawis request to be released from detention, the request has been rejected by Military Examining Magistrate Nabil Wehbeh and Government Commissioner to the Military Court Judge Saqr Saqr. A new session of investigations has been scheduled for Tuesday. Al-Mawlawis arrest on Saturday in the northern city of Tripoli by General Security agents had infuriated the citys Islamists and sparked deadly clashes that have left at least 12 people dead and more than 100 wounded. His supporters have vowed to escalate the situation if he is not released. Al-Mawlawi was arrested on charges of belonging to a terrorist organization, but his supporters say he was targeted because of his help for Syrian refugees fleeing to Lebanon.
18 May 2012 Jerusalem Post Iranian Revolutionary Guards to Hezbollah: Hands off Israel An Iranian Revolutionary Guards commander reportedly ordered Hezbollah not to attack Israel. "Today, the Zionist regime is in total isolation and is facing a serious legitimacy crisis," Maj. Gen. Qassem Suleimani, commander of the Revolutionary Guards' special Quds Force, is quoted as telling Hassan Nasrallah, the commander of Lebanon's Hezbollah terrorist group. "Any attack would depict them as victims and us as unjust aggressors, which would mobilize the public sympathy for them," Suleimani is quoted as saying in remarks translated by Ali Alfoneh, an Iran expert at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative Washington-based think tank. "This would harm us." Alfoneh, writing Wednesday on the American Enterprise Institute blog, says the report originally appeared this week on the website of Botia News; a regional outlet affiliated with the Revolutionary Guards, and was picked up by other news outlets affiliated with the Guards.
SYRIA (Top)
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18 May 2012 18 May 2012 Now Lebanon Live Blog on Developments in Syria 13:49 Syrian forces on Friday arrested five children in Latakia. (S.N.N) 13:49 a number of anti-regime protests kicked off in different areas in Hama, including Qalaat al-Madiq and Kafr Zita. (S.N.N) 13:49 an anti-regime protest kicked off in Daraa's As-Sabil neighborhood. (S.N.N) 13:48 Anti-regime protests kicked off across Aleppo, including the citys Dar Ezza and Halab al-Jadeeda neighborhoods. (S.N.N) 13:43 an anti-regime protest started in Latakias As-Saliba. (S.N.N) 13:43 An anti-regime protest started in Daraas Al-Hara. (S.N.N) 13:43 an anti-regime protest started on Edlebs Maarat an-Naaman. (S.N.N) 13:40 two anti-regime protests kicked off in Asali near Damascus. (S.N.N) 13:38 Syrian forces are surrounding mosques in Daraas Jassem preventing worshippers from leaving them. (S.N.N) 13:38 an anti-regime protest kicked off in Latakias Jabla. (S.N.N) 13:38 an anti-regime protest kicked off in Daraas Ebtae. (S.N.N) 13:38 an anti-regime protest started in the town of Samad outside Daraa. (S.N.N) 13:37 an anti-regime protest kicked off in Latakias Al-Achrafieh neighborhood. (S.N.N) 13:34 Al-Jazeera is broadcasting live footage of an anti-regime protest in the Daraa town of Ghoueiran. 13:31 Syrian forces on Friday raided Aleppos neighborhood of Al-Shaar . (S.N.N) 13:30 Syrian forces on Friday opened fire on protesters in Deir az-Zours Abu Kamal. (S.N.N) 13:30 an anti-regime protest kicked off in Deir az-Zour. (S.N.N) 13:30 a number of anti-regime protests kicked off in Aleppos neighborhoods including Al-Ferdaws and Bustan alQaser. (S.N.N) 13:30 Al-Jazeera TV is broadcasting live footage of an anti-regime protest in the town of Al-Harak in Daraa. 13:29 Syrian forces on Friday opened fire on protesters in Daraas Sheikh Maskeen. (S.N.N) 13:29 Syrian forces on Friday raided Daraas Jassem. (S.N.N) 13:29 an anti-regime protest kicked off in Edlebs Ariha . (S.N.N)
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18 May 2012 13:26 two people were killed by security forces gunfire in the city of Douma near Damascus; Al-Jazeera quoted activists as saying. 13:25 Al-Arabiya TV is broadcasting a live anti-regime protest in Edleb. 13:24 an anti-regime protest started in Duma near Damascus. (S.N.N) 13:24 an anti-regime protest started in the Daraa town of Naima. (S.N.N) 13:23 Anti-regime protests started in Edlebs Jabal al-Zawiya. (S.N.N) 13:22 an anti-regime protest started in Damascuss Al-Maydan neighborhood. (S.N.N) 13:22 Syrian forces on Friday surrounded mosques in Aleppos Marja neighborhood to prevent anti-regime protesters from taking to the streets. (S.N.N) 13:21 Heavy explosions rocked Hamas Tariq Halab neighborhood on Friday. (S.N.N) 13:18 an anti-regime protest kicked off in the Aleppo town of Dabeq. (S.N.N) 13:18 an anti-regime protest started in Aleppos Hayyan. (S.N.N) 13:16 a number of anti-regime protests started in different areas in Aleppo, including Al-Sikari, Al-Atareb and Salaheddine neighborhoods. (S.N.N) 13:14 Anti-regime protests kicked off in Hasaka. (S.N.N) 13:12 an ant-regime protest kicked off in Aleppos Manbij. (S.N.N) 13:12 an ant-regime protest kicked off in Al-Aridi neighborhood in Deir az-Zour. (S.N.N) 13:11 an ant-regime protest started in Aleppo's neighborhood of Seif ad-Dawla. (S.N.N) 13:11 an ant-regime protest started in Aleppo's Masaken Hanano . (S.N.N) 13:00 an anti-regime protest started in Aleppos Kobani .(S.N.N) 13:00 an anti-regime protest kicked off in the city of Abu Kamal in Deir az-Zour. (S.N.N) 12:55 The Fatima Al-Zahrae Mosque in Hama was shelled on Friday. (S.N.N) 12:47 Syrian forces on Friday raided the Daraa town of Al-Sanamayn. (S.N.N) 12:44 Syrian forces on Friday opened fire on worshippers who were heading to a mosque in Daraas Nemer village. (S.N.N) 12:32 Syria forces on Friday were deployed in Reqqas streets to confront Fridays anti-regime protests. (S.N.N) 12:30 Activists said on Friday that a blast rocked the Tadamon district in Damascus, Al-Arabiya reported.
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18 May 2012 12:26 an anti-regime protest kicked off in Aleppo's Masakin Hanano. (S.N.N) 12:23 an anti-regime protest kicked off in Aleppos Marja neighborhood. (S.N.N) 12:19 Syrian forces present in the Damascus neighborhood of Jawber were reinforced on Friday. (S.N.N) 12:18 Syrian authorities have sentenced to death for "treason" an activist who was arrested in April and "brutally tortured," a Syrian human rights group said on Friday. 12:10 A YouTube video purportedly filmed on Friday in the Homs town of Rastan shows how the area is being shelled. 12:00 a number of explosions rocked the Hama neighborhood of Al-Hamidiya. (S.N.N) 11:35 Syrian forces on Friday raided Al-Ramel al-Janoubi neighborhood of Latakia. (S.N.N) 11:23 six people have so far been killed in Syria on Thursday, activists told Al-Arabiya TV. 11:11 Syria forces received reinforcements on Friday in the city of Bab al-Hawa in Edleb. (S.N.N) 11:06 four people were killed by the Syrian armys shelling on the Homs town of Rastan, activists told Al-Arabiya TV. 10:50 Syrian forces on Friday were deployed in the village of Enkhel in Daraa. (S.N.N) 10:45 Syrian forces on Friday were deployed in Daraas Nemer village. (S.N.N) 10:38 Syrian forces on Friday opened fire on protesters in Aleppo; Al-Arabiya television quoted the Local Coordination Committees as saying. 10:36 Syrian forces on Friday morning intensified the shelling targeting Homs Rastan; Al-Arabiya television quoted the Local Coordination Committees as saying. 10:32 Syrian forces have been carrying out arrest operations in the Daraa town of Sheikh Maskeen since Friday morning. (S.N.N) 10:15 Syrian anti-regime activists called for Friday protests under the slogan, "heroes of Aleppo University," in solidarity with students who demonstrated despite brutal repression against the university. 10:00 Syrian forces on Friday opened fire in Edlebs Ariha. (S.N.N) 8:30 MORNING LEADER: Syrian National Council chief Burhan Ghalioun said on Thursday he will step down to avert divisions within the opposition bloc, after activists on the ground accused him of monopolizing power. 8:00 Syrian forces on Friday shelled Edlebs area of Jabal al-Zawiya. (S.N.N) 8:00 Syrian forces on Friday shelled the Homs neighborhood of Al-Hamidiya. (S.N.N) 7:30 UN leader Ban Ki-moon said Thursday he believes Al-Qaeda committed a major bomb attack in Damascus that left dozens dead, and that up to 10,000 people have now been killed in Syria.
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18 May 2012 18 May 2012 Al Arabiya Palestinian Writer Salameh Kaileh Detained, Beaten, Taunted in Syria
(U) Palestinian writer Salameh Kaileh was hospitalized in Amman for bruises sustained during his detention in Syria. (Al Arabiya) Syrian authorities deported Palestinian writer Salameh Kaileh this week to Jordan after three weeks of detention and relentless torture and taunting over his anti-regime writings, the prominent writer told Al Arabiya late Wednesday. Security forces had stormed Kailehs house on April 23. There was no violence at first. They took my computer, the laptop, USB storage devices and searched my files, he said. They interrogated me in a rude manner about leaflets they found at my house entitled al-Yasari (The Leftist). I told them I had nothing to do with them. They then took me to a security office. At first I didnt know where I was exactly, but later I found out from other detainees that it was an air force intelligence office. The authorities interrogated me. The main question they asked me was where did I print the leaflets? But I did not print them. Kaileh said a slogan in the leaflet which read: For Palestine to be free, Syrias regime has to fall, was what the authorities feared most. It was their anger at this line, more than anything, which resulted in me being badly beaten. When I said that I had nothing to do with the leaflets, I was hit and kicked so much that my legs could have been broken. I was hit with a wide wire cable so much that I fell on the ground. He [an officer] swore at me repeatedly. Hed ask the same question and Id give the same answer; that I have nothing to do with the leaflets. Kaileh, 57, who holds a Jordanian passport, said he was hospitalized in Amman for bruises sustained during his detention. The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights on Tuesday distributed several photographs showing large bruises and burns on Kailehs arms and legs. Kaileh, born in Birzeit, West Bank, is a well-known leftist who has written books on subjects ranging from Marxism to Arab nationalism. He was imprisoned by the Syrian government in the 1990s for eight years. Kaileh said the security officers would mock him and curse Palestinians. Of course there then was a lot of talk from them about how the situation in Syria is more stable than all surrounding areas in the region and that Im a Palestinian who is playing with the events in Syria, while also cursing Palestinians. What I experienced was only a fraction of what the other detainees, with whom I was imprisoned, were going through. They were being horrifically tortured, Kaileh said. According to the Observatory, more than 12,000 people, the majority of them civilians, have died since the uprising against the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad began on March 15, 2011, and that around 25,000 are in detention, AFP news agency reported.
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18 May 2012 Human rights organizations have denounced the systematic torture of detainees in Syria. Amnesty International has said in a report based on the testimony of refugees now living in Jordan that the extent of torture and abuse in Syria has reached a level not seen in years, and which evokes the dark era of the 1970s and 1980s.
18 May 2012 Ahram online Syrians Urged to Rally in Support of Students
Unclassified Syrian activists call for Friday protests following the brutal repression against students who demonstrated on campus demanding the fall of President Bashar Al-Assad Syrian anti-regime activists called for Friday protests under the slogan, "heroes of Aleppo University", in solidarity with students who demonstrated despite brutal repression against the university. Students in the northern city demonstrated on campus demanding the fall of Bashar Al-Assad's regime on Thursday as UN observers visited to oversee a ceasefire, largely ignored for a month, according to activists. "Thousands of students from various faculties came out of their classes when the UN observers arrived and shouted slogans calling for the fall of the regime," activist Mohammed Halabi told AFP in Beirut. They "also called for the arming of the (rebel) Syrian Free Army," he said in a telephone call. A video released by activists shows a large number of students surrounding a UN-marked vehicle insulting Assad and chanting: "The people want the fall of the regime." Another video shows youths sitting in the back of a vehicle driven by a UN observer and filming security forces members beating students brutally with truncheons. Having taken the observer to witness the scene, the youths implored him to leave when a man in civilian clothes approaches the vehicle and blocks the view of the student filming.
18 May 2012 Al Jazeera UN Probes 'Arms Sales from N Korea to Syria'
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18 May 2012
(U) The panel said it could not prove N Korea continued to maintain missile co-operation with Iran and Syria [Reuters] A UN panel of experts that monitors compliance with sanctions on North Korea is investigating reports of possible weapons-related shipments by Pyongyang to Syria and Myanmar, the panel said in a confidential report.
"The DPRK (North Korea) continues actively to defy the measures in the [UN sanctions] resolutions," the panel said in the report seen exclusively by the Reuters news agency on Thursday. "Member states did not report to the committee any violations involving transfer of nuclear, other [weapons of mass-destruction]-related or ballistic missile items," it said in the report submitted to the UN Security Council's North Korea sanctions committee earlier this week. "But they did report several other violations including illicit sales of arms and related materiel and luxury goods." China, which is named in the report as a transit hub for illicit North Korean arms-related breaches, has prevented the 15-nation Security Council from publishing past reports and may do so with the latest one, UN envoys told Reuters. "Although the [sanctions] have not caused the DPRK to halt its banned activities, they appear to have slowed them and made illicit transactions significantly more difficult and expensive," the panel's report said. 'Destined for Syria' One of the cases involving suspected illicit arms trade with Syria was reported to the council's sanctions committee last month. "In April 2012, France reported to the committee that it had inspected and seized in November 2010 an illicit shipment of arms-related materiel originating from the DPRK and destined for Syria," the report said. The shipment, which was on board the ship M/V San Francisco Bridge, was said to contain "copper bars and plates". "However, France's inspection of the cargo revealed that it contained brass discs and copper rods used to manufacture artillery munitions [pellets and rods for crimping cartridges and driving bands] and aluminum alloy tubes usable for making rockets," the panel said. Another case cited in the report involved a 2007 shipment of propellant usable for Scud missiles and other items that could be used for ballistic missiles.
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18 May 2012 The panel had referred to it in last year's report but added details about a Syria connection and confirmed that it had been transported via China. "This shipment originated in the DPRK, was trans-shipped in Dalian (China), and Port Kelang (Malaysia), and transited through other ports," the report said. "It was en route to Latakia, Syria". Although both shipments mentioned in the report were made before the Syrian government launched its assault on opposition demonstrators in March 2011, diplomats said they were worrying because it showed the kinds of items Damascus had been trying to add to its arsenal - and the aid it received from North Korea and China. The panel said it could not prove North Korea continued to maintain ballistic missile co-operation with Iran, Syria and other countries, "but notes that it would be consistent with reports of the DPRK's long history of missile cooperation with these countries and with the panel's observations". 'Prohibited co-operation' Ten thousand rolls of tobacco, 12 bottles of Sake, and some second-hand Mercedes Benz cars are among the latest reported breaches by North Korea of the luxury goods ban. "Overall implementation of the sanctions leaves much to be desired" - UN panel of experts UN sanctions forbid North Korea from selling arms and related technology as well as from buying or selling nuclear and missile technology. The panel said it was looking at the possibility North Korea has a deal with Myanmar on conventional weapons cooperation in violation of Security Council sanctions passed in 2006 and 2009 after Pyongyang's nuclear test in those years. The report said the panel took note of statements by the new president of the former Burma that Myanmar does not "have nuclear or weapons co-operation with the DPRK". There have been media reports that Myanmar's previously ruling generals, who recently ceded power to a civilianled government, had been exploring nuclear-weapons co-operation with North Korea. Myanmar has always denied such reports. The panel said it took note of those denials but expressed concern about the possibility of "other prohibited cooperation" between Myanmar and North Korea. It referred to a recent statement by the speaker of Myanmar's new parliament, Thura Shwe Mann, who, according to the panel, announced he had signed a memorandum of understanding with Pyongyang during a 2008 visit to North Korea. "It was not on nuclear co-operation as is being alleged," the panel quoted the speaker as saying. "We studied their air defence system, weapons factories, aircraft and ships. "Their armed forces are quite strong, so we just agreed to co-operate with them if necessary". Nuclear test 'planned'
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18 May 2012 The panel said Shwe Mann may have visited a ballistic missile factory in North Korea and added that it was concerned the memorandum of understanding violated UN sanctions. On Thursday, a US institute said Pyongyang had resumed construction work on an experimental light water reactor The US and its allies are worried that North Korea is planning a third nuclear test after its recent failed missile launch. They are also concerned that Pyongyang is expanding its uranium enrichment programme in addition to its plutonium reprocessing work that has yielded atom bomb fuel. High-grade enriched uranium, like plutonium, can be used as fuel for a nuclear weapon. But the UN panel said it had seen no evidence that North Korea had been attempting to import banned items like merging steel and high-strength aluminum tubes, which it would need to expand its enrichment centrifuge programme. "Since May 2011, no attempts by the DPRK to import these have been reported to the committee or brought to the attention of the panel," the report said. "It remains unclear whether this is because the DPRK has succeeded in doing so undetected, or stockpiled these items before sanctions were introduced, or is not after all trying to procure them," the panel said. The panel said it did not agree with suggestions that North Korea could produce high-strength merging steel, adding that even if it could do so, it would likely not be able to produce it with the quality needed for enrichment centrifuges. The panel also took UN member states to task for lax application of the punitive measures, saying "overall implementation of the sanctions leaves much to be desired".
17 May 2012 Al Arabiya Syrian Opposition Leader Burhan Ghalioun Resigns amid Mounting Criticism
(U) Syrian National Council President Burhan Ghalioun says he is ready to quit. (Reuters) The head of Syrias most-recognized opposition bloc, Burhan Ghalioun, has announced that he is stepping down as leader of the Syrian National Council (SNC) after mounting criticism of his leadership. I am announcing my resignation as head of the Council. I call on the Syrian opposition to break the cycle of conflicts and preserve unity,
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18 May 2012 Ghalioun told Al Arabiya. I declare my resignation as soon as a replacement is found through elections or consensus, Ghalioun added. On Tuesday, Ghalioun was reelected head of the exiled coalition in the face of opposition by some members of the secretariat and rules that require the presidents rotation every three months. Opposition activists had spoken of the deteriorating situation in the SNC when the Local Coordination Committees (LCC), a network of activists on the ground in Syria, threatened on Thursday to pull out of opposition bloc the Syrian National Council over its monopolization of power. The deteriorating situation in the SNC is an impetus for us to take actions, which could begin with a freeze (of LCC membership in the SNC) and end with a withdrawal if errors are not solved and demands for reform go unmet, the LCC said in a statement. These errors were a total absence of consensus between the SNCs vision and that of the revolutionaries; a marginalization of most (LCC) representatives; and a monopolization of decision-making by influential members of the executive bureau. The SNC was particularly criticized for not sufficiently coordinating with activists on the ground, and for the strong influence wielded by Syrian Muslim Brotherhood representatives. Most opposition forces agreed in March, after laborious negotiations, that the SNC would be the formal representative of the Syrian people, despite calls for its restructuring. The move came in response to calls from the international community that the Syrian opposition must unify its ranks. Ghaliouns reelection mandate was intended to last three months. His reappointment came after a 72 hour longdrawn-out and hardly-fought meeting of the representatives of the major SNC forces in a hotel in the center of Rome. Ghalioun, who is a professor and lives in Paris, was not new to Syrian uprisings; in fact he returned to the scene in 2011 picking up from where he left off. Ten years ago, he participated in the Damascus Spring, a period of intense political debate after the death of President Hafez al-Assad, in June 2000, and which continued to some degree until autumn 2001, when most of the activities associated with it were suppressed by the government.
18 May 2012 Al Arabiya Bodies Piling up in Syria amid no Alternative to Annans Plan Bodies are piling up in Syria while President Bashar al-Assad sits entrenched in his palace, but the international community appears lacking no alternative to a U.N. observer mission monitoring the implementation of a nonexistent ceasefire. The town of Rastan, north of the city of Homs, came under heavy shelling by regime forces, which tried to break through the defensive lines set up by the armed opposition. The dozens of mortar shells landing on residential areas killed eight people on Friday morning, according to an initial tally by local activists.
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18 May 2012 In Damascus, an explosion accompanied by heavy gunfire was heard in the district of Tadamun, according to the Syrian Revolution Council. It was not immediately known if there were any victims. Anti-regime activists have called for nationwide protests on Friday in support of students in Aleppo in solidarity with students in the northern city who demonstrated there the day before despite brutal repression in the presence of U.N. military observers. Growing suspicions of an al-Qaeda presence in Syria, meanwhile, further complicated matters for the fragmented opposition, which has repeatedly refuted any links to the Islamist organization.
17 May 2012 Reuters Exclusive: U.N. Probes Possible North Korea Arms Trade with Syria, Myanmar By Louis Charbonneau and Michelle Nichols A U.N. panel of experts that monitors compliance with sanctions on North Korea is investigating reports of possible weapons-related deals between Pyongyang and Syria and Myanmar, the panel said in a confidential report seen by Reuters on Thursday. "The DPRK (North Korea) continues actively to defy the measures in the (U.N. sanctions) resolutions," the panel said in the report, which it submitted to the U.N. Security Council's North Korea sanctions committee earlier this week. "Member states did not report to the committee any violations involving transfer of nuclear, other (weapons of mass-destruction)-related or ballistic missile items," it said. "But they did report several other violations including illicit sales of arms and related materiel and luxury goods." U.N. panel of experts' sanctions reports are highly sensitive. China, which is named in the report as a transit hub for illicit North Korean arms-related breaches, has prevented the 15-nation Security Council from publishing past reports and may do so with the latest one, U.N. envoys have told Reuters. "Although the (sanctions) have not caused the DPRK to halt its banned activities, they appear to have slowed them and made illicit transactions significantly more difficult and expensive," the panel's report said. One of the cases involving suspected illicit arms trade with Syria was reported to the council's sanctions committee last month. "In April 2012, France reported to the committee that it had inspected and seized in November 2010 an illicit shipment of arms-related materiel originating from the DPRK and destined for Syria," the report said. The shipment, which was on board the ship M/V San Francisco Bridge, was said to be containing "copper bars and plates." "However, France's inspection of the cargo revealed that it contained brass discs and copper rods used to manufacture artillery munitions (pellets and rods for crimping cartridges and driving bands) and aluminum alloy tubes usable for making rockets," the panel said.
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18 May 2012 Another case cited in the report involved a 2007 shipment of propellant usable for SCUD missiles and other items that could be used for ballistic missiles. The panel had referred to it in last year's report but added details about a Syria connection and confirmed that it had been transported via China. "This shipment originated in the DPRK, was trans-shipped in Dalian (China), and Port Kelang (Malaysia), and transited through other ports," the report said. "It was en route to Latakia, Syria." Although both shipments mentioned in the report were made before the Syrian government launched its assault on opposition demonstrators in March 2011, diplomats said they were worrying because it showed the kinds of items Damascus had been trying to add to its arsenal - and the aid it received from North Korea and China. The panel said it could not prove North Korea continued to maintain ballistic missile cooperation with Iran, Syria and other countries, "but notes that it would be consistent with reports of the DPRK's long history of missile cooperation with these countries and with the panel's observations." WEAPONS COOPERATION WITH MYANMAR? Ten thousand rolls of tobacco, 12 bottles of Sake, and some second-hand Mercedes Benz cars are among the latest reported breaches by North Korea of the luxury goods ban. The panel said it was looking at the possibility North Korea has a deal with Myanmar on conventional weapons cooperation in violation of Security Council sanctions passed in 2006 and 2009 after Pyongyang's nuclear test in those years. The report said the panel took note of statements by the new president of the former Burma that Myanmar does not "have nuclear or weapons cooperation with the DPRK." There have been media reports that Myanmar's previously ruling generals, who recently ceded power to a civilianled government, had been exploring nuclear-weapons cooperation with North Korea. Myanmar has always denied such reports. The panel said it took note of those denials but expressed concern about the possibility of "other prohibited cooperation" between Myanmar and North Korea. It referred to a recent statement by the speaker of Myanmar's new parliament, Thura Shwe Mann, who, according to the panel, announced he had signed a memorandum of understanding with Pyongyang during a 2008 visit to North Korea. "It was not on nuclear cooperation as is being alleged," the panel quoted the speaker as saying. "We studied their air defense system, weapons factories, aircraft and ships. Their armed forces are quite strong, so we just agreed to cooperate with them if necessary." The panel said Shwe Mann may have visited a ballistic missile factory in North Korea and added that it was concerned the memorandum of understanding violated U.N. sanctions, which forbid North Korea from selling arms and related technology as well as from buying or selling nuclear and missile technology. The United States and its allies are worried that North Korea is planning a third nuclear test after its recent failed missile launch. They are also concerned that Pyongyang is expanding its uranium enrichment program in addition to its plutonium reprocessing work that has yielded atom bomb fuel.
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18 May 2012 High-grade enriched uranium, like plutonium, can be used as fuel for a nuclear weapon. But the U.N. panel said it had seen no evidence that North Korea had been attempting to import banned items like managing steel and high-strength aluminum tubes, which it would need to expand its enrichment centrifuge program. "Since May 2011, no attempts by the DPRK to import these have been reported to the committee or brought to the attention of the panel," the report said. "It remains unclear whether this is because the DPRK has succeeded in doing so undetected, or stockpiled these items before sanctions were introduced, or is not after all trying to procure them," the panel said. The panel said it did not agree with suggestions that North Korea could produce high-strength managing steel, adding that even if it could do so, it would likely not be able to produce it with the quality needed for enrichment centrifuges. The panel also took U.N. member states to task for lax application of the punitive measures, saying "overall implementation of the sanctions leaves much to be desired."
REGIONAL EDITORIALS (Top) 18 May 2012 Al Sharaq Al Awsat Irans Triple Mistakes in Syria, Iraq and Bahrain By Amir Taheri Fearing isolation as a new geopolitical landscape takes shape in the Middle East; the Khomeinis regime is still clinging to three forlorn hopes. The first is to save the Baathist regime in Damascus even if that means accepting a financial burden that Irans crippled economy could ill afford. The second is to prevent the re-emergence of Iraq as a viable state and a potential rival. The third is to transform the socio-political crisis in Bahrain into a power grab for itself. In Syria, the mullahs strategy is to portray the uprising as a Western conspiracy to punish a regime supposed to be part of the resistance. The claim is that the United States and its allies wish to exclude actual or potentially unfriendly powers such as Iran, Russia and China from the region. The mullahs hope to delay the fall of the Assad regime so that they have more time to confirm their foothold in southern Iraq, their second hope. Emboldened by the victory of their Syrian brethren, the people of Iraq might decide that their country is potentially strong enough to avoid partial or total domination by Iran. Tehrans plan for Iraq is to encourage the creation of a Shiite enclave in the south in the name of federalism. That would enable Tehran to dominate the Shiite theological centre in Najaf thus pre-empting a possible challenge to the Khomeinis ideology.
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18 May 2012 It is clear that Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Guide of the Khomeinis regime, lacks the qualifications to be marketed as a religious leader for Iraqi Shiite. This is why Iranian security services are working on a scenario under which a mid-ranking mullah is cast in the role of ayatollah and marja al-taqlid (source of emulation) for Iraqi Shiites. The mullah in question is Mahmoud Shahroudi who has been on the payroll of the Iranian government for three decades. Initially, he was member of a guerrilla group created by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to fight Saddam Hussein. He then started wearing a mullahs outfit and transformed himself into a cleric. Currently, he heads an advisory committee attached to Khameneis office. While Tehran is trying to annex Syria with money and arms shipments to the Assad regime, the plan for Iraq is domination through a religious network backed by paramilitary groups controlled by the IRGC. The plan for Bahrain is, in a sense, more straightforward because it aims at the annexation of the archipelago on the basis of Irans historic claims. In an editorial last Tuesday, the daily Kayhan, published by Khameneis office, had a front page banner headline asserting that Bahrain Is A Piece of Irans Body. The editorial claimed, A majority of the people of Bahrain regard Bahrain as part of Iran.... It should return to its original homeland which is Iran. In an earlier article, the newspaper recalled the circumstances in 1970 under which Bahrain ceased to be a British protectorate to become an independent state. In recent weeks, convening supposedly academic conferences to prove that Bahrain is part of Iran has become fashionable in Iranian seminaries. According to Khomeinis folklore the Shahs decision to accept a United Nations assessment mission to decide the fate of Bahrain had been one of his greatest treasons. One of Khomeinis first acts after seizing power in 1979 was to create the so-called Bahrain Liberation Army. The group tried to invade Bahrain with a few boats but was stopped by the Iranian navy that was still controlled by Prime Minister Mehdi Bazargans government. With the seizure of the US embassy in Tehran in November 1979 by students and the Iraqi invasion of Iran in September 1980 the idea of conquering Bahrain was put on the backburner. Tehrans intervention in Syria, Iraq and Bahrain has had a doubly negative effect. It Syria, Iranian intervention has increased the human cost of a transition that seems inevitable. That intervention has given what is essentially a domestic struggle for power an external dimension that the Syrian people cannot control. In Iraq, Iranian intervention has prevented the consolidation of a national consensus that had taken shape after the fall of the Baathist regime in 2003 and the bloody struggles of 2004-2009. Iraq is bound to end up finding its way and rebuilding the structures of a state. However, the cost of doing that has been increased by Iranian intervention. Similarly in Bahrain, it is unlikely that a majority of Bahrainis, who are seeking greater reforms and better power sharing, would want to live under Walayat al-Faqih (rule by mullah). Nor would they wish to sacrifice their national interests at the altar of a regime whose fate is under question in Iran itself. Khameneis triple gamble in Syria, Iraq and Bahrain also has a negative effect on Irans own interests as a nation state.
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18 May 2012 As a nation, as a people, Iran has no interest in enabling the Assad regime to kill the Syrians in their own cities and villages. Nor could Iran reap any benefit from sowing dissension and violence in Iraq and preventing a national consensus in Bahrain. Once again, in these three important cases, the interests of Iran as a nation-state do not coincide with those of Iran as a vehicle for the Khomeinis ideology.
17 May 2012 Dar al Hayat The Gulf Union and the Iranian Trap Zuheir Kseibati The swapping of the roles between the symbols, wings and tools of the authority in Iran in a harmonious escalation against the project of union between the Arab Gulf states, topples the theory related to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejads erring away from the higher Iranian policy determined by Guide Ali Khamenei. The parliamentary elections, which addressed a strong blow to the presidents supporters, cost Ahmadinejad the foreign policy tampering card, which has used for a long time either by carrying out outbidding over the Guides stringency or by provoking crises. This card is now without value. Moreover, the president relinquished his dream after he had claimed on several occasions that he wished to erase Israel from the map, thus angering the West and obstructing via the escalation at the level of the nuclear file the negotiations with the major states. And as soon as the door was reopened before negotiations over the file, Ahmadinejad revived the crisis of the occupation of the three Emirati islands, i.e. the Greater Tunb, Lesser Tunb and Abu Musa islands. However, his visit to Abu Musa and his defiance of the Gulf States this time around, did not aim at serving internal political goals, while the Revolutionary Guards bullying of the United Arab Emirates and all those who reject the Persian character of the Gulf, gave the impression that the Guide was acceptant of the course of escalation and confrontation. And as soon as the chapter of the Gulf union was opened (especially during the Riyadh summit last Monday), Iran moved to the second stage of the political confrontation with the GCC countries which were always addressed by Tehran with a superior and directing tone, applying on the regional level the same method it used throughout the Middle East thus granting certificates of good conduct to the nationals and accusing all those who do not belong to them of treason. A few hours after the Bahraini Foreign Ministry summoned the Iranian charg daffaires in Manama to protest against what was said at the Shura Council (parliament) in Tehran - especially by its Speaker Ali Larijani - the Islamic Propagation Coordination Council announced the staging of crowded protests tomorrow throughout Iran against the Gulf union project between the GCC member states, one which the Iranian wings are claiming is an attempt to annex Bahrain to Saudi Arabia. As to the Coordination Councils selection of provocative terms to call for the demonstrations, it blocks the way before any calm and proves that Iran has relinquished the gray area through which it insisted for years on the extension of the hand to the neighbors on the media level, while supplying organizations, parties and groups with financial and military aid under the cover of protecting the Shiites and the peoples rights. Clearly, the Iranian command could not forget the blow seen in the dispatch of troops from the Peninsula Shield Force to Bahrain to stop the expansion of the turmoil in the country last year. And while it is not new that signals are pointing to an Iranian wish or instigation which fueled the protests in that Kingdom once again maybe to alleviate the Arab pressures on Damascus and its suppression of the oppositionists by use of violence Tehran cannot
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18 May 2012 revamp or elude what was stated by Larijani. Indeed, the fact that he considered the Gulf union option to be a Bedouin behavior is not a mere slip of the tongue, but rather the public embodiment of an underlying wish to belittle the others out of arrogance and under the illusion of the monopolization of urbanism! Once again, one should recall the Iranian dichotomy in defending what Tehran dubs the rights of the Shiites in Bahrain, the classification of the oppositionists in Syria as being terrorists, the instigation against Gulf authorities, the defense of the Syrian regime and the use of the Houthi card in Yemen under the headline of their legitimate demands, while Tehrans record with its oppositionists is known. Today, while confrontation in the Gulf is nearing the peak, Iran is disregarding the rejection of its threats by Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal and his call for the settlement of the issue of the Emirati islands as a condition for normalization with the GCC states, and unleashing the demands to restore the Bahraini province at the Shura Council. However, it is unlikely that the Gulf states will succumb to the conditions of the rowdy neighbor and relinquish the union plan, even if its birth were to be a few months late. It would be nave to assume that the GCC will fall in an Iranian trap trying to trigger war, as soon as the nuclear program deal with the West is sealed, knowing that Tehrans optimism toward this deal is provoking suspicions among the Gulf populations. Hence, some still ask the difficult question: If Khamenei wants to play a role in the redrafting of the political map, what price would satisfy him in exchange for the low-enriched uranium and the taming of the regime in Damascus?
17 May 2012 Al Arabiya Iran Attack Decision Nears, Israeli Elite Locks Down Michael Stott A private door opens from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahus office in central Jerusalem directly into a long, modestly furnished, half-paneled room decorated with modern paintings by Israeli artists and a copy of Israels 1948 declaration of independence. It contains little more than a long wooden table, brown leather chairs and a single old-fashioned white projector screen. This inner sanctum at the end of a corridor between Netanyahus private room and the office of his top military adviser, is where one of the decades most momentous military decisions could soon be taken: to launch an Israeli attack on Irans nuclear program. Time for that decision is fast running out and the mood in Jerusalem is hardening. Iran continues to enrich uranium in defiance of international pressure, saying it needs the fuel for its civilian nuclear program. The West is convinced that Tehrans real objective is to build an atomic bomb - something which the Jewish state will never accept because its leaders consider a nuclear armed-Iran a threat to its very existence. Adding to the international pressure, U.S. ambassador to Israel Daniel Shapiro said this week American military plans to strike Iran were ready and the option was fully available. The central role Iran plays in Netanyahus deliberations is reflected in the huge map of the Middle East hanging by the door of his office. Israel lies on one edge, with Iran taking pride of place in the center. Experts say that within a few months, much of Irans nuclear program will have been moved deep underground beneath the Fordow mountain, making a successful military strike much more difficult. As the deadline for a decision draws nearer, the public pronouncements of Israels top officials and military have changed.
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18 May 2012 After hawkish warnings about a possible strike earlier this year, their language of late has been more guarded and clues to their intentions more difficult to discern. The top of the government has gone into lockdown, one official said. Nobody is saying anything publicly. That in itself tells you a lot about where things stand. Last week Netanyahu pulled off a spectacular political surprise, creating a coalition of national unity and delaying elections which everyone believed were inevitable. The maneuver also led to speculation that the Israeli leader wanted a broad, strong government to lead a military campaign. The inclusion of the Iranian-born former Israeli chief of staff and veteran soldier, Gen. Shaul Mofaz, in the coalition, fuelled that speculation even though both Mofaz and Netanyahu deny that Iran was mentioned in the coalition negotiations. I think they have made a decision to attack, said one senior Israeli figure with close ties to the leadership. It is going to happen. The window of opportunity is before the U.S. presidential election in November. This way they will bounce the Americans into supporting them. Those close to Netanyahu are more cautious, saying no assumptions should be made about an attack on Iran an attack with such potentially devastating consequences across the volatile Middle East that Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas even went so far as to predict in an interview with Reuters last week that it would be the end of the world. Israelis particularly fear retaliation from Irans proxy militias - the Hezbollah guerrillas in southern Lebanon and the Hamas fighters in the Gaza Strip. Both are believed to possess large arsenals of rockets which could hit major Israeli towns and cities. Hezbollahs deputy leader Sheikh Naim Qassem told Reuters in February that an Israeli attack on Iran would set the whole Middle East ablaze with no limit to the fires. Gone are the days when Israel decides to strike, and the people are silent, he said. The Israeli Prime Minister and his key allies repeat for public consumption the mantra that economic sanctions against Iran must be given time to work and that now is not the time to speak about military options. Top officials explain the new coalition on purely domestic grounds, saying it was needed to tackle the thorny and divisive issue of pressing Orthodox Jews into military service - in other words, that its formation has much more to do with the agenda inside Israel than abroad. Diplomats are divided. I think the Iran thing is a red herring, said one senior Western envoy. This is 98 percent about domestic politics. Others are less convinced. Mofaz himself refuses to speak about military action against Iran, even in the theoretical. A military veteran with almost 40 years operational experience, whose office in the Israeli parliament displays a poster of Israeli warplanes flying low over the Auschwitz concentration camp; he scoffs at the idea that his Iranian descent gives him special influence on an Iran attack decision. He derides the idea any serious official in the know would talk to visiting journalists about such a sensitive military subject. But behind the carefully evasive language of top officials, basic facts are clear. Time is running out. Irans nuclear program - regarded by Netanyahu as an existential threat to the state of Israel will soon be buried deep enough underground to render an Israeli attack impossible. The Jewish states options are narrowing. I think theyve gone into lockdown mode now, the senior Western diplomat said. Whatever happens next, whatever they decide, we will not find out until it happens. There are indeed those who see in Israeli posturing over Iran only bluff intended to press world powers into harsher sanctions and avoid war. Some military experts openly doubt how much damage Israel could inflict. The risk of a fiasco is big.
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18 May 2012 Perhaps the strongest clue as to Israels real intentions is to be found in Netanyahus private office, behind his desk. Officials say the Israeli premier was strongly influenced by his father, who died last month at the age of 102. Benzion Netanyahu was a distinguished scholar of Jewish history and his strong sense of the past lives on in Benjamin, who laments to visitors that most peoples sense of history goes back to breakfast time. On a shelf behind Netanyahus desk, along with pictures of his family, is a photograph of Winston Churchill. Netanyahu admires the British wartime premier because he saw the true dangers posed by Nazi Germany to the world at a time when many other politicians argued for appeasing Hitler. The parallels with modern-day Iran are obvious and Netanyahu is explicit about the dangers he believes are posed by militant Islam: as he puts it, its convulsive power, its cult of death and its ideological zeal. But Churchill, although eloquent on the dangers posed by the rise of Nazi Germany during the 1930s, ultimately failed to prevent Hitlers ascent to power, the world war he unleashed or the Holocaust in which six million Jews were murdered. Netanyahu, those who know him say, is determined to avoid going down in history as the man who did not shirk his opportunity to stop Iran going nuclear.
18 May 2012 Al Masry Al Youm It is all Political when it Comes to Sharia Radwa Elsaman The issue of requiring the principles of Islamic Sharia to be the main, and sometimes the sole, source of legislation in Egypt arose immediately after the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces suspended the 1971 constitution. This issue is expected to surface again by the time the new constitution is drafted. I will examine the ramifications of this insistence on making Sharia the main source of legislation on Egypts political arena. One camp, mainly composed of secularists and non-Muslims, claims that adopting Sharia as the major source of law is discriminatory and ignores religious minorities. It seems that this groups main concern is that the Islamic parties, which already have a strong presence in the Egyptian political arena, will impose their own interpretation of Sharia, particularly infringing on minority rights, womens rights, and advocating a firm application of Islamic criminal penalties (hudud) and Islamic commercial and financial rules such as Islamic banking. A fair and neutral evaluation of this attitude from a scholarly point of view finds this fear to be deficient. This is particularly true because the absence of a provision establishing Sharia as a source of law does not guarantee religious equality or justice. Human rights violations are mainly committed by authoritarian or semi-authoritarian regimes for political reasons and do not relate to Sharia in and of itself. On the other hand, Islamists and their supporters do seek to reaffirm that Sharia is the main source of legislation, and some of them are trying to elevate it to be the sole source of legislation. Islamists are in fact trying to codify that Egypt is an Islamic country, and to guarantee a role for Sharia in the workings of the Egyptian state. To support this argument, Islamists suggest that that since the 19th century, the Egyptian legal system has been Westernized to reflect European rather than Islamic legal norms. This point of view is also deficient. Merely stating that Sharia is the source of legislation is neither a guarantee of the Islamic identity of the country nor does it assure the respect of the rule of law. The same provision, which stipulated that Sharia is the source of legislation, existed during Mubaraks era, an era that witnessed a notable absence of the rule of law and grave breaches of human rights. Accordingly, the dilemma does not seem to be over adopting Sharia as a source of law, but rather over which interpretation will prevail when it comes to reading substantive legislation in light of the constitutional provisions of Islamic law. What supports this analysis is the fact that although the majority of the fifty Muslim countries in the Organization of the Islamic Conference, which represents the collective voice of the Muslim world, do consider Sharia as the main source (or at least one source) of legislation, the legal impact of Sharia on a countrys national
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18 May 2012 law varies depending on the interpretation of Islamic law and the political attitude of the governing regime. For instance, some countries such as Yemen, Algeria, and Jordan establish Sharia as the principal source of their legislation, while the religion of the state does not have a significant impact on the functioning of public institutions. From a legal point of view, the establishment of Sharia as the main source of legislation does not necessarily pose a problem for creating a democratic legal system its the politicization of Sharia that serves as an obstacle to this same process. The threat of the politicization of Sharia arises during the stages of drafting and interpreting laws. Though Islam has a number of fixed principles, Islamic law is rather malleable if compared to other legal systems. The Islamic legal system developed extra-textual legal principles that can provide a basis for a modernizing process of legal reform. Examples include qias (analogy), istihsan (juristic approval of certain rules), sadd al-dharai (blocking the lawful means to an unlawful end), Itihad (legal reasoning), and maslaha (public interest). Competent parliamentarians can use these various methodologies that place the public interest as a priority, along with the guidance of competent Islamic jurisprudence, to establish efficient forms of modern constitutional, commercial, and other legal theories. Hence, the body of Sharia does not pose a threat to the process of democratic legal reform unless its interpretation is politicized to serve the end goals of a dominating political party. In addition, the effect of Sharia as a source of law lies in the hands of the body with the power to interpret the constitution. Since the Supreme Constitutional Court is the sole competent body to interpret constitutional provisions, it plays a crucial role in interpreting any such provision that considers Sharia the main source of legislation. Because the president appoints the constitutional courts judges, there is a possibility that the court could be used to the advantage of the political party that dominates this executive position. In essence, the fact that Mubarak opposed Islamic legal reform explains why the courts interpretation of Sharia was in line, to some extent, with the Western modern codes. The question that arises here is whether an Islamist-dominated political climate would change the courts approach to interpreting Sharia. The answer depends on the degree of independence of the judicial and legislative branches form the executive branch. In summary, there is no straight answer to the question of whether adopting Sharia as a source of law would affect the process of democratic legal reform. The question is neither a purely legal nor religious one; it is mainly political. The role of Sharia in the post-revolutionary Egypt depends on which political group would win the upper hand in the current political sphere, and accordingly impose their own interpretation of Islamic law.
17 May 2012 UPI Syrian: Rebels Getting Outside Help The seizure of a ship off Lebanon carrying arms reportedly destined for rebels in Syria underlines how the 14month-old conflict is being increasingly militarized.
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(U) Demonstrators gather during a protest against Syria's President Bashar al-Assad in Ebredl near Damascus in Syria, March 30, 2012. UPI. License photo The seizure of a ship off Lebanon carrying arms reportedly destined for rebel forces in neighboring Syria underlines how the 14-month-old conflict there is being increasingly militarized. A recent spate of rebel attacks on President Bashar al-Assad's regime indicates that the Free Syrian Army, largely made up of Syrian military defectors, also points to a growing boldness in anti-regime ranks. These events, and a report in Monday's Washington Post that the long outgunned and outnumbered rebels are getting more effective weapons, such as anti-tank missiles, courtesy of Assad's foes in the Persian Gulf monarchies, suggest the U.N. peace plan put forward by former Secretary-General Kofi Annan is failing. The Post, citing U.S. and Syrian opposition officials, said the arms flow to the rebels paid for by Saudi Arabia and Qatar is being "coordinated in part by the United States." That would mark a significant shift in U.S. policy, which has favored a political settlement with Assad surrendering some power and accepting democratic reforms. The signs are that Assad, who retains the loyalty of the key units of Syria's military and the powerful security services, believes his regime can survive intact if he toughs it out. The Post specified rebel arms are being stockpiled in Damascus, in the flash point region of Idlib near the Turkish border, and in Zabadani, on Syria's border with Lebanon. "What's important about this is that it appeared in The Washington Post and would appear to originate with official sources in Washington," the global security consultancy Stratfor observed. "Clearly, Washington wants a number of facts to be known. First, weapons -- including anti-tank weapons are now being delivered
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The CENTCOM
18 May 2012 "Second, the funding is coming from other Arab countries. Third, the weapons are already in the country, indicating that this has been going on for a while now. "Finally, this does not mean the United States is becoming militarily involved," Stratfor said. But it could also demonstrate that U.S. President Barack Obama's administration is ready to take a more robust stand against Bashar's minority Alawite regime in hopes of weakening its key ally, Iran, at a critical time. This would seem to be reinforced by the timing of the apparent leak, a week before a meeting in Baghdad between Iran and its Western adversaries on finding a diplomatic solution to the contentious issue of Iran's nuclear program. It may be just coincidence that U.S. forces are now engaged in maneuvers with Arab forces in Jordan, Syria's southern neighbor, and will soon be exercising with the Israeli military. Another coincidence: Israel's Haaretz daily reported Monday that the country's military intelligence chief, Maj. Gen. Aviv Kochavi, had "secretly" visited Washington two weeks ago and let it be known that Israel, which has for the past year believed it was in its interests to keep Assad's regime in place, now feels it's better to get rid of it and deal with an administration dominated by Syria's Sunni majority. Damascus and its proxies in Lebanon, notably Hezbollah, are complaining that Saudi-backed Lebanese Sunnis are smuggling arms to Assad's foes. The main Sunni party, the Future Movement headed by former premier Saad Hariri, denies that, even as the porous, mountainous border, crisscrossed by a maze of smugglers' trails, becomes a shooting gallery. Several Lebanese have been killed by Syrian gunfire in recent weeks. But on April 27, the Lebanese navy intercepted the freighter Lutfallah II bound for the northern port of Tripoli, a Sunni stronghold and a hotbed of anti-Syrian activity, with three containers holding some 150 tons of weapons purportedly destined for Syrian rebels. The Syrian-owned vessel, registered in Sierra Leone and flying the Egyptian flag, reportedly loaded the arms containers, which the manifest listed as engine oil, at Benghazi in eastern Libya. Various accounts said the ship had been chartered by two Syrian businessmen, who live in Saudi Arabia but support the anti-Assad rebels, and the arms came from warehouses in Benghazi controlled by Qatar and Saudi Arabia, two of the Syrian regime's most ardent Arab foes. Nine other containers holding hundreds of tons of heavy, medium and light arms, had been scheduled to go aboard the Lutfallah II at Benghazi, but didn't, for reasons that haven't been explained.
UNCLASSIFIED//FOUO

18 May 2012 Osint Levant Tracker

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OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

17 May 2012 Ahram Online SCAF to Issue New Constitutional Declaration

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

18 May 2012 AGI Israeli Tanks Fires on Gaza Border, 8 Injured

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OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

18 May 2012 Ahram online Syrians Urged to Rally in Support of Students

18 May 2012 Al Jazeera UN Probes 'Arms Sales from N Korea to Syria'

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OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

OSINT Phone #: 813.827.1441 - Email: CCJ2-OSINT@CENTCOM.SMIL.MIL

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