Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Vol. I
No. 1
Dec. 2004
ABSTRACT In this paper, an attempt has been made to examine the determinants of capital structure -size, business risk, growth rate, earning rate, dividend payout, debt service capacity, and degree of operating leverage-of the companies listed to Nepal Stock Exchange Ltd. as of July 16, 2003. Eight variables multiple regression model has been used to assess the influence of defined explanatory variables on capital structure. In the preliminary analysis, manufacturing companies, commercial banks, insurance companies, and finance companies were included. However, due to the unusual sign problem in the constant term of the model, manufacturing companies were excluded in final analysis. This study shows that size, growth rate and earning rate are statistically significant determinants of capital structure of the listed companies. IN FINANCE, THE MOST debatable topic is capital structure. The main issue of debate revolves around the optimal capital structure. There are two schools of thought in this regard. One school pleads for optimal capital structure and other does against it. Former school argues that judicious mixture of debt and equity capital can minimize the overall cost of capital and maximize the value of the firm. Hence, this school considers capital structure decision as relevant. Latter school of thought led by Modigliani and Miller contends that financing decision does not affect the value of the firm. Since value of the firm depends on the underlying profitability and risk of investment (Van Horne 2002). In this study, determinants of capital structure in Nepalese context are examined with reference to capital structure theories. So, the objective of this paper is to test the effect of different explanatory variables of capital structure. 1. Theoretical Framework 1.1 Review of Capital Structure Theories There are different theories of capital structure. David Durand propounded the net income approach of capital structure in 1952 (Durand 1952). This approach states that firm can increase its value or lower the cost of capital by using the debt capital. Net operating income approach is converse to this approach. This approach contends that the value of a firm and cost of the capital are independent to capital structure. Thus, the firm can not increase its value by judicial mixture of debt and equity capital. These are two extreme approaches to capital structure. Solomon developed the intermediate approach to the capital structure in 1963. This traditional theory of capital structure pleads that value of the firm goes increase to a certain level of debt capital and after then it tends to remain constant with a moderate use of debt capital, and finally value of the firm decreases (Solomon 1963). Thus, this theory holds the concept of optimal capital structure.
Y = a + b1 X 1 + b2 X 2 +b 3 X 3 + b4 X 4 + b5 X 5 + b6 X 6 + b7 X 7
Where X1 = size of the firm X2 =business risk X3 =growth rate X4 =earning rate X5 = dividend payout
1
...
...
... (1)
FL =
...
... (2)
Where, FL=financial leverage, TD2001=total debt at the end of the fiscal year 2000/01 TA2001=total assets at the end of the fiscal year 2000/01 2.5.2 Independent Variables Size of the Firm(X1 ): It is defined as the logarithm of sale of the firms. It is given by:
...
...
(3)
Business Risk (X2 ): It is defined as coefficient of variation in earning before interest and tax. It is given by :
X2 =
Where,
EBIT EBIT
...
...
...
( 4)
EBIT = the expected earning before interest and tax sEBIT = the standard deviation of earning before interest and tax2 Growth Rate (X3): It is defined as a compound growth rate of total assets. It is given by:
X3 = n
Where
TAn 1 TA0
...
...
...
( 5)
TAn=total assets at the end of the observed period TAo=total assets at the beginning of observed period n=number of observed period3
2
EBIT and EBIT have been worked out on the basis of five years' operating profit (fiscal year 1996/97 through 2000/01) of the sampled companies. Fiscal year 1996/97 and 2000/01 have been taken as a beginning and ending of observed period respectively. Thus, the number of observed period is 5.
X4 =
Where
...
...
(6)
EBIT2001=earning before interest and tax for the fiscal year 2000/01 TA2001=total assets at the end of the fiscal year 2000/01 Dividend Payout (X5 ): It is defined as the ratio of dividend to total income available to shareholders. Here, dividend includes only cash dividend not stock dividend and other forms of dividend. It is given by:
X5 =
Where
...
(7)
D2001=total dividend distributed in the fiscal year 2000/01 NI2001=income available to shareholders in the fiscal year 2000/01 Debt Service Capacity (X6): This is defined in term of interest coverage ratio. It is given by:
X6 =
Where
...
...
(8)
I2001=total interest charge for the fiscal year 2000/01 EBIT2001=earning before interest and tax for the fiscal year 2000/01 Degree of Operating Leverage (X7 ): It is defined as a percentage change in EBIT as a proportion of percentage change in sales. It is given by:
( Et Et 1 ) E t 1 X7 = ( S t S t 1 ) S t 1
Where
...
...
...
(9)
E= earning before interest and tax S= net sale t= fiscal year 2000/01
No. 1.
Oct. 2004
X5
X6
X7
*Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed) The pair-wise correlation approach of diagnosing the multicollinearity problem does not take the relation of an independent variable with all other independent variables into account. So, regression of each independent variable on all other independent variables was run to assess the multicollinearity problem more precisely. The R2 near to 1 indicates the high multicollinearity and larger R2 indicates the larger multicollinearity. But none of the regression resulted in the R2 near to 1. Table 2: Results of the Models Used to Assess the Multicollinearity Problem Model (1.1) Model (1.2) Model (1.3) Model (1.4) Model (1.5) Model (1.6) Model (1.7) Models R2 .212 .121 .087 .245 .341 .126 .007 Adjusted R2 .069 -.038 -.079 .108 .221 -.033 -.174 S. E. .653 2.442 .127 .043 7.462 86.648 17.646
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* Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed) **Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed)
4. Conclusions
Out of seven examined explanatory variables-size, business risk, growth, earning rate, dividend payout, debt service capacity and degree of operating leverage, threesize, growth and earning rate-are statistically significant determinants of financial leverage. Beta coefficients associated with corporate size, corporate growth and earning rate are statistically significant at .01 level. These variables explain around 72% of variation in financial leverage. The remaining variables incorporated in the model explain only 5% of the variation. These facts conclude that corporate size, growth rate, and profitability play a major role in determination of the financial leverage in financial institutions; and business risk, dividend payout ratio, debt service capacity, and degree of operating leverage do a dismal role. Further, statistically insignificant coefficients associated with business risk, and debt service capacity; and significant coefficient associated with size, and growth imply that financial institutions do not care of their debt service capacity but do care of the expansion of their business. This may, if not monitored by concerned authority properly and timely, invite the crisis in financial sector in future.
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Where X1, X2, X3 ...X7 , a and b1, b2, b3 ...b4 indicate the same as in the model (1)
REFERENCES
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