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Journal of Hydrology 324 (2006) 301322 www.elsevier.

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SCS-CN-based modeling of sediment yield


S.K. Mishra a, J.V. Tyagi b, V.P. Singh c,*, Ranvir Singh d
a

Department of Water Resources Development and Management, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee 247 667, Uttaranchal, India b National Institute of Hydrology, Roorkee 247 667, Uttaranchal, India c Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70803-6405, USA d Department of Hydrology, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee 247 667, Uttaranchal, India Received 24 October 2003; revised 6 October 2005; accepted 12 October 2005

Abstract Coupling the soil conservation service curve number (SCN-CN) method with the universal soil loss equation (USLE), a new model is proposed for the estimation of the rainstorm-generated sediment yield from a watershed. The coupling is based on three hypotheses: (1) the runoff coefcient is equal to the degree of saturation, (2) the potential maximum retention can be expressed in terms of the USLE parameters, and (3) the sediment delivery ratio is equal to the runoff coefcient. The proposed sediment yield model is applied to a large set of rainfall-runoff-sediment yield data (98 storm events) obtained from 12 watersheds of different land uses (urban, agricultural, and forest). For all watersheds the computed sediment yield is found to be in good agreement with the observed values. The results and analysis of model application show that the model has considerable potential in eld. q 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Curve number; Degree of saturation; Potential maximum retention; Runoff coefcient; Sediment yield; Sediment delivery ratio

1. Introduction The soil conservation service curve number (SCNCN) method (SCS, 1956) and the universal soil loss equation (USLE) (Wischmeier and Smith, 1965) are widely used in hydrology and environmental engineering for computing the amount of direct runoff from a given amount of rainfall and the potential soil erosion from small watersheds, respectively. A great deal of published material on these methods along with their applications is available in hydrologic
* Corresponding author. E-mail address: cesing@lsu.edu (V.P. Singh).

literature. The texts of Novotny and Olem (1994); Ponce (1989) and Singh (1988, 1992) are but a few examples. Since USLE was developed for estimation of the annual soil loss from small plots of an average length of 22 m, its application to individual storm events and large areas leads to large errors, but its accuracy increases if it is coupled with a hydrologic rainfall-excess model (Novotny and Olem, 1994). The current practice is to derive hydrologic information from a rainfall-runoff model and utilize it in the computation of potential erosion using USLE for determining the sediment yield (Knisel, 1980; Leonard et al., 1987; Rode and Frede, 1997; Young et al., 1987), which is of paramount importance in

0022-1694/$ - see front matter q 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.10.006

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watershed management. The work of Clark et al. (1985) is noteworthy on the impact of erosion and sedimentation on the environment in general, and water quality in particular. This discussion suggests that the SCS-CN method can be used as a rainfall-runoff model. Furthermore, both the SCS-CN method and the USLE method share a common characteristic in that they account for watershed characteristics, albeit differently. It is therefore conjectured that by coupling these two methods one can compute the sediment yield from the knowledge of rainfall, soil type, land use and antecedent soil moisture condition. Thus, this study aims at the development of an analytical model by coupling the SCS-CN method with USLE for computing sediment yield. This coupling has not yet been reported in the literature. The coupling is based on three hypotheses: (1) the runoff coefcient is equal to the degree of saturation, (2) the potential maximum retention can be expressed in terms of the USLE parameters, and (3) the sediment delivery ratio is equal to the runoff coefcient. The proposed sediment yield model is applied to a large set of rainfall-runoffsediment yield data (98 storm events) obtained from 12 watersheds of different land uses (urban, agricultural, and forest) from 300 m2 to a few km2 in size.

(mm), Q is the direct runoff (mm), S is the potential maximum retention (mm), and l (Z0.2, taken as a standard value) is the initial abstraction coefcient. Eq. (2) is a proportionality concept (Fig. 1). Combination of Eqs. (2) and (1) leads to the SCS-CN method: QZ PKIa 2 PKIa C S (4)

which is valid for PRIa, QZ0, otherwise. Coupling of Eq. (4) with Eq. (3) for lZ0.2 enables determination of S from the PKQ data. In practice, S is derived from a mapping equation expressed in terms of the curve number (CN): SZ 25400 K254 CN (5)

2. Review of SCS-CN and USLE methods Pertinent aspects of the SCS-CN method and the USLE method are briey revisited before the development of the proposed sediment yield model. 2.1. SCS-CN method The SCS-CN method couples the water balance equation (Eq. (1)) with two hypotheses, which are given by Eqs. (2) and (3), respectively, as: P Z Ia C F C Q Q F Z PKIa S Ia Z lS (1) (2) (3)

The non-dimensional CN is derived from the tables given in the National Engineering Handbook, Section-4 (NEH-4) (SCS, 1956) for catchment characteristics, such as soil type, land use, hydrologic condition, and antecedent soil moisture condition. Since CN indicates the runoff producing potential of a watershed, it should rely on several other characteristics, such as drainage density, slope length, gradient, etc. which signicantly affect runoff (Gardiner and Gregory, 1981). The higher the CN value, the greater the runoff factor, C, or runoff potential of the watershed, and vice versa. Michel et al. (2005) suggested S to be an intrinsic model parameter independent of initial moisture conditions. Though the simplication of SCS-CN method with IaZ0.2S has found numerous successful applications the world over, Michel et al. (2005) found Ia and S to be independent of each other, for Ia is not an intrinsic

P-Ia Q F S
Fig. 1. Proportionality concept.

where P is the total rainfall (mm), Ia is the initial abstraction (mm), F is the cumulative inltration

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parameter, rather it depends on initial moisture conditions.

soil. The slope length and steepness factor (LS) accounts for the overland runoff length and slope. For slopes O4%, it can be determined as: LS Z L1=2 0:0138 C 0:00974Y C 0:001138Y 2 (8)

2.2. Universal soil loss equation The universal soil loss equation (USLE) (Wischmeier and Smith, 1965) estimates the potential soil erosion (sheet and rill) from upland areas, and it is expressed as: A Z R K LS C P
K1

(6)
K1

where A is the annual potential soil erosion (t ha year ); R is the erosivity factor (MJ mm haK1 hK1 yearK1) taken as the long term average of the summation of the product of total rainfall energy (E) and maximum 30 min rainfall intensity (I30), i.e. EI30; K is the soil erodibility factor (t ha h haK1 MJK1 mmK1); LS is the slope length and steepness factor (dimensionless); C is the cover management factor (dimensionless); and P is the supporting practice factor (dimensionless). The dimensions used here are consistent with the work of Renard et al. (1991). Since the procedure for determining R-values suggested by Wischmeier and Smith (1965) is applicable for computation of annual erosion, its use in estimation of soil loss from a single storm would yield errors (Hann et al., 1994). Foster et al. (1977) suggested a modication applicable to individual storm events as: R Z 0:5Rr C 0:35Qq
1=3

where Y is the gradient (%) over the runoff length and L is the length (m) of slope from the point of origin of the overland ow to the point where the slope decreases to the extent that sedimentation begins. The cover management factor (C) estimates the effect of ground cover conditions, soil conditions, and general management practices on erosion rates. The supporting conservation practice factor (P) accounts for the effectiveness of erosion control practices, such as land treatment by contouring, compacting, establishing sedimentation basins, and other control structures. Generally, C reects the protection of the soil surface against the impact of rain drops and subsequent loss of soil particles, whereas P includes treatments that retain eroded particles and prevent them from further transport. The experimentally derived values of the above factors for various soilvegetation-land use complexes are available elsewhere (Novotny and Olem, 1994; Ponce, 1989; Singh, 1992; Singh and Singh, 2001). 2.3. Computation of sediment yield The sediment yield is determined from the above computed potential erosion using the sediment delivery ratio (DR). Erosion is distinguished from the sediment yield in that the former represents the potential erosion that is taken equal to the sum of sheet (upland) erosion and channel erosion and the latter refers to the sediment measured in the receiving water body in a given time period. Vegetation dissipates rainfall energy, binds the soil, increases porosity by its root system, and reduces soil moisture by evapotranspiration to affect the sediment yield. DR is a dimensionless ratio of the sediment yield, Y, to the total potential erosion, A, in the contributing watershed. Expressed mathematically, DR Z Y A (9)

(7)

where Rr is the rainfall energy factor for the storm (ZEI30 for the storm) (N hK1), Q is the runoff volume (mm), and q is the peak runoff rate (mm/h). Since q is related to the detachment of soil particles more than is Q, a reduction in peak discharge by the vegetative cover will also reduce sediment transport (Williams and Berndt, 1977). Making use of the unit energy relationship proposed by Brown and Foster (1987); Renard et al. (1991) suggested the Revised USLE (RUSLE) incorporating a method for computing R-values for individual storm events. In another modication, Williams (1975) replaced the R-factor of the USLE by the runoff factor to estimate sediment yield for individual runoff events. The soil erodibility factor (K), a function of soil texture, is a measure of the potential erodibility of

Eq. (9) is used to compute the sediment yield. Thus, the delivery ratio acts as a scaling parameter,

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varying from 0 to 1. It generally decreases with the basin size (Roehl, 1962). Novotny and Olem (1994) equated the non-point pollution with soil loss and calibrated DR by minimizing the difference between the USLEcomputed upland erosion and measured sediment yield estimates. According to Wolman (1977), the DR concept conceals a number of processes that contribute to temporal or permanent deposition of sediments in an eroding watershed, for these are highly variable, intermittent, and describable only statistically. The correlation of DR with the runoff coefcient (Novotny and Olem, 1994) indicates a signicant effect of inltration and other hydrologic losses on the magnitude of DR which is affected by the rainfall impact, overland ow energy, vegetation, inltration, depression and ponding storage, change of slope of overland ow, drainage, and so on (Novotny et al., 1979, 1986; Novotny, 1980; Novotny and Chesters, 1989). Since these factors vary with time throughout the year, the sediment yield also varies with time. Walling and Kane (1983) showed that certain minerals of eroded sediment, such as silica, aluminum, iron, titanium, potassium, do not vary in a certain range of hydrologic conditions, while others, particularly those associated with organic fractions, may vary signicantly. The soil texture determines both permeability and erodibility of soils. Permeability describes inltration, which, in turn, determines hydrologic activeness of the soil surface in terms of both runoff generation and soil erosion. Erosion is primarily driven by surface runoff (Gottschalk, 1964; Langbein and Schumm, 1958; Leopold et al., 1964; Singh, 1985; Walling and Webb, 1983), if wind effects are ignored, and according to the SCS-CN method, the runoff generation is closely linked with inltration. Thus, the processes of runoff generation and soil erosion are closely interrelated. In practice, the information on the volume of runoff and peak rate of runoff, for example, as utilized in the computation of erosion from USLE (Foster et al., 1977) or in the computation of sediment yield from the Modied USLE (Williams, 1975), is derived separately using the SCS-CN method (Blaszczynski, 2003) or any other suitable hydrologic model.

3. Development of sediment model The sediment yield model is derived by integrating the SCS-CN method with USLE. The integration is based on three hypotheses: (1) The SCS-CN method can be reformulated using the CZSr concept. (2) The SCS-CN parameter S can be signied using USLE. (3) The delivery ratio (DR) can be equated to C or Sr. These hypotheses are now described in what follows. 3.1. Hypothesis: CZSr For IaZ0 (i.e. immediate ponding situation), the SCS-CN proportionality hypothesis (Eq. (2)) equates the runoff factor C (ZQ/P) to the degree of saturation (Sr) that is dened using the terms shown in Fig. 2 as: Sr Z F V Z w S Vv (10)

which is valid for a completely dry antecedent soil moisture condition (AMC). In Eq. (10), Vv is the void space, and Vw is the space occupied by the inltrated moisture. In Fig. 2, Va is the air space and Vs is the volume of the solids. Thus, the total volume V is the sum of Vv and Vs. These quantities can also be expressed in terms of depth for a unit surface area. 3.2. Hypothesis: physical signicance of S Eq. (6) computes the potential soil loss (A) from a watershed. Since A is the potential mass of soil per unit watershed area, it is equal to the product of the density of solids (rs) and the volume of solids per unit

Air Vv Water

Va

Vw

Solids

Vs

Fig. 2. Schematic diagram showing soilwaterair.

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surface area (Vs). Expressed mathematically, A Z Vs r s as: A Z V KVv rs Division of Eq. (12) by S yields A V KVv rs Z S Vao (13) (12) (11)

Eq. (11) can also be expressed in terms of V and Vv

where Vao is the air space that represents S in an initially wet soil having initial moisture as Vwo; thus, Vao Z Vv KVwo Z Vv 1KSro (14)

potential erodible depth of a watershed using USLE and NEH-4 tables. Since Eq. (16) also describes A in terms of the watershed characteristics explained by S and the material of the soil, A can be better interpreted in terms of the potential maximum erodible depth of the watershed. Such an interpretation nds support from Novotny and Olem (1994): For unconsolidated geological materials (soils, river deposits, sand dunes etc.), erodibility depends on particle size and texture of the material, water content, composition of the material, and the presence or absence of protective surface cover such as vegetation. Furthermore, loose soils with low chemical and clay content have highest erodibility.

where Sro is the initial degree of saturation. Substitution of Eq. (14) into Eq. (13) yields A V KVv rs 1Kn Z Z r S Vv 1KSro n1KSro s (15)

3.3. Hypothesis: DRZC Similar to the SCS-CN proportional equality (or CZSr) concept, it is possible to extend it for sediment yield as: C Z Sr Z DR in which all variables range from 0 to 1. 3.4. Coupling of the SCS-CN method with USLE Eq. (19) can be expanded using the usual denitions and IaZ0 as: Q F P Y Z Z Z P S P CS A Thus, Eq. (20) denes Y as Y Z CA (21) (20) (19)

where n is the soil porosity (dimensionless). It follows that n1KSro A SZ 1Knrs (16)

Coupling of Eq. (16) with Eq. (6) leads to a denition of S as: SZ n1KSro R K LS C P 1Knrs (17)

Thus, S depends on A, n, rs, and Sro. It also implies that S depends on all the factors affecting the potential erosion of the watershed; the higher the potential erosion from a watershed, the higher will be the value of S and vice versa. It is of common knowledge that highly porous soils (of high n), such as sand, yield high S-values, whereas nonporous soils (of low n), such as loam and clay, yield low S-values. S decreases with an increase in the antecedent moisture, and vice versa. According to Eq. (16), heavy sediments (of high mass density) will yield low S-values and vice versa. Eq. (17) can also be written in terms of the potentially erodible soil depth, V, as: V Z 1=rs R K LS C P C S1 (18)

Eq. (21) implies that the sediment yield is directly proportional to the potential maximum erosion A, and the runoff factor C is the proportionality constant. Alternatively, YZ AP P CS (22)

where S1 is equal to S of a completely dry soil or AMC I (SCS, 1956). Thus, it is possible to determine the

For given watershed characteristics, A and S, the actual sediment yield Y increases with the rainfall amount, which conrms that higher the rainfall, higher will be the sediment erosion and its transport and hence higher the sediment yield, and vice versa. As S/0 (or CN/100), Y/A since Q/P.

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Similarly, as S/N (or CN/0), Y/0 since Q/0. It also shows that direct surface runoff (or surface water) primarily drives sediment yield. Eq. (22) integrates the SCS-CN method with USLE and can be modied for the following elements of the rainfall-runofferosion process. 3.4.1. Incorporation of Ia The initial abstraction, Ia can be incorporated in Eq. (22) as: YZ PKIa A PKIa C S (23)

Similar to Eqs. (24) and Eqs. (27) can also be expressed as: YZ PK0:2S C MA P C 0:8S C M (29)

Taking IaZ0.2S which is a standard practice, Eq. (23) can be recast as: YZ PK0:2SA P C 0:8S (24)

Eq. (29) shows that the sediment yield will increase with increasing antecedent moisture amount (M), and vice versa. Furthermore, for AMC I for which SroZ0 or MZ0, Eq. (15) shows that the A/Sl ratio depends on the type of soil and the density of soil particles, which are constant for a watershed. Thus, the basic thesis of the rainfall-runoff-sediment yield model can be described from Eq. (20) as a proportional equality which makes the ratio of potential erosion to Sl (or S for AMC I) equal to the ratio of actual erosion (sediment yield) to the actual inltration. Expressed mathematically, A Y Z Z constant S1 F (30)

which suggests that the sediment yield reduces with the increasing initial abstraction, and vice versa.

3.4.2. Incorporation of antecedent moisture To incorporate antecedent moisture (M) which represents the amount of moisture in the soil prole before the start of a storm, the SCS-CN proportionality (Eq. (2)) can be modied according to the rst hypothesis: CZSr as: Q F CM Z PKIa S CM (25)

where the ratio (constant) depends on the soil material of the watershed. The availability of the values of this constant for various watersheds will enable the determination of A from NEH-4 tables. Furthermore, since S1 is constant for a watershed, the potential erosion is also constant. Eq. (30) shows that sediment yield depends on the amount of inltration. 3.4.3. Incorporation of initial ush Similar to the concept of initial abstraction, the concept of initial ush, If is quite popular in environmental engineering (Foster and Charlesworth, 1996; Sansalone and Buchberger, 1997). The initial abstraction is a loss of water primarily due to evaporation and it does not contribute to runoff. On the other hand, the initial ush is not a loss of sediment, rather it appears at the outlet of the watershed. For the most part, it is contributed by the initial runoff generated at the start of rainfall, after satisfying the initial abstraction requirements. To incorporate If in Eq. (29), the sediment delivery ratio (DR) is redened as: DR Z Y KIf AKIf (31)

Combination of Eq. (25) with the water balance equation (Eq. (1)) leads to Q PKIa C M Z PKIa PKIa C M C S (26)

Thus, similar to the derivation of Eq. (23), Y can be derived using Eq. (26) as: YZ PKIa C MA PKIa C S C M (27)

It is noted that, according to the above volumetric concept, SCMZVaoCVwoZVv. Thus, Eq. (17) is revised for M as: n R K LS C PKM (28) SZ 1Knrs

For simplicity, following the second SCS-CN hypothesis (Eq. (3)), If can also be related to the

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307

potential erosion, A, as: If Z l 1 A Combination of Eq. (32) with Eq. (31) yields: DR Z Y Kl1 A 1Kl1 A (33) (32)

Thus, Eq. (29) can be further modied for the initial ush as:   1Kl1 PK0:2S C M C l1 A YZ (34) P C 0:8S C M From Eq. (34) it is possible to show that for MZ0, as S/0, y/A and as S/N, Y/0, for YR0. Eq. (34) represents the general form of the model, for lZ0.2, for computation of the sediment yield from rainfall amount and catchment characteristics.

4. Model application 4.1. Study areas For model application, 12 watersheds (Table 1 and Fig. 3) were selected based on the availability of rainfall-runoff-sediment yield data of storm events, a brief description of which is given below: 4.1.1. IGBP watersheds Nagwa watershed (92.46 km2), Karso watershed (27.93 km2) and Banha watershed (7.51 km2) in Hazaribagh district, Bihar, India, and Mansara watershed (8.70 km2; Agriculture Department, 1990) in Barabanki district, Uttar Pradesh, India, were monitored for rainfall, runoff and sediment yield under the Indo-German Bilateral Project (IGBP) on Watershed Management. Rainfall was measured using recording rain gauges. Automatic stage level recorders were used to measure stream stage, and runoff was computed using relevant rating curves. The USDH-48 sampler and the Punjab bottle sampler were used to collect sediment samples. Sediment load samples were taken for every 15 cm of rise and fall of water level. The hydrological data of these watersheds are available in SWCD (1991; 1993; 1994; 1995; 1996).

4.1.2. USDA-ARS watersheds Watershed W2 (0.33 km2) is located near Treynor in IA, USA. It is one of four experimental watersheds (W1, W2, W3, and W4) of the Deep Loess Research Station established by the US Department of Agricultural Research Service (USDA-ARS) in 1964 (Bradford, 1988; Vanliew and Saxton, 1984). The Treynor experimental watersheds have been the subject of watershed studies for almost 30 years (Kalin et al., 2003, 2004). The data of two raingauges 115 and 116 located around the watershed were averaged for mean rainfall used in the present study. Three sub-watersheds of the goodwin creek (GC) experimental watershed, namely, W6 (1.25 km2), W7 (1.66 km2), and W14 (1.66 km2), located in the bluff hills of the Yazoo River basin near Batesville, MS, USA, were also utilized in the present study. The Goodwin Creek experimental watershed is operated by the National Sedimentation Laboratory (NSL), and it is organized and instrumented for conducting extensive research on upstream erosion, instream sediment transport, and watershed hydrology (Blackmarr, 1995). The watershed is divided into fourteen nested sub-watersheds with a ow measuring ume constructed at each of the drainage outlets. Twenty-nine standard recording rain gauges are located within and just outside the watershed. The runoff, sediment, and precipitation data of Goodwin Creek sub-watersheds are available on WWW at URL: http://msa.ars.usda.gov/ms/oxford/ nsl/cwp_unit/Goodwin.html. The mean rainfall over the study sub-watersheds was computed as the average of raingauges 6, 34, and 43 for W6 subwatershed; 7 and 65 for W7 sub-watershed; and 14, 52, and 53 for W14 sub-watershed. In addition, three North Appalachian Experimental Watersheds (NAEW) of USDA-ARS, namely, 123 (5.50!10K3 km2), 129 (1.10!10K2 km2), and 182 (0.28 km2) watersheds, near Coshocton, OH, USA, were utilized. These watersheds do not have welldened channels. The hydrologic data, viz., rainfallrunoff and sediment yield, and other details of these watersheds are available elsewhere (Kelly et al., 1975; Tien et al., 1993). Precipitation-intensity data were collected at several locations in or adjacent to each watershed. Storm runoff and sediment data were collected at the outlets of the watersheds. Sediment

308

Table 1 Hydro-climatic characteristics of the watersheds selected for the study S No Watershed/size/location Climate Av. annual rainfall (mm) Soils Av. slope (percent) Land use (percent) Source of watershed details/rainfall-runoffsediment yield data (8) SWCD (1991; 1993; 1994) SWCD (1991; 1993; 1994; 1995; 1996) SWCD (1993; 1994; 1995; 1996) SWCD (1994; 1996); Agriculture Dept. (1990) Bradford (1988); Vanliew and Saxton (1984); Kalin et al., 2003, 2004) Blackmarr (1995); http:// msa.ars.usda. gov/ms/ oxford/nsl/ cwp_unit/ Goodwin. html No. of events used in the study (9) 7

(1) 1.

(2) Nagwa (92.46 km2) Hazaribagh, Bihar, India (858 16 0 41 00 and 858 23 0 50 00 E) (238 59 0 33 00 and 248 05 0 37 00 N) Karso (27.93 km2) Hazaribagh, Bihar, India (858 24 0 20 00 and 858 28 0 06 00 E) (248 16 0 47 00 and 248 12 0 18 00 N) Banha (17.51 km2) Hazaribagh, Bihar, India (858 12 0 02 00 and 858 16 0 05 00 E) (248 13 0 50 00 and 248 17 0 00 00 N) Mansara (8.70 km2) Barabanki, Uttar Pradesh, India (818 23 0 42 00 and 818 26 0 15 00 E) (268 41 0 04 00 and 268 43 0 15 N) W2 Treynor (0.33 km2) Treynor, Iowa, USA (Not known)

(3) Sub-humid, tropical

(4) 1076

(5) Sandy loam, silty clay, clay loam, loam Light sandy loam

(6) 2.3

(7) AGZ64, FOZ6, OSZ9, WLZ21

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2.

Sub-humid, tropical

1243

7.3

AGZ49, FOZ41, OSZ10

3.

Sub-humid, tropical Semi-arid, sub-tropical

1277

4.

1021

Sandy loam, loam, clay loam Loam, sandy loam, sandy

3.5

AGZ32, FOZ35, WLZ18, GRZ15 AGZ84, OSZ16

16

11

5.

Not known

814

Silt loam

AGZ95, GRZ5

6.

W6 Goodwin Creek (1.25 km2) Batesville, Mississippi, USA (898 51 0 44.665 00 E) (348 16 0 16.082 00 N)

Humid

1440

Silty, silt loam

AGZ35, GRZ23, IdleZ10, FOZ32

7.

W7 Goodwin Creek (1.66 km2) Batesville, Mississippi, USA (898 51 0 34.479 00 E) (348 15 0 10.342 00 N)

Humid

1440

Silty, silt loam

AGZ28, GRZ49, IdleZ3, FOZ20

8.

W14 Goodwin Creek(1.66 km2) Batesville, Mississippi, USA (898 52 0 53.252 00 E) (348 15 0 07.040 00 N)

Humid

1440

Silty, silt loam

AGZ34, GRZ40, IdleZ9, FOZ17

9.

Cincinnati (3.0!10K4 km2) Asphalt pavement at milestone 2.6 of I-75, Cincinnati, Ohio, U.S.A. (Not known)

Not known

1020

Asphalt pavement

0.4

urbanZ100

10.

11.

12.

123 NAEW (5.50!10K3 km2) Coshocton, Ohio, USA (818 47 0 20 00 E), (408 22 0 23 00 N) 129 NAEW (1.10!10K2 km2) Coshocton, Ohio, USA (818 47 0 52 00 E), (408 22 0 19 00 N) 182 NAEW (0.28 km2) Coshocton, Ohio, USA (818 46 0 55 00 E), (408 21 0 36 00 N)

Not known

Not known

Silt loams

0.1

AGZ100

Not known

Not known

Silt loams

17

GRZ100

Not known

Not known

Silt loams

GRZ90, FOZ10

Blackmarr (1995); http:// msa.ars.usda. gov/ms/ oxford/nsl/ cwp_unit/ Goodwin. html Blackmarr (1995); http:// msa.ars.usda. gov/ms/ oxford/nsl/ cwp_unit/ Goodwin. html Sansalone and Buchberger (1997); Soil (1982); Sansalone et al. (1998); Li et al. (1999) Tien et al. (1993); Kelly et al. (1975) Tien et al. (1993); Kelly et al. (1975) Tien et al. (1993); Kelly et al. (1975)

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11

AG, Agriculture; FO, Forest; OS, Open scrub; GR, Grass/Pasture; WL, Waste land; NAEW, North Appalachian Experimental Watersheds.

309

310

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stretch is contributed by four southbound lanes, an exit lane, and a paved shoulder, all draining to a grassy v-section median at a transverse pavement cross-slope of 0.020 m/m. The runoff from the highway site (longitudinal slopeZ0.004) nally drains to Mill Creek. The storm water runoff diverted through the epoxy-coated converging slab, a 2.54 cm diameter Parshall ume, and a 2 m long 25.4 cm diameter PVC pipe to a 2000 l storage tank, was measured at a regular 1-min interval using an automated 24 bottle sampler with polypropylene bottles. Rainfall was recorded in increments of 0.254 mm using a tipping bucket gauge. The water quality data at every 2 min interval were collected during rainfall-runoff events at the experimental site and samples were analyzed for dissolved and particulate bound metals for several rainfall-runoff events (Li et al., 1999; Sansalone and Buchberger, 1997; Sansalone et al., 1998).

4.2. Model formulations Based on the analytical development of Eq. (34) for the determination of sediment yield, seven models were formulated as shown in Table 2. In this table, Model S1 excludes the initial abstraction Ia, antecedent moisture M, and initial ush If components. Model S2 accounts only for initial abstraction with lZ0.2 (a standard value) and in Model S3, l is allowed to vary. Model S4 accounts for both initial abstraction and antecedent moisture but allows the variation of l. Model S5 is distinguished from Model S4 for lZ0.2. Models S6 and S7 include all Ia, M, and If, but the former assumes lZ0.2. 4.3. Goodness of t statistics The seven models were applied to the data of the above 12 watersheds, and their performance evaluated using the Nash and Sutcliffe (1970) coefcient of efciency computed in percent as:   D Efficiency Z 1K 1 100 (35) Do where D1 is the sum of the squares of deviations between computed and observed data as:

Fig. 3. Study watersheds (a) Nagwa; (b) Karso; (c) Banha; (d) Mansara; (e) W2 Treynor;(f) W6 Goodwin Creek; (g) W7 Goodwin Creek; (h) W14 Goodwin Creek (i) Cincinnati (j) 123 NAEW; (k) 129 NAEW; and (l) 182 NAEW.

was collected with coshocton wheels. On watersheds 123 and 129, the sediment that was deposited in the approach ume was also collected. This was not done on watershed 182 and some small bed load was not included in the measured sediment yield (Tien et al., 1993). 4.1.3. Cincinnati watershed The rainfall-runoff-water quality data of Cincinnati watershed (3.0!10K4 km2) were collected during 199597 (Sansalone and Buchberger, 1997) on a 15!20 m asphalt pavement at milestone 2.6 of I-75 that is a major northsouth interstate in Cincinnati, OH, USA. The details of the site are available elsewhere (Sansalone and Buchberger, 1997; Soil, 1982). The runoff from the selected

S.K. Mishra et al. / Journal of Hydrology 324 (2006) 301322 Table 2 Formulation of rainfall-sediment yield and rainfall-runoff models No. S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 S6 S7 Rainfall-sediment yield model YZ(AP)/(PCS) Y Z APK0:2S=PC 0:8S Y Z APKlS=PC 1KgS Y Z APKlSC M=PC 1KlSC M Y Z APK0:2SC M=PC 0:8SC M Y Z 1Kl1 PK0:2SC M=PC 0:8SC MC l1 A Y Z 1Kl1 PKlSC M=PC 1KlSC MC l1 A No. R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 Rainfall-runoff model QZ(P2)/(PCS) QZ PK0:2S2 =PC 0:8S QZ PKlS2 =PC 1KlS QZ PKlSPKlSC M=PC 1KlSC M QZ PK0:2SPK0:2SC M=PC 0:8SC M QZ PK0:2SPK0:2SC M=PC 0:8SC M QZ PKlSPKlSC M=PC 1KlSC M

311

D1 Z SYo KY 2

(36)

and Do is the model variance which is the sum of the squares of deviations of the observed data about the observed mean as: Do Z SYo KY 2
o

(37)

where Yo is the observed data, Y with and - (bar) stands for computed data and the mean of the observed data, respectively. The efciency varies on the scale of 0100. It can also assume a negative value if D1ODo, implying that the variance in the observed and computed data values is greater than the model variance. In such a case, the mean of the observed data ts better than does the model. The efciency of 100 implies that the computed values are in perfect agreement with the observed data.

5. Results and discussion 5.1. Model calibration and verication The non-linear Marquardt algorithm of the least squares procedure of the statistical analysis system (SAS, 1988) was employed to estimate the parameters of the aforementioned models. Initially parameters were set as zero in all applications and the lower and upper limits were decided by trial and error. If the computed value of a parameter in a run did not fall in the prescribed range, the limit was extended accordingly in the next run. If the subsequent runs produced the estimate within the prescribed range, the parameter estimate was assumed to be optimal globally. Approximately,

threeve runs or a few more in some cases were required to obtain the nal estimates of model parameters. The estimated values of parameters and the efciencies resulting from the computation of sediment yield for twelve study watersheds, viz., Nagwa, Karso, Banha, Mansara, W2, W6, W7, W14, Cincinnati, 182, 129 and 123, are presented in Table 3(al), respectively. In these tables, efciencies with superscripts a and b stand for the efciency resulting from the computed sediment yield and runoff, respectively. Here, it is noted that Models S1S7 determine sediment yield using rainfall and ignore a direct involvement of the observed runoff. In application of these models, variables A and M were also taken as parameters due to the lack of their observations. It is seen from Table 3(a) that for models S2S7, for the Nagwa watershed parameter S varied from 173.84 to 195.74 mm (or CN (Eq. (5)) from 56 to 59), l from 0.181 to 0.220, A from 1.98!105 to 2.16! 105 KN, and M from 3.11 to 8.63 mm. The values of l1, wherever applicable (Table 2), were obtained as 0.001. The ratio of A/S1 varied from 0.120 to 0.123 KN haK1 mmK1. Clearly, the variation of parameter values in a narrow range implicitly supports their credibility. The estimated low CNvalues exhibit a low runoff potential of the Nagwa watershed. The resulting efciency (with superscript a) varying from 91.78 to 92.16% indicate a satisfactory model performance for the data of the Nagwa watershed. Similarly, parameters for all other watersheds (Table 3(bl)) generally vary in a close range. When allowed, the value of l in Models S3, S4, and S7

312

Table 3 Results of various model applications to study watersheds Model No. Parameters of rainfall-sediment yield models Eff.a (%) Eff.b (%) A/S1 ratio (KN haK1 mmK1)

S (mm) (a) Nagwa watershed 1 741.71 2 173.84 3 188.62 4 193.13 5 195.15 6 189.60 7 195.74 (b) Karso watershed 1 85.34 2 71.84 3 77.12 4 79.55 5 79.86 6 75.70 7 79.89 (c) Banha watershed 1 107.75 2 55.31 3 51.41 4 62.30 5 75.25 6 68.38 7 62.63 (d) Mansara watershed 1 336.31 2 233.68 3 237.13 4 231.45 5 239.73 6 245.39 7 238.31 (e) W2 Treynor watershed 1 300.68 2 66.10 3 64.08 4 73.21 5 78.94

l 0.181 0.213 0.220 0.182 0.202 0.193 0.204 0.182 0.180 0.196 0.225 0.201 0.204 0.199

l1 0.001 0.001 0.008 0.006 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.000

A (KN) 266766.960 197950.006 209931.842 214015.352 215689.233 210913.430 216416.840 18986.372 31058.695 32130.673 32897.806 32872.054 31551.285 32850.158 16978.432 13980.260 13273.264 14688.905 16626.557 15686.739 14852.791 4513.492 11180.957 11205.110 10967.678 11196.477 11474.620 11221.188 31109.580 16122.176 15582.008 17253.897 18269.065

M (mm) 6.76 4.50 3.11 8.63 2.05 2.02 0.51 0.97 0.92 5.23 4.03 1.12 5.78 1.82 1.31 2.01 1.62 2.81 50.20 91.78 92.00 92.11 92.16 92.07 92.15 55.31 84.51 84.86 85.00 85.01 84.75 85.00 69.60 75.21 75.00 75.37 75.69 75.48 75.44 32.69 81.45 81.57 81.41 81.62 81.75 81.57 61.76 85.43 85.34 85.78 86.00 7.50 13.55 10.92 K2.00 0.61 3.61 K6.24 75.82 45.62 43.47 37.56 37.59 41.05 38.00 10.21 1.76 14.18 K10.40 K49.04 K30.49 K9.67 70.05 58.78 58.65 53.41 56.72 52.93 57.07 K58.51 K26.10 K21.04 K44.90 K60.04 0.039 0.123 0.120 0.120 0.120 0.120 0.120 0.080 0.155 0.149 0.148 0.147 0.149 0.147 0.090 0.144 0.147 0.135 0.126 0.131 0.135 0.015 0.055 0.054 0.054 0.054 0.054 0.054 3.135 7.391 7.368 7.141 7.013

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6 79.14 7 75.20 (f) W6 goodwin creek watershed 1 258.54 2 74.12 3 73.35 4 76.43 5 80.67 6 80.21 7 77.47 (g) W7 goodwin creek watershed 1 446.08 2 134.73 3 133.22 4 148.03 5 142.35 6 137.25 7 135.67 (h) W14 goodwin creek watershed 1 347.51 2 103.26 3 103.25 4 140.68 5 136.95 6 136.92 7 136.35 (i) Cincinnati watershed 1 15.52 2 7.87 3 7.25 4 8.09 5 7.98 6 7.70 7 7.85 (j) 182 Watershed 1 231.46 2 159.07 3 181.52 4 182.63 5 170.32 6 179.83 7 180.53 (k) 129 Watershed 1 239.79

0.198 0.192 0.207 0.197 0.195 0.210 0.221 0.198 0.210 0.186 0.100 0.228 0.207 0.174 0.194 0.192

0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.015 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.001

18400.431 17680.877 2966.324 1834.484 1766.312 1819.057 1903.572 1889.557 1839.661 10253.638 7071.485 6845.325 7481.055 7213.321 6994.857 6940.530 5619.130 4358.002 4310.703 5524.721 5410.200 5332.590 5390.837 1.203!10K2 9.588!10K3 9.102!10K3 9.963!10K3 9.550!10K3 9.653!10K3 9.525!10K3 535.478 1023.017 1137.857 1143.641 1078.829 1127.115 1132.677 3.716

3.00 1.99 1.73 1.93 1.77 1.30 4.86 2.34 1.54 4.51 9.19 6.97 5.02 5.10 0.81 0.93 0.95 0.97 3.86 2.35 3.81 2.99

85.97 85.85 64.92 81.03 81.12 81.49 81.96 81.90 81.60 59.16 80.20 80.24 81.06 80.76 80.47 80.34 57.20 90.04 90.06 91.28 91.19 91.14 91.17 83.92 76.15 77.68 79.51 78.79 77.43 78.46 39.94 81.20 81.43 81.44 81.32 81.41 81.42 48.38

K59.79 K48.97 15.41 36.26 41.77 32.55 27.06 27.65 33.84 5.54 15.97 19.77 3.56 10.79 15.25 11.50 K4.16 K8.67 K7.23 K65.42 K55.41 K58.72 K47.35 81.36 87.33 92.05 86.65 88.30 89.09 88.44 45.12 K80.28 K88.98 K99.66 K91.36 K101.06 K96.67 16.58

7.046 7.124 0.092 0.198 0.193 0.190 0.189 0.188 0.190 0.139 0.316 0.310 0.304 0.305 0.307 0.308 0.097 0.254 0.252 0.237 0.238 0.235 0.238 0.026 0.041 0.042 0.041 0.040 0.042 0.040 0.083 0.230 0.224 0.224 0.226 0.224 0.224 0.014 (continued on next page)

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Superscript a and b in Table 3 (al) stand for efciency in computation of sediment yield and direct runoff, respectively.

M (mm)

varied from 0.10 to 0.225 for the study watersheds and these values lie in the range (0.1, 0.3), which is consistent with Chen (1982); SCD (1972). The curve numbers derived from the S-values of Model S2 for the above watersheds varied from 5297. The Cincinnati watershed with the highest CN (Z97) is the highest runoff producing watershed, which is consistent with the paved nature of the watershed. On the other hand, the Mansara watershed has the lowest runoff potential with the lowest CN (Z52), which is consistent with the watershed characteristics in terms of its subtropical, semi-arid climate, and alluvial soils. The other watersheds falling in between have fairly good to good runoff potential. To examine the validity of the above curve numbers derived from the rainfall-sediment yield model, these were correlated with those derived from the S-values computed using the rainfall-runoff data as (Hawkins, 1993): S Z 5P C 2QK p Q4Q C 5P (38)

A/S1 ratio (KN haK1 mmK1)

0.039 0.039 0.038 0.038 0.038 0.038 K102.95 K101.44 K128.40 K118.09 K115.15 K105.54 90.95 90.92 90.95 90.96 90.96 90.95 6.57 2.46 0.55 0.15

Eff.a (%)

Eff.b (%)

0.12 0.00 0.00 0.11

32.32 84.04 84.12 84.10 83.14 83.28 83.94

K23.24 K69.26 K63.75 K65.54 K63.00 K63.92 K67.95

0.081 0.370 0.377 0.376 0.368 0.371 0.372

A (KN)

The resulting median CNs for all the watersheds, when plotted against each other (Fig. 4), exhibited a quadratic relation: y ZK 0:0106x2 C 2:248xK21:493; (39) R2 Z 0:916 Eq. (39) is valid only for the tted region of data. Here, y is the CN-value corresponding to the P-Q data, x is the CN derived using the rainfall-sediment yield model (Model S2), and R2 is the coefcient of determination. R2Z0.916 indicates a satisfactory t, implying that the CN-values derived using the two entirely different approaches not only are consistent in their computation but also support the above analytical development and its application results. Fig. 4 shows that the sediment yield model underestimated the CN value. It is perhaps because of the deposition of sediment particles during their transport by runoff, yielding lesser amount of sediment at the watershed outlet than actually eroded in the watershed. It is also evident from the results of the Cincinnati watershed which is of high runoff potential and small in size and does not allow the process of sediment deposition to occur. On the

0.007 0.002 0.199 0.241 0.199 137.17 137.00 140.69 149.12 144.62 138.80

Parameters of rainfall-sediment yield models

S (mm)

Table 3 (continued)

2 3 4 5 6 7 (l) 123 Watershed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Model No.

568.50 153.51 136.63 140.75 148.90 149.56 152.53

0.225 0.219 0.200

0.000 0.000

l1

25.335 31.274 28.359 29.082 30.136 30.506 31.167

5.825 5.813 5.940 6.201 6.022 5.855

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315

100 95 y = 0.0106x2 + 2.248x - 21.493 90 R2 = 0.9163 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 CN (rainfall-sediment yield model)

CN (rainfall-runoff data)

85

90

95

100

Fig. 4. Relationship between curve numbers derived from (a) the rainfall-sediment yield model and (b) the existing SCS-CN method (using rainfall-runoff data).

other hand, this process might be quite dominant in other agricultural watersheds. Since, model S1 is the simplest of all the seven models (Table 2), the resulting low efciency of 50.20% in its Nagwa application (Table 3(a)) is indicative of (a) the dependence of the sediment yield on the SCS-CN-generated runoff and (b) the applicability of the CZSrZDR concept (Eq. (19)). It is further supported by the efciency (Z91.78%) of Model S2 that is directly based on the existing SCSCN method (Eq. (4) with IaZ0.2S). when l was allowed to vary, as in Model S3, the efciency improved to 92%. The incorporation of the antecedent moisture M, as in Models S4 and S5, further improved the resulting efciency to 92.11 and 92.16%. The inclusion of the concept of initial ush (Models S6 and S7) and allowing the variation of l in optimization (Model S7) slightly improved the efciency to 92.15% over that of Model S4. Thus, a high value of efciency supports the general applicability of the concept. Similarly, the results of model application to other watersheds can also be explained from Table 3(bl). In general, the SCSCN-based sediment yield models (S2 to S7) exhibited high efciencies (more than 90%) on the data of Nagwa, W14, and 129 watersheds; and reasonably high efciencies (7590%) on the data of all other watersheds, indicating satisfactory model performance.

The above evaluation, however, excludes the observed runoff (Q) in the estimation of the sediment yield. In practice, sediment yield from upland areas is generally better correlated with observed runoff (Singh and Chen, 1983) than with rainfall. Therefore, to further support the validity of coupling the SCS-CN method with USLE, it is appropriate to check the credibility of the estimated values of the parameters by computing direct surface runoff using these values and then comparing the computed runoff with the observed values. For computation of direct runoff, the SCS-CNbased models, designated as Models R1R7 (Table 2) corresponding to Models S1S7, were used. Models R1 to R3 are equivalent to Eq. (4) with IaZ0, IaZ0.2S, and IaZlS, respectively. Models R4 and R5 are equivalent to Eq. (26) with IaZlS and IaZ0.2S, respectively. Models R4 and R7 are the same in formulation, and so are Models R5 and R6. Using the parameters of Table 3(al), direct runoff was computed, and the resulting model efciencies are shown with superscript b in these tables. It is seen that the simplest Model R1 and the most complicated Model R7 exhibited efciencies of 7.50 and K6.24%, respectively, in the Nagwa application, indicating poor model performance in runoff computation. The efciencies on all other watersheds were also quite low, except for the Cincinnati watershed on which these ranged from

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Table 4 Runoff computation using transformed S-values and Model R2 Sl. No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Name of watershed Nagwa Karso Banha Mansara W2 Treynor W6 GWC W7 GWC W14 GWC Cincinnati 182 129 123 Transformed S values (mm) (corresponding to S values of Model S2) 86.46 30.33 23.21 128.55 27.77 31.37 62.95 45.69 8.32 77.34 64.36 73.98 Efciency of runoff computation (%) 91.75 71.63 90.23 80.08 79.42 82.18 90.59 71.26 85.95 74.10 70.90 81.22

81.36 to 92.05%, showing satisfactory model performance. The reason for low efciencies in the computation of runoff for all other watersheds, except the Cincinnati, is the underestimation of their CN-values by the sediment yield model due to the sediment deposition. Therefore, it is necessary to transform the S-values of Table 3(al) to those
(a)
Computed sediment yield (KN) 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 Observed sediment yield (KN) 50000 Line of perfect fit

corresponding to rainfall-runoff data using Eq. (39). To this end, it is appropriate to rst evaluate the models for adoption for eld use utilizing the Nagwa results (Table 3(a)). The efciencies varying from 91.78 to 92.16% for Models S2S7 suggest that any of these models is suitable. Since Model R2 (the existing SCS-CN
(b)
40 Computed runoff (mm) 30 20 Line of perfect fit 10 0 0 10 20 30 Observed runoff (mm) 40

Fig. 5. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for Nagwa watershed.

(a)
Computed sediment yield (KN) 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 Observed sediment yield (KN) Line of perfect fit

(b)
50 Computed runoff (mm) 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 Observed runoff (mm) 40 50 Line of perfect fit

Fig. 6. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for Karso watershed.

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317

(a)
Computed sediment yield (KN) 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 Observed sediment yield (KN) 10000 Line of perfect fit

(b)
40 Computed runoff (mm) 30 20 Line of perfect fit 10 0 0 10 20 30 Observed runoff (mm) 40

Fig. 7. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for Banha watershed.

method) shows the highest efciency, though quite low, (Z13.55%) among the runoff models, it is appropriate to consider it for further evaluation, also for the reason of its simplicity and possible use of NEH-4 tables in the sediment yield computation. Such an inference can also be generally derived from the results of other watersheds.

The S values derived from the application of Model S2 (Table 3(al)) were transformed using Eq. (39) to correspond to the P-Q data. The transformed S-values (Table 4) were then used to compute runoff from each watershed using Model R2. The resulting efciencies (Table 4) in runoff computation showed a signicant improvement from 13.55 to 91.75% for the Nagwa

(a)
Computed sediment yield (KN) 4000

(b)
50 Computed runoff (mm) 40 30 20 10 0 0 1000 2000 3000 Observed sediment yield (KN) 4000 0 10 20 30 Observed runoff (mm) 40 50 Line of perfect fit

3000 2000 Line of perfect fit 1000 0

Fig. 8. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for Mansara watershed.

(a)
Computed sediment yield (KN) 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 Observed sediment yield (KN) 5000 Line of perfect fit

(b)
20 Computed runoff (mm) 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 Observed runoff (mm) 20

Line of perfect fit

Fig. 9. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for W2 Treynor watershed.

318

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(a)
Computed sediment yield (KN) 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0 200 400 600 800 Observed sediment yield (KN) 1000 Line of perfect fit

(b)
30 Computed runoff (mm) 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 Observed runoff (mm) 25 30 Line of perfect fit

Fig. 10. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for W6 GC watershed.

watershed, from 45.62 to 71.63% for Karso, from 1.76 to 90.23% for Banha, from 58.78 to 80.08% for Mansara, from K26.10 to 79.42% for W2, from 36.26 to 82.18% for W6, from 15.97 to 90.59% for W7, from K8.67 to 71.26% for W14, from K80.28 to 74.10% for 182, from K102.95 to 70.90% for 129, and from K69.26 to 81.22% for 123. Except for the Cincinnati watershed where the efciency decreased, however

marginally (from 87.33 to 85.95%), for all other watersheds there was signicant improvement. These efciencies, indicating satisfactory model performance on all the watersheds, support the rationale of the S-transformation for runoff computation. The results of sediment yield computations using Model S2 (Table 3(al)) and runoff computations using Model R2 (Table 4) are depicted in Figs. 5 through 16 for all

(a)
Computed sediment yield (KN) 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Observed sediment yield (KN) 3000 Line of perfect fit

(b)
50 Computed runoff (mm) 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 Observed runoff (mm) 40 50 Line of perfect fit

Fig. 11. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for W7 GC watershed.

(a)
Computed sediment yield (KN) 2000

(b)
30 Computed runoff (mm) 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 500 1000 1500 Observed sediment yield (KN) 2000 0 5 10 15 20 Observed runoff (mm) 25 30 Line of perfect fit

1500 1000 Line of perfect fit 500 0

Fig. 12. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for W14 GC watershed.

S.K. Mishra et al. / Journal of Hydrology 324 (2006) 301322


(a) Computed sediment yield (KN)
1.0E-02 8.0E-03 6.0E-03 4.0E-03 2.0E-03 0.0E+00 0.0E+00 2.0E-03

319

(b) 20 Computed runoff (mm) 15 10 5 0


4.0E-03 6.0E-03 8.0E-03 1.0E-02

Line of perfect fit

Line of perfect fit

Observed sediment yield (KN)

10 15 Observed runoff (mm)

20

Fig. 13. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for Cincinnati watershed.

the twelve watersheds. The closeness of data points to the line of perfect t indicates a satisfactory model performance (Figs. 516). 5.2. Determination of the A/Sl ratio It is also appropriate to investigate the estimated values of A/Sl ratio (Table 3(al)), which, according to Eq. (15), should be a constant value for a watershed. Apparently, Models S2S7 yield the A/Sl ratio in the
(a) Computed sediment yield (KN) 250

range of (0.1200.123) KN haK1 mmK1 for Nagwa, (0.1470.155) for Karso, (0.1260.147) for Banha, (0.0540.055) for Mansara, (7.0137.391) for W2, (0.1880.198) for W6, (0.3040.316) for W7, (0.235 0.254) for W14, (0.0400.042) for Cincinnati, (0.224 0.230) for 182, (0.0380.039) for 129, and (0.368 0.377) for 123 watershed. It can be observed that these values vary in a very narrow range and therefore a constant value can be assumed for Model S2 as 0.123, 0.155, 0.144, 0.055, 7.391, 0.198, 0.316, 0.254, 0.041,
(b) 35 Computed runoff (mm) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Observed runoff (mm) 30 35 Line of perfect fit

200 150 100 50 0 0 50 100 150 200 Observed sediment yield (KN) 250 Line of perfect fit

Fig. 14. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for 182 watershed.

(a) Computed sediment yield (KN) 1.5

(b) 30 Computed runoff (mm) 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 0.5 1 Observed sediment yield (KN) 1.5 0 5 10 15 20 Observed runoff (mm) 25 30 Line of perfect fit

1 Line of perfect fit

0.5

Fig. 15. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for 129 watershed.

320
(a) Computed sediment yield (KN) 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 1

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(b) 20 Computed runoff (mm) 15 10 Line of perfect fit 5 0 2 3 4 5 0 5 10 15 20

Line of perfect fit

Observed sediment yield (KN)

Observed runoff (mm)

Fig. 16. Comparison between observed and computed (a) sediment yield (b) runoff using models S2 and R2, for 123 Treynor watershed.

0.230, 0.039, and 0.370 KN haK1 mmK1 for the respective watersheds. Apparently, the A/Sl ratio increases with the reduction in the CN value or the runoff potential of the watershed. Such determination of the A/Sl ratio for various watersheds is useful for the estimation of the sediment yield using NEH-4 tables as follows: (a) Determine the AMC II CN value for a watershed from the NEH-4 table. (b) Convert the AMC II CN value to AMC I using the NEH-4 table. (c) Compute Sl using Eq. (5) and transform it to obtain Sl-value relevant for the sediment yield model using Eq. (39). (d) Multiply the Sl-value of step 3 with the available A/Sl ratio to obtain A in KN haK1. Such a procedure may help determine the sediment yield of ungauged watersheds using the concept of homogeneous watersheds (Singh et al., 2001). Furthermore, it may also help revise the empirically derived components of USLE using the SCS-CN method.

parameters of USLE and the potential erodible depth can be determined from USLE and S. 3. In application to the rainfall-runoff-sediment yield data of twelve watersheds, the recommended Models S2 and R2 compute the sediment yield and runoff, respectively, with efciencies of 91.78 and 91.75% for Nagwa, 84.51 and 71.63% for Karso, 75.21 and 90.23% for Banha, 81.45 and 80.08% for Mansara, 85.43 and 79.42% for W2, 81.03 and 82.18% for W6, 80.20 and 90.59% for W7, 90.04 and 71.26% for W14, 76.15 and 85.95% for Cincinnati, 81.20 and 74.10% for 182, 90.95 and 70.90% for 129, and with 84.04 and 81.22% for 123 watershed. These efciency values indicate satisfactory performance of both the models on all the watersheds. 4. The values of the A/Sl ratio for Nagwa, Karso, Banha, Mansara, W2, W6, W7, W14, Cincinnati, 182, 129, and 123 watersheds are 0.123, 0.155, 0.144, 0.055, 7.391, 0.198, 0.316, 0.254, 0.041, 0.230, 0.039, and 0.370 KN haK1 mmK1 respectively. Determination of this ratio for watersheds of varying complexity may be of value in the estimation of sediment yield from ungauged watersheds utilizing NEH-4 tables.

6. Conclusions The following conclusions can be drawn from the study. Acknowledgements 1. The hypothesis CZSrZDR enables determination of direct runoff and sediment yield using rainfall data and watershed characteristics. 2. The SCS-CN parameter potential maximum retention, S, can be described in terms of the Authors gratefully acknowledge Latif Kalin of National Risk Management Research Laboratory, Cincinnati, USA, for providing rainfall, runoff, and sediment yield data of W2 watershed.

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