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Introductions
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
John Schnorf
Director CHAINalytics LLC
Chris Caplice
Executive Director Center for Transportation & Logistics, MIT
John Wooten
Senior Procurement Manager, Logistics The Clorox Company
Agenda
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
Member benefits
Reports and tools Real-life success story The Clorox Company Consortium membership
Questions
3 Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
Who is Chainalytics?
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
Great Supply Chain Partner Global Logistics and Supply Chain Strategies
Named for five years running: 2004-2008
Why Benchmark?
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
10.4
10.2 10.2
8.8 8.6
8.8
Logistics costs rose to over 10% of GDP for first time since 2000 Transportation costs account for 61% of total logistics costs (and 6.2% of GDP) Transport costs alone were up 16% in 05 and 9% in 2006 and 6% in 2007
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7.5 7 6.5
Source: 19 Annual State of Logistics Report - CSCMP 5 Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
1. Benchmark your performance 2. Leverage your entire network 3. Leverage your private and dedicated fleet assets 4. Executive buy-in 5. Provide more information to carriers 6. Multiple Round Bidding 7. Optimize your responses 8. Standardize your charges (keep it simple for carriers)
9. Measure performance
10. Green Improved efficiency reduces costs
Database models do not isolate the individual characteristics of the lanes that
determine the cost of service Metrics based approaches such as Activity Based Costing do not capture the impact of external market conditions
Poll Question
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
How Does Your Company Benchmark Transportation Costs? (Choose one that best describes your company)
Rely on carriers and service providers Compare with other shippers Measure against last years rates Research public information Dont benchmark, or dont know
8 Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
Benchmarking Challenges
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
15.7%
3.5%
50.8%
47% of respondents said they rely on carriers and 3rd party providers to supply them with market information 47% depend on year-over-year comparisons to measure performance Only 6% benchmark with their peers at other companies
9 Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
Model-Based Benchmarking
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
MBBC Goals
Build a representative model of the market Understand carrier cost drivers
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Consortium Membership
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
Model Statistics
Nearly $11 billion in transportation spend Over 12 million loads 55 model participants varying in TL spend from $12M to $500M+ Models include:
TL Freight Spend
21%
Under $50M
$50-100M
25%
21%
$100-250M
33%
Over $250M
Industry (% of volume)
9% 11%
Retail Consumer Goods
Covers USA, Canada and in to and out of Mexico Equivalent to ~ 2.5% of the total North American intercity truckload market
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24%
13%
22% 21%
Industrial
Whsl Distrib
Agenda
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
Member benefits
Reports and tools Real-life success story The Clorox Company Consortium membership
Questions
12 Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
Drive supply chain innovation and accelerate its adoption into practice.
Founded in 1973 as an interdisciplinary unit in the MIT School of Engineering
SC2020 Healthcare SC Security & Resilience Transportation Mgmt. Emerging Markets Energy/Carbon Demand Mgmt. SC Risk Mgmt. Scenario Planning Strategy Alignment Education Partners MIT AgeLab
Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
Challenges to Benchmarking
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
Traditional Benchmarking
Identify like products or processes Compare costs for producing similar products/processes Rank each firms efficiency (cost per product) against others
Transportation Challenges
What is the product? Each shipper moves products on thousands of unique lanes Contract rates with carriers are usually proprietary Even similar lanes have big differences - policies, direction, etc.
$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
CPL 1,028 1,300 511 889 1,164 1,059 1,072 784 1,174 615 1,004 1,198 1,045 1,031 968 736 731 798 1,379 658 891 904 1,035
Distance 703 961 322 685 797 747 621 570 874 398 753 913 897 670 558 483 469 521 998 357 477 740 755
$1,600.00 $1,400.00 $1,200.00 $1,000.00 $800.00 $600.00 $400.00 $200.00 $250 350 450 550 650 750 850 950 1,050
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$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $
CPL 1,028 1,300 511 889 1,164 1,059 1,072 784 1,174 615 1,004 1,198 1,045 1,031 968 736 731 798 1,379 658 891 904 1,035
Distance 703 961 322 685 797 747 621 570 874 398 753 913 897 670 558 483 469 521 998 357 477 740 755
1. Draw a best fit line 2. Write equation for the line (y= ax + b)
y = 1.0485x + 259.32
$1,600 $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $250 350 450
550
650
750
850
950
1,050
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What about factors that impact cost per load, not per mile?
- We can model these as fixed, variable, or a combination - Allows for flexibility
y = 1.0485x + 259.32
650
750
850
950
1,050
Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
y = 1.0485x + 259.32
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Volume Effect
Explanatory Variables Constant ($/load) Distance ($/mile) Outbound Move to Customer ($/load) Multi-Stop Load ($/load) Spot Market Move ($/mile) Weekly Corridor Volume loads >=52 and < 250per year ($/load) Monthly Corridor Volume loads >=12 and < 52per year ($/load) Quarterly Corridor Volume loads >=4 and < 12per year ($/load) Annual Corridor Volume loads <4 per year ($/load) Border Flag - from US to Canada ($/load) Border Flag - from Canda to US ($/load) Rural Origin Location ($/load) Rural Destination Location ($/load) City Origin Location ($/load) City Destination Location ($/load) 53 Foot Trailer Flag ($/mile) Frozen Van ($/mile) Refrigerated Container ($/mile) TOFC Load ($/mile) Regional Values ($/load) Intermodal Directional Paths ($/load) Adjusted R2 Goodness of Fit
LHD The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management LHR LHI LHF SHD SHR SHF $ 9 $ 425 $ 161 $ 63 $ 268 $ 220 $ 148 $ 1.09 $ 1.27 $ 0.64 $ 1.40 $ 1.28 $ 1.42 $ 1.19 $ 22 $ 73 $ 25 $ 53 $ 36 $ 46 $ 35 $ 36 $ 13 $ 28 $ 5 $ (82) $ 0.27 $ 0.25 $ 0.15 $ $ 11 42 $ 10 $ 28 $ 29 $ 18 $ 18 $ 64
Note that a wide variety of factors $ 22 $ 79 $ 51 $ 25 $ 35 $ 114 can be modeled. $ 93 $ Able to 143 $ out policies, 62 $ 114 37 $ price 79 $ 50 $ practices, and characteristics. 125 $ 130 $ 47 $ 209 $ 102 $ 81 $ 65 $ $ (386) $ Accurately costs shipments 757 $ 789 $ across North America - regardless (264) $ 8 $ of whether you have 7 $ (2) $ (3) shipments 1 $ 6 $ 3 $ 6 $ there. $ 16 $ 52 $ (72) $ 27 Provides input on$WHY$and HOW 28 25 $ 52 $ 0.03 $ MUCH various factors influence (0.05) costs. 0.35 $
X 95% $ 0.03 X X X 94% 93% X 88% X 71% X 79% X 74%
$4.25
The last time fuel was At $1.20 per gallon was in March 2002!
$3.75
$3.25
$2.75
$2.25
2007
2006
2008
Base or Peg Rate established base line cost of fuel per gallon Escalator step change increase in fuel costs that trigger an increase in surcharge Surcharge amount paid to carrier in dollars per mile
Polling Question
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
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How does the shippers FSC program influence line haul rates?
Surcharge minimal effect Base Rate minimal effect - limited range of values in data set Escalator large effect - evenly split between 5 and 6 cents
Agenda
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
Member benefits
Reports and tools Real-life success story The Clorox Company Consortium membership
Questions
24 Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
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Rate Estimator Tool -Lane analysis for new lanes -Includes Fuel Surcharge Calculator -Optional fields
Required Input Optional Input Origin Dest Annual Postal Origin Postal Dest Dist Lane Pvt/De Code Country Code Country (Miles) Vol d Flag 57078 US 76160 MX 2372 43 47603 US L4L4S6 CA 671 2 44309 US 30705 US 612 2 30105 US 29536 US 422 5 1 40165 US 48089 US 405 2 47630 US M9L1V7 CA 677 1 37408 US 98188 US 2497 2 94005 US 90031 US 365 4 28358 US 90031 US 2514 4 49355 US 08016 US 715 16 49355 US 08016 US 715 2 49355 US 08701 US 770 2 49355 US 08016 US 715 16 67005 US 18031 US 1284 2 67005 US 60115 US 677 1 1 Spot MKT Flag MultiOutbou Stop nd Flag Flag 1
Enter Fuel Surcharge Options 1. Enter a percent of linehaul, or 0% 2. Enter program info below Fuel Surcharge Your FSC Base Fuel Cost $1.20 $/gal Surcharge $0.01 $/mile Increment $0.050 $/gal Plan Fuel Price $2.900 $/gal FSC $0.3400 $/mile
Estimated Results
1 1
Addition al Optional Optional Origin Corridor Per Load Per Mile Regional Volume Charge Charge Effect 85 $138.97 1 $106.25 12 $62.60 250 $0.00 52 $105.08 1 $106.25 1 $45.38 12 $94.18 12 ($0.38) 12 $183.60 12 $183.60 4 $183.60 12 $183.60 1 $53.56 4 $53.56
Dest Regional Effect $253.18 $117.77 $128.18 $95.16 $63.77 $134.04 $478.05 $0.00 $0.00 $430.78 $430.78 $480.53 $430.78 $441.61 $19.28
Volume Effect Est. CPL Est. RPM $39.19 $3,162 $1.33 $155.85 $1,220 $1.82 $66.98 $968 $1.58 $0.00 $563 $1.34 $39.19 $752 $1.86 $155.85 $1,243 $1.84 $155.85 $3,553 $1.42 $66.98 $588 $1.61 $66.98 $2,960 $1.18 $66.98 $1,510 $2.11 $66.98 $1,735 $2.43 $119.12 $1,675 $2.17 $66.98 $1,510 $2.11 $155.85 $2,132 $1.66 $119.12 $939 $1.39
Est. Est CPL w/ RPM FSC w/ FSC $3,968 $1.67 $1,448 $2.16 $1,176 $1.92 $707 $1.68 $890 $2.20 $1,473 $2.18 $4,402 $1.76 $712 $1.95 $3,815 $1.52 $1,753 $2.45 $1,978 $2.77 $1,936 $2.51 $1,753 $2.45 $2,569 $2.00 $1,169 $1.73
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Global marketer and manufacturer of leading consumer brands Products sold through mass retailer channels, including grocery,
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Membership Process
The Best Analytical Minds in Supply Chain Management
Annual membership - participate in 2 models per year We collect data from members every October and April
Transaction level, shipment history Data collection takes 5-6 weeks Modeling and creating reports takes 5-6 weeks
Reports are published early January and July MBBC Summit Lane Matching LTL benchmarking Ocean container benchmarking
32 Copyright 2008 Chainalytics, LLC.
Questions?
Chainalytics Contact:
John Schnorf
jschnorf@chainalytics.com 770-433-1566