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QuantitativeAnalysisofNarrativeReportsofPsychedelicDrugs

JeremyR.Coyle1 DavidE.Presti2 MatthewJ.Baggott3


1GraduateGroupinBiostatistics,UniversityofCalifornia,Berkeley,California947207358

USA 2UniversityofCalifornia,DepartmentofMolecularandCellBiology,Berkeley,California 947203200USA 3HumanBehavioralPharmacologyLaboratory,DepartmentofPsychiatryandBehavioral Neuroscience,UniversityofChicago,Chicago,Illinois60637USA Tel:(773)7020563,Email:matthew@baggott.net ABSTRACT BACKGROUND:Psychedelicdrugsfacilitateprofoundchangesinconsciousnessandhave potentialtoprovideinsightsintothenatureofhumanmentalprocessesandtheirrelation tobrainphysiology.Yetpublishedscientificliteraturereflectsaverylimited understandingoftheeffectsofthesedrugs,especiallyfornewersyntheticcompounds.The numberofclinicaltrialsandrangeofdrugsformallystudiedisdwarfedbythenumberof writtendescriptionsofthemanydrugstakenbypeople.Analysisofthesedescriptions usingmachinelearningtechniquescanprovideaframeworkforlearningaboutthesedrug useexperiences. METHODS:Wecollected1000reportsof10drugsfromthedruginformationwebsite Erowid.organdformedatermdocumentfrequencymatrix.Usingvariableselectionanda randomforestclassifier,weidentifiedasubsetofwordsthatdifferentiatedbetweendrugs. RESULTS:Arandomforestusingasubsetof110predictorvariablesclassifiedwith accuracycomparabletoarandomforestusingthefullsetof3934predictors.Our estimatedaccuracywas51.1%,whichcomparesfavorablytothe10%expectedfrom chance.ReportsofMDMAhadthehighestaccuracyat86.9%;thosedescribingDPThadthe lowestat20.1%.Hierarchicalclusteringsuggestedsimilaritiesbetweencertaindrugs,such asDMTandSalviadivinorum. CONCLUSION:Machinelearningtechniquescanrevealconsistenciesindescriptionsof druguseexperiencesthatvarybydrugclass.Thismaybeusefulfordeveloping hypothesesaboutthepharmacologyandtoxicityofnewandpoorlycharacterizeddrugs. INTRODUCTION Psychedelicsubstancessuchaslysergicaciddiethylamide(LSD)and3,4 methylenedioxymethamphetamine(MDMA;streetnameecstasy)arewidelyconsumed. Anestimated14.8%ofAmericansovertheageof12yearshaveusedpsychedelicsatsome point,commonlyLSD(9.2%ofthepopulation)andecstasy(6.3%)[1].InEurope, Narrativereportsofpsychedelics1

psychedelicusevariesgreatlybycountry:across22countries,thebycountrymedian percentoftheadultpopulation(ages1564years)havingusedLSDandecstasyis estimatedat1.3%and2.3%,respectively[2].Despitewidespreaduse,thesedrugsare poorlyunderstood,largelybecauseformalcontrolledexperimentsinhumansarerare.In thisreport,weuseamachinelearningapproachtounderstandingdescriptionsof psychedelicexperiences. Psychedelicsfacilitateavarietyofcomplexmentalstates,includingalterationsin perception,intensificationofemotionsandthoughts,andchangedsenseofboundary betweentheselfandenvironment[3,4].Theyhavebeenusedexperimentallytoimitate psychosis[57]yettheyhavealsobeenreportedtofacilitatemysticalandspiritual experiences[8,9].Thecomplexityofpsychedelicseffectsisunderscoredbythemany termsusedtolabelthem:psychedelics;hallucinogens;psychotomimetics;andentheogens. Becauseofthesecomplexeffects,psychedelicsarepowerfulprobesoftheconnection betweenbrainphysiologyandconsciousness,oneofthemostmysteriousproblemsin neuroscience. Psychedelicusebyhumansmaypredatewrittenhistory.Intheirplantandfungalforms, psychedelicshaveprobablybeenusedformillenniafortherapeutic,ritualistic,and religiouspurposes[10,11].Modernscientificresearchonpsychedelicscanbetracedback toArthurHeffters[12]isolationofmescalinefromthepeyotecactusinthe1890s.The paceofscientificresearchquickenedafterAlbertHofmannsdiscoveryofLSDinthe1940s. ResearchonLSDcontributedtotherecognitionthatserotoninfunctionsasabrain neurotransmitterintimatelyinvolvedintheregulationofmentalprocesses[13].Inthe 1950sand1960s,psychedelicswereextensivelystudiedfortheirpsychotherapeutic potential[14,15].Thishascontinuedinalimitedmanner[16,17].However,themajority ofscientificpublicationsonpsychedelicsusethemtoelucidateneuropharmacological signalingmechanismsinrodentsubjects[18,19]. Thesestudiessupportacentralroleforthe5HT2Areceptorinthemechanismsofwhatare sometimescalledserotonergicorclassicalpsychedelics[3].Theseclassicalcompounds includeLSD,N,Ndimethyltryptamine(DMT),mescaline,andpsilocybin.However,many othercompoundswithdifferentmechanismsofpsychoactivityshareclinicaleffectsand usersdemographicswithclassicalpsychedelics.Examplesofsuchchemicalsarethe monoaminereleaserMDMA(methylenedioxymethamphetamine:streetnameecstasy), thekappaopioidreceptoragonistsalvinorinA(fromtheplantSalviadivinorum),andthe NMDAreceptorantagonistanestheticketamine.Theclinicalsimilaritiesofthesedrugs suggestsconvergentdownstreameffectsonconsciousnessdespiteneurochemically distinctinitialmechanisms[6,20].Thus,documentingtheclinicalandexperientialeffects ofdifferentpsychedelicscanelucidateconnectionsbetweenbrainphysiologyand consciousness. Studyingpsychedelicsalsohaspotentialpracticalvalue.Newpsychedelicsmanyfirst synthesizedasprobesofthebrainmindconnection[2123]havebecomeavailablein theunregulatedmarketinrecentdecades[24].Thesedrugsareoftensoldasresearch chemicalsorlegalhighs,butarealsosometimesdisingenuouslymarketedasbath Narrativereportsofpsychedelics2

salts,herbalincense,orplantfood[25,26].Thisdisingenuousmarketingiscommonin theUS,becausetheFederalControlledSubstanceAnalogueActbansmanynovel hallucinogensonlywhentheyareintendedforhumanconsumption.Useofnovel compoundshasledtoadversereactions,especiallyinsituationswhereunknowndosesof unknowncompoundsareinvolved[2527].Understandingthehumanpharmacologyof thesecompoundscouldaidinreducingandtreatingtheirtoxicities.However,thescientific literatureisvirtuallysilentabouttheeffectsofmostofthesenovelchemicalsinhumansin controlledsettings.Theexpenseassociatedwithdoinghumanresearchensuresthis situationwillchangeonlyveryslowly. Incontrasttothelimitedformalscientificliterature,thereisarobustinformalliterature availableontheWebwrittenbyindividualswhousepsychoactives.Animportantsource ofsuchinformationisthewebsiteErowid.org.Thiswebsitereceivesapproximately95,000 uniquevisitorsperdayandcontainsnarrativedescriptionsofnearly22,000druguse episodes[28].Thesedrugexperiencereportsrangefromdescriptionsofcaffeine,alcohol, andnicotine,tomarijuana,LSD,andmescaline,tolesserknownsubstancessuchas4 bromo2,5dimethoxyphenethylamine(2CB)and2,5dimethoxy4 ethylthiophenethylamine(2CT2).Insomecases,thesedescriptionsrepresenttheonly writtensourcesofinformationabouttheeffectsofaspecificcompoundinhumans. Giventheseconsiderations,wesoughttodevelopamethodforquantitativecomparisonof drugusedescriptionsarchivedonline.Previousstudiesofwrittendescriptionsofdrug effectshavegenerallyusedeitherqualitativemethodsordictionaryapproaches. Qualitativemethodsaretimeconsumingandusuallyinvolveverylimitedsamplesizes[29 31].Dictionaryapproachesinwhichdescriptionsarescoredbasedontheappearanceof wordsfrompreviouslyvalidatedcategoriescanbeappliedtolargerdatasets[32]; however,suchapproachesmayfailtocapturethechangingterminologyusedtodescribe drugexperiences.Machinelearningtechniquessuchasclassificationandvariable selectionavoidsomeofthelimitationsoftheseapproaches,astheycanaccommodatea largesamplesizeandmakeclassificationsbasedoncharacteristicsofthedataset,rather thanonpredeterminedcategories. Weusedclassificationtechniquesinanattempttocharacterizedifferencesinnarrative reportsfrom10psychedelicdrugs.Wehypothesizedthat: i) therewouldbedetectabledifferencesbetweenreportsfordifferentdrugsas indicatedbytheabilityofaclassifiertoaccuratelypredictdrugclass; ii) drugswithsimilareffectswouldhavesimilarreportsasindicatedbyclassifier confusionandclassmeans; iii) inspectionofthediscriminatingvariableswouldallowinsightintothedifferences betweenthesedrugs. Wetestedthesehypothesesusingpreexisting,publicallyavailabledrugexperience reportsfromthewebsiteErowid.org.Wewereabletosuccessfullyclassifyreportsfrom10 differentdrugswithanestimatedoverallaccuracyof51.1%andwefurthermoreidentified asubsetof110variablesthatwereparticularlyusefulindistinguishingdrugclasses.We Narrativereportsofpsychedelics3

concludethatmachinelearningtechniquesprovideapromisingapproachforgaining insightsintothepharmacology,andtoxicityofnewandpoorlycharacterizeddrugs. METHODS DataCollection Wecollectedacorpusof1000narrativereportsfromthedrugexperiencearchivesat Erowid.org.Narrativesrepresented10psychedelicallyactivesubstances(Table1),which wereselectedbecausetheirpharmacologyisatleastpartlyunderstood.Reportswere writtenbetween2000and2010.Foreachsubstance,werandomlychose100reports. Table1:Names,routesofadministration,andpharmacologyforthe10studieddrugs


Chemical/SpeciesName 2CE(2,5dimethoxy4 ethylphenethylamine) StreetNames Europa Routesof PrimaryKnownPharmacological administration Mechanisms oral,insufflated 5HT2Aagonist[33,34]

2CT2(2,5dimethoxy4 T2 ethylthiophenethylamine) 5MeODiPT(N,N diisopropyl5 methoxytryptamine) 5MeODMT(5methoxy N,Ndimethyltryptamine) DMT(N,N dimethyltryptamine) DPT(N,N dipropyltryptamine) foxymethoxy, foxy

oral,insufflated

5HT2Aagonist[34]

oral,insufflated, 5HT2Aagonist,bindsto5HT1A receptors[3336] smoked

5MeO Dimitri

smoked, insufflated

5HT1Aand2Aagonist[33,34,3639]

oral,insufflated, 5HT2Aagonist;sigma1regulator[34, smoked 40,41];traceaminereceptoragonist [42] oral,insufflated, 5HT1Aand2Aagonist[34,35];SERT inhibitor/substrate[33,43] smoked, intramuscular oral oral,insufflated oral 5HT2Aand1AagonistandD2like agonist[44,45] Monoaminereleaser[46] 5HT2Aand1Aagonist[44,47]

thelight

LSD(lysergicacid diethylamide) MDMA(3,4methylene dioxymethamphetamine) PsilocybinMushrooms (psilocinisactive metabolite) Salviadivinorum (SalvinorinAisactive ingredient)

acid,blotter,tabs ecstasy,e,rolls, molly shrooms,magic mushrooms salvia,diviner's sage

smoked

Kappaopioidagonist[48]

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Approach Inordertoidentifythedifferencesbetweenthedrugsinouranalysis,weconducteda classificationanalysisinwhichfrequenciesofindividualwordsineachreportwereusedto predictwhichdrugwasreportedlytaken.Classificationtechniquesallowedustoquantify howdifficultitistodifferentiatebetweendrugs(howsimilartheyare),andwhichwords weremostusefulforpredictionofthedrugbeingdescribed.Weusedvariableselection techniquestodeterminewhichofthelargenumberofwordswereusefulforaccurate reportclassification.Finally,weclusteredselectedwordsbasedontheircooccurrencein reportstovisualizeandformqualitativedescriptionsofthedifferencesbetweendrugsand betweengroupsofdrugs. Preprocessing First,wecheckedreportsforspellingerrorsinawordprocessor.Wethenconvertedeach reporttoavectorwithoneelementforeachuniqueword,containingthenumberof occurrencesofthatwordinthereport.Toreducethedatasettoamoremanageablesize, wedroppedwordsthatoccurredinfewerthanfivereports.Weconvertedallwordsto theirrootformwiththeMorphystemmer[49],allowingallformsofawordtobetreatedas asingleelement.Morphydeterminestherootofawordusingadictionary.Wordsthat werenotpresentinthedictionarywerestemmedmanually.Wetheneliminatedtwotypes ofwordsfromtheremainderoftheanalysis:commonwords[suchaspronouns(e.g.,he) anddeterminers(e.g.,the)]anddrugterminology.Weremovedcommonwordsbecause weconsideredthemunlikelytodifferentiatebetweendocumentsordrugs.Weremoved drugterminology(e.g.,ecstasyandroll)tofocustheanalysisondifferencesindrug effectsinsteadoftrivialdifferences.Thedocumentvectorswerethencombinedintoa termdocumentfrequencymatrixwitharowforeachreportandacolumnforeachunique wordinthecorpus.Tocontrolfordifferencesinreportlengths,weconvertedtheword occurrencecountsintowordfrequencies. Classification WeappliedLeoBreimansrandomforestclassificationalgorithm[50].Randomforestisan ensembleclassifierthatgeneratesagroupofclassificationtreesbasedonpredictor variablesandthenusesthemajorityvoteofthetreestodeterminemembership.Each classificationtreeisfitusingarandomsubsetofpredictorvariablesonarandomsubsetof theobservationsdrawnwithreplacement.Theperformanceofthisclassifiercanbe assessedusingoutofbagaccuracybypredictingeachobservationusingonlythosetrees forwhichtheobservationwasoutofbag,meaningthattheobservationwasnotusedin thetreesconstruction.Variablescanbeselectedonthebasisofanimportancemeasure, definedasthedecreaseinoutofbagaccuracycausedbyrandomlypermutingthevaluesof thatpredictor.Variableselectionusingrandomforestsarecommonlyemployedin microarraygeneticsexperimentstoselectfromalargepoolofcandidategenesthosethat predictacondition[51,52]. FeatureSelection WeusedthevarSelRFpackageinR[53,54]forfeatureselection.Thispackageusesatwo stepalgorithmtodetermineaminimalsubsetofpredictorvariablesthatclassifiesalmost aswellasallavailablepredictors.First,arandomforestisfitusingallpredictorwordsand Narrativereportsofpsychedelics5

thesewordsarerankedusingtheimportancemeasuredescribedabove.Then,new randomforestmodelsarefittoprogressivelysmallersubsetsofvariables,andthe performanceofthesereducedmodelsisassessedusingoutofbagaccuracy,asdescribed above.Thesubsetsaregeneratedbyeliminatingtheleastimportant20%ofvariablesat eachstep.Afterallsubsetsarefit,varSelRFselectedthesmallestsubsetwhichclassifies withanaccuracylessthan1standarderrorunitlowerthanthesubsetwiththehighest accuracy.Thissmallersubset,whilenotbeingsignificantlyworseatdifferentiatingthe classes,allowsforeasierinterpretation. Bootstrapping Tomeasureclassifierperformancewithoutoverfitting,weused.632bootstrapping.Before bootstrapping,weappliedvarSelRFtotheoriginaldataset.Then,ateachof200iterations, wesampledthedatawithreplacementtoformatrainingset,andreservedtheremaining datafortesting.Withthetrainingset,weusedvarSelRFtoselectasetofpredictor variables.Wethenfitarandomforestmodelonthetrainingsetusingtheselected variablesandassessingclassifieraccuracyusingthetestingset. PerformanceAssessment Differentmeasuresofclassifieraccuracyareusedfordifferentpurposes.Mostofthese estimatesarebiasedbecauseresamplingcanleadtooverfitting.Suchestimatesarevalid onlyfordeterminingrelativeperformanceunderdifferentconditions.Weusedoutofbag accuracy(describedabove),tocompareperformanceatdifferentsubsetsizesduring featureselection.Applyingoutofbagaccuracytothebootstrapiterationswouldhave beenproblematicbecausereportsaresampledwithreplacement,andthereforeaduplicate versionofareportcouldmeanthetreesarenottrulyoutofbag.Todetermineaccuracy foreachdrugandcreateaconfusionmatrixbetweendrugs,weusedaccuracyofprediction forthetestingdatafromeachbootstrapiteration.Foranunbiasedestimateofoverall performanceweusedthe.632bootstrapestimator,whichcombinesaccuracyforbootstrap testingdatawiththeoutofbagaccuracyusingthesubsetofvariablesselectedfromthe originaldataset. Stability Weassessedthestabilityofthevariableselectionprocedurebycomparingthewords selectedfromtheoriginaldatasettothoseselectedineachofthebootstrapiterations.We thencalculatedtheproportionofiterationsinwhicheachofthesewordsappearedand usedthemedianasanoverallmeasureofstability[52,54]. Visualization Tofacilitatequalitativeanalysisofdifferencesbetweendrugs,wecreatedaheatmapof meanwordfrequenciesbydrugforthewordsselectedbyvarSelRFfromtheoriginal dataset.Weusedhierarchicalclusteringanalysistoformbothwordanddrugclustersand depictedtheclustersusingdendrograms.Wordclusterswereformedusingallthereports anddrugclusterswereformedusingmeanreportsforeachdrugclass.

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Software AllanalyseswereconductedusingR2.11[55]andtheRevolutionRdevelopment environment.AmazonsElasticComputeCloudwasusedforthecomputationallyintensive resamplingprocedures. RESULTS Weobtainedatotalof1000reportswith22440uniquewords.Ofthese,weremoved 15994wordsthatoccurredinfewerthanfivereports.Stemmingtheremaining6445 wordsresultedin4541uniquestems.Weremoved607ofthesethatwerecommonwords ordrugterminology,leavingafinalcountof3934uniquewordstems.Theinitialrunofthe variableselectionprocedureselected110variables.Thesubsetof110variableshadan outofbagaccuracyof46.2%,similartotheoutofbagaccuracyofthefulldataset (45.5%).Bootstrappingiterationsselectedarangeofpossiblesubsetsizesfrom29 variablestoall3934variables,withamediansizeof138(Figure1).

Figure1Distributionofsubsetsizes:Thenumberofpredictorwordsselectedbyeachofthe200 bootstrappingiterations.Ineachiteration,thealgorithmselectedanumberofwordsthatbalanced parsimonywithaccuracy.Inmostiterations,onlyafewhundredwordswereneededtoclassifythereports withreasonableaccuracy.

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The.632estimatordeterminedthattheclassifierwas51.1%accurate.Individualclass accuracyforbootstraptestingrangedfrom86.9%forMDMAto20.7%forDPT(Figure2A). TheclassifierconfusionmatrixshowninFigure2Bindicateswhichdrugsweremistaken forotherdrugsbytheclassifier.Thesubsetofselectedwordswasrelativelystable.Words selectedfromoriginaldatasetwereselectedinthemajorityofbootstrapiterations(median proportion=0.768,1stquartile=0.532,3rdquartile=0.984).Hierarchicalclusteringof classpredictionsandclassmeansaredepictedinFigures2Band3(includedasan Appendix).Figure3alsodepictsclustersofpredictorwordsfromthesubsetof110 selectedwords.

Figure2Classificationaccuracyandconfusionmatrix:(A)Bootstrapaccuracy(percentofleftout trainingsamplesaccuracyclassified)foreachofthe10drugs.Thereisawiderangeofaccuracies.(B)Each cellrepresentsthepercentofreportsfromagivendrug(incolumns)predictedasbeingfromanothergiven drug(inrows).Thedendrogramatthetopclusterstogetherdrugsthataremisclassifiedaseachother,asthis misclassificationisrelatedtosimilaritiesinreportsfromthesedrugs

DISCUSSION Oursuccessatclassifyingreportssuggeststhatthereareconsistencieswithinnarratives foragivendruganddifferencesbetweennarrativesfordifferentdrugs.Weusedrecursive featureselectiontoidentifysomeoftheseconsistenciesanddifferences.Thisrevealedthat asmallsubsetofwordsthatwasabletoclassifyreportsalmostaswellasthefullsetof 3934words.Theaccuracyofclassifyingreportswiththese110wordswasestimatedas 51.1%.Thiscanbefavorablycomparedto10%,whichwouldbeexpectedfromchance.The smallsubsetofwordsallowsapracticalanalysisofthedifferencesbetweendrugs. Specifically,ourresultssuggestthatnarrativesofMDMAusearemoreconsistentthan Narrativereportsofpsychedelics8

otherpsychedelicsandthatspecificpairsofotherdrugsmayshareinterestingfeatures:for example,DMTandSalvia,LSDandpsilocybinmushrooms,DPTand2CE,and5MeODiPT and2CT2(Figure2B). Toanalyzethe110words,wecreatedaheatmapanddendrogramsofclasscentroid clusteringofwordfrequenciesanddrugs.Thiswasnecessarybecauseitwouldnothave beenpracticaltodepictthemanybinarybranchingclassifiertreesinwhichthese individualwordsappeared.Moreover,theselectedwordsarenotnecessarilyhigh frequencywordsandarenoteasilysummarizedbyfrequency.Instead,theyarewords whosefrequenciesareusefulfordecidingbetweentwopotentialdrugsinthecontextof decisiontreeclassifiers.Thevisualizationofthe110words(Figure3,seeAppendix) thereforeprovidesdifferentinformationfromtheconfusionmatrixofclassifier performance(Figure3).Forexample,theconfusionmatrixindicatesthat5MeODMTwas oftenconfusedforDMTandSalvia,whiletheclasscentroidclusteringvisualizationgroups itwithDPTand2CE.Thisindicatesthatsomeofthedifferencesbetweenthesedrugsis capturedinthosewordsthatweredifficulttointerpretandthereforenotanalyzedwith classcentroids(Figure3). MDMAwasdistinguishedeasilyfromallotherdrugs(estimatedaccuracy86.9%vs52.4% forSalvia,thenextmostaccuratedrug).ThisgroupingofLSDandpsilocybinisconsistent withthehypothesisthatMDMAisamemberofanovelpharmacologicalclass(Nichols 1986).MDMAreportsweredistinguishedfromotherdrugsbyhighfrequenciesofwords withsocialconnotations(e.g.,theclub,hug,rub,smileclusterinFigure3). Examinationofindividualreportssuggeststhatthisreflectsdescriptionsofthesocial contextofMDMAuse(e.g.,nightclubs)aswellasdrugeffectsproper(e.g.,feelingsoflove andfriendliness[56]). LSDandpsilocybinmushroomswerealsogroupedtogether.Thesedrugs(andtoalesser extentDMTandSalvia)weremoststronglyassociatedwiththesee,look,saw,room, tell,ask,walk,housecluster.Thisgroupingisconsistentwithearlyclinical comparisonsfindingthattheyproducesimilareffectsinhumans[57].Alternatively,this clusteringcouldbeaproductofthesesubstanceslongstandingavailabilitycomparedto otherpsychedelics.Thiscouldleadtonarrativedifferencesbetweenthesereportsand thoseofmoreexoticdrugssinceauthorsmayhaveassumedreaderfamiliaritywiththe drugsandbeenlessfocusedondescribingcommonsymptoms. DMTandSalviaweregroupedtogether,withhighfrequencywordclusterssuggesting powerfuleffectsontheperceptionofreality.Thehighestfrequencyclusterforthesedrugs wasthereality,dimension,universe,state,consciousness,form,entitycluster. Bothdrugshavebeenassociatedwithpowerfulalterationsinconsciousnessandfeelingsof alteredreality.RickStrassman[58],summarizinghisstudiesofadministeringDMTto healthyhumanvolunteers,describedhigherdosehallucinatoryexperiencesthatwere morecompellingandconvincingthan'ordinary'realityordreams.Similarly,ina controlledstudyofSalviasprimaryactivechemicalconstituent,salvinorinA,participants reportedintenseexperiencescharacterizedbydisruptionsinvestibularandinteroceptive signals(e.g.,changeinspatialorientation,pressureonthebody)[59].WhileDMTand Narrativereportsofpsychedelics9

Salviahavelittleoverlapintheirknownpharmacologicalmechanisms(DMTisamixed serotonergicagonistandsalvinorinAisakappaopioidagonist),theyarebothtypically takenbysmokingorvaporizing.Thus,theapparentlysimilarintensedrugeffectsmaybe explainedbytheircommonroutesofadministrationandtherapidrisesinblood concentrationsofbothdrugs. DPTand2CEwereclusteredtogetherandwereprimarilyassociatedwithastomach, nausea,vomit,headachecluster,suggestingthesedrugsmayhaveunpleasantphysical effects.Because5HT3receptorstimulationisthoughttoinducenauseaandvomiting[60], wehypothesizethatthesetwosubstances,morethantheotherstudiedpsychedelics,may directlystimulate5HT3receptorsormayinducereleaseof5HTfromenterochromaffin cells.Bothdrugsarecurrentlypoorlycharacterized,althoughitwasreportedthatDPT inhibits[(3)H]5HTtransportattheserotonintransporterwithaKiof0.594M[43]. Limitations Weassumethatmostindividualsactuallyconsumedthedrugsthattheyreportedandare writingingoodfaith.Nonetheless,wecannotknowhowmanydrugreportsaremislabeled orfalsifiedinthecurrentdataset.Notably,however,randomforestsareresistanttothe effectsofafewmislabeledcases(Breiman2001).Consistentwiththisexpectation,our classifierwashighlysuccessfulwithMDMA,despitethewelldocumentedsaleofother drugsasMDMA[61].Duetotheirdistinctiveappearances,itmaybereasonabletoassume thatillicitlyobtainedpsilocybinmushrooms,LSD,andSalviawerelikelytobecorrectly represented.Thesixotherdrugs,beingsoldasresearchchemicals,maybemoreprone tomisrepresentationintheunregulatedmarketingofcrystallineorpowderedchemicals. Thus,itisnoteworthythatoneofthefewavailableanalysesofsimilarsyntheticresearch chemicalspurchasedintheunregulatedmarketplace,werefoundthemtobecorrectly representedastochemicalidentityandalsoofrelativelyhighpurity[33]. Attemptstoinferdrugeffectsfromnarrativeshaveseveralotherinherentlimitations. Differencesbetweendrugnarrativeslikelyalsoreflectauthordemographicsandthe varyingcontextofdruguse.Suchpotentiallimitationscouldbeaddressedbycollectinga newcorpusinwhichauthordemographicinformationisalsoobtained.Additionally,from oneperspective,themixingofeffectsfromuncertaindrugswithcontextisasmucha featureasabugsincesuchreports(ifwritteningoodfaith)reflectdrugexperiencesas theyareunderstoodbyusers,whichisanimportanttopicofstudy. Furtherresearchondrugnarrativesmightprofitablycategorizeindividualnarratives basedonrouteofadministrationandphysicalcontextinordertobetterunderstandthe influenceofthesevariables.Mostexcitingly,perhaps,ourapproachcouldbeusedtolink narrativedescriptionstopharmacology.Dataontheinvitropharmacologyofmanyofthe chemicalsaddressedinthispaperisbeginningtobeassembled[34].Quantitativeanalysis ofdrugnarrativesincombinationwithinvitropharmacologycouldleadtonovel hypothesesconcerningtheeffectsofspecificreceptorsandsignalingpathwayson consciousness. Narrativereportsofpsychedelics10

Inconclusion,wepresentresultsfromanovelapproachtoclassifyingandanalyzingdrug narratives.Wefindthatdrugnarrativescanbesuccessfullyclassifiedusingrandomforest techniques,suggestingthatthiscanbeusedtodevelophypothesesaboutthe pharmacologyandtoxicityofnewandpoorlycharacterizeddrugsastheymayemerge. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS WearegratefultoSpoon,Earth,andFireErowidfortheirassistanceincollectingand makingavailablethenarrativereportsandforhelpfuldiscussionandinspiration.We thankJuanCarlosLopezforprogrammingassistance,andformerUCBerkeleystudents ConorPenfoldandAndreaPayneforassistanceinearlystagesofthiswork.

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APPENDIX

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Figure3Classmeanheatmap:Eachcellisthemeanfrequencyofagivenword(columns)inreportsfromagivendrug(rows)inall reportsfromthedataset.Darkercellsrepresenthigherfrequencies.Thesewordswereselectedasimportantfordifferentiatingdrugsby therandomforestalgorithm.Wordsareclusteredbasedoncooccurrenceinreports.Drugsareclusteredbasedonsimilarmean frequenciesforthesewords.Theseclusteringsarerepresentedbydendrogramsattherightandtopsidesoftheplot.

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