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Several alternatives exist for the development of the next manned launch system. The Advanced Manned Launch System (AMLS), which represents a cleansheetreplacement forthe Space Shuttle, faces competition from concepts such as (1) the Personnel Launch System, which would serve as a personnel transport to complement the Space Shuttle, and (2) an advanced version of the existing Space Shuttle. An AMLS system could begin operations sometime between 2005 and 2020, depending upon the level of national interest and support. It would probably demonstrate a payload capacity less than that of the Space Shuttle, although performance specifications are far from certain. Even the form of the AMLS is still under discussion. Design studies have considered a wide variety of options including all levels of hardware reusability; single-, dualand multiplestaging; and airbreathing vs. rocket propulsion. An evaluation of the relative cost-effectiveness of these options is impossible without guidance regarding basic mission requirements such as total number of launches over the system's life cycle and the date required. The availability of more advanced technologies will enable single-
Alternative AMLS design concepts vary in terms of performance, risk and operational factors. Airbreathing systems minimize the substantial launch pad investments associated with rocket systems, but they also introduce more stringent requirements in thermal protection, landing gear and air data. LaRC AMLS studies indicate that: operational circa on a two-stage
A longer-term system, operational 2015, could improve its performance using a SSTO design concept.
circa by
Additional studies of ground operations are needed to define life cycle costs and to better discriminate between airbreathing and rocket propulsion systems. Rocket systems maximize the performance of vehicles using payload-toorbit as the primary figure of merit. Air-breathing options capabilities in terms recall, offset launch launch. provide unique of cruise, loiter, and all-azimuth
ADVANCED
MANNED
LAUNCH
SYSTEM
PR'_t'EI_!N_
FtI..MEO 29
SPACE TRANSPORTATION
requirements
SYSTEM
:H
ILLOW?
STS EVOLUTION Evolve existing system PERSONNEL LAUNCH SYSTEM Separate people from cargo Complement STS
SPACE TRANSPORTATION
1990 1995 2000
ARCHITECTURE OPTION
2010 2015 2020
2005
)ace Shuttle
ATP
PLS (Assured
Access)
I
ATP f NLS
I
(Multi-role
I
Heavy-lift)
ATP
3O
POST-SHUTTLE
2000
AMLS OPTIONS
2010
STUDIES
2020
Rockets
Fully Reusable
Drop-tank SSTO
SSTO
i Two-Stage
Airbreather/ Rockets
Mach 3 Two-Stage
Single-Stage Airbreather
ON
Expendable
.." ,...""
Life-cycle costs
Fully reusable
Total launches
over life-cycle
31
TECHNOLOGIES
Ke Technologies Structures
OPTIONS
Advanced Technology "I3-AIcomposite structures and TPS Reusable thermoplastic hydrogen tanks Reusable AI-Li oxygen tanks Extra lightweight SSME derivative Variable mixture ratio rocket Turborocket, ramjet, scramjet propulsion
Propulsion
SSME
Subsystems
Electromechanical actuators All-electric Lightweight fuel cells, batteries Cryogenic/gaseous OMS/RCS Fault-tolerant/self check
Lightweight subsystems using advanced materials Actively cooled or carbon-carbon inlets and nozzles
TECHNOLOGY
LAUNCH
Advanced Technology
./////s
ii///// //////_
2 I--
Jwo-sTage
r////_
/
I 0
I 10
t 20
"z
I 30
,,I 40
z//Y/l/
50
6O
70
32
TECHNOLOGY SSTO
500 r 400
hydrogen
tank
1
Aluminum-lithium oxygen tank !/,I
300 200
Slush propellanls
100 0
Near-term
Advanced
Technology
FACTORS
INFLUENCING
ROCKET
VEHICLE
SIZING
Advancing technology --_ Design for performance __-Design for operations, Increasing payload, --_ safety, reliability margins
33
DESIGN
5000 4000 Gross 3000 W_l_'t' -
FOR PERFORMANCE
ROCKET
SSTO
VEHICLE
4,206K---_]
2000 _
I
1000 -
Near-term Technology
Advanced Materials
Advanced SSME
DESIGN
FOR OPERATIONS
ROCKET
SSTO VEHICLE
'[
0 5OO 4OO Dry 3OO weight, Ib 200 100 i
o F, , l-_q '-q
Design for Performance Robust Subsystem 15 percent Margin No Slush Propellants Engine-Out Capability Crew Escape Module
34
AMLS
DESIGN COMPARISONS
and technology levels
Design to same mission requirements Compare Compare rocket vs. airbreather single-stage
systems systems
vs. two-stage
Near-term
Technology
Advanced
Technology
Rocket single stage (SSME-derived) Rocket single stage (VMR) Airbreather/rocket single stage (ATR)
NEAR-TERM
TECHNOLOGY
MISSION
AMLS
10K POLAR
Two-stage airbreather/rocket
-------r-------
440
SSTO rocket
427
/
0 1O0 Length, ft 200 300 35
"ADVANCED
TECHNOLOGY
AMLS
Dry weight, KIb
Two-stage rocket Two-stage airbreather/rocket SSTO SSME rocket SSTO VMR rocket ATR/rocket SSTO Conical AB SSTO 0 100 Length, ft 200 300
99
221
125
112
214
157
TOTAL
IDEAL VELOCITY
REQUIRED
TO REACH
ORBIT
Losses
- _ Flequired
36
RELATIVE
Hydrogen
PROPELLANT
COSTS
costs = 20 x Oxygen costs Oxygen (liquid or triple point), KIb Hydrogen (liquid or slush), KIb 155 548 100 179 171 126 192 452 Ratio of propellant costs to baseline rockets 1.00 2.73 1.00 1.47 1.00 0.81 1.01 2.03
Technology level
Vehicle
Near term
Two-stage
rocket
OPERATIONS
TRADE
I_aiF dataI
I OMS eng. I
I
Launch pad
14 I
IAPUI IIAP I
Adv' support sys.
Advl airbreather Adv. rocket
37
KEY FINDINGS
IOC/technology
OF LaRC STUDIES
Ground operations (a key to life-cycle cost) require detailed system and facility trades to discriminate between rocket and air-breathing options Missions and flight operations may be discriminator
Rocket options best for payload-to-orbit accelerator missions (lowest dry weight two-stage and SSTO systems indicative of lowest DDT&E costs) Air-breathing options provide unique capabilities Offset launch } Selectable orbital elements - All-azimuth launch - Cruise capability - Loiter - Recall
n
38