33 min listen
Rationally Speaking #214 - Anthony Aguirre on "Predicting the future of science and tech, with Metaculus"
Rationally Speaking #214 - Anthony Aguirre on "Predicting the future of science and tech, with Metaculus"
ratings:
Length:
50 minutes
Released:
Aug 5, 2018
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
This episode features physicist Anthony Aguirre discussing Metaculus, the site he created to crowd-source accurate predictions about science and technology. For example, will SpaceX land on Mars by 2030? Anthony and Julia discuss details such as: why it's useful to have predictions on questions like these, how to measure Metaculus' accuracy, why Anthony chose not to run it like a traditional prediction market, and how to design incentives to reward good forecasters.
Released:
Aug 5, 2018
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
Rationally Speaking #1 - Why be rational?: Are rationality and emotion at odds, and is it ethical to promote rationality? Plus Massimo and Julia's picks: Wikipedia's List of Paradoxes and the Fallacy Files. by Rationally Speaking Podcast