13 min listen
How Polls Got Brexit "Wrong"
ratings:
Length:
15 minutes
Released:
Aug 8, 2016
Format:
Podcast episode
Description
Continuing the discussion of how polls do (and sometimes don't) tell us what to expect in upcoming elections--let's take a concrete example from the recent past, shall we? The Brexit referendum was, by and large, expected to shake out for "remain", but when the votes were counted, "leave" came out ahead. Everyone was shocked (SHOCKED!) but maybe the polls weren't as wrong as the pundits like to claim.
Relevant links:
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/moneybox/2016/07/why_political_betting_markets_are_failing.html
http://andrewgelman.com/2016/06/24/brexit-polling-what-went-wrong/
Relevant links:
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/moneybox/2016/07/why_political_betting_markets_are_failing.html
http://andrewgelman.com/2016/06/24/brexit-polling-what-went-wrong/
Released:
Aug 8, 2016
Format:
Podcast episode
Titles in the series (100)
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