Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
August 2010
Table of Contents
Section Page 3 8 13 19 26 29
1 2 3 4 5 6
About China Gas Natural Gas Business Liquefied Petroleum Gas Business Operational Highlights FY2010 Financial Highlights FY2010 FY2011-12 Outlook
1. Natural Gas Services Operator: Engages in the investment, operation and management of city gas pipeline infrastructure, distribution of natural gas to residential, industrial and commercial users, and construction and operation of natural gas refilling stations
Business started in 2002 when China decided to construct the West-East Pipeline Operates in 134 city concessions with 30-year monopolistic operating right each Possesses a pipeline network of more than 31,943 km serving approximately 5.1 million household users and nearly 35,481 industrial and commercial users
Entered into the LPG industry in September 2008 Owns 11 LPG receiving terminals, 275,000 m3 of LPG storage capacity, upstream to downstream distribution network in PRC Covering wholesale and retail LPG supply in Guangdong, Guangxi, Fujian, Zhejiang, Jiangsu and Anhui provinces.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic shareholders have partnered and helped China Gas growth through the years
SINOPEC (Dec 2004) Management & Founders (2002)
18.39% 6.24%
3.90%
48.92%
CHINA GAS
Each of GAIL, Oman Oil, SK E&S and ADB has senior person on the board of China Gas, providing valuable insights
As of 30 June 2010
Natural Gas
Project Development Process
China Gas has a strong track record of developing city gas projects on time and on budget
Bid & award
About 15 projects under review Investment criteria include: 1. Project IRR > 15% 2. Industrial demand 3. Natural gas accessibility
Operation 30 years
Revenue: Sales of piped gas
Projects under development 2007: 20 projects 2008: 18 projects 2009: 47 projects 2010: 35 projects
Projects in operation 2007: 37 sites 2008: 50 sites 2009: 63 sites 2010: 99 sites
Natural Gas
Current Project Locations
Hebei Cangzhou, Cangzhou Economic
Development Zone, Nanpi, Qinghe, Leting, Xinle, Gaocheng, Pingshan, Feng Nan, Neiqiu, Wangdu, Nanbao, Bohai New Area, Hebei Pipeline
Jilin
Hebei Shanxi Shandong Henan Hubei Jiangsu Anhui Zhejiang Jiangxi Fujian Taiwan Shanghai
Shaanxi
Sichuan
Hunan
Guangxi Guangdong
Hainan
Natural Gas
Business Model
Natural gas fields National or provincial pipelines City gate
Natural Gas
Revenue Model and Pricing
Natural gas business operates on a cost-plus pricing model
END-USER TARIFF COMPONENTS
Exploration Transportation Distribution
Wellhead price
Transmission tariffs
NDRC Approval
2 main sources of revenue
Gas connection: one-off payment mainly from residential users, less so from industrial and commercial users Sale of piped gas: recurring income at tariffs approved by the local governments
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Additional gas supply from PetroChina as a result of the cooperation agreement Commissioning of new gas fields
Xinjiang Province
Billion m3
300 250 200 150 100 50 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Source: NDRC
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LPG Business
China Gas is the largest and only vertically
Heilongjiang
Jilin
Upstream: Direct supply from refineries of PetroChina and Sinopec; also import from the Middle East; Midstream: 11 receiving terminals, 275,000 m3 LPG storage facilities, fleets of vessels and trucks, and distribution logistics in Guangdong, Guangxi, Fujian, Zhejiang, Anhui and Jiangsu; Downstream: Direct retail of bottled LPG to households.
Xinjiang Gansu
Liaoning
Inner Mongolia
Ningxia
Henan Hubei
Tibet
Fujian
Taiwan
Guangxi Guangdong
Hainan
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LPG
Business Model
Oil Refinery Class 1 Station Class 2 Station Class 3 Station
Domestic supply
Industrial users
Commercial users
Residential households
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5-6%
6-7%
10-12%
2009 LPG gross margin for China Gas: 5.7% 2010 LPG gross margin for China Gas: 8.7%
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LPG
Market Share and Margins Outlook
LPG Market Share by volume LPG Gross Margin Expansion
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LPG
Supply and Demand in China
Feedstock for Cracking Industry Commercial (Transportation and etc) Residentail Gas
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Natural Gas
Sales Volume (as at 31 Mar 2010)
Period
Total sales volume (million m3)
Period
FY10 FY09 FY08
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Natural Gas
Customer Breakdown (as at 31 Mar 2010)
Sales Volume Growth in FY10 46.5% 52.3% 64.2% 41.7% % of Total Volume 7.3 % 10.0% 71.1% 11.6%
Sector
Natural gas sales volume (million m3)
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Natural Gas
Customer Data (as at 31 Mar 2010)
FY10 Portfolio Total
4,837,436 810 33,476 91
Customer Growth Residential Industrial Commercial CNG Stations Customer Tariffs (ex-tax) (RMB / m3) Residential Industrial Commercial CNG Stations
Organic
657,907 323 3,825 31
Acquired
434,159 67 1,140 -
FY10
1.88 2.09 2.13 2.17
FY09
1.85 1.97 2.06 2.08
FY08
1.75 1.84 1.85 1.95
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Natural Gas
Other Operational Data (as at 31 Mar 2010)
Natural gas daily consumption Urban population covered and penetration rate
Penetration Rate
(000 m3)
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Natural Gas
Other Operational Data (as at 31 Mar 2010)
FY10
Residential Connection Fee (RMB per customer) Total Pipelines (km) 2,368 31,513
FY09
2,437 25,886
FY08
2,295 16,217
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LPG
Operational Data (as at 31 Mar 2010)
FY10
Sale tonnage (ton) Gross Margin (%) Operating Margin (%) Net Profit Margin (%) 944,000 +8.7% + 1.6% + 0.2%
FY09*
495,155 +5.7% - 0.2% - 2.1%
* Only half year data as China Gas commenced LPG business in Sep.2008
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Financial Summary
Income Statement
HK$ ('000) Turnover Gas Sales Connection Fees LPG Sales Other Gross Profit Profit after tax FY10 % change FY09 FY08 2,552,075 1,691,159 615,282 245,634 746,119 187,571
875,636
26.19 20.8% 70.6% 8.7%
744.6%
742.1% -
103,679
3.11 19.1% 67.4% 5.7%
141,059
4.39
Gross Margin Gas Sales Gross Margin Connection Fees Gross Margin LPG Sales
15.9% 72% -
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Financial Summary
Balance Sheet & Debt Position
Shareholder's Equity
Cash Short-term Bank Debt Long-term Bank Debt Convertible Bond
4,123,022
4,361,419 5,294,761* 8,021,345 -
3,223,270
2,896,457 3,103,855 ** 7,194,067 14,823
* of which HK$2,450,349 was Zhongyou Huadian LPG trade finance related facilities ** of which HK$2,255,659 was Zhongyou Huadian LPG trade finance related facilities
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FY2011-12 Outlook
Sensitivity Analysis(1)
Period of Non-Pass Through As a % of Total Revenue % of Volume passedthrough (residential users only) 0% 50% 90% Full Year (0.95%) (0.47%) (0.09%) 6 month (0.47%) (0.24%) (0.05%) 3 month (0.24%) (0.12%) (0.02%)
Low elasticity: retail price hike of only RMB0.23/m3 and we anticipate residential users can absorb with minimal impact on demand On a macro-view, price hike will stimulate upstream domestic production and encourage LNG imports, further easing near-term shortage of supply
(1) Total revenue is based on FY2010 natural gas total volume, FY2010 total revenue and 100% automatic pass-through of RMB0.23/m3 of price hike for commercial and industrial gas sales
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FY2011-2012 Drivers
Natural Gas
Significant increase in upstream supply will lead to:
LPG
Completion of vertical integration of supply chain will lead to:
Increase in penetration rate: To reach 43% by 2012 enhanced connection fee income More industrial connections: More gas to connect industrial customers in backlog further increase gas sale volume Faster CNG stations rollout: To reach at least 180 CNG stations in 50 cities by 2012 improving overall operating margins of gas sale
Wider distribution network: To cover 9 provinces with wholesale and retail supply Increase in sale volume: To reach at least 2 million tons by 2012 Improved margins: To reach 15% gross margin and 5% net margin by 2012
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FY2011-2012 Guidance
Enhance organic growth of existing city gas and pipeline projects in terms of residential penetration, industrial connections and CNG station rollout Continue upstream LPG integration with refineries Sinopec and CNPC Active rollout of LPG downstream retail distribution network and CNG stations
FY2011 Gas volume (m3) New residential connections CNG stations LPG sales (million ton) 4.8 bn 700,000 to reach 120 1.3
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Disclaimer
Statements in this presentation and handout that are not strictly historical are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, continued acceptance of the Companys product and services in the marketplace, competitive factors, new products and technology changes, the Companys dependence upon third party suppliers and other risks detailed from time to time in the presentation, handout and other related documents. China Gas is not responsible for the accuracy and completeness of the contents of such presentations and/or other documents. The materials and information in the presentations and other documents are for informational purposes only, and are not an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities or financial instruments or to provide any investment service or investment advice.
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