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+
365
days
r 1
F
( ) | |
365
90
05 . 1
000 , 10
+
=
= $9878.20
example 2
Tbill, 180 days to maturity
F = $10,000, P = $9700
what is r?
(
|
.
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\
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+
=
365
days
r 1
F
P
F
365
days
r 1 P =
(
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.
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\
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+
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|
.
|
\
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(
=
days
365
1
P
F
r
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.
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\
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(
=
days
365
1
P
F
r
|
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\
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(
=
180
365
1
9700
000 , 10
r
= 6.27%
Pricing Coupon Bonds
Pay face value at maturity
pay interest based on coupon rate
every 6 months
Price may be <, =, > face value
depends on coupon rate vs.
market interest rates
example
N = 3, coupon rate = 6%
F = $10,000, P = $9850
semiannual pmts.
interest payments
.06(10,000) = $600 per year
$300 every 6 mos.
what is r?
discount rate where
PV cash flows = $9850
what are cash flows?
6 mos $300
1 yr. $300
1.5 yrs. $300
.
.
.
3 yrs $10,300
r solves
( )
( )
( ) ( )
6 3
2
2
r
1
300 , 10
...
2
r
1
300
2
r
1
300
2
r
1
300
9850
+
+ +
+
+
+
+
+
=
how to solve?
trial-and-error
financial calculator
spreadsheet
bond table
yield/N 3 5 10
5.50% -$10,136.56 -$10,216.00 -$10,380.68
6% -$10,000.00 -$10,000.00 -$10,000.00
6.50% -$9,865.69 -$9,789.44 -$9,636.52
7% -$9,733.57 -$9,584.17 -$9,289.38
6% coupon bond, F=$10,000
bond table
approx r = 6.5%
r = 6.56%
note
P and r are inversely related
P falls as r rises
P rises as r falls
true for ALL debt securities
size of change in P depends on N
as r rises, P falls
how much?
-- for greater N, P falls a lot
-- for smaller N, P falls a litte
relationship between r and coupon
if r > coupon
then P < F (discount)
if r < coupon
then P > F (premium)
if r = coupon
then P = F (par)
III. Price Sensitivity
price volatility, interest rate risk
if r changes by 1 percentage pt.,
how much does P change?
a lot (bond is sensitive)
a little (bond is not sensitive)
several factors affect price
sensitivity
Maturity
why?
stuck with the yield a longer time
either very good or very bad
longer
maturity
greater
price
sensitivity
Coupon rate
why?
higher coupon rate, receive more
cash flows sooner
lower
coupon
rate
greater
price
sensitivity
Level of yield
increase of 5% to 6% NOT same as
increase of 10% to 11%
5% to 6% means larger decrease
in bond prices
lower
initial
yield
greater
price
sensitivity
why?
from 5 to 6 is an increase of 20%
from 10 to 11 is an increase of 10%
Bond Duration
measure price sensitivity
taking N, coupon, r into account
approx. % change in P when r
changes by 1 percentage pt.
example
7 year bond, 7% yield, 6% coupon
10 year bond, 7.5% yield, 8% coupon
which bond has greater interest rate
risk?
generate price changes as yield rises
above and below initial level:
7 year bond 10 year bond
yield
6.5%
7%
7.5%
yield
7%
7.5%
8%
price
$972
$945
$919
price
$1071
$1035
$1000
Duration
=
high price - low price
initial price (high r - low r)
D
7
=
972 - 919
945 (.075 - .065)
= 5.6
= 6.9
D
10
=
1071 - 1000
1035 (.08 - .07)
7 year bond price fall by approx. 5.6%,
when yield rises from 7% to 8%
10 year bond price fall by approx.
6.9%,
when yield rises from 7.5% to 8.5%
so 10-year bond is more price
sensitive
in general,
higher
duration
greater
price
sensitivity
why hold a bond with high
duration?
plan to hold bond until maturity
do not care about price
fluctuations
believe interest rates are going to fall
big increase in bond price
why hold a bond with low
duration?
plan to sell bond prior to maturity
believe interest rates are going to
rise
highly risk averse