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Change Drivers environment globalism demographics technology information economics politics complexity
Competition !
Worker Impact lifelong learning adaptability/flexibility networking Organizational Response: self-loyalty paradigm shift new psychological contract decentralizing downsizing telecommuting virtual organization reengineering teamwork Learning Organization mergers/acquisitions Demands strategic alliances timeliness (JIT) target marketing efficiency out-sourcing speed temps quality innovation customized rate of change
They way it used to be 1- 4 employers 1- 2 careers 42-year working life lifetime job security
and now 6- 10 employers 3- 5 careers 50-year working life new psychological contract
http://cpcug.org/user/jlacombe/terms.html
In 1900 85% of workers were in agriculture (now 3%), in 1950 73% were in manufacturing (15%), now service & knowledge workers Moores Law: chip capacity double every 6 months while price stays the same current annual growth rate of Internet is 100% worldwide: 500m voicemail boxes, 110m fax machines, 600 email users, over 500 million computers worldwide artificial intelligence is expected to affect 60-90% of jobs, augmenting, displacing or eliminating workers in the next five years people in the industrial world will be doing jobs differently from the past 50 years with innovation, everything goes back to zero
Buy American-Owned
Alka Seltzer Alpo Dogfood Aim Toothpaste Baskin Robbins Icecream Bactine Antiseptic Ball Park Franks Bayer Aspirin Pic Pens, Lighter, Razor Burger King Capitol Records CBS Records Chesterfield Cigarettes Christian Brothers wine Diamond Stick Matches Dove Soap Dunlop Tires EverReady Batteries Eureka Vacuum Cleaners Firestone Tires Four Roses Whisky Frenchs Mustard Frigidaire Appliances Friskies & Might Dog food Glidden Paint Goodyear Tire & Rubber Good Humor Icecream Green Giant Vegetables Humpty Dumpty Magazine Hires Root Beer Hills Brothers Coffee Hungry Jack Pancakes Imperial Margerine Instant Potato Mix Indian Head Textiles Jenos Pizza Kelvinator Appliances Knox Gelatine Kool Cigarettes Keebler Cookies Libbys Fruits Lifebuoy Soap Magnavox Massey-Ferguson Tractors Maxell Tapes Michelin Tires Mr. Coffee Norelco Appliances Nescafe Coffee New Yorker Hotel Ovaltine Drink Mix One-A-Day Vitamins Panasonic Pearle Vision Center Pepsodent Toothpaste Pillsbury Cake Mix Nestle Quik Chocolate Mix Quasar Television Ray-O-Vac Batteries Rona Barrets magazine Seven Seas Salad Dressing Shell Oil Standard Oil Stouffer Frozen Foods Tappan Appliances Valium Tranquilizers Zig-Zag Cigarette Papers
Change Drivers Mergers & Acquisitions Avoid bankruptcy Prepare for privatization Reduce costs to remain competitive
Downsizing
Goals Reduce expenses (46%) Increase profits (32%) Improve cash flow (24%) Increase productivity (22%) Increase ROI (21%) Increase competitive advantage (19%) Reduce bureaucracy (17%) Improve decision making (14%) Increase customer satisfaction (14%) Increase sales (13%) Increase market share (12%) Improve product quality (9%) Advance technology (9%) Increase motivation (7%) Avoid takeover (6%) Wall Street Journal, 6-6-91
Vision: its not just imagining some future picture; its seeing and understanding the dynamic forces that shape that place and positioning yourself for the possibilities
Competition Globalism
Information Politics
Economy
Current Marketplace
Technology Demographics
Envisioned Future
Environment
The weekly edition of the NY Times has more information than a person would come across in a lifetime in 17th Century England There has been more information produced in the last 30 years than the preceding 5,000 It takes 3-5 years for 50% of worker skills to become obsolete Japanese students receive 240 days/year compared with 180 US Japanese workers get 6x the training as US workers (300 hrs/6 mo) All information doubled about every 5 years; in some fields 6 months More Americans work in biotechnology than in the entire machine tool industry About 75% of a products cost is determined at the conceptual stage Developed countries spend 28-30% of GNP on knowledge