Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
by Ken Black
Chapter 5
Discrete Distributions
Discrete
Distributions
If you bet on a horse, thats
gambling. If you bet you can
pull a rabbit out of a hat, that
is entertainment. If you bet
cotton will go up three points,
that is business. See the
difference.
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-1
Learning Objectives
Distinguish between discrete random
variables and continuous random variables.
Know how to determine the mean and
variance of a discrete distribution.
Identify the type of statistical experiments
that can be described by the binomial
distribution, and know how to work such
problems.
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-2
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-3
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-4
binomial
Poisson
hypergeometric
Continuous
normal
uniform
exponential
t
chi-square
F
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-5
Distribution of Daily
Crises
Number of
Probability
Crises
0
1
2
3
4
5
0.37
0.31
0.18
0.09
0.04
0.01
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Number of Crises
5-6
Requirements for a
Discrete Probability Function
Probabilities are between 0 and 1,
inclusively
0 P( X ) 1 for all X
P( X ) 1
over all x
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-7
E X X P( X ) 115
.
X
P(X)
XP(X)
.37
.00
.31
.31
.18
.36
.09
.27
.04
.16
.01
.05
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
Number of Crises
1.15
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-8
.
X P( X ) 141
P(X)
(X- )
(X- ) 2
(X- ) 2 P(X)
.37
-1.15
1.32
.49
.31
-0.15
0.02
.01
.18
0.85
0.72
.13
.09
1.85
3.42
.31
.04
2.85
8.12
.32
.01
3.85
14.82
.15
141
. 119
.
1.41
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-9
Binomial Distribution
Experiment involves n identical trials
Each trial has exactly two possible outcomes: success
and failure (although many outcomes, but can be divided thus)
Each trial is independent of the previous trials
p is the probability of a success on any one trial
q = (1-p) is the probability of a failure on any one
trial
p and q are constant throughout the experiment
X is the number of successes in the n trials (between 0 &
n)
5-10
Binomial Distribution
Binomial distribution is also known as the "Bernoulli distribution" after the Swiss
mathematician Jacob Bernoulli (1654-1705) who discovered it in 1700 and was
published in 1713, eight years after his death.
5-11
Binomial Distribution
Example of family planning for 3 children. Outcomes are:
GGG, GGB,GBG, GBB
BBB,BBG,BGB,BGG each equally likely
In how many ways combination of 2 girls (and a boy) is
possible? Answer is 3.
Professionally: no of possible combination is computed thus
n!
3!
Cx
3
n
x!(n x)! 2!1!
5-12
Binomial Distribution
A company received a shipment of a brand of 200 mobile phones. If 5% of
them are defective, what are the probabilities of drawing 0 to 3 defectives in
a draw of 3 mobiles .
P(DDD): (0.05)(0.05)(0.05) (0.95)0 =(0.05)3(0.95)0 =0.000125
P(DDN): (0.05)2 (0.95) = P(NDD)=P(DND) = 0.002375
P(DNN): (0.05)1 (0.95)2 = P(NDN)=P(NND) = 0.045125
P(NNN): (0.05)0 (0.95)3 = 0.953 = 0.857375
P(x) n c .p .q
x
n x
n!
.px .qn x
x! (n x)!
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-13
Binomial Distribution
Probability distribution table will look like this in the case
of family planning 3 children and r.v. x is no of girls.
x
0
1
2
f(x)
3!
(0.5) 0 (0.5)3
0!3!
0.125
3!
(0.5)1 (0.5) 2
1!2!
0.375
3!
(0.5) 2 (0.5)1
2!1!
0.375
3!
(0.5) 3 (0.5) 0
3! 0!
0.125
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-14
Binomial Distribution
EXERCISE : ()
Replicate the above probability distribution for 3 consumers
entering the clothing store on their purchase, where past
experience says that the probability of purchase for a
customer is 0.3. Consider y as a random variable for the
customers making a purchase. Answers: 0.343, 0.441, 0.189,
0.027 . One can draw a bar graph.
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-15
Binomial Distribution
Probability
function
P( X )
Mean
value
Variance
and
standard
deviation
X
n X
n!
q
for 0 X n
p
X ! n X !
n p
n pq
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
n pq
5-16
Binomial Distribution
EXERCISE:
According to US Census Bureau, approximately 6% of
all workers in Jackson, Mississippi, are unemployed. In
conducting a random telephone survey in Jackson, what
is the probability of getting two or fewer unemployed
workers in a sample of 20?
Answer: 0.8850
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-17
Binomial Distribution:
Demonstration Problem 5.3
n 20
p . 06
q . 94
P( X 2 ) P( X 0 ) P( X 1) P( X 2 )
. 2901. 3703. 2246 . 8850
20!
P( X 0)
0!(20 0)!
20!
P( X 1)
1!(20 1)!
.06 .94
20 0
.06 .94
20!
P ( X 2)
2!(20 2)!
20 1
.06 .94
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
(1)(1)(.2901) .2901
(20)(.06)(.3086) .3703
20 2
(190)(.0036)(.3283) .2246
5-18
n = 20
X
0.1
0.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
0.122
0.270
0.285
0.190
0.090
0.032
0.009
0.002
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.012
0.058
0.137
0.205
0.218
0.175
0.109
0.055
0.022
0.007
0.002
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Binomial
Table
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
PROBABILITY
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.001
0.007
0.028
0.072
0.130
0.179
0.192
0.164
0.114
0.065
0.031
0.012
0.004
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.003
0.012
0.035
0.075
0.124
0.166
0.180
0.160
0.117
0.071
0.035
0.015
0.005
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.005
0.015
0.037
0.074
0.120
0.160
0.176
0.160
0.120
0.074
0.037
0.015
0.005
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.005
0.015
0.035
0.071
0.117
0.160
0.180
0.166
0.124
0.075
0.035
0.012
0.003
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.004
0.012
0.031
0.065
0.114
0.164
0.192
0.179
0.130
0.072
0.028
0.007
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.007
0.022
0.055
0.109
0.175
0.218
0.205
0.137
0.058
0.012
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.002
0.009
0.032
0.090
0.190
0.285
0.270
0.122
5-19
n = 20
X
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
PROBABILITY
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.122
0.270
0.285
0.190
0.090
0.032
0.009
0.002
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.012
0.058
0.137
0.205
0.218
0.175
0.109
0.055
0.022
0.007
0.002
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.001
0.007
0.028
0.072
0.130
0.179
0.192
0.164
0.114
0.065
0.031
0.012
0.004
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.4
0.000
0.000
0.003
0.012
0.035
0.075
0.124
0.166
0.180
0.160
0.117
0.071
0.035
0.015
0.005
0.001
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
Using the
Binomial Table
Demonstration
Problem 5.4
n 20
p .40
P ( X 10) 20C10
.40 .60
10
10
01171
.
5-20
20
PROBABILITY
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.3585 0.2901 0.2342
0.3774 0.3703 0.3526
0.1887 0.2246 0.2521
0.0596 0.0860 0.1139
0.0133 0.0233 0.0364
0.0022 0.0048 0.0088
0.0003 0.0008 0.0017
0.0000 0.0001 0.0002
0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
n 20
p . 06
q . 94
P( X 2 ) P( X 0 ) P( X 1) P( X 2 )
. 2901. 3703. 2246 . 8850
P( X 2) 1 P( X 2) 1. 8850 .1150
n p (20)(. 06) 1. 20
1.128 1. 062
5-21
20
p=
0.06
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
P(X)
=BINOMDIST(A5,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A6,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A7,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A8,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A9,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A10,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A11,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A12,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A13,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
=BINOMDIST(A14,B$1,B$2,FALSE)
5-22
0.9
0.000
0.004
0.049
0.292
0.656
P(X)
P = 0.5
1.000
0.900
0.800
0.700
0.600
0.500
0.400
0.300
0.200
0.100
0.000
0
P = 0.9
1.000
0.900
0.800
0.700
0.600
0.500
0.400
0.300
0.200
0.100
0.000
P(X)
P(X)
P = 0.1
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
1.000
0.900
0.800
0.700
0.600
0.500
0.400
0.300
0.200
0.100
0.000
0
5-23
Poisson Distribution
A discrete distribution, rather than having 2
outcomes, it describes no of occurrences of
some events in some interval or region or
space.
Describes occurrences of rare events (law of
small numbers/improbable events)
Each occurrence is independent of any other
occurrences.
The number of occurrences in each interval
can vary from zero to infinity.
The expected number of occurrences must
hold constant throughout the experiment.
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-24
Poisson Distribution
The average number of successes ( for mean)
that occurs in a specified region/interval is
known (space or time).
The probability that a success will occur is
proportional to the size of the region/interval.
The probability that a success will occur in an
extremely small region/interval is virtually zero.
used to describe no of random arrivals per
some interval of time or given length, area,
volume or region.
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-25
Accidents/disease in a region
- no of accidents in an area ; nuclear decay of atoms
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-26
Poisson Distribution
Probability function: As N becomes large &
P small in the limit, Binomial distribution
transforms into Poisson Distribution.
X e
P( X )
for
X!
where :
X 0,1,2,3,...
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-27
3. 2 customers/ 4 minutes
X = 10 customers/ 8 minutes
X = 6 customers/ 8 minutes
Adjusted
Adjusted
= 6. 4 customers/ 8 minutes
= 6. 4 customers/ 8 minutes
e
X
P(X) =
e
X
P(X) =
X!
P( X = 10) = 6.4 e
10 !
10
6. 4
X!
P( X = 6) = 6.4 e
6!
6
0. 0528
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
6.4
0.1586
5-28
Poisson distribution
Poisson distribution to hold, value must remain constant during
the experiment period. Hence a given lambda cant be applied to
a problem if lambda changes, eg: the number of flaws per pair of
jeans might vary from Monday to Friday. If arrivals of no of
planes differ from hours of hours then old lambda is not useful.
EX: In a corporation, an average of 1.6 telephone calls are
received in the afternoons at an interval of 15 minutes. Find the
probability of receiving more than 2 calls in the afternoons.
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-29
X
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
0.5
0.6065
0.3033
0.0758
0.0126
0.0016
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
1.5
0.2231
0.3347
0.2510
0.1255
0.0471
0.0141
0.0035
0.0008
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
1.6
0.2019
0.3230
0.2584
0.1378
0.0551
0.0176
0.0047
0.0011
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
3.0
0.0498
0.1494
0.2240
0.2240
0.1680
0.1008
0.0504
0.0216
0.0081
0.0027
0.0008
0.0002
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
3.2
0.0408
0.1304
0.2087
0.2226
0.1781
0.1140
0.0608
0.0278
0.0111
0.0040
0.0013
0.0004
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
6.4
0.0017
0.0106
0.0340
0.0726
0.1162
0.1487
0.1586
0.1450
0.1160
0.0825
0.0528
0.0307
0.0164
0.0081
0.0037
0.0016
0.0006
0.0002
0.0001
6.5
0.0015
0.0098
0.0318
0.0688
0.1118
0.1454
0.1575
0.1462
0.1188
0.0858
0.0558
0.0330
0.0179
0.0089
0.0041
0.0018
0.0007
0.0003
0.0001
7.0
0.0009
0.0064
0.0223
0.0521
0.0912
0.1277
0.1490
0.1490
0.1304
0.1014
0.0710
0.0452
0.0263
0.0142
0.0071
0.0033
0.0014
0.0006
0.0002
8.0
0.0003
0.0027
0.0107
0.0286
0.0573
0.0916
0.1221
0.1396
0.1396
0.1241
0.0993
0.0722
0.0481
0.0296
0.0169
0.0090
0.0045
0.0021
0.0009
5-30
X
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
0.5
0.6065
0.3033
0.0758
0.0126
0.0016
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
1.5
0.2231
0.3347
0.2510
0.1255
0.0471
0.0141
0.0035
0.0008
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
1.6
0.2019
0.3230
0.2584
0.1378
0.0551
0.0176
0.0047
0.0011
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
3.0
0.0498
0.1494
0.2240
0.2240
0.1680
0.1008
0.0504
0.0216
0.0081
0.0027
0.0008
0.0002
0.0001
1. 6
P( X 4) 0. 0551
5-31
Poisson
Distribution:
Using the
Poisson
Tables
X
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
0.5
0.6065
0.3033
0.0758
0.0126
0.0016
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
1.5
0.2231
0.3347
0.2510
0.1255
0.0471
0.0141
0.0035
0.0008
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
1.6
0.2019
0.3230
0.2584
0.1378
0.0551
0.0176
0.0047
0.0011
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
3.0
0.0498
0.1494
0.2240
0.2240
0.1680
0.1008
0.0504
0.0216
0.0081
0.0027
0.0008
0.0002
0.0001
1. 6
P( X 5) P( X 6) P( X 7) P( X 8) P( X 9)
. 0047. 0011. 0002. 0000 . 0060
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-32
Poisson
Distribution:
Using the
Poisson
Tables
X
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
0.5
0.6065
0.3033
0.0758
0.0126
0.0016
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
1.5
0.2231
0.3347
0.2510
0.1255
0.0471
0.0141
0.0035
0.0008
0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
1.6
0.2019
0.3230
0.2584
0.1378
0.0551
0.0176
0.0047
0.0011
0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
3.0
0.0498
0.1494
0.2240
0.2240
0.1680
0.1008
0.0504
0.0216
0.0081
0.0027
0.0008
0.0002
0.0001
1. 6
P( X 2 ) 1 P( X 2 ) 1 P( X 0 ) P( X 1)
1. 2019. 3230 . 4751
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-33
0.35
0.30
0.14
0.25
0.12
0.20
0.10
0.08
0.15
0.06
0.10
0.04
0.05
0.00
0
6. 5
0.16
0.02
1
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
0.00
0
10
12
14
5-34
16
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
1.6
P(X)
=POISSON(D5,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D6,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D7,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D8,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D9,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D10,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D11,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D12,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D13,E$1,FALSE)
=POISSON(D14,E$1,FALSE)
5-35
Poisson Approximation
of the Binomial Distribution
Binomial probabilities are difficult to
calculate when n is large.
Under certain conditions binomial
probabilities may be approximated by
Poisson probabilities.
If n 20 and n p 7, the approximation is acceptable
.
Poisson approximation
Use n p.
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-36
Poisson Approximation
of the Binomial Distribution
Binomial
Binomial
Poisson
n 50
1. 5
p . 03
0.2231
0.2181
-0.0051
0.3347
0.3372
0.0025
2
3
0.2510
0.1255
0.2555
0.1264
0.0045
0.0009
0.0471
0.0459
-0.0011
0.0141
0.0131
0.0035
7
8
9
0.0008
0.0001
0.0000
X
Error
Poisson n 10 , 000
3. 0 p . 0003
Error
0.0498
0.0498
0.0000
0.1494
0.1493
0.0000
0.2240
0.2241
0.0000
0.2240
0.2241
0.0000
0.1680
0.1681
0.0000
-0.0010
0.1008
0.1008
0.0000
0.0030
-0.0005
0.0504
0.0504
0.0000
0.0006
0.0001
0.0000
-0.0002
0.0000
0.0000
0.0216
0.0216
0.0000
0.0081
0.0081
0.0000
0.0027
0.0027
0.0000
10
0.0008
0.0008
0.0000
11
0.0002
0.0002
0.0000
12
0.0001
0.0001
0.0000
13
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-37
Hypergeometric Distribution
What if trials are not independent, hence P
changes ? What distribution?
Sampling without replacement from a finite
population
The number of objects in the population is
denoted N.
Each trial has exactly two possible outcomes,
success and failure.
Trials are not independent
X is the number of successes in the n trials
The binomial is an acceptable approximation, if
n < 5% N. Otherwise it is not.
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-38
Hypergeometric Distribution
Probability function
N is population size
P( x )
n is sample size
A is number of successes in population
x is number of successes in sample
Mean
value
Cn
An
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
ACx N ACn x
A( N A)n( N n)
( N 1)
5-39
Hypergeometric Distribution:
Probability Computations
24 people of whom 8 are women apply for a job. If 5 applicants
selected randomly, what is probability that 3 sampled are women?
N = 24
X=8
P( x 3)
n=5
x
1 0.3426
2 0.3689
3 0.1581
4 0.0264
5 0.0013
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
Cn
P(x)
0 0.1028
ACx N ACn x
8C 3 24 8C5 3
C5
56120
42,504
.1581
24
5-40
0.40
X=8
0.35
n=5
0.30
0.25
P(x)
0.1028
0.3426
0.3689
0.1581
0.0264
0.0013
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
0
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-41
Hypergeometric Distribution:
Demonstration Problem 5.11
N = 18
n=3
A = 12
X
0
1
2
3
P(X)
0.0245
0.2206
0.4853
0.2696
P ( x 1) P ( x 1) P ( x 2) P ( x 3)
12 C1 18 12C 3 1
C3
.2206.4853.2696
18
12 C 2 18 12 C 3 2
18
C3
12 C 3 18 12C 3 3
18
C3
.9755
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-42
Hypergeometric Distribution:
Binomial Approximation (large n)
Hypergeometric
N = 24
X=8
n=5
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
P(x)
0.1028
0.3426
0.3689
0.1581
0.0264
0.0013
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
Binomial
n=5
p = 8/24 =1/3
P(x)
0.1317
0.3292
0.3292
0.1646
0.0412
0.0041
Error
-0.0289
0.0133
0.0397
-0.0065
-0.0148
-0.0028
5-43
Hypergeometric Distribution:
Binomial Approximation (small n)
Hypergeometric
N = 240
X = 80
n=5
x
0
1
2
3
4
5
P(x)
0.1289
0.3306
0.3327
0.1642
0.0398
0.0038
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
Binomial
n=5
p = 80/240 =1/3
P(x)
0.1317
0.3292
0.3292
0.1646
0.0412
0.0041
Error
-0.0028
0.0014
0.0035
-0.0004
-0.0014
-0.0003
5-44
P(X)
=HYPGEOMDIST(A6,B$3,B$2,B$1)
=HYPGEOMDIST(A7,B$3,B$2,B$1)
=HYPGEOMDIST(A8,B$3,B$2,B$1)
=HYPGEOMDIST(A9,B$3,B$2,B$1)
=HYPGEOMDIST(A10,B$3,B$2,B$1)
=HYPGEOMDIST(A11,B$3,B$2,B$1)
=SUM(B6:B11)
Business Statistics, 4e, by Ken Black. 2003 John Wiley & Sons.
5-45