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By Amit Gupta* & Rajat Jain** *Dy. Chief Engineer & Project Manager,**Engineer WAPCOS Ltd.
Hydropower Development.
In order to meet the continuous power demand, sustainability of these
YES WE CAN
Reservoir Scheme
Ma
Water Availability Studies Planning Power Potential Studies
resources.
Global Warming
Its Rainy
Climate Change Change in Hydrological patterns due to Climate change, if any to be established How? How much?? Why???...
Too Hot!!!
Climate change
Climate change refers to a statistically significant variation in either the mean state of the climate or in its variability, persisting for an extended period (typically decades or longer). Climate change may be due to natural internal processes or external forcing, or to persistent anthropogenic changes in the composition of the atmosphere or in land use.
A SCHEMATIC VIEW : THE COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL CLIMATE SYSTEM Source: MoEF, GoI/IPCC 2001
Coastal Flooding
Possible Solutions
Prevention
Mitigation
Adaption
Adaption
Recognition and ascertaining correlation of water availability with climate change, if exists. Determination of reliability of water availability studies not only for the present scenario but also for the future projections as well i.e. for the entire anticipated design life of the project as a whole.
The assessment of reliability factor associated with water availability is very tedious and vague, which is solely dependent on rate of climate change with time. Therefore, ascertaining variation in water availability though can be attempted qualitatively but its quantification is very complex
CONCLUSION
Hydropower is a clean, eco-friendly and more reliable than others. Existing Scenario of Hydropower in India demands an urgent need of accelerated hydropower development. For meeting continuous power demand, the sustainability of hydropower projects (under planning/execution/operation) is equally important. Sustainability of hydropower depends upon availability of consistent water resources, which are contemplated to be affected by climate change, sooner or later. Establishment of correlation between variants of water availability with rate of climate change, to the possible extent .
CONCLUSION
Contd..
Determination of long term water availability coherent with the parameters of climate change as a step towards rationalization of probabilistic studies, considering the impact of climate change on sustainable water resources . This, if feasible, would definitely minimize the uncertainties in assessment of hydropower potential, reduce the unforeseen impacts of climate change, resulting in combating measures, necessitated consequently, such as refurbishment of power plants, retrofitting of schemes etc. at a later stage, to the reasonable extent.