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Risks A risk is the potential that something unwanted and harmful may occur. Risk is like harm, is a broad concept covering many different types of unwanted occurrences. In regard to technology, it can equally well include dangers of bodily harm. Of economic loss, or environmental degradation.These in turn can be caused by delayed job completion, faulty products or systems, and economically or environmentally injurious solutions to technological problems. Good engineering practice has always been concerned with safety. But as technologys influence on society has grown, so has public concern about technological risks increased. New risks are new only in the sense that: 1. They are now identifiable 2. The publics perception of them has changed Meanwhile, natural hazards continue to threaten human populations, technology has greatly reduced the scoped of some of these, such as floods or typhoon, but at the same time it has increased our vulnerability to other natural hazards, such as earthquake, flash flood, land-slides as they affect our ever-greater concentrations of population and cause greater damage to our finely tuned technological networks of long lifelines for water, energy, and food.
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Acceptability of Risk
William D. Rowe says that a risk is acceptable when those affected are generally no longer (or not) apprehensive about it.
This is influenced by such factors as whether the risk is assumed voluntarily, the effects of knowledge on how the probabilities of harm are perceived, job related or other pressures that cause people to be aware of or to overlook risks, the immediacy or obviousness of a risky activity or situation, and the identification of potential victims.
Assessment of Safety and Risk For engineers, assessing safety is a complex matter. 1 The risks connected to a project or product must be identified. This requires foreseeing both intended and unintended interactions between individuals or groups and machines or systems. 2. The purpose of the project or product must be identified and ranked in importance. 3. The costs of reducing risks must be estimated. 4. The costs must be weighed against both organisational goals (profit, reputation for quality, avoiding lawsuits) and degrees of acceptability of risks to clients and public. 5. The project must be tested and then either carried out or manufactured.
Uncertainties in Design
Risk is seldom intentionally designed into a product.It arises because of the many uncertainties faced by the design engineer, the manufacturing engineer, and even the sales and applications engineer.
Regarding applications, designs that do quite well under static loads may fail under dynamic loading. Apart from uncertainties about applications of a product, there are uncertainties regarding the materials of which it is made and the level of skill that goes into designing and manufacturing it. Engineers traditionally have coped with such uncertainties about materials or components, as well as incomplete knowledge about the actual operating condition of their product, by introducing a comfortable factor of safety. The factor is intended to protect against problems arising when the stresses due to anticipated loads (duty) and the stresses the product are designed is supposed to withstand (strength and capability) depart from their expected values. A product may be said to be safe if its capability exceeds its duty. In reality the stress calculated by the engineer for a given condition of loading and the stress which ultimately at that loading may vary quite a bit. This is because each component in an assembly has been allowed certain tolerances in its physical dimensions and properties. 7
a) Scenario analysis - starts from a given event, then studies the different consequences that might evolve from it.
b) Failure modes and effects analysis - systematically examines the failure modes of each component, without, however, focussing on causes or relationships among the elements of a complex system. c) Fault-tree analysis - it proposes a system failure and then traces the event back to possible causes at the component level. d) Event-tree analysis - reverse of the fault-tree analysis, which is more mathematically oriented version of scenario analysis.
Personal Risk
Given sufficient information, an individual is able to decide whether to participate (or consent to exposure to ) a risky activity or experiment. Chauncey Starr has prepared some widely used figures that indicate that individuals are more ready to assume voluntary risks than they are to be subjected to involuntary risks (or activities over which they have no control) even when the voluntary risks are 1000 times more likely to produce a fatality than the involuntary ones. Liability Engineers and students of engineering need to be aware of strict liability.Strict liability means it is sufficient for a product as sold to have been defective for the manufacturer to be held liable for any harm that results to users. Negligence is not at issue. What matters is that the product had a defect not obvious to users. The warranty established by advertising, labels, and other information that causes the buyer to expect a serviceable and safe product.
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Liability
Engineers can also be sued individually, even when acting according to guidelines set by their employers. This may happen when an injured party is frustrated by laws that shield the employer or limit the employers liability, as is the case with government agencies. Safe Exit It is also impossible to build a completely safe product or one that will never fail. The best one can do is to assure that when a product fails it will safely, can be abandoned safely, or that the user can safely escape the product. These three condition are referred as safe exit. For example ships need lifeboats with sufficient spaces for all the passengers and crew members. Building need fire escapes, and sprinkles. Back-up system for computer base data etc.
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